Mean Reversion Indictor, Based on Standard Deviations

28 сент.

Description:
The Reversal Candle Mean Reversion Indicator is designed for traders seeking to identify potential reversal points in the market based on key price action and volatility. This indicator combines price action analysis (sweeping prior highs or lows) with mean reversion theory, highlighting opportunities where the price tests or touches a moving average's standard deviation bands.

By focusing on these moments of price extremes, the indicator helps traders spot bullish and bearish reversal signals when the price retraces from volatile movements. These conditions often signal a return to the mean—an ideal setup for reversal traders who thrive on fading exaggerated price moves.

How It Works:
1. Price Action Reversal Signal:
* Bullish Reversal: The indicator flags a bullish signal when the current candle's low sweeps the prior candle's low, and the candle closes higher than the prior candle's close.
* Bearish Reversal: The indicator flags a bearish signal when the current candle's high sweeps the prior candle's high, and the candle closes lower than the prior candle's close.
2. Mean Reversion Confirmation:
* Mean Reversion Signal is triggered when the price touches or tests the upper or lower bands, calculated using a user-selected moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or Hull MA) and standard deviation.
* The indicator combines price action and volatility, providing stronger reversal signals when the price reaches an extreme distance from the moving average.
3. Customization Options:
* Moving Average Type: Choose from SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or Hull MA.
* Moving Average Length: Adjust the length of the moving average (default: 20).
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: Set the number of standard deviations for the volatility bands (default: 2.0).
* Custom Candle Colors: Choose custom colors for bullish and bearish reversal candles to easily spot signals.

How to Use for Trading Reversals:
1. Identify Extremes:
* Watch for candles where the price tests or touches the standard deviation bands. These are key moments when the price has moved significantly from the moving average, indicating a potential overbought or oversold condition.
2. Look for Reversals:
* When the price tests a band and simultaneously forms a bullish reversal pattern (sweeping the prior low and closing higher), it signals a potential mean reversion to the upside.
* When the price tests a band and forms a bearish reversal pattern (sweeping the prior high and closing lower), it signals a potential mean reversion to the downside.
3. Entry Points:
* Long Trades: Enter a long trade after a bullish signal appears (green candle) near the lower band, indicating a likely price reversal back towards the mean.
* Short Trades: Enter a short trade after a bearish signal appears (red candle) near the upper band, indicating a likely price pullback.
4. Exit Strategy:
* Set a profit target at the moving average (the mean) or a specific price level based on your strategy.
* Consider using a trailing stop to capture additional profit in case of a stronger reversal beyond the mean.
5. Risk Management:
* Place stops just below the low of the bullish reversal candle or just above the high of the bearish reversal candle to manage risk efficiently.