### Strategy Explanation for Candle Probability Indicator
This script is designed to calculate the **probability of bullish (green) and bearish (red) candles** over a given analysis period. It leverages three key moving averages to identify market trends and display these probabilities directly on the chart, making it easier for traders to make informed decisions.
#### **How the Script Works:** 1. **Trend Detection Using Moving Averages:** - The script calculates three moving averages: - **EMA (Exponential Moving Average) over 7 periods** - **SMA (Simple Moving Average) over 20 periods** - **SMA over 200 periods**
The trend is classified as: - **Bullish:** When EMA 7 > SMA 20 > SMA 200 - **Bearish:** When EMA 7 < SMA 20 < SMA 200
2. **Candle Analysis:** The script analyzes the last "n" candles (based on the user-defined lookback period) to count the number of bullish and bearish candles: - **Bullish (green) candle:** The closing price is higher than the opening price. - **Bearish (red) candle:** The closing price is lower than the opening price.
3. **Probability Calculation:** The probabilities are calculated as a percentage of bullish and bearish candles in the lookback period: - **Green Probability (%) = (Number of Green Candles / Lookback Period) × 100** - **Red Probability (%) = (Number of Red Candles / Lookback Period) × 100**
4. **Displaying Results in a Table:** The results are displayed in a table on the chart, including: - **Green Probability (%)** - **Red Probability (%)** - **Current Trend (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral)**
#### **Strategy Overview:** This indicator provides traders with a quick overview of the candle probabilities and the current market trend based on moving averages. It helps traders: - Gauge the likelihood of bullish or bearish candles appearing in the near future. - Identify the prevailing trend (bullish, bearish, or neutral). - Adjust their trading strategies based on statistical probabilities rather than assumptions.
### **Important Notes:** - The lookback period can be customized between **10 and 200 periods**. - The indicator does not provide buy/sell signals but gives insights into market behavior.
By understanding the candle probabilities and the trend, traders can better assess market conditions and improve their decision-making process.
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