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The S&P 500 has gone 43 trading days without a 1% daily move, up or down.
which is the equivalent of two months and one day in trading days.
During this stretch, the S&P has gained more than 4%,
and it has notched a 52-week high recently as well.
Since 1952, there were nine other precedents. All of
these went 42 trading days without a 1% move, all of
them saw the S&P gain at least 4% during their streaks,
and all of them saw the S&P close at a 52-week highs.
***There was consistent weakness a week later, with only three
gainers, and all below +0.5%.
***After that, stocks did better, often continuing an Extraordinary move higher.
Charts can sometimes give us a better nuance than
numbers from a table, and from the charts we can see a
general pattern -
***if stocks held up well in the following
weeks, then they tended to do extremely well in the
months ahead.
***If stocks started to stumble after this two-
month period of calm, however, then the following months
tended to show a lot more volatility.
We already know we're seeing an exceptional market
environment at the moment, going against a large number
of precedents that argued for weakness here, instead of
the rally we've seen. If we continue to head higher in
spite of everything, these precedents would suggest that
we're in the midst of something that could be TRULY EXTRAORDINARY.
Поиск скриптов по запросу "美股标普500"
Smart Money Index (SMI)Smart money index (SMI) or smart money flow index is a technical analysis indicator demonstrating investors sentiment.
The index was invented and popularized by money manager Don Hays. The indicator is based on intra-day price patterns.
The main idea is that the majority of traders (emotional, news-driven) overreact at the beginning of the trading day
because of the overnight news and economic data. There is also a lot of buying on market orders and short covering at the opening.
Smart, experienced investors start trading closer to the end of the day having the opportunity to evaluate market performance.
Therefore, the basic strategy is to bet against the morning price trend and bet with the evening price trend. The SMI may be calculated
for many markets and market indices (S&P 500, DJIA, etc.)
The SMI sends no clear signal whether the market is bullish or bearish. There are also no fixed absolute or relative readings signaling
about the trend. Traders need to look at the SMI dynamics relative to that of the market. If, for example, SMI rises sharply when the
market falls, this fact would mean that smart money is buying, and the market is to revert to an uptrend soon. The opposite situation
is also true. A rapidly falling SMI during a bullish market means that smart money is selling and that market is to revert to a downtrend
soon. The SMI is, therefore, a trend-based indicator.
Some analysts use the smart money index to claim that precious metals such as gold will continually maintain value in the future.
