Xen's Flag Pattern Scalper1. Input Parameters:
FlagLength: Determines the length of the flag pattern.
TakeProfit1Ratio, takeProfit2Ratio, takeProfit3Ratio: Define the ratios for calculating
the take-profit levels relative to the entry price.
RiskRewardRatio: Specifies the risk-reward ratio for calculating the stop-loss level
relative to the entry price.
2 Flag Conditions:
BullishFlag: Checks if the current bar meets the conditions for a bullish flag pattern. It
evaluates to true if the low of the current bar is lower than the low flagLength bars
ago, and the close of the current bar is higher than the high flagLength bars ago.
BearishFlag: Checks if the current bar meets the conditions for a bearish flag pattern. It evaluates to true if the high of the current bar is higher than the high flagLength bars
ago, and the close of the current bar is lower than the low flagLength bars ago.
3. Entry Price:
EntryPrice: Calculates the entry price based on whether a bullish or bearish flag
pattern is identified. For a bullish flag, the entry price is set to the low of the current bar.
For a bearish flag, the entry price is set to the high of the current bar.
4. Stop Loss:
StopLoss: Determines the stop-loss level based on the entry price and the specified
riskRewardRatio . For a bullish flag, the stop-loss level is calculated by subtracting the
difference between the high and low of the current bar multiplied by the riskRewardRatio from the low of the current bar. For a bearish flag, the stop-loss level
is calculated similarly but added to the high of the current bar.
5. Take Profit Levels:
Three take-profit levels ( takeProfit1, takeProfit2, takeProfit3 ) are calculated based on
the entry price, stop-loss level, and specified take-profit ratios ( takeProfit1Ratio,
takeProfit2Ratio, takeProfit3Ratio ).
6. Plotting Signals and Levels:
Bullish and bearish flag patterns are plotted using triangle shapes ( shape.triangleup for
bullish and shape.triangledown for bearish) above or below the bars, respectively.
Entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are plotted using horizontal lines ( line.new )
with different colors and styles. Entry and stop-loss levels are labeled with "Entry" and "SL",
respectively, while take-profit levels are labeled with "TP 1", "TP 2", and "TP 3".
The colors for bullish flags are white for entry, red for stop-loss, and green for take-profit levels. For bearish flags, the colors are the same, but the labels are plotted above the bars.
7. Label Placement:
Labels for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are placed a distance of 4 bars to the right
of the entry price using bar_index + 4 .
This indicator is intended to help traders identify flag patterns on price charts and visualize potential entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels associated with these patterns.
Please use risk management and when TP1 is hit, move stoploss to breakeven .
Поиск скриптов по запросу "entry"
PresentTrend RMI Synergy - Strategy [presentTrading] █ Introduction and How it is Different
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" is the combined power of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom presentTrend indicator. This strategy introduces a multifaceted approach, integrating momentum analysis with trend direction to offer traders a more nuanced and responsive trading mechanism.
BTCUSD 6h L/S Performance
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" intricately combines the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom SuperTrend indicator to create a powerful tool for traders.
🔶 Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The RMI is a variation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), but instead of using price closes against itself, it measures the momentum of up and down movements in price relative to previous prices over a given period. The RMI for a period length `N` is calculated as follows:
RMI = 100 - 100/ (1 + U/D)
where:
- `U` is the average upward price change over `N` periods,
- `D` is the average downward price change over `N` periods.
The RMI oscillates between 0 and 100, with higher values indicating stronger upward momentum and lower values suggesting stronger downward momentum.
RMI = 21
RMI = 42
For more information - RMI Trend Sync - Strategy :
🔶 presentTrend Indicator
The presentTrend indicator combines the Average True Range (ATR) with a moving average to determine trend direction and dynamic support or resistance levels. The presentTrend for a period length `M` and a multiplier `F` is defined as:
- Upper Band: MA + (ATR x F)
- Lower Band: MA - (ATR x F)
where:
- `MA` is the moving average of the close price over `M` periods,
- `ATR` is the Average True Range over the same period,
- `F` is the multiplier to adjust the sensitivity.
The trend direction switches when the price crosses the presentTrend bands, signaling potential entry or exit points.
presentTrend length = 3
presentTrend length = 10
For more information - PresentTrend - Strategy :
🔶 Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: Triggered when the RMI exceeds a threshold, say 60, indicating a strong bullish momentum, and when the price is above the presentTrend, confirming an uptrend.
- Short Entry: Occurs when the RMI drops below a threshold, say 40, showing strong bearish momentum, and the price is below the present trend, indicating a downtrend.
Exit Conditions with Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- Long Exit: Initiated when the price crosses below the lower presentTrend band or when the RMI falls back towards a neutral level, suggesting a weakening of the bullish momentum.
- Short Exit: Executed when the price crosses above the upper presentTrend band or when the RMI rises towards a neutral level, indicating a reduction in bearish momentum.
Equations for Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- For Long Positions: The exit price is set at the lower SuperTrend band once the entry condition is met.
- For Short Positions: The exit price is determined by the upper SuperTrend band post-entry.
These dynamic trailing stops adjust as the market moves, providing a method to lock in profits while allowing room for the position to grow.
This strategy's strength lies in its dual analysis approach, leveraging RMI for momentum insights and presentTrend for trend direction and dynamic stops. This combination offers traders a robust framework to navigate various market conditions, aiming to capture trends early and exit positions strategically to maximize gains and minimize losses.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy provides flexibility in trade direction selection, offering "Long," "Short," or "Both" options to cater to different market conditions and trader preferences. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their market outlook, risk tolerance, and trading goals.
█ Usage
To utilize the "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy," traders should input their preferred settings in the Pine Script™ and apply the strategy to their charts. Monitoring RMI for momentum shifts and adjusting positions based on SuperTrend signals can optimize entry and exit points, enhancing potential returns while managing risk.
█ Default Settings
1. RMI Length: 21
The 21-period RMI length strikes a balance between capturing momentum and filtering out market noise, offering a medium-term outlook on market trends.
2. Super Trend Length: 7
A SuperTrend length of 7 periods is chosen for its responsiveness to price movements, providing a dynamic framework for trend identification without excessive sensitivity.
3. Super Trend Multiplier: 4.0
The multiplier of 4.0 for the SuperTrend indicator widens the trend bands, focusing on significant market moves and reducing the impact of minor fluctuations.
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The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" represents a significant step forward in trading strategy development, blending momentum and trend analysis in a unique way. By providing a detailed framework for understanding market dynamics, this strategy empowers traders to make more informed decisions.
lib_risk_managementLibrary "lib_risk_management"
a lib to help with dynamic position sizing
position_size(risk, account_balance, entry_price, sl_price)
calculate the position size required to meet the account size based risk given when the stop loss is triggered
Parameters:
risk (float) : percentage of account balance to risk (1-100)
account_balance (float) : account balance in instrument currency
entry_price (float) : entry price
sl_price (float) : stop loss price
Returns: the position size in instrument currency that will loose the given risk percentage of the account balance when a stop loss is triggered
account_balance(to_currency, live)
converts the (current(default)/initial) account balance to the given currency at the daily rate
Parameters:
to_currency (simple string) The currency in which the account balance is to be converted. Possible values: a three-letter string with the currency code in the ISO 4217 format (e.g. "USD"), or one of the built-in variables that return currency codes, like syminfo.currency or currency.USD.
live (bool) converts the current account balance (strategy.equity) (default:true) or otherwise the initial capital (strategy.initial_capital)
Returns: the (current/initial) account balance converted to the given currency with at the current daily rate
T3 JMA KAMA VWMAEnhancing Trading Performance with T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator
Introduction
In the dynamic world of trading, staying ahead of market trends and capitalizing on volume-driven opportunities can greatly influence trading performance. To address this, we have developed the T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator, an innovative tool that modifies the traditional Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) formula to increase responsiveness and exploit high-volume market conditions for optimal position entry. This article delves into the idea behind this modification and how it can benefit traders seeking to gain an edge in the market.
The Idea Behind the Modification
The core concept behind modifying the VWMA formula is to leverage more responsive moving averages (MAs) that align with high-volume market activity. Traditional VWMA utilizes the Simple Moving Average (SMA) as the basis for calculating the weighted average. While the SMA is effective in providing a smoothed perspective of price movements, it may lack the desired responsiveness to capitalize on short-term volume-driven opportunities.
To address this limitation, our T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator incorporates three advanced moving averages: T3, JMA, and KAMA. These MAs offer enhanced responsiveness, allowing traders to react swiftly to changing market conditions influenced by volume.
T3 (T3 New and T3 Normal):
The T3 moving average, one of the components of our indicator, applies a proprietary algorithm that provides smoother and more responsive trend signals. By utilizing T3, we ensure that the VWMA calculation aligns with the dynamic nature of high-volume markets, enabling traders to capture price movements accurately.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average):
The JMA component further enhances the indicator's responsiveness by incorporating phase shifting and power adjustment. This adaptive approach ensures that the moving average remains sensitive to changes in volume and price dynamics. As a result, traders can identify turning points and anticipate potential trend reversals, precisely timing their position entries.
KAMA (Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average):
KAMA is an adaptive moving average designed to dynamically adjust its sensitivity based on market conditions. By incorporating KAMA into our VWMA modification, we ensure that the moving average adapts to varying volume levels and captures the essence of volume-driven price movements. Traders can confidently enter positions during periods of high trading volume, aligning their strategies with market activity.
Benefits and Usage
The modified T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator offers several advantages to traders looking to exploit high-volume market conditions for position entry:
Increased Responsiveness: By incorporating more responsive moving averages, the indicator enables traders to react quickly to changes in volume and capture short-term opportunities more effectively.
Enhanced Entry Timing: The modified VWMA aligns with high-volume periods, allowing traders to enter positions precisely during price movements influenced by significant trading activity.
Improved Accuracy: The combination of T3, JMA, and KAMA within the VWMA formula enhances the accuracy of trend identification, reversals, and overall market analysis.
Comprehensive Market Insights: The T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator provides a holistic view of market conditions by considering both price and volume dynamics. This comprehensive perspective helps traders make informed decisions.
Analysis and Interpretation
The modified VWMA formula with T3, JMA, and KAMA offers traders a valuable tool for analyzing volume-driven market conditions. By incorporating these advanced moving averages into the VWMA calculation, the indicator becomes more responsive to changes in volume, potentially providing deeper insights into price movements.
When analyzing the modified VWMA, it is essential to consider the following points:
Identifying High-Volume Periods:
The modified VWMA is designed to capture price movements during high-volume periods. Traders can use this indicator to identify potential market trends and determine whether significant trading activity is driving price action. By focusing on these periods, traders may gain a better understanding of the market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Confirmation of Trend Strength:
The modified VWMA can serve as a confirmation tool for assessing the strength of a trend. When the VWMA line aligns with the overall trend direction, it suggests that the current price movement is supported by volume. This confirmation can provide traders with additional confidence in their analysis and help them make more informed trading decisions.
Potential Entry and Exit Points:
One of the primary purposes of the modified VWMA is to assist traders in identifying potential entry and exit points. By capturing volume-driven price movements, the indicator can highlight areas where market participants are actively participating, indicating potential opportunities for opening or closing positions. Traders can use this information in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to develop comprehensive trading strategies.
Interpretation of Angle and Gradient:
The modified VWMA incorporates an angle calculation and color gradient to further enhance interpretation. The angle of the VWMA line represents the slope of the indicator, providing insights into the momentum of price movements. A steep angle indicates strong momentum, while a shallow angle suggests a slowdown. The color gradient helps visualize this angle, with green indicating bullish momentum and purple indicating bearish momentum.
Conclusion
By modifying the VWMA formula to incorporate the T3, JMA, and KAMA moving averages, the T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator offers traders an innovative tool to exploit high-volume market conditions for optimal position entry. This modification enhances responsiveness, improves timing, and provides comprehensive market insights.
Enjoy checking it out!
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Credits to:
◾ @cheatcountry – Hann Window Smoothing
◾ @loxx – T3
◾ @everget – JMA
Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)💭 Overview
+ Title: Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)
+ Author: Iason Nikolas (jason5480)
+ License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
💢 What is the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" (TTS) is a back-tester orchestration framework. It supercharges the implementation-test-evaluation lifecycle of new trading strategies, by making it possible to plug in your own trading idea.
While TTS offers a vast number of configuration settings, it primarily allows the trader to:
Test and evaluate your own trading logic that is described in terms of entry, exit, and cancellation conditions.
Define the entry and exit order types as well as their target prices when the limit, stop, or stop-limit order types are used.
Utilize a variety of options regarding the placement of the stop-loss and take-profit target(s) prices and support for well-known techniques like moving to breakeven and trailing.
Provide well-known quantity calculation methods to properly handle risk management and easily evaluate trading strategies and compare them.
Alert on each trading event or any related change through a robust and fully customizable messaging system.
All of the above makes TTS a practical toolkit: once you learn it, many repetitive tasks that strategy authors usually re-implement are eliminated. Using TradingView’s built-in backtesting engine makes testing and comparing ideas straightforward.
By utilizing the TTS one can easily swap "trading logic" by testing, evaluating, and comparing each trading idea and/or individual component of a strategy.
Finally, TTS, through its per-event alert management (and debugging) system, provides an automated solution that supports live trading with brokers via webhooks.
NOTE: The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" does not dictate how you can combine different indicator types. Thus, it should not be confused as a "Trading System", because it gives its user full flexibility on that end (for better or worse).
💢 What is a "Signal Indicator" ❓
"Signal Indicator" (SI) is an indicator that can output a "signal" that follows a specific convention so that the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" can "understand" and execute the orders accordingly. The SI realizes the core trading logic signaling to the TTS when to enter, exit, or cancel an order. A SI instructs the TTS "when" to enter or exit, and the TTS determines "how" to enter and exit the position once the Signal Indicator generates a signal.
A very simple example of a Signal Indicator might be a 200-day Simple Moving Average Signal. When the price of the security closes above the 200-day SMA, a SI would provide TTS with a "long entry signal". Once TTS receives the "long entry signal", the TTS will open a long position and send an alert or automated trade message via webhook to a broker, based on the Entry settings defined in TTS. If the TTS Entry settings specify a "Market" order type, then the open long position will be executed by TTS immediately. But if the TTS Entry settings specify a "Stop" order type with a 1% Stop Distance, then when the price of the security rises by 1% after the "long entry signal" occurs, the TTS will open a long position and the Long Entry alert or webhook to the broker will be sent.
🤔 How to Guide
💢 How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator" ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" was designed to receive external signals from a "Signal Indicator". In this way, a "new trading idea" can be developed, configured, and evaluated separately from the TTS. Similarly, the SI can be held constant, and the trading mechanics can change in the TTS settings and back-tested to answer questions such as, "Am I better with a different stop loss placement method, what if I used a limit order instead of a stop order to enter, what if I used 25% margin instead of trading spot market?"
To make that possible by connecting an external signal indicator to TTS, you should:
Add both your SI (e.g. "Two MA Signal Indicator" , "Click Signal Indicator" , "Signal Adapter" , "Signal Composer" ) and the TTS script to the same chart.
Open the script's Settings / Inputs dialog for the TTS.
In the 🛠️ STRATEGY group set 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞 to 🔨External (this makes TTS listen to an external signal source).
Still inside 🛠️ STRATEGY locate the 🔌𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥 🛈 input and choose the plotted output of your SI. The option should look like: "<SI short title>:🔌Signal to TTS" .
Verbose troubleshooting & tips
If the SI does not appear in the 🔌Signal 🛈 selector, confirm both scripts are added to the same chart and the SI exposes a plotted series (title often "🔌Signal to TTS").
When using multiple SIs, pick the SI instance that actually outputs the "🔌Signal to TTS" plotted series.
Validate on the chart: when your SI changes state, the plotted "🔌Signal" series in the TTS (visible in the data window) should change accordingly.
The TTS accepts only signals that follow the tts_convention DealConditions structure. Do not attempt to feed arbitrary scalar series without using conv.getDealConditions / conv.DealConditions.
Make sure your SI composes a DealConditions value following the TTS convention (startLong, endLong, startShort, endShort — optional cancel fields). See the template below.
If the plot is present but TTS does not react, ensure the SI plot is non-repainting (or accept realtime/backtest limitations). Test on historical bars first.
Create alerts on the strategy (see the Alerts section). Use the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} placeholder in the Create Alert dialog to forward TTS messages.
💢 How to create a custom trading logic ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" provides two ways to plug in your custom trading logic. Both of them have their advantages and disadvantages.
✍️ Develop your own Customized "Signal Indicator" 💥
The first approach is meant to be used for relatively more complex trading logic. The advantages of this approach are the full control and customization you have over the trading logic and the relatively simple configuration setup by having two scripts only. The downsides are that you have to have some experience with pinescript or you are willing to learn and experiment. You should also know the exact formula for every indicator you will use since you have to write it by yourself. Copy-pasting from existing open-source indicators will get you started quite fast though.
The idea here is either to create a new indicator script from scratch or to copy an existing non-signal indicator and make it a "Signal Indicator". To create a new script, press the "Pine Editor" button below the chart to open the "Pine Editor" and then press the "Open" button to open the drop-down menu with the templates. Select the "New Indicator" option. Add it to your chart to copy an existing indicator and press the source code {} button. Its source code will be shown in the "Pine Editor" with a warning on top stating that this is a read-only script. Press the "create a working copy". Now you can give a descriptive title and a short title to your script, and you can work on (or copy-paste) the (other) indicators of your interest. Once you have the information needed to decide, define a DealConditions object and plot it like this:
import jason5480/tts_convention/ as conv
// Calculate the start, end, cancel start, cancel end conditions
dealConditions = conv.DealConditions.new(
startLongDeal = ,
startShortDeal = ,
endLongDeal = ,
endShortDeal = ,
cnlStartLongDeal = ,
cnlStartShortDeal = ,
cnlEndLongDeal = ,
cnlEndShortDeal = )
// Use this signal in scripts like "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" and "Signal Composer" that can utilize its value
// Emit the current signal value according to the TTS framework convention
plot(series = conv.getSignal(dealConditions), title = '🔌Signal to TTS', color = #808000, editable = false, display = display.data_window + display.status_line, precision = 0)
You should import the latest version of the tts_convention library and write your deal conditions appropriately based on your trading logic and put them in the code section shown above by replacing the "…" part after "=". You can omit the conditions that are not relevant to your logic. For example, if you use only market orders for entering and exiting your positions the cnlStartLongDeal, cnlStartShortDeal, cnlEndLongDeal, and cnlEndShortDeal are irrelevant to your case and can be safely omitted from the DealConditions object. After successfully compiling your new custom SI script add it to the same chart with the TTS by pressing the "Add to chart" button. If all goes well, you will be able to connect your "signal" to the TTS as described in the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" guide.
🧩 Adapt and Combine existing non-signal indicators 💥
The second approach is meant to be used for relatively simple trading logic. The advantages of this approach are the lack of pine script and coding experience needed and the fact that it can be used with closed-source indicators as long as the decision-making part is displayed as a line in the chart. The drawback is that you have to have a subscription that supports the "indicator on indicator" feature so you can connect the output of one indicator as an input to another indicator. Please check if your plan supports that feature here
To plug in your own logic that way you have to add your indicator(s) of preference in the chart and then add the "Signal Adapter" script in the same chart as well. This script is a "Signal Indicator" that can be used as a proxy to define your custom logic in the CONDITIONS group of the "Settings/Inputs" tab after defining your inputs from your preferred indicators in the VARIABLES group. Then a "signal" will be produced, if your logic is simple enough it can be directly connected to the TTS that is also added to the same chart for execution. Check the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" in the "🤔 How to Guide" for more information.
If your logic is slightly more complicated, you can add a second "Signal Adapter" in your chart. Then you should add the "Signal Composer" in the same chart, go to the SIGNALS group of the "Settings/Inputs" tab, and connect the "signals" from the "Signal Adapters". "Signal Composer" is also a SI so its composed "signal" can be connected to the TTS the same way it is described in the "How to connect a "signal" from a "Signal Indicator"?" guide.
At this point, due to the composability of the framework, you can add an arbitrary number (bounded by your subscription of course) of "Signal Adapters" and "Signal Composers" before connecting the final "signal" to the TTS.
💢 How to set up ⏰Alerts ❓
The "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" provides a fully customizable per-event alert mechanism. This means that you may have an entirely different message for entering and exiting into a position, hitting a stop-loss or a take-profit target, changing trailing targets, etc. There are no restrictions, and this gives you great flexibility.
First enable the events you want under the "🔔 ALERT MESSAGES" module. Each enabled event exposes a text area where you can craft the message using placeholders that TTS replaces with actual values when the event occurs.
The placeholder categories (exact names used by the script) are:
Chart & instrument:
{{ticker}}
{{base_currency}}
{{quote_currency}}
Entry / exit / stop / TP prices & offsets:
{{entry_price}}
{{exit_price}}
{{stop_loss_price}}
{{take_profit_price_1}} ... {{take_profit_price_5}}
{{entry+_price}}, {{entry-_price}}, {{exit+_price}}, {{exit-_price}} — Optional offset helpers (computed using "Offset Ticks")
Quantities, percents & derived quantities:
{{entry_base_quantity}} — base units at entry (e.g. BTC)
{{entry_quote_quantity}} — quote amount at entry (e.g. USD)
{{risk_perc}} — % of capital risked for that entry (multiplied by 100 when "Percentage Range " is enabled)
{{remaining_quantity_perc}} — % of the initial position remaining at close/SL
{{remaining_base_quantity}} — remaining base units at close/SL
{{take_profit_quantity_perc_1}} ... {{take_profit_quantity_perc_5}} — % sold/bought at each TP
{{take_profit_base_quantity_1}} ... {{take_profit_base_quantity_5}} — base units closed at each TP
❗ Important: the per-event alert text is injected into the Create Alert dialog using TradingView's strategy placeholder:
{{strategy.order.alert_message}}
During the creation of a strategy alert, make sure the placeholder {{strategy.order.alert_message}} exists in the "Message" box. TradingView will substitute the per-event text you configured and enabled in TTS Settings/Inputs before sending it via webhook/notification.
Tip: For webhook/broker execution, set the proper "Condition" in the Create Alert dialog (for changing-entry/exit/SL notifications use "Order fills and alert() function calls" or "alert() function calls only" as appropriate).
💢 How to execute my orders in a broker ❓
To execute your orders in a broker that supports webhook integration, you should enable the appropriate alerts in the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" first (see the "How to set up Alerts?" guide above). Then you should go to the "Create Alert/Notifications" tab check the "Webhook URL" and paste the URL provided by your broker. You have to read the documentation of your broker for more information on what messages are expected.
Keep in mind that some brokers have deep integration with TradingView so a per-event alert approach might be overkill.
📑 Definitions
This section tries to give some definitions in terms that appear in the "Settings/Inputs" tab of the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)"
💢 What is Trailing ❓
Trailing is a technique where a price target follows another "barrier" price (usually high or low) by trying to keep a maximum distance from the "barrier" when it moves in only one direction (up or down). When the "barrier" moves in the other direction the price target will not change. There are as many types of trailing as price targets, which means that there are entry trailing, exit trailing, stop-loss trailing, and take-profit trailing techniques.
💢 What is a Moonbag ❓
A Moonbag in a trade is the quantity of the position that is reserved and will not be exited even if all take-profit targets defined in the strategy are hit, the quantity will be exited only if the stop-loss is hit or a close signal is received. This makes the stop-loss trailing technique in a trend-following strategy a good candidate to take advantage of a Moonbag.
💢 What is Distance ❓
Distance is the difference between two prices.
💢 What is Bias ❓
Bias is a psychological phenomenon where you make decisions based on market sentiment. For example, when you want to enter a long position you have a long bias, and when you want to exit from the long position you have a short bias. It is the other way around for the short position.
💢 What is the Bias Distance of a price target ❓
The Bias Distance of a price target is the distance that the target will deviate from its initial price. The direction of this deviation depends on the bias of the market. For example, suppose you are in a long position, and you set a take-profit target to the local highest high. In that case, adding a bias distance of five ticks will place your take-profit target 5 ticks below this local highest high because you have a short bias when exiting a long position. When the bias is long the bias distance will be added resulting in a higher target price and when you have a short bias the bias distance will be subtracted.
⚙️ Settings
In the "Settings/Inputs" tab of the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)", you can find all the customizable settings that are provided by the framework. The variety of those settings is vast; hence we will only scratch the surface here. However, for every setting, there is an information icon 🛈 where you can learn more if you mouse over it. The "Settings/Inputs" tab is divided into ten main groups. Each one of them is responsible for one module of the framework. Every setting is part of a group that is named after the module it represents. So, to spot the module of a setting find the title that appears above it comes with an emoji and uppercase letters. Some settings might have the same name but belong to different modules e.g. "Tgt Dist Mtd" (Target Distance Method). Some settings are indented, which means that they are closely related to the non-indented setting above. Usually, indented settings provide further configuration for one or more options of the non-indented setting above. The groups that correspond to each module of the framework are the following:
🗺️ Quick Module Cross-Reference (use emojis to jump to setting groups)
📆 FILTERS — session, date & weekday filters
🛠️ STRATEGY — internal vs external deal-conditions; pick the signal source
🔧 STRATEGY – INTERNAL — built-in Two MA logic for demonstration purposes
🎢 VOLATILITY — ATR / StDev update modes
🔷 ENTRY — entry order types & trailing
🎯 TAKE PROFIT — multi-step TP and trailing rules
🛑 STOP LOSS — stop placement, move-to-breakeven, trailing
🟪 EXIT — exit order types & cancel logic
💰 QUANTITY/RISK MANAGEMENT — position sizing, moonbag, limits
📊 ANALYTICS — stats, streaks, seasonal tables
🔔 ALERT MESSAGES — per-event alert templates & placeholders
😲 Caveats
💢 Does "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" have repainting behavior? ❓
The answer is that the "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" does not repaint as long as the "Signal Indicator" that is connected also does not repaint. If you developed your own SI make sure that you understand and know how to prevent this behavior. The publication by @PineCoders here will give you a good idea on how to avoid most of the repainting cases.
⚠️ There is an exception though, when the "Enable Trail⚠️💹" checkbox is checked, the Take Profit trailing feature is enabled, and a tick-based approach is used, meaning that after a while, when the TradingView discards all the real-time data, assumptions will be made by the backtesting engine that will cause a form of repainting. To avoid making false assumptions please disable this feature in the early stages and evaluate its usefulness in your strategy later on, after first confirming the success of the logic without this feature. In this case, consider turning on the bar magnifier feature. This way you will get more accurate backtest results when the Take Profit trailing feature is enabled.
💢 Can "Template Trailing Strategy (Backtester)" satisfy all my trading strategies ❓
While this framework can satisfy quite a large number of trading strategies there are cases where it cannot do so. For example, if you have a custom logic for your stop-loss or take-profit placement, or if you want to dollar cost average, then it might be better to start a new strategy script from scratch.
⚠️ It is not recommended to copy the official TTS code and start developing unless you are a Pine wizard! Even in that case, there is a stiff learning curve that might not be worth your time. Last, you must consider that I do not offer support for customized versions of the TTS script and if something goes wrong in the process you are all alone.
💝 Support & Feedback
For feedback, bug reports, or feature requests, contact me via TradingView PM or use the script comments.
Note: The author's personal links and contact are available on the TradingView profile.
🤗 Thanks
Special thanks to the welcoming community members, who regularly gave feedback all those years and helped me to shape the framework as it is today! Thanks everyone who contributed by either filing a "defect report" or asking questions that helped me to understand what improvements were necessary to help traders.
Enjoy!
Jason
Position SizingHello All,
This script can be used for Position Sizing.
After you entered Capital you have, how much you can Risk per Trade, Profit and Stoploss Levels, it calculates Number of Buys/Sells, Position Size and Reward/Risk ratio. you need to choose one of "Long" or "Short" position you will take.
Number of Buys formula = Capital * RiskPerTrade / Loss
Position Size = NumberOfBuys * EntryPrice
Reward / Risk rate = (TargetPrice - EntryPrice) / (EntryPrice - StoplossPrice)
Enjoy!
SMC Liquidity Engine Pro SMC Liquidity Engine Pro - Complete Trading Guide & Documentation
📊 Introduction: Understanding Smart Money Concepts
The SMC Liquidity Engine Pro is a comprehensive, institutional-grade trading indicator that brings professional Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology directly to your TradingView charts. This isn't just another technical indicator—it's a complete framework for understanding how institutional traders, market makers, banks, and hedge funds manipulate and move the markets.
What Makes This Different?
While most retail traders rely on lagging indicators like moving averages or RSI, this indicator reveals the real-time footprints of institutional activity. It shows you:
Where large players are accumulating or distributing positions
How they engineer liquidity to trigger retail stop losses
When they're shifting from one directional bias to another
Where price inefficiencies exist that institutions will likely revisit
The markets don't move randomly—they move based on liquidity. Understanding this fundamental truth is what separates consistently profitable traders from those who struggle. This indicator decodes that liquidity-driven behavior and presents it in clear, actionable visual signals.
The Philosophy Behind Smart Money Concepts
Smart Money Concepts is built on several core principles:
1. Liquidity is King: Price doesn't move because of patterns or indicators—it moves to collect liquidity (stop losses and pending orders). Institutions need massive liquidity to fill their large positions, so they engineer price movements to create that liquidity before making their real directional move.
2. Market Structure Reveals Intent: The way price forms highs and lows tells a story about who's in control. When structure breaks, it signals a shift in institutional positioning.
3. Inefficiencies Get Filled: When price moves too quickly in one direction, it leaves behind "fair value gaps"—areas of imbalance. Institutions frequently return to these areas to fill orders and restore balance.
4. Manipulation Precedes True Moves: The most explosive directional moves are often preceded by liquidity sweeps in the opposite direction—trapping retail traders before the real move begins.
This indicator automates the identification of all these concepts, allowing you to trade alongside the smart money rather than being their exit liquidity.
🎯 Core Features - Deep Dive
1. Market Structure Detection & Visualization
What It Is: Market structure forms the foundation of all Smart Money analysis. This indicator automatically identifies and tracks swing highs and swing lows using a sophisticated pivot detection algorithm. These aren't just any price points—they represent areas where the market showed a significant shift in supply and demand dynamics.
How It Works: The indicator uses a customizable lookback period to identify valid swing points. A swing high must have lower highs on both sides within the lookback period, and a swing low must have higher lows on both sides. This ensures that only significant structural points are marked, filtering out minor noise and consolidation.
Visual Presentation:
Bullish Structure (Cyan Lines): Horizontal lines extending from each identified swing high, showing resistance levels that price previously respected
Bearish Structure (Red Lines): Horizontal lines extending from each identified swing low, showing support levels where buying pressure emerged
Trading Application: These structure levels serve multiple purposes:
Target Zones: Previous highs become targets in uptrends; previous lows become targets in downtrends
Invalidation Levels: If expecting a bullish move, breaking below the last swing low invalidates the setup
Context for Other Signals: All BOS, CHOCH, and liquidity sweep signals gain meaning from their relationship to structure
Multi-Timeframe Anchors: Higher timeframe structure provides context for lower timeframe entries
Advanced Tip: When multiple timeframe structures align (e.g., a daily swing low coincides with a 4-hour swing low), these levels carry significantly more weight and are more likely to be defended or, when broken, lead to explosive moves.
2. Break of Structure (BOS) - Trend Confirmation
What It Is: A Break of Structure occurs when price definitively closes beyond a previous swing high (bullish BOS) or swing low (bearish BOS). This signals that the current trend maintains its momentum and is likely to continue in the same direction.
The Institutional Perspective: When institutions want to continue pushing price in a direction, they need to break through previous resistance or support. A clean BOS indicates that:
There's sufficient institutional buying/selling to overcome the supply/demand at previous structure
The trend has enough momentum to attract more participants
Stop losses above/below structure have been triggered, providing liquidity for continuation
Signal Characteristics:
Bullish BOS Label: Appears below the bar that closes above the previous swing high
Bearish BOS Label: Appears above the bar that closes below the previous swing low
Confirmation: Requires a full candle close, preventing false signals from wicks
Trading Strategies:
Trend Continuation Entries: After a BOS, wait for a pullback to a Fair Value Gap or minor structure, then enter in the direction of the break
Breakout Trading: Enter immediately on BOS confirmation with a stop below the broken structure
Momentum Confirmation: Use BOS to confirm that your existing position is aligned with institutional flow
Scaling Strategy: Add to positions on each successive BOS in trending markets
What to Watch For:
Volume: Strong BOS movements should be accompanied by above-average volume
Speed: Rapid price movement through structure suggests institutional urgency
Follow-Through: The best BOS signals see price continue strongly without immediately reversing
Higher Timeframe Alignment: BOS on higher timeframes (4H, Daily) carry more weight than lower timeframe breaks
Common Pitfalls:
Not all structure breaks are equal—BOS during ranging markets are less reliable
A BOS immediately followed by a reversal back into the range may indicate a failed breakout
During major news events, structure can be broken temporarily without institutional intent
3. Liquidity Sweep Detection - Spotting Manipulation
What It Is: Liquidity sweeps (also called "stop hunts" or "liquidity grabs") occur when price temporarily breaks beyond a key level to trigger stop losses and pending orders, then immediately reverses back. This is one of the most important concepts in SMC trading because it reveals intentional manipulation.
Why Institutions Do This: Large institutional orders can't be filled at a single price point—they need massive liquidity. The biggest pools of liquidity sit just beyond obvious highs and lows where retail traders place their stops. By briefly pushing price into these zones, institutions:
Trigger retail stop losses (creating market orders)
Activate pending buy/sell orders
Fill their large positions at favorable prices
Trap late breakout traders before reversing
Detection Methodology: The indicator identifies sweeps using multiple criteria:
Price must penetrate beyond the structural high/low (creating the sweep)
The candle must close back on the opposite side of the structure (confirming rejection)
The sweep distance is measured against ATR to distinguish manipulation from normal volatility
The sweep multiplier setting allows you to adjust sensitivity based on market conditions
Visual Indicators:
Orange Down Arrows: Mark liquidity sweeps above structural highs
Lime Up Arrows: Mark liquidity sweeps below structural lows
Liquidity Zone Boxes: Semi-transparent colored boxes highlight the exact range of the swept area
Persistent Display: Zones remain visible for several bars to maintain context
Trading Applications:
Reversal Trading: Liquidity sweeps often mark excellent reversal points. After a sweep:
Wait for the sweep to complete (candle closes back inside structure)
Look for a Change of Character signal for confirmation
Enter in the direction opposite to the sweep
Place stops beyond the sweep high/low
Target the opposite side of the range or next structural level
Continuation Filtering: Not all sweeps lead to reversals. During strong trends:
Sweeps of minor structure in a trending market often precede continuation
Use higher timeframe structure to determine if a sweep is counter-trend (likely reversal) or with-trend (likely continuation)
Entry Refinement: In ranging markets, trade from swept lows to highs and vice versa, as institutions accumulate at the extremes.
Advanced Sweep Analysis:
Double Sweeps: When both sides of a range are swept, expect a strong breakout
Sweep Rejection Quality: Fast, strong rejections of sweeps are more reliable than slow grinding returns
Timeframe Consideration: Daily timeframe sweeps are significantly more important than 15-minute sweeps
Volume Profile: Sweeps with low volume followed by high volume reversals confirm manipulation
What Makes a High-Quality Sweep Signal: ✅ Penetrates structure by at least 0.5-1x ATR
✅ Strong rejection candle (long wick, decisive close)
✅ Occurs at a higher timeframe structural level
✅ Creates a Change of Character on the following move
✅ Sweeps an obvious level where retail stops cluster
4. Change of Character (CHOCH) - Major Reversal Signals
What It Is: A Change of Character represents the most significant shift in market dynamics—when the entire structural bias of the market flips from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish. CHOCH signals are the crown jewel of SMC trading because they identify the exact moment when institutional positioning fundamentally changes.
The Anatomy of a CHOCH: A valid CHOCH requires a specific sequence:
Established Trend: A clear directional bias with multiple BOS in one direction
Liquidity Engineering: A sweep of structure in the current trend direction (the manipulation phase)
Structural Break: Price then breaks structure in the OPPOSITE direction (the revelation phase)
This combination shows that institutions have:
Completed their accumulation/distribution at favorable prices (via the sweep)
Shifted their positioning from bullish to bearish (or vice versa)
Begun a new directional campaign
Visual Presentation:
Bullish CHOCH (Cyan Triangle Up): Appears when bearish structure is broken after a low sweep, signaling the shift to bullish control
Bearish CHOCH (Red Triangle Down): Appears when bullish structure is broken after a high sweep, signaling the shift to bearish control
Prominent Markers: Larger and more visually distinct than BOS signals, reflecting their importance
Why CHOCH Signals Are So Powerful:
Trend Reversal Identification: They mark the earliest possible confirmation of a trend change
High Win Rate: When combined with proper risk management, CHOCH signals have among the highest success rates in SMC trading
Risk-Reward Ratio: Entering at CHOCH gives you the best possible risk-reward since you're entering at the beginning of a new trend
Institutional Confirmation: The sequence of sweep + structure break proves institutional repositioning, not just retail sentiment
Trading CHOCH Signals:
The Perfect CHOCH Setup:
Identify the Sweep: Watch for a liquidity sweep of structural lows (for bullish) or highs (for bearish)
Wait for the Break: Don't enter on the sweep—wait for structure to break in the opposite direction
CHOCH Confirmation: The indicator fires the CHOCH signal—this is your entry trigger
Entry Execution:
Aggressive: Enter immediately on CHOCH confirmation
Conservative: Wait for a pullback to the first Fair Value Gap or broken structure (now turned support/resistance)
Stop Placement: Beyond the swept liquidity point
Target Selection: Previous swing in the opposite direction, or let it run to the next CHOCH
Multiple Timeframe CHOCH Strategy: The most powerful setups occur when CHOCHs align across timeframes:
Daily CHOCH: Signals major institutional trend change, target 500+ pips (Forex) or significant point moves
4H CHOCH: Confirms daily direction, provides swing trade opportunities
1H CHOCH: Offers precise entry timing within the higher timeframe trend
15M CHOCH: Used for position scaling and intraday management
Example Trade Flow:
Daily Chart: Bullish CHOCH appears after weeks of downtrend
↓
4H Chart: Wait for pullback after the daily CHOCH, then catch the 4H bullish CHOCH
↓
1H Chart: Enter on the 1H bullish CHOCH that aligns with both higher timeframes
↓
Result: You've entered at the beginning of a major trend with multiple confirmations
CHOCH Quality Grading:
A-Grade CHOCH (Highest Probability):
Occurs at major higher timeframe structure
Following a clear liquidity sweep
Volume spike on the structural break
Multiple timeframe alignment
Creates a large Fair Value Gap on the break
B-Grade CHOCH (Good Probability):
Valid sweep and structure break
Single timeframe signal
Moderate volume
Occurs at minor structure
C-Grade CHOCH (Lower Probability):
Choppy, ranging market context
Weak sweep or unclear structure
Counter to higher timeframe trend
Low volume confirmation
Common Mistakes with CHOCH Trading: ❌ Entering on the sweep instead of waiting for the structure break
❌ Ignoring higher timeframe context
❌ Taking every CHOCH regardless of quality
❌ Not waiting for pullbacks on aggressive trends
❌ Placing stops too tight, getting caught in volatility
Advanced CHOCH Concepts:
Failed CHOCH: Occasionally, what appears to be a CHOCH will fail (price reverses back into the previous trend). This often indicates:
Insufficient institutional conviction for the reversal
Fake-out to grab liquidity in the opposite direction
Need to wait for a higher timeframe CHOCH for confirmation
When a CHOCH fails, it often sets up an even stronger continuation of the original trend.
CHOCH vs BOS Decision Matrix:
If in doubt about trend direction → wait for CHOCH
If confident in trend → trade BOS continuations
After a CHOCH → next signals in the new direction are BOS
5. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) - Institutional Retracement Zones
What It Is: Fair Value Gaps represent price imbalances where the market moved so quickly that it left behind inefficient pricing. These gaps form when there's no overlap between the current candle's wick and the candle from two bars ago—a void in the price action that creates a "gap" in the order flow.
The Institutional Logic: When institutions execute large market orders, they can push price rapidly through levels without allowing normal two-way trading. This creates unfilled orders and imbalanced order books. Institutions often return to these gaps to:
Fill additional orders at more favorable prices
Allow the market to "breathe" before the next push
Create support/resistance at the gap for the next move
Restore balance to the order book
FVG Formation Criteria: This indicator uses enhanced FVG detection logic:
Bullish FVG (Upward Gap):
Current candle's low is above the high from 2 candles ago
Creates a visible gap where no trading occurred
Gap size must exceed 30% of ATR (filtering minor gaps)
Typically forms on strong bullish momentum candles
Market moved up so fast it left unfilled sell orders
Bearish FVG (Downward Gap):
Current candle's high is below the low from 2 candles ago
Creates a visible gap where no trading occurred
Gap size must exceed 30% of ATR
Typically forms on strong bearish momentum candles
Market moved down so fast it left unfilled buy orders
Visual Presentation:
Bullish FVG Zones: Semi-transparent cyan boxes extending from gap bottom to top
Bearish FVG Zones: Semi-transparent red boxes extending from gap top to bottom
Dynamic Management: Gaps automatically removed when filled or expired
Clean Display: Only active, unfilled gaps shown to prevent chart clutter
FVG Trading Strategies:
Strategy 1: FVG Retracement Entries After a CHOCH or strong BOS, wait for price to retrace into the FVG for entry:
Identify trend direction via CHOCH or BOS
Locate the nearest FVG in the direction of the trend
Set limit orders within the FVG zone
Stop loss beyond the FVG
Target the next structural level or previous swing
Strategy 2: FVG Breakout Confirmation When price breaks through an FVG without filling it:
Signals extreme institutional urgency
Indicates the move is likely to continue strongly
The unfilled gap becomes a "no-go zone" for counter-trend entries
Strategy 3: Multiple FVG Management When multiple FVGs form in sequence:
The first FVG is most likely to be filled
If price skips the first FVG, it signals exceptional strength
Sequential gaps create a "gap ladder" for scaling into positions
FVG Quality Assessment:
High-Quality FVGs (Best Trading Zones):
Large gap size (1.5x+ ATR)
Formed on high volume impulse moves
Aligned with higher timeframe structure
Created during CHOCH or strong BOS
Positioned between current price and key structure
Low-Quality FVGs (Use Caution):
Small gaps (< 0.5 ATR)
Formed during choppy, ranging conditions
Multiple overlapping gaps in the same area
Counter to higher timeframe trend
Very old gaps (50+ bars ago)
FVG Lifecycle Management:
The indicator intelligently manages FVG zones:
Gap Filling:
Bullish FVG is "filled" when price touches the bottom of the gap
Bearish FVG is "filled" when price touches the top of the gap
Filled gaps are automatically removed from the chart
Partial fills count as complete fills (institutions got their orders)
Gap Expiration:
Gaps older than the extension period (default 10 bars) are removed
This keeps the chart clean and focuses on relevant levels
Adjustable from 5-50 bars based on timeframe and trading style
Gap Priority: When multiple gaps exist, closest gap to current price is most relevant
Advanced FVG Concepts:
Nested FVGs: Sometimes FVGs form within larger FVGs. The smaller, more recent gap typically gets filled first, providing a secondary entry within the larger gap.
FVG Clusters: When 3+ FVGs stack in the same zone, this area becomes a major institutional reaccumulation zone—excellent for swing entries.
Inverted FVGs: Bullish FVGs in downtrends or bearish FVGs in uptrends can act as resistance/support where rallies/dips fail.
FVG + Liquidity Sweep Combination: The ultimate entry setup:
Liquidity sweep occurs
CHOCH confirms reversal
Price retraces into FVG created during the CHOCH move
Enter with exceptional risk-reward ratio
FVG Statistics & Probabilities:
Research on FVG behavior shows:
Approximately 70% of FVGs get filled within 20 bars
FVGs formed during CHOCH have 80%+ fill rate
Larger gaps (2x+ ATR) have lower but higher-quality fill rates
Higher timeframe FVGs are more magnetic than lower timeframe
Timeframe Considerations:
Daily FVGs:
Can remain unfilled for weeks
Major institutional zones
Often mark the absolute best entry prices for swing trades
When filled, usually result in strong reactions
4H FVGs:
Typically fill within 3-7 days
Excellent for swing trading
Balance between frequency and reliability
1H FVGs:
Usually fill within 1-3 days
Good for short-term position trading
More frequent signals
15M FVGs:
Often fill same day
Best used for intraday refinement
Should align with higher timeframe gaps
🔧 Customization & Settings Guide
Structure Detection Settings
Swing Lookback Period (3-50 bars): This is arguably the most important setting as it determines what the indicator considers "structure."
Low Values (3-7):
Identifies minor swings and frequent structure points
More BOS and CHOCH signals
Better for scalping and day trading
Risk: More false signals in choppy markets
Best for: 15M-1H charts, active traders
Medium Values (8-15):
Balanced approach capturing meaningful swings
Default setting works well for most traders
Good signal-to-noise ratio
Best for: 1H-4H charts, swing traders
High Values (16-50):
Only major structural points identified
Fewer but higher-quality signals
Cleaner charts with less noise
Better for trending markets
Best for: 4H-Daily charts, position traders
ATR Period (1-50): Controls how volatility is measured for liquidity sweep detection.
Shorter Periods (7-14):
More responsive to recent volatility changes
Better during high volatility events
May overreact to short-term spikes
Longer Periods (15-30):
Smoother, more stable volatility measurement
Better for swing trading
Reduces sensitivity to short-term noise
Liquidity Sweep Multiplier (0.5-3.0): Determines how far beyond structure price must move to qualify as a sweep.
Low Multiplier (0.5-0.9):
Catches smaller, more frequent sweeps
More signals but lower reliability
Good for scalping or high-frequency trading
Use in ranging markets
Medium Multiplier (1.0-1.5):
Balanced sensitivity
Default 1.2 works for most situations
Good signal quality
High Multiplier (1.6-3.0):
Only major, obvious sweeps detected
Fewer but very high-quality signals
Best for trending markets
Use when you want only the clearest setups
Display Options
Toggle Controls: Each component can be individually enabled/disabled:
Show Market Structure:
Turn off when chart becomes too cluttered
Essential for understanding context, generally keep ON
Disable only when you know structure from higher timeframe
Show Liquidity Zones:
Highlights swept areas with boxes
Can be disabled if you prefer cleaner charts
Keep ON when learning to spot manipulation
Show Break of Structure:
BOS labels can be disabled if trading only reversals
Keep ON for trend following strategies
Show Change of Character:
Core SMC signal, usually keep ON
Only disable if focusing purely on continuation trading
Show Fair Value Gaps:
OFF by default to prevent overwhelming new users
Turn ON once comfortable with basic structure
Can generate many zones on lower timeframes
FVG Extension Period (5-50 bars): Determines how long unfilled gaps remain displayed.
Short Extension (5-10):
Keeps charts very clean
Only shows very recent gaps
Good for day trading
May remove gaps before they fill
Medium Extension (11-25):
Balanced approach
Captures most gap fills
Good for swing trading
Long Extension (26-50):
Shows historical gap context
Better for position trading
Higher timeframe analysis
Can make charts busy on lower timeframes
Color Scheme Customization
Why Colors Matter: Visual clarity is crucial for quick decision-making. The color scheme should:
Clearly distinguish bullish vs bearish elements
Work well with your chart background (dark/light mode)
Be visible but not distracting
Match your personal preference for aesthetics
Default Colors:
Bullish: Cyan (
#00ffff) - visibility and association with "cool" buying
Bearish: Red (
#ff0051) - visibility and universal danger/selling association
FVG Bullish: 85% transparent cyan - visible but not overpowering
FVG Bearish: 85% transparent red - visible but not overpowering
Customization Tips:
Increase transparency if zones overwhelm price action
Use higher contrast colors on light backgrounds
Keep bullish/bearish colors visually distinct
Test colors across different market conditions
Optimization by Market Type
Forex (24-hour markets):
Structure Lookback: 10-15
ATR Period: 14-21
Sweep Multiplier: 1.0-1.5
Best Timeframes: 15M, 1H, 4H
Stocks (Session-based):
Structure Lookback: 8-12
ATR Period: 14
Sweep Multiplier: 1.2-1.8
Best Timeframes: 5M, 15M, 1H, Daily
Note: Gaps at market open/close aren't FVGs
Cryptocurrency (High volatility):
Structure Lookback: 12-20 (filter noise)
ATR Period: 10-14 (responsive to volatility)
Sweep Multiplier: 1.5-2.5 (larger sweeps)
Best Timeframes: 15M, 1H, 4H
Indices (Moderate volatility):
Structure Lookback: 10-15
ATR Period: 14-20
Sweep Multiplier: 1.0-1.5
Best Timeframes: 1H, 4H, Daily
📈 Complete Trading System & Strategies
The Complete SMC Trading Process
Step 1: Higher Timeframe Analysis (Daily/4H) Begin every trading session by analyzing higher timeframes:
Identify the prevailing market structure (bullish or bearish)
Mark key swing highs and lows
Note any recent CHOCHs that signal trend changes
Identify major Fair Value Gaps that could act as targets or entry zones
Determine areas of liquidity (obvious highs/lows where stops cluster)
Step 2: Trading Timeframe Setup (1H/4H) Move to your primary trading timeframe:
Wait for alignment with higher timeframe bias
Look for CHOCH signals if expecting reversal
Look for BOS signals if expecting continuation
Identify liquidity sweeps that create trading opportunities
Note nearby FVGs for entry refinement
Step 3: Entry Timeframe Execution (15M/1H) Use lower timeframe for precise entry:
After higher timeframe signal, wait for lower timeframe confirmation
Enter on FVG fills, structure breaks, or CHOCH signals
Place stop beyond swept liquidity or broken structure
Set targets at next structure level or opposite side of range
Step 4: Management Active trade management increases profitability:
Move stop to breakeven after price moves 1R (risk unit)
Take partial profits at first target (structure level)
Let remainder run to major targets
Trail stop using FVGs or structure breaks in your direction
Exit if a counter-trend CHOCH appears
High-Probability Trading Setups
Setup 1: The Classic CHOCH Reversal
Market Context:
Extended trend in one direction
Price reaching obvious highs/lows where liquidity pools
Setup Requirements:
Liquidity sweep of the high/low
CHOCH signal fires
(Optional) Wait for pullback to FVG
Entry: On CHOCH confirmation or FVG fill
Stop: Beyond swept liquidity
Target: Previous swing in opposite direction
Example (Bullish):
Market in downtrend for 2 weeks
Price sweeps below obvious daily low
Bullish CHOCH fires (breaks previous lower high)
Enter immediately or wait for pullback to bullish FVG
Stop below swept low
Target: Previous lower high, then previous high
Risk-Reward: Typically 1:3 to 1:5+
Setup 2: BOS Continuation with FVG Entry
Market Context:
Established trend with recent CHOCH
Strong momentum in trend direction
Setup Requirements:
Recent CHOCH established trend direction
BOS signal confirms continuation
Wait for pullback into FVG created on the BOS move
Entry: Limit order within FVG zone
Stop: Beyond FVG (invalid if exceeded)
Target: Next structural level
Example (Bearish):
Bearish CHOCH 2 days ago
Price makes BOS breaking new low
Large bearish FVG created during the break
Price retraces into FVG zone
Enter short at FVG fill
Stop above FVG
Target: Next major low or daily FVG below
Risk-Reward: 1:2 to 1:4
Setup 3: Liquidity Sweep Fade
Market Context:
Ranging market between defined highs/lows
Obvious liquidity on both sides of range
Setup Requirements:
Clear range established (minimum 20-30 bars)
Price sweeps one side of range (high or low)
Strong rejection back into range
Entry: After sweep rejection confirmed
Stop: Beyond swept level
Target: Opposite side of range
Example:
Range between 1.0850-1.0920 (EUR/USD)
Price sweeps above 1.0920 to 1.0935
Strong bearish rejection candle back below 1.0920
Enter short at 1.0915
Stop at 1.0940 (above sweep high)
Target: 1.0850 (range low)
Risk-Reward: 1:2.6
Setup 4: Multi-Timeframe CHOCH Alignment
Market Context:
Major trend change occurring
Multiple timeframes showing reversal signals
Setup Requirements:
Daily timeframe shows CHOCH
Wait for 4H CHOCH in same direction
Enter on 1H CHOCH that aligns
Entry: 1H CHOCH confirmation
Stop: Below 4H structure
Target: Daily structural level
Example (Bullish):
Daily bearish trend for months
Daily bullish CHOCH appears
4H shows bullish CHOCH next day
1H bullish CHOCH provides entry
Enter long on 1H signal
Stop: Below 4H swing low
Target: Daily previous high
Risk-Reward: 1:5 to 1:10+
Position: Larger size due to alignment
Setup 5: Failed CHOCH Continuation
Market Context:
Strong trend temporarily looks like reversing
"False" CHOCH creates trap for counter-trend traders
Setup Requirements:
Apparent CHOCH against main trend
Price fails to follow through
Original trend resumes with strong BOS
Entry: On BOS in original trend direction
Stop: Recent swing
Target: Extension of original trend
Example:
Strong daily uptrend
Bearish CHOCH appears (potential reversal)
Price consolidates but doesn't follow through down
Bullish BOS breaks above recent consolidation
Enter long on BOS
Stop: Below failed CHOCH low
Target: New high extension
Risk-Reward: 1:3 to 1:6
Note: Failed reversals often lead to explosive continuations
Risk Management Framework
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% of account per trade, even on A+ setups.
Risk Calculation:
Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry - Stop Loss in pips/points)
Example:
Account: $10,000
Risk: 1% = $100
Entry: 1.0900
Stop: 1.0870 (30 pips)
Position Size: $100 / 30 pips = $3.33 per pip
Lot Size (Forex): 0.33 lots
Stop Loss Placement:
For CHOCH Reversals:
Place stop 5-10 pips beyond swept liquidity
Gives room for volatility while protecting capital
If swept liquidity is violated, setup is invalidated
For BOS Continuations:
Place stop beyond the FVG or structure that provided entry
Typically tighter stops (closer to entry)
Can trail stop to breakeven quickly
For Range Trading:
Stop beyond the swept level
Generally tight stops work well in ranges
Exit quickly if range boundaries break
Take Profit Strategy:
Scaling Out Method (Recommended):
First Target (50% of position): First structural level (1:1 to 1:2)
Second Target (30% of position): Major structure (1:3 to 1:5)
Trail Stop (20% of position): Let run to full extension
Full Exit Method:
Hold entire position to predetermined target
Requires more discipline
Higher reward but also higher risk of giveback
Trade Management Rules:
Breakeven Rule: Move stop to breakeven after 1R profit
Partial Profit Rule: Take partials at structure levels
Trailing Rule: Trail stop
Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite v1 - The Strategy GuideHere is the complete **Strategy Guide** translated into English.
---
# 📘 Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite – The Strategy Guide
### 1. The Visual Legend (What is what?)
Before you trade, you need to understand the hierarchy of your lines. Not every line has the same importance.
* **🟣 Daily EMA 50 (Neon Violet):** The **"Big Boss"**. It determines the **Macro Trend**.
* *Price above:* We are primarily looking for Longs.
* *Price below:* We are primarily looking for Shorts.
* **🟢 4h EMA 50 (Neon Green):** The **"Swing Trend"**. Your most important level for **Pullback Entries** (Re-entries).
* **🟡 POC (Gold) & TPO:** The **"Magnet"**. Price often returns here.
* *Rule:* Never open a trade directly *on* the POC (Risk of "Chop"). Use it as a **Target** (Take Profit).
* **🟠 IB High/Low (Orange Lines):** The **"Daily Structure"**.
* A breakout from the IB (Initial Balance) often indicates the trend direction for the day.
* **🟥/🟩 Boxes (Supply/Demand):** Resistance and Support zones from the 1h timeframe.
* **⬜ FVG Boxes:** "Gaps" in the market that are often filled.
---
### 2. The Trading Workflow (Top-Down Method)
Go through this mental checklist before every trade:
#### Step 1: Trend Check (The Traffic Light)
Look at the **Violet Line (Daily)** and the **Green Line (4h)**.
* **Bullish:** Price is above Violet AND above Green. -> *Focus: Buy dips.*
* **Bearish:** Price is below Violet AND below Green. -> *Focus: Sell rallies.*
* **Mixed:** Price is between Violet and Green. -> *Caution! Market is undecided (Range Trading).*
#### Step 2: Location (The Context)
Where is the price currently located?
* Are we at a **Green Demand Zone**?
* Are we testing the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** from above?
* Are we at the **VWAP**?
* *Never trade in "No Man's Land"!* Wait until the price touches one of your lines.
#### Step 3: Trigger (The Execution)
Now zoom into your lower timeframe (e.g., 5min or 15min).
* Wait for a reaction at the zone.
* Use the **EMA 9 (Yellow)** as a momentum trigger. If price breaks the EMA 9 and closes above/below it, that is your "Go".
---
### 3. The Setup Blueprints
Here are the two most profitable scenarios you can trade with this script:
#### A) The "Golden Trend" Setup (Long)
* **Context:** Price > **Daily EMA (Violet)**.
* **Preparation:** Price corrects (drops) back to the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** or to the **VWAP**.
* **Confluence:** Ideally, there is also a **Demand Zone (Green Box)** or an **FVG** at that level.
* **Entry:** As soon as a candle touches the zone and closes bullish again (or reclaims the EMA 9).
* **Stop-Loss:** Below the 4h EMA 50.
* **Take-Profit:** Next **Supply Zone (Red)** or the **IB High (Orange)**.
#### B) The "Daytrade Breakout" (Intraday)
* **Context:** Price opens inside yesterday's Value Area.
* **Signal:** Price breaks through the **IB High (Orange)** with momentum.
* **Filter:** Price must be above the **VWAP**.
* **Entry:** On the retest of the IB High or directly on the breakout.
* **Target:** Price often trends in that direction for the rest of the day.
---
### 4. Warning Signals (When NOT to trade)
1. **The "Concrete Ceiling":** If you want to go Long, but the **Violet Daily EMA 50** is running directly above you. This is massive resistance. Better wait until it is broken.
2. **The "POC Dance":** If price is dancing sideways around the **Gold Line (POC)**. This is a "No-Trade Zone". Day traders lose the most money here due to fees and whipsaws.
3. **Overextension:** If price is extremely far away from the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** (Rubber Band Effect). Do not enter in the trend direction here; wait for a pullback to the line.
### Summary
Your chart is now telling you a story:
* **Violet** tells you the Direction.
* **Green** gives you the Entry.
* **Red/Green Boxes** show you the Obstacles.
* **Yellow (EMA 9)** gives you the Timing.
Good luck with the Suite! This is a setup similar to what institutional traders use.
UT Bot + Hull MA Close-Cross Confirm (Strategy)UT Bot + Hull MA Close-Cross Confirm (Strategy)
This strategy combines the classic UT Bot ATR trailing stop with a Hull Moving Average (HMA) close-cross confirmation to reduce false signals and improve trade quality.
The system works in two stages:
UT Bot Signal Detection
A volatility-adjusted ATR trailing stop identifies potential trend shifts using a 1-period EMA crossover. This provides early buy and sell signals based on momentum and volatility.
Hull MA Close-Cross Confirmation
UT Bot signals are only confirmed once price closes across the Hull Moving Average. If a UT signal occurs on the wrong side of the Hull MA, the strategy waits until a valid close-cross occurs before triggering an entry. This confirmation step helps filter chop and late-trend reversals.
Key Features
Non-repainting logic (uses bar-close confirmation)
Futures-friendly design (fixed contracts, point-based TP/SL)
Supports Long, Short, or Both directions
Built-in Take Profit & Stop Loss
Configurable Hull MA type (HMA / EHMA / THMA)
Optional Heikin Ashi signal source
Clean Buy/Sell alerts for automation and webhook execution
Trade Logic Summary
Long Entry:
UT Bot buy signal + confirmed close above Hull MA
Short Entry:
UT Bot sell signal + confirmed close below Hull MA
Exit:
Fixed Take Profit or Stop Loss (user-defined in points)
Alerts & Automation
The strategy includes dedicated Buy Alert and Sell Alert conditions designed for webhook automation (e.g., trade logging, execution engines, or external dashboards). Alerts trigger only on confirmed bar closes, matching backtest behavior.
Intended Use
This strategy is designed for futures markets (e.g., MNQ, ES, GC) and performs best on intraday timeframes. Session filters, risk rules, and trade management can be handled externally if desired.
Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and research purposes only and is not financial advice. Always test thoroughly and use proper risk management.
ICT Precision Turtle Soup NuNi1. Identify the CRT Range (The Context)
Before looking for a trade, the indicator defines the Candle Range Theory (CRT) boundaries based on your lookback period.
CRT High (Red Line): Represents old buy-side liquidity.
CRT Low (Green Line): Represents old sell-side liquidity.
HTF Filter: The code ensures the higher timeframe trend (e.g., 4H) aligns with your direction. Only look for Buys if the HTF trend is bullish.
2. The Manipulation (Turtle Soup 🐢)
Wait for price to move outside the CRT boundaries.
The Trap: Price must sweep below the CRT Low or above the CRT High.
The Reclaim: A Turtle Body Soup (TBS) occurs when the candle body closes back inside the range, or a wick rejection happens.
Symbol: A 🐢 icon will appear on the chart. Do not entry yet. This is just a warning that a setup is forming.
3. The Shift & Momentum (The Trigger)
To ensure a high-probability entry, the indicator waits for two technical confirmations:
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Price must break the most recent swing high (for Buys) or swing low (for Sells).
Displacement: The breaking candle must be "displaced"—meaning it has a large, energetic body compared to previous candles. This proves that big banks/institutions are moving the price.
4. The Entry Execution
Once all conditions are met, the "⭐ PRECISION ENTRY" label will appear.
Execution: You can enter at the market price when the label appears.
Retest Entry: Alternatively, look for the price to return to the IFVG or Breaker Zone (the shaded box) drawn by the indicator for a more refined entry.
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM
## Complete User Guide
---
## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. (#overview)
2. (#regimes)
3. (#indicator-usage)
4. (#entry-signals)
5. (#exit-signals)
6. (#regime-strategies)
7. (#confluence)
8. (#backtesting)
9. (#optimization)
10. (#examples)
---
## OVERVIEW
### What This System Does
This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that:
1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically
2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime
3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring
4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade
5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance
### Two Components Provided
1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`)
- Visual regime identification
- Entry/exit signals on chart
- Dynamic support/resistance
- Info tables with live data
- Use for manual trading
2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`)
- Fully automated backtestable version
- Same logic as indicator
- Position sizing and risk management
- Performance metrics
- Use for backtesting and automation
---
## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES
### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong uptrend
- Price above SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Higher highs and higher lows
- DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear upward direction
- Buyers in control
- Pullbacks are buying opportunities
- Strongest regime for long positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback
- ✅ Hold through minor corrections
- ❌ Don't short against the trend
- ❌ Don't sell too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%)
- Bounces are strong
- Support at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on rallies
---
### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING
**Characteristics:**
- Strong downtrend
- Price below SMA50 and SMA200
- ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- Lower highs and lower lows
- DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum)
**What It Means:**
- Market has clear downward direction
- Sellers in control
- Rallies are selling opportunities
- Strongest regime for short positions
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce
- ✅ Hold through minor bounces
- ❌ Don't buy against the trend
- ❌ Don't cover shorts too early
**Expected Behavior:**
- Rallies are weak (5-10%)
- Selloffs are strong
- Resistance at moving averages holds
- Volume increases on declines
---
### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bullish bias but consolidating
- Price near or above SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Uptrend is pausing
- Accumulation phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **BUY at support zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI < 40
- ✅ Take profits at resistance
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Support bounces repeatedly
- Resistance rejections common
- Eventually breaks higher (usually)
---
### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING
**Characteristics:**
- Bearish bias but consolidating
- Price near or below SMA50
- ADX < 20 (weak trend)
- Trading in range
- Choppy price action
**What It Means:**
- Downtrend is pausing
- Distribution phase
- Support and resistance zones clear
- Lower volatility
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **SELL at resistance zone**
- ✅ Enter when RSI > 60
- ✅ Take profits at support
- ⚠️ Smaller position sizes
- ⚠️ Tighter stops
**Expected Behavior:**
- Range-bound oscillations
- Resistance holds repeatedly
- Support bounces are weak
- Eventually breaks lower (usually)
---
### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION
**Characteristics:**
- No clear direction
- Range compression
- Very low ADX (< 15 often)
- Price inside tight range
- Neutral sentiment
**What It Means:**
- Market is coiling
- Building energy for next move
- Indecision between buyers/sellers
- Calm before the storm
**How to Trade:**
- ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction**
- ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout
- ✅ Direction becomes clear
- ❌ Don't trade inside the range
- ❌ Avoid choppy scalping
**Expected Behavior:**
- Narrow range
- Low volume
- False breakouts possible
- Explosive move when it breaks
---
### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility)
**Characteristics:**
- Extreme volatility
- No clear direction
- Erratic price swings
- ATR > 2x average
- Unpredictable
**What It Means:**
- Market panic or euphoria
- News-driven moves
- Emotion dominates logic
- Highest risk environment
**How to Trade:**
- ❌ **STAY OUT!**
- ❌ No positions
- ❌ Wait for stability
- ✅ Protect existing positions
- ✅ Reduce risk
**Expected Behavior:**
- Large intraday swings
- Gaps up/down
- Stop hunts
- Whipsaws
- Eventually calms down
---
## INDICATOR USAGE
### Visual Elements
#### 1. Background Colors
- **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long)
- **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short)
- **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips)
- **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies)
- **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait)
- **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!)
#### 2. Regime Labels
- Appear when regime changes
- Show new regime name
- Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish)
#### 3. Entry Signals
- **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here
- **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here
- Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals)
- Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.)
#### 4. Exit Signals
- **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position
- **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position
- Shows exit reason in tooltip
#### 5. Support/Resistance Lines
- **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone)
- **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone)
- Adapts to regime automatically
#### 6. Moving Averages
- **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend)
- **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend)
- **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend)
### Information Tables
#### Top Right Table (Main Info)
Shows real-time market conditions:
- **Current Regime** - What regime we're in
- **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out
- **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong)
- **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak
- **Volatility** - High or Normal
- **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility
- **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold)
- **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs
- **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels
- **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5)
#### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide)
Quick reference for each regime:
- What action to take
- What strategy to use
- Color-coded for quick identification
---
## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors)
Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align:
#### For LONG Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought)
3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
#### For SHORT Entries:
1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging
2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold)
3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance
4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish
5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume
### Confluence Requirements
**Minimum Confluence** (default = 2):
- 2/5 = Entry signal triggered
- 3/5 = Good signal
- 4/5 = Strong signal
- 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare)
**Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades**
### Specific Entry Patterns
#### 1. Bull Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Trending
- Price pulls back to EMA20
- Close above EMA20 (bounce)
- Up candle (close > open)
- RSI < 60
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 2. Bear Trending Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Trending
- Price rallies to EMA20
- Close below EMA20 (rejection)
- Down candle (close < open)
- RSI > 40
- Confluence ≥ 2
```
#### 3. Bull Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bull Ranging
- RSI < 40 (oversold)
- Price at or below support
- Up candle (reversal)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 4. Bear Ranging Entry
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Bear Ranging
- RSI > 60 (overbought)
- Price at or above resistance
- Down candle (rejection)
- Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient)
```
#### 5. Consolidation Breakout
```
Requirements:
- Regime = Consolidation
- Price breaks above/below range
- Volume > 1.5x average (explosive)
- Strong directional candle
```
---
## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED
### Three Types of Exits
#### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic)
- **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos
- **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos
- **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid
#### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits
- **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2%
- **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2%
- **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing
#### 3. Momentum Exits
- **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle
- **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle
- **Reason**: Overextension, take profits
### Stop Loss & Take Profit
**Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2)
- Adapts to volatility
- Protected from whipsaws
- Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto
**Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy):
- Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio)
- Default 2.5:1 reward:risk
- Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target
- Allows winners to run
---
## TRADING EACH REGIME
### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment
**Strategy: Buy Every Dip**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI < 60
3. Enter when candle closes above MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below the recent swing low
- Or 2 × ATR below entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous high
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20)
Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA)
Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $103.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment
**Strategy: Sell Every Rally**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20
2. Look for RSI > 40
3. Enter when candle closes below MA
4. Confluence should be 2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above the recent swing high
- Or 2 × ATR above entry
**Take Profit:**
- At previous low
- Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum
**Position Size:**
- Can use full size (2% risk)
- High win rate regime
**Example Trade:**
```
Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20)
Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA)
Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR)
Target: $96.50 (2.5:1)
Risk: $2, Reward: $5
```
---
### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High
**Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at support zone
2. Look for RSI < 40
3. Enter on reversal candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Below support zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At resistance zone
- Don't hold through resistance
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35)
Stop: $94 (below support)
Target: $104 (at resistance)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low
**Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Wait for price at resistance zone
2. Look for RSI > 60
3. Enter on rejection candle
4. Confluence should be 1-2+
**Stop Loss:**
- Above resistance zone
- Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR)
**Take Profit:**
- At support zone
- Don't hold through support
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1-1.5% risk
- Lower win rate than trending
**Example Trade:**
```
Range: $95-$105
Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65)
Stop: $106 (above resistance)
Target: $96 (at support)
Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1)
```
---
### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout
**Strategy: Breakout Trading**
**Entry Rules:**
1. Identify consolidation range
2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg)
3. Enter on close outside range
4. Direction must be clear
**Stop Loss:**
- Opposite side of range
- Or 2 ATR
**Take Profit:**
- Measure range height, project it
- Example: $10 range = $10 move expected
**Position Size:**
- Reduce to 1% risk
- 50% false breakout rate
**Example Trade:**
```
Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range)
Breakout: $102.50 (high volume)
Entry: $103
Stop: $100 (back in range)
Target: $107 (4-point range projected)
Risk: $3, Reward: $4
```
---
### CHAOS - STAY OUT!
**Strategy: Preservation**
**What to Do:**
- ❌ NO new positions
- ✅ Close existing positions if near entry
- ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades
- ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically
- ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize
**Why It's Dangerous:**
- Stop hunts are common
- Whipsaws everywhere
- News-driven volatility
- No technical reliability
- Even "perfect" setups fail
**When Does It End:**
- Volatility ratio drops < 1.5
- ADX starts rising (direction appears)
- Price respects support/resistance again
- Usually 1-5 days
---
## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM
### How It Works
The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability.
### Confluence Requirements by Regime
**Trending Regimes** (strictest):
- Minimum 2/5 required
- 3/5 = Good
- 4-5/5 = Excellent
**Ranging Regimes** (moderate):
- Minimum 1-2/5 required
- 2/5 = Good
- 3+/5 = Excellent
**Consolidation** (breakout only):
- Volume is most critical
- Direction confirmation
- Less confluence needed
### Adjusting Minimum Confluence
**If too few signals:**
- Lower from 2 to 1
- More trades, lower quality
**If too many false signals:**
- Raise from 2 to 3
- Fewer trades, higher quality
**Recommendation:**
- Start at 2
- Adjust based on win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
---
## STRATEGY BACKTESTING
### Loading the Strategy
1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine`
2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView
3. Paste and "Add to Chart"
4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom
### Initial Settings
```
Risk Per Trade: 2%
ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0
Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✓
Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both)
Avoid Chaos: ✓
Minimum Confluence: 2
```
### What to Look For
**Good Results:**
- Win Rate: 50-60%
- Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5
- Net Profit: Positive
- Max Drawdown: <20%
- Consistent equity curve
**Warning Signs:**
- Win Rate: <45% (too many losses)
- Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable)
- Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky)
- Erratic equity curve (unstable)
### Testing Different Regimes
**Test 1: Trending Only**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✓
Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades
```
**Test 2: All Regimes**
```
Trade Trending Only: ✗
Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate
```
**Test 3: Long Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✓
Trade Shorts: ✗
Result: Works in bull markets
```
**Test 4: Short Only**
```
Trade Longs: ✗
Trade Shorts: ✓
Result: Works in bear markets
```
---
## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION
### Key Parameters to Adjust
#### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important)
- **0.5%** = Very conservative
- **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners)
- **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended)
- **3.0%** = Aggressive
- **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended)
**Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns
#### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio
- **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster
- **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer
- **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending
**Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate
#### 3. Minimum Confluence
- **1** = More signals, lower quality
- **2** = Balanced (recommended)
- **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality
- **4** = Very selective
- **5** = Almost never triggers
**Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades
#### 4. ADX Thresholds
- **Trending: 20-30** (default 25)
- Lower = detect trends earlier
- Higher = only strong trends
- **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20)
- Lower = identify ranging earlier
- Higher = only weak trends
#### 5. Trend Period (SMA)
- **20-50** = Short-term trends
- **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended)
- **100-200** = Long-term trends
**Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable
### Optimization Workflow
**Step 1: Baseline**
- Use all default settings
- Test on 3+ years
- Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown
**Step 2: Risk Optimization**
- Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5%
- Find best risk-adjusted return
- Balance profit vs drawdown
**Step 3: R:R Optimization**
- Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- Check which maximizes profit factor
- Consider holding time
**Step 4: Confluence Optimization**
- Test 1, 2, 3
- Find sweet spot for win rate
- Aim for 55-65% win rate
**Step 5: Regime Filter**
- Test with/without trend filter
- Test with/without chaos filter
- Find what works for your asset
---
## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES
### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- Price pulls back from $450 to $445
- EMA20 at $444
- RSI drops to 45
- Confluence: 4/5
**Entry:**
- Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20)
- LONG signal appears
- Enter at $445.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50)
- Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25)
- Risk: $2.50 per share
- Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk)
**Outcome:**
- Price rallies to $452 in 3 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent)
---
### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL
**Setup:**
- Regime: BEAR RANGING
- Range: $165-$175
- Price rallies to $174
- Resistance at $175
- RSI at 68
- Confluence: 3/5
**Entry:**
- Rejection candle at $174
- SHORT signal appears
- Enter at $173.50
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $176 (above resistance)
- Target: $166 (support)
- Risk: $2.50
- Position: 80 shares
**Outcome:**
- Price drops to $167 in 2 days
- Target hit
- Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520
- Return: 2.6 × risk
---
### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC
**Setup:**
- Regime: CONSOLIDATION
- Range: $28,000 - $30,000
- Compressed for 2 weeks
- Volume declining
**Breakout:**
- Price breaks $30,000
- Volume surges 200%
- Close at $30,500
- LONG signal
**Entry:**
- Enter at $30,500
**Risk Management:**
- Stop: $29,500 (back in range)
- Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k)
- Risk: $1,000
- Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k)
**Outcome:**
- Price runs to $33,000
- Target exceeded
- Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500
- Return: 2.5 × risk
---
### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla
**Setup:**
- Regime: BULL TRENDING
- LONG position from $240
- Elon tweets something crazy
- Regime changes to CHAOS
**Action:**
- EXIT signal appears
- Close position immediately
- Current price: $242 (small profit)
**Outcome:**
- Next 3 days: wild swings
- High $255, Low $230
- By staying out, avoided:
- Potential stop out
- Whipsaw losses
- Stress
**Result:**
- Small profit preserved
- Capital protected
- Re-enter when regime stabilizes
---
## ALERTS SETUP
### Available Alerts
1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish
2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish
3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out
4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity
5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity
6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long
7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short
### How to Set Up
1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView
2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type
3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc.
4. **Message**: Customize notification
5. Click **Create**
### Recommended Alert Strategy
**For Active Traders:**
- Long Entry Signal
- Short Entry Signal
- Long Exit Signal
- Short Exit Signal
**For Position Traders:**
- Bull Trending Regime (enter longs)
- Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts)
- Chaos Regime (exit all)
**For Conservative:**
- Only regime change alerts
- Manually review entries
- More selective
---
## TIPS FOR SUCCESS
### 1. Start Small
- Paper trade first
- Then 0.5% risk
- Build to 1-2% over time
### 2. Follow the Regime
- Don't fight it
- Adapt your style
- Different tactics for each
### 3. Trust the Confluence
- 4-5/5 = Best trades
- 2-3/5 = Good trades
- 1/5 = Skip unless desperate
### 4. Respect Exits
- Don't hope and hold
- Cut losses quickly
- Take profits at targets
### 5. Avoid Chaos
- Seriously, just stay out
- Protect your capital
- Wait for clarity
### 6. Keep a Journal
- Record every trade
- Note regime and confluence
- Review weekly
- Learn patterns
### 7. Backtest Thoroughly
- 3+ years minimum
- Multiple market conditions
- Different assets
- Walk-forward test
### 8. Be Patient
- Best setups are rare
- 1-3 trades per week is normal
- Quality over quantity
- Compound over time
---
## COMMON QUESTIONS
**Q: How many trades per month should I expect?**
A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month.
**Q: What's a good win rate?**
A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment.
**Q: Should I trade all regimes?**
A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos.
**Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?**
A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H.
**Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?**
A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically.
**Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?**
A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing.
**Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?**
A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these.
**Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?**
A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile.
**Q: What assets work best?**
A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks.
**Q: How long to hold positions?**
A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you.
---
## FINAL THOUGHTS
This system gives you:
- ✅ Clear market context (regime)
- ✅ High-probability entries (confluence)
- ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals)
- ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific)
- ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version)
**Success requires:**
- 📚 Understanding each regime
- 🎯 Following the signals
- 💪 Discipline to wait
- 🧠 Emotional control
- 📊 Proper risk management
**Start your journey:**
1. Load the indicator
2. Watch for 1 week (no trading)
3. Identify regime patterns
4. Paper trade for 1 month
5. Go live with small size
6. Scale up as you gain confidence
**Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions!
Good luck! 🚀
Luxy Super-Duper SuperTrend Predictor Engine and Buy/Sell signalA professional trend-following grading system that analyzes historical trend
patterns to provide statistical duration estimates using advanced similarity
matching and k-nearest neighbors analysis. Combines adaptive Supertrend with
intelligent duration statistics, multi-timeframe confluence, volume confirmation,
and quality scoring to identify high-probability setups with data-driven
target ranges across all timeframes.
Note: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical data, not guarantees of future performance.
WHAT MAKES THIS DIFFERENT
Unlike traditional SuperTrend indicators that only tell you trend direction, this system answers the critical question: "What is the typical duration for trends like this?"
The Statistical Analysis Engine:
• Analyzes your chart's last 15+ completed SuperTrend trends (bullish and bearish separately)
• Uses k-nearest neighbors similarity matching to find historically similar setups
• Calculates statistical duration estimates based on current market conditions
• Learns from estimation errors and adapts over time (Advanced mode)
• Displays visual duration analysis box showing median, average, and range estimates
• Tracks Statistical accuracy with backtest statistics
Complete Trading System:
• Statistical trend duration analysis with three intelligence levels
• Adaptive Supertrend with dynamic ATR-based bands
• Multi-timeframe confluence analysis (6 timeframes: 5M to 1W)
• Volume confirmation with spike detection and momentum tracking
• Quality scoring system (0-70 points) rating each setup
• One-click preset optimization for all trading styles
• Anti-repaint guarantee on all signals and duration estimates
METHODOLOGY CREDITS
This indicator's approach is inspired by proven trading methodologies from respected market educators:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume confirmation principles and institutional buying patterns (CANSLIM methodology)
• Dan Zanger - Volatility expansion entries and momentum breakout strategies
Important: These are educational references only. This indicator does not guarantee any specific trading results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management.
KEY FEATURES
1. TREND DURATION ANALYSIS SYSTEM - The Core Innovation
The statistical analysis engine is what sets this indicator apart from standard SuperTrend systems. It doesn't just identify trend changes - it provides statistical analysis of potential duration.
How It Works:
Step 1: Historical Tracking
• Automatically records every completed SuperTrend trend (duration in bars)
• Maintains separate databases for bullish trends and bearish trends
• Stores up to 15 most recent trends of each type
• Captures market conditions at each trend flip: volume ratio, ATR ratio, quality score, price distance from SuperTrend, proximity to support/resistance
Step 2: Similarity Matching (k-Nearest Neighbors)
• When new trend begins, system compares current conditions to ALL historical flips
• Calculates similarity score based on:
- Volume similarity (30% weight) - Is volume behaving similarly?
- Volatility similarity (30% weight) - Is ATR/volatility similar?
- Quality similarity (20% weight) - Is setup strength comparable?
- Distance similarity (10% weight) - Is price distance from ST similar?
- Support/Resistance proximity (10% weight) - Similar structural context?
• Selects the 15 MOST SIMILAR historical trends (not just all trends)
• This is like asking: "When conditions looked like this before, how long did trends last?"
Step 3: Statistical Analysis
• Calculates median duration (most common outcome)
• Calculates average duration (mean of similar trends)
• Determines realistic range (min to max of similar trends)
• Applies exponential weighting (recent trends weighted more heavily)
• Outputs confidence-weighted statistical estimate
Step 4: Advanced Intelligence (Advanced Mode Only)
The Advanced mode applies five sophisticated multipliers to refine estimates:
A) Market Structure Multiplier (±30%):
• Detects nearby support/resistance levels using pivot detection
• If flip occurs NEAR a key level: Estimate adjusted -30% (expect bounce/rejection)
• If flip occurs in open space: Estimate adjusted +30% (clear path for continuation)
• Uses configurable lookback period and ATR-based proximity threshold
B) Asset Type Multiplier (±40%):
• Adjusts duration estimates based on asset volatility characteristics
• Small Cap / Biotech: +40% (explosive, extended moves)
• Tech Growth: +20% (momentum-driven, longer trends)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: 0% (baseline, steady trends)
• Dividend / Value: -20% (slower, grinding trends)
• Cyclical: Variable based on macro regime
• Crypto / High Volatility: +30% (parabolic potential)
C) Flip Strength Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes the QUALITY of the trend flip itself
• Strong flip (high volume + expanding ATR + quality score 60+): +20%
• Weak flip (low volume + contracting ATR + quality score under 40): -20%
• Logic: Historical data shows that powerful flips tend to be followed by longer trends
D) Error Learning Multiplier (±15%):
• Tracks Statistical accuracy over last 10 completed trends
• Calculates error ratio: (estimated duration / Actual Duration)
• If system consistently over-estimates: Apply -15% correction
• If system consistently under-estimates: Apply +15% correction
• Learns and adapts to current market regime
E) Regime Detection Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes last 3 trends of SAME TYPE (bull-to-bull or bear-to-bear)
• Compares recent trend durations to historical average
• If recent trends 20%+ longer than average: +20% adjustment (trending regime detected)
• If recent trends 20%+ shorter than average: -20% adjustment (choppy regime detected)
• Detects whether market is in trending or mean-reversion mode
Three analysis modes:
SIMPLE MODE - Basic Statistics
• Uses raw median of similar trends only
• No multipliers, no adjustments
• Best for: Beginners, clean trending markets
• Fastest calculations, minimal complexity
STANDARD MODE - Full Statistical Analysis
• Similarity matching with k-nearest neighbors
• Exponential weighting of recent trends
• Median, average, and range calculations
• Best for: Most traders, general market conditions
• Balance of accuracy and simplicity
ADVANCED MODE - Statistics + Intelligence
• Everything in Standard mode PLUS
• All 5 advanced multipliers (structure, asset type, flip strength, learning, regime)
• Highest Statistical accuracy in testing
• Best for: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets
• Maximum intelligence, most adaptive
Visual Duration Analysis Box:
When a new trend begins (SuperTrend flip), a box appears on your chart showing:
• Analysis Mode (Simple / Standard / Advanced)
• Number of historical trends analyzed
• Median expected duration (most likely outcome)
• Average expected duration (mean of similar trends)
• Range (minimum to maximum from similar trends)
• Advanced multipliers breakdown (Advanced mode only)
• Backtest accuracy statistics (if available)
The box extends from the flip bar to the estimated endpoint based on historical data, giving you a visual target for trend duration. Box updates in real-time as trend progresses.
Backtest & Accuracy Tracking:
• System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data
• Shows accuracy metrics: how well duration estimates matched actual durations
• Tracks last 10 completed duration estimates separately
• Displays statistics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps you understand statistical reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Anti-Repaint Guarantee:
• duration analysis boxes only appear AFTER bar close (barstate.isconfirmed)
• Historical duration estimates never disappear or change
• What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen real-time
• No future data leakage, no lookahead bias
2. INTELLIGENT PRESET CONFIGURATIONS - One-Click Optimization
Unlike indicators that require tedious parameter tweaking, this system includes professionally optimized presets for every trading style. Select your approach from the dropdown and ALL parameters auto-configure.
"AUTO (DETECT FROM TF)" - RECOMMENDED
The smartest option: automatically selects optimal settings based on your chart timeframe.
• 1m-5m charts → Scalping preset (ATR: 7, Mult: 2.0)
• 15m-1h charts → Day Trading preset (ATR: 10, Mult: 2.5)
• 2h-4h-D charts → Swing Trading preset (ATR: 14, Mult: 3.0)
• W-M charts → Position Trading preset (ATR: 21, Mult: 4.0)
Benefits:
• Zero configuration - works immediately
• Always matched to your timeframe
• Switch timeframe = automatic adjustment
• Perfect for traders who use multiple timeframes
"SCALPING (1-5M)" - Ultra-Fast Signals
Optimized for: 1-5 minute charts, high-frequency trading, quick profits
Target holding period: Minutes to 1-2 hours maximum
Best markets: High-volume stocks, major crypto pairs, active futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 7, Multiplier 2.0 (very sensitive)
• Volume: MA 10, High 1.8x, Spike 3.0x (catches quick surges)
• Volume Momentum: AUTO-DISABLED (too restrictive for fast scalping)
• Quality minimum: 40 points (accepts more setups)
• Duration Analysis: Uses last 15 trends with heavy recent weighting
Trading Logic:
Speed over precision. Short ATR period and low multiplier create highly responsive SuperTrend. Volume momentum filter disabled to avoid missing fast moves. Quality threshold relaxed to catch more opportunities in rapid market conditions.
Signals per session: 5-15 typically
Hold time: Minutes to couple hours
Best for: Active traders with fast execution
"DAY TRADING (15M-1H)" - Balanced Approach
Optimized for: 15-minute to 1-hour charts, intraday moves, session-based trading
Target holding period: 30 minutes to 8 hours (within trading day)
Best markets: Large-cap stocks, major indices, established crypto
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 10, Multiplier 2.5 (balanced)
• Volume: MA 20, High 1.5x, Spike 2.5x (standard detection)
• Volume Momentum: 5/20 periods (confirms intraday strength)
• Quality minimum: 50 points (good setups preferred)
• Duration Analysis: Balanced weighting of recent vs historical
Trading Logic:
The most balanced configuration. ATR 10 with multiplier 2.5 provides steady trend following that avoids noise while catching meaningful moves. Volume momentum confirms institutional participation without being overly restrictive.
Signals per session: 2-5 typically
Hold time: 30 minutes to full day
Best for: Part-time and full-time active traders
"SWING TRADING (4H-D)" - Trend Stability
Optimized for: 4-hour to Daily charts, multi-day holds, trend continuation
Target holding period: 2-15 days typically
Best markets: Growth stocks, sector ETFs, trending crypto, commodity futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 14, Multiplier 3.0 (stable)
• Volume: MA 30, High 1.3x, Spike 2.2x (accumulation focus)
• Volume Momentum: 10/30 periods (trend stability)
• Quality minimum: 60 points (high-quality setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Favors consistent historical patterns
Trading Logic:
Designed for substantial trend moves while filtering short-term noise. Higher ATR period and multiplier create stable SuperTrend that won't flip on minor corrections. Stricter quality requirements ensure only strongest setups generate signals.
Signals per week: 2-5 typically
Hold time: Days to couple weeks
Best for: Part-time traders, swing style
"POSITION TRADING (D-W)" - Long-Term Trends
Optimized for: Daily to Weekly charts, major trend changes, portfolio allocation
Target holding period: Weeks to months
Best markets: Blue-chip stocks, major indices, established cryptocurrencies
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 21, Multiplier 4.0 (very stable)
• Volume: MA 50, High 1.2x, Spike 2.0x (long-term accumulation)
• Volume Momentum: 20/50 periods (major trend confirmation)
• Quality minimum: 70 points (excellent setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Heavy emphasis on multi-year historical data
Trading Logic:
Conservative approach focusing on major trend changes. Extended ATR period and high multiplier create SuperTrend that only flips on significant reversals. Very strict quality filters ensure signals represent genuine long-term opportunities.
Signals per month: 1-2 typically
Hold time: Weeks to months
Best for: Long-term investors, set-and-forget approach
"CUSTOM" - Advanced Configuration
Purpose: Complete manual control for experienced traders
Use when: You understand the parameters and want specific optimization
Best for: Testing new approaches, unusual market conditions, specific instruments
Full control over:
• All SuperTrend parameters
• Volume thresholds and momentum periods
• Quality scoring weights
• analysis mode and multipliers
• Advanced features tuning
Preset Comparison Quick Reference:
Chart Timeframe: Scalping (1M-5M) | Day Trading (15M-1H) | Swing (4H-D) | Position (D-W)
Signals Frequency: Very High | High | Medium | Low
Hold Duration: Minutes | Hours | Days | Weeks-Months
Quality Threshold: 40 pts | 50 pts | 60 pts | 70 pts
ATR Sensitivity: Highest | Medium | Lower | Lowest
Time Investment: Highest | High | Medium | Lowest
Experience Level: Expert | Advanced | Intermediate | Beginner+
3. QUALITY SCORING SYSTEM (0-70 Points)
Every signal is rated in real-time across three dimensions:
Volume Confirmation (0-30 points):
• Volume Spike (2.5x+ average): 30 points
• High Volume (1.5x+ average): 20 points
• Above Average (1.0x+ average): 10 points
• Below Average: 0 points
Volatility Assessment (0-30 points):
• Expanding ATR (1.2x+ average): 30 points
• Rising ATR (1.0-1.2x average): 15 points
• Contracting/Stable ATR: 0 points
Volume Momentum (0-10 points):
• Strong Momentum (1.2x+ ratio): 10 points
• Rising Momentum (1.0-1.2x ratio): 5 points
• Weak/Neutral Momentum: 0 points
Score Interpretation:
60-70 points - EXCELLENT:
• All factors aligned
• High conviction setup
• Maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Primary trading opportunities
45-59 points - STRONG:
• Multiple confirmations present
• Above-average setup quality
• Standard position size
• Good trading opportunities
30-44 points - GOOD:
• Basic confirmations met
• Acceptable setup quality
• Reduced position size
• Wait for additional confirmation or trade smaller
Below 30 points - WEAK:
• Minimal confirmations
• Low probability setup
• Consider passing
• Only for aggressive traders in strong trends
Only signals meeting your minimum quality threshold (configurable per preset) generate alerts and labels.
4. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
The system can simultaneously analyze trend alignment across 6 timeframes (optional feature):
Timeframes analyzed:
• 5-minute (scalping context)
• 15-minute (intraday momentum)
• 1-hour (day trading bias)
• 4-hour (swing context)
• Daily (primary trend)
• Weekly (macro trend)
Confluence Interpretation:
• 5-6/6 aligned - Very strong multi-timeframe agreement (highest confidence)
• 3-4/6 aligned - Moderate agreement (standard setup)
• 1-2/6 aligned - Weak agreement (caution advised)
Dashboard shows real-time alignment count with color-coding. Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends.
5. VOLUME MOMENTUM FILTER - Institutional Money Flow
Unlike traditional volume indicators that just measure size, Volume Momentum tracks the RATE OF CHANGE in volume:
How it works:
• Compares short-term volume average (fast period) to long-term average (slow period)
• Ratio above 1.0 = Volume accelerating (money flowing IN)
• Ratio above 1.2 = Strong acceleration (institutional participation likely)
• Ratio below 0.8 = Volume decelerating (money flowing OUT)
Why it matters:
• Confirms trend with actual money flow, not just price
• Leading indicator (volume often leads price)
• Catches accumulation/distribution before breakouts
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
Integration with signals:
• Optional filter - can be enabled/disabled per preset
• When enabled: Only signals with rising volume momentum fire
• AUTO-DISABLED in Scalping mode (too restrictive for fast trading)
• Configurable fast/slow periods per trading style
6. ADAPTIVE SUPERTREND MULTIPLIER
Traditional SuperTrend uses fixed ATR multiplier. This system dynamically adjusts the multiplier (0.8x to 1.2x base) based on:
• Trend Strength: Price correlation over lookback period
• Volume Weight: Current volume relative to average
Benefits:
• Tighter bands in calm markets (less premature exits)
• Wider bands in volatile conditions (avoids whipsaws)
• Better adaptation to biotech, small-cap, and crypto volatility
• Optional - can be disabled for classic constant multiplier
7. VISUAL GRADIENT RIBBON
26-layer exponential gradient fill between price and SuperTrend line provides instant visual trend strength assessment:
Color System:
• Green shades - Bullish trend + volume confirmation (strongest)
• Blue shades - Bullish trend, normal volume
• Orange shades - Bearish trend + volume confirmation
• Red shades - Bearish trend (weakest)
Opacity varies based on:
• Distance from SuperTrend (farther = more opaque)
• Volume intensity (higher volume = stronger color)
The ribbon provides at-a-glance trend strength without cluttering your chart. Can be toggled on/off.
8. INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
Two-tier alert architecture for flexibility:
Automatic Alerts:
• Fire automatically on BUY and SELL signals
• Include full context: quality score, volume state, volume momentum
• One alert per bar close (alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
• Message format: "BUY: Supertrend bullish + Quality: 65/70 | Volume: HIGH | Vol Momentum: STRONG (1.35x)"
Customizable Alert Conditions:
• Appear in TradingView's "Create Alert" dialog
• Three options: BUY Signal Only, SELL Signal Only, ANY Signal (BUY or SELL)
• Use TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{interval}}, {{close}}, {{time}}
• Fully customizable message templates
All alerts use barstate.isconfirmed - Zero repaint guarantee.
9. ANTI-REPAINT ARCHITECTURE
Every component guaranteed non-repainting:
• Entry signals: Only appear after bar close
• duration analysis boxes: Created only on confirmed SuperTrend flips
• Informative labels: Wait for bar confirmation
• Alerts: Fire once per closed bar
• Multi-timeframe data: Uses lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off
What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. No disappearing signals, no changed duration estimates.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
QUICK START - 3 Steps to Trading:
Step 1: Select Your Trading Style
Open indicator settings → "Quick Setup" section → Trading Style Preset dropdown
Options:
• Auto (Detect from TF) - RECOMMENDED: Automatically configures based on your chart timeframe
• Scalping (1-5m) - For 1-5 minute charts, ultra-fast signals
• Day Trading (15m-1h) - For 15m-1h charts, balanced approach
• Swing Trading (4h-D) - For 4h-Daily charts, trend stability
• Position Trading (D-W) - For Daily-Weekly charts, long-term trends
• Custom - Manual configuration (advanced users only)
Choose "Auto" and you're done - all parameters optimize automatically.
Step 2: Understand the Signals
BUY Signal (Green Triangle Below Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bullish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold (varies by preset)
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
SELL Signal (Red Triangle Above Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bearish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
Duration Analysis Box:
• Appears at SuperTrend flip (start of new trend)
• Shows median, average, and range duration estimates
• Extends to estimated endpoint based on historical data visually
• Updates mode-specific intelligence (Simple/Standard/Advanced)
Step 3: Use the Dashboard for Context
Dashboard (top-right corner) shows real-time metrics:
• Row 1 - Quality Score: Current setup rating (0-70)
• Row 2 - SuperTrend: Direction and current level
• Row 3 - Volume: Status (Spike/High/Normal/Low) with color
• Row 4 - Volatility: State (Expanding/Rising/Stable/Contracting)
• Row 5 - Volume Momentum: Ratio and trend
• Row 6 - Duration Statistics: Accuracy metrics and track record
Every cell has detailed tooltip - hover for full explanations.
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION BY QUALITY SCORE:
Excellent Setup (60-70 points):
• Quality Score: 60-70
• Volume: Spike or High
• Volatility: Expanding
• Volume Momentum: Strong (1.2x+)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 5-6/6
• Action: Primary trade - maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Statistical reliability: Highest - duration estimates most accurate
Strong Setup (45-59 points):
• Quality Score: 45-59
• Volume: High or Above Average
• Volatility: Rising
• Volume Momentum: Rising (1.0-1.2x)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Standard trade - normal position size
• Statistical reliability: Good - duration estimates reliable
Good Setup (30-44 points):
• Quality Score: 30-44
• Volume: Above Average
• Volatility: Stable or Rising
• Volume Momentum: Neutral to Rising
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Cautious trade - reduced position size, wait for additional confirmation
• Statistical reliability: Moderate - duration estimates less certain
Weak Setup (Below 30 points):
• Quality Score: Below 30
• Volume: Low or Normal
• Volatility: Contracting or Stable
• Volume Momentum: Weak
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 1-2/6
• Action: Pass or wait for improvement
• Statistical reliability: Low - duration estimates unreliable
USING duration analysis boxES FOR TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Entry Timing:
• Enter on SuperTrend flip (signal bar close)
• duration analysis box appears simultaneously
• Note the median duration - this is your expected hold time
Profit Targets:
• Conservative: Use MEDIAN duration as profit target (50% probability)
• Moderate: Use AVERAGE duration (mean of similar trends)
• Aggressive: Aim for MAX duration from range (best historical outcome)
Position Management:
• Scale out at median duration (take partial profits)
• Trail stop as trend extends beyond median
• Full exit at average duration or SuperTrend flip (whichever comes first)
• Re-evaluate if trend exceeds estimated range
analysis mode Selection:
• Simple: Clean trending markets, beginners, minimal complexity
• Standard: Most markets, most traders (recommended default)
• Advanced: Volatile markets, complex instruments, experienced traders seeking highest accuracy
Asset Type Configuration (Advanced Mode):
If using Advanced analysis mode, configure Asset Type for optimal accuracy:
• Small Cap: Stocks under $2B market cap, low liquidity
• Biotech / Speculative: Clinical-stage pharma, penny stocks, high-risk
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: S&P 500, mega-cap tech, stable large companies
• Tech Growth: High-growth tech (TSLA, NVDA, growth SaaS)
• Dividend / Value: Dividend aristocrats, value stocks, utilities
• Cyclical: Energy, materials, industrials (macro-driven)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Bitcoin, altcoins, highly volatile assets
Correct asset type selection improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%.
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES:
1. Stop Loss Placement:
Long positions:
• Place stop below recent swing low OR
• Place stop below SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level (built-in volatility adjustment)
Short positions:
• Place stop above recent swing high OR
• Place stop above SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level
2. Position Sizing by Quality Score:
• Excellent (60-70): Maximum position size (2% risk per trade)
• Strong (45-59): Standard position size (1.5% risk per trade)
• Good (30-44): Reduced position size (1% risk per trade)
• Weak (Below 30): Pass or micro position (0.5% risk - learning trades only)
3. Exit Strategy Options:
Option A - Statistical Duration-Based Exit:
• Exit at median estimated duration (conservative)
• Exit at average estimated duration (moderate)
• Trail stop beyond average duration (aggressive)
Option B - Signal-Based Exit:
• Exit on opposite signal (SELL after BUY, or vice versa)
• Exit on SuperTrend flip (trend reversal)
• Exit if quality score drops below 30 mid-trend
Option C - Hybrid (Recommended):
• Take 50% profit at median estimated duration
• Trail stop on remaining 50% using SuperTrend as trailing level
• Full exit on SuperTrend flip or quality collapse
4. Trade Filtering:
For higher win-rate (fewer trades, better quality):
• Increase minimum quality score (try 60 for swing, 50 for day trading)
• Enable volume momentum filter (ensure institutional participation)
• Require higher MTF confluence (5-6/6 alignment)
• Use Advanced analysis mode with appropriate asset type
For more opportunities (more trades, lower quality threshold):
• Decrease minimum quality score (40 for day trading, 35 for scalping)
• Disable volume momentum filter
• Lower MTF confluence requirement
• Use Simple or Standard analysis mode
SETTINGS OVERVIEW
Quick Setup Section:
• Trading Style Preset: Auto / Scalping / Day Trading / Swing / Position / Custom
Dashboard & Display:
• Show Dashboard (ON/OFF)
• Dashboard Position (9 options: Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
• Show Ribbon Fill (ON/OFF)
• Show SuperTrend Line (ON/OFF)
• Bullish Color (default: Green)
• Bearish Color (default: Red)
• Show Entry Labels - BUY/SELL signals (ON/OFF)
• Show Info Labels - Volume events (ON/OFF)
• Label Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
Supertrend Configuration:
• ATR Length (default varies by preset: 7-21)
• ATR Multiplier Base (default varies by preset: 2.0-4.0)
• Use Adaptive Multiplier (ON/OFF) - Dynamic 0.8x-1.2x adjustment
• Smoothing Factor (0.0-0.5) - EMA smoothing applied to bands
• Neutral Bars After Flip (0-10) - Hide ST immediately after flip
Volume Momentum:
• Enable Volume Momentum Filter (ON/OFF)
• Fast Period (default varies by preset: 3-20)
• Slow Period (default varies by preset: 10-50)
Volume Analysis:
• Volume MA Length (default varies by preset: 10-50)
• High Volume Threshold (default: 1.5x)
• Spike Threshold (default: 2.5x)
• Low Volume Threshold (default: 0.7x)
Quality Filters:
• Minimum Quality Score (0-70, varies by preset)
• Require Volume Confirmation (ON/OFF)
Trend Duration Analysis:
• Show Duration Analysis (ON/OFF) - Display duration analysis boxes
• analysis mode - Simple / Standard / Advanced
• Asset Type - 7 options (Small Cap, Biotech, Blue Chip, Tech Growth, Dividend, Cyclical, Crypto)
• Use Exponential Weighting (ON/OFF) - Recent trends weighted more
• Decay Factor (0.5-0.99) - How much more recent trends matter
• Structure Lookback (3-30) - Pivot detection period for support/resistance
• Proximity Threshold (xATR) - How close to level qualifies as "near"
• Enable Error Learning (ON/OFF) - System learns from estimation errors
• Memory Depth (3-20) - How many past errors to remember
Box Visual Settings:
• duration analysis box Border Color
• duration analysis box Background Color
• duration analysis box Text Color
• duration analysis box Border Width
• duration analysis box Transparency
Multi-Timeframe (Optional Feature):
• Enable MTF Confluence (ON/OFF)
• Minimum Alignment Required (0-6)
• Individual timeframe enable/disable toggles
• Custom timeframe selection options
All preset configurations override manual inputs except when "Custom" is selected.
ADVANCED FEATURES
1. Scalpel Mode (Optional)
Advanced pullback entry system that waits for healthy retracements within established trends before signaling entry:
• Monitors price distance from SuperTrend levels
• Requires pullback to configurable range (default: 30-50%)
• Ensures trend remains intact before entry signal
• Reduces whipsaw and false breakouts
• Inspired by Mark Minervini's VCP pullback entries
Best for: Swing traders and day traders seeking precision entries
Scalpers: Consider disabling for faster entries
2. Error Learning System (Advanced analysis mode Only)
The system learns from its own estimation errors:
• Tracks last 10-20 completed duration estimates (configurable memory depth)
• Calculates error ratio for each: estimated duration / Actual Duration
• If system consistently over-estimates: Applies negative correction (-15%)
• If system consistently under-estimates: Applies positive correction (+15%)
• Adapts to current market regime automatically
This self-correction mechanism improves accuracy over time as the system gathers more data on your specific symbol and timeframe.
3. Regime Detection (Advanced analysis mode Only)
Automatically detects whether market is in trending or choppy regime:
• Compares last 3 trends to historical average
• Recent trends 20%+ longer → Trending regime (+20% to estimates)
• Recent trends 20%+ shorter → Choppy regime (-20% to estimates)
• Applied separately to bullish and bearish trends
Helps duration estimates adapt to changing market conditions without manual intervention.
4. Exponential Weighting
Option to weight recent trends more heavily than distant history:
• Default decay factor: 0.9
• Recent trends get higher weight in statistical calculations
• Older trends gradually decay in importance
• Rationale: Recent market behavior more relevant than old data
• Can be disabled for equal weighting
5. Backtest Statistics
System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data:
• Walks through past trends chronologically
• Calculates what duration estimate WOULD have been at each flip
• Compares to actual duration that occurred
• Displays accuracy metrics in duration analysis boxes and dashboard
• Helps assess statistical reliability on your specific chart
Note: Backtest uses only data available AT THE TIME of each historical flip (no lookahead bias).
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
• Pine Script Version: v6
• Indicator Type: Overlay (draws on price chart)
• Max Boxes: 500 (for duration analysis box storage)
• Max Bars Back: 5000 (for comprehensive historical analysis)
• Security Calls: 1 (for MTF if enabled - optimized)
• Repainting: NO - All signals and duration estimates confirmed on bar close
• Lookahead Bias: NO - All HTF data properly offset, all duration estimates use only historical data
• Real-time Updates: YES - Dashboard and quality scores update live
• Alert Capable: YES - Both automatic alerts and customizable alert conditions
• Multi-Symbol: Works on stocks, crypto, forex, futures, indices
Performance Optimization:
• Conditional calculations (duration analysis can be disabled to reduce load)
• Efficient array management (circular buffers for trend storage)
• Streamlined gradient rendering (26 layers, can be toggled off)
• Smart label cooldown system (prevents label spam)
• Optimized similarity matching (analyzes only relevant trends)
Data Requirements:
• Minimum 50-100 bars for initial duration analysis (builds historical database)
• Optimal: 500+ bars for robust statistical analysis
• Longer history = more accurate duration estimates
• Works on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly
KNOWN LIMITATIONS
• Trending Markets Only: Performs best in clear trends. May generate false signals in choppy/sideways markets (use quality score filtering and regime detection to mitigate)
• Lagging Nature: Like all trend-following systems, signals occur AFTER trend establishment, not at exact tops/bottoms. Use duration analysis boxes to set realistic profit targets.
• Initial Learning Period: Duration analysis system requires 10-15 completed trends to build reliable historical database. Early duration estimates less accurate (first few weeks on new symbol/timeframe).
• Visual Load: 26-layer gradient ribbon may slow performance on older devices. Disable ribbon if experiencing lag.
• Statistical accuracy Variables: Duration estimates are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Accuracy varies by:
- Market regime (trending vs choppy)
- Asset volatility characteristics
- Quality of historical pattern matches
- Timeframe traded (higher TF = more reliable)
• Not Best Suitable For:
- Ultra-short-term scalping (sub-1-minute charts)
- Mean-reversion strategies (designed for trend-following)
- Range-bound trading (requires trending conditions)
- News-driven spikes (estimates based on technical patterns, not fundamentals)
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: Absolutely not. All signals, duration analysis boxes, labels, and alerts use barstate.isconfirmed checks. They only appear after the bar closes. What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. Zero repaint guarantee.
Q: How accurate are the trend duration estimates?
A: Accuracy varies by mode, market conditions, and historical data quality:
• Simple mode: 60-70% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Standard mode: 70-80% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Advanced mode: 75-85% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
Best accuracy achieved on:
• Higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly)
• Trending markets (not choppy/sideways)
• Assets with consistent behavior (Blue Chip, Large Cap)
• After 20+ historical trends analyzed (builds robust database)
Remember: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns, not guarantees.
Q: Which analysis mode should I use?
A:
• Simple: Beginners, clean trending markets, want minimal complexity
• Standard: Most traders, general market conditions (RECOMMENDED DEFAULT)
• Advanced: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets (biotech, small-cap, crypto), seeking maximum accuracy
Advanced mode requires correct Asset Type configuration for optimal results.
Q: What's the difference between the trading style presets?
A: Each preset optimizes ALL parameters for a specific trading approach:
• Scalping: Ultra-sensitive (ATR 7, Mult 2.0), more signals, shorter holds
• Day Trading: Balanced (ATR 10, Mult 2.5), moderate signals, intraday holds
• Swing Trading: Stable (ATR 14, Mult 3.0), fewer signals, multi-day holds
• Position Trading: Very stable (ATR 21, Mult 4.0), rare signals, week/month holds
Auto mode automatically selects based on your chart timeframe.
Q: Should I use Auto mode or manually select a preset?
A: Auto mode is recommended for most traders. It automatically matches settings to your timeframe and re-optimizes if you switch charts. Only use manual preset selection if:
• You want scalping settings on a 15m chart (overriding auto-detection)
• You want swing settings on a 1h chart (more conservative than auto would give)
• You're testing different approaches on same timeframe
Q: Can I use this for scalping and day trading?
A: Absolutely! The preset system is specifically designed for all trading styles:
• Select "Scalping (1-5m)" for 1-5 minute charts
• Select "Day Trading (15m-1h)" for 15m-1h charts
• Or use "Auto" mode and it configures automatically
Volume momentum filter is auto-disabled in Scalping mode for faster signals.
Q: What is Volume Momentum and why does it matter?
A: Volume Momentum compares short-term volume (fast MA) to long-term volume (slow MA). It answers: "Is money flowing into this asset faster now than historically?"
Why it matters:
• Volume often leads price (early warning system)
• Confirms institutional participation (smart money)
• No lag like price-based indicators
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
When the ratio is above 1.2, you have strong evidence that institutions are accumulating (bullish) or distributing (bearish).
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Two options:
Option 1 - Automatic Alerts:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. Choose "Any alert() function call"
4. Configure notification method (app, email, webhook)
5. You'll receive detailed alerts on every BUY and SELL signal
Option 2 - Customizable Alert Conditions:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. You'll see three options in dropdown:
- "BUY Signal" (long signals only)
- "SELL Signal" (short signals only)
- "ANY Signal" (both BUY and SELL)
4. Choose desired option and customize message template
5. Uses TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{close}}, {{time}}, etc.
All alerts fire only on confirmed bar close (no repaint).
Q: What is Scalpel Mode and should I use it?
A: Scalpel Mode waits for healthy pullbacks within established trends before signaling entry. It reduces whipsaws and improves entry timing.
Recommended ON for:
• Swing traders (want precision entries on pullbacks)
• Day traders (willing to wait for better prices)
• Risk-averse traders (prefer fewer but higher-quality entries)
Recommended OFF for:
• Scalpers (need immediate entries, can't wait for pullbacks)
• Momentum traders (want to enter on breakout, not pullback)
• Aggressive traders (prefer more opportunities over precision)
Q: Why do some duration estimates show wider ranges than others?
A: Range width reflects historical trend variability:
• Narrow range: Similar historical trends had consistent durations (high confidence)
• Wide range: Similar historical trends had varying durations (lower confidence)
Wide ranges often occur:
• Early in analysis (fewer historical trends to learn from)
• In volatile/choppy markets (inconsistent trend behavior)
• On lower timeframes (more noise, less consistency)
The median and average still provide useful targets even when range is wide.
Q: Can I customize the dashboard position and appearance?
A: Yes! Dashboard settings include:
• Position: 9 options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size: Auto, Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge
• Show/Hide: Toggle entire dashboard on/off
Choose position that doesn't overlap important price action on your specific chart.
Q: Which timeframe should I trade on?
A: Depends on your trading style and time availability:
• 1-5 minute: Active scalping, requires constant monitoring
• 15m-1h: Day trading, check few times per session
• 4h-Daily: Swing trading, check once or twice daily
• Daily-Weekly: Position trading, check weekly
General principle: Higher timeframes produce:
• Fewer signals (less frequent)
• Higher quality setups (stronger confirmations)
• More reliable duration estimates (better statistical data)
• Less noise (clearer trends)
Start with Daily chart if new to trading. Move to lower timeframes as you gain experience.
Q: Does this work on all markets (stocks, crypto, forex)?
A: Yes, it works on all markets with trending characteristics:
Excellent for:
• Stocks (especially growth and momentum names)
• Crypto (BTC, ETH, major altcoins)
• Futures (indices, commodities)
• Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
Best results on:
• Trending markets (not range-bound)
• Liquid instruments (tight spreads, good fills)
• Volatile assets (clear trend development)
Less effective on:
• Range-bound/sideways markets
• Ultra-low volatility instruments
• Illiquid small-caps (use caution)
Configure Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) to match your instrument for best accuracy.
Q: How many signals should I expect per day/week?
A: Highly variable based on:
By Timeframe:
• 1-5 minute: 5-15 signals per session
• 15m-1h: 2-5 signals per day
• 4h-Daily: 2-5 signals per week
• Daily-Weekly: 1-2 signals per month
By Market Volatility:
• High volatility = more SuperTrend flips = more signals
• Low volatility = fewer flips = fewer signals
By Quality Filter:
• Higher threshold (60-70) = fewer but better signals
• Lower threshold (30-40) = more signals, lower quality
By Volume Momentum Filter:
• Enabled = Fewer signals (only volume-confirmed)
• Disabled = More signals (all SuperTrend flips)
Adjust quality threshold and filters to match your desired signal frequency.
Q: What's the difference between entry labels and info labels?
A:
Entry Labels (BUY/SELL):
• Your primary trading signals
• Based on SuperTrend flip + all confirmations (quality, volume, momentum)
• Include quality score and confirmation icons
• These are actionable entry points
Info Labels (Volume Spike):
• Additional market context
• Show volume events that may support or contradict trend
• 8-bar cooldown to prevent spam
• NOT necessarily entry points - contextual information only
Control separately: Can show entry labels without info labels (recommended for clean charts).
Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?
A: Absolutely! This works well with:
• RSI: For divergences and overbought/oversold conditions
• Support/Resistance: Confluence with key levels
• Fibonacci Retracements: Pullback targets in Scalpel Mode
• Price Action Patterns: Flags, pennants, cup-and-handle
• MACD: Additional momentum confirmation
• Bollinger Bands: Volatility context
This indicator provides trend direction and duration estimates - complement with other tools for entry refinement and additional confluence.
Q: Why did I get a low-quality signal? Can I filter them out?
A: Yes! Increase the Minimum Quality Score in settings.
If you're seeing signals with quality below your preference:
• Day Trading: Set minimum to 50
• Swing Trading: Set minimum to 60
• Position Trading: Set minimum to 70
Only signals meeting the threshold will appear. This reduces frequency but improves win-rate.
Q: How do I interpret the MTF Confluence count?
A: Shows how many of 6 timeframes agree with current trend:
• 6/6 aligned: Perfect agreement (extremely rare, highest confidence)
• 5/6 aligned: Very strong alignment (high confidence)
• 4/6 aligned: Good alignment (standard quality setup)
• 3/6 aligned: Moderate alignment (acceptable)
• 2/6 aligned: Weak alignment (caution)
• 1/6 aligned: Very weak (likely counter-trend)
Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends. However, MTF analysis is optional - you can disable it and rely solely on quality scoring.
Q: Is this suitable for beginners?
A: Yes, but requires foundational knowledge:
You should understand:
• Basic trend-following concepts (higher highs, higher lows)
• Risk management principles (position sizing, stop losses)
• How to read candlestick charts
• What volume and volatility mean
Beginner-friendly features:
• Auto preset mode (zero configuration)
• Quality scoring (tells you signal strength)
• Dashboard tooltips (hover for explanations)
• duration analysis boxes (visual profit targets)
Recommended for beginners:
1. Start with "Auto" or "Swing Trading" preset on Daily chart
2. Use Standard Analysis Mode (not Advanced)
3. Set minimum quality to 60 (fewer but better signals)
4. Paper trade first for 2-4 weeks
5. Study methodology references (Minervini, O'Neil, Zanger)
Q: What is the Asset Type setting and why does it matter?
A: Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) adjusts duration estimates based on volatility characteristics:
• Small Cap: Explosive moves, extended trends (+30-40%)
• Biotech / Speculative: Parabolic potential, news-driven (+40%)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: Baseline, steady trends (0% adjustment)
• Tech Growth: Momentum-driven, longer trends (+20%)
• Dividend / Value: Slower, grinding trends (-20%)
• Cyclical: Macro-driven, variable (±10%)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Parabolic potential (+30%)
Correct configuration improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%. Using Blue Chip settings on a biotech stock may underestimate trend length (you'll exit too early).
Q: Can I backtest this indicator?
A: Yes! TradingView's Strategy Tester works with this indicator's signals.
To backtest:
1. Note the entry conditions (SuperTrend flip + quality threshold + filters)
2. Create a strategy script using same logic
3. Run Strategy Tester on historical data
Additionally, the indicator includes BUILT-IN duration estimate validation:
• System backtests its own duration estimates
• Shows accuracy metrics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps assess reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Q: Why does Volume Momentum auto-disable in Scalping mode?
A: Scalping requires ultra-fast entries to catch quick moves. Volume Momentum filter adds friction by requiring volume confirmation before signaling, which can cause missed opportunities in rapid scalping.
Scalping preset is optimized for speed and frequency - the filter is counterproductive for that style. It remains enabled for Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading presets where patience improves results.
You can manually enable it in Custom mode if desired.
Q: How much historical data do I need for accurate duration estimates?
A:
Minimum: 50-100 bars (indicator will function but duration estimates less reliable)
Recommended: 500+ bars (robust statistical database)
Optimal: 1000+ bars (maximum Statistical accuracy)
More history = more completed trends = better pattern matching = more accurate duration estimates.
New symbols or newly-switched timeframes will have lower Statistical accuracy initially. Allow 2-4 weeks for the system to build historical database.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
No Guarantee of Profit:
This indicator is an educational tool and does not guarantee any specific trading results. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns and are not guarantees of future performance.
Past Performance:
Historical backtest results and Statistical accuracy statistics do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions change constantly. What worked historically may not work in current or future markets.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator provides technical analysis signals and statistical duration estimates only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Warning:
Trading stocks, options, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. You can lose all of your invested capital. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital you can lose without affecting your lifestyle.
Testing Required:
Always test this indicator on a demo account or with paper trading before risking real capital. Understand how it works in different market conditions. Verify Statistical accuracy on your specific instruments and timeframes before trusting it with real money.
User Responsibility:
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions. The developer assumes no liability for trading losses, incorrect duration estimates, software errors, or any other damages incurred while using this indicator.
Statistical Estimation Limitations:
Trend Duration estimates are statistical estimates based on historical pattern matching. They are NOT guarantees. Actual trend durations may differ significantly from duration estimates due to unforeseen news events, market regime changes, or lack of historical precedent for current conditions.
CREDITS & ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Inspiration:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) concepts and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume analysis principles and CANSLIM institutional buying patterns
• Dan Zanger - Momentum breakout strategies and volatility expansion entries
Technical Components:
• SuperTrend calculation - Classic ATR-based trend indicator (public domain)
• Statistical analysis - Standard median, average, range calculations
• k-Nearest Neighbors - Classic machine learning similarity matching concept
• Multi-timeframe analysis - Standard request.security implementation in Pine Script
For questions, feedback, or support, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
Hash Momentum Strategy# Hash Momentum Strategy
## 📊 Overview
The **Hash Momentum Strategy** is a professional-grade momentum trading system designed to capture strong directional price movements with precision timing and intelligent risk management. Unlike traditional EMA crossover strategies, this system uses momentum acceleration as its primary signal, resulting in earlier entries and better risk-to-reward ratios.
---
## ⚡ What Makes This Strategy Unique
### 1. Momentum-Based Entry System
Most strategies rely on lagging indicators like moving average crossovers. This strategy captures momentum *acceleration* - entering when price movement is gaining strength, not after the move has already happened.
### 2. Programmable Risk-to-Reward
Set your exact R:R ratio (1:2, 1:2.5, 1:3, etc.) and the strategy automatically calculates stop loss and take profit levels. No more guessing or manual calculations.
### 3. Smart Partial Profit Taking
Lock in profits at multiple stages:
- **First TP**: Take 50% off at 2R
- **Second TP**: Take 40% off at 2.5R
- **Final TP**: Let 10% ride to maximum target
This approach locks in gains while letting winners run.
### 4. Dynamic Momentum Threshold
Uses ATR (Average True Range) multiplied by your threshold setting to adapt to market volatility. Volatile markets = higher threshold. Quiet markets = lower threshold.
### 5. Trade Cooldown System
Prevents overtrading and revenge trading by enforcing a cooldown period between trades. Configurable from 1-24 bars.
### 6. Optional Session & Weekend Filters
Filter trades by Tokyo, London, and New York sessions. Optional weekend-off toggle to avoid low-liquidity periods.
---
## 🎯 How It Works
### Signal Generation
**STEP 1: Calculate Momentum**
- Momentum = Current Price - Price
- Check if Momentum > ATR × Threshold Multiplier
- Momentum must be accelerating (positive change in momentum)
**STEP 2: Confirm with EMA Trend Filter**
- Long: Price must be above EMA
- Short: Price must be below EMA
**STEP 3: Check Filters**
- Not in cooldown period
- Valid session (if enabled)
- Not weekend (if enabled)
**STEP 4: ENTRY SIGNAL TRIGGERED**
### Risk Management Example
**Example Long Trade:**
- Entry: $100
- Stop Loss: $97.80 (2.2% risk)
- Risk Amount: $2.20
**Take Profit Levels:**
- TP1: $104.40 (2R = $4.40) → Close 50%
- TP2: $105.50 (2.5R = $5.50) → Close 40%
- Final: $105.50 (2.5R) → Close remaining 10%
---
## ⚙️ Settings Guide
### Core Strategy
**Momentum Length** (Default: 13)
Number of bars for momentum calculation. Higher = stronger but fewer signals.
**Momentum Threshold** (Default: 2.25)
ATR multiplier. Higher = only trade biggest moves.
**Use EMA Trend Filter** (Default: ON)
Only long above EMA, short below EMA.
**EMA Length** (Default: 28)
Period for trend-confirming EMA.
### Filters
**Use Trading Session Filter** (Default: OFF)
Restrict trading to specific sessions.
**Tokyo Session** (Default: OFF)
Trade during Asian hours (00:00-09:00 JST).
**London Session** (Default: OFF)
Trade during European hours (08:00-17:00 GMT).
**New York Session** (Default: OFF)
Trade during US hours (08:00-17:00 EST).
**Weekend Off** (Default: OFF)
Disable trading on Saturdays and Sundays.
### Risk Management
**Stop Loss %** (Default: 2.2)
Fixed percentage stop loss from entry.
**Risk:Reward Ratio** (Default: 2.5)
Your target reward as multiple of risk.
**Use Partial Profit Taking** (Default: ON)
Take profits in stages.
**First TP R:R** (Default: 2.0)
First target as multiple of risk.
**First TP Size %** (Default: 50)
Percentage of position to close at TP1.
**Second TP R:R** (Default: 2.5)
Second target as multiple of risk.
**Second TP Size %** (Default: 40)
Percentage of position to close at TP2.
### Trade Management
**Use Trade Cooldown** (Default: ON)
Prevent overtrading.
**Cooldown Bars** (Default: 6)
Bars to wait after closing a trade.
---
## 🎨 Visual Elements
### Chart Indicators
🟢 **Green Dot** (below bar) = Long entry signal
🔴 **Red Dot** (above bar) = Short entry signal
🔵 **Blue X** (above bar) = Long position closed
🟠 **Orange X** (below bar) = Short position closed
**EMA Line** = Trend direction (green when bullish, red when bearish)
**White Line** = Entry price
**Red Line** = Stop loss level
**Green Lines** = Take profit levels (TP1, TP2, Final)
### Dashboard
When not in real-time mode, a dashboard displays:
- Current position (LONG/SHORT/FLAT)
- Entry price
- Stop loss price
- Take profit price
- R:R ratio
- Current momentum strength
- Total trades
- Win rate
- Net profit %
---
## 📈 Recommended Settings by Timeframe
### 1-Hour Timeframe (Default)
- Momentum Length: 13
- Momentum Threshold: 2.25
- EMA Length: 28
- Stop Loss: 2.2%
- R:R Ratio: 2.5
- Cooldown: 6 bars
### 4-Hour Timeframe
- Momentum Length: 24-36
- Momentum Threshold: 2.5
- EMA Length: 50
- Stop Loss: 3-4%
- R:R Ratio: 2.0-2.5
- Cooldown: 6-8 bars
### 15-Minute Timeframe
- Momentum Length: 8-10
- Momentum Threshold: 2.0
- EMA Length: 20
- Stop Loss: 1.5-2%
- R:R Ratio: 2.0
- Cooldown: 4-6 bars
---
## 🔧 Optimization Tips
### Want More Trades?
- Decrease Momentum Threshold (2.0 instead of 2.25)
- Decrease Momentum Length (10 instead of 13)
- Decrease Cooldown Bars (4 instead of 6)
### Want Higher Quality Trades?
- Increase Momentum Threshold (2.5-3.0)
- Increase Momentum Length (18-24)
- Increase Cooldown Bars (8-10)
### Want Lower Drawdown?
- Increase Cooldown Bars
- Use tighter stop loss
- Enable session filters (trade only high-liquidity sessions)
- Enable Weekend Off
### Want Higher Win Rate?
- Increase R:R Ratio (may reduce total profit)
- Increase Momentum Threshold (fewer but stronger signals)
- Use longer EMA for trend confirmation
---
## 📊 Performance Expectations
Based on typical backtesting results:
- **Win Rate**: 35-45%
- **Profit Factor**: 1.5-2.0
- **Risk:Reward**: 1:2.5 (configurable)
- **Max Drawdown**: 10-20%
- **Trades/Month**: 8-15 (1H timeframe)
**Note:** Win rate may appear low, but with 2.5:1 R:R, you only need ~29% win rate to break even. The strategy aims for quality over quantity.
---
## 🎓 Strategy Logic Explained
### Why Momentum > EMA Crossover?
**EMA Crossover Problems:**
- Signals lag behind price
- Late entries = poor R:R
- Many false signals in ranging markets
**Momentum Advantages:**
- Catches moves as they start accelerating
- Earlier entries = better R:R
- Adapts to volatility via ATR
### Why Partial Profit Taking?
**Without Partial TPs:**
- All-or-nothing approach
- Winners often turn to losers
- High stress watching open positions
**With Partial TPs:**
- Lock in 50% at first target
- Reduce risk to breakeven
- Let remainder ride for bigger gains
- Lower psychological pressure
### Why Trade Cooldown?
**Without Cooldown:**
- Revenge trading after losses
- Overtrading in choppy markets
- Emotional decision-making
**With Cooldown:**
- Forces discipline
- Waits for new setup to develop
- Reduces transaction costs
- Better signal quality
---
## ⚠️ Important Notes
1. **This is a momentum strategy, not an EMA strategy**
The EMA only confirms trend direction. Momentum generates the actual signals.
2. **Backtest thoroughly before live trading**
Past performance ≠ future results. Test on your specific asset and timeframe.
3. **Use proper position sizing**
Risk 1-2% of account per trade maximum. The strategy uses 100% equity by default (adjust in Properties).
4. **Dashboard auto-hides in real-time**
Clean chart for live trading. Visible during backtesting.
5. **Customize for your trading style**
All settings are fully adjustable. No single "best" configuration.
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
1. **Add to Chart**: Apply to your preferred asset and timeframe
2. **Keep Defaults**: Start with default settings
3. **Backtest**: Review historical performance
4. **Paper Trade**: Test with simulated money first
5. **Go Live**: Start small and scale up
---
## 💡 Pro Tips
**Tip 1: Combine Timeframes**
Use higher timeframe (4H) for trend direction, lower timeframe (1H) for entries.
**Tip 2: Avoid News Events**
Major news can cause whipsaws. Consider manual intervention during high-impact events.
**Tip 3: Monitor Momentum Strength**
Dashboard shows momentum in sigma (σ). Values >1.0σ indicate very strong momentum.
**Tip 4: Adjust for Volatility**
In high-volatility markets, increase threshold and stop loss. In quiet markets, decrease them.
**Tip 5: Review Losing Trades**
Check if losses are hitting stop loss or reversing. Adjust stop accordingly.
---
## 📝 Changelog
**v1.0** - Initial Release
- Momentum-based signal generation
- EMA trend filter
- Programmable R:R ratio
- Partial profit taking (3 stages)
- Trade cooldown system
- Session filters (Tokyo/London/New York)
- Weekend off toggle
- Smart dashboard (auto-hides in real-time)
- Clean visual design
---
## 🙏 Credits
Developed by **Hash Capital Research**
If you find this strategy useful, please give it a like and share with others!
---
## ⚖️ Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before trading.
---
## 📬 Feedback
Have suggestions or found a bug? Leave a comment below! I'm continuously improving this strategy based on community feedback.
---
**Happy Trading! 🚀📈**
Hedge Simulation Martingale v1
1. Overview & Strategy Logic
This script implements an automated, multi-position trading strategy that uses a Martingale-inspired approach to manage a series of entries. The core logic is as follows:
Initial Entry: The script enters a trade based on the direction of the previous bar's close. A green bar triggers a Long position; a red bar triggers a Short position.
Profit-Taking: A single, fixed-percentage profit target (Profit Percentage) is set for the entire trade. If reached, all positions are closed for a net profit.
Loss Management (Martingale Logic): If the price moves against the initial position and hits the fixed-percentage stop-loss (Loss Percentage), the script does not exit. Instead, it averages down by adding a new, larger position in the same direction. The size of the new position is determined by multiplying the previous position size by the First Multiplier.
Net Position Management: The script continuously calculates the net average entry price, a new combined profit target, and a new combined stop-loss based on all open positions. The goal is for a single favorable price move to recover all previous losses and hit the profit target.
2. Key Features
Visual Indicators:
Plots the Net Average Entry Price on the chart.
Plots dynamic Profit Target (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels that update as new positions are added.
Displays entry signals (triangles) for the initial Long or Short trade.
Comprehensive Dashboard: A detailed table in the top-right corner shows real-time metrics, including:
Total historical Long/Short volume and PnL.
Current trade's investment, unrealized PnL, and position sizes.
Current position count, direction, and size.
Configurable Parameters:
Profit Percentage: The target profit percentage for the net position.
Loss Percentage: The stop-loss percentage that triggers a new entry.
Initial Position Size: The size of the first position in the series.
First Multiplier: The multiplier applied to the previous position size when averaging down.
Maximum Multiplier: A safety cap (commented out in the code but present) to prevent infinite scaling.
3. Intended Use & Purpose
This script is designed as a position management and tracking tool for traders who are experimenting with or actively using Martingale-style strategies. It is best used to:
Automate the complex calculations of average entry, combined TP/SL, and PnL for multiple entries.
Visually track the status of an ongoing series of positions.
Backtest the viability and risks of such a strategy on historical data.
4. ⚠️ Critical Risk Warning & Disclaimer
THIS STRATEGY CARRIES EXTREME FINANCIAL RISK. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK.
Unlimited Loss Potential: The Martingale strategy is infamous for its potential to generate unlimited losses. By continuously doubling down (or multiplying) on losing positions, a small adverse price move can lead to catastrophic losses that can exceed your account balance.
Margin Calls: The rapidly increasing position size can quickly deplete your margin, leading to a margin call and forced liquidation of all positions at a significant loss.
No Guarantee of Recovery: The assumption that the price will eventually reverse is flawed. A strong, sustained trend can wipe out the entire trading capital.
For Educational/Advanced Use Only: This script is intended for sophisticated traders who fully understand the immense risks involved. It is not a "sure profit" system.
The publisher of this script is not responsible for any financial losses incurred through its use. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and risk management.
5. How to Use
Apply the Script: Add the script to your chart.
Configure Parameters: Adjust the input parameters according to your risk tolerance and strategy rules. Be extremely cautious with the multiplier and position size.
Monitor the Dashboard: The table will provide all necessary information about the current and historical state of the strategy.
Observe the Levels: Watch the plotted Entry, TP, and SL levels to understand the current market position.
Backtest First: Always test the strategy extensively on historical data before considering it with real capital.
6. Notes
The Maximum Multiplier safety feature is present in the code but is currently commented out. Users are strongly advised to uncomment and set this parameter to act as a final, hard liquidation point.
The script logs key events (trade start, target hit) and export data for further analysis.
This is a complex script and should be thoroughly understood before use.
Quantum Rotational Field MappingQuantum Rotational Field Mapping (QRFM):
Phase Coherence Detection Through Complex-Plane Oscillator Analysis
Quantum Rotational Field Mapping applies complex-plane mathematics and phase-space analysis to oscillator ensembles, identifying high-probability trend ignition points by measuring when multiple independent oscillators achieve phase coherence. Unlike traditional multi-oscillator approaches that simply stack indicators or use boolean AND/OR logic, this system converts each oscillator into a rotating phasor (vector) in the complex plane and calculates the Coherence Index (CI) —a mathematical measure of how tightly aligned the ensemble has become—then generates signals only when alignment, phase direction, and pairwise entanglement all converge.
The indicator combines three mathematical frameworks: phasor representation using analytic signal theory to extract phase and amplitude from each oscillator, coherence measurement using vector summation in the complex plane to quantify group alignment, and entanglement analysis that calculates pairwise phase agreement across all oscillator combinations. This creates a multi-dimensional confirmation system that distinguishes between random oscillator noise and genuine regime transitions.
What Makes This Original
Complex-Plane Phasor Framework
This indicator implements classical signal processing mathematics adapted for market oscillators. Each oscillator—whether RSI, MACD, Stochastic, CCI, Williams %R, MFI, ROC, or TSI—is first normalized to a common scale, then converted into a complex-plane representation using an in-phase (I) and quadrature (Q) component. The in-phase component is the oscillator value itself, while the quadrature component is calculated as the first difference (derivative proxy), creating a velocity-aware representation.
From these components, the system extracts:
Phase (φ) : Calculated as φ = atan2(Q, I), representing the oscillator's position in its cycle (mapped to -180° to +180°)
Amplitude (A) : Calculated as A = √(I² + Q²), representing the oscillator's strength or conviction
This mathematical approach is fundamentally different from simply reading oscillator values. A phasor captures both where an oscillator is in its cycle (phase angle) and how strongly it's expressing that position (amplitude). Two oscillators can have the same value but be in opposite phases of their cycles—traditional analysis would see them as identical, while QRFM sees them as 180° out of phase (contradictory).
Coherence Index Calculation
The core innovation is the Coherence Index (CI) , borrowed from physics and signal processing. When you have N oscillators, each with phase φₙ, you can represent each as a unit vector in the complex plane: e^(iφₙ) = cos(φₙ) + i·sin(φₙ).
The CI measures what happens when you sum all these vectors:
Resultant Vector : R = Σ e^(iφₙ) = Σ cos(φₙ) + i·Σ sin(φₙ)
Coherence Index : CI = |R| / N
Where |R| is the magnitude of the resultant vector and N is the number of active oscillators.
The CI ranges from 0 to 1:
CI = 1.0 : Perfect coherence—all oscillators have identical phase angles, vectors point in the same direction, creating maximum constructive interference
CI = 0.0 : Complete decoherence—oscillators are randomly distributed around the circle, vectors cancel out through destructive interference
0 < CI < 1 : Partial alignment—some clustering with some scatter
This is not a simple average or correlation. The CI captures phase synchronization across the entire ensemble simultaneously. When oscillators phase-lock (align their cycles), the CI spikes regardless of their individual values. This makes it sensitive to regime transitions that traditional indicators miss.
Dominant Phase and Direction Detection
Beyond measuring alignment strength, the system calculates the dominant phase of the ensemble—the direction the resultant vector points:
Dominant Phase : φ_dom = atan2(Σ sin(φₙ), Σ cos(φₙ))
This gives the "average direction" of all oscillator phases, mapped to -180° to +180°:
+90° to -90° (right half-plane): Bullish phase dominance
+90° to +180° or -90° to -180° (left half-plane): Bearish phase dominance
The combination of CI magnitude (coherence strength) and dominant phase angle (directional bias) creates a two-dimensional signal space. High CI alone is insufficient—you need high CI plus dominant phase pointing in a tradeable direction. This dual requirement is what separates QRFM from simple oscillator averaging.
Entanglement Matrix and Pairwise Coherence
While the CI measures global alignment, the entanglement matrix measures local pairwise relationships. For every pair of oscillators (i, j), the system calculates:
E(i,j) = |cos(φᵢ - φⱼ)|
This represents the phase agreement between oscillators i and j:
E = 1.0 : Oscillators are in-phase (0° or 360° apart)
E = 0.0 : Oscillators are in quadrature (90° apart, orthogonal)
E between 0 and 1 : Varying degrees of alignment
The system counts how many oscillator pairs exceed a user-defined entanglement threshold (e.g., 0.7). This entangled pairs count serves as a confirmation filter: signals require not just high global CI, but also a minimum number of strong pairwise agreements. This prevents false ignitions where CI is high but driven by only two oscillators while the rest remain scattered.
The entanglement matrix creates an N×N symmetric matrix that can be visualized as a web—when many cells are bright (high E values), the ensemble is highly interconnected. When cells are dark, oscillators are moving independently.
Phase-Lock Tolerance Mechanism
A complementary confirmation layer is the phase-lock detector . This calculates the maximum phase spread across all oscillators:
For all pairs (i,j), compute angular distance: Δφ = |φᵢ - φⱼ|, wrapping at 180°
Max Spread = maximum Δφ across all pairs
If max spread < user threshold (e.g., 35°), the ensemble is considered phase-locked —all oscillators are within a narrow angular band.
This differs from entanglement: entanglement measures pairwise cosine similarity (magnitude of alignment), while phase-lock measures maximum angular deviation (tightness of clustering). Both must be satisfied for the highest-conviction signals.
Multi-Layer Visual Architecture
QRFM includes six visual components that represent the same underlying mathematics from different perspectives:
Circular Orbit Plot : A polar coordinate grid showing each oscillator as a vector from origin to perimeter. Angle = phase, radius = amplitude. This is a real-time snapshot of the complex plane. When vectors converge (point in similar directions), coherence is high. When scattered randomly, coherence is low. Users can see phase alignment forming before CI numerically confirms it.
Phase-Time Heat Map : A 2D matrix with rows = oscillators and columns = time bins. Each cell is colored by the oscillator's phase at that time (using a gradient where color hue maps to angle). Horizontal color bands indicate sustained phase alignment over time. Vertical color bands show moments when all oscillators shared the same phase (ignition points). This provides historical pattern recognition.
Entanglement Web Matrix : An N×N grid showing E(i,j) for all pairs. Cells are colored by entanglement strength—bright yellow/gold for high E, dark gray for low E. This reveals which oscillators are driving coherence and which are lagging. For example, if RSI and MACD show high E but Stochastic shows low E with everything, Stochastic is the outlier.
Quantum Field Cloud : A background color overlay on the price chart. Color (green = bullish, red = bearish) is determined by dominant phase. Opacity is determined by CI—high CI creates dense, opaque cloud; low CI creates faint, nearly invisible cloud. This gives an atmospheric "feel" for regime strength without looking at numbers.
Phase Spiral : A smoothed plot of dominant phase over recent history, displayed as a curve that wraps around price. When the spiral is tight and rotating steadily, the ensemble is in coherent rotation (trending). When the spiral is loose or erratic, coherence is breaking down.
Dashboard : A table showing real-time metrics: CI (as percentage), dominant phase (in degrees with directional arrow), field strength (CI × average amplitude), entangled pairs count, phase-lock status (locked/unlocked), quantum state classification ("Ignition", "Coherent", "Collapse", "Chaos"), and collapse risk (recent CI change normalized to 0-100%).
Each component is independently toggleable, allowing users to customize their workspace. The orbit plot is the most essential—it provides intuitive, visual feedback on phase alignment that no numerical dashboard can match.
Core Components and How They Work Together
1. Oscillator Normalization Engine
The foundation is creating a common measurement scale. QRFM supports eight oscillators:
RSI : Normalized from to using overbought/oversold levels (70, 30) as anchors
MACD Histogram : Normalized by dividing by rolling standard deviation, then clamped to
Stochastic %K : Normalized from using (80, 20) anchors
CCI : Divided by 200 (typical extreme level), clamped to
Williams %R : Normalized from using (-20, -80) anchors
MFI : Normalized from using (80, 20) anchors
ROC : Divided by 10, clamped to
TSI : Divided by 50, clamped to
Each oscillator can be individually enabled/disabled. Only active oscillators contribute to phase calculations. The normalization removes scale differences—a reading of +0.8 means "strongly bullish" regardless of whether it came from RSI or TSI.
2. Analytic Signal Construction
For each active oscillator at each bar, the system constructs the analytic signal:
In-Phase (I) : The normalized oscillator value itself
Quadrature (Q) : The bar-to-bar change in the normalized value (first derivative approximation)
This creates a 2D representation: (I, Q). The phase is extracted as:
φ = atan2(Q, I) × (180 / π)
This maps the oscillator to a point on the unit circle. An oscillator at the same value but rising (positive Q) will have a different phase than one that is falling (negative Q). This velocity-awareness is critical—it distinguishes between "at resistance and stalling" versus "at resistance and breaking through."
The amplitude is extracted as:
A = √(I² + Q²)
This represents the distance from origin in the (I, Q) plane. High amplitude means the oscillator is far from neutral (strong conviction). Low amplitude means it's near zero (weak/transitional state).
3. Coherence Calculation Pipeline
For each bar (or every Nth bar if phase sample rate > 1 for performance):
Step 1 : Extract phase φₙ for each of the N active oscillators
Step 2 : Compute complex exponentials: Zₙ = e^(i·φₙ·π/180) = cos(φₙ·π/180) + i·sin(φₙ·π/180)
Step 3 : Sum the complex exponentials: R = Σ Zₙ = (Σ cos φₙ) + i·(Σ sin φₙ)
Step 4 : Calculate magnitude: |R| = √
Step 5 : Normalize by count: CI_raw = |R| / N
Step 6 : Smooth the CI: CI = SMA(CI_raw, smoothing_window)
The smoothing step (default 2 bars) removes single-bar noise spikes while preserving structural coherence changes. Users can adjust this to control reactivity versus stability.
The dominant phase is calculated as:
φ_dom = atan2(Σ sin φₙ, Σ cos φₙ) × (180 / π)
This is the angle of the resultant vector R in the complex plane.
4. Entanglement Matrix Construction
For all unique pairs of oscillators (i, j) where i < j:
Step 1 : Get phases φᵢ and φⱼ
Step 2 : Compute phase difference: Δφ = φᵢ - φⱼ (in radians)
Step 3 : Calculate entanglement: E(i,j) = |cos(Δφ)|
Step 4 : Store in symmetric matrix: matrix = matrix = E(i,j)
The matrix is then scanned: count how many E(i,j) values exceed the user-defined threshold (default 0.7). This count is the entangled pairs metric.
For visualization, the matrix is rendered as an N×N table where cell brightness maps to E(i,j) intensity.
5. Phase-Lock Detection
Step 1 : For all unique pairs (i, j), compute angular distance: Δφ = |φᵢ - φⱼ|
Step 2 : Wrap angles: if Δφ > 180°, set Δφ = 360° - Δφ
Step 3 : Find maximum: max_spread = max(Δφ) across all pairs
Step 4 : Compare to tolerance: phase_locked = (max_spread < tolerance)
If phase_locked is true, all oscillators are within the specified angular cone (e.g., 35°). This is a boolean confirmation filter.
6. Signal Generation Logic
Signals are generated through multi-layer confirmation:
Long Ignition Signal :
CI crosses above ignition threshold (e.g., 0.80)
AND dominant phase is in bullish range (-90° < φ_dom < +90°)
AND phase_locked = true
AND entangled_pairs >= minimum threshold (e.g., 4)
Short Ignition Signal :
CI crosses above ignition threshold
AND dominant phase is in bearish range (φ_dom < -90° OR φ_dom > +90°)
AND phase_locked = true
AND entangled_pairs >= minimum threshold
Collapse Signal :
CI at bar minus CI at current bar > collapse threshold (e.g., 0.55)
AND CI at bar was above 0.6 (must collapse from coherent state, not from already-low state)
These are strict conditions. A high CI alone does not generate a signal—dominant phase must align with direction, oscillators must be phase-locked, and sufficient pairwise entanglement must exist. This multi-factor gating dramatically reduces false signals compared to single-condition triggers.
Calculation Methodology
Phase 1: Oscillator Computation and Normalization
On each bar, the system calculates the raw values for all enabled oscillators using standard Pine Script functions:
RSI: ta.rsi(close, length)
MACD: ta.macd() returning histogram component
Stochastic: ta.stoch() smoothed with ta.sma()
CCI: ta.cci(close, length)
Williams %R: ta.wpr(length)
MFI: ta.mfi(hlc3, length)
ROC: ta.roc(close, length)
TSI: ta.tsi(close, short, long)
Each raw value is then passed through a normalization function:
normalize(value, overbought_level, oversold_level) = 2 × (value - oversold) / (overbought - oversold) - 1
This maps the oscillator's typical range to , where -1 represents extreme bearish, 0 represents neutral, and +1 represents extreme bullish.
For oscillators without fixed ranges (MACD, ROC, TSI), statistical normalization is used: divide by a rolling standard deviation or fixed divisor, then clamp to .
Phase 2: Phasor Extraction
For each normalized oscillator value val:
I = val (in-phase component)
Q = val - val (quadrature component, first difference)
Phase calculation:
phi_rad = atan2(Q, I)
phi_deg = phi_rad × (180 / π)
Amplitude calculation:
A = √(I² + Q²)
These values are stored in arrays: osc_phases and osc_amps for each oscillator n.
Phase 3: Complex Summation and Coherence
Initialize accumulators:
sum_cos = 0
sum_sin = 0
For each oscillator n = 0 to N-1:
phi_rad = osc_phases × (π / 180)
sum_cos += cos(phi_rad)
sum_sin += sin(phi_rad)
Resultant magnitude:
resultant_mag = √(sum_cos² + sum_sin²)
Coherence Index (raw):
CI_raw = resultant_mag / N
Smoothed CI:
CI = SMA(CI_raw, smoothing_window)
Dominant phase:
phi_dom_rad = atan2(sum_sin, sum_cos)
phi_dom_deg = phi_dom_rad × (180 / π)
Phase 4: Entanglement Matrix Population
For i = 0 to N-2:
For j = i+1 to N-1:
phi_i = osc_phases × (π / 180)
phi_j = osc_phases × (π / 180)
delta_phi = phi_i - phi_j
E = |cos(delta_phi)|
matrix_index_ij = i × N + j
matrix_index_ji = j × N + i
entangle_matrix = E
entangle_matrix = E
if E >= threshold:
entangled_pairs += 1
The matrix uses flat array storage with index mapping: index(row, col) = row × N + col.
Phase 5: Phase-Lock Check
max_spread = 0
For i = 0 to N-2:
For j = i+1 to N-1:
delta = |osc_phases - osc_phases |
if delta > 180:
delta = 360 - delta
max_spread = max(max_spread, delta)
phase_locked = (max_spread < tolerance)
Phase 6: Signal Evaluation
Ignition Long :
ignition_long = (CI crosses above threshold) AND
(phi_dom > -90 AND phi_dom < 90) AND
phase_locked AND
(entangled_pairs >= minimum)
Ignition Short :
ignition_short = (CI crosses above threshold) AND
(phi_dom < -90 OR phi_dom > 90) AND
phase_locked AND
(entangled_pairs >= minimum)
Collapse :
CI_prev = CI
collapse = (CI_prev - CI > collapse_threshold) AND (CI_prev > 0.6)
All signals are evaluated on bar close. The crossover and crossunder functions ensure signals fire only once when conditions transition from false to true.
Phase 7: Field Strength and Visualization Metrics
Average Amplitude :
avg_amp = (Σ osc_amps ) / N
Field Strength :
field_strength = CI × avg_amp
Collapse Risk (for dashboard):
collapse_risk = (CI - CI) / max(CI , 0.1)
collapse_risk_pct = clamp(collapse_risk × 100, 0, 100)
Quantum State Classification :
if (CI > threshold AND phase_locked):
state = "Ignition"
else if (CI > 0.6):
state = "Coherent"
else if (collapse):
state = "Collapse"
else:
state = "Chaos"
Phase 8: Visual Rendering
Orbit Plot : For each oscillator, convert polar (phase, amplitude) to Cartesian (x, y) for grid placement:
radius = amplitude × grid_center × 0.8
x = radius × cos(phase × π/180)
y = radius × sin(phase × π/180)
col = center + x (mapped to grid coordinates)
row = center - y
Heat Map : For each oscillator row and time column, retrieve historical phase value at lookback = (columns - col) × sample_rate, then map phase to color using a hue gradient.
Entanglement Web : Render matrix as table cell with background color opacity = E(i,j).
Field Cloud : Background color = (phi_dom > -90 AND phi_dom < 90) ? green : red, with opacity = mix(min_opacity, max_opacity, CI).
All visual components render only on the last bar (barstate.islast) to minimize computational overhead.
How to Use This Indicator
Step 1 : Apply QRFM to your chart. It works on all timeframes and asset classes, though 15-minute to 4-hour timeframes provide the best balance of responsiveness and noise reduction.
Step 2 : Enable the dashboard (default: top right) and the circular orbit plot (default: middle left). These are your primary visual feedback tools.
Step 3 : Optionally enable the heat map, entanglement web, and field cloud based on your preference. New users may find all visuals overwhelming; start with dashboard + orbit plot.
Step 4 : Observe for 50-100 bars to let the indicator establish baseline coherence patterns. Markets have different "normal" CI ranges—some instruments naturally run higher or lower coherence.
Understanding the Circular Orbit Plot
The orbit plot is a polar grid showing oscillator vectors in real-time:
Center point : Neutral (zero phase and amplitude)
Each vector : A line from center to a point on the grid
Vector angle : The oscillator's phase (0° = right/east, 90° = up/north, 180° = left/west, -90° = down/south)
Vector length : The oscillator's amplitude (short = weak signal, long = strong signal)
Vector label : First letter of oscillator name (R = RSI, M = MACD, etc.)
What to watch :
Convergence : When all vectors cluster in one quadrant or sector, CI is rising and coherence is forming. This is your pre-signal warning.
Scatter : When vectors point in random directions (360° spread), CI is low and the market is in a non-trending or transitional regime.
Rotation : When the cluster rotates smoothly around the circle, the ensemble is in coherent oscillation—typically seen during steady trends.
Sudden flips : When the cluster rapidly jumps from one side to the opposite (e.g., +90° to -90°), a phase reversal has occurred—often coinciding with trend reversals.
Example: If you see RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all pointing toward 45° (northeast) with long vectors, while CCI, TSI, and ROC point toward 40-50° as well, coherence is high and dominant phase is bullish. Expect an ignition signal if CI crosses threshold.
Reading Dashboard Metrics
The dashboard provides numerical confirmation of what the orbit plot shows visually:
CI : Displays as 0-100%. Above 70% = high coherence (strong regime), 40-70% = moderate, below 40% = low (poor conditions for trend entries).
Dom Phase : Angle in degrees with directional arrow. ⬆ = bullish bias, ⬇ = bearish bias, ⬌ = neutral.
Field Strength : CI weighted by amplitude. High values (> 0.6) indicate not just alignment but strong alignment.
Entangled Pairs : Count of oscillator pairs with E > threshold. Higher = more confirmation. If minimum is set to 4, you need at least 4 pairs entangled for signals.
Phase Lock : 🔒 YES (all oscillators within tolerance) or 🔓 NO (spread too wide).
State : Real-time classification:
🚀 IGNITION: CI just crossed threshold with phase-lock
⚡ COHERENT: CI is high and stable
💥 COLLAPSE: CI has dropped sharply
🌀 CHAOS: Low CI, scattered phases
Collapse Risk : 0-100% scale based on recent CI change. Above 50% warns of imminent breakdown.
Interpreting Signals
Long Ignition (Blue Triangle Below Price) :
Occurs when CI crosses above threshold (e.g., 0.80)
Dominant phase is in bullish range (-90° to +90°)
All oscillators are phase-locked (within tolerance)
Minimum entangled pairs requirement met
Interpretation : The oscillator ensemble has transitioned from disorder to coherent bullish alignment. This is a high-probability long entry point. The multi-layer confirmation (CI + phase direction + lock + entanglement) ensures this is not a single-oscillator whipsaw.
Short Ignition (Red Triangle Above Price) :
Same conditions as long, but dominant phase is in bearish range (< -90° or > +90°)
Interpretation : Coherent bearish alignment has formed. High-probability short entry.
Collapse (Circles Above and Below Price) :
CI has dropped by more than the collapse threshold (e.g., 0.55) over a 5-bar window
CI was previously above 0.6 (collapsing from coherent state)
Interpretation : Phase coherence has broken down. If you are in a position, this is an exit warning. If looking to enter, stand aside—regime is transitioning.
Phase-Time Heat Map Patterns
Enable the heat map and position it at bottom right. The rows represent individual oscillators, columns represent time bins (most recent on left).
Pattern: Horizontal Color Bands
If a row (e.g., RSI) shows consistent color across columns (say, green for several bins), that oscillator has maintained stable phase over time. If all rows show horizontal bands of similar color, the entire ensemble has been phase-locked for an extended period—this is a strong trending regime.
Pattern: Vertical Color Bands
If a column (single time bin) shows all cells with the same or very similar color, that moment in time had high coherence. These vertical bands often align with ignition signals or major price pivots.
Pattern: Rainbow Chaos
If cells are random colors (red, green, yellow mixed with no pattern), coherence is low. The ensemble is scattered. Avoid trading during these periods unless you have external confirmation.
Pattern: Color Transition
If you see a row transition from red to green (or vice versa) sharply, that oscillator has phase-flipped. If multiple rows do this simultaneously, a regime change is underway.
Entanglement Web Analysis
Enable the web matrix (default: opposite corner from heat map). It shows an N×N grid where N = number of active oscillators.
Bright Yellow/Gold Cells : High pairwise entanglement. For example, if the RSI-MACD cell is bright gold, those two oscillators are moving in phase. If the RSI-Stochastic cell is bright, they are entangled as well.
Dark Gray Cells : Low entanglement. Oscillators are decorrelated or in quadrature.
Diagonal : Always marked with "—" because an oscillator is always perfectly entangled with itself.
How to use :
Scan for clustering: If most cells are bright, coherence is high across the board. If only a few cells are bright, coherence is driven by a subset (e.g., RSI and MACD are aligned, but nothing else is—weak signal).
Identify laggards: If one row/column is entirely dark, that oscillator is the outlier. You may choose to disable it or monitor for when it joins the group (late confirmation).
Watch for web formation: During low-coherence periods, the matrix is mostly dark. As coherence builds, cells begin lighting up. A sudden "web" of connections forming visually precedes ignition signals.
Trading Workflow
Step 1: Monitor Coherence Level
Check the dashboard CI metric or observe the orbit plot. If CI is below 40% and vectors are scattered, conditions are poor for trend entries. Wait.
Step 2: Detect Coherence Building
When CI begins rising (say, from 30% to 50-60%) and you notice vectors on the orbit plot starting to cluster, coherence is forming. This is your alert phase—do not enter yet, but prepare.
Step 3: Confirm Phase Direction
Check the dominant phase angle and the orbit plot quadrant where clustering is occurring:
Clustering in right half (0° to ±90°): Bullish bias forming
Clustering in left half (±90° to 180°): Bearish bias forming
Verify the dashboard shows the corresponding directional arrow (⬆ or ⬇).
Step 4: Wait for Signal Confirmation
Do not enter based on rising CI alone. Wait for the full ignition signal:
CI crosses above threshold
Phase-lock indicator shows 🔒 YES
Entangled pairs count >= minimum
Directional triangle appears on chart
This ensures all layers have aligned.
Step 5: Execute Entry
Long : Blue triangle below price appears → enter long
Short : Red triangle above price appears → enter short
Step 6: Position Management
Initial Stop : Place stop loss based on your risk management rules (e.g., recent swing low/high, ATR-based buffer).
Monitoring :
Watch the field cloud density. If it remains opaque and colored in your direction, the regime is intact.
Check dashboard collapse risk. If it rises above 50%, prepare for exit.
Monitor the orbit plot. If vectors begin scattering or the cluster flips to the opposite side, coherence is breaking.
Exit Triggers :
Collapse signal fires (circles appear)
Dominant phase flips to opposite half-plane
CI drops below 40% (coherence lost)
Price hits your profit target or trailing stop
Step 7: Post-Exit Analysis
After exiting, observe whether a new ignition forms in the opposite direction (reversal) or if CI remains low (transition to range). Use this to decide whether to re-enter, reverse, or stand aside.
Best Practices
Use Price Structure as Context
QRFM identifies when coherence forms but does not specify where price will go. Combine ignition signals with support/resistance levels, trendlines, or chart patterns. For example:
Long ignition near a major support level after a pullback: high-probability bounce
Long ignition in the middle of a range with no structure: lower probability
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Open QRFM on two timeframes simultaneously:
Higher timeframe (e.g., 4-hour): Use CI level to determine regime bias. If 4H CI is above 60% and dominant phase is bullish, the market is in a bullish regime.
Lower timeframe (e.g., 15-minute): Execute entries on ignition signals that align with the higher timeframe bias.
This prevents counter-trend trades and increases win rate.
Distinguish Between Regime Types
High CI, stable dominant phase (State: Coherent) : Trending market. Ignitions are continuation signals; collapses are profit-taking or reversal warnings.
Low CI, erratic dominant phase (State: Chaos) : Ranging or choppy market. Avoid ignition signals or reduce position size. Wait for coherence to establish.
Moderate CI with frequent collapses : Whipsaw environment. Use wider stops or stand aside.
Adjust Parameters to Instrument and Timeframe
Crypto/Forex (high volatility) : Lower ignition threshold (0.65-0.75), lower CI smoothing (2-3), shorter oscillator lengths (7-10).
Stocks/Indices (moderate volatility) : Standard settings (threshold 0.75-0.85, smoothing 5-7, oscillator lengths 14).
Lower timeframes (5-15 min) : Reduce phase sample rate to 1-2 for responsiveness.
Higher timeframes (daily+) : Increase CI smoothing and oscillator lengths for noise reduction.
Use Entanglement Count as Conviction Filter
The minimum entangled pairs setting controls signal strictness:
Low (1-2) : More signals, lower quality (acceptable if you have other confirmation)
Medium (3-5) : Balanced (recommended for most traders)
High (6+) : Very strict, fewer signals, highest quality
Adjust based on your trade frequency preference and risk tolerance.
Monitor Oscillator Contribution
Use the entanglement web to see which oscillators are driving coherence. If certain oscillators are consistently dark (low E with all others), they may be adding noise. Consider disabling them. For example:
On low-volume instruments, MFI may be unreliable → disable MFI
On strongly trending instruments, mean-reversion oscillators (Stochastic, RSI) may lag → reduce weight or disable
Respect the Collapse Signal
Collapse events are early warnings. Price may continue in the original direction for several bars after collapse fires, but the underlying regime has weakened. Best practice:
If in profit: Take partial or full profit on collapse
If at breakeven/small loss: Exit immediately
If collapse occurs shortly after entry: Likely a false ignition; exit to avoid drawdown
Collapses do not guarantee immediate reversals—they signal uncertainty .
Combine with Volume Analysis
If your instrument has reliable volume:
Ignitions with expanding volume: Higher conviction
Ignitions with declining volume: Weaker, possibly false
Collapses with volume spikes: Strong reversal signal
Collapses with low volume: May just be consolidation
Volume is not built into QRFM (except via MFI), so add it as external confirmation.
Observe the Phase Spiral
The spiral provides a quick visual cue for rotation consistency:
Tight, smooth spiral : Ensemble is rotating coherently (trending)
Loose, erratic spiral : Phase is jumping around (ranging or transitional)
If the spiral tightens, coherence is building. If it loosens, coherence is dissolving.
Do Not Overtrade Low-Coherence Periods
When CI is persistently below 40% and the state is "Chaos," the market is not in a regime where phase analysis is predictive. During these times:
Reduce position size
Widen stops
Wait for coherence to return
QRFM's strength is regime detection. If there is no regime, the tool correctly signals "stand aside."
Use Alerts Strategically
Set alerts for:
Long Ignition
Short Ignition
Collapse
Phase Lock (optional)
Configure alerts to "Once per bar close" to avoid intrabar repainting and noise. When an alert fires, manually verify:
Orbit plot shows clustering
Dashboard confirms all conditions
Price structure supports the trade
Do not blindly trade alerts—use them as prompts for analysis.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance
Instruments :
Liquid, actively traded markets (major forex pairs, large-cap stocks, major indices, top-tier crypto)
Instruments with clear cyclical oscillator behavior (avoid extremely illiquid or manipulated markets)
Timeframes :
15-minute to 4-hour: Optimal balance of noise reduction and responsiveness
1-hour to daily: Slower, higher-conviction signals; good for swing trading
5-minute: Acceptable for scalping if parameters are tightened and you accept more noise
Market Regimes :
Trending markets with periodic retracements (where oscillators cycle through phases predictably)
Breakout environments (coherence forms before/during breakout; collapse occurs at exhaustion)
Rotational markets with clear swings (oscillators phase-lock at turning points)
Volatility :
Moderate to high volatility (oscillators have room to move through their ranges)
Stable volatility regimes (sudden VIX spikes or flash crashes may create false collapses)
Challenging Conditions
Instruments :
Very low liquidity markets (erratic price action creates unstable oscillator phases)
Heavily news-driven instruments (fundamentals may override technical coherence)
Highly correlated instruments (oscillators may all reflect the same underlying factor, reducing independence)
Market Regimes :
Deep, prolonged consolidation (oscillators remain near neutral, CI is chronically low, few signals fire)
Extreme chop with no directional bias (oscillators whipsaw, coherence never establishes)
Gap-driven markets (large overnight gaps create phase discontinuities)
Timeframes :
Sub-5-minute charts: Noise dominates; oscillators flip rapidly; coherence is fleeting and unreliable
Weekly/monthly: Oscillators move extremely slowly; signals are rare; better suited for long-term positioning than active trading
Special Cases :
During major economic releases or earnings: Oscillators may lag price or become decorrelated as fundamentals overwhelm technicals. Reduce position size or stand aside.
In extremely low-volatility environments (e.g., holiday periods): Oscillators compress to neutral, CI may be artificially high due to lack of movement, but signals lack follow-through.
Adaptive Behavior
QRFM is designed to self-adapt to poor conditions:
When coherence is genuinely absent, CI remains low and signals do not fire
When only a subset of oscillators aligns, entangled pairs count stays below threshold and signals are filtered out
When phase-lock cannot be achieved (oscillators too scattered), the lock filter prevents signals
This means the indicator will naturally produce fewer (or zero) signals during unfavorable conditions, rather than generating false signals. This is a feature —it keeps you out of low-probability trades.
Parameter Optimization by Trading Style
Scalping (5-15 Minute Charts)
Goal : Maximum responsiveness, accept higher noise
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 7-10
MACD: 8/17/6
Stochastic: 8-10, smooth 2-3
CCI: 14-16
Others: 8-12
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 2-3 bars (fast reaction)
Phase Sample Rate: 1 (every bar)
Ignition Threshold: 0.65-0.75 (lower for more signals)
Collapse Threshold: 0.40-0.50 (earlier exit warnings)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 40-50° (looser, easier to achieve)
Min Entangled Pairs: 2-3 (fewer oscillators required)
Visuals :
Orbit Plot + Dashboard only (reduce screen clutter for fast decisions)
Disable heavy visuals (heat map, web) for performance
Alerts :
Enable all ignition and collapse alerts
Set to "Once per bar close"
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Goal : Balance between responsiveness and reliability
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 14 (standard)
MACD: 12/26/9 (standard)
Stochastic: 14, smooth 3
CCI: 20
Others: 10-14
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 3-5 bars (balanced)
Phase Sample Rate: 2-3
Ignition Threshold: 0.75-0.85 (moderate selectivity)
Collapse Threshold: 0.50-0.55 (balanced exit timing)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 30-40° (moderate tightness)
Min Entangled Pairs: 4-5 (reasonable confirmation)
Visuals :
Orbit Plot + Dashboard + Heat Map or Web (choose one)
Field Cloud for regime backdrop
Alerts :
Ignition and collapse alerts
Optional phase-lock alert for advance warning
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Goal : High-conviction signals, minimal noise, fewer trades
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 14-21
MACD: 12/26/9 or 19/39/9 (longer variant)
Stochastic: 14-21, smooth 3-5
CCI: 20-30
Others: 14-20
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 5-10 bars (very smooth)
Phase Sample Rate: 3-5
Ignition Threshold: 0.80-0.90 (high bar for entry)
Collapse Threshold: 0.55-0.65 (only significant breakdowns)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 20-30° (tight clustering required)
Min Entangled Pairs: 5-7 (strong confirmation)
Visuals :
All modules enabled (you have time to analyze)
Heat Map for multi-bar pattern recognition
Web for deep confirmation analysis
Alerts :
Ignition and collapse
Review manually before entering (no rush)
Position/Long-Term Trading (Daily to Weekly Charts)
Goal : Rare, very high-conviction regime shifts
Oscillator Lengths :
RSI: 21-30
MACD: 19/39/9 or 26/52/12
Stochastic: 21, smooth 5
CCI: 30-50
Others: 20-30
Coherence Settings :
CI Smoothing Window: 10-14 bars
Phase Sample Rate: 5 (every 5th bar to reduce computation)
Ignition Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (only extreme alignment)
Collapse Threshold: 0.60-0.70 (major regime breaks only)
Confirmation :
Phase Lock Tolerance: 15-25° (very tight)
Min Entangled Pairs: 6+ (broad consensus required)
Visuals :
Dashboard + Orbit Plot for quick checks
Heat Map to study historical coherence patterns
Web to verify deep entanglement
Alerts :
Ignition only (collapses are less critical on long timeframes)
Manual review with fundamental analysis overlay
Performance Optimization (Low-End Systems)
If you experience lag or slow rendering:
Reduce Visual Load :
Orbit Grid Size: 8-10 (instead of 12+)
Heat Map Time Bins: 5-8 (instead of 10+)
Disable Web Matrix entirely if not needed
Disable Field Cloud and Phase Spiral
Reduce Calculation Frequency :
Phase Sample Rate: 5-10 (calculate every 5-10 bars)
Max History Depth: 100-200 (instead of 500+)
Disable Unused Oscillators :
If you only want RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, disable the other five. Fewer oscillators = smaller matrices, faster loops.
Simplify Dashboard :
Choose "Small" dashboard size
Reduce number of metrics displayed
These settings will not significantly degrade signal quality (signals are based on bar-close calculations, which remain accurate), but will improve chart responsiveness.
Important Disclaimers
This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify periods of phase coherence across an ensemble of oscillators. It is not a standalone trading system and does not guarantee profitable trades. The Coherence Index, dominant phase, and entanglement metrics are mathematical calculations applied to historical price data—they measure past oscillator behavior and do not predict future price movements with certainty.
No Predictive Guarantee : High coherence indicates that oscillators are currently aligned, which historically has coincided with trending or directional price movement. However, past alignment does not guarantee future trends. Markets can remain coherent while prices consolidate, or lose coherence suddenly due to news, liquidity changes, or other factors not captured by oscillator mathematics.
Signal Confirmation is Probabilistic : The multi-layer confirmation system (CI threshold + dominant phase + phase-lock + entanglement) is designed to filter out low-probability setups. This increases the proportion of valid signals relative to false signals, but does not eliminate false signals entirely. Users should combine QRFM with additional analysis—support and resistance levels, volume confirmation, multi-timeframe alignment, and fundamental context—before executing trades.
Collapse Signals are Warnings, Not Reversals : A coherence collapse indicates that the oscillator ensemble has lost alignment. This often precedes trend exhaustion or reversals, but can also occur during healthy pullbacks or consolidations. Price may continue in the original direction after a collapse. Use collapses as risk management cues (tighten stops, take partial profits) rather than automatic reversal entries.
Market Regime Dependency : QRFM performs best in markets where oscillators exhibit cyclical, mean-reverting behavior and where trends are punctuated by retracements. In markets dominated by fundamental shocks, gap openings, or extreme low-liquidity conditions, oscillator coherence may be less reliable. During such periods, reduce position size or stand aside.
Risk Management is Essential : All trading involves risk of loss. Use appropriate stop losses, position sizing, and risk-per-trade limits. The indicator does not specify stop loss or take profit levels—these must be determined by the user based on their risk tolerance and account size. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Parameter Sensitivity : The indicator's behavior changes with input parameters. Aggressive settings (low thresholds, loose tolerances) produce more signals with lower average quality. Conservative settings (high thresholds, tight tolerances) produce fewer signals with higher average quality. Users should backtest and forward-test parameter sets on their specific instruments and timeframes before committing real capital.
No Repainting by Design : All signal conditions are evaluated on bar close using bar-close values. However, the visual components (orbit plot, heat map, dashboard) update in real-time during bar formation for monitoring purposes. For trade execution, rely on the confirmed signals (triangles and circles) that appear only after the bar closes.
Computational Load : QRFM performs extensive calculations, including nested loops for entanglement matrices and real-time table rendering. On lower-powered devices or when running multiple indicators simultaneously, users may experience lag. Use the performance optimization settings (reduce visual complexity, increase phase sample rate, disable unused oscillators) to improve responsiveness.
This system is most effective when used as one component within a broader trading methodology that includes sound risk management, multi-timeframe analysis, market context awareness, and disciplined execution. It is a tool for regime detection and signal confirmation, not a substitute for comprehensive trade planning.
Technical Notes
Calculation Timing : All signal logic (ignition, collapse) is evaluated using bar-close values. The barstate.isconfirmed or implicit bar-close behavior ensures signals do not repaint. Visual components (tables, plots) render on every tick for real-time feedback but do not affect signal generation.
Phase Wrapping : Phase angles are calculated in the range -180° to +180° using atan2. Angular distance calculations account for wrapping (e.g., the distance between +170° and -170° is 20°, not 340°). This ensures phase-lock detection works correctly across the ±180° boundary.
Array Management : The indicator uses fixed-size arrays for oscillator phases, amplitudes, and the entanglement matrix. The maximum number of oscillators is 8. If fewer oscillators are enabled, array sizes shrink accordingly (only active oscillators are processed).
Matrix Indexing : The entanglement matrix is stored as a flat array with size N×N, where N is the number of active oscillators. Index mapping: index(row, col) = row × N + col. Symmetric pairs (i,j) and (j,i) are stored identically.
Normalization Stability : Oscillators are normalized to using fixed reference levels (e.g., RSI overbought/oversold at 70/30). For unbounded oscillators (MACD, ROC, TSI), statistical normalization (division by rolling standard deviation) is used, with clamping to prevent extreme outliers from distorting phase calculations.
Smoothing and Lag : The CI smoothing window (SMA) introduces lag proportional to the window size. This is intentional—it filters out single-bar noise spikes in coherence. Users requiring faster reaction can reduce the smoothing window to 1-2 bars, at the cost of increased sensitivity to noise.
Complex Number Representation : Pine Script does not have native complex number types. Complex arithmetic is implemented using separate real and imaginary accumulators (sum_cos, sum_sin) and manual calculation of magnitude (sqrt(real² + imag²)) and argument (atan2(imag, real)).
Lookback Limits : The indicator respects Pine Script's maximum lookback constraints. Historical phase and amplitude values are accessed using the operator, with lookback limited to the chart's available bar history (max_bars_back=5000 declared).
Visual Rendering Performance : Tables (orbit plot, heat map, web, dashboard) are conditionally deleted and recreated on each update using table.delete() and table.new(). This prevents memory leaks but incurs redraw overhead. Rendering is restricted to barstate.islast (last bar) to minimize computational load—historical bars do not render visuals.
Alert Condition Triggers : alertcondition() functions evaluate on bar close when their boolean conditions transition from false to true. Alerts do not fire repeatedly while a condition remains true (e.g., CI stays above threshold for 10 bars fires only once on the initial cross).
Color Gradient Functions : The phaseColor() function maps phase angles to RGB hues using sine waves offset by 120° (red, green, blue channels). This creates a continuous spectrum where -180° to +180° spans the full color wheel. The amplitudeColor() function maps amplitude to grayscale intensity. The coherenceColor() function uses cos(phase) to map contribution to CI (positive = green, negative = red).
No External Data Requests : QRFM operates entirely on the chart's symbol and timeframe. It does not use request.security() or access external data sources. All calculations are self-contained, avoiding lookahead bias from higher-timeframe requests.
Deterministic Behavior : Given identical input parameters and price data, QRFM produces identical outputs. There are no random elements, probabilistic sampling, or time-of-day dependencies.
— Dskyz, Engineering precision. Trading coherence.
Deviation Rate Crash SignalDescription
This indicator provides entry signals for contrarian trades that aim to capture rebounds after sharp declines, such as during market crashes.
A signal is triggered when the deviation rate from the 25-day moving average falls below -25% (default setting). On the chart, a red circle is displayed below the candlestick to indicate the signal.
Backtest (2000–2024, Nikkei 225 stocks):
Win rate: 64.73%
Payoff ratio: 1.141
Probability of ruin: 0.0% (with proper risk control)
Trading Rules (Long only):
Entry: Market buy at next day’s open when the closing price is 25% or more below the 25-day MA.
Exit: Market sell at next day’s open when:
The closing price is 10% above the entry price (take profit), or
The closing price is 10% below the entry price (stop loss), or
40 days have passed since entry.
Notes:
This indicator is tuned for crisis periods (e.g., 2008 Lehman Shock, 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, 2020 COVID-19 crash, 2024 Yen carry trade reversal).
In normal market conditions, signals will be rare.
Pine Screener BETA Support:
Add this indicator to your favorites and scan with long condition = true.
Screener results display both the MA deviation rate and current price.
When multiple signals occur, use the deviation rate as a reference to prioritize setups.
説明
このインジケーターは、暴落時など短期間で急落した銘柄のリバウンドを狙う逆張りトレードのエントリーシグナルを提供します。
25日移動平均線からの乖離率が -25% を下回ったときにシグナルが点灯します（初期設定）。シグナルはメインチャートのローソク足の下に赤い丸印で表示されます。
バックテスト結果（2000～2024年、日経225銘柄）:
勝率: 64.73%
ペイオフレシオ: 1.141
破産確率: 0.0%（適切なリスク管理を行った場合）
トレードルール（買いのみ）:
エントリー: 終値が25日移動平均線から25%以上下方乖離した場合、翌日の寄り付きで成行買い。
手仕舞い: 翌日の寄り付きで成行売り（以下のいずれかの条件を満たした場合）
終値が買値より10%以上上昇（利確）
終値が買値より10%以上下落（損切り）
エントリーから40日経過
注意点:
このインジケーターは、2008年リーマンショック、2011年東日本大震災、2020年コロナショック、2024年円キャリートレード巻き戻しショックなど、危機的局面で効果を発揮するように調整されています。
通常の相場ではシグナルはほとんど出現しません。
Pine Screener BETA 対応:
このインジケーターをお気に入り登録し、long condition = true をフィルター条件にしてスキャンしてください。
スクリーナー結果には移動平均乖離率と現在値が表示されます。
シグナルが同時に多数出現した場合は、移動平均乖離率を参考に優先順位をつけてください。
VWAP Trend Strategy (Intraday) [KedarArc Quant]Description:
An intraday strategy that anchors to VWAP and only trades when a local EMA trend gate and a volume participation gate are both open. It offers two entry templates—Cross and Cross-and-Retest—with an optional Momentum Exception for impulsive moves. Exits combine a TrendBreak (structure flips) with an ATR emergency stop (risk cap).
Updates will be published under this script.
Why this merits a new script
This is not a simple “VWAP + EMA + ATR” overlay. The components are sequenced as gates and branches that *change the trade set* in ways a visual mashup cannot:
1. Trend Gate first (EMA fast vs. slow on the entry timeframe)
Counter-trend VWAP crosses are suppressed. Many VWAP scripts fire on every cross; here, no entry logic even evaluates unless the trend gate is open.
2. Participation Gate second (Volume SMA × multiplier)
This gate filters thin liquidity moves around VWAP. Without it, the same visuals would produce materially more false triggers.
3. Branching entries with structure awareness
* Cross: Immediate VWAP cross in the trend direction.
* Cross-and-Retest: Requires a revisit to VWAP vicinity within a lookback window (recent low near VWAP for longs; recent high for shorts). This explicitly removes first-touch fakeouts that a plain cross takes.
* Momentum Exception (optional): A quantified body% + volume condition can bypass the retest when flow is impulsive—intentional risk-timing, not “just another indicator.”
4. Dual exits that reference both anchor and structure
* TrendBreak: Close only when price loses VWAP and EMA alignment flips.
* ATR stop: Placed at entry to cap tail risk.
These exits complement the entry structure rather than being generic stop/target add-ons.
What it does
* Trades the session’s fair value anchor (VWAP), but only with local-trend agreement (EMA fast vs. slow) and sufficient participation (volume filter).
* Lets you pick Cross or Cross-and-Retest entries; optionally allow a fast Momentum Exception when candles expand with volume.
* Manages positions with a structure exit (TrendBreak) and an emergency ATR stop from entry.
How it works (concepts & calculations)
* VWAP (session anchor):
Standard VWAP of the active session; entries reference the cross and the retest proximity to VWAP.
* Trend gate:
Long context only if `EMA(fast) > EMA(slow)`; short only if `EMA(fast) < EMA(slow)`.
A *gate*, not a trigger—entries aren’t considered unless this is true.
* Participation (volume) gate:
Require `volume > SMA(volume, volLen) × volMult`.
Screens out low-participation wiggles around VWAP.
Entries:
* Cross: Price crosses VWAP in the trend direction while volume gate is open.
* Cross-and-Retest: After crossing, price revisits VWAP vicinity within `lookback` (recent *low near VWAP* for longs; recent *high near VWAP* for shorts).
* Momentum Exception (optional): If body% (|close−open| / range) and volume exceed thresholds, enter without waiting for the retest.
Exits:
* TrendBreak (structure):
* Longs close when `price < VWAP` and `EMA(fast) < EMA(slow)` (mirror for shorts).
* ATR stop (risk):
* From entry: `stop = entry ± ATR(atrLen) × atrMult`.
How to use it ?
1. Select market & timeframe: Intraday on liquid symbols (equities, futures, crypto).
2. Pick entry mode:
* Start with Cross-and-Retest for fewer, more selective signals.
* Enable Momentum Exception if strong moves leave without retesting.
3. Tune guards:
* Raise `volMult` to ignore thin periods; lower it for more activity.
* Adjust `lookback` if retests come late/early on your symbol.
4. Risk:
* `atrLen` and `atrMult` set the emergency stop distance.
5. Read results per session: Optional panel (if enabled) summarizes Net-R, Win%, and PF for today’s session to evaluate
behavior regime by regime.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and use proper risk management when applying this strategy.
RSI Crossover AlertRSI Crossover Alert Indicator - User Guide
The RSI Crossover Alert Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool that detects multiple types of RSI crossovers and generates real-time alerts. It combines traditional RSI analysis with signal lines, divergence detection, and multi-level crossing alerts.
1. Multiple Crossover Detection
- RSI/Signal Line Cross: Signals a primary trend change.
- RSI/Second Signal Cross: Confirmation signals for stronger trends.
- Level Crossings: Crosses of Overbought 70, Oversold 30, and Midline 50.
- Divergence Detection: Hidden and regular divergences for reversal signals.
2. Alert Types
- Alert: RSI > Signal
Description: Bullish momentum is building.
Signal: Consider long positions.
- Alert: RSI < Signal
Description: Bearish momentum is building.
Signal: Consider short positions.
- Alert: RSI > 70
Description: Entering the overbought zone.
Signal: Prepare for a potential reversal.
- Alert: RSI < 30
Description: Entering the oversold zone.
Signal: Watch for a bounce opportunity.
- Alert: RSI crosses 50
Description: A shift in momentum.
Signal: Trend confirmation.
3. Visual Components
- Lines: RSI blue, Signal orange, Second Signal purple
- Histogram: Visualizes momentum by showing the difference between RSI and the Signal line.
- Background Zones: Red overbought, Green oversold
- Markers: Up/down triangles to indicate crossovers.
- Info Table: Real-time RSI values and status.
Strategy 1: Classic Crossover
- Entry Long: RSI crosses above the Signal Line AND RSI is below 50.
- Entry Short: RSI crosses below the Signal Line AND RSI is above 50.
- Take Profit: On the opposite signal.
- Stop Loss: At the recent swing high/low.
Strategy 2: Extreme Zone Reversal
- Entry Long: RSI is below 30 and crosses above the Signal Line.
- Entry Short: RSI is above 70 and crosses below the Signal Line.
- Risk Management: Higher win rate but fewer signals. Use a minimum 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Strategy 3: Divergence Trading
- Setup: Enable divergence alerts and look for price/RSI divergence. Wait for an RSI crossover for confirmation.
- Entry: Enter on the crossover after the divergence appears. Place the stop loss beyond the starting point of the divergence.
Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
1. Check the higher timeframe e.g. Daily to identify the main trend.
2. Use the current timeframe e.g. 4H/1H for your entry.
3. Only enter in the direction of the main trend.
4. Use the RSI crossover as the entry trigger.
Optimal Settings by Market
- Forex Major Pairs
RSI Length: 14, Signal Length: 9, Overbought/Oversold: 70/30
- Crypto High Volatility
RSI Length: 10-12, Signal Length: 6-8, Overbought/Oversold: 75/25
- Stocks Trending
RSI Length: 14-21, Signal Length: 9-12, Overbought/Oversold: 70/30
- Commodities
RSI Length: 14, Signal Length: 9, Overbought/Oversold: 80/20
Risk Management Rules
1. Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% on a single trade. Reduce size in ranging markets.
2. Stop Loss Placement: Place stops beyond the recent swing high/low for crossovers. Using an ATR-based stop is also effective.
3. Profit Taking: Take partial profits at a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. Switch to a trailing stop after reaching 2:1.
1. Filtering Signals
- Combine with volume indicators.
- Confirm the trend on a higher timeframe.
- Wait for candlestick pattern confirmation.
2. Avoid Common Mistakes
- Don't trade every single crossover.
- Avoid taking signals against a strong trend.
- Do not ignore risk management.
3. Market Conditions
- Trending Market: Focus on midline 50 crosses.
- Ranging Market: Look for reversals from overbought/oversold levels.
- Volatile Market: Widen the overbought/oversold levels.
- If you get too many false signals:
Increase the signal line period, add other confirmation indicators, or use a higher timeframe.
- If you are missing major moves:
Decrease the RSI length, shorten the signal line period, or check your alert settings.
Recommended Combinations
1. RSI + MACD: For dual momentum confirmation.
2. RSI + Bollinger Bands: For volatility-adjusted signals.
3. RSI + Volume: To confirm the strength of a signal.
4. RSI + Moving Averages: To use as a trend filter.
This indicator provides a comprehensive RSI analysis. Success depends on proper configuration, risk management, and combining signals with the overall market context. Start with the default settings, then optimize based on your trading style and market conditions.
J12Matic Builder by galgoomA flexible Renko/tick strategy that lets you choose between two entry engines (Multi-Source 3-way or QBand+Moneyball), with a unified trailing/TP exit engine, NY-time trading windows with auto-flatten, daily profit/loss and trade-count limits (HALT mode), and clean webhook routing using {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
Highlights
Two entry engines
Multi-Source (3): up to three long/short sources with Single / Dual / Triple logic and optional lookback.
QBand + Moneyball: Gate → Trigger workflow with timing windows, OR/AND trigger modes, per-window caps, optional same-bar fire.
Unified exit engine: Trailing by Bricks or Ticks, plus optional static TP/SL.
Session control (NY time): Evening / Overnight / NY Session windows; auto-flatten at end of any enabled window.
Day controls: Profit/Loss (USD) and Trade-count limits. When hit, strategy HALTS new entries, shows an on-chart label/background.
Alert routing designed for webhooks: Every order sets alert_message= so you can run alerts with:
Condition: this strategy
Notify on: Order fills only
Message: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Default JSONs or Custom payloads: If a Custom field is blank, a sensible default JSON is sent. Fill a field to override.
How to set up alerts (the 15-second version)
Create a TradingView alert with this strategy as Condition.
Notify on: Order fills only.
Message: {{strategy.order.alert_message}} (exactly).
If you want your own payloads, paste them into Inputs → 08) Custom Alert Payloads.
Leave blank → the strategy sends a default JSON.
Fill in → your text is sent as-is.
Note: Anything you type into the alert dialog’s Message box is ignored except the {{strategy.order.alert_message}} token, which forwards the payload supplied by the strategy at order time.
Publishing notes / best practices
Renko users: Make sure “Renko Brick Size” in Inputs matches your chart’s brick size exactly.
Ticks vs Bricks: Exit distances switch instantly when you toggle Exit Units.
Same-bar flips: If enabled, a new opposite signal will first close the open trade (with its exit payload), then enter the new side.
HALT mode: When day profit/loss limit or trade-count limit triggers, new entries are blocked for the rest of the session day. You’ll see a label and a soft background tint.
Session end flatten: Auto-closes positions at window ends; these exits use the “End of Session Window Exit” payload.
Bar magnifier: Strategy is configured for on-close execution; you can enable Bar Magnifier in Properties if needed.
Default JSONs (used when a Custom field is empty)
Open: {"event":"open","side":"long|short","symbol":""}
Close: {"event":"close","side":"long|short|flat","reason":"tp|sl|flip|session|limit_profit|limit_loss","symbol":""}
You can paste any text/JSON into the Custom fields; it will be forwarded as-is when that event occurs.
Input sections — user guide
01) Entries & Signals
Entry Logic: Choose Multi-Source (3) or QBand + Moneyball (pick one).
Enable Long/Short Signals: Master on/off switches for entering long/short.
Flip on opposite signal: If enabled, a new opposite signal will close the current position first, then open the other side.
Signal Logic (Multi-Source):
Single: any 1 of the 3 sources > 0
Dual: Source1 AND Source2 > 0
Triple (default): 1 AND 2 AND 3 > 0
Long/Short Signal Sources 1–3: Provide up to three series (often indicators). A positive value (> 0) is treated as a “pulse”.
Use Lookback: Keeps a source “true” for N bars after it pulses (helps catch late triggers).
Long/Short Lookback (bars): How many bars to remember that pulse.
01b) QBands + Moneyball (Gate -> Trigger)
Allow same-bar Gate->Trigger: If ON, a trigger can fire on the same bar as the gate pulse.
Trigger must fire within N bars after Gate: Size of the gate window (in bars).
Max signals per window (0 = unlimited): Cap the number of entries allowed while a gate window is open.
Buy/Sell Source 1 – Gate: Gate pulse sources that open the buy/sell window (often a regime/zone, e.g., QBands bull/bear).
Trigger Pulse Mode (Buy/Sell): How to detect a trigger pulse from the trigger sources (Change / Appear / Rise>0 / Fall<0).
Trigger A/B sources + Extend Bars: Primary/secondary triggers plus optional extension to persist their pulse for N bars.
Trigger Mode: Pick S2 only, S3 only, S2 OR S3, or S2 AND S3. AND mode remembers both pulses inside the window before firing.
02) Exit Units (Trailing/TP)
Exit Units: Choose Bricks (Renko) or Ticks. All distances below switch accordingly.
03) Tick-based Trailing / Stops (active when Exit Units = Ticks)
Initial SL (ticks): Starting stop distance from entry.
Start Trailing After (ticks): Start trailing once price moves this far in your favor.
Trailing Distance (ticks): Offset of the trailing stop from peak/trough once trailing begins.
Take Profit (ticks): Optional static TP distance.
Stop Loss (ticks): Optional static SL distance (overrides trailing if enabled).
04) Brick-based Trailing / Stops (active when Exit Units = Bricks)
Renko Brick Size: Must match your chart’s brick size.
Initial SL / Start Trailing After / Trailing Distance (bricks): Same definitions as tick mode, measured in bricks.
Take Profit / Stop Loss (bricks): Optional static distances.
05) TP / SL Switch
Enable Static Take Profit: If ON, closes the trade at the fixed TP distance.
Enable Static Stop Loss (Overrides Trailing): If ON, trailing is disabled and a fixed SL is used.
06) Trading Windows (NY time)
Use Trading Windows: Master toggle for all windows.
Evening / Overnight / NY Session: Define each session in NY time.
Flatten at End of : Auto-close any open position when a window ends (sends the Session Exit payload).
07) Day Controls & Limits
Enable Profit Limits / Profit Limit (Dollars): When daily net PnL ≥ limit → auto-flatten and HALT.
Enable Loss Limits / Loss Limit (Dollars): When daily net PnL ≤ −limit → auto-flatten and HALT.
Enable Trade Count Limits / Number of Trades Allowed: After N entries, HALT new entries (does not auto-flatten).
On-chart HUD: A label and soft background tint appear when HALTED; a compact status table shows Day PnL, trade count, and mode.
08) Custom Alert Payloads (used as strategy.order.alert_message)
Long/Short Entry: Payload sent on entries (if blank, a default open JSON is sent).
Regular Long/Short Exit: Payload sent on closes from SL/TP/flip (if blank, a default close JSON is sent).
End of Session Window Exit: Payload sent when any enabled window ends and positions are flattened.
Profit/Loss/Trade Limit Close: Payload sent when daily profit/loss limit causes auto-flatten.
Tip: Any tokens you include here are forwarded “as is”. If your downstream expects variables, do the substitution on the receiver side.
Known limitations
No bracket orders from Pine: This strategy doesn’t create OCO/attached brackets on the broker; it simulates exits with strategy logic and forwards your payloads for external automation.
alert_message is per order only: Alerts fire on order events. General status pings aren’t sent unless you wire a separate indicator/alert.
Renko specifics: Backtests on synthetic Renko can differ from live execution. Always forward-test on your instrument and settings.
Quick checklist before you publish
✅ Brick size in Inputs matches your Renko chart
✅ Exit Units set to Bricks or Ticks as you intend
✅ Day limits/Windows toggled as you want
✅ Custom payloads filled (or leave blank to use defaults)
✅ Your alert uses Order fills only + {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Divergence Strategy [Trendoscope®]🎲 Overview
The Divergence Strategy is a sophisticated TradingView strategy that enhances the Divergence Screener by adding automated trade signal generation, risk management, and trade visualization. It leverages the screener’s robust divergence detection to identify bullish, bearish, regular, and hidden divergences, then executes trades with precise entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. Designed for traders seeking automated trading solutions, this strategy offers customizable trade parameters and visual feedback to optimize performance across various markets and timeframes.
For core divergence detection features, including oscillator options, trend detection methods, zigzag pivot analysis, and visualization, refer to the Divergence Screener documentation. This description focuses on the strategy-specific enhancements for automated trading and risk management.
🎲 Strategy Features
🎯Automated Trade Signal Generation
Trade Direction Control : Restrict trades to long-only or short-only to align with market bias or strategy goals, preventing conflicting orders.
Divergence Type Selection : Choose to trade regular divergences (bullish/bearish), hidden divergences, or both, targeting reversals or trend continuations.
Entry Type Options :
Cautious : Enters conservatively at pivot points and exits quickly to minimize risk exposure.
Confident : Enters aggressively at the latest price and holds longer to capture larger moves.
Mixed : Combines conservative entries with delayed exits for a balanced approach.
Market vs. Stop Orders: Opt for market orders for instant execution or stop orders for precise price entry.
🎯 Enhanced Risk Management
Risk/Reward Ratio : Define a risk-reward ratio (default: 2.0) to set profit targets relative to stop-loss levels, ensuring consistent trade sizing.
Bracket Orders : Trades include entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels calculated from divergence pivot points, tailored to the entry type and risk-reward settings.
Stop-Loss Placement : Stops are strategically set (e.g., at recent pivot or last price point) based on entry type, balancing risk and trade validity.
Order Cancellation : Optionally cancel pending orders when a divergence is broken (e.g., price moves past the pivot in the wrong direction), reducing invalid trades. This feature is toggleable for flexibility.
🎯 Trade Visualization
Target and Stop Boxes : Displays take-profit (lime) and stop-loss (orange) levels as boxes on the price chart, extending 10 bars forward for clear visibility.
Dynamic Trade Updates : Trade visualizations are added, updated, or removed as trades are executed, canceled, or invalidated, ensuring accurate feedback.
Overlay Integration : Trade levels overlay the price chart, complementing the screener’s oscillator-based divergence lines and labels.
🎯 Strategy Default Configuration
Capital and Sizing : Set initial capital (default: $1,000,000) and position size (default: 20% of equity) for realistic backtesting.
Pyramiding : Allows up to 4 concurrent trades, enabling multiple divergence-based entries in trending markets.
Commission and Margin : Accounts for commission (default: 0.01%) and margin (100% for long/short) to reflect trading costs.
Performance Optimization : Processes up to 5,000 bars dynamically, balancing historical analysis and real-time execution.
🎲 Inputs and Configuration
🎯Trade Settings
Direction : Select Long or Short (default: Long).
Divergence : Trade Regular, Hidden, or Both divergence types (default: Both).
Entry/Exit Type : Choose Cautious, Confident, or Mixed (default: Cautious).
Risk/Reward : Set the risk-reward ratio for profit targets (default: 2.0).
Use Market Order : Enable market orders for immediate entry (default: false, uses limit orders).
Cancel On Break : Cancel pending orders when divergence is broken (default: true).
🎯Inherited Settings
The strategy inherits all inputs from the Divergence Screener, including:
Oscillator Settings : Oscillator type (e.g., RSI, CCI), length, and external oscillator option.
Trend Settings : Trend detection method (Zigzag, MA Difference, External), MA type, and length.
Zigzag Settings : Zigzag length (fixed repaint = true).
🎲 Entry/Exit Types for Divergence Scenarios
The Divergence Strategy offers three Entry/Exit Type options—Cautious, Confident, and Mixed—which determine how trades are entered and exited based on divergence pivot points. This section explains how these settings apply to different divergence scenarios, with placeholders for screenshots to illustrate each case.
The divergence pattern forms after 3 pivots. The stop and entry levels are formed on one of these levels based on Entry/Exit types.
🎯Bullish Divergence (Reversal)
A bullish divergence occurs when price forms a lower low, but the oscillator forms a higher low, signaling a potential upward reversal.
💎 Cautious:
Entry : At the pivot high point for a conservative entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the last pivot point (previous low that is higher than the current pivot low); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters after confirmation and exits quickly to limit downside risk.
💎Confident:
Entry : At the last pivot low, (previous low which is higher than the current pivot low) for an aggressive entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at recent pivot low, which is the lowest point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot. (lazy exit)
Behavior : Enters early to capture trend continuation, holding longer for gains.
💎Mixed:
Entry : At the pivot high point (conservative).
Exit : Stop-loss at the recent pivot point that has resulted in lower low (lazy exit). Canceled if price breaks below the pivot.
Behavior : Balances entry caution with extended holding for trend continuation.
🎯Bearish Divergence (Reversal)
A bearish divergence occurs when price forms a higher high, but the oscillator forms a lower high, indicating a potential downward reversal.
💎Cautious:
Entry : At the pivot low point (lower high) for a conservative short entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the previous pivot high point (previous high); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters conservatively and exits quickly to minimize risk.
💎Confident:
Entry : At the last price point (previous high) for an aggressive short entry.
Exit : Stop-loss at the pivot point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Enters early to maximize trend continuation, holding longer.
💎Mixed:
Entry : At the previous piot high point (conservative).
Exit : Stop-loss at the last price point (delayed exit). Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Combines conservative entry with extended holding for downtrend gains.
🎯Bullish Hidden Divergence (Continuation)
A bullish hidden divergence occurs when price forms a higher low, but the oscillator forms a lower low, suggesting uptrend continuation. In case of Hidden bullish divergence, b]Entry is always on the previous pivot high (unless it is a market order)
💎Cautious:
Exit : Stop-loss at the recent pivot low point (higher than previous pivot low); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters after confirmation and exits quickly to limit downside risk.
💎Confident:
Exit : Stop-loss at previous pivot low, which is the lowest point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks below the pivot. (lazy exit)
Behavior : Enters early to capture trend continuation, holding longer for gains.
🎯Bearish Hidden Divergence (Continuation)
A bearish hidden divergence occurs when price forms a lower high, but the oscillator forms a higher high, suggesting downtrend continuation. In case of Hidden Bearish divergence, b]Entry is always on the previous pivot low (unless it is a market order)
💎Cautious:
Exit : Stop-loss at the latest pivot high point (which is a lower high); take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot (if Cancel On Break is enabled).
Behavior : Enters conservatively and exits quickly to minimize risk.
💎Confident/Mixed:
Exit : Stop-loss at the previous pivot high point; take-profit at risk-reward ratio. Canceled if price breaks above the pivot.
Behavior : Uses the late exit point to hold longer.
🎲 Usage Instructions
🎯Add to Chart:
Add the Divergence Strategy to your TradingView chart.
The oscillator and divergence signals appear in a separate pane, with trade levels (target/stop boxes) overlaid on the price chart.
🎯Configure Settings:
Adjust trade settings (direction, divergence type, entry type, risk-reward, market orders, cancel on break).
Modify inherited Divergence Screener settings (oscillator, trend method, zigzag length) as needed.
Enable/disable alerts for divergence notifications.
🎯Interpret Signals:
Long Trades: Triggered on bullish or bullish hidden divergences (if allowed), shown with green/lime lines and labels.
Short Trades: Triggered on bearish or bearish hidden divergences (if allowed), shown with red/orange lines and labels.
Monitor lime (target) and orange (stop) boxes for trade levels.
Review strategy performance metrics (e.g., profit/loss, win rate) in the strategy tester.
🎯Backtest and Optimize:
Use TradingView’s strategy tester to evaluate performance on historical data.
Fine-tune risk-reward, entry type, position sizing, and cancellation settings to suit your market and timeframe.
For questions, suggestions, or support, contact Trendoscope via TradingView or official support channels. Stay tuned for updates and enhancements to the Divergence Strategy!
CVD Divergence & Volume ProfileThis Pine Script indicator, named "CVD Divergence & Volume Profile," is designed to identify potential trading opportunities by combining Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence with Volume Profile levels and an optional Simple Moving Average (SMA) trend filter. It plots signals directly on the price chart.
Here's a breakdown of what each component does and how to potentially trade with it:
1. Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence
What it does: CVD measures the cumulative difference between buying and selling volume. A rising CVD indicates more buying pressure, while a falling CVD indicates more selling pressure. Divergence occurs when the price action contradicts the CVD's direction, suggesting a potential shift in momentum or trend reversal.
Bearish Divergence: The price makes a higher high, but the CVD makes a lower high (or fails to make a new high). This suggests that despite the price increasing, the underlying buying pressure is weakening.
Bullish Divergence: The price makes a lower low, but the CVD makes a higher low (or fails to make a new low). This suggests that despite the price decreasing, the underlying selling pressure is weakening.
Visualization:
Red triangle pointing down on the chart indicates a Bearish Divergence signal.
Green triangle pointing up on the chart indicates a Bullish Divergence signal.
2. Volume Profile Levels (VAH, VAL, POC)
What it does: The indicator calculates simplified Volume Profile levels over a user-defined vp_range (number of candles). These levels represent areas where significant trading activity has occurred:
VAH (Value Area High): The upper boundary of the "Value Area," where 70% of the volume traded.
VAL (Value Area Low): The lower boundary of the "Value Area," where 70% of the volume traded.
POC (Point of Control): The price level within the vp_range where the most volume was traded.
Significance: These levels often act as significant support and resistance zones.
Visualization:
Orange lines for VAH and VAL.
Yellow line for POC.
Zone Proximity (zone_thresh): The indicator only generates divergence signals if the current close price is within a specified percentage zone_thresh of either VAH, VAL, or POC. This filters signals to areas of high liquidity and potential turning points.
3. Trend Filter (SMA)
What it does: This is an optional filter (use_trend_filter) that uses a Simple Moving Average (sma_period, default 200).
Significance: It helps ensure that divergence signals are traded in alignment with the broader market trend, potentially increasing their reliability.
For long signals (bullish divergence), the price (close) must be above the SMA (indicating an uptrend).
For short signals (bearish divergence), the price (close) must be below the SMA (indicating a downtrend).
Visualization: A blue line on the chart representing the SMA.
How to Trade with It (Potential Strategies)
The indicator aims to provide high-probability entry points by combining multiple confirming factors. Here's how you might interpret and trade the signals:
Identify Divergence: Look for the triangle signals on your chart (red for bearish, green for bullish).
Confirm Proximity to Volume Profile Levels: The signal itself confirms that the price is near a significant Volume Profile level (VAH, VAL, or POC). These are areas where price often reacts.
Bullish Signal (Green Triangle): This suggests buying momentum is returning after a price decline, especially when the price is near VAL or POC, which might act as support.
Bearish Signal (Red Triangle): This suggests selling momentum is increasing after a price rally, especially when the price is near VAH or POC, which might act as resistance.
Check Trend Alignment (SMA Filter):
For a long trade: You would ideally want to see a green triangle (bullish divergence) while the price is above the blue SMA line. This indicates a bullish divergence confirming a potential bounce within an existing uptrend.
For a short trade: You would ideally want to see a red triangle (bearish divergence) while the price is below the blue SMA line. This indicates a bearish divergence confirming a potential rejection within an existing downtrend.
Entry and Exit Considerations:
Entry: Consider entering a trade on the candle where the signal appears, or on the subsequent candle for confirmation.
Stop Loss: For a long trade, a logical stop-loss could be placed below the lowest point of the divergence, or below the VAL/POC if the signal occurred near it. For a short trade, above the highest point of the divergence or VAH/POC.
Take Profit: Targets could be set at the opposite Volume Profile level, previous swing highs/lows, or using a fixed risk-reward ratio.
Example Trading Scenario:
Long Trade: You see a green triangle (bullish divergence) printed on the chart. You notice the price is currently at the VAL (orange line). You check the blue SMA line and confirm that the price is above it (uptrend). This confluence of factors (bullish divergence, support at VAL, and uptrend) provides a strong potential long entry signal. You might enter, place your stop loss just below VAL, and target VAH or the next resistance level.
Short Trade: You see a red triangle (bearish divergence). The price is at the VAH (orange line). The price is also below the blue SMA line (downtrend). This suggests a potential short entry. You might enter, place your stop loss just above VAH, and target VAL or the next support level.
SL Hunting Detector📌 Step 1: Identify Liquidity Zones
The script plots high-liquidity zones (red) and low-liquidity zones (green).
These are areas where big players target stop-losses before reversing the price.
Example:
If price is near a red liquidity zone, expect a potential stop-loss hunt & reversal downward.
If price is near a green liquidity zone, expect a potential stop-loss hunt & reversal upward.
📌 Step 2: Watch for Stop-Loss Hunts (Fakeouts)
The indicator marks stop-loss hunts with red (bearish) or green (bullish) arrows.
When do stop-loss hunts occur?
✅ A long wick below support (with high volume) = Stop hunt before reversal upward.
✅ A long wick above resistance (with high volume) = Stop hunt before reversal downward.
Confirmation:
Volume must spike (volume > 1.5x the average volume).
ATR-based wicks must be longer than usual (showing a stop-hunt trap).
📌 Step 3: Enter a Trade After a Stop-Hunt
🔹 Bullish Trade (Buying a Dip)
If a green arrow appears (stop-hunt below support):
✅ Enter a long (buy) trade at or just above the wick’s recovery level.
✅ Stop-loss: Below the wick’s low (avoid getting hunted again).
✅ Take-profit: Next resistance level or mid-range of the liquidity zone.
🔹 Bearish Trade (Shorting a Fakeout)
If a red arrow appears (stop-hunt above resistance):
✅ Enter a short (sell) trade at or just below the wick’s rejection level.
✅ Stop-loss: Above the wick’s high (avoid getting stopped out).
✅ Take-profit: Next support level or mid-range of the liquidity zone.
📌 Step 4: Set Alerts & Automate
✅ The indicator triggers alerts when a stop-hunt is detected.
✅ You can set TradingView to notify you instantly when:
A bullish stop-hunt occurs → Look for long entry.
A bearish stop-hunt occurs → Look for short entry.
📌 Example Trade Setup
Example (BTC Long Trade on Stop-Hunt)
BTC is near $40,000 support (green liquidity zone).
A long wick drops to $39,800 with a green arrow (bullish stop-hunt signal).
Volume spikes, and price recovers quickly back above $40,000.
Trade entry: Buy at $40,050.
Stop-loss: Below wick ($39,700).
Take-profit: $41,500 (next resistance).
Result: BTC pumps, stop-loss remains safe, and trade profits.
🔥 Final Tips
Always wait for confirmation (don’t enter blindly on signals).
Use higher timeframes (15m, 1H, 4H) for better accuracy.
Combine with Order Flow tools (like Bookmap) to see real liquidity zones.
🚀 Now try it on TradingView! Let me know if you need adjustments. 📈🔥
