Strategy Myth-Busting #9 - HullSuite+LSMA - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 9th one is an automated version of the "I Tested The Best 1 Minute Scalping Strategy That Will Blow Your Mind 100 Times" strategy from "Profit Now" who claims to have achieved 36.7% profit scalping XRPUSDT on the 1 minute timeframe in only 15 days. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything remotely close to that that claim on any timeframe or symbol. Myth 10000% busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators: Hull Suite by InSilico and Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a faster version of the traditional moving average and is designed to reduce lag and improve the responsiveness of the average to price changes. In this strategy the HMA is used as a trend-following indicator, When the HMA is rising it is indicative of an upwards trend and when its falling its indicative of a downtrend.
The Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) used in this strategy is similar to the HMA in that it is designed to reduce lag and improve the responsiveness of the average to price changes. In this strategy the LSMA is used to also not only identify trends but also confirm signals, it also is used to identify possible changes in the trend and market conditions.
When we use these together, the Hull Suite and LSMA indicators provide a complimentary confirmation of trend direction and trend swings. The Hull Suite helps to identify and confirm trends, while the LSMA aids to confirm signals and identify potential changes in market conditions.
The way this strategy is designed is when the Hull Suite HMA is trending up and the LSMA crosses above the HMA, we enter a long condition. When the Hull Suite is trending down and the LSMA crosses below the HMA we take a short position. Because of the low latency of these two indicators this strategy can be used on lower time frames down to 1 minute. On high volatility crypto on the lowest time frames, a 1:4 Risk Ratio should be used. A lower less risk ratio should be used on less volatile archetypes of securities.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me
Busting
Strategy Myth-Busting #7 - MACDBB+SSL+VSF - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our seventh one we are automating is the "Magic MACD Indicator: Crazy Accurate Scalping Trading Strategy ( 74% Win Rate )" strategy from "TradeIQ" who claims to have backtested this manually and achieved 427% profit with a 74% winrate over 100 trades in just a 4 months. I was unable to emulate these results consistently accommodating for slippage and commission but even so the results and especially the high win-rate and low markdown is pretty impressive and quite respectable.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
AK MACD BB v 1.00 by Algokid
SSL Hybrid by Mihkel00
Volume Strength Finder by Saravanan_Ragavan
This is considered a trend following Strategy. AK MACD BB is being used as the primary short term trend direction indicator with an interesting approach of using Bollinger Bands to define an upper and lower range and upon the MACD going above the upper Bollinger Bands, it's indicative of an up trend, where as if the MACD is below the lower Bollinger Band, it's indicative of a down trend. To eliminate false signals, SSL Hyrbid is used as a trend confirmation filter, confirming and eliminating false signals from the MACD BB. It does this by validating the price action is above the the EMA and the SSL is positive that is a confirmation of an uptrend. When the price action is below the EMA and the SSL is negative, that is an confirmation of a downtrend. To avoid taking trades during ranged markets, VSF Buyer's Strength is used so the buyers/sellers strength and must be above 50% or the trade will not be inititiated.
Trading Rules
5 min candles but other lower time frames even below 5m work quite well too.
Best results can be found by tweaking these 2 input parameters:
Number Of bars to look back to ensure MACD isn't above/below Zero Line
Number Of bars back to look for SSL pullback
Long Entry when these conditions are true
AK MACD BB BB issues a new continuation long signal. A new green circle must appear on the indicator and these circles should not be touching across the zero level while they were previously red
SSL Hybrid price action closes above the EMA and the line is blue color and then creates a pullback . The pullback is confirmed when the color changes from blue to gray or from blue to red.
VSF Buyers strength above 50% at the time the MACD indicator issues a new long signal.
Short Entry when these conditions are true
AK MACD BB issues a new continuation short signal. A new red circle must appear on the indicator and these circles should not be touching across the zero level while they were previously green
SSL Hybrid price action closes below the EMA and the line is red color then it has to create a pullback . The pullback is confirmed when the color changes from red to gray or from red to blue.
VSF Sellers strength above 50% at the time the MACD indicator issues a new short signal.
Stop Loss at EMA Line with TP Target 1.5x the risk
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Strategy Myth-Busting #20 - HalfTrend+HullButterfly - [MYN]#20 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the " I Found Super Easy 1 Minute Scalping System And Backtest It 100 Times " strategy from " Jessy Trading " who claims 30.58% net profit over 100 trades in a couple of weeks with a 51% win rate and profit factor of 1.56 on EURUSD .
This one surprised us quite a bit. Despite the title of this strategy indicating this is on the 1 min timeframe, the author demonstrates the backtesting manually on the 5 minute timeframe. Given the simplicity of this strategy only incorporating a couple of indicators, it's robustness being able to be profitable in both low and high timeframes and on multiple symbols was quite refreshing.
The 3 settings which we need to pay most attention to here is the Hull Butterfly length, HalfTrend amplitude and the Max Number Of Bars Between Hull and HalfTrend Trigger. Depending on the timeframe and symbol, these settings greatly impact the performance outcomes of the strategy. I've listed a couple of these below.
And as always, If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Hull Butterfly Oscillator by LuxAlgo
HalfTrend by Everget
Trading Rules
5 min candles but higher / lower candles work too.
Stop loss at swing high/low
Take Profit 1.5x the risk
Long
Hull Butterfly gives us green column, Wait for HalfTrend to present an up arrow and enter trade.
Short
Hull Butterfly gives us a red column , Wait for HalfTrend to present a down arrow and enter trade.
Alternative Trading Settings for different time frames
1 Minute Timeframe
Move the Hull Butterfly length from the default 11 to 9
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Enabling ADX Filter with a 25 threshold
2 Hour Timeframe
Move the HalfTrend Amplitude from the default 2 to 1
Laddered Take Profits from 14.5% to 19% with an 8% SL
Strategy Myth-Busting #10 - InsideBar+EMA - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 10th one we are automating is the " 75% Win Rate High Profit Inside Bar Trading Strategy - What If You ... " strategy from " Trade Pro " who claims to have backtested this manually and achieved 11,063% profit with a 75% winrate over 100 trades. I was unable to emulate these results consistently accommodating for slippage and commission but even so, the results look promising. I was only able to achieve this win-rate with some multiple take profit staggering. Even so the markdown is above where I would normally consider comfortable (>20%).
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
Inside Bar Ind/Alert by CMA
EMA (built-in)
Trading Rules
4 hour candles
Stop Loss at EMA Line with TP Target 1.5x the risk
Long Entry when these conditions are true
inside bar and bullish
Bar close's above 50 ema
Price action rises above high of inside bar .
Short Entry when these conditions are true
inside bar and bearish
Bar close below 50 ema
Price action falls below low of inside bar
Strategy Myth-Busting #8 - TrendSurfers+TrendOsc - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 8th one is an automated version of the " 653% Gain Magical 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Tested 100 Times | Become Consistently Huge Profit " strategy from " Fxaccurate US " who claims to have achieved 653% profit scalping GOLD on the 5 minute timeframe. As you can see from the backtest results below, I was unable to substantiate anything close to that that claim on any timeframe or symbol. Myth 10000% busted.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
Trend Surfers - Premium Breakout + Alerts by TrendSurfersSignals
Mawreez' Trend Oscillator Indicator by Mawreez
Trading Rules:
1 min - 15 min candles
Stop loss middle between high and low Risk 1:2
Long Condition
Trend Surfers Trailing stop line goes below (Crosses) lowest low
Bullish Candle (red)
Mawreeze Trend Oscilator Indicator is green
Short Condition
Trend Surfers Trailing stop line goes above (Crosses) highest high
Bearish Candle (red)
Mawreeze Trend Oscilator Indicator is red
Strategy Myth-Busting #6 - PSAR+MA+SQZMOM+HVI - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our sixth one we are automating is " I Tested ''7% Profit Per Day" Scalping Strategy 100 Times ( Unexpected Results ) " from " TradeIQ " which claims to have made 175% profit on the 5 min chart of BTCUSD with a having a 61% win rate in just 32 days.
Originally, we mimicked verbatim the indicators and settings TradeIQ was using however weren't getting promising results anything close to the claim so we decided to try and improve on it. We changed the static Parabolic SAR to be adaptive based upon the timeframe. We did this by using an adjustable multiplier for the PSAR Max. Also, In TradeIQ's revised version he substituted Hawkeye's Volume Indicator in lieu of Squeeze Momentum. We found that including both indicators we were getting better results so included them both. Feel free to experiment more. Would love to see how this could be improved on.
This strategy uses a combination of 4 open-source public indicators:
Parabolic Sar (built in)
10 in 1 MA's by hiimannshu
Squeeze Momentum by lazybear
HawkEYE Volume Indicator by lazybear
Trading Rules
5m timeframe and above. We saw equally good results in the higher (3h - 4h) timeframes as well.
Long Entry:
Parabolic Sar shifts below price at last dot above and then previous bar needs to breach above that.
Price action has to be below both MA's and 50MA needs to be above 200MA
Squeeze Momentum needsd to be in green or close to going green
HawkEYE Volume Indicator needs to be show a green bar on the histagram
Short Entry:
Parabolic Sar shifts above price at last dot below and then previous bar needs to breach below that.
Price action needs to be above both MA's and 50MA needs to be below 200MA
Squeeze Momentum needsd to be in red or close to going red
HawkEYE Volume Indicator needs to be show a red bar on the histagram
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
