ETH Vol Breakout - NO ERROR VERSIONThis strategy examines the impact of Eth.d Vol on Ethereum price. Looking at ETHDVOL -60 (Support) and 78 (Resistance)—tell a very specific story - analyzing a High Volatility Regime.
The support level around 60 and resistance 78, tend to only occurs during Bull Runs or Market Crashes.
In the "Quiet Years", ETHDVOL rarely touched 60, let alone 78.
Trying to develop a strategy that is perfectly tuned for a Bull Market or a Crisis,
1. The "60 Floor" (Support)
Context: In a high-volatility regime, when ETHDVOL drops to 60, it indicates the market has "cooled off" just enough to reload leverage.
Historical Behavior (2021-2022 Context):
July 2021: After the May crash, ETHDVOL compressed down and found support at ~65.
Result: This marked the local bottom before the massive run-up to the November All-Time Highs ($4,800).
Outcome: Strong Buy Signal (Trend Continuation).
January 2022: ETHDVOL dropped to ~58-60 while price was hovering around $3,000.
Result: The floor broke, volatility spiked to 80+, and price crashed to $2,200.
Outcome: Trap / Warning Signal.
The Pattern: When Volatility hits 60 (Support), price is usually Coiling.
If Price is trending UP: This is a "dip buy" opportunity. The coil resolves upwards.
If Price is trending DOWN: This is the "calm before the flush." The coil resolves downwards.
2. The "78 Ceiling" (Resistance)
Context: 78 is an extreme reading. It represents panic (bottom) or euphoria (blow-off top).
Historical Behavior:
May 2021 (The Crash): ETHDVOL smashed through 78, peaking at 100+.
Price Action: Price collapsed from $4,000 to $1,700.
Signal: If Vol > 78, you are in a capitulation event. Buying spot here is usually profitable within 3-6 months (buying the blood).
November 2022 (FTX Collapse): ETHDVOL spiked to ~75-80.
Price Action: ETH hit $1,100 (Cycle Lows).
Signal: Hitting 78 marked the Absolute Bottom.
November 2021 (The Top): Interestingly, at the $4,800 price peak, Volatility was NOT at 78. It was lower (~60-70).
Insight: Bull market tops often happen on lower volatility than bear market bottoms.
Стратегия Pine Script®






















