Cryptogrithm's Secret Momentum and Volatility Indicator

12 мая 2022 г.

This indicator is hard-coded for Bitcoin, but you may try it on other asset classes/coins. I have not updated this indicator in over 3 years, but it seems to still work very well for Bitcoin.
This indicator is NOT for beginners and is directed towards intermediate/advanced traders with a sensibility to agree/disagree with what this indicator is signalling (common sense).
This indicator was developed back in 2018 and I has not been maintained since, which is the reason why I am releasing it. (It still works great though! At the time of this writing of May 2022).

How to use:

Terms:
PA (Price Action): Literally the candlestick formations on your chart (and the trend formation). If you don't know how to read and understand price action, I will make a fast-track video/guide on this later (but in the meanwhile, you need to begin by learning Order-Flow Analysis, please google it first before asking).
CG Level (Cryptogrithm Level/Yellow Line): PA level above = bullish, PA level below = bearish

CG Bands (Cryptogrithm Bands): This is similar to how bollingers work, you can use this the same was as bollinger bands. The only difference is that the CG bands are more strict with the upper and lower levels as it uses different calculations to hug the price tighter allowing it to be more reactive to drastic price changes (earlier signals for oversold/overbought).
CG Upper Band (Red Upper Line): Above this upper bound line means overbought.
CG Middle Band (Light Blue Line): If PA trades above this line, the current PA trend is bullish continuing in the uptrend. If PA trades below this line, the current PA trend is bearish continuing in the downtrend. This band should only be used for short-term trends.
CG Lower Band (Green Lower Line): Below this lower bound line means oversold.

What the CG Level (yellow line) tells you:
PA is trading above CG Level = Bullish
PA is trading below CG Level = Bearish
Distance between CG Level and price = Momentum
What this means is that the further away the price is from the CG Level, the greater the momentum of the current PA trend. An increasing gap between the CG Level and PA indicates the price's strength (momentum) towards the current upward/downward trend. Basically when the PA and CG Level diverge, it means that the momentum is increasing in the current trend and when they converge, the current trend is losing momentum and the direction of the PA trend may flip towards the other direction (momentum flip).

PA+CG Level Momentum:
To use the CG Level as a momentum indicator, you need to pay attention to how the price and the CG level are moving away/closer from each other:
PA + CG Level Diverges = Momentum Increasing
PA + CG Level Converges = Momentum Decreasing

Examples (kind of common sense, but just for clarity):
Case 1: Bullish Divergence (Bullish): The PA is ABOVE and trending AWAY above from the CG Level = very bullish, this means that momentum is increasing towards the upside and larger moves will come (increasing gap between the price and CG Level)
Case 2: Bearish Convergence (Bearish): - The PA is ABOVE the CG Level and trending TOWARDS the CG Level = bearish, there is a possibility that the upward trend is ending. Look to start closing off long positions until case 1 (divergence) occurs again.
Case 3: Neutral - The PA is trading on the CG Level (no clear divergence or convergence between the PA and CG Level) = Indicates a back and forth (tug of war) between bears and bulls. Beware of choppy price patterns as the trend is undecisive until either supply/liquidity is dried out and a winner between bull/bear is chosen. This is a no trade zone, but do as you wish.
Case 4: Bearish Divergence (Bearish): The PA is BELOW and trending AWAY BELOW from the CG Level = very bearish, this means that momentum is increasing towards the downside and larger downward moves will come (increasing gap between the price and CG Level).
Case 5: Bullish Convergence (Bullish): - The PA is BELOW the CG Level and trending TOWARDS the CG Level = bullish, there is a possibility that the downward trend is ending and a trend flip is occuring. Look to start closing off short positions until case 4 (divergence) occurs again.

CG Bands + CG Level: You can use the CG bands instead of the PA candles to get a cleaner interpretation of reading the momentum. I won't go into detail as this is pretty self-explanatory. It is the same explanation as PA+CG Level Momentum, but you are replacing the PA candles with the CG Bands for interpretation. So instead of the PA converging/diverging from the CG Level, the Upper and Lower Bound levels are converging/diverging from the CG level instead.

Convergence: CG Level (yellow line) trades inside the CG bands
Divergence: CG Level (yellow line) trades outside the CG bands

Bullish/Bearish depends on whether the CG Band is trading below or above the CG level. If CG Band is above the CG Level, this is bullish. If CG Band is below the CG level, this is bearish.

Crosses (PA or CG Band crosses with CG level): This typically indicates volatility is incoming.

There are MANY MANY MANY other ways to use this indicator that is not explained here and even other undiscovered methods. Use some common sense as to how this indicator works (it is a momentum indicator and volatility predictor). You can get pretty creative and apply your own methods / knowledge to it and look for patterns that occur. Feel free to comment and share what you came up with!