KK_Price Action Channel (TDI BH)Hey guys,
this little script is an addition to another one I will release right after this.
This is the Price Action Channel. The bands are calculated using a smoothed moving average of the highs/lows. I have taken the smoothed moving average script from the public library in order to create this, so all props to whoever created that one.
I am fairly new to creating scripts so use it with caution and let me know what you think!
EDIT: Here is the script I have written this one for:
Поиск скриптов по запросу "bitcoin"
Bitcoin Index vs. Futures OKCoin WeeklySimple adaptation to lastbattles script to add calculation for index price: calculation can be seen here: www.okcoin.com
I recommend setting it to columns, and setting price at 0, 0 to see divergence of sell/buy.
S3-ZMACDHere's a modified MACD which uses ZL calculation for the emas, phi adjustment to the fast signal and an optimized period set. It useful because it will give predictive signals for many setups.
BTC Cycle Halving Thirds NicoThe bold black vertical lines are the INDEX:BTCUSD halvings.
The background speak for itself.
Time to be bearish?
BTC Fibonacci DMA350 TrendlinesAdapted from Tim Graham's Code.
See Original Inspiring Article from Phillip Swift at: @positivecrypto
When looking into BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1D data in spreadsheet. Historically, BTC Highs Hit (Simple Daily Moving Average 350 Days) DMA350 in reverse Fibonacci Sequence Order
2013 Hit DMA350*8 before All Time High (ATH)
2017 Hit DMA350*5 before ATH
I expect 2021 to hit DMA350*3 ATH. When BTC hits DMA350*3 ATH, I suggest selling!
MA Multiplier with FibonacciThis implementation of the "2-Year MA Multiplier" gives you some control over the indicator, you can change the multiplier from it's default of 5, you can change the lookback from it's default of 730 days and I've also added three fibonacci traces between the moving average and it's multiple that you can play with. Oh and you can also choose the data source ('close' or 'hl2' make most sense).
The formula for this indicator was created by Philip Swift.
Thanks to @Pladizow for pointing me to this indicator.
MAFIA CANDLESMafia Candles is a Exhaustion bar count and candle count indicator, Using the Leledc Candles and 1-3 counting candle play gives you a pretty good idea where a so called "top" will be or a so called "bottom" will be!
In this example, getting the transparent round circles ( either lime or red ) would mean that the move will be a good size move!
EXAMPLE=1 You see a down trend and then the Mafia Candles Flashes a Green Dot on the forming new red candle. This is where in theory you might want to consider going long on the market!
EXAMPLE=2 If you see a RED $ symbol, after a uptrend, this means in theory, there might be room for a short play or room for a small pullback in the price!
THE CIRCLES(RED OR LIME COLORED) ARE INDICATING BIGGER MOVES!
THE $ SYMBOLS (RED OR LIME COLORED) ARE INDICATING SMALLER PULLBACKS OR SMALLER PUMPS IN PRICE!
RED IS CONSIDERED TO BE A SELL!
LIME COLOR IS CONSIDERED TO BE A BUY!
AS MUCH IS BASED OF THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LEDLEC CANDLE DEVIATION STRATEGY, LET ME EXPLAIN THE THEORY ON BOTH THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LELEDC STRATEGY I COMBINE TO BRING YOU THIS ADDITION OF THE INDICATOR....
LELEDC THEORY USAGE...
An Exhaustion Bar is a bar which signals
the exhaustion of the trend in the current direction. In other words an
exhaustion bar is “A bar of last seller” in case of a downtrend and “A bar of
last buyer”in case of an uptrend.
Having said that when a party cannot take the price further in their direction,naturally the other party comes in , takes charge and reverses the direction of the trend.
TO EASIER UNDERSTAND I GIVE YOU A EASY EXAMPLE OF WHAT AN LELEDC EXHAUSTION BAR IS...
1. A wide range bar ( a bar with
long body!!!).
2. A long wick at the bottom of
the bar and no or negligible wick at the top of the bar in case of “Bear exhaustion bar” and
a long wick at the top and no or
negligible wick at the bottom of the bar in case of
“Bull exhuation bar”!!!
3. Extreme volume and.....
4. Bar forming at a key support or resistance
area including a Round Number (RN) and Big Round Number ( BRN ).THE PSYCHOLOGY BEHIND THIS!!!
Now let's assume that we have a group
of people,say 100 people who decides to go for a casual running. After running for few KM's few of
them will say “I am exhausted. I cannot run further”. They will quit running.
After running further, another bunch of runners will say “I am exhausted. I can’t run
further” and they also will quit running.
This goes on and on and then there will be a stage where only few will be left in the running. Now a stage will come where the last person left in the running will say “I
am exhausted” and he stops running. That means no one is left now in the
running.This means all are exhausted in the running.
The same way an exhaustion bar works and if we can figure out that
exhaustion bar with all the tools available on hand, we will be in a big trade
for sure!!.The reason is an exhaustion bar is formed at exact tops and bottoms most of the times.In forex with wide variety of pairs available at the counter ,one can trade this technique to make lifetime gains.
NOW LET ME EXPLAIN THE 1-3 CANDLE CORRECTION COUNT THEORY WHICH IS USED TO GET THE SUM UP SIGNALS FROM THIS INDICATOR FROM ITS INPUT LEVELS!!!
1-3 CANDLES....
The 1-3 Candlestick pattern is basically like sequential, aka a candle counting system!
1-3 CANDLE COUNT means you count the number of bullish=green candles or the bearish=red candles!
3 BULL/GREEN CANDLES in a row, each closing its close higher than the previous one before it is the 1-3 candle top count idea!
lets say you get 3 red bear candles, each candle after the first closes its body below the previous red candle before it, then you see 3 red candles with each closing lower bodies lower than the previous candle, THATS A POSSIBLE SIGN OF BEARISH EXHAUSTION, AND YOU MIGHT HAVE SOME BULLS STEP IN TO TAKE THE PRICE UP AFTER THE IMMEDIATE DOWNFALL OF THOSE 3 RED CANDLES!!
PLEASE IF ANYONE HAS QUESTIONS OR NEEDS ANY FURTHER EXPLANATION, DONT HESISITATE TO MESSAGE ME! CHALRES KNIGHT IS THE ORIGINAL AUTHOR OF THE 1-3 CANDLE COUNT AND THE LELEDC EXHAUSTION BAR INDICATOR ON METE-TRADER! R.IP CHARLES F KNIGHT!!! WE LOVE YOU AND MISS YOU BROTHER!
CHARLES KNIGHT PASSED DOWN ALL OF HIS INDICATORS AND SCRIPTS IN ORIGINAL CODE TO MYSELF WHEN HE PASSED AWAY AND I WILL CONTINUE TO HONOR HIS MEMORY BY ENHANCING HIS ORIGINAL SOURCE CODED SCRIPTS TO ENHANCE THE LIFE FOR ALL TRADERS!
CHARLIE LOVED WHEN I WOULD PUT MY OWN SWING ON HIS INDICATORS! HE TAUGHT ME EVERYTHING I KNOW AND I KNOW ONE DAY I WILL SEE HIM AGAIN!
TRADE IN PARADISE CHARLIE!!!
THE BEST TRADER IN THE WORLD!!!
Cryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum IndicatorCryptolabs Global Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator (LMI-BTC)
This open-source indicator combines global central bank liquidity data with Bitcoin price movements to identify medium- to long-term market cycles and momentum phases. It is designed for traders who want to incorporate macroeconomic factors into their Bitcoin analysis.
How It Works
The script calculates a Liquidity Index using balance sheet data from four central banks (USA: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, Japan: FRED:JPNASSETS, China: ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, EU: FRED:ECBASSETSW), augmented by the Dollar Index (TVC:DXY) and Chinese 10-year bond yields (TVC:CN10Y). This index is:
- Logarithmically scaled (math.log) to better represent large values like central bank balances and Bitcoin prices.
- Normalized over a 50-period range to balance fluctuations between minimum and maximum values.
- Compared to prior-year values, with the number of bars dynamically adjusted based on the timeframe (e.g., 252 for 1D, 52 for 1W), to compute percentage changes.
The liquidity change is analyzed using a Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) (period: 24) to measure momentum trends. A Weighted Moving Average (WMA) (period: 10) acts as a signal line. The Bitcoin price is also plotted logarithmically to highlight parallels with liquidity cycles.
Usage
Traders can use the indicator to:
- Identify global liquidity cycles influencing Bitcoin price trends, such as expansive or restrictive monetary policies.
- Detect momentum phases: Values above 50 suggest overbought conditions, below -50 indicate oversold conditions.
- Anticipate trend reversals by observing CMO crossovers with the signal line.
It performs best on higher timeframes like daily (1D) or weekly (1W) charts. The visualization includes:
- CMO line (green > 50, red < -50, blue neutral), signal line (white), Bitcoin price (gray).
- Horizontal lines at 50, 0, and -50 for improved readability.
Originality
This indicator stands out from other momentum tools like RSI or basic price analysis due to:
- Unique Data Integration: Combines four central bank datasets, DXY, and CN10Y as macroeconomic proxies for Bitcoin.
- Dynamic Prior-Year Analysis: Calculates liquidity changes relative to historical values, adjustable by timeframe.
- Logarithmic Normalization: Enhances visibility of extreme values, critical for cryptocurrencies and macro data.
This combination offers a rare perspective on the interplay between global liquidity and Bitcoin, unavailable in other open-source scripts.
Settings
- CMO Period: Default 24, adjustable for faster/slower signals.
- Signal WMA: Default 10, for smoothing the CMO line.
- Normalization Window: Default 50 periods, customizable.
Users can modify these parameters in the Pine Editor to tailor the indicator to their strategy.
Note
This script is designed for medium- to long-term analysis, not scalping. For optimal results, combine it with additional analyses (e.g., on-chain data, support/resistance levels). It does not guarantee profits but supports informed decisions based on macroeconomic trends.
Data Sources
- Bitcoin: INDEX:BTCUSD
- Liquidity: ECONOMICS:USCBBS, FRED:JPNASSETS, ECONOMICS:CNCBBS, FRED:ECBASSETSW
- Additional: TVC:DXY, TVC:CN10Y
LiquidityFlow Dominance+Alerts (btc.d, T3, Stables)LiquidityFlow Dominance+Alerts: Overview & Usage Guide
Overview
The LiquidityFlow Dominance+Alerts indicator provides a dynamic view of liquidity flow across Bitcoin, Altcoins, and Stablecoins, helping track liquidity shifts and identify market sentiment. By integrating moving averages, custom alerts, and thresholds for extreme outliers, this indicator helps to anticipate bullish and bearish shifts in liquidity and alert market tops and bottoms.
Key features include:
1. Liquidity Flow Monitoring : Track liquidity flow across Bitcoin (BTC), Altcoins (TOTAL3), and Stablecoins (USDT, USDC, DAI).
2. Custom Alerts : Set alerts for key liquidity shifts and extreme conditions in Stablecoin dominance, both with static and moving average (MA)-based calculations.
3. Moving Averages : Use Simple, Exponential, or Weighted Moving Averages to smooth out market data for more reliable signals.
4. Outlier Detection : Identify potential tops and bottoms using thresholds for Stablecoin dominance, with alerts for extreme movements.
Functionality
Data Inputs and Key Metrics
- Symbols Monitored:
- Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
- Altcoin Market Cap (TOTAL3)
- Stablecoins (USDT.D, USDC.D, DAI.D)
- Liquidity Flow Conditions:
- Track percentage changes in dominance across sectors to detect liquidity flow into Bitcoin, Altcoins, or Stablecoins.
- Custom Metrics:
- Liquidity Flow Index: BTC Dominance minus Stablecoin Dominance.
- Liquidity Flow Ratio: BTC Dominance divided by the combined dominance of Stablecoins and Altcoins.
Moving Average Integration
- Select from SMA, EMA, or WMA to apply moving averages to the dominance metrics. Moving averages help smooth out short-term volatility and provide more consistent signals.
- Moving averages are applied to each sector (BTC, Altcoins, and Stablecoins) and compared to their previous period values to determine shifts in liquidity.
Alerts and Thresholds
- % Change Lookback Period: Adjust the lookback period to align with the timeframe of your chart. Shorter timeframes may require a lower lookback period, while higher timeframes may benefit from longer periods.
- Stables Bull/Bear % for Alerts: Set a threshold for when Stablecoin dominance becomes a bullish or bearish signal relative to BTC and Altcoins. A higher threshold may be used in volatile markets to filter out noise.
- Extreme Outliers Detection: Use the **Stables Up/Down Extreme Threshold** to identify potential market tops or bottoms when Stablecoin dominance deviates significantly from historical trends. The **Extreme Lookback Period** controls the time window for detecting these anomalies.
How to Use the Indicator
Adjusting the % Change Lookback Period
- The `% Change Lookback Period` should be adjusted based on your chart’s timeframe. For example, a shorter period (e.g., 7) works well for intraday charts, while longer periods (e.g., 14) might be more suitable for daily or weekly charts.
Setting Thresholds for Alerts
- Stables Bull/Bear % for Alerts: Adjust this setting to define when Stablecoin dominance triggers bullish or bearish alerts. A value like 1% could be a good starting point for most market conditions but can be fine-tuned based on volatility.
- Extreme Lookback Period: Define the lookback period for detecting extreme moves in Stablecoin dominance. This will help identify major tops and bottoms in the market. For shorter-term trades, consider using a shorter extreme lookback (e.g., 7-10 periods).
Alerts for Liquidity Shifts
- The indicator supports alerts for key liquidity shifts, which are useful for staying ahead of market movements. Alerts can be set to notify you when liquidity moves into:
- Bitcoin: Indicating a potential bullish trend for Bitcoin.
- Altcoins: Signaling altcoins are bullish.
- Stablecoins: Suggesting a risk-off environment or market correction.
Extreme Alerts for Stables
- Extreme Up/Down Alerts: These are triggered when Stablecoin dominance crosses extreme thresholds. For example, if Stablecoin dominance rises more than 14% over a set period, it could signal a market top, while a significant drop could indicate a market bottom.
Moving Average Calculations
- In addition to static percentage changes, moving averages can be applied to smooth out dominance values. The type and length of the moving average can be customized:
- SMA (Simple Moving Average): Best for smoothing out volatility in a linear way.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): More responsive to recent data, making it useful in faster markets.
- WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Emphasizes more recent data, but less reactive than the EMA.
Additional Usage Tips:
- Background Colors: The indicator visually highlights the dominant liquidity flow:
- Orange: Liquidity is shifting toward Bitcoin.
- Aqua: Liquidity is flowing into Altcoins.
- Red: Liquidity is moving into Stablecoins.
twisted SMA strategy [4h] Hello
I would like to introduce a very simple strategy that uses a combination of 3 simple moving averages ( SMA 4 , SMA 9 , SMA 18 )
this is a classic combination showing the most probable trend directions
Crosses were marked on the basis of the color of the candles (bulish cross - blue / bearish cross - maroon)
ma 100 was used to determine the main trend, which is one of the most popular 4-hour candles
We define main trend while price crosses SMA100 ( for bullish trend I use green candle color )
The long position strategy was created in combination of 3 moving averages with Kaufman's adaptive moving average by alexgrover
The strategy is very accurate and is easy to use indicators
the strategy uses only Buy (Long) signals in a combination of crossovers of the SMA 4, SMA 9, SMA 18 and the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average.
As a signal to close a long position, only the opposite signal of the intersection of 3 different moving averages is used
the current strategy is recommended for higher time zones (4h +) due to the strength of the closing candles, which translates into signal strength
works fascinatingly well for long-term bullish market assets (for example 4h Apple, Tesla charts)
Enjoy and trade safe ;)
HASHRATE and MINER REVENUEThis script uses daily data points from Quandl which measure Bitcoin mining hashrate, and miner revenue, and averages the two. The two data sets are fairly zigzaggy, so to smooth the data I am use a John Ehlers' filter to reduce the noise. Why did I combine the two? Both have correlation to BTC price action, and by combining hashrate and revenue, I believe it produces a stronger and more accurate signal. At times when the background is green (also displayed with a green square at the bottom), conditions are good in Bitcoinland with miner revenue/hashrate going up. No color in the background and no dot, means the combined miner revenue and hashrate indicator is dropping, but nothing to get worried about. Seeing red dots on the bottom along with a red background signals a rapidly dropping rate of hashrate/miner revenue, and with a fairly strong correlation to the Bitcoin price. Not every red zone foretells a drop in the Bitcoin price, but a significant number of them do. I wrote this script as an early warning system for when to move out of Bitcoin. Use at your own risk. Feel free to modify this code to suit your personal needs. Please only use on BTC /USD pairs with 1D bars. Since there is only one data point per day published by Quandl, it will not give accurate data for shorter timeframes. Enjoy.
GBTC holdings USD market valueThis script estimates GBTC bitcoins per share, rather than hardcoding as in other scripts. Its result is an estimate of GBTC holdings USD market value.
Per share bitcoin estimates are adjusted by 2.0% / 365 per day from 2019 year end holdings. Calendar year 2019 ending bitcoins and shares were 261,192 bitcoins and 269,445,300 shares. From the 2019 Form 10-K: 'The Trust’s only ordinary recurring expense is the Sponsor’s Fee. The Sponsor’s Fee accrues daily in U.S. dollars at an annual rate of 2.0% of the Bitcoin Holdings.. The Sponsor’s Fee is payable in Bitcoins to the Sponsor monthly in arrears.'
No attempt is made to account for leap years.
Per share bitcoin estimate is converted to USD market value by multiplying by the simple average BTCUSD price at Coinbase and Bitstamp. Grayscale uses the TradeBlock XBX index, a volume weighted average of Coinbase Pro, Kraken, LMAX Digital and Bitstamp prices.
Spot checks vs archive.org captures of daily bitcoins per share and the chart on Grayscale's site:
The estimate for market close January 22 2021 is 0.00094899 bitcoins per share, the published datum on Grayscale's web site was 0.00094898. The estimate matches at 20:30 rather than at 16:00.
The estimate for December 31 2018 is 0.000988965 vs a published 0.00098895.
The estimate for December 29 2017 market value is $14.58 vs $14.65.
The estimate for December 30 2016 market value is $0.99 vs $0.98.
The estimate for January 4 2016 market value is $0.46 vs $0.45.
No estimates before 2016.
The default style is to draw a blue line with two thirds transparency outside market hours and for first/last minutes of trading, switching to daily or greater periodicity hides this.
No warranty is expressed or implied , I am not a lawyer, etc etc etc.
This is not investing advice . Always do your own due diligence .
Active Addresses Z-ScoreActive Addresses Z-Score Indicator
The Active Addresses Z-Score Indicator is a fundamental analysis tool designed to evaluate the relationship between Bitcoin network activity and its price movements over a specified period. This indicator aims to provide insights into whether the market is showing signs of increasing or decreasing interest in Bitcoin, based on its network usage and activity.
How to Read the Indicator
Orange Line (Price Z-Score):
This line represents the Z-Score of the price change over a defined period (e.g., 28 days). The Z-Score normalizes the price change by comparing it to the historical mean and standard deviation, essentially measuring how far the current price change is from the average.
A positive Z-Score indicates that the price change is above the historical average (a bullish signal), while a negative Z-Score means the price change is below the historical average (a bearish signal).
Gray Line (Active Addresses Z-Score):
This line represents the Z-Score of the change in active addresses over the same period. The Z-Score here normalizes the change in the number of active Bitcoin addresses by comparing it to historical data.
A positive Z-Score suggests that the number of active addresses is increasing more than usual, which can be a sign of increased market activity and potential interest in Bitcoin.
A negative Z-Score suggests that active addresses are decreasing more than usual, which may indicate reduced interest or usage of Bitcoin.
Upper and Lower Threshold Lines:
The upper and lower threshold lines (set by the user) act as Z-Score boundaries. If either the price Z-Score or the active address Z-Score exceeds the upper threshold, it can signal an overbought or overactive condition. Similarly, if the Z-Score falls below the lower threshold, it could indicate an oversold or underactive condition.
These thresholds are customizable by the user, allowing for flexible interpretation based on market conditions.
Indicator Calculation
Price Change Calculation:
The percentage change in the Bitcoin price over a specified lookback period (e.g., 28 days) is calculated as:
Price Change
=
Close
−
Close
Close
Price Change=
Close
Close−Close
This shows the relative price movement during the specified period.
Active Address Change Calculation:
Similarly, the percentage change in active addresses is calculated as:
Active Address Change
=
Active Addresses
−
Active Addresses
Active Addresses
Active Address Change=
Active Addresses
Active Addresses−Active Addresses
This shows the relative change in the number of active Bitcoin addresses over the same period.
Z-Score Calculation:
The Z-Score for both the price and active address changes is calculated as:
𝑍
=
X
−
𝜇
𝜎
Z=
σ
X−μ
Where:
X is the current change (price or active addresses),
μ (mu) is the mean (average) of the historical data over the lookback period,
σ (sigma) is the standard deviation of the historical data.
This Z-Score tells you how far the current value deviates from its historical average, normalized by the volatility (standard deviation).
Smoothing (Optional):
A simple moving average (SMA) is applied to smooth out the Z-Score values to reduce noise and provide a clearer trend.
What the Indicator Does
Signals of Bullish or Bearish Market Behavior:
The Z-Score of Price tells you how strong or weak the price movement is relative to its past performance.
The Z-Score of Active Addresses reveals whether more users are interacting with the Bitcoin network, which can be an indication of growing interest or market activity.
When both the price and active address Z-Scores are high, it may indicate a strong bull market, while low Z-Scores may point to a bear market or decreasing interest.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
The upper and lower threshold lines help you visualize when the Z-Scores for either price or active addresses have reached extreme values, signaling potential overbought or oversold conditions.
For example, if the Price Z-Score exceeds the upper threshold (e.g., +2), it might indicate that the price has risen too quickly, and a correction may be due. Conversely, if it falls below the lower threshold (e.g., -2), it may indicate a potential buying opportunity.
Important Note on Activity and Price Movements:
After Rapid Price Increases:
A sharp increase in Bitcoin’s price followed by a spike in active addresses can be interpreted as a bearish signal. High network activity after a rapid price surge might indicate that investors are taking profits or that speculative interest is peaking, potentially signaling an upcoming correction or reversal.
After Extreme Price Declines:
Conversely, high network activity after a significant price drop may indicate a bottoming signal. A surge in active addresses during a price decline could suggest increased buying interest and potential accumulation, signaling that the market may be finding support and a reversal may be imminent.
Customization and Flexibility
The lookback period (default: 28 days) can be adjusted to suit different trading strategies or time horizons.
The smoothing length (default: 7 periods) allows for smoothing the Z-Score, making it easier to detect longer-term trends and reduce noise.
The upper and lower threshold values are fully customizable to adjust the indicator’s sensitivity to market conditions.
Conclusion
The Active Addresses Z-Score Indicator combines network activity with price data to give you a deeper understanding of the Bitcoin market. By analyzing the relationship between price changes and active address changes, this indicator helps you assess whether the market is experiencing unusual activity or if Bitcoin is trending in an extreme overbought or oversold condition.
It is a powerful tool for fundamental analysis and can complement traditional technical indicators for a more comprehensive trading strategy.
Regime Filter IndicatorRegime Filter – Crypto Market Trend Indicator
📊 Overview
The Regime Filter is a powerful market analysis indicator designed specifically for crypto trading. It helps traders identify whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase by analyzing key assets in the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), and the Altcoin Market (TOTAL3). The indicator compares these assets against their respective Simple Moving Averages (SMA) to determine the overall market regime, allowing traders to make more informed decisions.
🔍 How It Works
The Regime Filter evaluates three main components to determine the market's sentiment:
1. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) vs. 40 SMA (Medium Timeframe)
The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is compared to its 40-period SMA on a mid-timeframe (e.g.,
1-hour). If BTC.D is below the 40 SMA, it indicates that altcoins are performing well relative
to Bitcoin, suggesting a bullish altcoin market. If BTC.D is above the 40 SMA, Bitcoin is
gaining dominance, indicating a potential bearish phase for altcoins.
2. TOTAL3 Market Cap vs. 100 SMA (Medium Timeframe)
The TOTAL3 index, which tracks the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except
Bitcoin and Ethereum, is compared to its 100-period SMA. A bullish signal occurs when TOTAL3
is above the 100 SMA, indicating strength in altcoins, while a bearish signal occurs when
TOTAL3 is below the 100 SMA, signaling a potential weakness in the altcoin market.
3. BTC Price vs. 200 SMA (Higher Timeframe)
The current Bitcoin price is compared to its 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on a
higher timeframe (e.g., 4-hour). A bullish signal is given when the BTC price is above the 200
SMA, and a bearish signal when it's below.
🟢 Bullish Market Conditions
The market is considered bullish when:
- BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is below the 40 SMA, suggesting altcoins are gaining momentum.
- TOTAL3 Market Cap is above the 100 SMA, signaling strength in the altcoin market.
- BTC price is above the 200 SMA, indicating an uptrend in Bitcoin.
In these conditions, the background turns green 🟢, and a "Bullish" label is displayed on the chart.
🔴 Bearish Market Conditions
The market is considered bearish when:
- BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is above the 40 SMA, indicating Bitcoin is outperforming altcoins.
- TOTAL3 Market Cap is below the 100 SMA, signaling weakness in altcoins.
- BTC price is below the 200 SMA, indicating a downtrend in Bitcoin.
In these conditions, the background turns red 🔴, and a "Bearish" label appears on the chart.
⚙ Customization Options
- The Regime Filter offers flexibility for traders:
- Enable or Disable Specific SMAs: Customize the indicator by enabling or disabling the 200 SMA for Bitcoin, the 40 SMA for BTC Dominance, and the 100 SMA for TOTAL3.
- Adjust Timeframes: Choose the timeframes for each of the moving averages to suit your preferred trading strategy.
- Real-Time Data Adjustments: The indicator updates in real-time to reflect current market conditions, ensuring timely analysis.
📈 Best Use Cases
- Trend Confirmation: The Regime Filter is ideal for confirming the market's overall trend,
helping traders to align their positions with the dominant market sentiment.
- Trade Entry/Exit Signals: Use the indicator to identify favorable entry or exit points based on
whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase.
- Market Overview: Gain a quick understanding of the broader crypto market, with a focus on
Bitcoin and altcoins, to make more strategic decisions.
⚠️ Important Notes
Trend-Following Indicator: The Regime Filter is a trend-following tool, meaning it works best in strong trending markets. It may not perform well in choppy, sideways markets.
Risk Management: This indicator is designed to assist in identifying market trends, but it does not guarantee profits. Always apply sound risk management strategies and use additional indicators when making trading decisions.
Not a Profit Guarantee: While this indicator can help identify potential market trends, no trading tool or strategy guarantees profits. Please trade responsibly and ensure that your decisions are based on comprehensive analysis and risk tolerance.
Cabal Dev IndicatorThis is a TradingView Pine Script (version 6) that creates a technical analysis indicator called the "Cabal Dev Indicator." Here's what it does:
1. Core Functionality:
- It calculates a modified version of the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI), which is a momentum indicator that shows where the current close is relative to the high/low range over a period
- The indicator combines elements of stochastic oscillator calculations with exponential moving averages (EMA)
2. Key Components:
- Uses configurable input parameters for:
- Percent K Length (default 15)
- Percent D Length (default 3)
- EMA Signal Length (default 15)
- Smoothing Period (default 5)
- Overbought level (default 40)
- Oversold level (default -40)
3. Calculation Method:
- Calculates the highest high and lowest low over the specified period
- Finds the difference between current close and the midpoint of the high-low range
- Applies EMA smoothing to both the range and relative differences
- Generates an SMI value and further smooths it using a simple moving average (SMA)
- Creates an EMA signal line based on the smoothed SMI
4. Visual Output:
- Plots the smoothed SMI line in green
- Plots an EMA signal line in red
- Shows overbought and oversold levels as gray horizontal lines
- Fills the areas above the overbought level with light red
- Fills the areas below the oversold level with light green
This indicator appears designed to help traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the market, as well as momentum shifts, which could be used for trading decisions.
Would you like me to explain any specific part of the indicator in more detail?
BTC Seasonality Strategy (Weekly)This strategy identifies potential weekend opportunities in Bitcoin (BTC) markets by leveraging the concept of seasonality, entering a position at a predefined time and day, and exiting at a specified time and day.
Key Features
Customizable Time and Day Selection:
Users can select the entry and exit days and corresponding times (in EST).
Directional Flexibility:
The strategy allows traders to choose between long or short positions.
TradingView Compliance:
The script adheres to TradingView's house rules, avoids overly complex conditions, and provides clear user-configurable inputs.
How It Works
The script determines the current weekday and hour in EST, converting TradingView's UTC time for accurate comparisons.
If the current day and hour match the selected entry conditions, a trade (long or short) is opened.
The position is closed when the current day and hour match the specified exit conditions.
Theoretical Basis
Market Seasonality:
The concept of seasonality in financial markets refers to predictable patterns based on time, such as weekends or specific days of the week. Studies have shown that cryptocurrency markets exhibit unique trading behaviors during weekends due to reduced institutional activity and higher retail participation behavioral Biases**:
Retail traders often dominate weekend markets, potentially causing predictable inefficiencies .
Reverences**
Baur, D. G., Hong, K., & Lee, A. D. (2018). Bitcoin: Medium of exchange or speculative assets? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 54, 177–189.
Urquhart, A. (2016). The inefficiency of Bitcoin. Economics Letters, 148, 80–82.
Altcoin Total Average Divergence (YavuzAkbay)The "Average Price and Divergence" indicator is a strong tool built exclusively for cryptocurrency traders who understand the significance of comparing altcoins to Bitcoin (BTC). While traditional research frequently focusses on the value of cryptocurrencies against fiat currencies such as the US dollar, this indicator switches the focus to the value of altcoins against Bitcoin itself, allowing you to detect potential market opportunities and divergences.
The indicator allows you to compare the price of an altcoin to Bitcoin (e.g., ETHBTC, SOLBTC), which is critical for determining how well an altcoin performs against the main cryptocurrency. This is especially important for investors who expect Bitcoin's price will continue to rise logarithmically and want to ensure that their altcoin holdings retain or expand in market capitalisation compared to Bitcoin.
The indicator computes the average price of the chosen cryptocurrency relative to Bitcoin over the viewable portion of the chart. This average acts as a benchmark, indicating the normal value around which the altcoin's price moves.
The primary objective of this indicator is to calculate and plot the divergence, which is the difference between the altcoin's current price relative to Bitcoin and its average value. This divergence can reveal probable overbought or oversold conditions, allowing traders to make better decisions about entry and exit points.
The divergence is represented as a histogram, with bars representing the magnitude of the difference between the current and average prices. Positive values indicate that the altcoin is trading above its average value in comparison to Bitcoin, whereas negative values indicate that it is trading below its average.
The indicator automatically adjusts to the chart's visible range, ensuring that the average price and divergence are always calculated using the most relevant data. This makes the indicator extremely sensitive to changes in the chart view and market conditions.
How to Use:
A significant positive divergence may imply that the cryptocurrency is overbought in comparison to Bitcoin and is headed for a correction. A significant negative divergence, on the other hand, may indicate that the cryptocurrency has been oversold and is cheap in comparison to Bitcoin.
Tracking how an altcoin's price deviates from its average relative to Bitcoin can provide insights about the market's opinion towards that altcoin. Persistent positive divergence may suggest high market confidence, whilst constant negative divergence may imply a lack of interest or eroding fundamentals.
Use divergence data to better time your trades, either by entering when a cryptocurrency is discounted in comparison to its average (negative divergence) or departing when it is overpriced (positive divergence). This allows you to capture value as the price returns to its mean.
Ideal For:
Cryptocurrency Traders who want to understand how altcoins are performing relative to Bitcoin rather than just against fiat currencies.
Long-term Investors looking to ensure their altcoin investments are maintaining or growing their value relative to Bitcoin.
Market Analysts interested in identifying potential reversals or continuations in altcoin prices based on divergence from their average value relative to Bitcoin.
Altcoins capitalization histogram [peregringlk]This script superseeds "Other altcoins BTC capitalization histogram". The previous versions was a bit confusing in my opinion and lacked some generalization, so I'm now publishing this improved version.
It shows 6 pieces of info:
- Green columns: BTC price change for that day.
- Red bars: Altcoins capitalization change for that day, measured in bitcoins (altcoins_USD_capitalization / BTCUSD)
- Green/red background: green if that day the USD capitalization change was a gain, and red if it was a loss.
- Green line: accum BTC price change for the selected last days.
- Red line: accum altcoin capitalization change measured in BTC for the selected days.
- Dotted blue sequence: accum altcoin USD capitalization change for the selected days.
The base line of the histogram is 1 instead of 0, because I'm showing the price changes as multipliers (price change rates), so if there have been a +20% market movement, the calculated value will be 1.2, and if there have been a -20% market movement, then the value will be 0.8. 1 means no movement (preserved price/capitalization). Price and capitalization changes will be calculated using candle closes.
About the accumulated price changes, it will calculate the accumulated multiplication of the corresponding price change multipliers. For example, if you have set you want 3 days for the accumulation rates, and the last three days saw a -20%, +10% and +15% price/capitalization changes, the current value for the line will be 0.8*1.1*1.15 = 1.0120, or a +1.2% price change respect to the day before yesterday.
By default, if you are looking any ALTBTC market (for example, ETHBTC), instead of showing the USD and BTC capitalization of all alts, it will take the BTC and USD prices of the current market (the USD price will be calculated as ALTBTC * BTCUSD; and the BTCUSD price will be taken from BITSTAMP, the one with the longest BTC history I know in tradingview). If you are looking any other markets that is not paired with BTC, then it will take the USD capitalization of all altcoins, and the BTC capitalization will be calculated as altcoins_USD_capitalization / BTCUSD (from BITSTAMP as well).
Also, remember that, in both cases (alts capitalization or price), the graph will consistently respect the following rule:
- btc_usd_price_change * alt/capitalization_btc_price_change = alt_usd_price_change.
That applies for both the green/red bars respect to the background, and the green/red line respect to the blue dotted sequence.
Lastly, you may want to know if, in case btc price and altbtc price or capitalization go in opposite directions, who gain the battle? For example, if BTCUSD moved +20%, and an ALTBTC price moved -20%, the result is a loss, because 1.2*0.8 = 0.96, so the ALTUSD price or capitalization moved -4% (remember that, for preserving the USD value, if today's bitcoin change rate is x, the altbtc change rate must be 1/x; so for a -20% BTCUSD price movement, there must be at least a +25% ALTBTC price change to don't loss USD value, because 1/0.8 = 1.25). The background is what shows you that: if the background is green, it means that for that day there was a total USD gain of value, and when it's red, then it was a loss of USD value.
You can customize the following things:
- Accum change rate interval: the "selected days". By default 7.
- Take alts-capitalization?: By default unmarked. The effect when is unmarked is what I have explained in the previous paragraph. If you mark it, then it will use the USD_capitalization of all alts no matter what market you are looking right now.
- Which capitalization do you want? There are three options, that applies when "Take alts-capitalization?" is marked, or otherwise, when you are not looking a BTC-paired market.
- - - All-alts (default option): take CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 security as reference Alts-capitalization, which represents all altcoins.
- - - Other-alts: take CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS security as reference Alts-capitalization, which represents all altcoin except the 9 most capitalized alts.
- - - Big-alts: take CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 - CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as reference Alts-capitalization, which represenst only the 9 most capitalized alts.
The idea of this script is:
A) Figuring out what is causing a USD value gain or loss, the alts market movements, or the BTC price change. So you can spot if some altcoin, or all altcoins combined, are gaining or loosing value by themselves or because of bitcoin.
B) Trying to spot or discover some patterns that allows you to identify altseasons. Once an altseason has been developed, the chart will show it in a pretty obvious way (massive red line bells and dotted blue lines with very high values during a period of various weeks). The hard problem is to spot it in advance, and maybe this graph can help.
