RSI < 25 + Price Below 200 SMA (4H) - Text Signal
Price below 200MA on 4hr chart
RSI is below 25 ovsersold
Start buying small positions at every signal
Eventually price will capture the 200MA on 4hr
This will work great for NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, NFLX, PANW, AMZN, PLTR, CRWD and META.
Good for swing trading based on price action, RSI oversold and reversal
Add more on the Pin bar candles on 4hr time frame once the price is oversold.
Поиск скриптов по запросу "META股价历史数据"
COT IndexTHE HIDDEN INTELLIGENCE IN FUTURES MARKETS
What if you could see what the smartest players in the futures markets are doing before the crowd catches on? While retail traders chase momentum indicators and moving averages, obsess over Japanese candlestick patterns, and debate whether the RSI should be set to fourteen or twenty-one periods, institutional players leave footprints in the sand through their mandatory reporting to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. These footprints, published weekly in the Commitment of Traders reports, have been hiding in plain sight for decades, available to anyone with an internet connection, yet remarkably few traders understand how to interpret them correctly. The COT Index indicator transforms this raw institutional positioning data into actionable trading signals, bringing Wall Street intelligence to your trading screen without requiring expensive Bloomberg terminals or insider connections.
The uncomfortable truth is this: Most retail traders operate in a binary world. Long or short. Buy or sell. They apply technical analysis to individual positions, constrained by limited capital that forces them to concentrate risk in single directional bets. Meanwhile, institutional traders operate in an entirely different dimension. They manage portfolios dynamically weighted across multiple markets, adjusting exposure based on evolving market conditions, correlation shifts, and risk assessments that retail traders never see. A hedge fund might be simultaneously long gold, short oil, neutral on copper, and overweight agricultural commodities, with position sizes calibrated to volatility and portfolio Greeks. When they increase gold exposure from five percent to eight percent of portfolio allocation, this rebalancing decision reflects sophisticated analysis of opportunity cost, risk parity, and cross-market dynamics that no individual chart pattern can capture.
This portfolio reweighting activity, multiplied across hundreds of institutional participants, manifests in the aggregate positioning data published weekly by the CFTC. The Commitment of Traders report does not show individual trades or strategies. It shows the collective footprint of how actual commercial hedgers and large speculators have allocated their capital across different markets. When mining companies collectively increase forward gold sales to hedge thirty percent more production than last quarter, they are not reacting to a moving average crossover. They are making strategic allocation decisions based on production forecasts, cost structures, and price expectations derived from operational realities invisible to outside observers. This is portfolio management in action, revealed through positioning data rather than price charts.
If you want to understand how institutional capital actually flows, how sophisticated traders genuinely position themselves across market cycles, the COT report provides a rare window into that hidden world. But understand what you are getting into. This is not a tool for scalpers seeking confirmation of the next five-minute move. This is not an oscillator that flashes oversold at market bottoms with convenient precision. COT analysis operates on a timescale measured in weeks and months, revealing positioning shifts that precede major market turns but offer no precision timing. The data arrives three days stale, published only once per week, capturing strategic positioning rather than tactical entries.
If you need instant gratification, if you trade intraday moves, if you demand mechanical signals with ninety percent accuracy, close this document now. COT analysis rewards patience, position sizing discipline, and tolerance for being early. It punishes impatience, overleveraging, and the expectation that any single indicator can substitute for market understanding.
The premise is deceptively simple. Every Tuesday, large traders in futures markets must report their positions to the CFTC. By Friday afternoon, this data becomes public. Academic research spanning three decades has consistently shown that not all market participants are created equal. Some traders consistently profit while others consistently lose. Some anticipate major turning points while others chase trends into exhaustion. Bessembinder and Chan (1992) demonstrated in their seminal study that commercial hedgers, those with actual exposure to the underlying commodity or financial instrument, possess superior forecasting ability compared to speculators. Their research, published in the Journal of Finance, found statistically significant predictive power in commercial positioning, particularly at extreme levels. This finding challenged the efficient market hypothesis and opened the door to a new approach to market analysis based on positioning rather than price alone.
Think about what this means. Every week, the government publishes a report showing you exactly how the most informed market participants are positioned. Not their opinions. Not their predictions. Their actual money at risk. When agricultural producers collectively hold their largest short hedge in five years, they are not making idle speculation. They are locking in prices for crops they will harvest, informed by private knowledge of weather conditions, soil quality, inventory levels, and demand expectations invisible to outside observers. When energy companies aggressively hedge forward production at current prices, they reveal information about expected supply that no analyst report can capture. This is not technical analysis based on past prices. This is not fundamental analysis based on publicly available data. This is behavioral analysis based on how the smartest money is actually positioned, how institutions allocate capital across portfolios, and how those allocation decisions shift as market conditions evolve.
WHY SOME TRADERS KNOW MORE THAN OTHERS
Building on this foundation, Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) conducted extensive research examining the behaviour patterns of different trader categories. Their work, which analyzed over a decade of COT data across multiple commodity markets, revealed a fascinating dynamic that challenges much of what retail traders are taught. Commercial hedgers consistently positioned themselves against market extremes, buying when speculators were most bearish and selling when speculators reached peak bullishness. The contrarian positioning of commercials was not random noise but rather reflected their superior information about supply and demand fundamentals. Meanwhile, large speculators, primarily hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, exhibited strong trend-following behaviour that often amplified market moves beyond fundamental values. Small traders, the retail participants, consistently entered positions late in trends, frequently near turning points, making them reliable contrary indicators.
Wang (2003) extended this research by demonstrating that the predictive power of commercial positioning varies significantly across different commodity sectors. His analysis of agricultural commodities showed particularly strong forecasting ability, with commercial net positions explaining up to fifteen percent of return variance in subsequent weeks. This finding suggests that the informational advantages of hedgers are most pronounced in markets where physical supply and demand fundamentals dominate, as opposed to purely financial markets where information asymmetries are smaller. When a corn farmer hedges six months of expected harvest, that decision incorporates private observations about rainfall patterns, crop health, pest pressure, and local storage capacity that no distant analyst can match. When an oil refinery hedges crude oil purchases and gasoline sales simultaneously, the spread relationships reveal expectations about refining margins that reflect operational realities invisible in public data.
The theoretical mechanism underlying these empirical patterns relates to information asymmetry and different participant motivations. Commercial hedgers engage in futures markets not for speculative profit but to manage business risks. An agricultural producer selling forward six months of expected harvest is not making a bet on price direction but rather locking in revenue to facilitate financial planning and ensure business viability. However, this hedging activity necessarily incorporates private information about expected supply, inventory levels, weather conditions, and demand trends that the hedger observes through their commercial operations (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). When aggregated across many participants, this private information manifests in collective positioning.
Consider a gold mining company deciding how much forward production to hedge. Management must estimate ore grades, recovery rates, production costs, equipment reliability, labor availability, and dozens of other operational variables that determine whether locking in prices at current levels makes business sense. If the industry collectively hedges more aggressively than usual, it suggests either exceptional production expectations or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Either way, this positioning reveals information unavailable to speculators analyzing price charts and economic data. The hedger sees the physical reality behind the financial abstraction.
Large speculators operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Commodity Trading Advisors managing billions in assets typically employ systematic, trend-following strategies that respond to price momentum rather than fundamental supply and demand. When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to seventy dollars per barrel, these systems generate buy signals. As the rally continues to eighty dollars, position sizes increase. The strategy works brilliantly during sustained trends but becomes a liability at reversals. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the rally. At this point, they represent not smart money anticipating further gains but rather crowded money vulnerable to reversal. Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004) documented this pattern across multiple energy markets, showing that extreme speculator positioning typically marked late-stage trend exhaustion rather than early-stage trend development.
Small traders, the retail participants who fall below reporting thresholds, display the weakest forecasting ability. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns, meaning their aggregate positioning served as a reliable contrary indicator. The explanation combines several factors. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, entering trends after mainstream media coverage when institutional participants are preparing to exit. Perhaps most importantly, they trade with emotion, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times.
At major turning points, the three groups often position opposite each other with commercials extremely bearish, large speculators extremely bullish, and small traders piling into longs at the last moment. These high-divergence environments frequently precede increased volatility and trend reversals. The insiders with business exposure quietly exit as the momentum traders hit maximum capacity and retail enthusiasm peaks. Within weeks, the reversal begins, and positions unwind in the opposite sequence.
FROM RAW DATA TO ACTIONABLE SIGNALS
The COT Index indicator operationalizes these academic findings into a practical trading tool accessible through TradingView. At its core, the indicator normalizes net positioning data onto a zero to one hundred scale, creating what we call the COT Index. This normalization is critical because absolute position sizes vary dramatically across different futures contracts and over time. A commercial trader holding fifty thousand contracts net long in crude oil might be extremely bullish by historical standards, or it might be quite neutral depending on the context of total market size and historical ranges. Raw position numbers mean nothing without context. The COT Index solves this problem by calculating where current positioning stands relative to its range over a specified lookback period, typically two hundred fifty-two weeks or approximately five years of weekly data.
The mathematical transformation follows the methodology originally popularized by legendary trader Larry Williams, though the underlying concept appears in statistical normalization techniques across many fields. For any given trader category, we calculate the highest and lowest net position values over the lookback period, establishing the historical range for that specific market and trader group. Current positioning is then expressed as a percentage of this range, where zero represents the most bearish positioning ever seen in the lookback window and one hundred represents the most bullish extreme. A reading of fifty indicates positioning exactly in the middle of the historical range, suggesting neither extreme optimism nor pessimism relative to recent history (Williams and Noseworthy, 2009).
This index-based approach allows for meaningful comparison across different markets and time periods, overcoming the scaling problems inherent in analyzing raw position data. A commercial index reading of eighty-five in gold carries the same interpretive meaning as an eighty-five reading in wheat or crude oil, even though the absolute position sizes differ by orders of magnitude. This standardization enables systematic analysis across entire futures portfolios rather than requiring market-specific expertise for each contract.
The lookback period selection involves a fundamental tradeoff between responsiveness and stability. Shorter lookback periods, perhaps one hundred twenty-six weeks or approximately two and a half years, make the index more sensitive to recent positioning changes. However, it also increases noise and produces more false signals. Longer lookback periods, perhaps five hundred weeks or approximately ten years, create smoother readings that filter short-term noise but become slower to recognize regime changes. The indicator settings allow users to adjust this parameter based on their trading timeframe, risk tolerance, and market characteristics.
UNDERSTANDING CFTC DATA STRUCTURES
The indicator supports both Legacy and Disaggregated COT report formats, reflecting the evolution of CFTC reporting standards over decades of market development. Legacy reports categorize market participants into three broad groups: commercial traders (hedgers with underlying business exposure), non-commercial traders (large speculators seeking profit without commercial interest), and non-reportable traders (small speculators below reporting thresholds). Each category brings distinct motivations and information advantages to the market (CFTC, 2020).
The Disaggregated reports, introduced in September 2009 for physical commodity markets, provide finer granularity by splitting participants into five categories (CFTC, 2009). Producer and merchant positions capture those actually producing, processing, or merchandising the physical commodity. Swap dealers represent financial intermediaries facilitating derivative transactions for clients. Managed money includes commodity trading advisors and hedge funds executing systematic or discretionary strategies. Other reportables encompasses diverse participants not fitting the main categories. Small traders remain as the fifth group, representing retail participation.
This enhanced categorization reveals nuances invisible in Legacy reports, particularly distinguishing between different types of institutional capital and their distinct behavioural patterns. The indicator automatically detects which report type is appropriate for each futures contract and adjusts the display accordingly.
Importantly, Disaggregated reports exist only for physical commodity futures. Agricultural commodities like corn, wheat, and soybeans have Disaggregated reports because clear producer, merchant, and swap dealer categories exist. Energy commodities like crude oil and natural gas similarly have well-defined commercial hedger categories. Metals including gold, silver, and copper also receive Disaggregated treatment (CFTC, 2009). However, financial futures such as equity index futures, Treasury bond futures, and currency futures remain available only in Legacy format. The CFTC has indicated no plans to extend Disaggregated reporting to financial futures due to different market structures and participant categories in these instruments (CFTC, 2020).
THE BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION
Understanding which trader perspective to follow requires appreciation of their distinct trading styles, success rates, and psychological profiles. Commercial hedgers exhibit anticyclical behaviour rooted in their fundamental knowledge and business imperatives. When agricultural producers hedge forward sales during harvest season, they are not speculating on price direction but rather locking in revenue for crops they will harvest. Their business requires converting volatile commodity exposure into predictable cash flows to facilitate planning and ensure survival through difficult periods. Yet their aggregate positioning reveals valuable information because these hedging decisions incorporate private information about supply conditions, inventory levels, weather observations, and demand expectations that hedgers observe through their commercial operations (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992).
Consider a practical example from energy markets. Major oil companies continuously hedge portions of forward production based on price levels, operational costs, and financial planning needs. When crude oil trades at ninety dollars per barrel, they might aggressively hedge the next twelve months of production, locking in prices that provide comfortable profit margins above their extraction costs. This hedging appears as short positioning in COT reports. If oil rallies further to one hundred dollars, they hedge even more aggressively, viewing these prices as exceptional opportunities to secure revenue. Their short positioning grows increasingly extreme. To an outside observer watching only price charts, the rally suggests bullishness. But the commercial positioning reveals that the actual producers of oil find these prices attractive enough to lock in years of sales, suggesting skepticism about sustaining even higher levels. When the eventual reversal occurs and oil declines back to eighty dollars, the commercials who hedged at ninety and one hundred dollars profit while speculators who chased the rally suffer losses.
Large speculators or managed money traders operate under entirely different incentives and constraints. Their systematic, momentum-driven strategies mean they amplify existing trends rather than anticipate reversals. Trend-following systems, the most common approach among large speculators, by definition require confirmation of trend through price momentum before entering positions (Sanders, Boris and Manfredo, 2004). When crude oil rallies from sixty dollars to eighty dollars per barrel over several months, trend-following algorithms generate buy signals based on moving average crossovers, breakouts, and other momentum indicators. As the rally continues, position sizes increase according to the systematic rules.
However, this approach becomes a liability at turning points. By the time oil reaches ninety dollars after a sustained rally, trend-following funds are maximally long, having accumulated positions progressively throughout the move. At this point, their positioning does not predict continued strength. Rather, it often marks late-stage trend exhaustion. The psychological and mechanical explanation is straightforward. Trend followers by definition chase price momentum, entering positions after trends establish rather than anticipating them. Eventually, they become fully invested just as the trend nears completion, leaving no incremental buying power to sustain the rally. When the first signs of reversal appear, systematic stops trigger, creating a cascade of selling that accelerates the downturn.
Small traders consistently display the weakest track record across academic studies. Wang (2003) found that small trader positioning exhibited negative correlation with subsequent returns in his analysis across multiple commodity markets. This result means that whatever small traders collectively do, the opposite typically proves profitable. The explanation for small trader underperformance combines several factors documented in behavioral finance literature. Retail traders often lack the capital reserves to weather normal market volatility, leading to premature exits from positions that would eventually prove profitable. They tend to receive information through slower channels, learning about commodity trends through mainstream media coverage that arrives after institutional participants have already positioned. Perhaps most importantly, retail traders are more susceptible to emotional decision-making, buying into euphoria and selling into panic at precisely the wrong times (Tharp, 2008).
SETTINGS, THRESHOLDS, AND SIGNAL GENERATION
The practical implementation of the COT Index requires understanding several key features and settings that users can adjust to match their trading style, timeframe, and risk tolerance. The lookback period determines the time window for calculating historical ranges. The default setting of two hundred fifty-two bars represents approximately one year on daily charts or five years on weekly charts, balancing responsiveness with stability. Conservative traders seeking only the most extreme, highest-probability signals might extend the lookback to five hundred bars or more. Aggressive traders seeking earlier entry and willing to accept more false positives might reduce it to one hundred twenty-six bars or even less for shorter-term applications.
The bullish and bearish thresholds define signal generation levels. Default settings of eighty and twenty respectively reflect academic research suggesting meaningful information content at these extremes. Readings above eighty indicate positioning in the top quintile of the historical range, representing genuine extremes rather than temporary fluctuations. Conversely, readings below twenty occupy the bottom quintile, indicating unusually bearish positioning (Briese, 2008).
However, traders must recognize that appropriate thresholds vary by market, trader category, and personal risk tolerance. Some futures markets exhibit wider positioning swings than others due to seasonal patterns, volatility characteristics, or participant behavior. Conservative traders seeking high-probability setups with fewer signals might raise thresholds to eighty-five and fifteen. Aggressive traders willing to accept more false positives for earlier entry could lower them to seventy-five and twenty-five.
The key is maintaining meaningful differentiation between bullish, neutral, and bearish zones. The default settings of eighty and twenty create a clear three-zone structure. Readings from zero to twenty represent bearish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bearish positions. Readings from twenty to eighty represent neutral territory where positioning falls within normal historical ranges. Readings from eighty to one hundred represent bullish territory where the selected trader group holds unusually bullish positions.
The trading perspective selection determines which participant group the indicator follows, fundamentally shaping interpretation and signal meaning. For counter-trend traders seeking reversal opportunities, monitoring commercial positioning makes intuitive sense based on the academic research discussed earlier. When commercials reach extreme bearish readings below twenty, indicating unprecedented short positioning relative to recent history, they are effectively betting against the crowd. Given their informational advantages demonstrated by Bessembinder and Chan (1992), this contrarian stance often precedes major bottoms.
Trend followers might instead monitor large speculator positioning, but with inverted logic compared to commercials. When managed money reaches extreme bullish readings above eighty, the trend may be exhausting rather than accelerating. This seeming paradox reflects their late-cycle participation documented by Sanders, Boris and Manfredo (2004). Sophisticated traders thus use speculator extremes as fade signals, entering positions opposite to speculator consensus.
Small trader monitoring serves primarily as a contrary indicator for all trading styles. Extreme small trader bullishness above seventy-five or eighty typically warns of retail FOMO at market tops. Extreme small trader bearishness below twenty or twenty-five often marks capitulation bottoms where the last weak hands have sold.
VISUALIZATION AND USER INTERFACE
The visual design incorporates multiple elements working together to facilitate decision-making and maintain situational awareness during active trading. The primary COT Index line plots in bold with adjustable line width, defaulting to two pixels for clear visibility against busy price charts. An optional glow effect, controlled by a simple toggle, adds additional visual prominence through multiple plot layers with progressively increasing transparency and width.
A twenty-one period exponential moving average overlays the index line, providing trend context for positioning changes. When the index crosses above its moving average, it signals accelerating bullish sentiment among the selected trader group regardless of whether absolute positioning is extreme. Conversely, when the index crosses below its moving average, it signals deteriorating sentiment and potentially the beginning of a reversal in positioning trends.
The EMA provides a dynamic reference line for assessing positioning momentum. When the index trades far above its EMA, positioning is not only extreme in absolute terms but also building with momentum. When the index trades far below its EMA, positioning is contracting or reversing, which may indicate weakening conviction even if absolute levels remain elevated.
The data table positioned at the top right of the chart displays eleven metrics for each trader category, transforming the indicator from a simple index calculation into an analytical dashboard providing multidimensional market intelligence. Beyond the COT Index itself, users can monitor positioning extremity, which measures how unusual current levels are compared to historical norms using statistical techniques. The extremity metric clarifies whether a reading represents the ninety-fifth or ninety-ninth percentile, with values above two standard deviations indicating genuinely exceptional positioning.
Market power quantifies each group's influence on total open interest. This metric expresses each trader category's net position as a percentage of total market open interest. A commercial entity holding forty percent of total open interest commands significantly more influence than one holding five percent, making their positioning signals more meaningful.
Momentum and rate of change metrics reveal whether positions are building or contracting, providing early warning of potential regime shifts. Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative providing even earlier insight into inflection points.
Sentiment divergence highlights disagreements between commercial and speculative positioning. This metric calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available, showing how positioning is distributed among the largest handful of traders in each category. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation across many traders.
THE ALERT SYSTEM AND MONITORING
The alert system, comprising five distinct alert conditions, enables systematic monitoring of dozens of futures markets without constant screen watching. The bullish and bearish COT signal alerts trigger when the index crosses user-defined thresholds, indicating the selected trader group has reached extreme positioning worthy of attention. These alerts fire in real-time as new weekly COT data publishes, typically Friday afternoon following the Tuesday measurement date.
Extreme positioning alerts fire at ninety and ten index levels, representing the top and bottom ten percent of the historical range, warning of particularly stretched readings that historically precede reversals with high probability. When commercials reach a COT Index reading below ten, they are expressing their most bearish stance in the entire lookback period.
The data staleness alert notifies users when COT reports have not updated for more than ten days, preventing reliance on outdated information for trading decisions. Government shutdowns or federal holidays can interrupt the normal Friday publication schedule. Using stale signals while believing them current creates dangerous false confidence.
The indicator's watermark information display positioned in the bottom right corner provides essential context at a glance. This persistent display shows the symbol and timeframe, the COT report date timestamp, days since last update, and the current signal state. A trader analyzing a potential short entry in crude oil can glance at the watermark to instantly confirm positioning context without interrupting analysis flow.
LIMITATIONS AND REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS
Practical application requires understanding both the indicator's considerable strengths and inherent limitations. COT data inherently lags price action by three days, as Tuesday positions are not published until Friday afternoon. This delay means the indicator cannot catch rapid intraday reversals or respond to surprise news events. Traders using the COT Index for timing entries must accept this latency and focus on swing trading and position trading timeframes where three-day lags matter less than in day trading or scalping.
The weekly publication schedule similarly makes the indicator unsuitable for short-term trading strategies requiring immediate feedback. The COT Index works best for traders operating on weekly or longer timeframes, where positioning shifts measured in weeks and months align with trading horizon.
Extreme COT readings can persist far longer than typical technical indicators suggest, testing the patience and capital reserves of traders attempting to fade them. When crude oil enters a sustained bull market driven by genuine supply disruptions, commercial hedgers may maintain bearish positioning for many months as prices grind higher. A commercial COT Index reading of fifteen indicating extreme bearishness might persist for three months while prices continue rallying before finally reversing. Traders without sufficient capital and risk tolerance to weather such drawdowns will exit prematurely, precisely when the signal is about to work (Irwin and Sanders, 2012).
Position sizing discipline becomes paramount when implementing COT-based strategies. Rather than risking large percentages of capital on individual signals, successful COT traders typically allocate modest position sizes across multiple signals, allowing some to take time to mature while others work more quickly.
The indicator also cannot overcome fundamental regime changes that alter the structural drivers of markets. If gold enters a true secular bull market driven by monetary debasement, commercial hedgers may remain persistently bearish as mining companies sell forward years of production at what they perceive as favorable prices. Their positioning indicates valuation concerns from a production cost perspective, but cannot stop prices from rising if investment demand overwhelms physical supply-demand balance.
Similarly, structural changes in market participation can alter the meaning of positioning extremes. The growth of commodity index investing in the two thousands brought massive passive long-only capital into futures markets, fundamentally changing typical positioning ranges. Traders relying on COT signals without recognizing this regime change would have generated numerous false bearish signals during the commodity supercycle from 2003 to 2008.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis derives primarily from commodity markets where the commercial hedger information advantage is most pronounced. Studies specifically examining financial futures like equity indices and bonds show weaker but still present effects. Traders should calibrate expectations accordingly, recognizing that COT analysis likely works better for crude oil, natural gas, corn, and wheat than for the S&P 500, Treasury bonds, or currency futures.
Another important limitation involves the reporting threshold structure. Not all market participants appear in COT data, only those holding positions above specified minimums. In markets dominated by a few large players, concentration metrics become critical for proper interpretation. A single large trader accounting for thirty percent of commercial positioning might skew the entire category if their individual circumstances are idiosyncratic rather than representative.
GOLD FUTURES DURING A HYPOTHETICAL MARKET CYCLE
Consider a practical example using gold futures during a hypothetical but realistic market scenario that illustrates how the COT Index indicator guides trading decisions through a complete market cycle. Suppose gold has rallied from fifteen hundred to nineteen hundred dollars per ounce over six months, driven by inflation concerns following aggressive monetary expansion, geopolitical uncertainty, and sustained buying by Asian central banks for reserve diversification.
Large speculators, operating primarily trend-following strategies, have accumulated increasingly bullish positions throughout this rally. Their COT Index has climbed progressively from forty-five to eighty-five. The table display shows that large speculators now hold net long positions representing thirty-two percent of total open interest, their highest in four years. Momentum indicators show positive readings, indicating positions are still building though at a decelerating rate. Position velocity has turned negative, suggesting the pace of position building is slowing.
Meanwhile, commercial hedgers have responded to the rally by aggressively selling forward production and inventory. Their COT Index has moved inversely to price, declining from fifty-five to twenty. This bearish commercial positioning represents mining companies locking in forward sales at prices they view as attractive relative to production costs. The table shows commercials now hold net short positions representing twenty-nine percent of total open interest, their most bearish stance in five years. Concentration metrics indicate this positioning is broadly distributed across many commercial entities, suggesting the bearish stance reflects collective industry view rather than idiosyncratic positioning by a single firm.
Small traders, attracted by mainstream financial media coverage of gold's impressive rally, have recently piled into long positions. Their COT Index has jumped from forty-five to seventy-eight as retail investors chase the trend. Television financial networks feature frequent segments on gold with bullish guests. Internet forums and social media show surging retail interest. This retail enthusiasm historically marks late-stage trend development rather than early opportunity.
The COT Index indicator, configured to monitor commercial positioning from a contrarian perspective, displays a clear bearish signal given the extreme commercial short positioning. The table displays multiple confirming metrics: positioning extremity shows commercials at the ninety-sixth percentile of bearishness, market power indicates they control twenty-nine percent of open interest, and sentiment divergence registers sixty-five, indicating massive disagreement between commercial hedgers and large speculators. This divergence, the highest in three years, places the market in the historically high-risk category for reversals.
The interpretation requires nuance and consideration of context beyond just COT data. Commercials are not necessarily predicting an imminent crash. Rather, they are hedging business operations at what they collectively view as favorable price levels. However, the data reveals they have sold unusually large quantities of forward production, suggesting either exceptional production expectations for the year ahead or concern about sustaining current price levels or combination of both. Combined with extreme speculator positioning indicating a crowded long trade, and small trader enthusiasm confirming retail FOMO, the confluence suggests elevated reversal risk even if the precise timing remains uncertain.
A prudent trader analyzing this situation might take several actions based on COT Index signals. Existing long positions could be tightened with closer stop losses. Profit-taking on a portion of long exposure could lock in gains while maintaining some participation. Some traders might initiate modest short positions as portfolio hedges, sizing them appropriately for the inherent uncertainty in timing reversals. Others might simply move to the sidelines, avoiding new long entries until positioning normalizes.
The key lesson from case study analysis is that COT signals provide probabilistic edges rather than deterministic predictions. They work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over time, yet still means forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. Traders must embrace this probabilistic reality rather than seeking the impossible goal of perfect accuracy.
INTEGRATION WITH TRADING SYSTEMS
Integration with existing trading systems represents a natural and powerful use case for COT analysis, adding a positioning dimension to price-based technical approaches or fundamental analytical frameworks. Few traders rely exclusively on a single indicator or methodology. Rather, they build systems that synthesize multiple information sources, with each component addressing different aspects of market behavior.
Trend followers might use COT extremes as regime filters, modifying position sizing or avoiding new trend entries when positioning reaches levels historically associated with reversals. Consider a classic trend-following system based on moving average crossovers and momentum breakouts. Integration of COT analysis adds nuance. When large speculator positioning exceeds ninety or commercial positioning falls below ten, the regime filter recognizes elevated reversal risk. The system might reduce position sizing by fifty percent for new signals during these high-risk periods (Kaufman, 2013).
Mean reversion traders might require COT signal confluence before fading extended moves. When crude oil becomes technically overbought and large speculators show extreme long positioning above eighty-five, both signals confirm. If only technical indicators show extremes while positioning remains neutral, the potential short signal is rejected, avoiding fades of trends with underlying institutional support (Kaufman, 2013).
Discretionary traders can monitor the indicator as a continuous awareness tool, informing bias and position sizing without dictating mechanical entries and exits. A discretionary trader might notice commercial positioning shifting from neutral to progressively more bullish over several months. This trend informs growing positive bias even without triggering mechanical signals.
Multi-timeframe analysis represents another powerful integration approach. A trader might use daily charts for trade execution and timing while monitoring weekly COT positioning for strategic context. When both timeframes align, highest-probability opportunities emerge.
Portfolio construction for futures traders can incorporate COT signals as an additional selection criterion. Markets showing strong technical setups AND favorable COT positioning receive highest allocations. Markets with strong technicals but neutral or unfavorable positioning receive reduced allocations.
ADVANCED METRICS AND INTERPRETATION
The metrics table transforms simple positioning data into multidimensional market intelligence. Position extremity, calculated as the absolute deviation from the historical mean normalized by standard deviation, helps identify truly unusual readings versus routine fluctuations. A reading above two standard deviations indicates ninety-fifth percentile or higher extremity. Above three standard deviations indicates ninety-ninth percentile or higher, genuinely rare positioning that historically precedes major events with high probability.
Market power, expressed as a percentage of total open interest, reveals whose positioning matters most from a mechanical market impact perspective. Consider two scenarios in gold futures. In scenario one, commercials show a COT Index reading of fifteen while their market power metric shows they hold net shorts representing thirty-five percent of open interest. This is a high-confidence bearish signal. In scenario two, commercials also show a reading of fifteen, but market power shows only eight percent. While positioning is extreme relative to this category's normal range, their limited market share means less mechanical influence on price.
The rate of change and momentum metrics highlight whether positions are accelerating or decelerating, often providing earlier warnings than absolute levels alone. A COT Index reading of seventy-five with rapidly building momentum suggests continued movement toward extremes. Conversely, a reading of eighty-five with decelerating or negative momentum indicates the positioning trend is exhausting.
Position velocity measures the rate of change in positioning changes, effectively a second derivative. When velocity shifts from positive to negative, it indicates that while positioning may still be growing, the pace of growth is slowing. This deceleration often precedes actual reversal in positioning direction by several weeks.
Sentiment divergence calculates the absolute difference between normalized commercial and large speculator index values. When commercials show extreme bearish positioning at twenty while large speculators show extreme bullish positioning at eighty, the divergence reaches sixty, representing near-maximum disagreement. Wang (2003) found that these high-divergence environments frequently preceded increased volatility and reversals. The mechanism is intuitive. Extreme divergence indicates the informed hedgers and momentum-following speculators have positioned opposite each other with conviction. One group will prove correct and profit while the other proves incorrect and suffers losses. The resolution of this disagreement through price movement often involves volatility.
The table also displays concentration metrics when available. High concentration indicates a few dominant players controlling most of the positioning within a category, while low concentration suggests broad-based participation. Broad-based positioning more reliably reflects collective market intelligence and industry consensus. If mining companies globally all independently decide to hedge aggressively at similar price levels, it suggests genuine industry-wide view about price valuations rather than circumstances specific to one firm.
DATA QUALITY AND RELIABILITY
The CFTC has maintained COT reporting in various forms since the nineteen twenties, providing nearly a century of positioning data across multiple market cycles. However, data quality and reporting standards have evolved substantially over this long period. Modern electronic reporting implemented in the late nineteen nineties and early two thousands significantly improved accuracy and timeliness compared to earlier paper-based systems.
Traders should understand that COT reports capture positions as of Tuesday's close each week. Markets remain open three additional days before publication on Friday afternoon, meaning the reported data is three days stale when received. During periods of rapid market movement or major news events, this lag can be significant. The indicator addresses this limitation by including timestamp information and staleness warnings.
The three-day lag creates particular challenges during extreme volatility episodes. Flash crashes, surprise central bank interventions, geopolitical shocks, and other high-impact events can completely transform market positioning within hours. Traders must exercise judgment about whether reported positioning remains relevant given intervening events.
Reporting thresholds also mean that not all market participants appear in disaggregated COT data. Traders holding positions below specified minimums aggregate into the non-reportable or small trader category. This aggregation affects different markets differently. In highly liquid contracts like crude oil with thousands of participants, reportable traders might represent seventy to eighty percent of open interest. In thinly traded contracts with only dozens of active participants, a few large reportable positions might represent ninety-five percent of open interest.
Another data quality consideration involves trader classification into categories. The CFTC assigns traders to commercial or non-commercial categories based on reported business purpose and activities. However, this process is not perfect. Some entities engage in both commercial and speculative activities, creating ambiguity about proper classification. The transition to Disaggregated reports attempted to address some of these ambiguities by creating more granular categories.
COMPARISON WITH ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES
Several alternative approaches to COT analysis exist in the trading community beyond the normalization methodology employed by this indicator. Some analysts focus on absolute position changes week-over-week rather than index-based normalization. This approach calculates the change in net positioning from one week to the next. The emphasis falls on momentum in positioning changes rather than absolute levels relative to history. This method potentially identifies regime shifts earlier but sacrifices cross-market comparability (Briese, 2008).
Other practitioners employ more complex statistical transformations including percentile rankings, z-score standardization, and machine learning classification algorithms. Ruan and Zhang (2018) demonstrated that machine learning models applied to COT data could achieve modest improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to simple threshold-based approaches. However, these gains came at the cost of interpretability and implementation complexity.
The COT Index indicator intentionally employs a relatively straightforward normalization methodology for several important reasons. First, transparency enhances user understanding and trust. Traders can verify calculations manually and develop intuitive feel for what different readings mean. Second, academic research suggests that most of the predictive power in COT data comes from extreme positioning levels rather than subtle patterns requiring complex statistical methods to detect. Third, robust methods that work consistently across many markets and time periods tend to be simpler rather than more complex, reducing the risk of overfitting to historical data. Fourth, the complexity costs of implementation matter for retail traders without programming teams or computational infrastructure.
PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF COT TRADING
Trading based on COT data requires psychological fortitude that differs from momentum-based approaches. Contrarian positioning signals inherently mean betting against prevailing market sentiment and recent price action. When commercials reach extreme bearish positioning, prices have typically been rising, sometimes for extended periods. The price chart looks bullish, momentum indicators confirm strength, moving averages align positively. The COT signal says bet against all of this. This psychological difficulty explains why COT analysis remains underutilized relative to trend-following methods.
Human psychology strongly predisposes us toward extrapolation and recency bias. When prices rally for months, our pattern-matching brains naturally expect continued rally. The recent price action dominates our perception, overwhelming rational analysis about positioning extremes and historical probabilities. The COT signal asking us to sell requires overriding these powerful psychological impulses.
The indicator design attempts to support the required psychological discipline through several features. Clear threshold markers and signal states reduce ambiguity about when signals trigger. When the commercial index crosses below twenty, the signal is explicit and unambiguous. The background shifts to red, the signal label displays bearish, and alerts fire. This explicitness helps traders act on signals rather than waiting for additional confirmation that may never arrive.
The metrics table provides analytical justification for contrarian positions, helping traders maintain conviction during inevitable periods of adverse price movement. When a trader enters short positions based on extreme commercial bearish positioning but prices continue rallying for several weeks, doubt naturally emerges. The table display provides reassurance. Commercial positioning remains extremely bearish. Divergence remains high. The positioning thesis remains intact even though price action has not yet confirmed.
Alert functionality ensures traders do not miss signals due to inattention while also not requiring constant monitoring that can lead to emotional decision-making. Setting alerts for COT extremes enables a healthier relationship with markets. When meaningful signals occur, alerts notify them. They can then calmly assess the situation and execute planned responses.
However, no indicator design can completely overcome the psychological difficulty of contrarian trading. Some traders simply cannot maintain short positions while prices rally. For these traders, COT analysis might be better employed as an exit signal for long positions rather than an entry signal for shorts.
Ultimately, successful COT trading requires developing comfort with probabilistic thinking rather than certainty-seeking. The signals work over many observations by identifying higher-probability configurations, not by generating perfect calls on individual trades. A fifty-five or sixty percent win rate with proper risk management produces substantial profits over years, yet still means forty to forty-five percent of signals will be premature or wrong. COT analysis provides genuine edge, but edge means probability advantage, not elimination of losing trades.
EDUCATIONAL RESOURCES AND CONTINUOUS LEARNING
The indicator provides extensive built-in educational resources through its documentation, detailed tooltips, and transparent calculations. However, mastering COT analysis requires study beyond any single tool or resource. Several excellent resources provide valuable extensions of the concepts covered in this guide.
Books and practitioner-focused monographs offer accessible entry points. Stephen Briese published The Commitments of Traders Bible in two thousand eight, offering detailed breakdowns of how different markets and trader categories behave (Briese, 2008). Briese's work stands out for its empirical focus and market-specific insights. Jack Schwager includes discussion of COT analysis within the broader context of market behavior in his book Market Sense and Nonsense (Schwager, 2012). Perry Kaufman's Trading Systems and Methods represents perhaps the most rigorous practitioner-focused text on systematic trading approaches including COT analysis (Kaufman, 2013).
Academic journal articles provide the rigorous statistical foundation underlying COT analysis. The Journal of Futures Markets regularly publishes research on positioning data and its predictive properties. Bessembinder and Chan's earlier work on systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets provides theoretical foundation (Bessembinder, 1992). Chang's examination of speculator returns provides historical context (Chang, 1985). Irwin and Sanders provide essential skeptical perspective in their two thousand twelve article (Irwin and Sanders, 2012). Wang's two thousand three article provides one of the most empirical analyses of COT data across multiple commodity markets (Wang, 2003).
Online resources extend beyond academic and book-length treatments. The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports in multiple formats. The explanatory materials section offers detailed documentation of report construction, category definitions, and historical methodology changes. Traders serious about COT analysis should read these official CFTC documents to understand exactly what they are analyzing.
Commercial COT data services such as Barchart provide enhanced visualization and analysis tools beyond raw CFTC data. TradingView's educational materials, published scripts library, and user community provide additional resources for exploring different approaches to COT analysis.
The key to mastering COT analysis lies not in finding a single definitive source but rather in building understanding through multiple perspectives and information sources. Academic research provides rigorous empirical foundation. Practitioner-focused books offer practical implementation insights. Direct engagement with data through systematic backtesting develops intuition about how positioning dynamics manifest across different market conditions.
SYNTHESIZING KNOWLEDGE INTO PRACTICE
The COT Index indicator represents the synthesis of academic research, trading experience, and software engineering into a practical tool accessible to retail traders equipped with nothing more than a TradingView account and willingness to learn. What once required expensive data subscriptions, custom programming capabilities, statistical software, and institutional resources now appears as a straightforward indicator requiring only basic parameter selection and modest study to understand. This democratization of institutional-grade analysis tools represents a broader trend in financial markets over recent decades.
Yet technology and data access alone provide no edge without understanding and discipline. Markets remain relentlessly efficient at eliminating edges that become too widely known and mechanically exploited. The COT Index indicator succeeds only when users invest time learning the underlying concepts, understand the limitations and probability distributions involved, and integrate signals thoughtfully into trading plans rather than applying them mechanically.
The academic research demonstrates conclusively that institutional positioning contains genuine information about future price movements, particularly at extremes where commercial hedgers are maximally bearish or bullish relative to historical norms. This informational content is neither perfect nor deterministic but rather probabilistic, providing edge over many observations through identification of higher-probability configurations. Bessembinder and Chan's finding that commercial positioning explained modest but significant variance in future returns illustrates this probabilistic nature perfectly (Bessembinder and Chan, 1992). The effect is real and statistically significant, yet it explains perhaps ten to fifteen percent of return variance rather than most variance. Much of price movement remains unpredictable even with positioning intelligence.
The practical implication is that COT analysis works best as one component of a trading system rather than a standalone oracle. It provides the positioning dimension, revealing where the smart money has positioned and where the crowd has followed, but price action analysis provides the timing dimension. Fundamental analysis provides the catalyst dimension. Risk management provides the survival dimension. These components work together synergistically.
The indicator's design philosophy prioritizes transparency and education over black-box complexity, empowering traders to understand exactly what they are analyzing and why. Every calculation is documented and user-adjustable. The threshold markers, background coloring, tables, and clear signal states provide multiple reinforcing channels for conveying the same information.
This educational approach reflects a conviction that sustainable trading success comes from genuine understanding rather than mechanical system-following. Traders who understand why commercial positioning matters, how different trader categories behave, what positioning extremes signify, and where signals fit within probability distributions can adapt when market conditions change. Traders mechanically following black-box signals without comprehension abandon systems after normal losing streaks.
The research foundation supporting COT analysis comes primarily from commodity markets where commercial hedger informational advantages are most pronounced. Agricultural producers hedging crops know more about supply conditions than distant speculators. Energy companies hedging production know more about operating costs than financial traders. Metals miners hedging output know more about ore grades than index funds. Financial futures markets show weaker but still present effects.
The journey from reading this documentation to profitable trading based on COT analysis involves several stages that cannot be rushed. Initial reading and basic understanding represents the first stage. Historical study represents the second stage, reviewing past market cycles to observe how positioning extremes preceded major turning points. Paper trading or small-size real trading represents the third stage to experience the psychological challenges. Refinement based on results and personal psychology represents the fourth stage.
Markets will continue evolving. New participant categories will emerge. Regulatory structures will change. Technology will advance. Yet the fundamental dynamics driving COT analysis, that different market participants have different information, different motivations, and different forecasting abilities that manifest in their positioning, will persist as long as futures markets exist. While specific thresholds or optimal parameters may shift over time, the core logic remains sound and adaptable.
The trader equipped with this indicator, understanding of the theory and evidence behind COT analysis, realistic expectations about probability rather than certainty, discipline to maintain positions through adverse volatility, and patience to allow signals time to develop possesses genuine edge in markets. The edge is not enormous, markets cannot allow large persistent inefficiencies without arbitraging them away, but it is real, measurable, and exploitable by those willing to invest in learning and disciplined application.
REFERENCES
Bessembinder, H. (1992) Systematic risk, hedging pressure, and risk premiums in futures markets, Review of Financial Studies, 5(4), pp. 637-667.
Bessembinder, H. and Chan, K. (1992) The profitability of technical trading rules in the Asian stock markets, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 3(2-3), pp. 257-284.
Briese, S. (2008) The Commitments of Traders Bible: How to Profit from Insider Market Intelligence. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Chang, E.C. (1985) Returns to speculators and the theory of normal backwardation, Journal of Finance, 40(1), pp. 193-208.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2009) Explanatory Notes: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) (2020) Commitments of Traders: About the Report. Available at: www.cftc.gov (Accessed: 15 January 2025).
Irwin, S.H. and Sanders, D.R. (2012) Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets, Energy Economics, 34(1), pp. 256-269.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013) Trading Systems and Methods. 5th edn. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Ruan, Y. and Zhang, Y. (2018) Forecasting commodity futures prices using machine learning: Evidence from the Chinese commodity futures market, Applied Economics Letters, 25(12), pp. 845-849.
Sanders, D.R., Boris, K. and Manfredo, M. (2004) Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's Commitments of Traders reports, Energy Economics, 26(3), pp. 425-445.
Schwager, J.D. (2012) Market Sense and Nonsense: How the Markets Really Work and How They Don't. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Tharp, V.K. (2008) Super Trader: Make Consistent Profits in Good and Bad Markets. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Wang, C. (2003) The behavior and performance of major types of futures traders, Journal of Futures Markets, 23(1), pp. 1-31.
Williams, L.R. and Noseworthy, M. (2009) The Right Stock at the Right Time: Prospering in the Coming Good Years. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
FURTHER READING
For traders seeking to deepen their understanding of COT analysis and futures market positioning beyond this documentation, the following resources provide valuable extensions:
Academic Journal Articles:
Fishe, R.P.H. and Smith, A. (2012) Do speculators drive commodity prices away from supply and demand fundamentals?, Journal of Commodity Markets, 1(1), pp. 1-16.
Haigh, M.S., Hranaiova, J. and Overdahl, J.A. (2007) Hedge funds, volatility, and liquidity provision in energy futures markets, Journal of Alternative Investments, 9(4), pp. 10-38.
Kocagil, A.E. (1997) Does futures speculation stabilize spot prices? Evidence from metals markets, Applied Financial Economics, 7(1), pp. 115-125.
Sanders, D.R. and Irwin, S.H. (2011) The impact of index funds in commodity futures markets: A systems approach, Journal of Alternative Investments, 14(1), pp. 40-49.
Books and Practitioner Resources:
Murphy, J.J. (1999) Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Pring, M.J. (2002) Technical Analysis Explained: The Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points. 4th edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Federal Reserve and Research Institution Publications:
Federal Reserve Banks regularly publish working papers examining commodity markets, futures positioning, and price discovery mechanisms. The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City maintain active research programs in this area.
Online Resources:
The CFTC website provides free access to current and historical COT reports, explanatory materials, and regulatory documentation.
Barchart offers enhanced COT data visualization and screening tools.
TradingView's community library contains numerous published scripts and educational materials exploring different approaches to positioning analysis.
HARSI PRO v2 - Advanced Adaptive Heikin-Ashi RSI OscillatorThis script is a fully re-engineered and enhanced version of the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator created by JayRogers. While it preserves the foundational concept and visual structure of the original indicatorusing Heikin-Ashi-style candles to represent RSI movementit introduces a range of institutional-grade engines and real-time analytics modules.
The core idea behind HARSI is to visualize the internal structure of RSI behavior using candle representations. This gives traders a clearer sense of trend continuity, exhaustion, and momentum inflection. In this upgraded version, the system is extended far beyond basic visualization into a comprehensive diagnostic and context-tracking tool.
Core Enhancements and Features
1. Heikin-Ashi RSI Candles
The base HARSI logic transforms RSI values into open, high, low, and close components, which are plotted as Heikin-Ashi-style candles. The open values are smoothed with a user-controlled bias setting, and the high/low are calculated from zero-centered RSI values.
2. Smoothed RSI Histogram and Plot
A secondary RSI plot and histogram are available for traditional RSI interpretation, optionally smoothed using a custom midpoint EMA process.
3. Dynamic Stochastic RSI Ribbon
The indicator optionally includes a smoothed Stochastic RSI ribbon with directional fill to highlight acceleration and reversal zones.
4. Real-Time Meta-State Engine
This engine determines the current market environmentneutral, breakout, or reversalbased on multiple adaptive conditions including volatility compression, momentum thrust, volume behavior, and composite reversal scoring.
5. Adaptive Overbought/Oversold Zone Engine
Instead of using fixed RSI thresholds, this engine dynamically adjusts OB/OS boundaries based on recent RSI range and normalized price volatility. This makes the OB/OS levels context-sensitive and more accurate across different instruments and regimes.
6. Composite Reversal Score Engine
A real-time score between 0 and 5 is generated using four components:
* OB/OS proximity (zone score)
* RSI slope behavior
* Volume state (burst or exhaustion)
* Trend continuation penalty based on position versus trend bias
This score allows for objective filtering of reversal zones and breakout traps.
7. Kalman Velocity Filter
A Kalman-style adaptive smoothing filter is applied to RSI for calculating velocity and acceleration. This allows for real-time detection of stalls and thrusts in RSI behavior.
8. Predictive Breakout Estimator
Uses ATR compression and RSI thrusting conditions to detect likely breakout environments. This logic contributes to the Meta-State Engine and the Breakout Risk dashboard metric.
9. Volume Acceleration Model
Real-time detection of volume bursts and fades based on VWMA baselines. Volume exhaustion warnings are used to qualify or disqualify reversals and breakouts.
10. Trend Bias and Regime Detection
Uses RSI slope, HARSI body impulse, and normalized ATR to classify the current trend state and directional bias. This forms the basis for filtering false reversals during strong trends.
11. Dashboard with Tooltips
A clean, table displays six key metrics in real time:
* Meta State
* Reversal Score
* Trend Bias
* Volume State
* Volatility Regime
* Breakout Risk
Each cell includes a descriptive tooltip explaining why the value is being shown based on internal state calculations.
How It Works Internally
* The system calculates a zero-centered RSI and builds candle structures using high, low, and smoothed open/close values.
* Volatility normalization is used throughout the script, including ATR-based thresholds and dynamic scaling of OB/OS zones.
* Momentum is filtered through smoothed slope calculations and HARSI body size measurements.
* Volume activity is compared against VWMA using configurable multipliers to detect institutional-level activity or exhaustion.
* Each regime detection module contributes to a centralized metaState classifier that determines whether the environment is conducive to reversal, breakout, or neutral action.
* All major signal and context values are continuously updated in a dashboard table with logic-driven color coding and tooltips.
Based On and Credits
This script is based on the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator by JayRogers . All visual elements from the original version, including candle plotting and color configurations, have been retained and extended. Significant backend enhancements were added by AresIQ for the 2025 release. The script remains open-source under the original attribution license. Credit to JayRogers is preserved and required for any derivative versions.
Magnificent 7 Overall Percentage Change with MA and Angle LabelsMagnificent 7 Overall Percentage Change with MA and Angle Labels
Overview:
The "Magnificent 7 Overall Percentage Change with MA and Angle Labels" indicator tracks the percentage change of seven key tech stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, Meta, and Alphabet) and displays their overall average percentage change on the chart. It also provides a moving average of this overall change and calculates the angle of the moving average to help traders gauge the momentum and direction of the overall trend.
How it works:
Real-Time Percentage Change: The indicator calculates the percentage change of each of the "Magnificent 7" stocks compared to their previous day's closing price, giving a snapshot of the market's performance.
Overall Average: It then computes the average of the seven stocks' percentage changes to reflect the broader movement of these major tech companies.
Moving Average: The indicator offers a choice of four types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, or VWMA) to smooth the overall percentage change, allowing traders to focus on the trend rather than short-term fluctuations.
Slope and Angle Calculation: To provide additional insights, the indicator calculates the slope of the moving average and converts it into an angle (in degrees). This can help traders determine the strength of the trend—steeper angles often indicate stronger momentum.
Key Features:
Percentage Change of the "Magnificent 7":
Tracks the percentage change of Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), NVIDIA (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), and Alphabet (GOOGL) on the current chart's timeframe.
Overall Average Change:
Computes the average percentage change across all seven stocks, giving a combined view of how the most influential tech stocks are performing.
Customizable Moving Averages:
Offers four types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA) to provide flexibility in tracking the trend of the overall percentage change.
Angle Calculation:
Measures the angle of the moving average in degrees, which helps assess the strength of the market’s momentum. Alerts and visual cues can be triggered based on the angle's steepness.
Visual Cues:
The percentage change is plotted in green when positive and red when negative, with a background color that changes accordingly. A zero line is plotted for reference.
Use Case:
This indicator is ideal for traders and investors looking to track the collective performance of the most dominant tech companies in the market. It provides real-time insights into how the "Magnificent 7" stocks are moving together and offers clues about potential market momentum based on the direction and angle of their average percentage change.
Customization:
Moving Average Type and Length: Choose between different types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA) and adjust the length to suit your preferred timeframe.
Angle Threshold: Set an angle threshold to trigger alerts when the moving average slope becomes too steep, indicating strong momentum.
Alerts:
Alerts can be created based on the crossing of the moving average or when the angle of the moving average exceeds a specified threshold. This ensures traders are notified when the trend is accelerating or decelerating significantly.
Conclusion:
The "Magnificent 7 Overall Percentage Change with MA and Angle Labels" indicator is a powerful tool for those wanting to monitor the performance of the most influential tech stocks, analyze their overall trend, and receive timely alerts when market conditions shift.
ICT Concepts [LuxAlgo]The ICT Concepts indicator regroups core concepts highlighted by trader and educator "The Inner Circle Trader" (ICT) into an all-in-one toolkit. Features include Market Structure (MSS & BOS), Order Blocks, Imbalances, Buyside/Sellside Liquidity, Displacements, ICT Killzones, and New Week/Day Opening Gaps.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Mode
When Present is selected, only data of the latest 500 bars are used/visualized, except for NWOG/NDOG
🔹 Market Structure
Enable/disable Market Structure.
Length: will set the lookback period/sensitivity.
In Present Mode only the latest Market Structure trend will be shown, while in Historical Mode, previous trends will be shown as well:
You can toggle MSS/BOS separately and change the colors:
🔹 Displacement
Enable/disable Displacement.
🔹 Volume Imbalance
Enable/disable Volume Imbalance.
# Visible VI's: sets the amount of visible Volume Imbalances (max 100), color setting is placed at the side.
🔹 Order Blocks
Enable/disable Order Blocks.
Swing Lookback: Lookback period used for the detection of the swing points used to create order blocks.
Show Last Bullish OB: Number of the most recent bullish order/breaker blocks to display on the chart.
Show Last Bearish OB: Number of the most recent bearish order/breaker blocks to display on the chart.
Color settings.
Show Historical Polarity Changes: Allows users to see labels indicating where a swing high/low previously occurred within a breaker block.
Use Candle Body: Allows users to use candle bodies as order block areas instead of the full candle range.
Change in Order Blocks style:
🔹 Liquidity
Enable/disable Liquidity.
Margin: sets the sensitivity, 2 points are fairly equal when:
'point 1' < 'point 2' + (10 bar Average True Range / (10 / margin)) and
'point 1' > 'point 2' - (10 bar Average True Range / (10 / margin))
# Visible Liq. boxes: sets the amount of visible Liquidity boxes (max 50), this amount is for Sellside and Buyside boxes separately.
Colour settings.
Change in Liquidity style:
🔹 Fair Value Gaps
Enable/disable FVG's.
Balance Price Range: this is the overlap of latest bullish and bearish Fair Value Gaps.
By disabling Balance Price Range only FVGs will be shown.
Options: Choose whether you wish to see FVG or Implied Fair Value Gaps (this will impact Balance Price Range as well)
# Visible FVG's: sets the amount of visible FVG's (max 20, in the same direction).
Color settings.
Change in FVG style:
🔹 NWOG/NDOG
Enable/disable NWOG; color settings; amount of NWOG shown (max 50).
Enable/disable NDOG ; color settings; amount of NDOG shown (max 50).
🔹 Fibonacci
This tool connects the 2 most recent bullish/bearish (if applicable) features of your choice, provided they are enabled.
3 examples (FVG, BPR, OB):
Extend lines -> Enabled (example OB):
🔹 Killzones
Enable/disable all or the ones you need.
Time settings are coded in the corresponding time zones.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the indicator displays each feature relevant to the most recent price variations in order to avoid clutter on the chart & to provide a very similar experience to how a user would contruct ICT Concepts by hand.
Users can use the historical mode in the settings to see historical market structure/imbalances. The ICT Concepts indicator has various use cases, below we outline many examples of how a trader could find usage of the features together.
In the above image we can see price took out Sellside liquidity, filled two bearish FVGs, a market structure shift, which then led to a clean retest of a bullish FVG as a clean setup to target the order block above.
Price then fills the OB which creates a breaker level as seen in yellow.
Broken OBs can be useful for a trader using the ICT Concepts indicator as it marks a level where orders have now been filled, indicating a solidified level that has proved itself as an area of liquidity. In the image above we can see a trade setup using a broken bearish OB as a potential entry level.
We can see the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) above was an optimal level to target considering price may tend to fill / react off of these levels according to ICT.
In the next image above, we have another example of various use cases where the ICT Concepts indicator hypothetically allow traders to find key levels & find optimal entry points using market structure.
In the image above we can see a bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed, indicating a potential trade setup for targeting the Balanced Price Range imbalance (BPR) below with a stop loss above the buyside liquidity.
Although what we are demonstrating here is a hindsight example, it shows the potential usage this toolkit gives you for creating trading plans based on ICT Concepts.
Same chart but playing out the history further we can see directly after price came down to the Sellside liquidity & swept below it...
Then by enabling IFVGs in the settings, we can see the IFVG retests alongside the Sellside & Buyside liquidity acting in confluence.
Which allows us to see a great bullish structure in the market with various key levels for potential entries.
Here we can see a potential bullish setup as price has taken out a previous Sellside liquidity zone and is now retesting a NWOG + Volume Imbalance.
Users also have the option to display Fibonacci retracements based on market structure, order blocks, and imbalance areas, which can help place limit/stop orders more effectively as well as finding optimal points of interest beyond what the primary ICT Concepts features can generate for a trader.
In the above image we can see the Fibonacci extension was selected to be based on the NWOG giving us some upside levels above the buyside liquidity.
🔶 DETAILS
Each feature within the ICT Concepts indicator is described in the sub sections below.
🔹 Market Structure
Market structure labels are constructed from price breaking a prior swing point. This allows a user to determine the current market trend based on the price action.
There are two types of Market Structure labels included:
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Break Of Structure (BOS)
A MSS occurs when price breaks a swing low in an uptrend or a swing high in a downtrend, highlighting a potential reversal. This is often labeled as "CHoCH", but ICT specifies it as MSS.
On the other hand, BOS labels occur when price breaks a swing high in an uptrend or a swing low in a downtrend. The occurrence of these particular swing points is caused by retracements (inducements) that highlights liquidity hunting in lower timeframes.
🔹 Order Blocks
More significant market participants (institutions) with the ability of placing large orders in the market will generally place a sequence of individual trades spread out in time. This is referred as executing what is called a "meta-order".
Order blocks highlight the area where potential meta-orders are executed. Bullish order blocks are located near local bottoms in an uptrend while bearish order blocks are located near local tops in a downtrend.
When price mitigates (breaks out) an order block, a breaker block is confirmed. We can eventually expect price to trade back to this breaker block offering a new trade opportunity.
🔹 Buyside & Sellside Liquidity
Buyside / Sellside liquidity levels highlight price levels where market participants might place limit/stop orders.
Buyside liquidity levels will regroup the stoploss orders of short traders as well as limit orders of long traders, while Sellside liquidity levels will regroup the stoploss orders of long traders as well as limit orders of short traders.
These levels can play different roles. More informed market participants might view these levels as source of liquidity, and once liquidity over a specific level is reduced it will be found in another area.
🔹 Imbalances
Imbalances highlight disparities between the bid/ask, these can also be defined as inefficiencies, which would suggest that not all available information is reflected by the price and would as such provide potential trading opportunities.
It is common for price to "rebalance" and seek to come back to a previous imbalance area.
ICT highlights multiple imbalance formations:
Fair Value Gaps: A three candle formation where the candle shadows adjacent to the central candle do not overlap, this highlights a gap area.
Implied Fair Value Gaps: Unlike the fair value gap the implied fair value gap has candle shadows adjacent to the central candle overlapping. The gap area is constructed from the average between the respective shadow and the nearest extremity of their candle body.
Balanced Price Range: Balanced price ranges occur when a fair value gap overlaps a previous fair value gap, with the overlapping area resulting in the imbalance area.
Volume Imbalance: Volume imbalances highlight gaps between the opening price and closing price with existing trading activity (the low/high overlap the previous high/low).
Opening Gap: Unlike volume imbalances opening gaps highlight areas with no trading activity. The low/high does not reach previous high/low, highlighting a "void" area.
🔹 Displacement
Displacements are scenarios where price forms successive candles of the same sentiment (bullish/bearish) with large bodies and short shadows.
These can more technically be identified by positive auto correlation (a close to open change is more likely to be followed by a change of the same sign) as well as volatility clustering (large changes are followed by large changes).
Displacements can be the cause for the formation of imbalances as well as market structure, these can be caused by the full execution of a meta order.
🔹 Kill Zones
Killzones represent different time intervals that aims at offering optimal trade entries. Killzones include:
- New York Killzone (7:9 ET)
- London Open Killzone (2:5 ET)
- London Close Killzone (10:12 ET)
- Asian Killzone (20:00 ET)
🔶 Conclusion & Supplementary Material
This script aims to emulate how a trader would draw each of the covered features on their chart in the most precise representation to how it's actually taught by ICT directly.
There are many parallels between ICT Concepts and Smart Money Concepts that we released in 2022 which has a more general & simpler usage:
ICT Concepts, however, is more specifically aligned toward the community's interpretation of how to analyze price 'based on ICT', rather than displaying features to have a more classic interpretation for a technical analyst.
Unmitigated MTF High Low Pro - Cave Diving Bookmap Heatmap Plot
Unmitigated MTF High Low Pro - Cave Diving Bookmap Heatmap Plot
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## 📖 Table of Contents
1. (#what-this-indicator-does)
2. (#core-concepts)
3. (#visual-components)
4. (#the-cave-diving-framework)
5. (#how-to-use-it-for-trading)
6. (#settings--customization)
7. (#best-practices)
8. (#common-scenarios)
---
## What This Indicator Does
The **Unmitigated MTF High Low v2.0** tracks unmitigated (untouch) high and low levels across multiple timeframes, helping you identify key support and resistance zones that the market hasn't revisited yet. Think of it as a sophisticated memory system for price action - it remembers where price has been, and more importantly, where it *hasn't been back to*.
### Why "Unmitigated" Matters
In futures trading, especially on instruments like NQ and ES, the market has a tendency to revisit levels where liquidity was left behind. An "unmitigated" level is one that hasn't been touched since it was formed. These levels often act as magnets for price, and understanding their age and proximity gives you a significant edge in:
- **Entry timing** - Waiting for price to approach tested levels
- **Exit planning** - Taking profits before ancient resistance/support
- **Risk management** - Avoiding entries when approaching multiple old levels
- **Liquidity mapping** - Visualizing where orders likely cluster
---
## Core Concepts
### 1. **Sessions & Age**
The indicator uses **New York trading sessions** (6:00 PM to 5:59 PM NY time) as the primary time measurement. This aligns with how futures markets naturally segment their activity.
**Age Categories:**
- 🟢 **New (0-1 sessions)** - Fresh levels, recently formed
- 🟡 **Medium (2-3 sessions)** - Tested by time, gaining significance
- 🔴 **Old (4-6 sessions)** - Highly significant, survived multiple days
- 🟣 **Ancient (7+ sessions)** - Extreme significance, major support/resistance
The longer a level remains unmitigated, the more significant it becomes. Think of it like compound interest - time adds weight to these zones.
### 2. **Multi-Timeframe Tracking**
You can set the indicator to track high/low levels from any timeframe (default is 15 minutes). This means you're watching for unmitigated 15-minute highs and lows while trading on, say, a 1-minute or 5-minute chart.
**Why this matters:**
- Higher timeframe levels have more weight
- You can see multiple timeframe structure simultaneously
- Helps you avoid fighting larger timeframe momentum
### 3. **Mitigation**
A level becomes "mitigated" (deactivated) when price touches it:
- **High levels** are mitigated when price reaches or exceeds them
- **Low levels** are mitigated when price reaches or goes below them
Once mitigated, the level disappears from view. The indicator only shows you the untouch levels that still matter.
---
## Visual Components
### 📊 The Dashboard Table
Located in the corner of your chart (configurable), the table shows:
```
┌─────────┬───────────┬────────┬─────┬───────┐
│ Level │ Price │ Points │ Age │ % │
├─────────┼───────────┼────────┼─────┼───────┤
│ ↑↑↑↑↑ │ 21,450.25 │ +45.50 │ 8 │ +0.21%│ ← 5th High (Ancient)
│ ↑↑↑↑ │ 21,430.00 │ +25.25 │ 5 │ +0.12%│ ← 4th High (Old)
│ ↑↑↑ │ 21,420.50 │ +15.75 │ 3 │ +0.07%│ ← 3rd High (Medium)
│ ↑↑ │ 21,412.00 │ +7.25 │ 1 │ +0.03%│ ← 2nd High (New)
│ ↑ ⚠️ │ 21,408.25 │ +3.50 │ 0 │ +0.02%│ ← 1st High (Proximity Alert!)
├─────────┼───────────┼────────┼─────┼───────┤
│ 15 mins │ 🟢 │ Δ 8.75 │ 2U │ │ ← Status Row
├─────────┼───────────┼────────┼─────┼───────┤
│ ↓ ⚠️ │ 21,399.50 │ -5.25 │ 0 │ -0.02%│ ← 1st Low (Proximity Alert!)
│ ↓↓ │ 21,395.00 │ -9.75 │ 2 │ -0.05%│ ← 2nd Low (Medium)
│ ↓↓↓ │ 21,385.25 │ -19.50 │ 4 │ -0.09%│ ← 3rd Low (Old)
│ ↓↓↓↓ │ 21,370.00 │ -34.75 │ 6 │ -0.16%│ ← 4th Low (Old)
│ ↓↓↓↓↓ │ 21,350.75 │ -54.00 │ 9 │ -0.25%│ ← 5th Low (Ancient)
├─────────┼───────────┼────────┼─────┼───────┤
│ 📊 15↑ / 12↓ │ ← Statistics (optional)
└─────────┴───────────┴────────┴─────┴───────┘
```
**Reading the Table:**
- **Level Column**: Number of arrows indicates position (1-5), color shows age
- **Price**: The actual price level
- **Points**: Distance from current price (+ for highs, - for lows)
- **Age**: Number of full sessions since creation
- **%**: Percentage distance from current price
- **⚠️**: Proximity alert - price is within threshold distance
- **Status Row**: Shows timeframe, direction (🟢 bullish/🔴 bearish), tunnel width (Δ), and Strat pattern
### 📈 Visual Elements on Chart
**1. Level Lines**
- Horizontal lines showing each unmitigated level
- **Color-coded by age**: Bright colors = new, darker = older, deep purple/teal = ancient
- **Line style**: Customizable (solid, dashed, dotted)
- Automatically turn **yellow** when price gets close (proximity alert)
**2. Price Labels**
- Show the exact price and age: "21,450.25 (8d)"
- Fixed at small size for clean readability
- Positioned with configurable offset from current bar
**3. Bands (Optional)**
- Shaded zones between pairs of unmitigated levels
- Default: Between 1st and 2nd levels (the "tunnel")
- Can switch to 1st-3rd, 2nd-3rd, or disable entirely
- **Upper band** (pink/maroon) - Between unmitigated highs
- **Lower band** (blue/teal) - Between unmitigated lows
- These represent the "no man's land" or consolidation zones
---
## The Cave Diving Framework
This indicator is designed around the **Cave Diving Trading Framework** - a psychological and technical approach that maps cave diving safety protocols to futures trading risk management.
### 🤿 The Core Metaphor
**Cave diving has clear danger zones based on depth and overhead environment. Your trading should too.**
#### Shallow Water (New Levels, 0-1 Sessions)
- **Light**: Bright colors (bright red highs, bright green lows)
- **Psychology**: Fresh territory, recently tested
- **Trading**: Be aware but not overly concerned
- **Cave Diving Parallel**: You can see the surface, easy exit
#### Penetration Depth (Medium Levels, 2-3 Sessions)
- **Light**: Medium intensity colors
- **Psychology**: Building significance, market memory forming
- **Trading**: Start respecting these levels for entries/exits
- **Cave Diving Parallel**: Deeper in, need to track your line back
#### Deep Dive Zone (Old Levels, 4-6 Sessions)
- **Light**: Dark colors (deep maroon, dark blue)
- **Psychology**: Highly tested support/resistance
- **Trading**: Major decision points, plan accordingly
- **Cave Diving Parallel**: Significant overhead, careful navigation required
#### Overhead Environment (Ancient Levels, 7+ Sessions)
- **Light**: Very dark, purple/deep teal
- **Psychology**: Extreme caution required, major liquidity zones
- **Trading**: These are your "turn back" signals - don't fight ancient levels
- **Cave Diving Parallel**: Maximum danger, no room for error
### 🎯 The Proximity Alert System
Just like a cave diver's depth gauge that warns at critical thresholds, the proximity alerts (⚠️) tell you when you're entering a danger zone. When price gets within your configured threshold (default 5 points), the indicator:
- Highlights the level in **yellow** on the chart
- Shows **⚠️** in the table
- Signals: "You're entering a high-significance zone - adjust your position accordingly"
This prevents the trading equivalent of going deeper into a cave without checking your air supply.
---
## How to Use It for Trading
### 🎯 Entry Strategies
**1. The "Bounce Setup" (Mean Reversion)**
- Wait for price to approach an old or ancient unmitigated level
- Look for confluence: multiple levels nearby, bands narrowing
- Enter when price shows rejection (reversal candle patterns)
- **Example**: Price drops to a 6-session-old low, shows bullish engulfing → Long entry
**2. The "Break and Retest" (Trend Following)**
- Wait for price to break through an unmitigated level (mitigates it)
- Enter on the retest of the newly broken level
- **Example**: Price breaks above 4-session-old high → Wait for pullback to that level → Long entry
**3. The "Tunnel Trade" (Range Trading)**
- When bands are active, trade the range between 1st-2nd levels
- Short near upper band resistance, long near lower band support
- Exit at opposite side or when bands break
### 🚨 Risk Management Rules
**The Ancient Level Rule**
> Never fight ancient levels (7+ sessions). If you're long and approaching an ancient high, take profits. If you're short and approaching an ancient low, take profits.
These levels have survived a full trading week without being touched - there's likely significant liquidity and institutional interest there.
**The Proximity Exit Rule**
> When you see ⚠️ proximity alerts on multiple levels above/below your position, tighten stops or scale out.
This is your "overhead environment" warning. You're in dangerous territory.
**The New Level Filter**
> Be cautious taking positions based solely on new levels (0-1 sessions). Wait for them to age or combine with other confluence.
Fresh levels haven't been tested by time. They're like unconfirmed support/resistance.
### 📊 Reading Market Structure
**Bullish Structure (🟢 in status row)**
- Unmitigated lows are aging and holding
- Price respecting the lower band
- Old lows below acting as strong support
- **Bias**: Look for long entries at lower levels
**Bearish Structure (🔴 in status row)**
- Unmitigated highs are aging and holding
- Price respecting the upper band
- Old highs above acting as strong resistance
- **Bias**: Look for short entries at higher levels
**The Tunnel Compression**
- When the Δ (delta) in the status row is small, levels are tight
- This often precedes a breakout
- **Trading**: Wait for breakout direction, then trade the break
### 🔄 Strat Integration
The indicator shows Strat patterns in the status row:
- **1** - Inside bar (consolidation)
- **2U** - Broke high only (bullish)
- **2D** - Broke low only (bearish)
- **3** - Broke both (wide range, volatility)
Use these with the unmitigated levels:
- **2U near old high** → Potential resistance, watch for rejection
- **2D near old low** → Potential support, watch for bounce
- **3 pattern** → High volatility, respect wider stops
---
## Settings & Customization
### 📅 Session & Timeframe Settings
**HL Interval** (Default: 15 minutes)
- The timeframe for high/low calculation
- **Lower (1m, 5m)**: More levels, more noise, good for scalping
- **Higher (30m, 1H, 4H)**: Fewer levels, stronger significance, good for swing trading
- **Recommendation for NQ/ES**: 15m or 30m for day trading, 1H for swing trading
**Session Age Threshold** (Default: 2)
- How many sessions before a level is considered "old"
- Lower = more levels classified as old
- Higher = stricter definition of significance
### 📊 Level Display Options
**Show Level Lines**
- Toggle: Display horizontal lines for each level
- **Turn off** if you prefer a cleaner chart and only want the table
**Show Level Labels**
- Toggle: Display price labels on the chart
- **Turn off** for minimal visual clutter
**Label Offset**
- Distance (in bars) from current price bar to place labels
- Increase if labels overlap with price action
**Level Line Width & Style**
- Customize visual appearance
- **Thin solid**: Minimal distraction
- **Thick dashed**: High visibility
### 🎨 Age-Based Color Coding
Customize colors for each age category (high and low separately):
- **New (0-1 sessions)**: Default bright red/green
- **Medium (2-3 sessions)**: Default medium intensity
- **Old (4+ sessions)**: Default dark red/blue
- **Ancient (7+ sessions)**: Default deep purple/teal
**Color Strategy Tips:**
- Keep ancient levels in highly contrasting colors
- Use opacity (transparency) if you want subtler lines
- Match your chart's color scheme for aesthetic coherence
### 🎯 Band Settings
**Band Mode**
- **1st-2nd** (Default): The primary "tunnel" between most recent levels
- **1st-3rd**: Wider band, more room for price action
- **2nd-3rd**: Band between less immediate levels
- **Disabled**: No bands, lines only
**Band Colors & Borders**
- Customize fill color and border separately
- **Tip**: Keep bands very transparent (90-95% transparency) to avoid obscuring price action
### ⚠️ Proximity Alert Settings
**Enable Proximity Alerts**
- Toggle: Turn on/off the warning system
- When enabled, levels within threshold distance show ⚠️ and turn yellow
**Alert Threshold** (Default: 5.0 points)
- Distance in points to trigger the alert
- **For NQ**: 5-10 points is reasonable
- **For ES**: 2-5 points is reasonable
- **For MES/MNQ**: Scale down proportionally
**Alert Highlight Color**
- The color lines/labels turn when proximity is triggered
- Default: Yellow (high visibility)
### 📋 Table Settings
**Show Table**
- Toggle: Display the dashboard table
**Table Location**
- Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right
- Choose based on your chart layout and other indicators
**Text Size**
- Tiny, Small, Normal, Large
- **Recommendation**: Normal for 1080p monitors, Small for 4K
**Show % Distance**
- Toggle: Add percentage distance column to table
- Useful for comparing relative distances across different price ranges
**Show Statistics Row**
- Toggle: Show total count of unmitigated highs/lows
- Format: "📊 15↑ / 12↓" (15 unmitigated highs, 12 unmitigated lows)
- Useful for gauging overall market structure
### ⚡ Performance Settings
**Enable Level Cleanup**
- Automatically remove very old levels to maintain performance
- **Keep on** unless you want unlimited history
**Max Lookback Levels** (Default: 10,000)
- Maximum number of levels to track
- 10,000 ≈ 6+ months of 15-minute bars
- **Increase** if you want more history
- **Decrease** if experiencing performance issues
**Max Boxes Per Band** (Default: 245)
- TradingView limit is 500 total boxes
- With 2 bands, 245 each = 490 total (safe maximum)
---
## Best Practices
### 🎯 Position Management
**1. Scaling In Near Old Levels**
```
Price approaching 5-session-old low:
- First position: 30% size at proximity alert (⚠️)
- Second position: 40% size at exact level
- Third position: 30% size if it shows strong rejection
```
**2. Scaling Out Near Ancient Levels**
```
Holding long position, approaching 8-session-old high:
- Exit 50% at proximity alert (⚠️)
- Exit 30% at exact level
- Trail stop on remaining 20%
```
### 🧠 Trading Psychology Integration
Drawing from principles in *The Mountain Is You*, this indicator helps you:
**1. Recognize Self-Sabotage Patterns**
- **The Premature Entry**: Entering before price reaches your planned level
- **Solution**: Set alerts at unmitigated levels, wait for proximity warnings
- **The Profit-Taking Problem**: Exiting too early from fear
- **Solution**: Identify the next unmitigated level and commit to holding until proximity alert
- **The Loss Holding**: Refusing to exit losing trades
- **Solution**: When price breaks through and mitigates your entry level, it's telling you the structure changed
**2. Building Better Habits**
The color-coded age system trains your brain to:
- Respect levels that have proven themselves over time
- Distinguish between noise (new levels) and structure (old levels)
- Make decisions based on objective data, not fear or greed
**3. Emotional Regulation**
The proximity alerts serve as:
- **Circuit breakers** - Forcing you to re-evaluate before dangerous zones
- **Permission to act** - Giving you objective signals to exit without second-guessing
- **Validation** - Confirming when you're in alignment with market structure
### 📝 Pre-Market Routine
**Daily Setup Checklist:**
1. ✅ Identify the 3 nearest unmitigated highs above current price
2. ✅ Identify the 3 nearest unmitigated lows below current price
3. ✅ Note which are ancient (7+) - these are your "no-go" zones
4. ✅ Check the tunnel width (Δ in status row) - tight or wide?
5. ✅ Set alerts at the 1st high and 1st low for proximity warnings
6. ✅ Plan: "If we go up, I exit at ___. If we go down, I enter at ___."
### 🔄 Timeframe Confluence
**Multi-Timeframe Strategy:**
Run the indicator on **three instances**:
- **15-minute** (short-term structure)
- **1-hour** (intermediate structure)
- **4-hour** (major structure)
**Strong Setup**: When all three timeframes show unmitigated levels converging at the same price zone.
**Example:**
- 15m: Old low at 21,400
- 1H: Ancient low at 21,398
- 4H: Ancient low at 21,395
- **Result**: 21,395-21,400 is a monster support zone
### ⚠️ What This Indicator Doesn't Do
**Not a Crystal Ball**
- It doesn't predict where price will go
- It shows you where price *hasn't been* and how long it's been avoided
- The trading decisions are still yours
**Not an Entry Signal Generator**
- It provides context and structure
- You need to combine it with your entry methodology (price action, indicators, order flow, etc.)
**Not Foolproof**
- Ancient levels get broken
- Proximity alerts can trigger early in strong trends
- The market doesn't "owe" you a reversal at any level
---
## Common Scenarios
### Scenario 1: "Level Cluster Ahead"
**Situation**: You're long at 21,400. The table shows:
- 1st High: 21,425 (2 sessions old)
- 2nd High: 21,428 (3 sessions old)
- 3rd High: 21,435 (6 sessions old)
**Interpretation**: There's a resistance cluster just 25-35 points away. The 6-session-old level is particularly significant.
**Action**:
- Set first profit target at 21,420 (before the cluster)
- Set second target at 21,426 (between 1st and 2nd)
- Trail remaining position, but be ready to exit on rejection at 21,435
**Cave Diving Analogy**: You're approaching an overhead section with limited clearance. Lighten your load (reduce position) before entering.
---
### Scenario 2: "Ancient Level Approaches"
**Situation**: The market is grinding higher. You see ⚠️ appear next to a 9-session-old high at 21,500.
**Interpretation**: This level has survived over a week without being touched. Massive potential liquidity zone.
**Action**:
- If long, this is your absolute exit zone. Take profits before or at level.
- If looking to short, wait for clear rejection (price taps and reverses)
- Don't try to buy the breakout until it clearly breaks and retests
**Cave Diving Analogy**: Your dive computer is beeping - you've reached your planned turn-back depth. No matter how interesting it looks ahead, honor your plan.
---
### Scenario 3: "Mitigated Levels Create New Structure"
**Situation**: Price breaks and mitigates the 1st High. The previous 2nd High becomes the new 1st High.
**Interpretation**: The structure just shifted. What was the 2nd level is now most relevant.
**Action**:
- Watch how price reacts to the newly-mitigated level
- If it holds below (acts as resistance), bearish
- If it reclaims and holds above (acts as support), bullish
- The NEW 1st High is your next target/resistance
**Cave Diving Analogy**: You've passed through a restriction - the cave layout ahead is different now. Update your mental map.
---
### Scenario 4: "Tight Tunnel, Upcoming Breakout"
**Situation**: The Δ in the status row shows 3.25 points (very tight). Bands are converging.
**Interpretation**: Price is consolidating between very close unmitigated levels. Breakout likely.
**Action**:
- Don't try to predict direction
- Set alerts above 1st High and below 1st Low
- When break occurs, trade the retest
- Expect volatility - use wider stops
**Cave Diving Analogy**: You're in a narrow passage. Movement will be sudden and directional once it starts.
---
### Scenario 5: "Imbalanced Structure"
**Situation**: The statistics row shows "📊 22↑ / 7↓"
**Interpretation**: There are many more unmitigated highs than lows. This suggests:
- Price has been declining (hitting lows, leaving highs behind)
- Potential bullish reversal zone (lots of overhead supply mitigated)
- Or continued bearish structure (resistance everywhere above)
**Action**:
- Look at the age of those 22 highs
- If mostly new (0-2 sessions): Just a recent downmove, not significant yet
- If many old/ancient: Strong overhead resistance, be cautious on longs
- Compare to price action: Is price respecting the remaining lows?
**Cave Diving Analogy**: You've swam deeper than your starting point - most of your markers are above you now. Are you planning the ascent or going deeper?
---
## Final Thoughts: The Philosophy
This indicator is built on a simple but powerful principle: **The market has memory, and that memory has weight.**
Every unmitigated level represents:
- Liquidity left behind
- Orders waiting to be filled
- Institutional interest potentially parked
- Psychological significance for participants
The longer a level remains unmitigated, the more "charged" it becomes. When price finally revisits it, something significant usually happens - either a strong reversal or a definitive break.
Your job as a trader isn't to predict which outcome will occur. Your job is to:
1. **Recognize** when you're approaching these charged zones
2. **Respect** them by adjusting position size and risk
3. **React** appropriately based on how price behaves at them
4. **Remember** that ancient levels (like ancient wisdom) deserve extra reverence
The Cave Diving Framework embedded in this indicator serves as a constant reminder: Trading, like cave diving, requires rigorous respect for environmental hazards, meticulous planning, and the discipline to turn back when your limits are reached.
**Every proximity alert is the market asking you**: *"Do you really want to go deeper?"*
Sometimes the answer is yes - when your setup, confluence, and risk management all align.
Often, the answer should be no - and that's the trader avoiding the accident that would have happened to the gambler.
---
### 🎯 Quick Reference Card
**Color System:**
- 🟢 Bright colors = New (0-1 sessions) = Shallow water
- 🟡 Medium colors = Medium (2-3 sessions) = Penetration depth
- 🔴 Dark colors = Old (4-6 sessions) = Deep dive zone
- 🟣 Deep dark colors = Ancient (7+ sessions) = Overhead environment
**Symbols:**
- ↑ ↑↑ ↑↑↑ ↑↑↑↑ ↑↑↑↑↑ = High levels (1st through 5th)
- ↓ ↓↓ ↓↓↓ ↓↓↓↓ ↓↓↓↓↓ = Low levels (1st through 5th)
- ⚠️ = Proximity alert (danger zone)
- 🟢 = Bullish structure
- 🔴 = Bearish structure
- Δ = Tunnel width (distance between 1st high and 1st low)
**Critical Rules:**
1. Never fight ancient levels (7+ sessions)
2. Respect proximity alerts (⚠️)
3. Scale out near old/ancient resistance
4. Wait for confluence when entering
5. Let mitigated levels prove their new role
---
**Remember**: The indicator gives you structure. The trading edge comes from your discipline in respecting that structure.
Trade safe, trade smart, and always know your exit before your entry. 🎯
---
*"You don't become your best self by denying your patterns. You become your best self by recognizing them, understanding them, and choosing differently." - Adapted from The Mountain Is You*
In trading: You don't become profitable by ignoring market structure. You become profitable by recognizing it, understanding it, and choosing your entries accordingly.
Smart Money Concepts - Absorption Smart Money Concepts - Absorption (SMC-ABS)
Absorption event detector using split-volume VWMA ribbons, entropy filtering, and elasticity validation
Overview
This indicator highlights potential absorption/defense events: moments where price touches a volume-weighted band and then rejects, while additional filters confirm that market conditions are not random/noisy.
What it plots
• Energy ribbons (bands): two split-volume VWMA ribbon sets - Buy-weighted (cyan) and Sell-weighted (magma).
• ABS markers: printed when touch + rejection + validation conditions are met (see Logic section).
• Dashboard (HUD): real-time metrics such as price/volume z-scores, delta, entropy state, and resonance momentum states.
Core logic
1) Volume engine
The script builds Buy Volume and Sell Volume series using one of two modes:
• Geometry (candle-range split): estimates buy/sell participation from the close position within the candle range.
• Intrabar (precise): uses lower-timeframe up/down volume to derive buy/sell flows when data is available.
2) Split-VWMA resonance score
For multiple periods (5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50), the script computes:
• A standard SMA of price.
• A Buy-weighted VWMA of price (weighted by Buy Volume).
• A Sell-weighted VWMA of price (weighted by Sell Volume).
Resonance is derived from the normalized divergence between the SMA and the split VWMAs, aggregated across the available periods.
3) Validation filters
Signals can be filtered by the following components (each toggleable):
• Volume-weighted entropy: a fractal-efficiency style disorder metric (TR-sum vs range) adjusted by relative volume; high entropy blocks signals.
• Momentum alignment (resonance velocity) : direction filter requiring positive velocity for buy events and negative velocity for sell events.
• Elasticity (recoil vs penetration): rejection quality check based on the bounce-back strength relative to the penetration depth into the fast band.
Absorption event conditions (ABS markers)
ABS markers are generated using the fastest ribbon band (length 5) for the touch/rejection logic:
• Buy absorption: low touches/penetrates the Buy band and the candle closes back above it, with filters passing.
• Sell absorption: high touches/penetrates the Sell band and the candle closes back below it, with filters passing.
Note: acceleration/deceleration is displayed in the HUD as a state; the primary directional filter is the resonance velocity.
Settings
• Volume Model: choose Geometry or Intrabar.
• Intrabar LTF: lower timeframe used by the Intrabar model (only applies when Intrabar is selected).
• Global Lookback: lookback window used for z-score statistics and related calculations.
• Quantum Filters: toggles and thresholds for entropy, momentum alignment, and elasticity validation.
• Dashboard Settings :/ Energy Ribbons / Absorption Events: controls for visuals and filtering behavior.
Usage notes and limitations
• Signals are most reliable after candle close. On the forming candle, conditions can change until the bar closes.
• Results depend on the availability and quality of volume data for the selected symbol and exchange.
• The Geometry mode is an estimate based on candle structure; it is not tick-accurate order flow.
• Terms such as “quantum” and “physics” are metaphorical labels for statistical filters and validation heuristics.
Disclaimer
This tool is provided for analytical and educational use only. It does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk.
Important note about Intrabar data and TradingView plan limits
This indicator is volume-dependent. When using the Intrabar model, the best results typically come from very low intrabar timeframes such as 1 tick or 1 second (if your symbol and data feed support it). Please check your TradingView subscription plan and data entitlements - access to 1-second/1-tick lower timeframes is commonly restricted to higher-tier plans (often referred to as Premium/Ultra tiers). If intrabar data is not available, the script falls back to relative buy/sell volume estimation (Geometry mode), and results may be less precise.
Quicksilver Institutional Trend [1H] The "God Candle" Catcher Most retail traders fail because they lack institutional tooling.
The Quicksilver Institutional Trend is designed to keep you in the trade during massive expansion moves and keep you out during the chop. It replaces "guessing" with a structured, math-based Trend Cloud.
THE LOGIC (Institutional Engine):
Visual Trend Cloud: A dynamic ribbon that identifies the dominant 1H market regime.
Momentum Filter (ADX): The bars change color based on Trend Strength.
Bright Green/Red: High Momentum (Institutional Volume). Stay in the trade.
Dark Green/Red: Low Momentum. Prepare to exit.
Liquidity Zones: Automatically draws Support & Resistance lines at recent institutional pivot points.
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Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. Educational purposes only.
Unmitigated MTF High Low - Cave Diving Plot
IntroductionThe Unmitigated MTF High Low -
Cave Diving Plot is a multi-timeframe (MTF) indicator designed for NQ and ES futures traders who want to identify high-probability entry and exit zones based on unmitigated price levels. The "Cave Diving" visualization helps you navigate between support (floor) and resistance (ceiling) zones, while the integrated Strat analysis provides directional context.
Who Is This For?
Futures traders (NQ, ES) trading during ETH and RTH sessions
Scalpers and day traders looking for precise entry/exit levels
Traders using The Strat methodology for directional analysis
Anyone seeking confluence between price action and key levels
Core Concepts
1. Unmitigated Level:
An unmitigated level is a price high or low that has been created but not yet tested (touched) by price. These levels act as magnets - price often returns to test them.Key Properties:
Resistance (Highs): Price has created a high but hasn't revisited it
Support (Lows): Price has created a low but hasn't revisited it
Mitigation: When price touches a level, it becomes "mitigated" and loses strength
2. The Cave Diving MetaphorThink of trading as cave diving between two zones:
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
│ CEILING (Upper Band) │ ← 1st & 2nd Unmitigated Highs
│ 🟥 Resistance Zone │
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ │
│ THE TUNNEL │ ← Price navigates here
│ (Trading Channel) │
│ │
├─────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🟢 Support Zone │
│ FLOOR (Lower Band) │ ← 1st & 2nd Unmitigated Lows
└─────────────────────────────────┘
Trading Concept:
Ceiling: Formed by the 1st and 2nd most recent unmitigated highs
Floor: Formed by the 1st and 2nd most recent unmitigated lows
Tunnel: The space between ceiling and floor where price operates
Cave Diving: Navigating between these zones for entries and exits
3. Session-Based Age TrackingLevels are tracked by session age:
Session: 6:00 PM to 5:00 PM NY time (23-hour window)
Age 0: Created in the current session (today)
Age 1: Created 1 session ago (yesterday)
Age 2+: Older levels (more significant)
Why Age Matters:
Older unmitigated levels are typically stronger magnets
Fresh levels (Age 0) may be weaker and easier to break
Age 2+ levels often provide high-probability reversal zones
Indicator Components
Visual Elements
1. Colored Bands (Cave Zones)Upper Band (Pink/Maroon - 95% transparency)
Space between 1st and 2nd unmitigated highs
Acts as resistance zone
Price often hesitates or reverses here
Lower Band (Teal - 95% transparency)
Space between 1st and 2nd unmitigated lows
Acts as support zone
Price often finds buyers here
2. Information Table Located in your chosen corner (default: Bottom Right), the table displays:
5 most recent unmitigated highs (top section)
Tunnel row (middle separator)
5 most recent unmitigated lows (bottom section)
Reading the TableTable Structure
┌────────┬──────────┬────────┬───────┐
│ Level │ $ │ Points │ Age │
├────────┼──────────┼────────┼───────┤
│ ↑↑↑↑↑ │ 21,450.25│ +45.30 │ 3 │ ← 5th High (oldest)
│ ↑↑↑↑ │ 21,425.50│ +32.75 │ 2 │ ← 4th High
│ ↑↑↑ │ 21,410.00│ +25.00 │ 1 │ ← 3rd High
│ ↑↑ │ 21,400.75│ +18.50 │ 1 │ ← 2nd High
│ ↑ │ 21,395.25│ +12.00 │ 0 │ ← 1st High (newest)
├────────┼──────────┼────────┼───────┤
│ Tunnel │ 🟢 │ Δ 85.50│ 2U │ ← Current State
├────────┼──────────┼────────┼───────┤
│ ↓ │ 21,310.00│ -15.25 │ 0 │ ← 1st Low (newest)
│ ↓↓ │ 21,295.50│ -22.75 │ 1 │ ← 2nd Low
│ ↓↓↓ │ 21,280.25│ -30.00 │ 1 │ ← 3rd Low
│ ↓↓↓↓ │ 21,265.75│ -38.50 │ 2 │ ← 4th Low
│ ↓↓↓↓↓ │ 21,250.00│ -45.00 │ 3 │ ← 5th Low (oldest)
└────────┴──────────┴────────┴───────┘Column
Breakdown
Column 1: Level (Arrows)
Green arrows (↑): Resistance levels above current price
Red arrows (↓): Support levels below current price
Arrow count: Indicates recency (1 arrow = newest, 5 arrows = oldest)
Why This Matters:
More arrows = older level = stronger magnet for price
Column 2: $ (Price)
Exact price of the unmitigated level
Use this for limit orders and stop placement
Column 3: Points (Distance)
Positive (+) for highs: Points above current price
Negative (-) for lows: Points below current price
Helps gauge proximity to key levels
Trading Application:
If you're +2.50 points from resistance, a reversal may be imminent
If you're -45.00 points from support, you're far from the floor
Column 4: Age (Sessions)
Number of full 6pm-5pm sessions the level has survived
Age 0: Created today (current session)
Age 1+: Created in previous sessions
Significance Ladder:
Age 0: Weak, may break easily
Age 1-2: Medium strength
Age 3+: Strong, high-probability reaction zone
Tunnel Row (Critical Information)│ Tunnel │ 🟢 │ Δ 85.50│ 2U │
└─┬─┘ └─┬─┘ └──┬──┘ └─┬─┘
│ │ │ │
Label Direction Range Strat
1. Tunnel Label: Identifies the separator row
2. Direction Indicator (🟢/🔴)
🟢 Green Circle: Current 15m bar closed bullish (above previous close)
🔴 Red Circle: Current 15m bar closed bearish (below previous close)
3. Δ (Delta/Range)
Distance in points between 1st High and 1st Low
Shows the tunnel width (trading range)
Example: Δ 85.50 = 85.50 points between ceiling and floor
Trading Use:
Wide tunnel (>100 points): More room to trade, consider range strategies
Narrow tunnel (<50 points): Tight range, expect breakout
4. Strat Pattern
1: Inside bar (consolidation)
2U: 2 Up (bullish directional bar)
2D: 2 Down (bearish directional bar)
3: Outside bar (expansion/volatility)
Color Coding:
Green: 2U (bullish)
Red: 2D (bearish)
Yellow: 3 (expansion)
Gray: 1 (inside/neutral)
Adaptive Genesis Engine [AGE]ADAPTIVE GENESIS ENGINE (AGE)
Pure Signal Evolution Through Genetic Algorithms
Where Darwin Meets Technical Analysis
🧬 WHAT YOU'RE GETTING - THE PURE INDICATOR
This is a technical analysis indicator - it generates signals, visualizes probability, and shows you the evolutionary process in real-time. This is NOT a strategy with automatic execution - it's a sophisticated signal generation system that you control .
What This Indicator Does:
Generates Long/Short entry signals with probability scores (35-88% range)
Evolves a population of up to 12 competing strategies using genetic algorithms
Validates strategies through walk-forward optimization (train/test cycles)
Visualizes signal quality through premium gradient clouds and confidence halos
Displays comprehensive metrics via enhanced dashboard
Provides alerts for entries and exits
Works on any timeframe, any instrument, any broker
What This Indicator Does NOT Do:
Execute trades automatically
Manage positions or calculate position sizes
Place orders on your behalf
Make trading decisions for you
This is pure signal intelligence. AGE tells you when and how confident it is. You decide whether and how much to trade.
🔬 THE SCIENCE: GENETIC ALGORITHMS MEET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
What Makes This Different - The Evolutionary Foundation
Most indicators are static - they use the same parameters forever, regardless of market conditions. AGE is alive . It maintains a population of competing strategies that evolve, adapt, and improve through natural selection principles:
Birth: New strategies spawn through crossover breeding (combining DNA from fit parents) plus random mutation for exploration
Life: Each strategy trades virtually via shadow portfolios, accumulating wins/losses, tracking drawdown, and building performance history
Selection: Strategies are ranked by comprehensive fitness scoring (win rate, expectancy, drawdown control, signal efficiency)
Death: Weak strategies are culled periodically, with elite performers (top 2 by default) protected from removal
Evolution: The gene pool continuously improves as successful traits propagate and unsuccessful ones die out
This is not curve-fitting. Each new strategy must prove itself on out-of-sample data through walk-forward validation before being trusted for live signals.
🧪 THE DNA: WHAT EVOLVES
Every strategy carries a 10-gene chromosome controlling how it interprets market data:
Signal Sensitivity Genes
Entropy Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to market order/disorder calculations. Low values = conservative, require strong directional clarity. High values = aggressive, act on weaker order signals.
Momentum Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to RSI/ROC/MACD composite. Controls responsiveness to momentum shifts vs. mean-reversion setups.
Structure Sensitivity (0.5-2.0): Weight given to support/resistance positioning. Determines how much price location within swing range matters.
Probability Adjustment Genes
Probability Boost (-0.10 to +0.10): Inherent bias toward aggressive (+) or conservative (-) entries. Acts as personality trait - some strategies naturally optimistic, others pessimistic.
Trend Strength Requirement (0.3-0.8): Minimum trend conviction needed before signaling. Higher values = only trades strong trends, lower values = acts in weak/sideways markets.
Volume Filter (0.5-1.5): Strictness of volume confirmation. Higher values = requires strong volume, lower values = volume less important.
Risk Management Genes
ATR Multiplier (1.5-4.0): Base volatility scaling for all price levels. Controls whether strategy uses tight or wide stops/targets relative to ATR.
Stop Multiplier (1.0-2.5): Stop loss tightness. Lower values = aggressive profit protection, higher values = more breathing room.
Target Multiplier (1.5-4.0): Profit target ambition. Lower values = quick scalping exits, higher values = swing trading holds.
Adaptation Gene
Regime Adaptation (0.0-1.0): How much strategy adjusts behavior based on detected market regime (trending/volatile/choppy). Higher values = more reactive to regime changes.
The Magic: AGE doesn't just try random combinations. Through tournament selection and fitness-weighted crossover, successful gene combinations spread through the population while unsuccessful ones fade away. Over 50-100 bars, you'll see the population converge toward genes that work for YOUR instrument and timeframe.
📊 THE SIGNAL ENGINE: THREE-LAYER SYNTHESIS
Before any strategy generates a signal, AGE calculates probability through multi-indicator confluence:
Layer 1 - Market Entropy (Information Theory)
Measures whether price movements exhibit directional order or random walk characteristics:
The Math:
Shannon Entropy = -Σ(p × log(p))
Market Order = 1 - (Entropy / 0.693)
What It Means:
High entropy = choppy, random market → low confidence signals
Low entropy = directional market → high confidence signals
Direction determined by up-move vs down-move dominance over lookback period (default: 20 bars)
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (bearish order to bullish order)
Layer 2 - Momentum Synthesis
Combines three momentum indicators into single composite score:
Components:
RSI (40% weight): Normalized to -1/+1 scale using (RSI-50)/50
Rate of Change (30% weight): Percentage change over lookback (default: 14 bars), clamped to ±1
MACD Histogram (30% weight): Fast(12) - Slow(26), normalized by ATR
Why This Matters: RSI catches mean-reversion opportunities, ROC catches raw momentum, MACD catches momentum divergence. Weighting favors RSI for reliability while keeping other perspectives.
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (strong bearish to strong bullish)
Layer 3 - Structure Analysis
Evaluates price position within swing range (default: 50-bar lookback):
Position Classification:
Bottom 20% of range = Support Zone → bullish bounce potential
Top 20% of range = Resistance Zone → bearish rejection potential
Middle 60% = Neutral Zone → breakout/breakdown monitoring
Signal Logic:
At support + bullish candle = +0.7 (strong buy setup)
At resistance + bearish candle = -0.7 (strong sell setup)
Breaking above range highs = +0.5 (breakout confirmation)
Breaking below range lows = -0.5 (breakdown confirmation)
Consolidation within range = ±0.3 (weak directional bias)
Signal Output: -1.0 to +1.0 (bearish structure to bullish structure)
Confluence Voting System
Each layer casts a vote (Long/Short/Neutral). The system requires minimum 2-of-3 agreement (configurable 1-3) before generating a signal:
Examples:
Entropy: Bullish, Momentum: Bullish, Structure: Neutral → Signal generated (2 long votes)
Entropy: Bearish, Momentum: Neutral, Structure: Neutral → No signal (only 1 short vote)
All three bullish → Signal generated with +5% probability bonus
This is the key to quality. Single indicators give too many false signals. Triple confirmation dramatically improves accuracy.
📈 PROBABILITY CALCULATION: HOW CONFIDENCE IS MEASURED
Base Probability:
Raw_Prob = 50% + (Average_Signal_Strength × 25%)
Then AGE applies strategic adjustments:
Trend Alignment:
Signal with trend: +4%
Signal against strong trend: -8%
Weak/no trend: no adjustment
Regime Adaptation:
Trending market (efficiency >50%, moderate vol): +3%
Volatile market (vol ratio >1.5x): -5%
Choppy market (low efficiency): -2%
Volume Confirmation:
Volume > 70% of 20-bar SMA: no change
Volume below threshold: -3%
Volatility State (DVS Ratio):
High vol (>1.8x baseline): -4% (reduce confidence in chaos)
Low vol (<0.7x baseline): -2% (markets can whipsaw in compression)
Moderate elevated vol (1.0-1.3x): +2% (trending conditions emerging)
Confluence Bonus:
All 3 indicators agree: +5%
2 of 3 agree: +2%
Strategy Gene Adjustment:
Probability Boost gene: -10% to +10%
Regime Adaptation gene: scales regime adjustments by 0-100%
Final Probability: Clamped between 35% (minimum) and 88% (maximum)
Why These Ranges?
Below 35% = too uncertain, better not to signal
Above 88% = unrealistic, creates overconfidence
Sweet spot: 65-80% for quality entries
🔄 THE SHADOW PORTFOLIO SYSTEM: HOW STRATEGIES COMPETE
Each active strategy maintains a virtual trading account that executes in parallel with real-time data:
Shadow Trading Mechanics
Entry Logic:
Calculate signal direction, probability, and confluence using strategy's unique DNA
Check if signal meets quality gate:
Probability ≥ configured minimum threshold (default: 65%)
Confluence ≥ configured minimum (default: 2 of 3)
Direction is not zero (must be long or short, not neutral)
Verify signal persistence:
Base requirement: 2 bars (configurable 1-5)
Adapts based on probability: high-prob signals (75%+) enter 1 bar faster, low-prob signals need 1 bar more
Adjusts for regime: trending markets reduce persistence by 1, volatile markets add 1
Apply additional filters:
Trend strength must exceed strategy's requirement gene
Regime filter: if volatile market detected, probability must be 72%+ to override
Volume confirmation required (volume > 70% of average)
If all conditions met for required persistence bars, enter shadow position at current close price
Position Management:
Entry Price: Recorded at close of entry bar
Stop Loss: ATR-based distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Stop_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Take Profit: ATR-based distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Target_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Position: +1 (long) or -1 (short), only one at a time per strategy
Exit Logic:
Check if price hit stop (on low) or target (on high) on current bar
Record trade outcome in R-multiples (profit/loss normalized by ATR)
Update performance metrics:
Total trades counter incremented
Wins counter (if profit > 0)
Cumulative P&L updated
Peak equity tracked (for drawdown calculation)
Maximum drawdown from peak recorded
Enter cooldown period (default: 8 bars, configurable 3-20) before next entry allowed
Reset signal age counter to zero
Walk-Forward Tracking:
During position lifecycle, trades are categorized:
Training Phase (first 250 bars): Trade counted toward training metrics
Testing Phase (next 75 bars): Trade counted toward testing metrics (out-of-sample)
Live Phase (after WFO period): Trade counted toward overall metrics
Why Shadow Portfolios?
No lookahead bias (uses only data available at the bar)
Realistic execution simulation (entry on close, stop/target checks on high/low)
Independent performance tracking for true fitness comparison
Allows safe experimentation without risking capital
Each strategy learns from its own experience
🏆 FITNESS SCORING: HOW STRATEGIES ARE RANKED
Fitness is not just win rate. AGE uses a comprehensive multi-factor scoring system:
Core Metrics (Minimum 3 trades required)
Win Rate (30% of fitness):
WinRate = Wins / TotalTrades
Normalized directly (0.0-1.0 scale)
Total P&L (30% of fitness):
Normalized_PnL = (PnL + 300) / 600
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Assumes P&L range of -300R to +300R for normalization scale.
Expectancy (25% of fitness):
Expectancy = Total_PnL / Total_Trades
Normalized_Expectancy = (Expectancy + 30) / 60
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Rewards consistency of profit per trade.
Drawdown Control (15% of fitness):
Normalized_DD = 1 - (Max_Drawdown / 15)
Clamped 0.0-1.0. Penalizes strategies that suffer large equity retracements from peak.
Sample Size Adjustment
Quality Factor:
<50 trades: 1.0 (full weight, small sample)
50-100 trades: 0.95 (slight penalty for medium sample)
100 trades: 0.85 (larger penalty for large sample)
Why penalize more trades? Prevents strategies from gaming the system by taking hundreds of tiny trades to inflate statistics. Favors quality over quantity.
Bonus Adjustments
Walk-Forward Validation Bonus:
if (WFO_Validated):
Fitness += (WFO_Efficiency - 0.5) × 0.1
Strategies proven on out-of-sample data receive up to +10% fitness boost based on test/train efficiency ratio.
Signal Efficiency Bonus (if diagnostics enabled):
if (Signals_Evaluated > 10):
Pass_Rate = Signals_Passed / Signals_Evaluated
Fitness += (Pass_Rate - 0.1) × 0.05
Rewards strategies that generate high-quality signals passing the quality gate, not just profitable trades.
Final Fitness: Clamped at 0.0 minimum (prevents negative fitness values)
Result: Elite strategies typically achieve 0.50-0.75 fitness. Anything above 0.60 is excellent. Below 0.30 is prime candidate for culling.
🔬 WALK-FORWARD OPTIMIZATION: ANTI-OVERFITTING PROTECTION
This is what separates AGE from curve-fitted garbage indicators.
The Three-Phase Process
Every new strategy undergoes a rigorous validation lifecycle:
Phase 1 - Training Window (First 250 bars, configurable 100-500):
Strategy trades normally via shadow portfolio
All trades count toward training performance metrics
System learns which gene combinations produce profitable patterns
Tracks independently: Training_Trades, Training_Wins, Training_PnL
Phase 2 - Testing Window (Next 75 bars, configurable 30-200):
Strategy continues trading without any parameter changes
Trades now count toward testing performance metrics (separate tracking)
This is out-of-sample data - strategy has never seen these bars during "optimization"
Tracks independently: Testing_Trades, Testing_Wins, Testing_PnL
Phase 3 - Validation Check:
Minimum_Trades = 5 (configurable 3-15)
IF (Train_Trades >= Minimum AND Test_Trades >= Minimum):
WR_Efficiency = Test_WinRate / Train_WinRate
Expectancy_Efficiency = Test_Expectancy / Train_Expectancy
WFO_Efficiency = (WR_Efficiency + Expectancy_Efficiency) / 2
IF (WFO_Efficiency >= 0.55): // configurable 0.3-0.9
Strategy.Validated = TRUE
Strategy receives fitness bonus
ELSE:
Strategy receives 30% fitness penalty
ELSE:
Validation deferred (insufficient trades in one or both periods)
What Validation Means
Validated Strategy (Green "✓ VAL" in dashboard):
Performed at least 55% as well on unseen data compared to training data
Gets fitness bonus: +(efficiency - 0.5) × 0.1
Receives priority during tournament selection for breeding
More likely to be chosen as active trading strategy
Unvalidated Strategy (Orange "○ TRAIN" in dashboard):
Failed to maintain performance on test data (likely curve-fitted to training period)
Receives 30% fitness penalty (0.7x multiplier)
Makes strategy prime candidate for culling
Can still trade but with lower selection probability
Insufficient Data (continues collecting):
Hasn't completed both training and testing periods yet
OR hasn't achieved minimum trade count in both periods
Validation check deferred until requirements met
Why 55% Efficiency Threshold?
If a strategy earned 10R during training but only 5.5R during testing, it still proved an edge exists beyond random luck. Requiring 100% efficiency would be unrealistic - market conditions change between periods. But requiring >50% ensures the strategy didn't completely degrade on fresh data.
The Protection: Strategies that work great on historical data but fail on new data are automatically identified and penalized. This prevents the population from being polluted by overfitted strategies that would fail in live trading.
🌊 DYNAMIC VOLATILITY SCALING (DVS): ADAPTIVE STOP/TARGET PLACEMENT
AGE doesn't use fixed stop distances. It adapts to current volatility conditions in real-time.
Four Volatility Measurement Methods
1. ATR Ratio (Simple Method):
Current_Vol = ATR(14) / Close
Baseline_Vol = SMA(Current_Vol, 100)
Ratio = Current_Vol / Baseline_Vol
Basic comparison of current ATR to 100-bar moving average baseline.
2. Parkinson (High-Low Range Based):
For each bar: HL = log(High / Low)
Parkinson_Vol = sqrt(Σ(HL²) / (4 × Period × log(2)))
More stable than close-to-close volatility. Captures intraday range expansion without overnight gap noise.
3. Garman-Klass (OHLC Based):
HL_Term = 0.5 × ²
CO_Term = (2×log(2) - 1) × ²
GK_Vol = sqrt(Σ(HL_Term - CO_Term) / Period)
Most sophisticated estimator. Incorporates all four price points (open, high, low, close) plus gap information.
4. Ensemble Method (Default - Median of All Three):
Ratio_1 = ATR_Current / ATR_Baseline
Ratio_2 = Parkinson_Current / Parkinson_Baseline
Ratio_3 = GK_Current / GK_Baseline
DVS_Ratio = Median(Ratio_1, Ratio_2, Ratio_3)
Why Ensemble?
Takes median to avoid outliers and false spikes
If ATR jumps but range-based methods stay calm, median prevents overreaction
If one method fails, other two compensate
Most robust approach across different market conditions
Sensitivity Scaling
Scaled_Ratio = (Raw_Ratio) ^ Sensitivity
Sensitivity 0.3: Cube root - heavily dampens volatility impact
Sensitivity 0.5: Square root - moderate dampening
Sensitivity 0.7 (Default): Balanced response to volatility changes
Sensitivity 1.0: Linear - full 1:1 volatility impact
Sensitivity 1.5: Exponential - amplified response to volatility spikes
Safety Clamps: Final DVS Ratio always clamped between 0.5x and 2.5x baseline to prevent extreme position sizing or stop placement errors.
How DVS Affects Shadow Trading
Every strategy's stop and target distances are multiplied by the current DVS ratio:
Stop Loss Distance:
Stop_Distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Stop_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Take Profit Distance:
Target_Distance = ATR × ATR_Mult (gene) × Target_Mult (gene) × DVS_Ratio
Example Scenario:
ATR = 10 points
Strategy's ATR_Mult gene = 2.5
Strategy's Stop_Mult gene = 1.5
Strategy's Target_Mult gene = 2.5
DVS_Ratio = 1.4 (40% above baseline volatility - market heating up)
Stop = 10 × 2.5 × 1.5 × 1.4 = 52.5 points (vs. 37.5 in normal vol)
Target = 10 × 2.5 × 2.5 × 1.4 = 87.5 points (vs. 62.5 in normal vol)
Result:
During volatility spikes: Stops automatically widen to avoid noise-based exits, targets extend for bigger moves
During calm periods: Stops tighten for better risk/reward, targets compress for realistic profit-taking
Strategies adapt risk management to match current market behavior
🧬 THE EVOLUTIONARY CYCLE: SPAWN, COMPETE, CULL
Initialization (Bar 1)
AGE begins with 4 seed strategies (if evolution enabled):
Seed Strategy #0 (Balanced):
All sensitivities at 1.0 (neutral)
Zero probability boost
Moderate trend requirement (0.4)
Standard ATR/stop/target multiples (2.5/1.5/2.5)
Mid-level regime adaptation (0.5)
Seed Strategy #1 (Momentum-Focused):
Lower entropy sensitivity (0.7), higher momentum (1.5)
Slight probability boost (+0.03)
Higher trend requirement (0.5)
Tighter stops (1.3), wider targets (3.0)
Seed Strategy #2 (Entropy-Driven):
Higher entropy sensitivity (1.5), lower momentum (0.8)
Slight probability penalty (-0.02)
More trend tolerant (0.6)
Wider stops (1.8), standard targets (2.5)
Seed Strategy #3 (Structure-Based):
Balanced entropy/momentum (0.8/0.9), high structure (1.4)
Slight probability boost (+0.02)
Lower trend requirement (0.35)
Moderate risk parameters (1.6/2.8)
All seeds start with WFO validation bypassed if WFO is disabled, or must validate if enabled.
Spawning New Strategies
Timing (Adaptive):
Historical phase: Every 30 bars (configurable 10-100)
Live phase: Every 200 bars (configurable 100-500)
Automatically switches to live timing when barstate.isrealtime triggers
Conditions:
Current population < max population limit (default: 8, configurable 4-12)
At least 2 active strategies exist (need parents)
Available slot in population array
Selection Process:
Run tournament selection 3 times with different seeds
Each tournament: randomly sample active strategies, pick highest fitness
Best from 3 tournaments becomes Parent 1
Repeat independently for Parent 2
Ensures fit parents but maintains diversity
Crossover Breeding:
For each of 10 genes:
Parent1_Fitness = fitness
Parent2_Fitness = fitness
Weight1 = Parent1_Fitness / (Parent1_Fitness + Parent2_Fitness)
Gene1 = parent1's value
Gene2 = parent2's value
Child_Gene = Weight1 × Gene1 + (1 - Weight1) × Gene2
Fitness-weighted crossover ensures fitter parent contributes more genetic material.
Mutation:
For each gene in child:
IF (random < mutation_rate):
Gene_Range = GENE_MAX - GENE_MIN
Noise = (random - 0.5) × 2 × mutation_strength × Gene_Range
Mutated_Gene = Clamp(Child_Gene + Noise, GENE_MIN, GENE_MAX)
Historical mutation rate: 20% (aggressive exploration)
Live mutation rate: 8% (conservative stability)
Mutation strength: 12% of gene range (configurable 5-25%)
Initialization of New Strategy:
Unique ID assigned (total_spawned counter)
Parent ID recorded
Generation = max(parent generations) + 1
Birth bar recorded (for age tracking)
All performance metrics zeroed
Shadow portfolio reset
WFO validation flag set to false (must prove itself)
Result: New strategy with hybrid DNA enters population, begins trading in next bar.
Competition (Every Bar)
All active strategies:
Calculate their signal based on unique DNA
Check quality gate with their thresholds
Manage shadow positions (entries/exits)
Update performance metrics
Recalculate fitness score
Track WFO validation progress
Strategies compete indirectly through fitness ranking - no direct interaction.
Culling Weak Strategies
Timing (Adaptive):
Historical phase: Every 60 bars (configurable 20-200, should be 2x spawn interval)
Live phase: Every 400 bars (configurable 200-1000, should be 2x spawn interval)
Minimum Adaptation Score (MAS):
Initial MAS = 0.10
MAS decays: MAS × 0.995 every cull cycle
Minimum MAS = 0.03 (floor)
MAS represents the "survival threshold" - strategies below this fitness level are vulnerable.
Culling Conditions (ALL must be true):
Population > minimum population (default: 3, configurable 2-4)
At least one strategy has fitness < MAS
Strategy's age > culling interval (prevents premature culling of new strategies)
Strategy is not in top N elite (default: 2, configurable 1-3)
Culling Process:
Find worst strategy:
For each active strategy:
IF (age > cull_interval):
Fitness = base_fitness
IF (not WFO_validated AND WFO_enabled):
Fitness × 0.7 // 30% penalty for unvalidated
IF (Fitness < MAS AND Fitness < worst_fitness_found):
worst_strategy = this_strategy
worst_fitness = Fitness
IF (worst_strategy found):
Count elite strategies with fitness > worst_fitness
IF (elite_count >= elite_preservation_count):
Deactivate worst_strategy (set active flag = false)
Increment total_culled counter
Elite Protection:
Even if a strategy's fitness falls below MAS, it survives if fewer than N strategies are better. This prevents culling when population is generally weak.
Result: Weak strategies removed from population, freeing slots for new spawns. Gene pool improves over time.
Selection for Display (Every Bar)
AGE chooses one strategy to display signals:
Best fitness = -1
Selected = none
For each active strategy:
Fitness = base_fitness
IF (WFO_validated):
Fitness × 1.3 // 30% bonus for validated strategies
IF (Fitness > best_fitness):
best_fitness = Fitness
selected_strategy = this_strategy
Display selected strategy's signals on chart
Result: Only the highest-fitness (optionally validated-boosted) strategy's signals appear as chart markers. Other strategies trade invisibly in shadow portfolios.
🎨 PREMIUM VISUALIZATION SYSTEM
AGE includes sophisticated visual feedback that standard indicators lack:
1. Gradient Probability Cloud (Optional, Default: ON)
Multi-layer gradient showing signal buildup 2-3 bars before entry:
Activation Conditions:
Signal persistence > 0 (same directional signal held for multiple bars)
Signal probability ≥ minimum threshold (65% by default)
Signal hasn't yet executed (still in "forming" state)
Visual Construction:
7 gradient layers by default (configurable 3-15)
Each layer is a line-fill pair (top line, bottom line, filled between)
Layer spacing: 0.3 to 1.0 × ATR above/below price
Outer layers = faint, inner layers = bright
Color transitions from base to intense based on layer position
Transparency scales with probability (high prob = more opaque)
Color Selection:
Long signals: Gradient from theme.gradient_bull_mid to theme.gradient_bull_strong
Short signals: Gradient from theme.gradient_bear_mid to theme.gradient_bear_strong
Base transparency: 92%, reduces by up to 8% for high-probability setups
Dynamic Behavior:
Cloud grows/shrinks as signal persistence increases/decreases
Redraws every bar while signal is forming
Disappears when signal executes or invalidates
Performance Note: Computationally expensive due to linefill objects. Disable or reduce layers if chart performance degrades.
2. Population Fitness Ribbon (Optional, Default: ON)
Histogram showing fitness distribution across active strategies:
Activation: Only draws on last bar (barstate.islast) to avoid historical clutter
Visual Construction:
10 histogram layers by default (configurable 5-20)
Plots 50 bars back from current bar
Positioned below price at: lowest_low(100) - 1.5×ATR (doesn't interfere with price action)
Each layer represents a fitness threshold (evenly spaced min to max fitness)
Layer Logic:
For layer_num from 0 to ribbon_layers:
Fitness_threshold = min_fitness + (max_fitness - min_fitness) × (layer / layers)
Count strategies with fitness ≥ threshold
Height = ATR × 0.15 × (count / total_active)
Y_position = base_level + ATR × 0.2 × layer
Color = Gradient from weak to strong based on layer position
Line_width = Scaled by height (taller = thicker)
Visual Feedback:
Tall, bright ribbon = healthy population, many fit strategies at high fitness levels
Short, dim ribbon = weak population, few strategies achieving good fitness
Ribbon compression (layers close together) = population converging to similar fitness
Ribbon spread = diverse fitness range, active selection pressure
Use Case: Quick visual health check without opening dashboard. Ribbon growing upward over time = population improving.
3. Confidence Halo (Optional, Default: ON)
Circular polyline around entry signals showing probability strength:
Activation: Draws when new position opens (shadow_position changes from 0 to ±1)
Visual Construction:
20-segment polyline forming approximate circle
Center: Low - 0.5×ATR (long) or High + 0.5×ATR (short)
Radius: 0.3×ATR (low confidence) to 1.0×ATR (elite confidence)
Scales with: (probability - min_probability) / (1.0 - min_probability)
Color Coding:
Elite (85%+): Cyan (theme.conf_elite), large radius, minimal transparency (40%)
Strong (75-85%): Strong green (theme.conf_strong), medium radius, moderate transparency (50%)
Good (65-75%): Good green (theme.conf_good), smaller radius, more transparent (60%)
Moderate (<65%): Moderate green (theme.conf_moderate), tiny radius, very transparent (70%)
Technical Detail:
Uses chart.point array with index-based positioning
5-bar horizontal spread for circular appearance (±5 bars from entry)
Curved=false (Pine Script polyline limitation)
Fill color matches line color but more transparent (88% vs line's transparency)
Purpose: Instant visual probability assessment. No need to check dashboard - halo size/brightness tells the story.
4. Evolution Event Markers (Optional, Default: ON)
Visual indicators of genetic algorithm activity:
Spawn Markers (Diamond, Cyan):
Plots when total_spawned increases on current bar
Location: bottom of chart (location.bottom)
Color: theme.spawn_marker (cyan/bright blue)
Size: tiny
Indicates new strategy just entered population
Cull Markers (X-Cross, Red):
Plots when total_culled increases on current bar
Location: bottom of chart (location.bottom)
Color: theme.cull_marker (red/pink)
Size: tiny
Indicates weak strategy just removed from population
What It Tells You:
Frequent spawning early = population building, active exploration
Frequent culling early = high selection pressure, weak strategies dying fast
Balanced spawn/cull = healthy evolutionary churn
No markers for long periods = stable population (evolution plateaued or optimal genes found)
5. Entry/Exit Markers
Clear visual signals for selected strategy's trades:
Long Entry (Triangle Up, Green):
Plots when selected strategy opens long position (position changes 0 → +1)
Location: below bar (location.belowbar)
Color: theme.long_primary (green/cyan depending on theme)
Transparency: Scales with probability:
Elite (85%+): 0% (fully opaque)
Strong (75-85%): 10%
Good (65-75%): 20%
Acceptable (55-65%): 35%
Size: small
Short Entry (Triangle Down, Red):
Plots when selected strategy opens short position (position changes 0 → -1)
Location: above bar (location.abovebar)
Color: theme.short_primary (red/pink depending on theme)
Transparency: Same scaling as long entries
Size: small
Exit (X-Cross, Orange):
Plots when selected strategy closes position (position changes ±1 → 0)
Location: absolute (at actual exit price if stop/target lines enabled)
Color: theme.exit_color (orange/yellow depending on theme)
Transparency: 0% (fully opaque)
Size: tiny
Result: Clean, probability-scaled markers that don't clutter chart but convey essential information.
6. Stop Loss & Take Profit Lines (Optional, Default: ON)
Visual representation of shadow portfolio risk levels:
Stop Loss Line:
Plots when selected strategy has active position
Level: shadow_stop value from selected strategy
Color: theme.short_primary with 60% transparency (red/pink, subtle)
Width: 2
Style: plot.style_linebr (breaks when no position)
Take Profit Line:
Plots when selected strategy has active position
Level: shadow_target value from selected strategy
Color: theme.long_primary with 60% transparency (green, subtle)
Width: 2
Style: plot.style_linebr (breaks when no position)
Purpose:
Shows where shadow portfolio would exit for stop/target
Helps visualize strategy's risk/reward ratio
Useful for manual traders to set similar levels
Disable for cleaner chart (recommended for presentations)
7. Dynamic Trend EMA
Gradient-colored trend line that visualizes trend strength:
Calculation:
EMA(close, trend_length) - default 50 period (configurable 20-100)
Slope calculated over 10 bars: (current_ema - ema ) / ema × 100
Color Logic:
Trend_direction:
Slope > 0.1% = Bullish (1)
Slope < -0.1% = Bearish (-1)
Otherwise = Neutral (0)
Trend_strength = abs(slope)
Color = Gradient between:
- Neutral color (gray/purple)
- Strong bullish (bright green) if direction = 1
- Strong bearish (bright red) if direction = -1
Gradient factor = trend_strength (0 to 1+ scale)
Visual Behavior:
Faint gray/purple = weak/no trend (choppy conditions)
Light green/red = emerging trend (low strength)
Bright green/red = strong trend (high conviction)
Color intensity = trend strength magnitude
Transparency: 50% (subtle, doesn't overpower price action)
Purpose: Subconscious awareness of trend state without checking dashboard or indicators.
8. Regime Background Tinting (Subtle)
Ultra-low opacity background color indicating detected market regime:
Regime Detection:
Efficiency = directional_movement / total_range (over trend_length bars)
Vol_ratio = current_volatility / average_volatility
IF (efficiency > 0.5 AND vol_ratio < 1.3):
Regime = Trending (1)
ELSE IF (vol_ratio > 1.5):
Regime = Volatile (2)
ELSE:
Regime = Choppy (0)
Background Colors:
Trending: theme.regime_trending (dark green, 92-93% transparency)
Volatile: theme.regime_volatile (dark red, 93% transparency)
Choppy: No tint (normal background)
Purpose:
Subliminal regime awareness
Helps explain why signals are/aren't generating
Trending = ideal conditions for AGE
Volatile = fewer signals, higher thresholds applied
Choppy = mixed signals, lower confidence
Important: Extremely subtle by design. Not meant to be obvious, just subconscious context.
📊 ENHANCED DASHBOARD
Comprehensive real-time metrics in single organized panel (top-right position):
Dashboard Structure (5 columns × 14 rows)
Header Row:
Column 0: "🧬 AGE PRO" + phase indicator (🔴 LIVE or ⏪ HIST)
Column 1: "POPULATION"
Column 2: "PERFORMANCE"
Column 3: "CURRENT SIGNAL"
Column 4: "ACTIVE STRATEGY"
Column 0: Market State
Regime (📈 TREND / 🌊 CHAOS / ➖ CHOP)
DVS Ratio (current volatility scaling factor, format: #.##)
Trend Direction (▲ BULL / ▼ BEAR / ➖ FLAT with color coding)
Trend Strength (0-100 scale, format: #.##)
Column 1: Population Metrics
Active strategies (count / max_population)
Validated strategies (WFO passed / active total)
Current generation number
Total spawned (all-time strategy births)
Total culled (all-time strategy deaths)
Column 2: Aggregate Performance
Total trades across all active strategies
Aggregate win rate (%) - color-coded:
Green (>55%)
Orange (45-55%)
Red (<45%)
Total P&L in R-multiples - color-coded by positive/negative
Best fitness score in population (format: #.###)
MAS - Minimum Adaptation Score (cull threshold, format: #.###)
Column 3: Current Signal Status
Status indicator:
"▲ LONG" (green) if selected strategy in long position
"▼ SHORT" (red) if selected strategy in short position
"⏳ FORMING" (orange) if signal persisting but not yet executed
"○ WAITING" (gray) if no active signal
Confidence percentage (0-100%, format: #.#%)
Quality assessment:
"🔥 ELITE" (cyan) for 85%+ probability
"✓ STRONG" (bright green) for 75-85%
"○ GOOD" (green) for 65-75%
"- LOW" (dim) for <65%
Confluence score (X/3 format)
Signal age:
"X bars" if signal forming
"IN TRADE" if position active
"---" if no signal
Column 4: Selected Strategy Details
Strategy ID number (#X format)
Validation status:
"✓ VAL" (green) if WFO validated
"○ TRAIN" (orange) if still in training/testing phase
Generation number (GX format)
Personal fitness score (format: #.### with color coding)
Trade count
P&L and win rate (format: #.#R (##%) with color coding)
Color Scheme:
Panel background: theme.panel_bg (dark, low opacity)
Panel headers: theme.panel_header (slightly lighter)
Primary text: theme.text_primary (bright, high contrast)
Secondary text: theme.text_secondary (dim, lower contrast)
Positive metrics: theme.metric_positive (green)
Warning metrics: theme.metric_warning (orange)
Negative metrics: theme.metric_negative (red)
Special markers: theme.validated_marker, theme.spawn_marker
Update Frequency: Only on barstate.islast (current bar) to minimize CPU usage
Purpose:
Quick overview of entire system state
No need to check multiple indicators
Trading decisions informed by population health, regime state, and signal quality
Transparency into what AGE is thinking
🔍 DIAGNOSTICS PANEL (Optional, Default: OFF)
Detailed signal quality tracking for optimization and debugging:
Panel Structure (3 columns × 8 rows)
Position: Bottom-right corner (doesn't interfere with main dashboard)
Header Row:
Column 0: "🔍 DIAGNOSTICS"
Column 1: "COUNT"
Column 2: "%"
Metrics Tracked (for selected strategy only):
Total Evaluated:
Every signal that passed initial calculation (direction ≠ 0)
Represents total opportunities considered
✓ Passed:
Signals that passed quality gate and executed
Green color coding
Percentage of evaluated signals
Rejection Breakdown:
⨯ Probability:
Rejected because probability < minimum threshold
Most common rejection reason typically
⨯ Confluence:
Rejected because confluence < minimum required (e.g., only 1 of 3 indicators agreed)
⨯ Trend:
Rejected because signal opposed strong trend
Indicates counter-trend protection working
⨯ Regime:
Rejected because volatile regime detected and probability wasn't high enough to override
Shows regime filter in action
⨯ Volume:
Rejected because volume < 70% of 20-bar average
Indicates volume confirmation requirement
Color Coding:
Passed count: Green (success metric)
Rejection counts: Red (failure metrics)
Percentages: Gray (neutral, informational)
Performance Cost: Slight CPU overhead for tracking counters. Disable when not actively optimizing settings.
How to Use Diagnostics
Scenario 1: Too Few Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 10 (5%)
⨯ Probability: 120 (60%)
⨯ Confluence: 40 (20%)
⨯ Others: 30 (15%)
Diagnosis: Probability threshold too high for this strategy's DNA.
Solution: Lower min probability from 65% to 60%, or allow strategy more time to evolve better DNA.
Scenario 2: Too Many False Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 80 (40%)
Strategy win rate: 45%
Diagnosis: Quality gate too loose, letting low-quality signals through.
Solution: Raise min probability to 70%, or increase min confluence to 3 (all indicators must agree).
Scenario 3: Regime-Specific Issues
⨯ Regime: 90 (45% of rejections)
Diagnosis: Frequent volatile regime detection blocking otherwise good signals.
Solution: Either accept fewer trades during chaos (recommended), or disable regime filter if you want signals regardless of market state.
Optimization Workflow:
Enable diagnostics
Run 200+ bars
Analyze rejection patterns
Adjust settings based on data
Re-run and compare pass rate
Disable diagnostics when satisfied
⚙️ CONFIGURATION GUIDE
🧬 Evolution Engine Settings
Enable AGE Evolution (Default: ON):
ON: Full genetic algorithm (recommended for best results)
OFF: Uses only 4 seed strategies, no spawning/culling (static population for comparison testing)
Max Population (4-12, Default: 8):
Higher = more diversity, more exploration, slower performance
Lower = faster computation, less exploration, risk of premature convergence
Sweet spot: 6-8 for most use cases
4 = minimum for meaningful evolution
12 = maximum before diminishing returns
Min Population (2-4, Default: 3):
Safety floor - system never culls below this count
Prevents population extinction during harsh selection
Should be at least half of max population
Elite Preservation (1-3, Default: 2):
Top N performers completely immune to culling
Ensures best genes always survive
1 = minimal protection, aggressive selection
2 = balanced (recommended)
3 = conservative, slower gene pool turnover
Historical: Spawn Interval (10-100, Default: 30):
Bars between spawning new strategies during historical data
Lower = faster evolution, more exploration
Higher = slower evolution, more evaluation time per strategy
30 bars = ~1-2 hours on 15min chart
Historical: Cull Interval (20-200, Default: 60):
Bars between culling weak strategies during historical data
Should be 2x spawn interval for balanced churn
Lower = aggressive selection pressure
Higher = patient evaluation
Live: Spawn Interval (100-500, Default: 200):
Bars between spawning during live trading
Much slower than historical for stability
Prevents population chaos during live trading
200 bars = ~1.5 trading days on 15min chart
Live: Cull Interval (200-1000, Default: 400):
Bars between culling during live trading
Should be 2x live spawn interval
Conservative removal during live trading
Historical: Mutation Rate (0.05-0.40, Default: 0.20):
Probability each gene mutates during breeding (20% = 2 out of 10 genes on average)
Higher = more exploration, slower convergence
Lower = more exploitation, faster convergence but risk of local optima
20% balances exploration vs exploitation
Live: Mutation Rate (0.02-0.20, Default: 0.08):
Mutation rate during live trading
Much lower for stability (don't want population to suddenly degrade)
8% = mostly inherits parent genes with small tweaks
Mutation Strength (0.05-0.25, Default: 0.12):
How much genes change when mutated (% of gene's total range)
0.05 = tiny nudges (fine-tuning)
0.12 = moderate jumps (recommended)
0.25 = large leaps (aggressive exploration)
Example: If gene range is 0.5-2.0, 12% strength = ±0.18 possible change
📈 Signal Quality Settings
Min Signal Probability (0.55-0.80, Default: 0.65):
Quality gate threshold - signals below this never generate
0.55-0.60 = More signals, accept lower confidence (higher risk)
0.65 = Institutional-grade balance (recommended)
0.70-0.75 = Fewer but higher-quality signals (conservative)
0.80+ = Very selective, very few signals (ultra-conservative)
Min Confluence Score (1-3, Default: 2):
Required indicator agreement before signal generates
1 = Any single indicator can trigger (not recommended - too many false signals)
2 = Requires 2 of 3 indicators agree (RECOMMENDED for balance)
3 = All 3 must agree (very selective, few signals, high quality)
Base Persistence Bars (1-5, Default: 2):
Base bars signal must persist before entry
System adapts automatically:
High probability signals (75%+) enter 1 bar faster
Low probability signals (<68%) need 1 bar more
Trending regime: -1 bar (faster entries)
Volatile regime: +1 bar (more confirmation)
1 = Immediate entry after quality gate (responsive but prone to whipsaw)
2 = Balanced confirmation (recommended)
3-5 = Patient confirmation (slower but more reliable)
Cooldown After Trade (3-20, Default: 8):
Bars to wait after exit before next entry allowed
Prevents overtrading and revenge trading
3 = Minimal cooldown (active trading)
8 = Balanced (recommended)
15-20 = Conservative (position trading)
Entropy Length (10-50, Default: 20):
Lookback period for market order/disorder calculation
Lower = more responsive to regime changes (noisy)
Higher = more stable regime detection (laggy)
20 = works across most timeframes
Momentum Length (5-30, Default: 14):
Period for RSI/ROC calculations
14 = standard (RSI default)
Lower = more signals, less reliable
Higher = fewer signals, more reliable
Structure Length (20-100, Default: 50):
Lookback for support/resistance swing range
20 = short-term swings (day trading)
50 = medium-term structure (recommended)
100 = major structure (position trading)
Trend EMA Length (20-100, Default: 50):
EMA period for trend detection and direction bias
20 = short-term trend (responsive)
50 = medium-term trend (recommended)
100 = long-term trend (position trading)
ATR Period (5-30, Default: 14):
Period for volatility measurement
14 = standard ATR
Lower = more responsive to vol changes
Higher = smoother vol calculation
📊 Volatility Scaling (DVS) Settings
Enable DVS (Default: ON):
Dynamic volatility scaling for adaptive stop/target placement
Highly recommended to leave ON
OFF only for testing fixed-distance stops
DVS Method (Default: Ensemble):
ATR Ratio: Simple, fast, single-method (good for beginners)
Parkinson: High-low range based (good for intraday)
Garman-Klass: OHLC based (sophisticated, considers gaps)
Ensemble: Median of all three (RECOMMENDED - most robust)
DVS Memory (20-200, Default: 100):
Lookback for baseline volatility comparison
20 = very responsive to vol changes (can overreact)
100 = balanced adaptation (recommended)
200 = slow, stable baseline (minimizes false vol signals)
DVS Sensitivity (0.3-1.5, Default: 0.7):
How much volatility affects scaling (power-law exponent)
0.3 = Conservative, heavily dampens vol impact (cube root)
0.5 = Moderate dampening (square root)
0.7 = Balanced response (recommended)
1.0 = Linear, full 1:1 vol response
1.5 = Aggressive, amplified response (exponential)
🔬 Walk-Forward Optimization Settings
Enable WFO (Default: ON):
Out-of-sample validation to prevent overfitting
Highly recommended to leave ON
OFF only for testing or if you want unvalidated strategies
Training Window (100-500, Default: 250):
Bars for in-sample optimization
100 = fast validation, less data (risky)
250 = balanced (recommended) - about 1-2 months on daily, 1-2 weeks on 15min
500 = patient validation, more data (conservative)
Testing Window (30-200, Default: 75):
Bars for out-of-sample validation
Should be ~30% of training window
30 = minimal test (fast validation)
75 = balanced (recommended)
200 = extensive test (very conservative)
Min Trades for Validation (3-15, Default: 5):
Required trades in BOTH training AND testing periods
3 = minimal sample (risky, fast validation)
5 = balanced (recommended)
10+ = conservative (slow validation, high confidence)
WFO Efficiency Threshold (0.3-0.9, Default: 0.55):
Minimum test/train performance ratio required
0.30 = Very loose (test must be 30% as good as training)
0.55 = Balanced (recommended) - test must be 55% as good
0.70+ = Strict (test must closely match training)
Higher = fewer validated strategies, lower risk of overfitting
🎨 Premium Visuals Settings
Visual Theme:
Neon Genesis: Cyberpunk aesthetic (cyan/magenta/purple)
Carbon Fiber: Industrial look (blue/red/gray)
Quantum Blue: Quantum computing (blue/purple/pink)
Aurora: Northern lights (teal/orange/purple)
⚡ Gradient Probability Cloud (Default: ON):
Multi-layer gradient showing signal buildup
Turn OFF if chart lags or for cleaner look
Cloud Gradient Layers (3-15, Default: 7):
More layers = smoother gradient, more CPU intensive
Fewer layers = faster, blockier appearance
🎗️ Population Fitness Ribbon (Default: ON):
Histogram showing fitness distribution
Turn OFF for cleaner chart
Ribbon Layers (5-20, Default: 10):
More layers = finer fitness detail
Fewer layers = simpler histogram
⭕ Signal Confidence Halo (Default: ON):
Circular indicator around entry signals
Size/brightness scales with probability
Minimal performance cost
🔬 Evolution Event Markers (Default: ON):
Diamond (spawn) and X (cull) markers
Shows genetic algorithm activity
Minimal performance cost
🎯 Stop/Target Lines (Default: ON):
Shows shadow portfolio stop/target levels
Turn OFF for cleaner chart (recommended for screenshots/presentations)
📊 Enhanced Dashboard (Default: ON):
Comprehensive metrics panel
Should stay ON unless you want zero overlays
🔍 Diagnostics Panel (Default: OFF):
Detailed signal rejection tracking
Turn ON when optimizing settings
Turn OFF during normal use (slight performance cost)
📈 USAGE WORKFLOW - HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR
Phase 1: Initial Setup & Learning
Add AGE to your chart
Recommended timeframes: 15min, 30min, 1H (best signal-to-noise ratio)
Works on: 5min (day trading), 4H (swing trading), Daily (position trading)
Load 1000+ bars for sufficient evolution history
Let the population evolve (100+ bars minimum)
First 50 bars: Random exploration, poor results expected
Bars 50-150: Population converging, fitness improving
Bars 150+: Stable performance, validated strategies emerging
Watch the dashboard metrics
Population should grow toward max capacity
Generation number should advance regularly
Validated strategies counter should increase
Best fitness should trend upward toward 0.50-0.70 range
Observe evolution markers
Diamond markers (cyan) = new strategies spawning
X markers (red) = weak strategies being culled
Frequent early activity = healthy evolution
Activity slowing = population stabilizing
Be patient. Evolution takes time. Don't judge performance before 150+ bars.
Phase 2: Signal Observation
Watch signals form
Gradient cloud builds up 2-3 bars before entry
Cloud brightness = probability strength
Cloud thickness = signal persistence
Check signal quality
Look at confidence halo size when entry marker appears
Large bright halo = elite setup (85%+)
Medium halo = strong setup (75-85%)
Small halo = good setup (65-75%)
Verify market conditions
Check trend EMA color (green = uptrend, red = downtrend, gray = choppy)
Check background tint (green = trending, red = volatile, clear = choppy)
Trending background + aligned signal = ideal conditions
Review dashboard signal status
Current Signal column shows:
Status (Long/Short/Forming/Waiting)
Confidence % (actual probability value)
Quality assessment (Elite/Strong/Good)
Confluence score (2/3 or 3/3 preferred)
Only signals meeting ALL quality gates appear on chart. If you're not seeing signals, population is either still learning or market conditions aren't suitable.
Phase 3: Manual Trading Execution
When Long Signal Fires:
Verify confidence level (dashboard or halo size)
Confirm trend alignment (EMA sloping up, green color)
Check regime (preferably trending or choppy, avoid volatile)
Enter long manually on your broker platform
Set stop loss at displayed stop line level (if lines enabled), or use your own risk management
Set take profit at displayed target line level, or trail manually
Monitor position - exit if X marker appears (signal reversal)
When Short Signal Fires:
Same verification process
Confirm downtrend (EMA sloping down, red color)
Enter short manually
Use displayed stop/target levels or your own
AGE tells you WHEN and HOW CONFIDENT. You decide WHETHER and HOW MUCH.
Phase 4: Set Up Alerts (Never Miss a Signal)
Right-click on indicator name in legend
Select "Add Alert"
Choose condition:
"AGE Long" = Long entry signal fired
"AGE Short" = Short entry signal fired
"AGE Exit" = Position reversal/exit signal
Set notification method:
Sound alert (popup on chart)
Email notification
Webhook to phone/trading platform
Mobile app push notification
Name the alert (e.g., "AGE BTCUSD 15min Long")
Save alert
Recommended: Set alerts for both long and short, enable mobile push notifications. You'll get alerted in real-time even if not watching charts.
Phase 5: Monitor Population Health
Weekly Review:
Check dashboard Population column:
Active count should be near max (6-8 of 8)
Validated count should be >50% of active
Generation should be advancing (1-2 per week typical)
Check dashboard Performance column:
Aggregate win rate should be >50% (target: 55-65%)
Total P&L should be positive (may fluctuate)
Best fitness should be >0.50 (target: 0.55-0.70)
MAS should be declining slowly (normal adaptation)
Check Active Strategy column:
Selected strategy should be validated (✓ VAL)
Personal fitness should match best fitness
Trade count should be accumulating
Win rate should be >50%
Warning Signs:
Zero validated strategies after 300+ bars = settings too strict or market unsuitable
Best fitness stuck <0.30 = population struggling, consider parameter adjustment
No spawning/culling for 200+ bars = evolution stalled (may be optimal or need reset)
Aggregate win rate <45% sustained = system not working on this instrument/timeframe
Health Check Pass:
50%+ strategies validated
Best fitness >0.50
Aggregate win rate >52%
Regular spawn/cull activity
Selected strategy validated
Phase 6: Optimization (If Needed)
Enable Diagnostics Panel (bottom-right) for data-driven tuning:
Problem: Too Few Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 8 (4%)
⨯ Probability: 140 (70%)
Solutions:
Lower min probability: 65% → 60% or 55%
Reduce min confluence: 2 → 1
Lower base persistence: 2 → 1
Increase mutation rate temporarily to explore new genes
Check if regime filter is blocking signals (⨯ Regime high?)
Problem: Too Many False Signals
Evaluated: 200
Passed: 90 (45%)
Win rate: 42%
Solutions:
Raise min probability: 65% → 70% or 75%
Increase min confluence: 2 → 3
Raise base persistence: 2 → 3
Enable WFO if disabled (validates strategies before use)
Check if volume filter is being ignored (⨯ Volume low?)
Problem: Counter-Trend Losses
⨯ Trend: 5 (only 5% rejected)
Losses often occur against trend
Solutions:
System should already filter trend opposition
May need stronger trend requirement
Consider only taking signals aligned with higher timeframe trend
Use longer trend EMA (50 → 100)
Problem: Volatile Market Whipsaws
⨯ Regime: 100 (50% rejected by volatile regime)
Still getting stopped out frequently
Solutions:
System is correctly blocking volatile signals
Losses happening because vol filter isn't strict enough
Consider not trading during volatile periods (respect the regime)
Or disable regime filter and accept higher risk
Optimization Workflow:
Enable diagnostics
Run 200+ bars with current settings
Analyze rejection patterns and win rate
Make ONE change at a time (scientific method)
Re-run 200+ bars and compare results
Keep change if improvement, revert if worse
Disable diagnostics when satisfied
Never change multiple parameters at once - you won't know what worked.
Phase 7: Multi-Instrument Deployment
AGE learns independently on each chart:
Recommended Strategy:
Deploy AGE on 3-5 different instruments
Different asset classes ideal (e.g., ES futures, EURUSD, BTCUSD, SPY, Gold)
Each learns optimal strategies for that instrument's personality
Take signals from all 5 charts
Natural diversification reduces overall risk
Why This Works:
When one market is choppy, others may be trending
Different instruments respond to different news/catalysts
Portfolio-level win rate more stable than single-instrument
Evolution explores different parameter spaces on each chart
Setup:
Same settings across all charts (or customize if preferred)
Set alerts for all
Take every validated signal across all instruments
Position size based on total account (don't overleverage any single signal)
⚠️ REALISTIC EXPECTATIONS - CRITICAL READING
What AGE Can Do
✅ Generate probability-weighted signals using genetic algorithms
✅ Evolve strategies in real-time through natural selection
✅ Validate strategies on out-of-sample data (walk-forward optimization)
✅ Adapt to changing market conditions automatically over time
✅ Provide comprehensive metrics on population health and signal quality
✅ Work on any instrument, any timeframe, any broker
✅ Improve over time as weak strategies are culled and fit strategies breed
What AGE Cannot Do
❌ Win every trade (typical win rate: 55-65% at best)
❌ Predict the future with certainty (markets are probabilistic, not deterministic)
❌ Work perfectly from bar 1 (needs 100-150 bars to learn and stabilize)
❌ Guarantee profits under all market conditions
❌ Replace your trading discipline and risk management
❌ Execute trades automatically (this is an indicator, not a strategy)
❌ Prevent all losses (drawdowns are normal and expected)
❌ Adapt instantly to regime changes (re-learning takes 50-100 bars)
Performance Realities
Typical Performance After Evolution Stabilizes (150+ bars):
Win Rate: 55-65% (excellent for trend-following systems)
Profit Factor: 1.5-2.5 (realistic for validated strategies)
Signal Frequency: 5-15 signals per 100 bars (quality over quantity)
Drawdown Periods: 20-40% of time in equity retracement (normal trading reality)
Max Consecutive Losses: 5-8 losses possible even with 60% win rate (probability says this is normal)
Evolution Timeline:
Bars 0-50: Random exploration, learning phase - poor results expected, don't judge yet
Bars 50-150: Population converging, fitness climbing - results improving
Bars 150-300: Stable performance, most strategies validated - consistent results
Bars 300+: Mature population, optimal genes dominant - best results
Market Condition Dependency:
Trending Markets: AGE excels - clear directional moves, high-probability setups
Choppy Markets: AGE struggles - fewer signals generated, lower win rate
Volatile Markets: AGE cautious - higher rejection rate, wider stops, fewer trades
Market Regime Changes:
When market shifts from trending to choppy overnight
Validated strategies can become temporarily invalidated
AGE will adapt through evolution, but not instantly
Expect 50-100 bar re-learning period after major regime shifts
Fitness may temporarily drop then recover
This is NOT a holy grail. It's a sophisticated signal generator that learns and adapts using genetic algorithms. Your success depends on:
Patience during learning periods (don't abandon after 3 losses)
Proper position sizing (risk 0.5-2% per trade, not 10%)
Following signals consistently (cherry-picking defeats statistical edge)
Not abandoning system prematurely (give it 200+ bars minimum)
Understanding probability (60% win rate means 40% of trades WILL lose)
Respecting market conditions (trending = trade more, choppy = trade less)
Managing emotions (AGE is emotionless, you need to be too)
Expected Drawdowns:
Single-strategy max DD: 10-20% of equity (normal)
Portfolio across multiple instruments: 5-15% (diversification helps)
Losing streaks: 3-5 consecutive losses expected periodically
No indicator eliminates risk. AGE manages risk through:
Quality gates (rejecting low-probability signals)
Confluence requirements (multi-indicator confirmation)
Persistence requirements (no knee-jerk reactions)
Regime awareness (reduced trading in chaos)
Walk-forward validation (preventing overfitting)
But it cannot prevent all losses. That's inherent to trading.
🔧 TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
Platform: TradingView Pine Script v5
Indicator Type: Overlay indicator (plots on price chart)
Execution Type: Signals only - no automatic order placement
Computational Load:
Moderate to High (genetic algorithms + shadow portfolios)
8 strategies × shadow portfolio simulation = significant computation
Premium visuals add additional load (gradient cloud, fitness ribbon)
TradingView Resource Limits (Built-in Caps):
Max Bars Back: 500 (sufficient for WFO and evolution)
Max Labels: 100 (plenty for entry/exit markers)
Max Lines: 150 (adequate for stop/target lines)
Max Boxes: 50 (not heavily used)
Max Polylines: 100 (confidence halos)
Recommended Chart Settings:
Timeframe: 15min to 1H (optimal signal/noise balance)
5min: Works but noisier, more signals
4H/Daily: Works but fewer signals
Bars Loaded: 1000+ (ensures sufficient evolution history)
Replay Mode: Excellent for testing without risk
Performance Optimization Tips:
Disable gradient cloud if chart lags (most CPU intensive visual)
Disable fitness ribbon if still laggy
Reduce cloud layers from 7 to 3
Reduce ribbon layers from 10 to 5
Turn off diagnostics panel unless actively tuning
Close other heavy indicators to free resources
Browser/Platform Compatibility:
Works on all modern browsers (Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge)
Mobile app supported (full functionality on phone/tablet)
Desktop app supported (best performance)
Web version supported (may be slower on older computers)
Data Requirements:
Real-time or delayed data both work
No special data feeds required
Works with TradingView's standard data
Historical + live data seamlessly integrated
🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS
AGE synthesizes advanced concepts from multiple disciplines:
Evolutionary Computation
Genetic Algorithms (Holland, 1975): Population-based optimization through natural selection metaphor
Tournament Selection: Fitness-based parent selection with diversity preservation
Crossover Operators: Fitness-weighted gene recombination from two parents
Mutation Operators: Random gene perturbation for exploration of new parameter space
Elitism: Preservation of top N performers to prevent loss of best solutions
Adaptive Parameters: Different mutation rates for historical vs. live phases
Technical Analysis
Support/Resistance: Price structure within swing ranges
Trend Following: EMA-based directional bias
Momentum Analysis: RSI, ROC, MACD composite indicators
Volatility Analysis: ATR-based risk scaling
Volume Confirmation: Trade activity validation
Information Theory
Shannon Entropy (1948): Quantification of market order vs. disorder
Signal-to-Noise Ratio: Directional information vs. random walk
Information Content: How much "information" a price move contains
Statistics & Probability
Walk-Forward Analysis: Rolling in-sample/out-of-sample optimization
Out-of-Sample Validation: Testing on unseen data to prevent overfitting
Monte Carlo Principles: Shadow portfolio simulation with realistic execution
Expectancy Theory: Win rate × avg win - loss rate × avg loss
Probability Distributions: Signal confidence quantification
Risk Management
ATR-Based Stops: Volatility-normalized risk per trade
Volatility Regime Detection: Market state classification (trending/choppy/volatile)
Drawdown Control: Peak-to-trough equity measurement
R-Multiple Normalization: Performance measurement in risk units
Machine Learning Concepts
Online Learning: Continuous adaptation as new data arrives
Fitness Functions: Multi-objective optimization (win rate + expectancy + drawdown)
Exploration vs. Exploitation: Balance between trying new strategies and using proven ones
Overfitting Prevention: Walk-forward validation as regularization
Novel Contribution:
AGE is the first TradingView indicator to apply genetic algorithms to real-time indicator parameter optimization while maintaining strict anti-overfitting controls through walk-forward validation.
Most "adaptive" indicators simply recalibrate lookback periods or thresholds. AGE evolves entirely new strategies through competitive selection - it's not parameter tuning, it's Darwinian evolution of trading logic itself.
The combination of:
Genetic algorithm population management
Shadow portfolio simulation for realistic fitness evaluation
Walk-forward validation to prevent overfitting
Multi-indicator confluence for signal quality
Dynamic volatility scaling for adaptive risk
...creates a system that genuinely learns and improves over time while avoiding the curse of curve-fitting that plagues most optimization approaches.
🏗️ DEVELOPMENT NOTES
This project represents months of intensive development, facing significant technical challenges:
Challenge 1: Making Genetics Actually Work
Early versions spawned garbage strategies that polluted the gene pool:
Random gene combinations produced nonsensical parameter sets
Weak strategies survived too long, dragging down population
No clear convergence toward optimal solutions
Solution:
Comprehensive fitness scoring (4 factors: win rate, P&L, expectancy, drawdown)
Elite preservation (top 2 always protected)
Walk-forward validation (unproven strategies penalized 30%)
Tournament selection (fitness-weighted breeding)
Adaptive culling (MAS decay creates increasing selection pressure)
Challenge 2: Balancing Evolution Speed vs. Stability
Too fast = population chaos, no convergence. Too slow = can't adapt to regime changes.
Solution:
Dual-phase timing: Fast evolution during historical (30/60 bar intervals), slow during live (200/400 bar intervals)
Adaptive mutation rates: 20% historical, 8% live
Spawn/cull ratio: Always 2:1 to prevent population collapse
Challenge 3: Shadow Portfolio Accuracy
Needed realistic trade simulation without lookahead bias:
Can't peek at future bars for exits
Must track multiple portfolios simultaneously
Stop/target checks must use bar's high/low correctly
Solution:
Entry on close (realistic)
Exit checks on current bar's high/low (realistic)
Independent position tracking per strategy
Cooldown periods to prevent unrealistic rapid re-entry
ATR-normalized P&L (R-multiples) for fair comparison across volatility regimes
Challenge 4: Pine Script Compilation Limits
Hit TradingView's execution limits multiple times:
Too many array operations
Too many variables
Too complex conditional logic
Solution:
Optimized data structures (single DNA array instead of 8 separate arrays)
Minimal visual overlays (only essential plots)
Efficient fitness calculations (vectorized where possible)
Strategic use of barstate.islast to minimize dashboard updates
Challenge 5: Walk-Forward Implementation
Standard WFO is difficult in Pine Script:
Can't easily "roll forward" through historical data
Can't re-optimize strategies mid-stream
Must work in real-time streaming environment
Solution:
Age-based phase detection (first 250 bars = training, next 75 = testing)
Separate metric tracking for train vs. test
Efficiency calculation at fixed interval (after test period completes)
Validation flag persists for strategy lifetime
Challenge 6: Signal Quality Control
Early versions generated too many signals with poor win rates:
Single indicators produced excessive noise
No trend alignment
No regime awareness
Instant entries on single-bar spikes
Solution:
Three-layer confluence system (entropy + momentum + structure)
Minimum 2-of-3 agreement requirement
Trend alignment checks (penalty for counter-trend)
Regime-based probability adjustments
Persistence requirements (signals must hold multiple bars)
Volume confirmation
Quality gate (probability + confluence thresholds)
The Result
A system that:
Truly evolves (not just parameter sweeps)
Truly validates (out-of-sample testing)
Truly adapts (ongoing competition and breeding)
Stays within TradingView's platform constraints
Provides institutional-quality signals
Maintains transparency (full metrics dashboard)
Development time: 3+ months of iterative refinement
Lines of code: ~1500 (highly optimized)
Test instruments: ES, NQ, EURUSD, BTCUSD, SPY, AAPL
Test timeframes: 5min, 15min, 1H, Daily
🎯 FINAL WORDS
The Adaptive Genesis Engine is not just another indicator - it's a living system that learns, adapts, and improves through the same principles that drive biological evolution. Every bar it observes adds to its experience. Every strategy it spawns explores new parameter combinations. Every strategy it culls removes weakness from the gene pool.
This is evolution in action on your charts.
You're not getting a static formula locked in time. You're getting a system that thinks , that competes , that survives through natural selection. The strongest strategies rise to the top. The weakest die. The gene pool improves generation after generation.
AGE doesn't claim to predict the future - it adapts to whatever the future brings. When markets shift from trending to choppy, from calm to volatile, from bullish to bearish - AGE evolves new strategies suited to the new regime.
Use it on any instrument. Any timeframe. Any market condition. AGE will adapt.
This indicator gives you the pure signal intelligence. How you choose to act on it - position sizing, risk management, execution discipline - that's your responsibility. AGE tells you when and how confident . You decide whether and how much .
Trust the process. Respect the evolution. Let Darwin work.
"In markets, as in nature, it is not the strongest strategies that survive, nor the most intelligent - but those most responsive to change."
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Happy Holiday's
FX OSINT - Institutional Midnight Intelligence For ForexFX OSINT — Institutional Midnight Intelligence For Forex
See Your FX Charts Like an Intelligence Briefing, Not a Guess
If you’ve ever stared at EURUSD or GBPJPY and thought:
Where is the real liquidity?
Is this move sponsored by smart money or just noise?
Am I buying into premium or discount?
…then FX OSINT is designed for you.
FX OSINT (Forex Open Source Intelligence) treats the FX market the way an analyst treats an investigation:
Collect open‑source signals from price, time, and volatility.
Map out liquidity, structure, and sessions in a repeatable way.
Present them in a clean, non‑cluttered dashboard so you can read context quickly.
No rainbow spaghetti. No 12 indicators stacked on top of each other. Just structured information, midnight visuals, and a clear read on what the market is doing right now.
Why FX OSINT Exists
Many FX traders run into the same problems:
Overloaded charts – multiple indicators fighting for space, none talking to each other.
Signals with no context – arrows that ignore structure, sessions, and liquidity.
Tools not tuned for FX – generic indicators that don’t care what pair you are on.
FX OSINT brings this together into one FX‑focused framework that:
Understands structure : BOS/CHOCH, swings, and trend across multiple timeframes.
Respects liquidity : sweeps, order blocks, and FVGs with controlled visibility.
Reads volatility & ADR : how far today’s range has developed.
Knows the clock : London, New York, and key killzones.
Scores confluence : a 0–100 engine that summarizes how much is lining up.
FX OSINT is built for traders who want structured, institutional‑style logic with a disciplined, midnight‑themed UI —not flashing buy/sell buttons.
1. Midnight Dashboard — Top‑Right Intelligence Panel
This panel acts as your compact “situation room”:
CONFLUENCE — 0–100 score blending trend alignment, volatility regime, sessions, liquidity events, order blocks, FVGs, and ADR context.
REGIME — Low / Building / Normal / Expansion / Extreme, driven by ATR relationships, so you know if you’re in chop, trend, or expansion.
HTF / MTF / LTF TREND — Higher‑, medium‑, and current‑timeframe bias in one place, so you see if you are trading with or against the larger flow.
ADR USED — How much of today’s typical range has already been consumed in percentage terms.
PIP VALUE — Approximate pip size per pair, including JPY‑style pairs.
Everything is bold, legible, and color‑coded, but the layout stays minimal so you can:
Look once → understand the context.
2. Structure, BOS, CHOCH — Smart‑Money‑Style Skeleton
FX OSINT tracks swing highs and lows, then shows how structure evolves:
Trend logic based on evolving swings, not just a moving average cross.
BOS (Break of Structure) when price expands in the direction of trend.
CHOCH (Change of Character) when behavior flips and the market structure changes.
Labels are selective, not spammy . You don’t get a tag on every minor wiggle—only when structure meaningfully shifts, so it’s easier to answer:
"Are we continuing the current leg, or did something actually change here?"
3. Liquidity Sweeps, Order Blocks & FVGs — The OSINT Layer
FX OSINT treats liquidity as a key information layer:
Liquidity sweeps — Detects when price spikes through recent highs/lows and then snaps back, flagging potential stop runs.
Order blocks — The last opposite candle before a displacement move, drawn as controlled boxes with limited lifespan to avoid clutter.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) — Three‑candle imbalances rendered as precise zones with a cap on how many can exist at once.
Under the hood, boxes are managed so your chart does not become a wall of old zones:
// Draw Order Blocks with overlap prevention
if isBullishOB and showOrderBlocks
if array.size(obBoxes) >= maxBoxes
oldBox = array.shift(obBoxes)
box.delete(oldBox)
newBox = box.new(bar_index , low , bar_index + obvLength, high ,
border_color = bullColor, bgcolor = bullColorTransp,
border_width = 2, extend = extend.none)
array.push(obBoxes, newBox)
Box limits keep the number of zones under control.
Borders and transparency are tuned so you still see price clearly.
You end up with a curated liquidity map , rather than a chart buried under every level price has ever touched.
4. Volatility, ADR & Sessions — Time and Range Intelligence
FX OSINT runs a Volatility Regime Analyzer and an ADR engine in the background:
Volatility regime — Five states (Low → Extreme) derived from fast vs. slow ATR.
ADR bands — Daily high/mid/low projected from the current daily open.
ADR used % — How far today’s move has traveled relative to its typical range.
On the time side:
Asia, London, New York sessions are softly highlighted with a single active background to avoid overlapping colors.
Killzones (e.g., London and New York opens) can be emphasized when you want to focus on where significant moves often begin.
Together, this helps you answer:
"What time is it in the trading day?"
"How stretched are we?"
"Is expansion just starting, or are we late to the move?"
5. ICT‑Style Add‑Ons — BOS/CHOCH, Premium/Discount, and Confluence
For modern FX / ICT‑inspired workflows, FX OSINT includes:
BOS / CHOCH labels — Clear structural shifts based on swings.
Premium / Discount zones — 25%, 50%, 75% levels of the daily range, so you know if you are buying discount in an uptrend or selling premium in a downtrend.
Confluence score — A single number summarizing how many conditions line up in the current context.
Instead of replacing your plan, FX OSINT compresses your checklist into the chart:
Structure
Liquidity
Session / Time
Volatility / ADR
Higher‑timeframe alignment
When these agree, the dashboard reflects it. When they don’t, it stays neutral and lets you see the conflict.
How To Use FX OSINT
FX OSINT is not a signal bot. It is an information engine that organizes context so you can apply your own plan.
A typical workflow might look like:
Start on higher timeframes (e.g., H4/D1) to form directional bias from structure, volatility regime, and ADR context.
Move to intraday timeframes (e.g., M15/H1) around your chosen sessions (London and/or New York).
Look for confluence :
HTF / MTF / LTF trends aligned.
Price in discount for longs or premium for shorts.
Recent liquidity sweep into a meaningful OB or FVG.
Confluence score at or above a level you consider significant.
Then refine entries using BOS/CHOCH on lower timeframes according to your own risk and execution rules.
FX OSINT aims to make sure you do not enter a trade without seeing:
Where you are in the day (ADR and sessions).
Where you are in the volatility cycle (regime).
Who currently appears in control (structure and trend).
Which liquidity was just targeted (sweeps and zones).
Design Choices and Scope
FX OSINT was designed around a few clear constraints:
FX‑focused — Logic and filters tuned for FX majors, minors, exotics, and metals. It is intended for FX markets, not for every possible asset class.
Open‑source — The full Pine Script code is available so you can read it, learn from it, and adapt it to your own workflow if needed.
Clear themes — Two main visual styles (e.g., dark institutional “midnight” and a lighter accent variant) with a focus on readability, not visual noise.
Chart‑friendly — Panels use fixed areas, session highlights avoid overlapping, and boxes are capped/pruned so the chart remains usable.
FX OSINT is for only Forex pairs, not anything else!
Hope you enjoyed and remember your Open Source Intelligence Matters 😉!
-officialjackofalltrades
Mean-Reversion with CooldownThis strategy requires no indicators or fundamental analysis. It is designed for longer-term positions and works especially well on unleveraged instruments with strong long-term upward trends, such as precious metals. Feel free to experiment with different timeframes — I’ve found that 1-hour charts work particularly well for cryptocurrencies.
The idea is to filter out ongoing bear phases as effectively as possible and capitalize on long-term bull runs.
The script implements an idea that came to me in a state of complete sleep deprivation: open a random long position with a fixed take-profit (TP) and a tight stop-loss (SL).
If the TP is hit — great, we simply try again.
If the SL is triggered — too bad, we pause for a while and then try again.
## Cooldown (Waiting) Mechanism
The waiting mechanism is simple: the more consecutive SL hits we get, the longer we wait before opening the next trade. The waiting time is measured in closed candles, and thus depends on the timeframe you are using.
## Two cooldown calculation modes are currently supported:
### 1. FIBONACCI
The cooldown follows the Fibonacci sequence, based on the number of consecutive losses:
1st loss → wait 1 bar
2nd loss → wait 1 bar
3rd loss → wait 2 or 3 bars (depending on definition)
4th loss → wait 3 or 5 bars
etc.
### 2. POWER OF TWO
The cooldown increases exponentially:
1st loss → wait 2 bars
2nd loss → wait 4 bars
3rd loss → wait 8 bars
4th loss → wait 16 bars
and so on, using the formula 2ⁿ.
## Configurable Parameters
### Cooldown Pause Calculation
The settings allow you to define the SL and TP as percentages of the position value.
The "Cooldown Pause Calculation" option determines how the next cooldown duration is computed after a losing trade.
The system keeps track of how many consecutive losses have occurred since the last profitable trade. That counter is then used to compute how many bars we must wait before opening the next position.
### Maximum Cooldown
The "Max Cooldown Candles" setting defines the maximum number of bars we are allowed to wait before placing a new trade. This prevents the strategy from “locking itself out” for too long and mitigates the fear of missing out (FOMO).
Once the cooldown duration reaches this maximum, the system essentially wraps around and starts the progression again. In the script, this is handled using a simple modulo operation based on the chosen maximum.
Thirdeyechart Global Gold PercentageThe global gold percentage – Percentage Change Indicator is a TradingView tool developed to help traders monitor multiple currency pairs and precious metals in one glance. This indicator was coded personally, using custom formulas to calculate the percentage change for each symbol over selected timeframes, making it unique and fully tailored to individual analysis needs.
Users can input any symbols they wish to track as a comma-separated list, making it highly flexible. The script automatically calculates percentage changes for Daily (D), 1-Hour (H1), and 4-Hour (H4) timeframes. Positive changes are highlighted in blue and negative changes in red, allowing for an instant visual representation of market movements. The table updates in real-time, giving traders immediate feedback without needing to switch between charts.
Designed with simplicity and functionality in mind, this indicator is ideal for intraday traders, swing traders, or anyone who wants to keep an eye on multiple markets efficiently. It works for currency pairs, metals like gold (XAUUSD, XAUJPY), or any TradingView-available symbol. The table is positioned at the top-right corner of the chart and automatically adapts to the number of symbols entered.
This script is purely informational and educational, providing a clear view of price movements but not offering buy or sell signals. Traders should perform their own analysis and risk management before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer / Copyright:
© 2025 Thirdeyechart. All rights reserved. This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. The author is not responsible for any trading losses or financial decisions made based on this script. Redistribution, copying, or commercial use of this code without permission is strictly prohibited.
Flux-Tensor Singularity [FTS]Flux-Tensor Singularity - Multi-Factor Market Pressure Indicator
The Flux-Tensor Singularity (FTS) is an advanced multi-factor oscillator that combines volume analysis, momentum tracking, and volatility-weighted normalization to identify critical market inflection points. Unlike traditional single-factor indicators, FTS synthesizes price velocity, volume mass, and volatility context into a unified framework that adapts to changing market regimes.
This indicator identifies extreme market conditions (termed "singularities") where multiple confirming factors converge, then uses a sophisticated scoring system to determine directional bias. It is designed for traders seeking high-probability setups with built-in confluence requirements.
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The indicator is built on the premise that market time is not constant - different market conditions contain varying levels of information density. A 1-minute bar during a major news event contains far more actionable information than a 1-minute bar during overnight low-volume trading. Traditional indicators treat all bars equally; FTS does not.
The theoretical framework draws conceptual parallels to physics (purely as a mental model, not literal physics):
Volume as Mass: Large volume represents significant market participation and "weight" behind price moves. Just as massive objects have stronger gravitational effects, high-volume moves carry more significance.
Price Change as Velocity: The rate of price movement through price space represents momentum and directional force.
Volatility as Time Dilation: When volatility is high relative to its historical norm, the "information density" of each bar increases. The indicator weights these periods more heavily, similar to how time dilates near massive objects in physics.
This is a pedagogical metaphor to create a coherent mental model - the underlying mathematics are standard financial calculations combined in a novel way.
MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK
The indicator calculates a composite singularity value through four distinct steps:
Step 1: Raw Singularity Calculation
S_raw = (ΔP × V) × γ²
Where:
ΔP = Price Velocity = close - close
V = Volume Mass = log(volume + 1)
γ² = Time Dilation Factor = (ATR_local / ATR_global)²
Volume Transformation: Volume is log-transformed because raw volume can have extreme outliers (10x-100x normal). The logarithm compresses these spikes while preserving their significance. This is standard practice in volume analysis.
Volatility Weighting: The ratio of short-term ATR (5 periods) to long-term ATR (user-defined lookback) is squared to create a volatility amplification factor. When local volatility exceeds global volatility, this ratio increases, amplifying the raw singularity value. This makes the indicator regime-aware.
Step 2: Normalization
The raw singularity values are normalized to a 0-100 scale using a stochastic-style calculation:
S_normalized = ((S_raw - S_min) / (S_max - S_min)) × 100
Where S_min and S_max are the lowest and highest raw singularity values over the lookback period.
Step 3: Epsilon Compression
S_compressed = 50 + ((S_normalized - 50) / ε)
This is the critical innovation that makes the sensitivity control functional. By applying compression AFTER normalization, the epsilon parameter actually affects the final output:
ε < 1.0: Expands range (more signals)
ε = 1.0: No change (default)
ε > 1.0: Compresses toward 50 (fewer, higher-quality signals)
For example, with ε = 2.0, a normalized value of 90 becomes 70, making threshold breaches rarer and more significant.
Step 4: Smoothing
S_final = EMA(S_compressed, smoothing_period)
An exponential moving average removes high-frequency noise while preserving trend.
SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
When the tensor crosses above the upper threshold (default 90) or below the lower threshold (default 10), an extreme event is detected. However, the indicator does NOT immediately generate a buy or sell signal. Instead, it analyzes market context through a multi-factor scoring system:
Scoring Components:
Price Structure (+1 point): Current bar bullish/bearish
Momentum (+1 point): Price higher/lower than N bars ago
Trend Context (+2 points): Fast EMA above/below slow EMA (weighted heavier)
Acceleration (+1 point): Rate of change increasing/decreasing
Volume Multiplier (×1.5): If volume > average, multiply score
The highest score (bullish vs bearish) determines signal direction. This prevents the common indicator failure mode of "overbought can stay overbought" by requiring directional confirmation.
Signal Conditions:
A BUY signal requires:
Extreme event detection (tensor crosses threshold)
Bullish score > Bearish score
Price confirmation: Bullish candle (optional, user-controlled)
Volume confirmation: Volume > average (optional, user-controlled)
Momentum confirmation: Positive momentum (optional, user-controlled)
A SELL signal requires the inverse conditions.
INPUTS EXPLAINED - Core Parameters:
Global Horizon (Context): Default 20. Lookback period for normalization and volatility comparison. Higher values = smoother but less responsive. Lower values = more signals but potentially more noise.
Tensor Smoothing: Default 3. EMA period applied to final output. Removes "quantum foam" (high-frequency noise). Range 1-20.
Singularity Threshold: Default 90. Values above this (or below 100-threshold) trigger extreme event detection. Higher = rarer, stronger signals.
Signal Sensitivity (Epsilon): Default 1.0. Post-normalization compression factor. This is the key innovation - it actually works because it's applied AFTER normalization. Range 0.1-5.0.
Signal Interpreter Toggles:
Require Price Confirmation: Default ON. Only generates buy signals on bullish candles, sell signals on bearish candles. Reduces false signals but may delay entry.
Require Volume Confirmation: Default ON. Only signals when volume > average. Critical for stocks/crypto, less important for forex (unreliable volume data).
Use Momentum Filter: Default ON. Requires momentum agreement with signal direction. Prevents counter-trend signals.
Momentum Lookback: Default 5. Number of bars for momentum calculation. Shorter = more responsive, longer = trend-following bias.
Visual Controls:
Colors: Customizable colors for bullish flux, bearish flux, background, and event horizon.
Visual Transparency: Default 85. Master control for all visual elements (accretion disk, field lines, particles, etc.). Range 50-99. Signals and dashboard have separate controls.
Visibility Toggles: Individual on/off switches for:
Gravitational field lines (trend EMAs)
Field reversals (trend crossovers)
Accretion disk (background gradient)
Singularity diamonds (neutral extreme events)
Energy particles (volume bursts)
Event horizon flash (extreme event background)
Signal background flash
Signal Size: Tiny/Small/Normal triangle size
Signal Offsets: Separate controls for buy and sell signal vertical positioning (percentage of price)
Dashboard Settings:
Show Dashboard: Toggle on/off
Position: 9 placement options (all corners, centers, middles)
Text Size: Tiny/Small/Normal/Large
Background Transparency: 0-50, separate from visual transparency
VISUAL ELEMENTS EXPLAINED
1. Accretion Disk (Background Gradient):
A three-layer gradient background that intensifies as the tensor approaches extremes. The outer disk appears at any non-neutral reading, the inner disk activates above 70 or below 30, and the core layer appears above 85 or below 15. Color indicates direction (cyan = bullish, red = bearish). This provides instant visual feedback on market pressure intensity.
2. Gravitational Field Lines (EMAs):
Two trend-following EMAs (10 and 30 period) visualized as colored lines. These represent the "curvature" of market trend - when they diverge, trend is strong; when they converge, trend is weakening. Crossovers mark potential trend reversals.
3. Field Reversals (Circles):
Small circles appear when the fast EMA crosses the slow EMA, indicating a potential trend change. These are distinct from extreme events and appear at normal market structure shifts.
4. Singularity Diamonds:
Small diamond shapes appear when the tensor reaches extreme levels (>90 or <10) but doesn't meet the full signal criteria. These are "watch" events - extreme pressure exists but directional confirmation is lacking.
5. Energy Particles (Dots):
Tiny dots appear when volume exceeds 2× average, indicating significant participation. Color matches bar direction. These highlight genuine high-conviction moves versus low-volume drifts.
6. Event Horizon Flash:
A golden background flash appears the instant any extreme threshold is breached, before directional analysis. This alerts you to pay attention.
7. Signal Background Flash:
When a full buy/sell signal is confirmed, the background flashes cyan (buy) or red (sell). This is your primary alert that all conditions are met.
8. Signal Triangles:
The actual buy (▲) and sell (▼) markers. These only appear when ALL selected confirmation criteria are satisfied. Position is offset from bars to avoid overlap with other indicators.
DASHBOARD METRICS EXPLAINED
The dashboard displays real-time calculated values:
Event Density: Current tensor value (0-100). Above 90 or below 10 = critical. Icon changes: 🔥 (extreme high), ❄️ (extreme low), ○ (neutral).
Time Dilation (γ): Current volatility ratio squared. Values >2.0 indicate extreme volatility environments. >1.5 = elevated, >1.0 = above average. Icon: ⚡ (extreme), ⚠ (elevated), ○ (normal).
Mass (Vol): Log-transformed volume value. Compared to volume ratio (current/average). Icon: ● (>2× avg), ◐ (>1× avg), ○ (below avg).
Velocity (ΔP): Raw price change. Direction arrow indicates momentum direction. Shows the actual price delta value.
Bullish Flux: Current bullish context score. Displayed as both a bar chart (visual) and numeric value. Brighter when bullish score dominates.
Bearish Flux: Current bearish context score. Same visualization as bullish flux. These scores compete - the winner determines signal direction.
Field: Trend direction based on EMA relationship. "Repulsive" (uptrend), "Attractive" (downtrend), "Neutral" (ranging). Icon: ⬆⬇↔
State: Current market condition:
🚀 EJECTION: Buy signal active
💥 COLLAPSE: Sell signal active
⚠ CRITICAL: Extreme event, no directional confirmation
● STABLE: Normal market conditions
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
1. Wait for Extreme Events:
The indicator is designed to be selective. Don't trade every fluctuation - wait for tensor to reach >90 or <10. This alone is not a signal.
2. Check Context Scores:
Look at the Bullish Flux vs Bearish Flux in the dashboard. If scores are close (within 1-2 points), the market is indecisive - skip the trade.
3. Confirm with Signals:
Only act when a full triangle signal appears (▲ or ▼). This means ALL your selected confirmation criteria have been met.
4. Use with Price Structure:
Combine with support/resistance levels. A buy signal AT support is higher probability than a buy signal in the middle of nowhere.
5. Respect the Dashboard State:
When State shows "CRITICAL" (⚠), it means extreme pressure exists but direction is unclear. These are the most dangerous moments - wait for resolution.
6. Volume Matters:
Energy particles (dots) and the Mass metric tell you if institutions are participating. Signals without volume confirmation are lower probability.
MARKET AND TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
Scalping (1m-5m):
Lookback: 10-14
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 85
Epsilon: 0.5-0.7
Note: Expect more noise. Confirm with Level 2 data. Best on highly liquid instruments.
Intraday (15m-1h):
Lookback: 20-30 (default settings work well)
Smoothing: 3-5
Threshold: 90
Epsilon: 1.0
Note: Sweet spot for the indicator. High win rate on liquid stocks, forex majors, and crypto.
Swing Trading (4h-1D):
Lookback: 30-50
Smoothing: 3
Threshold: 90-95
Epsilon: 1.5-2.0
Note: Signals are rare but high conviction. Combine with higher timeframe trend analysis.
Position Trading (1D-1W):
Lookback: 50-100
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 95
Epsilon: 2.0-3.0
Note: Extremely rare signals. Only trade the most extreme events. Expect massive moves.
Market-Specific Settings:
Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.):
Volume data is unreliable (spot forex has no centralized volume)
Disable "Require Volume Confirmation"
Focus on momentum and trend filters
News events create extreme singularities
Best on 15m-1h timeframes
Stocks (High-Volume Equities):
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL - keep it ON
Works excellently on AAPL, TSLA, SPY, etc.
Morning session (9:30-11:00 ET) shows highest event density
Earnings announcements create guaranteed extreme events
Best on 5m-1h for day trading, 1D for swing trading
Crypto (BTC, ETH, major alts):
Reduce threshold to 85 (crypto has constant high volatility)
Volume spikes are THE primary signal - keep volume confirmation ON
Works exceptionally well due to 24/7 trading and high volatility
Epsilon can be reduced to 0.7-0.8 for more signals
Best on 15m-4h timeframes
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.):
Gold responds to macro events (Fed announcements, geopolitical events)
Oil responds to supply shocks
Use daily timeframe minimum
Increase lookback to 50+
These are slow-moving markets - be patient
Indices (SPX, NDX, etc.):
Institutional volume matters - keep volume confirmation ON
Opening hour (9:30-10:30 ET) = highest singularity probability
Strong correlation with VIX - high VIX = more extreme events
Best on 15m-1h for day trading
WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE
1. Post-Normalization Sensitivity Control:
Unlike most oscillators where sensitivity controls don't actually work (they're applied before normalization, which then rescales everything), FTS applies epsilon compression AFTER normalization. This means the sensitivity parameter genuinely affects signal frequency. This is a novel implementation not found in standard oscillators.
2. Multi-Factor Confluence Requirement:
The indicator doesn't just detect "overbought" or "oversold" - it detects extreme conditions AND THEN analyzes context through five separate factors (price structure, momentum, trend, acceleration, volume). Most indicators are single-factor; FTS requires confluence.
3. Volatility-Weighted Normalization:
By squaring the ATR ratio (local/global), the indicator adapts to changing market regimes. A 1% move in a low-volatility environment is treated differently than a 1% move in a high-volatility environment. Traditional indicators treat all moves equally regardless of context.
4. Volume Integration at the Core:
Volume isn't an afterthought or optional filter - it's baked into the fundamental equation as "mass." The log transformation handles outliers elegantly while preserving significance. Most price-based indicators completely ignore volume.
5. Adaptive Scoring System:
Rather than fixed buy/sell rules ("RSI >70 = sell"), FTS uses competitive scoring where bullish and bearish evidence compete. The winner determines direction. This solves the classic problem of "overbought markets can stay overbought during strong uptrends."
6. Comprehensive Visual Feedback:
The multi-layer visualization system (accretion disk, field lines, particles, flashes) provides instant intuitive feedback on market state without requiring dashboard reading. You can see pressure building before extreme thresholds are hit.
7. Separate Extreme Detection and Signal Generation:
"Singularity diamonds" show extreme events that don't meet full criteria, while "signal triangles" only appear when ALL conditions are met. This distinction helps traders understand when pressure exists versus when it's actionable.
COMPARISON TO EXISTING INDICATORS
vs. RSI/Stochastic:
These normalize price relative to recent range. FTS normalizes (price change × log volume × volatility ratio) - a composite metric, not just price position.
vs. Chaikin Money Flow:
CMF combines price and volume but lacks volatility context and doesn't use adaptive normalization or post-normalization compression.
vs. Bollinger Bands + Volume:
Bollinger Bands show volatility but don't integrate volume or create a unified oscillator. They're separate components, not synthesized.
vs. MACD:
MACD is pure momentum. FTS combines momentum with volume weighting and volatility context, plus provides a normalized 0-100 scale.
The specific combination of log-volume weighting, squared volatility amplification, post-normalization epsilon compression, and multi-factor directional scoring is unique to this indicator.
LIMITATIONS AND PROPER DISCLOSURE
Not a Holy Grail:
No indicator is perfect. This tool identifies high-probability setups but cannot predict the future. Losses will occur. Use proper risk management.
Requires Confirmation:
Best used in conjunction with price action analysis, support/resistance levels, and higher timeframe trend. Don't trade signals blindly.
Volume Data Dependency:
On forex (spot) and some low-volume instruments, volume data is unreliable or tick-volume only. Disable volume confirmation in these cases.
Lagging Components:
The EMA smoothing and trend filters are inherently lagging. In extremely fast moves, signals may appear after the initial thrust.
Extreme Event Rarity:
With conservative settings (high threshold, high epsilon), signals can be rare. This is by design - quality over quantity. If you need more frequent signals, reduce threshold to 85 and epsilon to 0.7.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator is an analytical tool. All trading decisions and their consequences are solely your responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
BEST PRACTICES
Don't trade every singularity - wait for context confirmation
Higher timeframes = higher reliability
Combine with support/resistance for entry refinement
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL for stocks/crypto (toggle off only for forex)
During major news events, singularities are inevitable but direction may be uncertain - use wider stops
When bullish and bearish flux scores are close, skip the trade
Test settings on your specific instrument/timeframe before live trading
Use the dashboard actively - it contains critical diagnostic information
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Market Electromagnetic Field [The_lurker]Market Electromagnetic Field
An innovative analytical indicator that presents a completely new model for understanding market dynamics, inspired by the laws of electromagnetic physics — but it's not a rhetorical metaphor, rather a complete mathematical system.
Unlike traditional indicators that focus on price or momentum, this indicator portrays the market as a closed physical system, where:
⚡ Candles = Electric charges (positive at bullish close, negative at bearish)
⚡ Buyers and Sellers = Two opposing poles where pressure accumulates
⚡ Market tension = Voltage difference between the poles
⚡ Price breakout = Electrical discharge after sufficient energy accumulation
█ Core Concept
Markets don't move randomly, but follow a clear physical cycle:
Accumulation → Tension → Discharge → Stabilization → New Accumulation
When charges accumulate (through strong candles with high volume) and exceed a certain "electrical capacitance" threshold, the indicator issues a "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT" alert — meaning a price explosion is imminent, giving the trader an opportunity to enter before the move begins.
█ Competitive Advantage
- Predictive forecasting (not confirmatory after the event)
- Smart multi-layer filtering reduces false signals
- Animated 3D visual representation makes reading price conditions instant and intuitive — without need for number analysis
█ Theoretical Physical Foundation
The indicator doesn't use physical terms for decoration, but applies mathematical laws with precise market adjustments:
⚡ Coulomb's Law
Physics: F = k × (q₁ × q₂) / r²
Market: Field Intensity = 4 × norm_positive × norm_negative
Peaks at equilibrium (0.5 × 0.5 × 4 = 1.0), and decreases at dominance — because conflict increases at parity.
⚡ Ohm's Law
Physics: V = I × R
Market: Voltage = norm_positive − norm_negative
Measures balance of power:
- +1 = Absolute buying dominance
- −1 = Absolute selling dominance
- 0 = Balance
⚡ Capacitance
Physics: C = Q / V
Market: Capacitance = |Voltage| × Field Intensity
Represents stored energy ready for discharge — increases with bias combined with high interaction.
⚡ Electrical Discharge
Physics: Occurs when exceeding insulation threshold
Market: Discharge Probability = min(Capacitance / Discharge Threshold, 1.0)
When ≥ 0.9: "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
📌 Key Note:
Maximum capacitance doesn't occur at absolute dominance (where field intensity = 0), nor at perfect balance (where voltage = 0), but at moderate bias (±30–50%) with high interaction (field intensity > 25%) — i.e., in moments of "pressure before breakout".
█ Detailed Calculation Mechanism
⚡ Phase 1: Candle Polarity
polarity = (close − open) / (high − low)
- +1.0: Complete bullish candle (Bullish Marubozu)
- −1.0: Complete bearish candle (Bearish Marubozu)
- 0.0: Doji (no decision)
- Intermediate values: Represent the ratio of candle body to its range — reducing the effect of long-shadow candles
⚡ Phase 2: Volume Weight
vol_weight = volume / SMA(volume, lookback)
A candle with 150% of average volume = 1.5x stronger charge
⚡ Phase 3: Adaptive Factor
adaptive_factor = ATR(lookback) / SMA(ATR, lookback × 2)
- In volatile markets: Increases sensitivity
- In quiet markets: Reduces noise
- Always recommended to keep it enabled
⚡ Phase 4–6: Charge Accumulation and Normalization
Charges are summed over lookback candles, then ratios are normalized:
norm_positive = positive_charge / total_charge
norm_negative = negative_charge / total_charge
So that: norm_positive + norm_negative = 1 — for easier comparison
⚡ Phase 7: Field Calculations
voltage = norm_positive − norm_negative
field_intensity = 4 × norm_positive × norm_negative × field_sensitivity
capacitance = |voltage| × field_intensity
discharge_prob = min(capacitance / discharge_threshold, 1.0)
█ Settings
⚡ Electromagnetic Model
Lookback Period
- Default: 20
- Range: 5–100
- Recommendations:
- Scalping: 10–15
- Day Trading: 20
- Swing: 30–50
- Investing: 50–100
Discharge Threshold
- Default: 0.7
- Range: 0.3–0.95
- Recommendations:
- Speed + Noise: 0.5–0.6
- Balance: 0.7
- High Accuracy: 0.8–0.95
Field Sensitivity
- Default: 1.0
- Range: 0.5–2.0
- Recommendations:
- Amplify Conflict: 1.2–1.5
- Natural: 1.0
- Calm: 0.5–0.8
Adaptive Mode
- Default: Enabled
- Always keep it enabled
🔬 Dynamic Filters
All enabled filters must pass for discharge signal to appear.
Volume Filter
- Condition: volume > SMA(volume) × vol_multiplier
- Function: Excludes "weak" candles not supported by volume
- Recommendation: Enabled (especially for stocks and forex)
Volatility Filter
- Condition: STDEV > SMA(STDEV) × 0.5
- Function: Ignores sideways stagnation periods
- Recommendation: Always enabled
Trend Filter
- Condition: Voltage alignment with fast/slow EMA
- Function: Reduces counter-trend signals
- Recommendation: Enabled for swing/investing only
Volume Threshold
- Default: 1.2
- Recommendations:
- 1.0–1.2: High sensitivity
- 1.5–2.0: Exclusive to high volume
🎨 Visual Settings
Settings improve visual reading experience — don't affect calculations.
Scale Factor
- Default: 600
- Higher = Larger scene (200–1200)
Horizontal Shift
- Default: 180
- Horizontal shift to the left — to focus on last candle
Pole Size
- Default: 60
- Base sphere size (30–120)
Field Lines
- Default: 8
- Number of field lines (4–16) — 8 is ideal balance
Colors
- Green/Red/Blue/Orange
- Fully customizable
█ Visual Representation: A Visual Language for Diagnosing Price Conditions
✨ Design Philosophy
The representation isn't "decoration", but a complete cognitive model — each element carries information, and element interaction tells a complete story.
The brain perceives changes in size, color, and movement 60,000 times faster than reading numbers — so you can "sense" the change before your eye finishes scanning.
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🟢 Positive Pole (Green Sphere — Left)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What does it represent?
Active buying pressure accumulation — not just an uptrend, but real demand force supported by volume and volatility.
● Dynamic Size
Size = pole_size × (0.7 + norm_positive × 0.6)
- 70% of base size = No significant charge
- 130% of base size = Complete dominance
- The larger the sphere: Greater buyer dominance, higher probability of bullish continuation
Size Interpretation:
- Large sphere (>55%): Strong buying pressure — Buyers dominate
- Medium sphere (45–55%): Relative balance with buying bias
- Small sphere (<45%): Weak buying pressure — Sellers dominate
● Lighting and Transparency
- 20% transparency (when Bias = +1): Pole currently active — Bullish direction
- 50% transparency (when Bias ≠ +1): Pole inactive — Not the prevailing direction
Lighting = Current activity, while Size = Historical accumulation
● Pulsing Inner Glow
A smaller sphere pulses automatically when Bias = +1:
inner_pulse = 0.4 + 0.1 × sin(anim_time × 3)
Symbolizes continuity of buy order flow — not static dominance.
● Orbital Rings
Two rings rotating at different speeds and directions:
- Inner: 1.3× sphere size — Direct influence range
- Outer: 1.6× sphere size — Extended influence range
Represent "influence zone" of buyers:
- Continuous rotation = Stability and momentum
- Slowdown = Momentum exhaustion
● Percentage
Displayed below sphere: norm_positive × 100
- >55% = Clear dominance
- 45–55% = Balance
- <45% = Weakness
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🔴 Negative Pole (Red Sphere — Right)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What does it represent?
Active selling pressure accumulation — whether cumulative selling (smart distribution) or panic selling (position liquidation).
● Visual Dynamics
Same size, lighting, and inner glow mechanism — but in red.
Key Difference:
- Rotation is reversed (counter-clockwise)
- Visually distinguishes "buy flow" from "sell flow"
- Allows reading direction at a glance — even for colorblind users
📌 Pole Reading Summary:
🟢 Large + Bright green sphere = Active buying force
🔴 Large + Bright red sphere = Active selling force
🟢🔴 Both large but dim = Energy accumulation (before discharge)
⚪ Both small = Stagnation / Low liquidity
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🔵 Field Lines (Curved Blue Lines)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What do they represent?
Energy flow paths between poles — the arena where price battle is fought.
● Number of Lines
4–16 lines (Default: 8)
More lines: Greater sense of "interaction density"
● Arc Height
arc_h = (i − half_lines) × 15 × field_intensity × 2
- High field intensity = Highly elevated lines (like waves)
- Low intensity = Nearly straight lines
● Oscillating Transparency
transp = 30 + phase × 40
where phase = sin(anim_time × 2 + i × 0.5) × 0.5 + 0.5
Creates illusion of "flowing current" — not static lines
● Asymmetric Curvature
- Upper lines curve upward
- Lower lines curve downward
- Adds 3D depth and shows "pressure" direction
⚡ Pro Tip:
When you see lines suddenly "contract" (straighten), while both spheres are large — this is an early indicator of impending discharge, because the interaction is losing its flexibility.
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
⚪ Moving Particles
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What do they represent?
Real liquidity flow in the market — who's driving price right now.
● Number and Movement
- 6 particles covering most field lines
- Move sinusoidally along the arc:
t = (sin(phase_val) + 1) / 2
- High speed = High trading activity
- Clustering at a pole = That side's control
● Color Gradient
From green (at positive pole) to red (at negative)
Shows "energy transformation":
- Green particle = Pure buying energy
- Orange particle = Conflict zone
- Red particle = Pure selling energy
📌 How to Read Them?
- Moving left to right (🟢 → 🔴): Buy flow → Bullish push
- Moving right to left (🔴 → 🟢): Sell flow → Bearish push
- Clustered in middle: Balanced conflict — Wait for breakout
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🟠 Discharge Zone (Orange Glow — Center)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What does it represent?
Point of stored energy accumulation not yet discharged — heart of the early warning system.
● Glow Stages
Initial Warning (discharge_prob > 0.3):
- Dim orange circle (70% transparency)
- Meaning: Watch, don't enter yet
High Tension (discharge_prob ≥ 0.7):
- Stronger glow + "⚠️ HIGH TENSION" text
- Meaning: Prepare — Set pending orders
Imminent Discharge (discharge_prob ≥ 0.9):
- Bright glow + "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT" text
- Meaning: Enter with direction (after candle confirmation)
● Layered Glow Effect (Glow Layering)
3 concentric circles with increasing transparency:
- Inner: 20%
- Middle: 35%
- Outer: 50%
Result: Realistic aura resembling actual electrical discharge.
📌 Why in the Center?
Because discharge always starts from the relative balance zone — where opposing pressures meet.
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 Voltage Meter (Bottom of Scene)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What does it represent?
Simplified numeric indicator of voltage difference — for those who prefer numerical reading.
● Components
- Gray bar: Full range (−100% to +100%)
- Green fill: Positive voltage (extends right)
- Red fill: Negative voltage (extends left)
- Lightning symbol (⚡): Above center — reminder it's an "electrical gauge"
- Text value: Like "+23.4%" — in direction color
● Voltage Reading Interpretation
+50% to +100%:
Overwhelming buying dominance — Beware of saturation, may precede correction
+20% to +50%:
Strong buying dominance — Suitable for buying with trend
+5% to +20%:
Slight bullish bias — Wait for additional confirmation
−5% to +5%:
Balance/Neutral — Avoid entry or wait for breakout
−5% to −20%:
Slight bearish bias — Wait for confirmation
−20% to −50%:
Strong selling dominance — Suitable for selling with trend
−50% to −100%:
Overwhelming selling dominance — Beware of saturation, may precede bounce
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📈 Field Strength Indicator (Top of Scene)
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
What it displays: "Field: XX.X%"
Meaning: Strength of conflict between buyers and sellers.
● Reading Interpretation
0–5%:
- Appearance: Nearly straight lines, transparent
- Meaning: Complete control by one side
- Strategy: Trend Following
5–15%:
- Appearance: Slight curvature
- Meaning: Clear direction with light resistance
- Strategy: Enter with trend
15–25%:
- Appearance: Medium curvature, clear lines
- Meaning: Balanced conflict
- Strategy: Range trading or waiting
25–35%:
- Appearance: High curvature, clear density
- Meaning: Strong conflict, high uncertainty
- Strategy: Volatility trading or prepare for discharge
35%+:
- Appearance: Very high lines, strong glow
- Meaning: Peak tension
- Strategy: Best discharge opportunities
📌 Golden Relationship:
Highest discharge probability when:
Field Strength (25–35%) + Voltage (±30–50%) + High Volume
← This is the "red zone" to monitor carefully.
█ Comprehensive Visual Reading
To read market condition at a glance, follow this sequence:
Step 1: Which sphere is larger?
- 🟢 Green larger ← Dominant buying pressure
- 🔴 Red larger ← Dominant selling pressure
- Equal ← Balance/Conflict
Step 2: Which sphere is bright?
- 🟢 Green bright ← Current bullish direction
- 🔴 Red bright ← Current bearish direction
- Both dim ← Neutral/No clear direction
Step 3: Is there orange glow?
- None ← Discharge probability <30%
- 🟠 Dim glow ← Discharge probability 30–70%
- 🟠 Strong glow with text ← Discharge probability >70%
Step 4: What's the voltage meter reading?
- Strong positive ← Confirms buying dominance
- Strong negative ← Confirms selling dominance
- Near zero ← No clear direction
█ Practical Visual Reading Examples
Example 1: Ideal Buy Opportunity ⚡🟢
- Green sphere: Large and bright with inner pulse
- Red sphere: Small and dim
- Orange glow: Strong with "DISCHARGE IMMINENT" text
- Voltage meter: +45%
- Field strength: 28%
Interpretation: Strong accumulated buying pressure, bullish explosion imminent
Example 2: Ideal Sell Opportunity ⚡🔴
- Green sphere: Small and dim
- Red sphere: Large and bright with inner pulse
- Orange glow: Strong with "DISCHARGE IMMINENT" text
- Voltage meter: −52%
- Field strength: 31%
Interpretation: Strong accumulated selling pressure, bearish explosion imminent
Example 3: Balance/Wait ⚖️
- Both spheres: Approximately equal in size
- Lighting: Both dim
- Orange glow: Strong
- Voltage meter: +3%
- Field strength: 24%
Interpretation: Strong conflict without clear winner, wait for breakout
Example 4: Clear Uptrend (No Discharge) 📈
- Green sphere: Large and bright
- Red sphere: Very small and dim
- Orange glow: None
- Voltage meter: +68%
- Field strength: 8%
Interpretation: Clear buying control, limited conflict, suitable for following bullish trend
Example 5: Potential Buying Saturation ⚠️
- Green sphere: Very large and bright
- Red sphere: Very small
- Orange glow: Dim
- Voltage meter: +88%
- Field strength: 4%
Interpretation: Absolute buying dominance, may precede bearish correction
█ Trading Signals
⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT
Appearance Conditions:
- discharge_prob ≥ 0.9
- All enabled filters passed
- Confirmed (after candle close)
Interpretation:
- Very large energy accumulation
- Pressure reached critical level
- Price explosion expected within 1–3 candles
How to Trade:
1. Determine voltage direction:
• Positive = Expect rise
• Negative = Expect fall
2. Wait for confirmation candle:
• For rise: Bullish candle closing above its open
• For fall: Bearish candle closing below its open
3. Entry: With next candle's open
4. Stop Loss: Behind last local low/high
5. Target: Risk/Reward ratio of at least 1:2
✅ Pro Tips:
- Best results when combined with support/resistance levels
- Avoid entry if voltage is near zero (±5%)
- Increase position size when field strength > 30%
⚠️ HIGH TENSION
Appearance Conditions:
- 0.7 ≤ discharge_prob < 0.9
Interpretation:
- Market in energy accumulation state
- Likely strong move soon, but not immediate
- Accumulation may continue or discharge may occur
How to Benefit:
- Prepare: Set pending orders at potential breakouts
- Monitor: Watch following candles for momentum candle
- Select: Don't enter every signal — choose those aligned with overall trend
█ Trading Strategies
📈 Strategy 1: Discharge Trading (Basic)
Principle: Enter at "DISCHARGE IMMINENT" in voltage direction
Steps:
1. Wait for "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
2. Check voltage direction (+/−)
3. Wait for confirmation candle in voltage direction
4. Enter with next candle's open
5. Stop loss behind last low/high
6. Target: 1:2 or 1:3 ratio
Very high success rate when following confirmation conditions.
📈 Strategy 2: Dominance Following
Principle: Trade with dominant pole (largest and brightest sphere)
Steps:
1. Identify dominant pole (largest and brightest)
2. Trade in its direction
3. Beware when sizes converge (conflict)
Suitable for higher timeframes (H1+).
📈 Strategy 3: Reversal Hunting
Principle: Counter-trend entry under certain conditions
Conditions:
- High field strength (>30%)
- Extreme voltage (>±40%)
- Divergence with price (e.g., new price high with declining voltage)
⚠️ High risk — Use small position size.
📈 Strategy 4: Integration with Technical Analysis
Strong Confirmation Examples:
- Resistance breakout + Bullish discharge = Excellent buy signal
- Support break + Bearish discharge = Excellent sell signal
- Head & Shoulders pattern + Increasing negative voltage = Pattern confirmation
- RSI divergence + High field strength = Potential reversal
█ Ready Alerts
Bullish Discharge
- Condition: discharge_prob ≥ 0.9 + Positive voltage + All filters
- Message: "⚡ Bullish discharge"
- Use: High probability buy opportunity
Bearish Discharge
- Condition: discharge_prob ≥ 0.9 + Negative voltage + All filters
- Message: "⚡ Bearish discharge"
- Use: High probability sell opportunity
✅ Tip: Use these alerts with "Once Per Bar" setting to avoid repetition.
█ Data Window Outputs
Bias
- Values: −1 / 0 / +1
- Interpretation: −1 = Bearish, 0 = Neutral, +1 = Bullish
- Use: For integration in automated strategies
Discharge %
- Range: 0–100%
- Interpretation: Discharge probability
- Use: Monitor tension progression (e.g., from 40% to 85% in 5 candles)
Field Strength
- Range: 0–100%
- Interpretation: Conflict intensity
- Use: Identify "opportunity window" (25–35% ideal for discharge)
Voltage
- Range: −100% to +100%
- Interpretation: Balance of power
- Use: Monitor extremes (potential buying/selling saturation)
█ Optimal Settings by Trading Style
Scalping
- Timeframe: 1M–5M
- Lookback: 10–15
- Threshold: 0.5–0.6
- Sensitivity: 1.2–1.5
- Filters: Volume + Volatility
Day Trading
- Timeframe: 15M–1H
- Lookback: 20
- Threshold: 0.7
- Sensitivity: 1.0
- Filters: Volume + Volatility
Swing Trading
- Timeframe: 4H–D1
- Lookback: 30–50
- Threshold: 0.8
- Sensitivity: 0.8
- Filters: Volatility + Trend
Position Trading
- Timeframe: D1–W1
- Lookback: 50–100
- Threshold: 0.85–0.95
- Sensitivity: 0.5–0.8
- Filters: All filters
█ Tips for Optimal Use
1. Start with Default Settings
Try it first as is, then adjust to your style.
2. Watch for Element Alignment
Best signals when:
- Clear voltage (>│20%│)
- Moderate–high field strength (15–35%)
- High discharge probability (>70%)
3. Use Multiple Timeframes
- Higher timeframe: Determine overall trend
- Lower timeframe: Time entry
- Ensure signal alignment between frames
4. Integrate with Other Tools
- Support/Resistance levels
- Trend lines
- Candle patterns
- Volume indicators
5. Respect Risk Management
- Don't risk more than 1–2% of account
- Always use stop loss
- Don't enter every signal — choose the best
█ Important Warnings
⚠️ Not for Standalone Use
The indicator is an analytical support tool — don't use it isolated from technical or fundamental analysis.
⚠️ Doesn't Predict the Future
Calculations are based on historical data — Results are not guaranteed.
⚠️ Markets Differ
You may need to adjust settings for each market:
- Forex: Focus on Volume Filter
- Stocks: Add Trend Filter
- Crypto: Lower Threshold slightly (more volatile)
⚠️ News and Events
The indicator doesn't account for sudden news — Avoid trading before/during major news.
█ Unique Features
✅ First Application of Electromagnetism to Markets
Innovative mathematical model — Not just an ordinary indicator
✅ Predictive Detection of Price Explosions
Alerts before the move happens — Not after
✅ Multi-Layer Filtering
4 smart filters reduce false signals to minimum
✅ Smart Volatility Adaptation
Automatically adjusts sensitivity based on market conditions
✅ Animated 3D Visual Representation
Makes reading instant — Even for beginners
✅ High Flexibility
Works on all assets: Stocks, Forex, Crypto, Commodities
✅ Built-in Ready Alerts
No complex setup needed — Ready for immediate use
█ Conclusion: When Art Meets Science
Market Electromagnetic Field is not just an indicator — but a new analytical philosophy.
It's the bridge between:
- Physics precision in describing dynamic systems
- Market intelligence in generating trading opportunities
- Visual psychology in facilitating instant reading
The result: A tool that isn't read — but watched, felt, and sensed.
When you see the green sphere expanding, the glow intensifying, and particles rushing rightward — you're not seeing numbers, you're seeing market energy breathing.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Use it in conjunction with your own strategy and risk management. Neither TradingView nor the developer is liable for any financial decisions or losses.
المجال الكهرومغناطيسي للسوق - Market Electromagnetic Field
مؤشر تحليلي مبتكر يقدّم نموذجًا جديدًا كليًّا لفهم ديناميكيات السوق، مستوحى من قوانين الفيزياء الكهرومغناطيسية — لكنه ليس استعارة بلاغية، بل نظام رياضي متكامل.
على عكس المؤشرات التقليدية التي تُركّز على السعر أو الزخم، يُصوّر هذا المؤشر السوق كـنظام فيزيائي مغلق، حيث:
⚡ الشموع = شحنات كهربائية (موجبة عند الإغلاق الصاعد، سالبة عند الهابط)
⚡ المشتريون والبائعون = قطبان متعاكسان يتراكم فيهما الضغط
⚡ التوتر السوقي = فرق جهد بين القطبين
⚡ الاختراق السعري = تفريغ كهربائي بعد تراكم طاقة كافية
█ الفكرة الجوهرية
الأسواق لا تتحرك عشوائيًّا، بل تخضع لدورة فيزيائية واضحة:
تراكم → توتر → تفريغ → استقرار → تراكم جديد
عندما تتراكم الشحنات (من خلال شموع قوية بحجم مرتفع) وتتجاوز "السعة الكهربائية" عتبة معيّنة، يُصدر المؤشر تنبيه "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT" — أي أن انفجارًا سعريًّا وشيكًا، مما يمنح المتداول فرصة الدخول قبل بدء الحركة.
█ الميزة التنافسية
- تنبؤ استباقي (ليس تأكيديًّا بعد الحدث)
- فلترة ذكية متعددة الطبقات تقلل الإشارات الكاذبة
- تمثيل بصري ثلاثي الأبعاد متحرك يجعل قراءة الحالة السعرية فورية وبديهية — دون حاجة لتحليل أرقام
█ الأساس النظري الفيزيائي
المؤشر لا يستخدم مصطلحات فيزيائية للزينة، بل يُطبّق القوانين الرياضية مع تعديلات سوقيّة دقيقة:
⚡ قانون كولوم (Coulomb's Law)
الفيزياء: F = k × (q₁ × q₂) / r²
السوق: شدة الحقل = 4 × norm_positive × norm_negative
تصل لذروتها عند التوازن (0.5 × 0.5 × 4 = 1.0)، وتنخفض عند الهيمنة — لأن الصراع يزداد عند التكافؤ.
⚡ قانون أوم (Ohm's Law)
الفيزياء: V = I × R
السوق: الجهد = norm_positive − norm_negative
يقيس ميزان القوى:
- +1 = هيمنة شرائية مطلقة
- −1 = هيمنة بيعية مطلقة
- 0 = توازن
⚡ السعة الكهربائية (Capacitance)
الفيزياء: C = Q / V
السوق: السعة = |الجهد| × شدة الحقل
تمثّل الطاقة المخزّنة القابلة للتفريغ — تزداد عند وجود تحيّز مع تفاعل عالي.
⚡ التفريغ الكهربائي (Discharge)
الفيزياء: يحدث عند تجاوز عتبة العزل
السوق: احتمال التفريغ = min(السعة / عتبة التفريغ, 1.0)
عندما ≥ 0.9: "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
📌 ملاحظة جوهرية:
أقصى سعة لا تحدث عند الهيمنة المطلقة (حيث شدة الحقل = 0)، ولا عند التوازن التام (حيث الجهد = 0)، بل عند انحياز متوسط (±30–50%) مع تفاعل عالي (شدة حقل > 25%) — أي في لحظات "الضغط قبل الاختراق".
█ آلية الحساب التفصيلية
⚡ المرحلة 1: قطبية الشمعة
polarity = (close − open) / (high − low)
- +1.0: شمعة صاعدة كاملة (ماروبوزو صاعد)
- −1.0: شمعة هابطة كاملة (ماروبوزو هابط)
- 0.0: دوجي (لا قرار)
- القيم الوسيطة: تمثّل نسبة جسم الشمعة إلى مداها — مما يقلّل تأثير الشموع ذات الظلال الطويلة
⚡ المرحلة 2: وزن الحجم
vol_weight = volume / SMA(volume, lookback)
شمعة بحجم 150% من المتوسط = شحنة أقوى بـ 1.5 مرة
⚡ المرحلة 3: معامل التكيف (Adaptive Factor)
adaptive_factor = ATR(lookback) / SMA(ATR, lookback × 2)
- في الأسواق المتقلبة: يزيد الحساسية
- في الأسواق الهادئة: يقلل الضوضاء
- يوصى دائمًا بتركه مفعّلًا
⚡ المرحلة 4–6: تراكم وتوحيد الشحنات
تُجمّع الشحنات على lookback شمعة، ثم تُوحّد النسب:
norm_positive = positive_charge / total_charge
norm_negative = negative_charge / total_charge
بحيث: norm_positive + norm_negative = 1 — لتسهيل المقارنة
⚡ المرحلة 7: حسابات الحقل
voltage = norm_positive − norm_negative
field_intensity = 4 × norm_positive × norm_negative × field_sensitivity
capacitance = |voltage| × field_intensity
discharge_prob = min(capacitance / discharge_threshold, 1.0)
█ الإعدادات
⚡ Electromagnetic Model
Lookback Period
- الافتراضي: 20
- النطاق: 5–100
- التوصيات:
- المضاربة: 10–15
- اليومي: 20
- السوينغ: 30–50
- الاستثمار: 50–100
Discharge Threshold
- الافتراضي: 0.7
- النطاق: 0.3–0.95
- التوصيات:
- سرعة + ضوضاء: 0.5–0.6
- توازن: 0.7
- دقة عالية: 0.8–0.95
Field Sensitivity
- الافتراضي: 1.0
- النطاق: 0.5–2.0
- التوصيات:
- تضخيم الصراع: 1.2–1.5
- طبيعي: 1.0
- تهدئة: 0.5–0.8
Adaptive Mode
- الافتراضي: مفعّل
- أبقِه دائمًا مفعّلًا
🔬 Dynamic Filters
يجب اجتياز جميع الفلاتر المفعّلة لظهور إشارة التفريغ.
Volume Filter
- الشرط: volume > SMA(volume) × vol_multiplier
- الوظيفة: يستبعد الشموع "الضعيفة" غير المدعومة بحجم
- التوصية: مفعّل (خاصة للأسهم والعملات)
Volatility Filter
- الشرط: STDEV > SMA(STDEV) × 0.5
- الوظيفة: يتجاهل فترات الركود الجانبي
- التوصية: مفعّل دائمًا
Trend Filter
- الشرط: توافق الجهد مع EMA سريع/بطيء
- الوظيفة: يقلل الإشارات المعاكسة للاتجاه العام
- التوصية: مفعّل للسوينغ/الاستثمار فقط
Volume Threshold
- الافتراضي: 1.2
- التوصيات:
- 1.0–1.2: حساسية عالية
- 1.5–2.0: حصرية للحجم العالي
🎨 Visual Settings
الإعدادات تُحسّن تجربة القراءة البصرية — لا تؤثر على الحسابات.
Scale Factor
- الافتراضي: 600
- كلما زاد: المشهد أكبر (200–1200)
Horizontal Shift
- الافتراضي: 180
- إزاحة أفقيّة لليسار — ليركّز على آخر شمعة
Pole Size
- الافتراضي: 60
- حجم الكرات الأساسية (30–120)
Field Lines
- الافتراضي: 8
- عدد خطوط الحقل (4–16) — 8 توازن مثالي
الألوان
- أخضر/أحمر/أزرق/برتقالي
- قابلة للتخصيص بالكامل
█ التمثيل البصري: لغة بصرية لتشخيص الحالة السعرية
✨ الفلسفة التصميمية
التمثيل ليس "زينة"، بل نموذج معرفي متكامل — كل عنصر يحمل معلومة، وتفاعل العناصر يروي قصة كاملة.
العقل يدرك التغيير في الحجم، اللون، والحركة أسرع بـ 60,000 مرة من قراءة الأرقام — لذا يمكنك "الإحساس" بالتغير قبل أن تُنهي العين المسح.
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🟢 القطب الموجب (الكرة الخضراء — يسار)
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ماذا يمثّل؟
تراكم ضغط الشراء النشط — ليس مجرد اتجاه صاعد، بل قوة طلب حقيقية مدعومة بحجم وتقلّب.
● الحجم المتغير
حجم = pole_size × (0.7 + norm_positive × 0.6)
- 70% من الحجم الأساسي = لا شحنة تُذكر
- 130% من الحجم الأساسي = هيمنة تامة
- كلما كبرت الكرة: زاد تفوّق المشترين، وارتفع احتمال الاستمرار الصعودي
تفسير الحجم:
- كرة كبيرة (>55%): ضغط شراء قوي — المشترون يسيطرون
- كرة متوسطة (45–55%): توازن نسبي مع ميل للشراء
- كرة صغيرة (<45%): ضعف ضغط الشراء — البائعون يسيطرون
● الإضاءة والشفافية
- شفافية 20% (عند Bias = +1): القطب نشط حالياً — الاتجاه صعودي
- شفافية 50% (عند Bias ≠ +1): القطب غير نشط — ليس الاتجاه السائد
الإضاءة = النشاط الحالي، بينما الحجم = التراكم التاريخي
● التوهج الداخلي النابض
كرة أصغر تنبض تلقائيًّا عند Bias = +1:
inner_pulse = 0.4 + 0.1 × sin(anim_time × 3)
يرمز إلى استمرارية تدفق أوامر الشراء — وليس هيمنة جامدة.
● الحلقات المدارية
حلقتان تدوران بسرعات واتجاهات مختلفة:
- الداخلية: 1.3× حجم الكرة — نطاق التأثير المباشر
- الخارجية: 1.6× حجم الكرة — نطاق التأثير الممتد
تمثّل "نطاق تأثير" المشترين:
- الدوران المستمر = استقرار وزخم
- التباطؤ = نفاد الزخم
● النسبة المئوية
تظهر تحت الكرة: norm_positive × 100
- >55% = هيمنة واضحة
- 45–55% = توازن
- <45% = ضعف
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🔴 القطب السالب (الكرة الحمراء — يمين)
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ماذا يمثّل؟
تراكم ضغط البيع النشط — سواء كان بيعًا تراكميًّا (التوزيع الذكي) أو بيعًا هستيريًّا (تصفية مراكز).
● الديناميكيات البصرية
نفس آلية الحجم والإضاءة والتوهج الداخلي — لكن باللون الأحمر.
الفرق الجوهري:
- الدوران معكوس (عكس اتجاه عقارب الساعة)
- يُميّز بصريًّا بين "تدفق الشراء" و"تدفق البيع"
- يسمح بقراءة الاتجاه بنظرة واحدة — حتى للمصابين بعَمَى الألوان
📌 ملخص قراءة القطبين:
🟢 كرة خضراء كبيرة + مضيئة = قوة شرائية نشطة
🔴 كرة حمراء كبيرة + مضيئة = قوة بيعية نشطة
🟢🔴 كرتان كبيرتان لكن خافتتان = تراكم طاقة (قبل التفريغ)
⚪ كرتان صغيرتان = ركود / سيولة منخفضة
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🔵 خطوط الحقل (الخطوط الزرقاء المنحنية)
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ماذا تمثّل؟
مسارات تدفق الطاقة بين القطبين — أي الساحة التي تُدار فيها المعركة السعرية.
● عدد الخطوط
4–16 خط (الافتراضي: 8)
كلما زاد العدد: زاد إحساس "كثافة التفاعل"
● ارتفاع القوس
arc_h = (i − half_lines) × 15 × field_intensity × 2
- شدة حقل عالية = خطوط شديدة الارتفاع (مثل موجة)
- شدة منخفضة = خطوط شبه مستقيمة
● الشفافية المتذبذبة
transp = 30 + phase × 40
حيث phase = sin(anim_time × 2 + i × 0.5) × 0.5 + 0.5
تخلق وهم "تيّار متدفّق" — وليس خطوطًا ثابتة
● الانحناء غير المتناظر
- الخطوط العلوية تنحني لأعلى
- الخطوط السفلية تنحني لأسفل
- يُضفي عمقًا ثلاثي الأبعاد ويُظهر اتجاه "الضغط"
⚡ تلميح احترافي:
عندما ترى الخطوط "تتقلّص" فجأة (تستقيم)، بينما الكرتان كبيرتان — فهذا مؤشر مبكر على قرب التفريغ، لأن التفاعل بدأ يفقد مرونته.
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⚪ الجزيئات المتحركة
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ماذا تمثّل؟
تدفق السيولة الحقيقية في السوق — أي من يدفع السعر الآن.
● العدد والحركة
- 6 جزيئات تغطي معظم خطوط الحقل
- تتحرك جيبيًّا على طول القوس:
t = (sin(phase_val) + 1) / 2
- سرعة عالية = نشاط تداول عالي
- تجمّع عند قطب = سيطرة هذا الطرف
● تدرج اللون
من أخضر (عند القطب الموجب) إلى أحمر (عند السالب)
يُظهر "تحوّل الطاقة":
- جزيء أخضر = طاقة شرائية نقية
- جزيء برتقالي = منطقة صراع
- جزيء أحمر = طاقة بيعية نقية
📌 كيف تقرأها؟
- تحركت من اليسار لليمين (🟢 → 🔴): تدفق شرائي → دفع صعودي
- تحركت من اليمين لليسار (🔴 → 🟢): تدفق بيعي → دفع هبوطي
- تجمّعت في المنتصف: صراع متكافئ — انتظر اختراقًا
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🟠 منطقة التفريغ (التوهج البرتقالي — المركز)
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ماذا تمثّل؟
نقطة تراكم الطاقة المخزّنة التي لم تُفرّغ بعد — قلب نظام الإنذار المبكر.
● مراحل التوهج
إنذار أولي (discharge_prob > 0.3):
- دائرة برتقالية خافتة (شفافية 70%)
- المعنى: راقب، لا تدخل بعد
توتر عالي (discharge_prob ≥ 0.7):
- توهج أقوى + نص "⚠️ HIGH TENSION"
- المعنى: استعد — ضع أوامر معلقة
تفريغ وشيك (discharge_prob ≥ 0.9):
- توهج ساطع + نص "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
- المعنى: ادخل مع الاتجاه (بعد تأكيد شمعة)
● تأثير التوهج الطبقي (Glow Layering)
3 دوائر متحدة المركز بشفافية متزايدة:
- داخلي: 20%
- وسط: 35%
- خارجي: 50%
النتيجة: هالة (Aura) واقعية تشبه التفريغ الكهربائي الحقيقي.
📌 لماذا في المركز؟
لأن التفريغ يبدأ دائمًا من منطقة التوازن النسبي — حيث يلتقي الضغطان المتعاكسان.
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📊 مقياس الجهد (أسفل المشهد)
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ماذا يمثّل؟
مؤشر رقمي مبسّط لفرق الجهد — لمن يفضّل القراءة العددية.
● المكونات
- الشريط الرمادي: النطاق الكامل (−100% إلى +100%)
- التعبئة الخضراء: جهد موجب (تمتد لليمين)
- التعبئة الحمراء: جهد سالب (تمتد لليسار)
- رمز البرق (⚡): فوق المركز — تذكير بأنه "مقياس كهربائي"
- القيمة النصية: مثل "+23.4%" — بلون الاتجاه
● تفسير قراءات الجهد
+50% إلى +100%:
هيمنة شرائية ساحقة — احذر التشبع، قد يسبق تصحيح
+20% إلى +50%:
هيمنة شرائية قوية — مناسب للشراء مع الاتجاه
+5% إلى +20%:
ميل صعودي خفيف — انتظر تأكيدًا إضافيًّا
−5% إلى +5%:
توازن/حياد — تجنّب الدخول أو انتظر اختراقًا
−5% إلى −20%:
ميل هبوطي خفيف — انتظر تأكيدًا
−20% إلى −50%:
هيمنة بيعية قوية — مناسب للبيع مع الاتجاه
−50% إلى −100%:
هيمنة بيعية ساحقة — احذر التشبع، قد يسبق ارتداد
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📈 مؤشر شدة الحقل (أعلى المشهد)
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ما يعرضه: "Field: XX.X%"
الدلالة: قوة الصراع بين المشترين والبائعين.
● تفسير القراءات
0–5%:
- المظهر: خطوط مستقيمة تقريبًا، شفافة
- المعنى: سيطرة تامة لأحد الطرفين
- الاستراتيجية: تتبع الترند (Trend Following)
5–15%:
- المظهر: انحناء خفيف
- المعنى: اتجاه واضح مع مقاومة خفيفة
- الاستراتيجية: الدخول مع الاتجاه
15–25%:
- المظهر: انحناء متوسط، خطوط واضحة
- المعنى: صراع متوازن
- الاستراتيجية: تداول النطاق أو الانتظار
25–35%:
- المظهر: انحناء عالي، كثافة واضحة
- المعنى: صراع قوي، عدم يقين عالي
- الاستراتيجية: تداول التقلّب أو الاستعداد للتفريغ
35%+:
- المظهر: خطوط عالية جدًّا، توهج قوي
- المعنى: ذروة التوتر
- الاستراتيجية: أفضل فرص التفريغ
📌 العلاقة الذهبية:
أعلى احتمال تفريغ عندما:
شدة الحقل (25–35%) + جهد (±30–50%) + حجم مرتفع
← هذه هي "المنطقة الحمراء" التي يجب مراقبتها بدقة.
█ قراءة التمثيل البصري الشاملة
لقراءة حالة السوق بنظرة واحدة، اتبع هذا التسلسل:
الخطوة 1: أي كرة أكبر؟
- 🟢 الخضراء أكبر ← ضغط شراء مهيمن
- 🔴 الحمراء أكبر ← ضغط بيع مهيمن
- متساويتان ← توازن/صراع
الخطوة 2: أي كرة مضيئة؟
- 🟢 الخضراء مضيئة ← اتجاه صعودي حالي
- 🔴 الحمراء مضيئة ← اتجاه هبوطي حالي
- كلاهما خافت ← حياد/لا اتجاه واضح
الخطوة 3: هل يوجد توهج برتقالي؟
- لا يوجد ← احتمال تفريغ <30%
- 🟠 توهج خافت ← احتمال تفريغ 30–70%
- 🟠 توهج قوي مع نص ← احتمال تفريغ >70%
الخطوة 4: ما قراءة مقياس الجهد؟
- موجب قوي ← تأكيد الهيمنة الشرائية
- سالب قوي ← تأكيد الهيمنة البيعية
- قريب من الصفر ← لا اتجاه واضح
█ أمثلة عملية للقراءة البصرية
المثال 1: فرصة شراء مثالية ⚡🟢
- الكرة الخضراء: كبيرة ومضيئة مع نبض داخلي
- الكرة الحمراء: صغيرة وخافتة
- التوهج البرتقالي: قوي مع نص "DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
- مقياس الجهد: +45%
- شدة الحقل: 28%
التفسير: ضغط شراء قوي متراكم، انفجار صعودي وشيك
المثال 2: فرصة بيع مثالية ⚡🔴
- الكرة الخضراء: صغيرة وخافتة
- الكرة الحمراء: كبيرة ومضيئة مع نبض داخلي
- التوهج البرتقالي: قوي مع نص "DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
- مقياس الجهد: −52%
- شدة الحقل: 31%
التفسير: ضغط بيع قوي متراكم، انفجار هبوطي وشيك
المثال 3: توازن/انتظار ⚖️
- الكرتان: متساويتان تقريباً في الحجم
- الإضاءة: كلاهما خافت
- التوهج البرتقالي: قوي
- مقياس الجهد: +3%
- شدة الحقل: 24%
التفسير: صراع قوي بدون فائز واضح، انتظر اختراقًا
المثال 4: اتجاه صعودي واضح (لا تفريغ) 📈
- الكرة الخضراء: كبيرة ومضيئة
- الكرة الحمراء: صغيرة جداً وخافتة
- التوهج البرتقالي: لا يوجد
- مقياس الجهد: +68%
- شدة الحقل: 8%
التفسير: سيطرة شرائية واضحة، صراع محدود، مناسب لتتبع الترند الصعودي
المثال 5: تشبع شرائي محتمل ⚠️
- الكرة الخضراء: كبيرة جداً ومضيئة
- الكرة الحمراء: صغيرة جداً
- التوهج البرتقالي: خافت
- مقياس الجهد: +88%
- شدة الحقل: 4%
التفسير: هيمنة شرائية مطلقة، قد يسبق تصحيحاً هبوطياً
█ إشارات التداول
⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT (التفريغ الوشيك)
شروط الظهور:
- discharge_prob ≥ 0.9
- اجتياز جميع الفلاتر المفعّلة
- Confirmed (بعد إغلاق الشمعة)
التفسير:
- تراكم طاقة كبير جدًّا
- الضغط وصل لمستوى حرج
- انفجار سعري متوقع خلال 1–3 شموع
كيفية التداول:
1. حدد اتجاه الجهد:
• موجب = توقع صعود
• سالب = توقع هبوط
2. انتظر شمعة تأكيدية:
• للصعود: شمعة صاعدة تغلق فوق افتتاحها
• للهبوط: شمعة هابطة تغلق تحت افتتاحها
3. الدخول: مع افتتاح الشمعة التالية
4. وقف الخسارة: وراء آخر قاع/قمة محلية
5. الهدف: نسبة مخاطرة/عائد 1:2 على الأقل
✅ نصائح احترافية:
- أفضل النتائج عند دمجها مع مستويات الدعم/المقاومة
- تجنّب الدخول إذا كان الجهد قريبًا من الصفر (±5%)
- زِد حجم المركز عند شدة حقل > 30%
⚠️ HIGH TENSION (التوتر العالي)
شروط الظهور:
- 0.7 ≤ discharge_prob < 0.9
التفسير:
- السوق في حالة تراكم طاقة
- احتمال حركة قوية قريبة، لكن ليست فورية
- قد يستمر التراكم أو يحدث تفريغ
كيفية الاستفادة:
- الاستعداد: حضّر أوامر معلقة عند الاختراقات المحتملة
- المراقبة: راقب الشموع التالية بحثًا عن شمعة دافعة
- الانتقاء: لا تدخل كل إشارة — اختر تلك التي تتوافق مع الاتجاه العام
█ استراتيجيات التداول
📈 استراتيجية 1: تداول التفريغ (الأساسية)
المبدأ: الدخول عند "DISCHARGE IMMINENT" في اتجاه الجهد
الخطوات:
1. انتظر ظهور "⚡ DISCHARGE IMMINENT"
2. تحقق من اتجاه الجهد (+/−)
3. انتظر شمعة تأكيدية في اتجاه الجهد
4. ادخل مع افتتاح الشمعة التالية
5. وقف الخسارة وراء آخر قاع/قمة
6. الهدف: نسبة 1:2 أو 1:3
نسبة نجاح عالية جدًّا عند الالتزام بشروط التأكيد.
📈 استراتيجية 2: تتبع الهيمنة
المبدأ: التداول مع القطب المهيمن (الكرة الأكبر والأكثر إضاءة)
الخطوات:
1. حدد القطب المهيمن (الأكبر حجماً والأكثر إضاءة)
2. تداول في اتجاهه
3. احذر عند تقارب الأحجام (صراع)
مناسبة للإطارات الزمنية الأعلى (H1+).
📈 استراتيجية 3: صيد الانعكاس
المبدأ: الدخول عكس الاتجاه عند ظروف معينة
الشروط:
- شدة حقل عالية (>30%)
- جهد متطرف (>±40%)
- تباعد مع السعر (مثل: قمة سعرية جديدة مع تراجع الجهد)
⚠️ عالية المخاطرة — استخدم حجم مركز صغير.
📈 استراتيجية 4: الدمج مع التحليل الفني
أمثلة تأكيد قوي:
- اختراق مقاومة + تفريغ صعودي = إشارة شراء ممتازة
- كسر دعم + تفريغ هبوطي = إشارة بيع ممتازة
- نموذج Head & Shoulders + جهد سالب متزايد = تأكيد النموذج
- تباعد RSI + شدة حقل عالية = انعكاس محتمل
█ التنبيهات الجاهزة
Bullish Discharge
- الشرط: discharge_prob ≥ 0.9 + جهد موجب + جميع الفلاتر
- الرسالة: "⚡ Bullish discharge"
- الاستخدام: فرصة شراء عالية الاحتمالية
Bearish Discharge
- الشرط: discharge_prob ≥ 0.9 + جهد سالب + جميع الفلاتر
- الرسالة: "⚡ Bearish discharge"
- الاستخدام: فرصة بيع عالية الاحتمالية
✅ نصيحة: استخدم هذه التنبيهات مع إعداد "Once Per Bar" لتجنب التكرار.
█ المخرجات في نافذة البيانات
Bias
- القيم: −1 / 0 / +1
- التفسير: −1 = هبوطي، 0 = حياد، +1 = صعودي
- الاستخدام: لدمجها في استراتيجيات آلية
Discharge %
- النطاق: 0–100%
- التفسير: احتمال التفريغ
- الاستخدام: مراقبة تدرّج التوتر (مثال: من 40% إلى 85% في 5 شموع)
Field Strength
- النطاق: 0–100%
- التفسير: شدة الصراع
- الاستخدام: تحديد "نافذة الفرص" (25–35% مثالية للتفريغ)
Voltage
- النطاق: −100% إلى +100%
- التفسير: ميزان القوى
- الاستخدام: مراقبة التطرف (تشبع شرائي/بيعي محتمل)
█ الإعدادات المثلى حسب أسلوب التداول
المضاربة (Scalping)
- الإطار: 1M–5M
- Lookback: 10–15
- Threshold: 0.5–0.6
- Sensitivity: 1.2–1.5
- الفلاتر: Volume + Volatility
التداول اليومي (Day Trading)
- الإطار: 15M–1H
- Lookback: 20
- Threshold: 0.7
- Sensitivity: 1.0
- الفلاتر: Volume + Volatility
السوينغ (Swing Trading)
- الإطار: 4H–D1
- Lookback: 30–50
- Threshold: 0.8
- Sensitivity: 0.8
- الفلاتر: Volatility + Trend
الاستثمار (Position Trading)
- الإطار: D1–W1
- Lookback: 50–100
- Threshold: 0.85–0.95
- Sensitivity: 0.5–0.8
- الفلاتر: جميع الفلاتر
█ نصائح للاستخدام الأمثل
1. ابدأ بالإعدادات الافتراضية
جرّبه أولًا كما هو، ثم عدّل حسب أسلوبك.
2. راقب التوافق بين العناصر
أفضل الإشارات عندما:
- الجهد واضح (>│20%│)
- شدة الحقل معتدلة–عالية (15–35%)
- احتمال التفريغ مرتفع (>70%)
3. استخدم أطر زمنية متعددة
- الإطار الأعلى: تحديد الاتجاه العام
- الإطار الأدنى: توقيت الدخول
- تأكد من توافق الإشارات بين الأطر
4. دمج مع أدوات أخرى
- مستويات الدعم/المقاومة
- خطوط الاتجاه
- أنماط الشموع
- مؤشرات الحجم
5. احترم إدارة المخاطرة
- لا تخاطر بأكثر من 1–2% من الحساب
- استخدم دائمًا وقف الخسارة
- لا تدخل كل الإشارات — اختر الأفضل
█ تحذيرات مهمة
⚠️ ليس للاستخدام المنفرد
المؤشر أداة تحليل مساعِدة — لا تستخدمه بمعزل عن التحليل الفني أو الأساسي.
⚠️ لا يتنبأ بالمستقبل
الحسابات مبنية على البيانات التاريخية — النتائج ليست مضمونة.
⚠️ الأسواق تختلف
قد تحتاج لضبط الإعدادات لكل سوق:
- العملات: تركّز على Volume Filter
- الأسهم: أضف Trend Filter
- الكريبتو: خفّض Threshold قليلًا (أكثر تقلّبًا)
⚠️ الأخبار والأحداث
المؤشر لا يأخذ في الاعتبار الأخبار المفاجئة — تجنّب التداول قبل/أثناء الأخبار الرئيسية.
█ الميزات الفريدة
✅ أول تطبيق للكهرومغناطيسية على الأسواق
نموذج رياضي مبتكر — ليس مجرد مؤشر عادي
✅ كشف استباقي للانفجارات السعرية
يُنبّه قبل حدوث الحركة — وليس بعدها
✅ تصفية متعددة الطبقات
4 فلاتر ذكية تقلل الإشارات الكاذبة إلى الحد الأدنى
✅ تكيف ذكي مع التقلب
يضبط حساسيته تلقائيًّا حسب ظروف السوق
✅ تمثيل بصري ثلاثي الأبعاد متحرك
يجعل القراءة فورية — حتى للمبتدئين
✅ مرونة عالية
يعمل على جميع الأصول: أسهم، عملات، كريبتو، سلع
✅ تنبيهات مدمجة جاهزة
لا حاجة لإعدادات معقدة — جاهز للاستخدام الفوري
█ خاتمة: عندما يلتقي الفن بالعلم
Market Electromagnetic Field ليس مجرد مؤشر — بل فلسفة تحليلية جديدة.
هو الجسر بين:
- دقة الفيزياء في وصف الأنظمة الديناميكية
- ذكاء السوق في توليد فرص التداول
- علم النفس البصري في تسهيل القراءة الفورية
النتيجة: أداة لا تُقرأ — بل تُشاهد، تُشعر، وتُستشعر.
عندما ترى الكرة الخضراء تتوسع، والتوهج يصفرّ، والجزيئات تندفع لليمين — فأنت لا ترى أرقامًا، بل ترى طاقة السوق تتنفّس.
⚠️ إخلاء مسؤولية:
هذا المؤشر لأغراض تعليمية وتحليلية فقط. لا يُمثل نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تداولية. استخدمه بالتزامن مع استراتيجيتك الخاصة وإدارة المخاطر. لا يتحمل TradingView ولا المطور مسؤولية أي قرارات مالية أو خسائر.
Smart Margin Zone
SMART MARGIN ZONE - CME-BASED SUPPORT & RESISTANCE INDICATOR
TITLE FOR PUBLICATION:
Smart Margin Zone - CME Margin-Based Support and Resistance
CATEGORY:
Support and Resistance
SHORT DESCRIPTION (for preview):
Automatically plots margin zones based on CME Group requirements. These zones represent critical price levels where leveraged traders face margin calls, creating natural support and resistance through forced liquidations.
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FULL DESCRIPTION FOR TRADINGVIEW:
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📊 Smart Margin Zone - Professional Trading Zones Based on CME Data
This indicator automatically calculates and displays margin zones derived from official CME Group margin requirements. These zones represent critical price levels where traders using leverage receive margin calls, triggering forced position closures that create natural support and resistance levels.
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🎯 CORE CONCEPT
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When price reaches calculated margin zones, traders using 2:1 or 4:1 leverage on CME futures receive margin calls. Brokers automatically liquidate these positions, creating waves of buying or selling pressure that form strong support and resistance levels.
This is not theoretical - it's based on actual margin requirements from CME Group, the world's largest derivatives marketplace.
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📐 CALCULATION METHODOLOGY
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The indicator uses the following formula to calculate zone sizes:
Zone Size = (Margin Requirement / Tick Value) × Tick Size × 1.10
Where:
• Margin Requirement = Official CME initial margin (updated November 2024)
• Tick Value = Dollar value of minimum price movement
• Tick Size = Minimum price increment
• 1.10 = 10% buffer for realistic zone width
SUPPORTED INSTRUMENTS WITH CME DATA:
Currency Pairs:
• EURUSD: $2,100 margin → 0.0168 zone size
• GBPUSD: $1,800 margin → 0.0144 zone size
• AUDUSD: $1,300 margin → 0.0065 zone size
• NZDUSD: $1,100 margin → 0.0055 zone size
• USDJPY: $3,200 margin → custom calculation
• USDCAD: $950 margin → calculated
• USDCHF: $1,650 margin → calculated
Commodities:
• Gold (XAUUSD): $8,000 margin → 80 points zone size
• Silver (XAGUSD): $6,500 margin → calculated
• WTI Crude Oil: $4,500 margin → calculated
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🔍 HOW IT WORKS
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1. SWING POINT DETECTION
The indicator automatically identifies swing highs and swing lows using a configurable lookback period (default 10 bars). These become anchor points for zone calculations.
2. FIVE ZONE LEVELS
From each swing point, five zone levels are calculated:
• Zone 1/4 (25%) - First correction level
• Zone 1/2 (50%) - KEY ZONE for trend determination
• Zone 3/4 (75%) - Intermediate level
• Zone 1/1 (100%) - Full margin zone (strongest level)
• Zone 5/4 (125%) - Extended zone
3. TREND IDENTIFICATION
• Close above Zone 1/2 resistance = Bullish trend
• Close below Zone 1/2 support = Bearish trend
• Between zones = Range/consolidation
4. HISTORICAL CONTEXT
Current zones are displayed prominently with fills and labels. Historical zones appear as thin, semi-transparent lines for context without cluttering the chart.
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⚙️ FEATURES
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AUTOMATED CALCULATION:
✅ Auto-detection of swing highs and lows
✅ Real-time zone updates as new swings form
✅ CME margin data built-in for major instruments
✅ Manual override option for custom calculations
VISUAL CLARITY:
✅ Color-coded zones (red=resistance, green=support)
✅ Adjustable transparency for fills and lines
✅ Current zones bold with fills and price labels
✅ Historical zones thin and transparent
✅ Swing point markers show calculation origins
CUSTOMIZATION:
✅ Show/hide individual zone levels (1/4, 1/2, 3/4, 1/1, 5/4)
✅ Toggle historical zones on/off
✅ Adjustable lookback period (5-50 bars)
✅ Customizable colors for all elements
✅ Line width and transparency controls
✅ Zone extension options (none/right/both)
TREND ANALYSIS:
✅ Optional trend background coloring
✅ Customizable trend colors and transparency
✅ Real-time trend identification display
STATISTICS:
✅ Live statistics table showing:
- Current instrument
- Active zone size
- Calculation mode
- Current trend direction
- Number of zones displayed
ALERTS:
✅ Zone 1/2 breakout (up/down)
✅ Full margin zone 1/1 reached
✅ Customizable alert messages
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📈 TRADING APPLICATIONS
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ENTRY SIGNALS:
• Bounces from zone levels = potential entry points
• Zone 1/2 breakouts = trend continuation entries
• Zone rejections = reversal opportunities
RISK MANAGEMENT:
• Zone levels = logical stop-loss placement
• Zone 1/1 = maximum risk level
• Zone spacing = position sizing guide
PROFIT TARGETS:
• Next zone level = first target
• Zone 1/1 = full profit target
• Zone breakouts = extended targets
TREND CONFIRMATION:
• Price above Zone 1/2 resistance = confirmed uptrend
• Price below Zone 1/2 support = confirmed downtrend
• Consolidation between zones = wait for breakout
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📚 USAGE INSTRUCTIONS
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GETTING STARTED:
1. Add indicator to chart of any supported instrument
2. Zones automatically calculate and display
3. Adjust swing detection period if needed (default 10 works well)
4. Customize colors and visibility to your preference
OPTIMAL SETTINGS:
• Best timeframes: H1, H4, Daily, Weekly
• Default swing length (10) suitable for most markets
• Show 2-3 historical zones for context
• Enable swing point markers to see calculation origins
INTERPRETATION:
• Watch for price reactions at zone boundaries
• Strong bounces = respect for margin level
• Clean breaks = momentum continuation
• Multiple touches = zone strength confirmation
SET ALERTS:
• Zone 1/2 breakouts for trend entries
• Zone 1/1 reaches for profit-taking
• Custom alerts for your specific strategy
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⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
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DATA ACCURACY:
• CME margin requirements updated November 2024
• Margins change periodically - check CME Group website
• Manual mode available for latest margin data
• Indicator provides analysis tool, not financial advice
STATISTICAL PERFORMANCE:
• Historical data shows >60% probability of continued movement after Zone 1/2 breakout
• Zone effectiveness varies by market conditions
• Best results in trending markets with clear swings
LIMITATIONS:
• Margin requirements change - monitor CME updates
• Works best on liquid instruments with clear swings
• Not a standalone trading system
• Should be combined with additional analysis
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🔧 METHODOLOGY CREDIT
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This indicator is based on the margin zones concept developed by Alexander Bazylev (BTrade indicator for MetaTrader platforms).
The TradingView implementation has been completely rewritten with original enhancements:
• Multiple zone levels instead of single level
• Automatic swing point detection algorithm
• Direct CME data integration
• Historical zone visualization
• Advanced customization options
• Comprehensive statistics and alerts
All code is original and specifically designed for TradingView's Pine Script v5 environment.
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💡 BEST PRACTICES
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COMBINE WITH:
• Volume analysis for confirmation
• Trend indicators for direction bias
• Price action patterns at zones
• Higher timeframe analysis
AVOID:
• Trading against strong trends at minor zones
• Over-leveraging based solely on zone placement
• Ignoring broader market context
• Expecting perfect bounces every time
OPTIMIZE:
• Adjust swing length for different timeframes
• Shorter period (5-7) for intraday trading
• Longer period (15-20) for swing trading
• Test historical effectiveness on your instruments
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📖 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
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This indicator helps traders understand:
• How institutional margin requirements affect price
• Where forced liquidations create pressure
• Natural support and resistance formation
• Relationship between leverage and price levels
• Market structure and key technical levels
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🔄 VERSION HISTORY
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Version 1.0 (Initial Release):
• CME-based zone calculation for 10 instruments
• Automatic swing high/low detection
• 5 zone levels with customizable display
• Historical zones with transparency control
• Swing point markers
• Trend background indicator
• Live statistics table
• Multiple alert conditions
• Fully customizable colors and styles
• English language interface
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📞 SUPPORT & FEEDBACK
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Questions or suggestions? Leave a comment below!
If you find this indicator useful:
⭐ Please leave a like
💬 Share your experience in comments
🔔 Follow for updates and new indicators
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⚖️ DISCLAIMER
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This indicator is provided for educational and analytical purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for trading decisions.
• Past performance does not guarantee future results
• Trading involves substantial risk of loss
• CME margin requirements subject to change
• Always do your own research and risk management
• Consult a financial advisor for investment advice
The creator is not responsible for any trading losses incurred through use of this indicator.
Liquidity Hunter Pro v11.9 — TQI EditionLiquidity Hunter Pro v12 is built for intraday traders who want structure, clarity, and precision without unnecessary clutter. The tool blends market structure, momentum, trend alignment, volatility regime analysis, and liquidity mapping into a single unified model.
This version focuses on three core goals:
1. Identify only high-quality, directional market conditions.
The engine filters through HTF bias, short-term structure shifts, RSI momentum, and volatility compression/expansion. The idea is simple: wait for the market to become clean, aligned, and directional before considering an entry.
2. Map liquidity and detect sweeps in real time.
Major highs and lows are tracked using extended pivots, and the system highlights key areas where stop hunts or sweeps may occur. Sweeps and pressure zones are evaluated and factored directly into the quality score.
3. Grade every potential setup with a single, objective metric (TQI).
The Trade Quality Index (0–5⭐) compresses all signals into one reading so the trader can quickly judge whether a setup has enough quality to act on.
The script includes:
• Trend + Momentum + Structure detection
• HTF bias (optional)
• Volatility regime analysis
• Liquidity sweeps + pressure zones
• Micro-confirmation engine
• PQI (0–100%)
• TQI (0–5⭐)
• Clean HUD and Driver’s Guide
• Auto-cleaning labels and signal management
• Optional session filtering (London/NY)
This tool is designed for traders who value confirmation over noise.
It will not fire constantly.
It will wait patiently for clean, directional, aligned markets — and only then issue a signal.
How to Use Liquidity Hunter Pro v12
1. Check the HUD (top-right by default)
The HUD is your dashboard. Before doing anything:
A. HTF Bias
This is your map. Only trade in the direction of the bias.
B. Trend / Momentum / Structure
These should ideally all match the direction of the bias.
If they don’t line up → wait. No alignment = low probability.
C. Liquidity + Volatility Regime
“Sweep ↑→↓” or “Sweep ↓→↑” = potential reversal points
“Expansion” = clean conditions
“Compression” = choppy, avoid
You don’t need to overthink any of this — just think:
“Are the ingredients lined up?”
2. Wait for a valid signal
The indicator will only trigger a BUY or SELL when:
✓ HTF bias aligns
✓ Trend & momentum align
✓ Structure supports the move
✓ Micro-confirmation kicks in
✓ PQI ≥ 75
✓ Sessions are open (optional)
Signals are rare on purpose.
When one prints, you know the market conditions are stacked.
3. Read the label
Each signal prints a small block next to the candle containing:
• Entry price
• SL (based on structure)
• TP(2R) suggestion
• Liquidity context (e.g., sweep or pressure)
• Volatility regime
• TQI ⭐ rating (0–5)
This helps you judge the setup instantly.
A simple rule for beginners:
Trade only if TQI ≥ ⭐⭐⭐
Lower than that = more noise, less edge.
4. Use the liquidity zones
The script plots subtle boxes at recent liquidity highs/lows.
These mark:
• Where the market may hunt stops
• Where reversals often start
• Where signals are more meaningful
When a signal happens near liquidity → higher quality.
5. Follow the session filter (optional but recommended)
By default the tool focuses on:
• London session
• New York session
That removes 70% of low-volatility garbage.
You can turn this off if you trade crypto or indices overnight, but beginners usually benefit from keeping it on.
Recommended Settings
These are the settings used by most testers and early users.
Everything is configurable, but start with this:
Core Settings
• Fast EMA: 21
• Slow EMA: 55
• RSI Length: 14
• Pivot Lookback: 2
These settings create balanced structure detection and smooth trend signals.
HTF Bias
• Use HTF Bias: ON
• HTF Timeframe: 240 (H4)
H4 bias keeps you out of counter-trend traps.
Sessions
• Use London/NY Filter: ON
• London: 08:00–17:00
• New York: 13:30–21:00
Perfect for FX, indices, and metals.
Crypto traders: turn sessions OFF.
HUD + Guide
• HUD: ON
• Guide: ON
• Linger Bars: 12
This keeps things readable and prevents clutter.
Trading Tips for Beginners
These help keep you out of trouble:
1. Don’t fade the bias.
If HTF says bearish → avoid buys.
2. Don’t trade in compression regimes.
It saves you from chop.
3. Don’t chase signals that fire far from structure.
If the signal candle is huge, let it go.
4. Don’t trade without at least ⭐⭐⭐.
You’ll thank yourself later.
Final Thoughts
Liquidity Hunter Pro v12 isn’t meant to spam signals.
It’s meant to filter hard, highlight clean conditions, and help new traders avoid the traps the market throws every day.
Treat it as a trading assistant that tells you:
“The environment is right. Now you decide.”
Session ParmezanForex Session Range Boxes (Asia, Europe, US) — visual intraday session tracker for Forex and metals.
This indicator automatically marks the three major Forex trading sessions — Asian (Tokyo), European (London), and American (New York) — directly on your chart using dynamic colored boxes.
Each box represents the full price range (High–Low) formed during that session, helping traders visualize how volatility and liquidity evolve across the global trading day.
The script is built for intraday traders and session-based strategies, especially those who monitor breakouts from the Asian range or reactions during London–New York overlaps.
⚙️ Features
• Accurate session timing (UTC+3 / Moscow Time) — Asia: 03:00–12:00, Europe: 11:00–20:00, US: 16:00–01:00.
• Dynamic range boxes: each box expands in real time as new highs and lows are set during the session.
• Clear visual separation: each session is shown in its own color (blue for Asia, orange for Europe, green for US).
• Automatic daily reset — new boxes start every new session.
• Intraday focus only — visible up to the 1-hour timeframe (M1–H1) for clarity.
• Transparent design — semi-transparent fills keep candles readable even when sessions overlap.
• Lightweight performance — optimized use of box.new() and var variables avoids lag on lower timeframes.
🧭 Typical Use-Cases
• Identify Asian session ranges and watch for London breakouts or New York reversals.
• Visually align your intraday strategy with session volatility cycles.
• Combine with VWAP, liquidity zones, or market profile indicators for deeper confluence.
• Spot overlapping sessions — often the most active periods of the day.
ADX - Globx Options & Futures 2.0The ADX Globx Options & Futures is a custom-built trend strength indicator designed to replicate and enhance the classic Average Directional Index (ADX) model, commonly used in professional trading platforms such as IQ Option.
This version is optimized for options and futures trading, providing precise directional strength readings through adaptive smoothing and configurable parameters.
Concept and Logic
This indicator measures the strength of the current trend, regardless of its direction (bullish or bearish), by comparing directional movement between price highs and lows over a defined period.
It uses three main components:
+DI (Positive Directional Indicator): represents bullish strength.
–DI (Negative Directional Indicator): represents bearish strength.
ADX (Average Directional Index): measures the intensity of the prevailing trend, independent of direction.
The script follows the original logic proposed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., but introduces enhanced smoothing flexibility.
Users can choose between EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and Wilder’s RMA (Running Moving Average) for both DI and ADX calculations, allowing closer alignment with various platform implementations (IQ Option, MetaTrader, etc.).
How It Works
Directional Movement Calculation
The script computes upward and downward movements (+DM and –DM) by comparing the differences in highs and lows between consecutive candles.
Only positive directional changes that exceed the opposite side are considered.
This ensures each bar contributes only one valid directional movement.
True Range and Smoothing
The True Range (TR) is calculated using ta.tr(true) to include price gaps—replicating how professional derivatives platforms account for volatility jumps.
Both TR and DM values are smoothed using the selected averaging method (EMA or Wilder).
Directional Index and ADX
The smoothed +DI and –DI values are normalized over the True Range to form the Directional Index (DX), which measures the percentage difference between the two.
The ADX is then derived by smoothing the DX values, providing a stable reading of overall market strength.
Visual Representation
The ADX (white line) indicates the overall trend strength.
The +DI (dark blue) and –DI (dark red) lines show which side (bullish or bearish) is currently dominant.
Reference levels at 20 and 25 serve as strength thresholds:
Below 20 → Weak or sideways market.
Above 25 → Strong and directional trend.
Usage and Interpretation
When ADX rises above 25, the market shows a strong trend — use +DI > –DI for bullish confirmation, or the opposite for bearish momentum.
A falling ADX suggests decreasing trend strength and potential consolidation.
The default parameters (ADX Length = 34, DI Length = 34, both smoothed by EMA) match IQ Option’s internal ADX configuration, ensuring consistency between platforms.
Works on any timeframe or asset class, but is especially tuned for futures and options volatility dynamics.
Originality and Improvements
Unlike many open-source ADX indicators, this version:
Recreates IQ Option’s 34-length EMA-based ADX calculation with exact parameter alignment.
Provides selectable smoothing algorithms (EMA or Wilder) to switch between modern and classic formulations.
Uses dark-theme-optimized visuals with fine line weight and subtle contrast for clean visibility.
Maintains constant guide levels (20/25) rendered globally for precision and style compliance in Pine Script v6.
Is fully rewritten for Pine Script v6, ensuring compatibility and optimized execution.
Recommended Use
Combine with trend-following systems or breakout strategies.
Ideal for identifying market strength before engaging in options directionals or futures entries.
Use the ADX to confirm breakout momentum or filter sideways markets.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and analytical purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Users are encouraged to validate the indicator within their own trading strategies and risk frameworks.
ICT FVG Buy/Sell SignalsThis bot is built on ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts such as:
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – imbalance zones between candles.
Consequent Encroachment (CE) – the midpoint of a gap.
Premium / Discount Arrays – dealing ranges split into premium (sell-side) and discount (buy-side) zones.
Displacement candles – strong impulsive moves that confirm intent.
The bot scans for FVGs, marks CE levels, and waits for price to return to these levels.
When price revisits a valid FVG zone with displacement confirmation and in the correct PD array, the bot generates a BUY or SELL signal.
✅ Signal Rules
Buy Signal
Price trades back into a Bullish FVG.
Current bar shows bullish displacement (large bullish body relative to ATR).
Price is in discount territory of the current dealing range (if PD filter is enabled).
Close is above the CE line of the FVG.
Sell Signal
Price trades back into a Bearish FVG.
Current bar shows bearish displacement.
Price is in premium territory of the current dealing range.
Close is below the CE line of the FVG.
🎯 What You’ll See on the Chart
Green “BUY” labels below candles when long signals trigger.
Red “SELL” labels above candles when short signals trigger.
Shaded background:
Red = Premium zone (sell side).
Teal = Discount zone (buy side).
Yellow line = dealing range midpoint (equilibrium).
Dots on CE lines = midpoints of the latest bullish/bearish FVG.
🔔 Alerts
ICT Buy → Triggers when a bullish setup confirms.
ICT Sell → Triggers when a bearish setup confirms.
You can connect these alerts to:
TradingView notifications.
Webhooks (for brokers or bots like MetaTrader, NinjaTrader, or Discord).
⚙️ Settings
Swing length – how many bars to use when detecting swing highs/lows for the dealing range.
Use PD filter – toggle ON/OFF for requiring discount/premium alignment.
Displacement ATR multiple – how strong the candle body must be compared to ATR to count as a displacement.
ATR length – used for displacement filter.
📈 Supported Markets
Works on all symbols and timeframes.
Commonly applied to:
NASDAQ (NQ, QQQ)
S&P500 (ES, SPX, SPY)
Forex pairs
Crypto (BTC, ETH, etc.)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This bot is for educational purposes only. It does not guarantee profits and should be tested on demo accounts first.
Always apply proper risk management before trading live.
Simple Symmetrical Triangle Strategy (6 points)Overview
This strategy identifies triangle patterns formed by a series of key high and low price points. A trade is triggered when the price breaks out from the pattern's final confirmation points: a buy signal occurs on a close above the last high point, and a sell signal on a close below the last low point. To ensure relevance, any pattern that doesn't break out within 10 bars is automatically discarded.
This helps filter out patterns that lose momentum and focuses only on the most imminent breakouts.
How It Works
1. Pattern Detection: The script continuously scans for a sequence of three declining highs (points H1, H2, H3) and three rising lows (points L1, L2, L3) to form a triangle.
2. Entry Logic: The logic is straightforward and based on breaking the last confirmed pivot:
* Long Entry: A buy order is executed if the price closes above the level of the last high (H3).
* Short Entry: A sell order is executed if the price closes below the level of the last low (L3).
3. Pattern Expiration: A triangle only remains "active" for 10 bars after its formation. If a breakout doesn't occur within this window, the pattern is removed from analysis, avoiding trades on prolonged, unresolved consolidations.
Key Features
* Automatic Detection: Identifies and draws triangles for you.
* Simple Breakout Logic: Easy to understand, trades by following the price action.
* Time Filter: Its main advantage is discarding patterns that do not resolve quickly.
* Customizable: You can adjust the sensitivity of the pivot detection in the settings.
Important Disclaimer
This strategy is designed as an entry system and DOES NOT INCLUDE A STOP LOSS OR TAKE PROFIT.
Automation Ready
Want to automate this or ANY strategy on your broker or MetaTrader (MT4/MT5) without keeping your computer on or needing a VPS? You can use WebhookTrade.
Symmetrical Triangle Strategy (Real and Trap confirmation)Overview
This is an advanced strategy that not only detects symmetrical triangle patterns but also attempts to differentiate between a genuine breakout and a false breakout (a trap) to trade accordingly.
Instead of blindly following every breakout, it analyzes the "quality" of the move using Volume and RSI filters. If the breakout appears weak, it prepares to trade in the opposite direction, capitalizing on the pattern's failure.
How It Works
The strategy employs a dual logic that activates after the price breaks the last pivot (H3 or L3):
1. Scenario A: The Real Breakout
* If the price breaks the triangle AND the breakout is confirmed by a surge in volume and/or a favorable RSI, the strategy considers the move genuine and enters in the direction of the breakout.
2. Scenario B: The False Breakout (Trap)
* If the price breaks the triangle BUT the indicators fail to confirm it (e.g., low volume), the strategy interprets it as a potential trap.
* It waits for the price to return inside the pattern.
* Once the price has re-entered, it opens a trade AGAINST the initial breakout, betting that the first move was a fake-out.
Key Features
* Hybrid Logic: It's not just a simple breakout strategy; it adapts to market conditions.
* Confirmation Filters: Uses Volume and RSI to validate the strength of a breakout (fully configurable).
* Capitalizes on Traps: Its greatest strength is the ability to identify and trade false breakouts, a common market scenario.
* Optional Confirmation: For trap trades, an extra confirmation via an EMA crossover can be enabled for added safety.
* Opportunity Timeout: Potential traps have a time limit to be confirmed, preventing the strategy from getting stuck in an undecided scenario.
Important Disclaimer
This strategy is designed as an entry system and DOES NOT INCLUDE A STOP LOSS OR TAKE PROFIT.
Automation Ready
Want to automate this or ANY strategy on your broker or MetaTrader (MT4/MT5) without keeping your computer on or needing a VPS? You can use WebhookTrade.
SITFX_FuturesSpec_v17SITFX_FuturesSpec_v17 – Universal Futures Contract Library
Full-scale futures contract specification library for Pine Script v6. Covers CME, CBOT, NYMEX, COMEX, CFE, Eurex, ICE, and more – including minis, micros, metals, energies, FX, and bonds.
Key Features:
✅ Instrument‑agnostic: ES/MES, NQ/MNQ, YM/MYM, RTY/M2K, metals, energies, FX, bonds
✅ Full contract data: Tick size, tick value, point value, margins
✅ Continuation‑safe: Single‑line logic, no arrays or continuation errors
✅ Foundation for SITFX tools: Gann, Fibs, structure, and risk modules
Usage example:
import SITFX_FuturesSpec_v17/1 as fs
spec = fs.get(syminfo.root)
label.new(bar_index, high, str.format("{0}: Tick={1}, Value=${2}", spec.name, spec.tickSize, spec.tickValue))
