ICT Donchian Smart Money Structure (Expo)█ Concept Overview
The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology is focused on understanding the actions and implications of the so-called "smart money" - large institutions and professional traders who often influence market movements. Key to this is the concept of market structure and how it can provide insights into potential price moves.
Over time, however, there has been a notable shift in how some traders interpret and apply this methodology. Initially, it was designed with a focus on the fractal nature of markets. Fractals are recurring patterns in price action that are self-similar across different time scales, providing a nuanced and dynamic understanding of market structure.
However, as the ICT methodology has grown in popularity, there has been a drift away from this fractal-based perspective. Instead, many traders have started to focus more on pivot points as their primary tool for understanding market structure.
Pivot points provide static levels of potential support and resistance. While they can be useful in some contexts, relying heavily on them could provide a skewed perspective of market structure. They offer a static, backward-looking view that may not accurately reflect real-time changes in market sentiment or the dynamic nature of markets.
This shift from a fractal-based perspective to a pivot point perspective has significant implications. It can lead traders to misinterpret market structure and potentially make incorrect trading decisions.
To highlight this issue, you've developed a Donchian Structure indicator that mirrors the use of pivot points. The Donchian Channels are formed by the highest high and the lowest low over a certain period, providing another representation of potential market extremes. The fact that the Donchian Structure indicator produces the same results as pivot points underscores the inherent limitations of relying too heavily on these tools.
While the Donchian Structure indicator or pivot points can be useful tools, they should not replace the original, fractal-based perspective of the ICT methodology. These tools can provide a broad overview of market structure but may not capture the intricate dynamics and real-time changes that a fractal-based approach can offer.
It's essential for traders to understand these differences and to apply these tools correctly within the broader context of the ICT methodology and the Smart Money Concept Structure. A well-rounded approach that incorporates fractals, along with other tools and forms of analysis, is likely to provide a more accurate and comprehensive understanding of market structure.
█ Smart Money Concept - Misunderstandings
The Smart Money Concept is a popular concept among traders, and it's based on the idea that the "smart money" - typically large institutional investors, market makers, and professional traders - have superior knowledge or information, and their actions can provide valuable insight for other traders.
One of the biggest misunderstandings with this concept is the belief that tracking smart money activity can guarantee profitable trading.
█ Here are a few common misconceptions:
Following Smart Money Equals Guaranteed Success: Many traders believe that if they can follow the smart money, they will be successful. However, tracking the activity of large institutional investors and other professionals isn't easy, as they use complex strategies, have access to information not available to the public, and often intentionally hide their moves to prevent others from detecting their strategies.
Instantaneous Reaction and Results: Another misconception is that market movements will reflect smart money actions immediately. However, large institutions often slowly accumulate or distribute positions over time to avoid moving the market drastically. As a result, their actions might not produce an immediate noticeable effect on the market.
Smart Money Always Wins: It's not accurate to assume that smart money always makes the right decisions. Even the most experienced institutional investors and professional traders make mistakes, misjudge market conditions, or are affected by unpredictable events.
Smart Money Activity is Transparent: Understanding what constitutes smart money activity can be quite challenging. There are many indicators and metrics that traders use to try and track smart money, such as the COT (Commitments of Traders) reports, Level II market data, block trades, etc. However, these can be difficult to interpret correctly and are often misleading.
Assuming Uniformity Among Smart Money: 'Smart Money' is not a monolithic entity. Different institutional investors and professional traders have different strategies, risk tolerances, and investment horizons. What might be a good trade for a long-term institutional investor might not be a good trade for a short-term professional trader, and vice versa.
█ Market Structure
The Smart Money Concept Structure deals with the interpretation of price action that forms the market structure, focusing on understanding key shifts or changes in the market that may indicate where 'smart money' (large institutional investors and professional traders) might be moving in the market.
█ Three common concepts in this regard are Change of Character (CHoCH), and Shift in Market Structure (SMS), Break of Structure (BMS/BoS).
Change of Character (CHoCH): This refers to a noticeable change in the behavior of price movement, which could suggest that a shift in the market might be about to occur. This might be signaled by a sudden increase in volatility, a break of a trendline, or a change in volume, among other things.
Shift in Market Structure (SMS): This is when the overall structure of the market changes, suggesting a potential new trend. It usually involves a sequence of lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend, or higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend.
Break of Structure (BMS/BoS): This is when a previously defined trend or pattern in the price structure is broken, which may suggest a trend continuation.
A key component of this approach is the use of fractals, which are repeating patterns in price action that can give insights into potential market reversals. They appear at all scales of a price chart, reflecting the self-similar nature of markets.
█ Market Structure - Misunderstandings
One of the biggest misunderstandings about the ICT approach is the over-reliance or incorrect application of pivot points. Pivot points are a popular tool among traders due to their simplicity and easy-to-understand nature. However, when it comes to the Smart Money Concept and trying to follow the steps of professional traders or large institutions, relying heavily on pivot points can create misconceptions and lead to confusion. Here's why:
Delayed and Static Information: Pivot points are inherently backward-looking because they're calculated based on the previous period's data. As such, they may not reflect real-time market dynamics or sudden changes in market sentiment. Furthermore, they present a static view of market structure, delineating pre-defined levels of support and resistance. This static nature can be misleading because markets are fundamentally dynamic and constantly changing due to countless variables.
Inadequate Representation of Market Complexity: Markets are influenced by a myriad of factors, including economic indicators, geopolitical events, institutional actions, and market sentiment, among others. Relying on pivot points alone for reading market structure oversimplifies this complexity and can lead to a myopic understanding of market dynamics.
False Signals and Misinterpretations: Pivot points can often give false signals, especially in volatile markets. Prices might react to these levels temporarily but then continue in the original direction, leading to potential misinterpretation of market structure and sentiment. Also, a trader might wrongly perceive a break of a pivot point as a significant market event, when in fact, it could be due to random price fluctuations or temporary volatility.
Over-simplification: Viewing market structure only through the lens of pivot points simplifies the market to static levels of support and resistance, which can lead to misinterpretation of market dynamics. For instance, a trader might view a break of a pivot point as a definite sign of a trend, when it could just be a temporary price spike.
Ignoring the Fractal Nature of Markets: In the context of the Smart Money Concept Structure, understanding the fractal nature of markets is crucial. Fractals are self-similar patterns that repeat at all scales and provide a more dynamic and nuanced understanding of market structure. They can help traders identify shifts in market sentiment or direction in real-time, providing more relevant and timely information compared to pivot points.
The key takeaway here is not that pivot points should be entirely avoided or that they're useless. They can provide valuable insights and serve as a useful tool in a trader's toolbox when used correctly. However, they should not be the sole or primary method for understanding the market structure, especially in the context of the Smart Money Concept Structure.
█ Fractals
Instead, traders should aim for a comprehensive understanding of markets that incorporates a range of tools and concepts, including but not limited to fractals, order flow, volume analysis, fundamental analysis, and, yes, even pivot points. Fractals offer a more dynamic and nuanced view of the market. They reflect the recursive nature of markets and can provide valuable insights into potential market reversals. Because they appear at all scales of a price chart, they can provide a more holistic and real-time understanding of market structure.
In contrast, the Smart Money Concept Structure, focusing on fractals and comprehensive market analysis, aims to capture a more holistic and real-time view of the market. Fractals, being self-similar patterns that repeat at different scales, offer a dynamic understanding of market structure. As a result, they can help to identify shifts in market sentiment or direction as they happen, providing a more detailed and timely perspective.
Furthermore, a comprehensive market analysis would consider a broader set of factors, including order flow, volume analysis, and fundamental analysis, which could provide additional insights into 'smart money' actions.
█ Donchian Structure
Donchian Channels are a type of indicator used in technical analysis to identify potential price breakouts and trends, and they may also serve as a tool for understanding market structure. The channels are formed by taking the highest high and the lowest low over a certain number of periods, creating an envelope of price action.
Donchian Channels (or pivot points) can be useful tools for providing a general view of market structure, and they may not capture the intricate dynamics associated with the Smart Money Concept Structure. A more nuanced approach, centered on real-time fractals and a comprehensive analysis of various market factors, offers a more accurate understanding of 'smart money' actions and market structure.
█ Here is why Donchian Structure may be misleading:
Lack of Nuance: Donchian Channels, like pivot points, provide a simplified view of market structure. They don't take into account the nuanced behaviors of price action or the complex dynamics between buyers and sellers that can be critical in the Smart Money Concept Structure.
Limited Insights into 'Smart Money' Actions: While Donchian Channels can highlight potential breakout points and trends, they don't necessarily provide insights into the actions of 'smart money'. These large institutional traders often use sophisticated strategies that can't be easily inferred from price action alone.
█ Indicator Overview
We have built this Donchian Structure indicator to show that it returns the same results as using pivot points. The Donchian Structure indicator can be a useful tool for market analysis. However, it should not be seen as a direct replacement or equivalent to the original Smart Money concept, nor should any indicator based on pivot points. The indicator highlights the importance of understanding what kind of trading tools we use and how they can affect our decisions.
The Donchian Structure Indicator displays CHoCH, SMS, BoS/BMS, as well as premium and discount areas. This indicator plots everything in real-time and allows for easy backtesting on any market and timeframe. A unique candle coloring has been added to make it more engaging and visually appealing when identifying new trading setups and strategies. This candle coloring is "leading," meaning it can signal a structural change before it actually happens, giving traders ample time to plan their next trade accordingly.
█ How to use
The indicator is great for traders who want to simplify their view on the market structure and easily backtest Smart Money Concept Strategies. The added candle coloring function serves as a heads-up for structure change or can be used as trend confirmation. This new candle coloring feature can generate many new Smart Money Concepts strategies.
█ Features
Market Structure
The market structure is based on the Donchian channel, to which we have added what we call 'Structure Response'. This addition makes the indicator more useful, especially in trending markets. The core concept involves traders buying at a discount and selling or shorting at a premium, depending on the order flow. Structure response enables traders to determine the order flow more clearly. Consequently, more trading opportunities will appear in trending markets.
Structure Candles
Structure Candles highlight the current order flow and are significantly more responsive to structural changes. They can provide traders with a heads-up before a break in structure occurs
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Ict
Multi-Timeframe FVG [TFO]The goal of this indicator is to find Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that overlap on multiple timeframes. FVGs are already meant to be “sensitive” areas where one might expect price to react from, therefore FVGs that overlap on multiple timeframes could provide even more confluence that there may be a reaction in said area (with proper context).
Mitigation Type allows users to select how FVGs should be mitigated, either by wick or by completely closing through the area.
The displacement option helps to filter out smaller FVGs by looking for areas where price ran rather quickly (causing displacement). This is done by comparing the candle that made the FVG to a fractional ATR value, so that one may fine-tune how much “larger” the candle range needs to be, relative to recent price action.
The timeframe alignment option allows users to select how many timeframes must be converging in order to draw FVGs. For instance, with all timeframes selected, a timeframe alignment value of 2 would require that there be overlapping FVGs on 2 or more timeframes. A value of 3 would require that there be overlapping FVGs on all 3 timeframes in order for them to be drawn.
ICT Commitment of Traders° by toodegreesDescription:
The Commitment of Traders (COT) is a valuable raw data report released weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report offers insights into the current long and short positions of three key market entities:
Commercial Traders ( usually represented in red )
Large Traders ( typically depicted in green )
Small Speculator Traders ( commonly shown in blue )
The concept of utilizing the COT data as a strategic trading tool was first introduced by Larry Williams, who emphasized the importance of monitoring Commercial Speculators – large corporate producers or consumers of commodities.
The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) prompts us to delve deeper into this data. While we can easily determine their Net Position (also referred to as the Main Program) by subtracting Commercial Short Positions from the Commercial Long Positions, this calculation doesn't reveal their ongoing Hedge Program .
Merely following the Main Program won't provide a trading edge. Aligning with the Hedge Program can be an invaluable weapon in your trading arsenal.
The Commercial Speculators' Hedge Program can be unveiled by examining the highest and lowest reading of their Net Position over a chosen time period and setting a new "zero line" between these extremes. This process generates a novel "COT Graph" providing a detailed understanding of the Commercial Speculators' current market activity.
When the Hedge Program, Seasonality, and Open Interest are cross-referenced with Institutional Orderflow, a trader can construct a very clear medium-to-long-term market narrative.
Features:
Access COT Data for the Commercial Speculators via Tradingview's reliable data source
Automate calculations and display the 3-month, 6-month, 12-month, 2-year, and 3-year Hedge Program
Define your own Custom Time Range for the Hedge Program
Display the Main Program and all Hedge Programs in an easy-to-understand table format
Additionally, by following the included instructions, you can augment your table with COT data from multiple markets. This extra information can help monitor correlated markets and develop a more robust market narrative:
Strength Comparison @joshuuuexample:
if you want to find the stronger/weaker pair between eurusd and gbpusd, what you can do is check the eurgbp charts. if eurgbp is bullish, that means, that longs longs on eurusd are better than on gbpusd.
Unfortunately, there is no such thing to compare for example usoil with ukoil, or us100 with us500.
That's where this indicator comes in handy. You can choose whatever two symbols you want, that are supported by tradingview and you will get a chart, which shows symbol1/symbol2.
Now you can use normal market structure, or the ema option, to find out the stronger symbol.
This can also help predicting the so called SMT Divergences, taught by ICT.
⚠️ Open Source ⚠️
Coders and TV users are authorized to copy this code base, but a paid distribution is prohibited. A mention to the original author is expected, and appreciated.
⚠️ Terms and Conditions ⚠️
This financial tool is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Users assume responsibility for decisions made based on the tool's information. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. By using this tool, users agree to these terms.
OverNightSession @joshuuuThis indicator highlights the Overnightsession (ONS), taught by TheCurrenyMerchant.
The Overnightsession is from 4-8 am UTC-5. This session can be used to form trades, e.g. after one side has been taken out.
It has the options to display Projection and the equilibrium level. Equilibrium level (50%) can be used to identify if price is currently in premium/discount of the range and the projections (standard deviations of the range) can be used to identify possible targets.
A classic setup he teaches is:
Price trades agressively out of the range taking liquidity. As soon as we trade above the high of the candle that took liquidity, that candle can be considered an orderblock, where the 50% level can be used for long setups.
⚠️ Open Source ⚠️
Coders and TV users are authorized to copy this code base, but a paid distribution is prohibited. A mention to the original author is expected, and appreciated.
⚠️ Terms and Conditions ⚠️
This financial tool is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Users assume responsibility for decisions made based on the tool's information. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. By using this tool, users agree to these terms.
ICT Macros [LuxAlgo]The ICT Macros indicator aims to highlight & classify ICT Macros, which are time intervals where algorithmic trading takes place to interact with existing liquidity or to create new liquidity.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Macros
Macro Time options (such as '09:50 AM 10:10'): Enable specific macro display.
Top Line , Mid Line , Bottom Line and Extending Lines options: Controls the lines for the specific macro.
🔹 Macro Classification
Length : A length to detect Market Structure Brakes and classify macro type based on detection.
Swing Area : Swing or Liquidity Area selection, highest/lowest of the wick or the candle bodies.
Accumulation , Manipulation and Expansion color options for the classified macros.
🔹 Others
Macro Texts : Controls both the size and the visibility of the macro text.
Alert Macro Times in Advance (Minutes) : This option will plot a vertical line presenting the start of the next macro time. The line will not appear all the time, but it will be there based on remaining minutes specified in the option.
Daylight Saving Time (DST) : Adjust time appropriate to Daylight Saving Time of the specific region.
🔶 USAGE
A macro is a way to automate a task or procedure which you perform on a regular basis.
In the context of ICT's teachings, a macro is a small program or set of instructions that unfolds within an algorithm, which influences price movements in the market. These macros operate at specific times and can be related to price runs from one level to another or certain market behaviors during specific time intervals. They help traders anticipate market movements and potential setups during specific time intervals.
To trade these effectively, it is important to understand the time of day when certain macros come into play, and it is strongly advised to introduce the concept of liquidity in your analysis.
Macros can be classified into three categories where the Macro classification is calculated based on the Market Structure prior to macro and the Market Structure during the macro duration:
Manipulation Macro
Manipulation macros are characterized by liquidity being swept both on the buyside and sellside.
Expansion Macro
Expansion macros are characterized by liquidity being swept only on the buyside or sellside. Prices within these macros are highly correlated with the overall trend.
Accumulation Macro
Accumulation macros are characterized by an accumulation of liquidity. Prices within these macros tend to range.
The script returns the maximum/minimum price values reached during the macro interval alongside the average between the maximum/minimum and extends them until a new macro starts. These levels can act as supports and resistances.
🔶 DETAILS
All required data for the macro detection and classification is retrieved using 1 minute data sets, this includes candles as well as pivot/swing highs and lows. This approach guarantees the visually presented objects are same (same highs/lows) on higher timeframes as well as the macro classification remain same as it is in 1 min charts.
8 Macros can be displayed by the script (4 are enabled by default):
02:33 AM 03:00 London Macro
04:03 AM 04:30 London Macro
08:50 AM 09:10 New York Macro
09:50 AM 10:10 New York Macro
10:50 AM 11:10 New York Macro
11:50 AM 12:10 New York Launch Macro
13:10 PM 13:40 New York Macro
15:15 PM 15:45 New York Macro
🔶 ALERTS
When an alert is configured, the user will have the ability to be notified in advance of the next Macro time, where the value specified in 'Alert Macro Times in Advance (Minutes)' option indicates how early to be notified.
🔶 LIMITATIONS
The script is supported on 1 min, 3 mins and 5 mins charts.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
ICT Time Windows by Scuba SteveJust an easy to use time based indicator that allows you to track ICT London Open Killzone, New York Open killzone, AM session Silver Bullet time window & PM Session Silver Bullet Time Window, and last but not least the Last Hour of trading which often has nice moves.
Seasonality [TFO]This Seasonality indicator is meant to provide insight into an asset's average performance over specified periods of time (Daily, Monthly, and Quarterly). It is based on a 252 trading day calendar, not a 365 day calendar. Therefore, some estimations are used in order to aggregate the Daily data into higher timeframes, as we assume every Month to be 21 trading days, and every Quarter to be 63 trading days. Instead of collecting data on the 1st day of a given month, we are actually treating it as the "nth" trading day of the year. Some years exceed 252 trading days, some fall short; however 252 is the average that we are working with for US stocks and indices. Results may vary for non-US markets.
Main features:
- Statistics Table
- Performance Analysis
- Seasonal Pivots
The Statistics Table provides a summarized view of the current seasonality: whether the average Day/Month/Quarter tends to be bullish or bearish, what the average percent change is, and what the current (actual) change is relative to the historical value. It is shown in the top right of this chart.
The Performance Analysis shows a histogram of the average percentage performance for the selected timeframe. Here we have options for Daily, Monthly, and Quarterly. The previous chart showed the Monthly timeframe, here we have the Daily and Quarterly.
Lastly, Seasonal Pivots show where highs and lows tend to be created throughout the year, based on an aggregation of the Daily performance data collected over the available years. If we anchor our data to the beginning of the current year, and then manually offset it by ~252 (depending on the year), we can line this data up with the previous years' data and observe how well these Seasonal Pivots lined up with major Daily highs and lows.
Styling options are available for every major component of this indicator. Please consider sharing if you find it useful!
ICT SessionsThis script plots the timewindows of the ICT killzones (for forex) and trading session + makros below the chart. Individual components can be switched of to your liking
ICT MakrosThis script highlights the ICT trading makros and silverbullet timewindows with different background colors on your chart. The drawings are only visible on the timeframe 1min - 5min because they become useless above and i didnt code the logic for below 1min
ICT Session Opening FVG / Silver Bullet [MK]Students of ICT concepts will know that the first FVG found within particular session periods can identify an important price level for intraday traders.
"Find the first FVG at the start of the session and drag a box from it to the right"....ICT
The script finds the first FVG (either bull or bear) within the following periods:
London Killzone (0200 - 0500) EST
02:00 - 0259
03:00 - 0359
0400 - 0459
Dead Zone (05-00 - 0600) EST
05-00 - 0559
0600 - 0659
NY AM Killzone (0700 - 1100) EST
0700 - 0759
0830 - 0929
0929 - 0959
1000 - 1100 (Silver Bullet)
A chart higher timeframe can be chosen to detect the FVGs and they will be displayed on lower timeframe. Default is 5min for detection. I like to then following price reacting to 5mi FVGs on a 1 min chart.
FVG boxes can be extended to the end of the session, or to any time within the current days trading hours. Colors/Labels/ Session Periods can all be edited. A maximum timeframe for display is available and
timezone can be adjusted.
FVGs are only shown for the current days trading hours.
FVG Sessions [LuxAlgo]The FVG Sessions indicator highlights the first fair value gap of the trading session as well as the session range. Detected fair value gaps extend to the end of the trading session.
Alerts are included on the formation of a session fair value gap, price being within a session fair value gap, mitigations, and price crossing session fair value gaps average.
🔶 USAGE
Trader ICT states that the first fair value gap of the trading session can attract the most significant reaction. Having only one FVG per session allows users to further focus on that precise imbalance as well as external elements.
The mitigation of a fair value gap is clearly indicated on the chart with a more transparent color allowing users to see inverse FVGs.
Extending the fair value gaps allows the imbalance area to provide potential support and resistance.
Do note that this script should be used on intraday charts.
🔶 ALERTS
The script includes the following alerts:
🔹 Bullish/Bearish FVG
Alerts on the formation of the first bullish or bearish FVG of the session.
🔹 Bullish/Bearish FVG Mitigation
Alerts when the first bullish or bearish FVG of the session is mitigated.
🔹 Price Within FVG
Alerts when price is within the first bullish or bearish FVG area of the session.
🔹 Price Cross FVG Average
Alerts when price cross the average level of the first bullish or bearish FVG of the session.
ADR/AWR/AMR Average Daily+Weekly+Monthly Range[Traders Reality]Advanced ADR/AWR/AMR indicator created for Traders Reality community, as well as the greater trading community.
Thanks to the TR community discord guys: infernix, peshocore and xtech5192
Everything is modular and can be turned on/off, including a customisable table showing daily/weekly/monthly average pips/dollars.
If you just want the average daily range lines for example, you can just disable everything else. You can choose how many days to look back; as well as for weeks or months.
Check out Traders Reality on YouTube if you want to see this implemented as part of Tino's strategy that utilizes market manipulation, imbalances, times of day etc.
Price regularly reverses from ADR, making it one of the few highly valuable indicators in price action/smart money trading.
ICT Day/Week/Month Levels [MK]Displays Open, High, Low, Close and 50% levels for the Previous Day/Week/Month.
Also shows the Open for the Current Day/Week/Month
Also shows the Current New Week Opening Gap Midline (NWOG)
These levels are key to teachings by ICT as well as other trading strategies. There are lots of scripts available for this data, however this one plots the levels to the right of price on the chart to keep the chart as clean as possible. The line styles, colors and text can be customised. The offset to the right of the chart for the start of line and label offsets can also be adjusted.
Labels are abbreviated to PDH (previous day high), CMO (current month open), PW50% (previous week 50% from high to low) ..etc
Breaker Blocks with Signals [LuxAlgo]The Breaker Blocks with Signals indicator aims to highlight a complete methodology based on breaker blocks. Breakout signals between the price and breaker blocks are highlighted and premium/discount swing levels are included to provide potential take profit/stop loss levels.
This script also includes alerts for each signal highlighted.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Breaker Blocks
Length: Sensitivity of the detected swings used to construct breaker blocks. Higher values will return longer term breaker blocks.
Use only candle body: Only use the candle body when determining the maximum/minimum extremities of the order blocks.
Use 2 candles instead of 1: Use two candles to confirm the occurrence of a breaker block.
Stop at first break of center line: Do not highlight breakout signals after invalidation until reset.
🔹 PD Array
Only when E is in premium/discount zone: Only set breaker block if point E of wave ABCDE is within the corresponding zone.
Show premium discount zone: Show premium/discount zone.
Highlight Swing Break: Highlight occurrences of price breaking a previous swing level.
Show Swings/PD Arrays: Show swing levels/labels and pd areas.
🔶 USAGE
The Breaker Blocks with Signals indicator aims to provide users with a minimalistic display alongside optimal signals to be aware of for finding trade setups as shown below.
Here we can see a MSS occurred allowing the indicator to detect a Breaker Block (-BB) & display a red arrow to confirm this signal.
The signal(s) that can be used for potential entries are only during retests of the breaker blocks.
A potential strategy traders could use with this indicator is to target the corresponding Discount PD Arrays detected (for a short position) and Premium PD Arrays (for a long position).
In the image above we can see price generated the potential entry signals in orange & fell to the Discount PD Arrays as a logical setup to look for with this indicator.
As we can see in the image above, signals can be considered invalid when price closes above the 50% level in which it would be suggested to wait for another setup.
Users still looking for more potential setups based on the same breaker block can disable the "Stop at first break of center line" setting within the settings menu.
In the image above we can see a bullish example whereas price confirmed a bullish breaker block (+BB), had a quick pullback into it that was confirmed by the green arrow, and then reached the Premium PD Arrays.
While retests of breaker blocks can still function well if they occur later in the price action, it's most preferable for users to look for entry signals that are near confirmed breaker blocks (5-10 bars) opposed to waiting 20+ bars.
Additional take profits based on the occurence of the breaker blocks are given in order to provide targets after the occurence of a breaker block breakout.
🔶 DETAILS
Breaker blocks are formed after a mitigated order block, these can provide change of polarity opportunities, thus playing a role as a potential support/resistance. It is the re-test/retrace of price to a breaker block that will set the conditions to provide signals.
The above chart describes the creation of a breaker block.
The signal generation logic makes use of various rules described below:
Bullish Breaker Blocks:
opening price is within the breaker block, while the closing price is above the upper extremity of the breaker block.
Price did not cross the breaker block average in the interval since the previous breakout.
Bearish Breaker Blocks:
opening price is within the breaker block, while the closing price is below the lower extremity of the breaker block.
Price did not cross the breaker block average in the interval since the previous breakout.
When a new pattern is formed, all previous drawings are removed.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Killzones @joshuuuThis Indicator is based on "ICT Killzones" - sessions in which price moves the "cleanest" and usually has the most volume.
The script is able to either display Killzones as a Label above current bars, or in form of lines on top or bottom of the charts.
Also, the user is able to choose between Forex Killzones and Indices Killzones.
times for killzones:
Forex
-London 0200-0500
-NY 0700-1000
Indices
-London 0200-0500
-NY AM 0830-1100
-NY PM 1330-1600
⚠️ Open Source ⚠️
Coders and TV users are authorized to copy this code base, but a paid distribution is prohibited. A mention to the original author is expected, and appreciated.
⚠️ Terms and Conditions ⚠️
This financial tool is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Users assume responsibility for decisions made based on the tool's information. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. By using this tool, users agree to these terms.
Simple ICT Market Structure by toodegreesThis Simple ICT Market Structure is based on the teachings of ICT, specifically in his episode 12 of the Public 2022 Mentorship.
The only omission here is the peculiar calculation of Intermediate Term points, for which I am not using the concept of repricing imbalances – this can be added later!
Feel free to use this tool, however it is quite simple and market structure is something we all know very well how to spot. In my opinion it is helpful to display the long term swing points to identify more mature pools of liquidity.
The reason for coding this tool is to help new coders understand PineScript (I have a video tutorial where I code this from start to finish), as well as fostering some algorithmic thinking in your trading of ICT Concepts and Algorithmic Delivery.
If you have any questions about the code, shoot me a message!
Hope you learn something and GLGT!
Market Structure Trailing Stop [LuxAlgo]This script returns trailing stops on the occurrence of market structure (CHoCH/BOS labeling). Trailing stops are adjusted based on trailing maximums/minimums with the option for users to be able to control how quickly a trailing stop can converge toward the price.
🔶 SETTINGS
Pivot Lookback: Pivot length used for the detection of swing points.
Increment Factor %: Controls how fast trailing stops converge toward the price, with lower values returning slower converging trailing stops.
Reset Stop On: Determines if trailing stops are reset on CHoCH structure or all (CHoCH + BOS).
Show Structure: Determines if market structure is displayed.
🔶 USAGE
Trailing stops allow traders to protect them against downside risk while also guaranteeing a potential profit in case the market goes in the expected direction of the trade.
Users making use of market structure as a primary entry condition can benefit from having trailing stops based on these to either provide an additional exit condition or to provide points of support/resistance with the price.
Trailing stops can avoid being hit more frequently by using a lower Increment Factor % setting.
Finally, users can reset the trailing stop when any market structure is detected (or only on CHoCHs). Allowing trailing stops to reset on the detection of any market structure allows the indicator to return trailing stops closer to the price. CHoCH labels are highlighted as dashed lines while BOS labels are highlighted as dotted lines.
🔶 DETAILS
When a new structure (or only CHoCH if specified by the user) is detected, trailing stops will initially be set based on the maximum/minimum made on the previous trend. This will also set the trailing maximum/minimum to the current price value.
If an uptrend is detected (most recent market structure is bullish) then the trailing stop will increase if the trailing maximum increase, the increment is calculated as:
trailing stop = trailing stop + Increment Factor % of (trailing maximum - previous trailing maximum)
If a downtrend is detected (most recent market structure is bearish) then the trailing stop will decrease if the trailing minimum decrease, the decrement is calculated as:
trailing stop = trailing stop + Increment Factor % of (trailing minimum - previous trailing minimum)
FX Sessions & Killzones ETJust another sessions indicator. Among all the many existing ones, I didn't find anything simple that would cover my needs and that would actually be correct.
New York time is forced here for plotting the stripes so you don't need to worry about the time zone currently set on your chart. The indicator will be accurate during Daylight Saving Time (which, in 2023 for example, started on Sunday, 12 March , 02:00:00 and will be in effect until Sunday, 5 November, 02:00:00).
Rounded Forex Levels: Big-Figure, Mid-Figure, 80-20 levels, BFRNSimple indicator to show Rounded levels in typical Forex pairs: Big figure, Mid-figure, 80-20 Insitutional Levels, 10pip levels, 5pip levels
Wrote this indicator because other ones out there seem to clutter the chart. This is simple, low-clutter and can be set by user to have arbitrary start and end points for the lines.
I wanted the ability for lines to plot discreetly to the right hand side of price as in the chart above, since in my opinion, these are only of secondary consideration to a trader, an extra confirmation/confluence to an existing idea.
//Purpose & Usage:
-Big-figure levels (100pips) & Mid-figure levels (50pips) will have a senstitivity to price, that can be an additional tool when looking for confluence for a target or an entry.
-As well as BF levels and MF levels; Institutional levels (20pips below and 20 pips above a Big Figure level) and standard 10pip or 5pip levels, can be useful in the right context (i.e added confirmation that of a minor sweep target; added conviction in an idea if the level aligns with another seperately derived level).
//User inputs:
-Toggle on/off each of the types of level.
-Line spacing: choose pip spacing of lines .
-Number of lines above/below (i.e. setting of 5 will be 11 lines. One central, 5 above, 5 below).
-Formatting: for each class of lines, code by color, style and width (as per the example chart below).
-Line start offset and line end offset: bars forward/back for each of start point and end point. So lines could be spread right across chart; or neatly pushed to the far right or left of the chart.
//Notes:
-Designed for typical Forex pairs with units close to 1.0 (like Eur/Usd, Usd/Cad, Aud/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Eur/Gbp, Nzd/Usd).
-Lines are based from the rounded close of the previous bar, Updating (if applicable) on each new bar.
Demo Plotting levels in the past; Dialog box example display:
ICT Concepts [LuxAlgo]The ICT Concepts indicator regroups core concepts highlighted by trader and educator "The Inner Circle Trader" (ICT) into an all-in-one toolkit. Features include Market Structure (MSS & BOS), Order Blocks, Imbalances, Buyside/Sellside Liquidity, Displacements, ICT Killzones, and New Week/Day Opening Gaps.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Mode
When Present is selected, only data of the latest 500 bars are used/visualized, except for NWOG/NDOG
🔹 Market Structure
Enable/disable Market Structure.
Length: will set the lookback period/sensitivity.
In Present Mode only the latest Market Structure trend will be shown, while in Historical Mode, previous trends will be shown as well:
You can toggle MSS/BOS separately and change the colors:
🔹 Displacement
Enable/disable Displacement.
🔹 Volume Imbalance
Enable/disable Volume Imbalance.
# Visible VI's: sets the amount of visible Volume Imbalances (max 100), color setting is placed at the side.
🔹 Order Blocks
Enable/disable Order Blocks.
Swing Lookback: Lookback period used for the detection of the swing points used to create order blocks.
Show Last Bullish OB: Number of the most recent bullish order/breaker blocks to display on the chart.
Show Last Bearish OB: Number of the most recent bearish order/breaker blocks to display on the chart.
Color settings.
Show Historical Polarity Changes: Allows users to see labels indicating where a swing high/low previously occurred within a breaker block.
Use Candle Body: Allows users to use candle bodies as order block areas instead of the full candle range.
Change in Order Blocks style:
🔹 Liquidity
Enable/disable Liquidity.
Margin: sets the sensitivity, 2 points are fairly equal when:
'point 1' < 'point 2' + (10 bar Average True Range / (10 / margin)) and
'point 1' > 'point 2' - (10 bar Average True Range / (10 / margin))
# Visible Liq. boxes: sets the amount of visible Liquidity boxes (max 50), this amount is for Sellside and Buyside boxes separately.
Colour settings.
Change in Liquidity style:
🔹 Fair Value Gaps
Enable/disable FVG's.
Balance Price Range: this is the overlap of latest bullish and bearish Fair Value Gaps.
By disabling Balance Price Range only FVGs will be shown.
Options: Choose whether you wish to see FVG or Implied Fair Value Gaps (this will impact Balance Price Range as well)
# Visible FVG's: sets the amount of visible FVG's (max 20, in the same direction).
Color settings.
Change in FVG style:
🔹 NWOG/NDOG
Enable/disable NWOG; color settings; amount of NWOG shown (max 50).
Enable/disable NDOG ; color settings; amount of NDOG shown (max 50).
🔹 Fibonacci
This tool connects the 2 most recent bullish/bearish (if applicable) features of your choice, provided they are enabled.
3 examples (FVG, BPR, OB):
Extend lines -> Enabled (example OB):
🔹 Killzones
Enable/disable all or the ones you need.
Time settings are coded in the corresponding time zones.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the indicator displays each feature relevant to the most recent price variations in order to avoid clutter on the chart & to provide a very similar experience to how a user would contruct ICT Concepts by hand.
Users can use the historical mode in the settings to see historical market structure/imbalances. The ICT Concepts indicator has various use cases, below we outline many examples of how a trader could find usage of the features together.
In the above image we can see price took out Sellside liquidity, filled two bearish FVGs, a market structure shift, which then led to a clean retest of a bullish FVG as a clean setup to target the order block above.
Price then fills the OB which creates a breaker level as seen in yellow.
Broken OBs can be useful for a trader using the ICT Concepts indicator as it marks a level where orders have now been filled, indicating a solidified level that has proved itself as an area of liquidity. In the image above we can see a trade setup using a broken bearish OB as a potential entry level.
We can see the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) above was an optimal level to target considering price may tend to fill / react off of these levels according to ICT.
In the next image above, we have another example of various use cases where the ICT Concepts indicator hypothetically allow traders to find key levels & find optimal entry points using market structure.
In the image above we can see a bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed, indicating a potential trade setup for targeting the Balanced Price Range imbalance (BPR) below with a stop loss above the buyside liquidity.
Although what we are demonstrating here is a hindsight example, it shows the potential usage this toolkit gives you for creating trading plans based on ICT Concepts.
Same chart but playing out the history further we can see directly after price came down to the Sellside liquidity & swept below it...
Then by enabling IFVGs in the settings, we can see the IFVG retests alongside the Sellside & Buyside liquidity acting in confluence.
Which allows us to see a great bullish structure in the market with various key levels for potential entries.
Here we can see a potential bullish setup as price has taken out a previous Sellside liquidity zone and is now retesting a NWOG + Volume Imbalance.
Users also have the option to display Fibonacci retracements based on market structure, order blocks, and imbalance areas, which can help place limit/stop orders more effectively as well as finding optimal points of interest beyond what the primary ICT Concepts features can generate for a trader.
In the above image we can see the Fibonacci extension was selected to be based on the NWOG giving us some upside levels above the buyside liquidity.
🔶 DETAILS
Each feature within the ICT Concepts indicator is described in the sub sections below.
🔹 Market Structure
Market structure labels are constructed from price breaking a prior swing point. This allows a user to determine the current market trend based on the price action.
There are two types of Market Structure labels included:
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Break Of Structure (BOS)
A MSS occurs when price breaks a swing low in an uptrend or a swing high in a downtrend, highlighting a potential reversal. This is often labeled as "CHoCH", but ICT specifies it as MSS.
On the other hand, BOS labels occur when price breaks a swing high in an uptrend or a swing low in a downtrend. The occurrence of these particular swing points is caused by retracements (inducements) that highlights liquidity hunting in lower timeframes.
🔹 Order Blocks
More significant market participants (institutions) with the ability of placing large orders in the market will generally place a sequence of individual trades spread out in time. This is referred as executing what is called a "meta-order".
Order blocks highlight the area where potential meta-orders are executed. Bullish order blocks are located near local bottoms in an uptrend while bearish order blocks are located near local tops in a downtrend.
When price mitigates (breaks out) an order block, a breaker block is confirmed. We can eventually expect price to trade back to this breaker block offering a new trade opportunity.
🔹 Buyside & Sellside Liquidity
Buyside / Sellside liquidity levels highlight price levels where market participants might place limit/stop orders.
Buyside liquidity levels will regroup the stoploss orders of short traders as well as limit orders of long traders, while Sellside liquidity levels will regroup the stoploss orders of long traders as well as limit orders of short traders.
These levels can play different roles. More informed market participants might view these levels as source of liquidity, and once liquidity over a specific level is reduced it will be found in another area.
🔹 Imbalances
Imbalances highlight disparities between the bid/ask, these can also be defined as inefficiencies, which would suggest that not all available information is reflected by the price and would as such provide potential trading opportunities.
It is common for price to "rebalance" and seek to come back to a previous imbalance area.
ICT highlights multiple imbalance formations:
Fair Value Gaps: A three candle formation where the candle shadows adjacent to the central candle do not overlap, this highlights a gap area.
Implied Fair Value Gaps: Unlike the fair value gap the implied fair value gap has candle shadows adjacent to the central candle overlapping. The gap area is constructed from the average between the respective shadow and the nearest extremity of their candle body.
Balanced Price Range: Balanced price ranges occur when a fair value gap overlaps a previous fair value gap, with the overlapping area resulting in the imbalance area.
Volume Imbalance: Volume imbalances highlight gaps between the opening price and closing price with existing trading activity (the low/high overlap the previous high/low).
Opening Gap: Unlike volume imbalances opening gaps highlight areas with no trading activity. The low/high does not reach previous high/low, highlighting a "void" area.
🔹 Displacement
Displacements are scenarios where price forms successive candles of the same sentiment (bullish/bearish) with large bodies and short shadows.
These can more technically be identified by positive auto correlation (a close to open change is more likely to be followed by a change of the same sign) as well as volatility clustering (large changes are followed by large changes).
Displacements can be the cause for the formation of imbalances as well as market structure, these can be caused by the full execution of a meta order.
🔹 Kill Zones
Killzones represent different time intervals that aims at offering optimal trade entries. Killzones include:
- New York Killzone (7:9 ET)
- London Open Killzone (2:5 ET)
- London Close Killzone (10:12 ET)
- Asian Killzone (20:00 ET)
🔶 Conclusion & Supplementary Material
This script aims to emulate how a trader would draw each of the covered features on their chart in the most precise representation to how it's actually taught by ICT directly.
There are many parallels between ICT Concepts and Smart Money Concepts that we released in 2022 which has a more general & simpler usage:
ICT Concepts, however, is more specifically aligned toward the community's interpretation of how to analyze price 'based on ICT', rather than displaying features to have a more classic interpretation for a technical analyst.
Market Structure & Liquidity: CHoCHs+Nested Pivots+FVGs+Sweeps//Purpose:
This indicator combines several tools to help traders track and interpret price action/market structure; It can be divided into 4 parts;
1. CHoCHs, 2. Nested Pivot highs & lows, 3. Grade sweeps, 4. FVGs.
This gives the trader a toolkit for determining market structure and shifts in market structure to help determine a bull or bear bias, whether it be short-term, med-term or long-term.
This indicator also helps traders in determining liquidity targets: wether they be voids/gaps (FVGS) or old highs/lows+ typical sweep distances.
Finally, the incorporation of HTF CHoCH levels printing on your LTF chart helps keep the bigger picture in mind and tells traders at a glance if they're above of below Custom HTF CHoCH up or CHoCH down (these HTF CHoCHs can be anything from Hourly up to Monthly).
//Nomenclature:
CHoCH = Change of Character
STH/STL = short-term high or low
MTH/MTL = medium-term high or low
LTH/LTL = long-term high or low
FVG = Fair value gap
CE = consequent encroachement (the midline of a FVG)
~~~ The Four components of this indicator ~~~
1. CHoCHs:
•Best demonstrated in the below charts. This was a method taught to me by @Icecold_crypto. Once a 3 bar fractal pivot gets broken, we count backwards the consecutive higher lows or lower highs, then identify the CHoCH as the opposite end of the candle which ended the consecutive backwards count. This CHoCH (UP or DOWN) then becomes a level to watch, if price passes through it in earnest a trader would consider shifting their bias as market structure is deemed to have shifted.
•HTF CHoCHs: Option to print Higher time frame chochs (default on) of user input HTF. This prints only the last UP choch and only the last DOWN choch from the input HTF. Solid line by default so as to distinguish from local/chart-time CHoCHs. Can be any Higher timeframe you like.
•Show on table: toggle on show table(above/below) option to show in table cells (top right): is price above the latest HTF UP choch, or is price below HTF DOWN choch (or is it sat between the two, in a state of 'uncertainty').
•Most recent CHoCHs which have not been met by price will extend 10 bars into the future.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: SHOW CHOCHS | Set bars lookback number to limit historical Chochs. Set Live CHoCHs number to control the number of active recent chochs unmet by price. Toggle shrink chochs once hit to declutter chart and minimize old chochs to their origin bars. Set Multi-timeframe color override : to make Color choices auto-set to your preference color for each of 1m, 5m, 15m, H, 4H, D, W, M (where up and down are same color, but 'up' icon for up chochs and down icon for down chochs remain printing as normal)
2. Nested Pivot Highs & Lows; aka 'Pivot Highs & Lows (ST/MT/LT)'
•Based on a seperate, longer lookback/lookforward pivot calculation. Identifies Pivot highs and lows with a 'spikeyness' filter (filtering out weak/rounded/unimpressive Pivot highs/lows)
•by 'nested' I mean that the pivot highs are graded based on whether a pivot high sits between two lower pivot highs or vice versa.
--for example: STH = normal pivot. MTH is pivot high with a lower STH on either side. LTH is a pivot high with a lower MTH on either side. Same applies to pivot lows (STL/MTL/LTL)
•This is a useful way to measure the significance of a high or low. Both in terms of how much it might be typically swept by (see later) and what it would imply for HTF bias were we to break through it in earnest (more than just a sweep).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show pivot highs & lows | Bars lookback (historical pivots to show) | Pivots: lookback/lookforward length (determines the scale of your pivot highs/lows) | toggle on/off Apply 'Spikeyness' filter (filters out smooth/unimpressive pivot highs/lows). Set Spikeyness index (determines the strength of this filter if turned on) | Individually toggle on each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL along with their label text type , and size . Toggle on/off line for each of these Pivot highs/lows. | Set label spacer (atr multiples above / below) | set line style and line width
3. Grade Sweeps:
•These are directly related to the nested pivots described above. Most assets will have a typical sweep distance. I've added some of my expected sweeps for various assets in the indicator tooltips.
--i.e. Eur/Usd 10-20-30 pips is a typical 'grade' sweep. S&P HKEX:5 - HKEX:10 is a typical grade sweep.
•Each of the ST/MT/LT pivot highs and lows have optional user defined grade sweep boxes which paint above until filled (or user option for historical filled boxes to remain).
•Numbers entered into sweep input boxes are auto converted into appropriate units (i.e. pips for FX, $ or 'handles' for indices, $ for Crypto. Very low $ units can be input for low unit value crypto altcoins.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: Show sweep boxes | individually select colors of each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL sweep boxes. | Set Grade sweep ($/pips) number for each of ST, MT, LT. This auto converts between pips and $ (i.e. FX vs Indices/Crypto). Can be a float as small or large as you like ($0.000001 to HKEX:1000 ). | Set box text position (horizontal & vertical) and size , and color . | Set Box width (bars) (for non extended/ non-auto-terminating at price boxes). | toggle on/off Extend boxes/lines right . | Toggle on/off Shrink Grade sweeps on fill (they will disappear in realtime when filled/passed through)
4. FVGs:
•Fair Value gaps. Represent 'naked' candle bodies where the wicks to either side do not meet, forming a 'gap' of sorts which has a tendency to fill, or at least to fill to midline (CE).
•These are ICT concepts. 'UP' FVGS are known as BISIs (Buyside imbalance, sellside inefficiency); 'DOWN' FVGs are known as SIBIs (Sellside imbalance, buyside inefficiency).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show FVGs | Bars lookback (history). | Choose to display: 'UP' FVGs (BISI) and/or 'DOWN FVGs (SIBI) . Choose to display the midline: CE , the color and the line style . Choose threshold: use CE (as opposed to Full Fill) |toggle on/off Shrink FVG on fill (CE hit or Full fill) (declutter chart/see backtesting history)
////••Alerts (general notes & cautionary notes)::
•Alerts are optional for most of the levels printed by this indicator. Set them via the three dots on indicator status line.
•Due to dynamic repainting of levels, alerts should be used with caution. Best use these alerts either for Higher time frame levels, or when closely monitoring price.
--E.g. You may set an alert for down-fill of the latest FVG below; but price will keep marching up; form a newer/higher FVG, and the alert will trigger on THAT FVG being down-filled (not the original)
•Available Alerts:
-FVG(BISI) cross above threshold(CE or full-fill; user choice). Same with FVG(SIBI).
-HTF last CHoCH down, cross below | HTF last CHoCH up, cross above.
-last CHoCH down, cross below | last CHoCH up, cross above.
-LTH cross above, MTH cross above, STH cross above | LTL cross below, MTL cross below, STL cross below.
////••Formatting (general)::
•all table text color is set from the 'Pivot highs & Lows (ST, MT, LT)' section (for those of you who prefer black backgrounds).
•User choice of Line-style, line color, line width. Same with Boxes. Icon choice for chochs. Char or label text choices for ST/MT/LT pivot highs & lows.
////••User Inputs (general):
•Each of the 4 components of this indicator can be easily toggled on/off independently.
•Quite a lot of options and toggle boxes, as described in full above. Please take your time and read through all the tooltips (hover over '!' icon) to get an idea of formatting options.
•Several Lookback periods defined in bars to control how much history is shown for each of the 4 components of this indicator.
•'Shrink on fill' settings on FVGs and CHoCHs: Basically a way to declutter chart; toggle on/off depending on if you're backtesting or reading live price action.
•Table Display: applies to ST/MT/LT pivot highs and to HTF CHoCHs; Toggle table on or off (in part or in full)
////••Credits:
•Credit to ICT (Inner Circle Trader) for some of the concepts used in this indicator (FVGS & CEs; Grade sweeps).
•Credit to @Icecold_crypto for the specific and novel concept of identifying CHoCHs in a simple, objective and effective manner (as demonstrated in the 1st chart below).
CHoCH demo page 1: shifting tweak; arrow diagrams to demonstrate how CHoCHs are defined:
CHoCH demo page 2: Simplified view; short lookback history; few CHoCHs, demo of 'latest' choch being extended into the future by 10 bars:
USAGE: Bitcoin Hourly using HTF daily CHoCHs:
USAGE-2: Cotton Futures (CT1!) 2hr. Painting a rather bullish picture. Above HTF UP CHoCH, Local CHoCHs show bullish order flow, Nice targets above (MTH/LTH + grade sweeps):
Full Demo; 5min chart; CHoCHs, Short term pivot highs/lows, grade sweeps, FVGs:
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias (part A):
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias, 3hrs later (part B):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(A): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: shrink on fill, once filled they repaint discreetly on their origin bar only. Realtime (Shrink on fill, declutter chart):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(B): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: DON'T shrink on fill; they extend to the point where price crosses them, and fix/paint there. Backtesting (seeing historical behaviour):
Probability of Candle Close Higher Than OpenThe "Probability of Candle Close Higher Than Open" indicator is designed to help traders assess the likelihood of a given candle closing higher than its open based on the previous candle's price action. It does this by calculating a probability score between 0 and 1 and displaying it on the chart, along with a horizontal line representing a user-defined probability threshold.
The indicator uses three input variables to determine the probability score:
lookback_period: This input defines the number of previous candles to consider when calculating the probability. By default, it is set to 2, meaning the indicator considers the previous two candles.
prev_high and prev_low: These variables are calculated using the highest() and lowest() functions, respectively, and represent the highest high and lowest low of the previous lookback_period candles.
prev_body: This variable calculates the absolute value of the difference between the open and close prices of the previous candle.
The probability score is then calculated based on the following conditions:
If the current candle's open price is higher than the previous lookback_period candles' highest high, the probability score is set to 0.1 (indicating a low probability of the candle closing higher than its open).
If the current candle's open price is lower than the previous lookback_period candles' lowest low, the probability score is set to 0.9 (indicating a high probability of the candle closing higher than its open).
If neither of the above conditions apply, the probability score is calculated using the following formula:
If the previous candle closed higher than its open, the probability score is set to 0.5 plus half of the previous candle's body (i.e., the absolute difference between its open and close prices).
If the previous candle closed lower than its open, the probability score is set to 0.1 plus half of the previous candle's body.
If the previous candle closed at the same price as its open, the probability score is set to 0.1.
Finally, the indicator plots the probability score as a label on the chart and a horizontal line representing the probability threshold.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. The "Probability of Candle Close Higher Than Open" indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for making trading decisions. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before entering any trades. No guarantee or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided by this indicator, and any reliance on this information is at your own risk. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading with margin carries the risk of losing more than your initial investment. Only trade with risk capital that you can afford to lose.