Btcusd bullish mode Bearish Disruption to This Bullish Outlook
1. Lower High & Breakdown Structure (Bearish Bias)
The chart shows a clear lower high formation, indicating the market is in a downtrend cycle.
Price has already broken previous support and is retesting lower levels, which may act as resistance now, making the bullish path less likely without significant momentum.
2. Weak Rejection from Demand Zone (Bearish Warning)
The first bounce from the demand zone (around $78,000) is weak and lacks follow-through buying pressure.
This could mean buyers are not committed, increasing risk of demand zone failure and further drop toward $74,000-$72,000 levels.
3. Volume Analysis (Lack of Buyers)
Notice how the volume on the latest bounce is weak, showing no significant accumulation. For a strong rally to $90k+, we'd expect climactic buying volume—which is absent here.
Weak volume near critical zones often precedes false breakouts or deeper dives.
4. Possible Bear Flag or Continuation Pattern
Current consolidation between $78k-$80k may form a bearish continuation pattern (bear flag).
A break below $78k could trigger a sell-off targeting $75,000-$72,000.
5. Macro-Level Resistance Above
Even if BTC pushes up temporarily to the first supply zone around $83,000, heavy resistance and profit-taking likely happen there.
Without macro bullish news, sustained push to $90k+ is questionable in this current technical context.
Alternative Bearish Scenario Path (Disruption Path):
Break below $78,000 confirms sellers in control.
Targets:
First Target: $75,000
Second Target: $72,000-$70,000 (psychological support & previous demand area
Btcusdshort
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
A new week has begun again. Good morning, dear traders. Do you plan to make money or lose less in the market this week? How to do it?
BTCUSD: BTCUSD fell sharply again in the market over the weekend. After the opening of the new week, it hit a low of 80,000 points, a drop of 10k. It is a good profit for those who sell. But it may be uncomfortable for those who do more. Unless you place a low-risk order, you will stop your order or expand your loss if you trade rashly without guidance.
There is no major adjustment on the news side. The stock index futures in the US market fell sharply after the opening. BTCUSD is suspected to follow the trend and fall. The current BTCUSD quote is 82,300. With the arrival of daylight saving time. Some US economic data are one hour ahead of schedule, and the opening of North American stock markets is also the same. Bitcoin rose sharply when Trump listed it as a "strategic reserve currency" last time. The market has been showing a bearish trend, and there is no news impact at present. It is still mainly shorting at high levels. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the support of 79k. The upper side needs to pay close attention to the short-term pressure of 86k.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
Bitcoin Collapses $80K, What’s Next?Its price briefly stabilized around $86K over the weekend before heading south at the start of the business week. It dropped to around $80K, leaving millions in liquidations on a 24-hour basis. Later, bulls stepped in and pushed the valuation to nearly $84K. The resurgence, however, was short-lived and was followed by another free fall to as low as $79,500. As of this writing, BTC is trading around $79,000, representing a 5% drop on the day. Its market cap dropped below $1.6 trillion.
While many industry players are hopeful that this is another temporary pullback that can be replaced by a new bull run, others are not so optimistic. Next up is a re-estimation of $78K for BTCUSD, “if that fails, the next $76300, 75,500 in the crosshairs.” BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSD MORE BUY BREAKING NEWS BTC ALL TIME HIGH 100K SOON1. Overly Aggressive Upside Projection
The projection to 97,450 implies a nearly 19% move up from the current level (81,693) without clear intermediate confirmations. This may overlook key lower resistance areas (such as the previous support at ~86,000–88,000) that could act as barriers before a move to 97,000. A step-by-step approach would be more reasonable.
2. Neglecting Bearish Continuation Risk
The analysis focuses heavily on bullish recovery and seems to ignore the ongoing bearish trend in the last several days. If BTC fails to hold the 80,133 "bullish support area", there could be continuation to the downside toward 78,000 or even 75,000 based on prior breakdown levels. No contingency is shown in case the support fails.
3. Volume Mismatch
Notice the recent volume spikes are seen on down candles, suggesting strong selling interest. There's no confirmation of buying volume accumulation to support such an aggressive reversal. Ignoring this discrepancy can lead to a false sense of bullish momentum.
4. Broad Market Context Missing
The chart does not seem to factor in broader macroeconomic or crypto-specific news. Given the U.S. economy's impact (as suggested by the USD sign and U.S. flag symbols), interest rate decisions, CPI data, or regulatory news can disrupt any bullish narrative.
5. Overconfidence in Single Zone
The "Support bullish area 80.133" is treated as a final reversal point. In reality, markets often fake out below such key zones before reversing (a "stop hunt"). A more realistic analysis would outline alternative supports below 80k and conservative resistance targets.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Counter Analysis)
1. Break below 80,133 triggers continuation toward 78,000 and 75,000.
2. Any bounce toward 84,000 or 86,000 could be rejected if volume does not support it.
3. Resistance between 86,000 and 88,000 should be observed for weakness if reached.
4. Lower highs and lower lows forming suggest continuation down unless broken
The bitcoin will continue decreaseOn the monthly chart it is visible that the turning figure was created. MACD shows divergence, other technical indicators it confirm. I expect decrease the price at least up to 0.5 according to Fibonacci - the purpose for me 62800.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
There are no failed investments, only failed operationsI. Trend analysis
🔹 overall trends:
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has experienced a clear upward trend, peaking at nearly $115,000.
The price has recently fallen below several key support levels and entered a downward trend, with prices testing support in the 80,000-85,000 range.
The short-term trend remains weak, and the market may continue to seek lower support levels.
🔹 moving average system:
The short-term moving average (red, 10th) indicating that the market is still dominated by short-term bears.
The long-term moving average (blue, 60 days) has also started to turn downward, suggesting a weakening of the medium-term trend.
Conclusion: The market is still in a downward trend, and the moving average system shows no obvious signs of stabilization.
Structural analysis (K-line morphology)
📌 head and shoulders may have been completed:
From the high level formed by 93,000 to 115,000, there is a more obvious head and shoulder structure, which is currently falling below the neckline (82,000) and accelerating the decline.
If this pattern holds, the target decline level may test the 77,000-80,000 area.
📌 M head shape:
The previous two highs (around 100,000) formed an M-head and fell below key support, remaining weak in the short term.
📌 support area:
77000 (important support, if broken, the medium-term trend may accelerate to short)
72000~ 75000 (target in extreme cases)
📌 resistance areas:
89000~ 90000 (early neckline, has turned to strong resistance)
93000 (if the market rebounds, it needs to break through this level to reverse the trend)
BTC/USD Ready for a BIG DROP? Next Target: Demand Zone!Bitcoin Showing Weakness – Smart Money Preparing a Move!
BTC/USD is struggling to hold key resistance levels, signaling potential distribution before a larger sell-off. Institutional players have grabbed liquidity, and a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirms bearish momentum.
BTCUSDT - AA PatterN you can't ignore opportunity 1. (BTCUSDT)Bullish Alternative
The analysis assumes a price rejection at resistance, but what if Bitcoin breaks above it?
A breakout above $88,000 with strong volume could invalidate the bearish outlook and push prices toward new highs.
If Bitcoin consolidates near resistance instead of rejecting, it could indicate bullish strength.
2. Fake Breakdown:
Even if Bitcoin drops toward $83,555, it could be a liquidity grab rather than a true breakdown.
Market makers might drive prices below support to trigger stop losses before reversing sharply.
A strong bounce from $83,555 could lead to a rally instead of further downside
3. No Clear Direction – Sideways Market:
The market might not follow the projected downward path and could stay range-bound.
Instead of a drop, Bitcoin could consolidate between $84,000 and $87,000 for a longer period.
This could invalidate both bullish and bearish setups in the short term
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 93000
🏁Sell Entry below 84000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers:
Adoption Trends:
Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish.
Regulatory Environment:
The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure.
Halving Impact:
Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025.
Network Usage:
Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value.
Inflation Hedge Narrative:
With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment.
Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000.
2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟
Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD:
U.S. Economy:
Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets.
Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral.
Global Growth:
China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish.
Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish.
Currency Markets:
USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term.
Commodity Prices:
Oil at 668/BBL
and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risk:
Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish.
Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels.
3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculative Traders:
Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal.
Commercial Hedgers:
Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral.
Open Interest:
45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish.
Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse.
4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity:
Exchange Balances:
2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish.
Transaction Volume:
Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish.
HODLing Behavior:
70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term.
Miner Activity:
Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish.
Realized Price Levels:
Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held.
Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse.
5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Correlations with other markets:
USD Strength:
DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term.
S&P 500:
At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish.
Gold:
At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish.
Bond Yields:
U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish.
Altcoins:
ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish.
Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish.
Analyst Views:
Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed.
Options Market:
Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral.
Fear & Greed Index:
At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift.
Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend.
7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟
Price projections across timeframes:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 84,000 - 88,500
Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally.
Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 80,000 - 92,000
Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns.
Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying.
Long-Term (6-12 Months):
Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000
Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability.
Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000
Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability.
Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data.
Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks.
8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTC/USD Daily Forecast – Sell Setup from Supply Zone🔍 Market Breakdown Analysis:
Bitcoin has broken the key demand zone, indicating potential bearish momentum. As price pulls back, we will be looking for sell opportunities from the supply zone based on institutional order flow.
🎯 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: Supply Zone (Decision Point)
✅ Target 1: Key Structural Level (Decision Point Zone)
✅ Target 2: Extreme Order Block (Deeper Liquidity Grab)
✅ Confluence Factors: BOS (Break of Structure) + Liquidity Sweep
📊 Technical Outlook:
🔹 Market structure shift confirms a bearish bias.
🔹 Price may retest the supply zone before continuing downward.
🔹 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) suggest a high-probability short setup.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use a proper stop-loss and follow your trading plan. Stay disciplined and patient for the best entry.
💬 Drop your thoughts below! Are you bearish or bullish on BTC/USD? 👇🔥
BTCUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade BTCUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
Friends who continue to pay attention will know. After issuing a sell order of 91000-90000 in the early morning, BTCUSD directly fell by more than 7k points, which is profit. This is accuracy. If you follow it, then you will definitely get the same profit. This is the effect of "exclusive signal".
BTCUSD: The United States establishes a Bitcoin war reserve, but will not use taxpayers' money to actively purchase additional Bitcoin. This is the main reason why Bitcoin fell sharply by 7,000 points. However, after hitting the bottom of 84,700, it rebounded quickly. As of now, the market has rebounded to 89,000. In terms of trading, we still need to pay attention to whether the range of 91,000-90,000 can be broken. If not, continue to focus on short selling.
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
BTCUSD: Big news is about to explode the market, short or buy?Dear traders, are you still struggling with how to trade Bitcoin? Buy or sell? See Jack's thoughts.
The news about the inclusion of cryptocurrencies in strategic reserve currencies is about to hit the cryptocurrency market. Relevant news will be released on Saturday. On this basis, there are two results.
Point 1. The market digests the heat in advance, causing the leading cryptocurrency BTCUSD to rise directly
The second situation is that cryptocurrencies rise sharply after the news comes out over the weekend, and rise directly.
If based on the first situation, I think it will explode in the market before and after the New York market,
If based on the second situation. Then there will be a huge rise after the opening of the market over the weekend or after the news is released, similar to last weekend.
So Jack has two ideas in executing transactions:
1. Combined with the short-term top structure on the technical side, it is currently sold based on the double shoulder top near 91,000, waiting for the market to test the support of 88,000 again.
2. After the market opens, continue to buy through the influence of the news, waiting for the news to ferment, and the cryptocurrency to rise sharply after the market heats up.
The above two are views on short-term trading of cryptocurrencies.
The final trading plan should be executed in combination with the real reaction of the market, and remember to set TP/SL when trading. Don't forget to do risk control at any time. Trading is not a one-time thing. It is a long-term thing. I am Jack. Traders who like my views remember to like me. Welcome to leave your ideas. I will discuss with you.
BTCUSD: Go long or short? 1500 points of spaceDear traders. Are you not clear about the BTCUSD transaction? See Jack's thoughts.
BTCUSD: After experiencing one rise and two pullbacks today, it has tested support at 90000 and 88000 respectively. After the first test of support, it rebounded to 91500, and the second test has rebounded to 89000. From the trend, the overall short position is still short. So after this rebound, I think the support of 88000 will continue to be tested in the short term, so rebound shorting is my idea. But now there is about 1500 points of short space. So aggressive traders can choose to go long at the current price. TP90000-91000. Sell after reaching the target range. Thus, high-frequency trading can be achieved and profits can be expanded.
Trading is risky. Reference needs to be cautious. How to trade in the future. Remember to pay attention to more real-time trading plans in the analysis circle. You can also leave me a message. I will answer it in time when I see it.
BTCUSD: How to trade now? Buy or sell?Dear traders, are you not sure about the trading timing of BTCUSD? Don’t know how to trade? Then let’s take a look at Jack’s ideas.
BTCUSD: The Asian market accurately reached my second TP position around 93,000, that is, 92,800, and then there was a sharp correction. But the profit of 3,000 points was seized. The London market continued to fluctuate until the eve of the New York market, maintaining below 90,000. I think this is a good buying point. The expected increase is 3,000-4,500 points. The first point is Trump’s recognition of strategic reserve resources, the second point is the rise in risk aversion, and the third point is the uncertainty of the US dollar data on Friday.
These three points are very strong as support for the decline of Bitcoin. I expect the New York market to continue to expand its gains, and BTCUSD is still in a very good buying opportunity. So if you are looking forward to a trading opportunity, then it is now. Buy BTCUSD and set a take profit of 93000-94500. Set SL88000. If the profit of BTCUSD reaches your expectation, you can close the order at any time.
If you want to continue to follow my ideas. Remember to follow the real-time dynamics in the analysis circle. Friends who like it remember to like and support. Thank you everyone
BTCUSD: Sell or buy?Yesterday, I kept saying to go long on BTCUSD, and those who followed me made huge profits. So is there more room to go long or short today?
BTCUSD: The highest impact of the Asian market is around 92800, which is also very close to the range I mentioned (93000-94500). At present, with Trump's call, the demand for Bitcoin has been improved. As a strategic reserve currency, the short-term upward trend has been finalized, but the position near 92800 has not been stabilized, and the London market has fallen again. Pay attention to whether the small support near 90000 is stable. If it is unstable, take a step back and focus on buying around 88,000.
Buy at a low level
90000 BUY
85000 BUY
TP 92000
TP93000
TP94500
SL 87000
Remember to refer to it when trading. Pay attention to risk control,
BTCUSD: 5k downside is coming.Dear traders, what are your thoughts on BTCUSD trading? Buy or sell? Take a look at my thoughts. I hope it will be helpful to everyone.
The bullish momentum of BTCUSD remains unabated, with only a small fluctuation of 4,000 points today. The current short-term support is at 88,000-86,000. Judging from the trend, BTCUSD will continue to rise, which depends on the early impact of non-agricultural data, so the support below BTCUSD is strong.
Therefore, it is a wise choice to go long on BTCUSD.
For reference only. Mainly follow the real-time trading plan within the analysis circle.
Today btcusd analyisBitcoin Price Trend Analysis (30-Min Chart)
Current Price: 92,005 USD
1. Key Levels & Distances
Resistance Zone: 94,000 USD (+1,995 USD from current price)
Support Zone: 91,500 USD (-505 USD from current price)
Major Support: 90,000 USD (-2,005 USD from current price)
2. Trend Analysis & Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Uptrend)
If the price maintains support above 91,500 USD and breaks 94,000 USD, it could push higher toward 95,000 USD or more.
Confirmation of higher highs and higher lows will strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario (Downtrend)
If the price fails to break 94,000 USD and drops below 91,500 USD, a correction towards 90,000 USD is possible.
Breaking below 90,000 USD could indicate a larger downtrend.
---
3. Trading Strategy Insights
For Buyers (Long Positions):
Look for a breakout above 94,000 USD before entering.
A stop-loss around 91,500 USD.
Target profit at 95,000+ USD.
For Sellers (Short Positions):
If price rejects 94,000 USD, short entries below 91,500 USD could be considered.
Stop-loss near 92,500 USD.
Profit target around 90,000 USD.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell stop below the MA line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors:
Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market.
Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day.
Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation.
Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011).
Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors:
Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset.
Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT.
Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance:
Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives.
Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts.
Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.
Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT.
⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis:
Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish.
Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines.
Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze.
Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias.
⭐On-Chain Analysis
On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior:
Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance.
Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline.
Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act.
Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology:
Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds.
Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines.
Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance.
Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
⭐Positioning
Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market:
Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline.
Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling.
Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend.
Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest.
⭐Next Trend Move
The next likely price movement is based on current data:
Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning.
Key Levels:
Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target.
Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal.
Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization.
Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists.
⭐Other Data
Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT:
Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in.
Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility.
Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition.
Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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