Market Internals [Makit0] MARKET INTERNALS INDICATOR v0.5beta
Market Internals are suitable for day trade equity indices, named SPY or /ES, please do your own research about what they are and how to use them
This scripts plots the NYSE market internals charts as an indicator for an easy and full visualization of market internal structure all in one chart, useful for SPY and /ES trading
Description of the Market Internals
- TICK: NYSE stocks ticking up vs stocks ticking down, extreme values may point to trend continuation on trending days or reversal in non trending days, example of extreme values can be 800 and 1000
- ADD: NYSE stocks going up vs stocks going down, if price auctions around the zero line may be a non trend day, otherwise may be a trend day
- VOLD: NYSE volume of stocks up vs volume of stocks going down, identify clearly where the volume is going, as example if volume is flowing down may be a good idea no to place longs
- TRIN: NYSE up stocks vs down stocks ratio divided by up volume vs down volume ratio. A value of 1 indicates parity, below that the strength is on the long side, above the strength is in the short side.
A basic use of market internals may be looking for divergences, for example:
- /ES is trading in a range but ADD and VOLD are trending up nonstop, may /ES will break the range to the upside
- /ES is trading in a range and ADD and VOLD are trading around the zero line but got an extreme reading on TICK, may be a non trending day and the TICK extreme reading is at one of the extremes of the /ES range, may be a good probability trade to fade that move
- /ES is trading in a trend to the downside, ADD and VOLD too, you catch a good portion of the move but are fearful to flat and miss more gains, you see in the TICK a lot of extreme values below -800 so your're confident in the continuation of the downtrend, until the TICK goes beyond -1000 and you use that signal to go flat
Market internals give you context and confirmation, price in /ES may be trending but if market internals do not confirm the move may a reversal is on its way
Price is an advertise, you can see the real move in the structure below, in the behavior of the individual components of the market, those are the real questions:
- How many stocks are going up/down (ADD)
- How many volume is flowing up/down (VOLD)
- How many stocks are ticking up/down (TICK)
- What is the overall volume breath of the market (TRIN)
FEATURES:
- Plot one of the four basic market internal indices: TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN
- Show labels with values beyond an user defined threshold
- Show ZERO line
- Show user defined Dotted and Dashed lines
- Show user defined moving average
SETTINGS:
- Market internal: ticker to plot in the indicator, four options to choose from (TICK, ADD, VOLD and TRIN)
- Labels threshold: all values beyond this will be ploted as labels
- Dot lines at: two dotted lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- Dash lines at: two dashed lines will be plotted at this value above and below the zero line
- MA type: two options avaiable SMA (Simple Moving Average) or EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
- MA length: number of bars to calculate the moving average
- Show zero line: show or hide zero line
- Show dot line: show or hide dotted lines
- Show dash line: show or hide dashed lines
- Show labels: show or hide labels
GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING
Поиск скриптов по запросу "spy"
Hide extended hours/non-intraday barsEspecially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc., this script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only.
With this script , you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, if you are a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY, with this script, and no need to check SPY separately again , saving your time a lot.
Note: Please couple this script with American Bars. If you use candle charts, the upper/lower pins of the candle can't be hidden with the bars together, which is restricted by the code editor itself...
Kozlod - RSI Strategy - 1 minuteStarted to play with very simple strategies. Trying to find ones with optimal parameters which work well for certain symbols/timeframe.
Found that basic RSI strategy without any position management with high RSI length (65 in this script) works pretty good for 1m chart for few stocks.
It's also not bad for AAPL , SPY .
It might not work very good on it's not but can give you a pretty good base for more complicated indicators.
And remember:
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Willams %RwEMAspy
Was looking for something else when surfed into an old question
wanting %R 21 period with EMA 13 period of the %R signal
and being a rookie at this, made this code to post for them.
Tried to comment the script in such a way that other rookies
like me could make better sense of what is being done. Hope
this helps someone. I find it useful as one of my indicators for
trading.
Pinescript for tradingview.com user Tom1trader
All time frames.
Interpretation:
%R (Red) crosses above it's average (Blue) - bull
%R crosses below it's average - bear. Background
color changes green-up red-down with above crossings.
Most but not all of serious price movement takes place
from the time the %R (red) goes into oversold (or bought) and
exits again.
%R centerline crosses can also be useful.
I use various indicators and want all of the confirmation
that I can get for expectations BUT I never know what the
next bar will do and define my risks accordingly.
Sectors Relative Strength Normal DistributionI wrote this indicator as an attempt to see the Relative Strengths of different sectors in the same scale, but there is also other ways to do that.
This indicator plots the normal distribution for the 10 sectors of the SPY for the last X bars of the selected resolution, based on the selected comparative security. It shows which sectors are outperforming and underperforming the SPY (or any other security) relatively to each other by the given deviation.
MarketRSThe strength of a stock relative to the market (SPY) is an import indicator accumulation of a stock by institutionan funds, especially during a market decline. This indicator plot the ratio of a security/SPY and plots a fast (5 period) and slow (21 period) EMA.
VB Finviz-style MTF Screener📊 VB Multi-Timeframe Stock Screener (Daily + 4H + 1H)
A structured, high-signal stock screener that blends Daily fundamentals, 4H trend confirmation, and 1H entry timing to surface strong trading opportunities with institutional discipline.
🟦 1. Daily Screener — Core Stock Selection
All fundamental and structural filters run strictly on Daily data for maximum stability and signal quality.
Daily filters include:
📈 Average Volume & Relative Volume
💲 Minimum Price Threshold
📊 Beta vs SPY
🏢 Market Cap (Billions)
🔥 ATR Liquidity Filter
🧱 Float Requirements
📘 Price Above Daily SMA50
🚀 Minimum Gap-Up Condition
This layer acts like a Finviz-style engine, identifying stocks worth trading before momentum or timing is considered.
🟩 2. 4H Trend Confirmation — Momentum Check
Once a stock passes the Daily screen, the 4-hour timeframe validates trend strength:
🔼 Price above 4H MA
📈 MA pointing upward
This removes structurally good stocks that are not in a healthy trend.
🟧 3. 1H Entry Alignment — Timing Layer
The Hourly timeframe refines near-term timing:
🔼 Price above 1H MA
📉 Short-term upward movement detected
This step ensures the stock isn’t just good on paper—it’s moving now.
🧪 MTF Debug Table (Your Transparency Engine)
A live diagnostic table shows:
All Daily values
All 4H checks
All 1H checks
Exact PASS/FAIL per condition
Perfect for tuning thresholds or understanding why a ticker qualifies or fails.
🎯 Who This Screener Is For
Swing traders
Momentum/trend traders
Systematic and rules-based traders
Traders who want clean, multi-timeframe alignment
By combining Daily fundamentals, 4H trend structure, and 1H momentum, this screener filters the market down to the stocks that are strong, aligned, and ready.
Sector Rotation - Risk Preference Indicator# Sector Rotation - Risk Preference Indicator
## Overview
This indicator measures market risk appetite by comparing the relative strength between **Aggressive** and **Defensive** sectors. It provides a clean, single-line visualization to help traders identify market sentiment shifts and potential trend reversals.
## How It Works
The indicator calculates a **Bullish/Bearish Ratio** by dividing the average price of aggressive sector ETFs by defensive sector ETFs, then normalizing to a baseline of 100.
**Formula:**
- Ratio = (Aggressive Sectors Average / Defensive Sectors Average) × 100
**Interpretation:**
- **Ratio > 100**: Risk-on sentiment (Aggressive sectors outperforming Defensive)
- **Ratio < 100**: Risk-off sentiment (Defensive sectors outperforming Aggressive)
- **Ratio ≈ 100**: Neutral (Both sector groups performing equally)
## Default Sectors
**Defensive Sectors** (Safe havens during uncertainty):
- XLP - Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XLU - Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XLV - Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund
**Aggressive Sectors** (Growth-oriented, higher risk):
- XLK - Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
- XBI - SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
- XRT - SPDR S&P Retail ETF
## Features
✅ **Fully Customizable Sectors** - Choose any ETFs/tickers for each sector group
✅ **Smoothing Control** - Adjustable SMA period to reduce noise (default: 2)
✅ **Clean Visualization** - Single blue line for easy interpretation
✅ **Multi-timeframe Support** - Works on any timeframe
✅ **Lightweight** - Minimal calculations for fast performance
## Settings
### Defensive Sectors Group
- **Defensive Sector 1**: First defensive ETF ticker (default: XLP)
- **Defensive Sector 2**: Second defensive ETF ticker (default: XLU)
- **Defensive Sector 3**: Third defensive ETF ticker (default: XLV)
### Aggressive Sectors Group
- **Aggressive Sector 1**: First aggressive ETF ticker (default: XLK)
- **Aggressive Sector 2**: Second aggressive ETF ticker (default: XBI)
- **Aggressive Sector 3**: Third aggressive ETF ticker (default: XRT)
### Display Settings
- **Smoothing Length**: SMA period for ratio smoothing (default: 2, range: 1-50)
- Lower values = More responsive but noisier
- Higher values = Smoother but more lagging
## Use Cases
### 1. Market Regime Identification
- **Rising Ratio (trending up)** → Bull market / Risk-on environment
- Aggressive sectors leading, investors chasing growth
- Favorable for long positions in tech, growth stocks
- **Falling Ratio (trending down)** → Bear market / Risk-off environment
- Defensive sectors leading, investors seeking safety
- Consider defensive positioning or short opportunities
### 2. Divergence Analysis
- **Bullish Divergence**: Price makes new lows but ratio rises
- Suggests underlying strength returning
- Potential market bottom forming
- **Bearish Divergence**: Price makes new highs but ratio falls
- Suggests weakening momentum
- Potential market top forming
### 3. Trend Confirmation
- **Strong uptrend + Rising ratio** → Confirmed bullish trend
- **Strong downtrend + Falling ratio** → Confirmed bearish trend
- **Uptrend + Falling ratio** → Weakening trend, watch for reversal
- **Downtrend + Rising ratio** → Potential trend exhaustion
## Best Practices
⚠️ **Timeframe Selection**
- Recommended: Daily, 4H, 1H for cleaner signals
- Lower timeframes (15m, 5m) may produce noisy signals
⚠️ **Complementary Analysis**
- Use alongside price action and volume analysis
- Combine with support/resistance levels
- Not designed as a standalone trading system
⚠️ **Market Conditions**
- Most effective in trending markets
- Less reliable during ranging/consolidation periods
- Works best in liquid, well-traded sectors
⚠️ **Customization Tips**
- Can substitute with international sectors (EWU, EWZ, etc.)
- Can use crypto sectors (DeFi vs Layer1, etc.)
- Adjust smoothing based on trading style (day trading = 2-5, swing = 10-20)
## Display Options
### Default View (overlay=false)
- Shows in separate pane below chart
- Dedicated scale for ratio values
### Alternative View
- Can be moved to main chart pane (drag indicator)
I typically overlay this indicator on the SPY daily chart to observe divergences. I don’t focus on specific values but rather on the direction of the trend.
The author is not responsible for any trading losses incurred using this indicator.
## Support & Feedback
For questions, feature requests, or bug reports:
- Comment below
- Send a private message
- Check for updates regularly
If you find this indicator useful, please:
- ⭐ Leave a like/favorite
- 💬 Share your experience in comments
- 📊 Share charts showing interesting patterns
Adaptive Trend Navigator [ATH Filter & Risk Engine]Description:
This strategy implements a systematic Trend Following approach designed to capture major moves while actively protecting capital during severe bear markets. It combines a classic Moving Average "Fan" logic with two advanced risk management layers: a 4-Stage Dynamic Stop Loss and a macro-economic "Circuit Breaker" filter.
Core Concepts:
1. Trend Identification (Entry Logic) The script uses a cascade of Simple Moving Averages (SMA 25, 50, 100, 200) to identify the maturity of a trend.
Entries are triggered by specific crossovers (e.g., SMA 25 crossing SMA 50) or by breaking above the previous trade's high ("High-Water Mark" Re-Entry).
2. The "Circuit Breaker" (Crash Protection) To prevent trading during historical market collapses (like 2000 or 2008), the strategy monitors the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as a global benchmark:
Normal Regime: If the market is within 20% of its All-Time High, the strategy operates normally.
Crisis Regime: If the QQQ falls more than 20% from its ATH, the "Circuit Breaker" activates (Visualized by a Red Background).
Recovery Rule: In a Crisis Regime, new long positions are blocked unless the QQQ reclaims its SMA 200. This filters out "bull traps" in secular bear markets.
3. 4-Stage Risk Engine (Exit Logic) Once in a trade, the risk management adapts to the position's performance:
Stage 1: Fixed initial Stop Loss (default 10%) for breathing room.
Stage 2: Moves to Break-Even area once the price rises 12%.
Stage 3: Tightens to a trailing stop (8%) after 25% profit.
Stage 4: Maximizes gains with a tight trailing stop (5%) during parabolic moves (>40% profit).
Visual Guide:
SMAs: 25/50/100/200 period lines for trend visualization.
Red Background: Indicates the "Crisis Regime" where trading is halted due to broad market weakness.
Blue Background: Indicates a "Recovery Phase" (Crisis is active, but market is above SMA 200).
Red Line: Shows the dynamic Stop Loss level for active positions.
Settings: All parameters (SMA lengths, Drawdown threshold, Risk Stages) are fully customizable. The QQQ benchmark ticker can also be changed to SPY or other indices depending on the asset class traded.
MA200 Deviation Percentile200-Day MA Deviation with Dynamic Thresholds
OVERVIEW
This indicator measures price deviation from the 200-day moving average as a percentage, with dynamically calculated overbought/oversold thresholds based on historical percentiles.
Best suited for broad market indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM, etc.) where the 200-day MA serves as a reliable long-term trend indicator. Individual stocks may exhibit more erratic behavior around this level.
CALCULATION
Deviation (%) = (Close - 200MA) / 200MA x 100
Dynamic thresholds are derived from actual historical distribution rather than assuming normal distribution:
- Overbought threshold = 97.5th percentile of historical deviations
- Oversold threshold = 2.5th percentile of historical deviations
SETTINGS
MA Length (default: 200)
Moving average period.
Lookback Period (default: 1260)
Historical window for threshold calculation. 1260 bars approximates 5 years of daily data.
Threshold Percentile (default: 5%)
Two-tailed threshold. 5% places overbought/oversold boundaries at the 97.5th and 2.5th percentiles respectively.
INTERPRETATION
Deviation Value
- Positive: Price trading above 200MA
- Negative: Price trading below 200MA
- Magnitude indicates extent of deviation
Percentile Ranking (0-100%)
- Shows where current deviation ranks historically
- Above 90%: Historically elevated
- Below 10%: Historically depressed
Dynamic Threshold Lines
- Red line: Upper boundary based on historical distribution
- Green line: Lower boundary based on historical distribution
- These adapt automatically to each asset's volatility characteristics
APPLICATION
Mean Reversion
Extreme deviations tend to normalize over time. When deviation exceeds dynamic thresholds, probability of mean reversion increases.
Trend Assessment
Sustained positive/negative deviation confirms trend direction. Zero-line crossovers may signal trend changes.
NOTES
- Optimized for daily timeframe on market indices
- Requires sufficient historical data (minimum equal to lookback period)
- Extreme readings do not guarantee immediate reversals
- Use in conjunction with other analysis methods
Mebane Faber GTAA 5In 2007, Mebane Faber published research that challenged the conventional wisdom of buy-and-hold investing. His paper, titled "A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation" and published in the Journal of Wealth Management, demonstrated that a simple timing mechanism could reduce portfolio volatility and drawdowns while maintaining competitive returns (Faber, 2007). This indicator implements his Global Tactical Asset Allocation strategy, known as GTAA5, following the original methodology.
The core insight of Faber's research stems from a century of market data. By analyzing asset class performance from 1901 onwards, Faber found that a ten-month simple moving average served as an effective trend filter across major asset classes. When an asset trades above its ten-month moving average, it tends to continue its upward trajectory; when it falls below, significant drawdowns often follow (Faber, 2007, pp. 12-16). This observation aligns with momentum research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), who documented that intermediate-term momentum persists across equity markets.
The GTAA5 strategy allocates capital equally across five diversified asset classes: domestic equities (SPY), international developed markets (EFA), aggregate bonds (AGG), commodities (DBC), and real estate investment trusts (VNQ). Each asset receives a twenty percent allocation when trading above its ten-month moving average. When an asset falls below this threshold, its allocation moves to short-term treasury bills (SHY), creating a dynamic cash position that scales with market risk (Cambria Investment Management, 2013).
The strategy's historical performance during market crises illustrates its function. During the 2008 financial crisis, traditional sixty-forty portfolios experienced drawdowns exceeding forty percent. The GTAA5 strategy limited losses to approximately twelve percent by reducing equity exposure as prices declined below their moving averages (Faber, 2013). This asymmetric return profile represents the strategy's primary characteristic.
This implementation uses monthly closing prices retrieved via request.security() to calculate the ten-month simple moving average. This distinction matters, as approximations using daily data (such as a 200-day moving average) can generate different signals during volatile periods. Monthly data ensures the indicator produces signals consistent with published academic research.
The indicator provides position monitoring, automatic rebalancing detection on either the first or last trading day of each month, and share calculations based on user-defined capital. A dashboard displays current trend status for each asset class, target versus actual weightings, and trade instructions for rebalancing. Performance metrics including annualized volatility and Sharpe ratio provide ongoing risk assessment.
Several limitations warrant acknowledgment. First, the strategy rebalances monthly, meaning it cannot respond to intra-month market crashes. Second, transaction costs and taxes from monthly rebalancing may reduce net returns for taxable accounts. Third, the ten-month lookback period, while historically robust, offers no guarantee of future effectiveness. As Ilmanen (2011) notes in "Expected Returns", all timing strategies face the risk of regime change, where historical relationships break down.
This indicator serves educational purposes and portfolio monitoring. It does not constitute financial advice.
References:
Cambria Investment Management (2013). Global Tactical Asset Allocation: An Introduction to the Approach. Research Report, Los Angeles.
Faber, M.T. (2007). A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Asset Allocation. Journal of Wealth Management, Spring 2007, pp. 9-79.
Faber, M.T. (2013). Global Asset Allocation: A Survey of the World's Top Asset Allocation Strategies. Cambria Investment Management, Los Angeles.
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected Returns: An Investor's Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), pp. 65-91.
Classic Wave: The Easy WayClassic Wave is a simple strategy with few rules and no over-optimization. Despite its simplicity, it is backed by a nearly century-long historical track record, delivering excellent returns on the weekly chart of the SPX (TVC).
I also recommend observing its strong performance on the SPY (weekly), which is the perfect instrument for executing this strategy with futures in the future.
Strategy Rules and Parameters
When a bullish candle closes above the 20-period EMA, we place the stop-loss below the low of that candle and target a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.
A second, more profitable variant is to change the risk-reward ratio in the code to 2:1.
-Total capital: $10,000
-We use 10% of the total capital per trade.
-Commissions: 0.1% per trade.
The code construction is simple and very well detailed within the script itself.
Risk-Reward Ratio 2:1
Using a 2:1 risk-reward ratio reduces the win rate but significantly increases profitability.
Across the full historical data of the SPX index (weekly), the system would have generated 236 trades, with a win rate of 51.27% and a profit factor of 2.53.
From January 1, 2023, to November 28, 2025, the system would have generated 5 trades, with an 80% win rate and a profit factor of 9.244.
What makes this system so good?
-It takes advantage of the long-term bullish bias of U.S. stock indices and traditional markets.
-It filters out a lot of noise thanks to the weekly timeframe.
-It uses simple parameters with no over-optimization.
Final Notes:
This strategy has consistently outperformed the returns offered by most traditional funds over time, with fewer drawdowns and significantly less stress. I hope you like it.
Elite Correlation Matrix AIThe Elite Correlation Matrix AI indicator provides comprehensive real-time correlation analysis across multiple asset classes, displaying the interrelationships between equities, bonds, commodities, currencies, and volatility instruments.
The indicator calculates and displays correlation coefficients between a predefined set of major market indices and instruments, including:
• Major equity indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM)
• Long-term Treasury bonds (TLT)
• Gold (GLD)
• Crude oil (USO)
• Volatility (VIX)
• US Dollar Index (DXY)
• Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Key features include:
• Rolling correlation calculations across user-defined periods to identify both short-term and longer-term relationships
• Visual correlation heat map showing the strength and direction of relationships between all tracked instruments
• Detection of correlation breakdowns, which often precede significant market regime shifts
• Dashboard display providing summary metrics of prevailing correlation patterns
The indicator enables users to monitor the current state of market relationships and identify when traditional correlations begin to break down, which frequently serves as an early warning of impending changes in market behavior. By tracking the degree of connectedness between different asset classes, the indicator provides insight into the current risk environment and the potential for diversification effectiveness.
This analysis is particularly valuable for understanding periods of market stress when asset relationships deviate from their normal patterns, as well as identifying environments where traditional correlations hold and where they are undergoing structural changes.
Trend Breakout & Ratchet Stop System [Market Filter]Description:
This strategy implements a robust trend-following system designed to capture momentum moves while strictly managing downside risk through a multi-stage "Ratchet" exit mechanism and broad market filters.
It is designed for swing traders who want to align individual stock entries with the overall market direction.
How it works:
1. Market Regime Filters (The "Safety Check") Before taking any position, the strategy checks the health of the broader market to avoid "catching falling knives."
Broad Market Filter: By default, it checks NASDAQ:QQQ (adjustable). If the benchmark is trading below its SMA 200, the strategy assumes a Bear Market and suppresses all new long entries.
Volatility Filter (VIX): Uses CBOE:VIX to gauge fear. If the VIX is above a specific threshold (Default: 32), entries are paused, and existing positions can optionally be closed to preserve capital.
2. Entry Logic Entries are based on Momentum and Trend confirmation. A position is opened if filters are clear AND one of the following occurs:
Golden Cross: SMA 25 crosses over SMA 50.
SMA Breakouts: A "Three-Bar-Break" logic confirms a breakout above the SMA 50, 100, or 200 (price must establish itself above the moving average).
3. The "Ratchet" Exit System The exit logic evolves as the trade progresses, tightening risk like a ratchet:
Stage 0 (Initial Risk): Starts with a standard percentage Stop Loss from the entry price.
Stage 1 (Breakeven/Lock): Once the price rises by Profit Step 1 (e.g., +10%), the Stop Loss jumps to a tighter level and locks there. This secures the initial move.
Stage 2 (Trailing Mode): If the price continues to rise to Profit Step 2 (e.g., +15%), the Stop Loss converts into a dynamic Trailing Stop relative to the Highest High. This allows the trade to run as long as the trend persists.
Additional Exits:
Dead Cross: Closes position if SMA 25 crosses under SMA 50.
VIX Panic: Emergency exit if volatility spikes above the threshold.
Settings & Customization:
SMAs: Adjustable lengths for all Moving Averages.
Filters: Toggle Market/VIX filters on/off and choose your benchmark ticker (e.g., SPY or QQQ).
Risk Management: Fully customizable percentages for the Ratchet steps (Initial SL, Stage 1 Trigger, Trailing distance).
Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 PUBLIC (S.S)Strategy Description (English)
Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 – Quality Mode
The Best Entry Swing MASTER v3 is a structured swing trading and trend-following strategy designed to identify high-probability long and short entries during directional markets.
It combines three core setup types commonly used by momentum and breakout traders:
Breakout (BO)
Pullback Reversal (PB)
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
The strategy applies multiple layers of confirmation, including multi-EMA trend structure, volatility contraction, volume filters, and an optional market regime filter.
It is suitable for swing trading on higher timeframes (4H, Daily), as well as medium-term trend continuation setups.
Core Concepts
1. Trend Structure
A trend is considered valid when:
Uptrend: Price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA100
Downtrend: Price < EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100
In addition, a simple but effective trend-strength metric is calculated using the percentage spread between EMA20 and EMA100.
This helps avoid signals during sideways or low-volatility environments.
2. Market Regime Filter
The market environment is determined using a higher timeframe benchmark (default: SPY on Daily).
Only long trades are allowed in bullish market conditions
Only short trades in bearish conditions
This significantly reduces false signals in counter-trend conditions.
Entry Logic
Breakout (BO)
A long breakout triggers when:
Price closes above the highest high of the lookback period
Volume exceeds its 20-period average
Trend and market regime confirm
(Optional A+ mode): true volatility contraction is required
Similar logic applies for short breakdowns.
Pullback (PB)
A pullback entry triggers after:
At least two corrective candles
A strong reversal candle (close above previous high for long)
Volume confirmation
Price interacts with EMA20
This structure models classical trend-reentry conditions.
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
A VCP entry triggers when:
True range contracts over multiple bars
Price holds near the breakout zone
Volume contracts
Trend and market regime are aligned
This setup aims to capture explosive continuation moves.
Quality Modes
The strategy offers two modes:
Balanced Mode
Moderate signal frequency
Broader trend-strength allowance
Suitable for more active traders
A+ Only Mode
Strict confirmation requirements
Only high-quality setups with multiple confluences
Designed to avoid low-probability trades entirely
Risk Management
Risk is managed using an ATR-based stop and target:
Long SL = Close − ATR × 1.5
Long TP = Close + ATR × 3
(Equivalent logic for short positions)
This provides a balanced reward-to-risk profile and avoids overly tight stops.
Early Entry Signals (Optional)
The script offers optional “Early Entry” markers that highlight when a setup is forming but not yet confirmed.
These are not entry signals and are disabled by default for public use.
Intended Use
This strategy is designed for:
Swing trading
Momentum continuation
Trend-following
Multi-day to multi-week trades
It performs best on:
4H
Daily
High-liquidity equities, indices, and futures
Disclaimer
This script is intended for educational and research purposes.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Always backtest thoroughly and use appropriate risk management.
stock-vs-industry using NQUSB benchmark idexesOriginal idea from Stock versus Industry by Tr33man .
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═══ PRIMARY IMPROVEMENT: NQUSB Hierarchical Index Benchmarks ═══
The KEY improvement: Multi-Level Industry Granularity with Drill-Down/Drill-Up Navigation
From: Simple ETF Comparison (1 Level) Stock → Industry ETF (e.g., "SOXX" for all semiconductors)
To: NQUSB Hierarchical Comparison (4 Levels)
Level 4 (Primary): NQUSB10102010 → Semiconductors (most specific)
Level 3 (Secondary): NQUSB101020 → Technology Hardware and Equipment
Level 2 (Tertiary): NQUSB101010 → Software and Computer Services
Level 1 (Quaternary): NQUSB10 → Technology (broadest sector)
Users can now drill up and down the industry hierarchy to see how their stock performs against different levels of industry classification!
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═══ WHY THIS MATTERS ═══
Original Limitations:
Single comparison level - ETF only
No drill-down capability - Can't zoom in to more specific industries
No drill-up capability - Can't zoom out to broader sectors
ETF limitations - Not all industries have dedicated ETFs
Arbitrary mappings - Manual ETF selection may not represent true industry
Improved Capabilities:
4-level hierarchical navigation - Drill-down and drill-up through industry classifications
361 NQUSB official indices - NASDAQ US Benchmark Index structure
Official NASDAQ classification - Industry-standard taxonomy
Large Mid Cap (LM) option - Focus on larger companies when needed
Enhanced UI - Clear level indicators and full index descriptions
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═══ EXAMPLE: ANALYZING NVDA (Semiconductors) ═══
Level 4 - Primary (Most Specific):
NQUSB10102010 - Semiconductors
→ NVDA vs. AMD, AVGO, QCOM, TXN, etc. (direct competitors)
Level 3 - Secondary (Broader):
NQUSB101020 - Tech Hardware & Equipment
→ NVDA vs. AAPL, CSCO + semiconductors
Level 2 - Tertiary (Even Broader):
NQUSB101010 - Software and Computer Services
→ NVDA vs. all tech hardware
Level 1 - Quaternary (Broadest):
NQUSB10 - Technology Sector
→ NVDA vs. entire technology sector
You can now zoom in to see direct competitors or zoom out to understand macro sector trends - all in one indicator!
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═══ COMPARISON SUMMARY ═══
Original Version:
Comparison System: Industry ETFs
Industry Levels: 1 (flat ETF mapping)
Total Classifications: ~140 industries
Hierarchy Navigation: ❌ No
Data Source: Manual ETF curation
Improved Version:
Comparison System: NQUSB Official Indices
Industry Levels: 4 (hierarchical drill-down/up)
Total Classifications: 361 NQUSB indices
Hierarchy Navigation: ✅ 4-level drill navigation
Data Source: NASDAQ official taxonomy
Large/Mid Cap Option: ✅ LM variant toggle
Level Indicator: ✅ to labels
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═══ ADDITIONAL FEATURES ═══
Dual Comparison System - Toggle between ETF mode (original) and Index Benchmark mode (NQUSB hierarchy)
Better Fallback Logic - Manual Override > NQUSB Index > ETF > SPY default
Enhanced Display - 4-row information table with full NQUSB index description
Backward Compatible - All original ETF mappings still work, existing charts won't break
Large Mid Cap Toggle - Optional "LM" suffix for focusing on larger companies only
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For complete documentation, data files, technical details, and the full NQUSB hierarchy structure, visit the GitHub repository.
The result: More accurate, more flexible, and more comprehensive industry strength analysis - enabling traders to understand exactly where their stock's performance comes from by drilling through multiple levels of industry classification.
Kai GoNoGo 2mKai GoNoGo 2m is a multi-factor trend confirmation system designed for fast intraday trading on the 2-minute chart.
It combines EMAs, MACD, RSI and ADX through a weighted scoring model to generate clear Go / NoGo conditions for both CALL (long) and PUT (short) setups.
The indicator paints the candles with pure colors to show the current strength of the trend:
Strong Go (Bright Blue): Full bullish alignment across EMAs, momentum and trend strength.
Weak Go (Light Blue): Bullish structure but with softer momentum.
Weak NoGo (Light Pink): Bearish structure starting to develop.
Strong NoGo (Bright Pink): Full bearish alignment across all components.
Neutral (Gray): No trend, compression or transition phase.
Components included:
EMA Trend Structure (9/21/50/100/200)
MACD Momentum (12-26-9)
RSI Confirmation (14)
ADX Trend Strength Filter via DMI (14,14)
Scoring system inspired by the original GoNoGo concept, improved for speed-based trading.
Designed for:
Scalping, 0DTE options, FAST trend continuation entries, and momentum confirmation on QQQ, SPY, NQ, ES and high-beta names.
This version uses pure colors (no gradients) for maximum clarity when trading fast charts.
Pivot Reversal Signals - Multi ConfirmationPivot Reversal Signals - Multi-Confirmation System
Overview
A comprehensive reversal detection indicator designed for daytraders that combines six independent technical signals to identify high-probability pivot points. The indicator uses a scoring system to classify signal strength as Weak, Medium, or Strong based on the number of confirmations present.
How It Works
The indicator monitors six key reversal signals simultaneously:
1. RSI Divergence - Detects when price makes new highs/lows but RSI shows weakening momentum
2. MACD Divergence - Identifies divergence between price action and MACD histogram
3. Key Level Touch - Confirms price is at significant support/resistance (previous day high/low, premarket high/low, VWAP, 50 SMA)
4. Reversal Candlestick Patterns - Recognizes bullish/bearish engulfing, hammers, and shooting stars
5. Moving Average Confluence - Validates bounces/rejections at stacked moving averages (9/20/50)
6. Volume Spike - Confirms increased participation (default: 1.5x average volume)
Signal Strength Classification
• Weak (3/6 confirmations) - Small circles for situational awareness only
• Medium (4/6 confirmations) - Regular triangles, viable entry signals
• Strong (5-6/6 confirmations) - Large triangles with background highlight, highest probability setups
Visual Features
• Entry Signals: Green triangles (up) for long entries, red triangles (down) for short entries
• Exit Warnings: Orange X markers when opposing signals appear
• Signal Labels: Show confirmation score (e.g., "5/6") and strength level
• Key Levels Displayed:
o Previous Day High/Low - Solid green/red lines (uses actual daily data)
o Premarket High/Low - Blue/orange circles (4:00 AM - 9:30 AM EST)
o VWAP - Purple line
o Moving Averages - 9 EMA (blue), 20 EMA (orange), 50 SMA (red)
• Background Tinting: Subtle color on strongest reversal zones
Key Level Detection
The indicator uses request.security() to accurately fetch previous day's high/low from daily timeframe data, ensuring precise level placement. Premarket high/low levels are dynamically tracked during premarket sessions (4:00 AM - 9:30 AM EST) and plotted throughout the trading day, providing critical support/resistance zones that often influence price action during regular hours.
Customizable Parameters
• Signal strength thresholds (adjust required confirmations)
• RSI settings (length, overbought/oversold levels)
• MACD parameters (fast/slow/signal lengths)
• Moving average periods
• Volume spike multiplier
• Toggle individual display elements (levels, MAs, labels)
Best Practices
• Use on 5-minute charts for entries, confirm on 15-minute for direction
• Focus on Medium and Strong signals; Weak signals provide context only
• Strong signals (5-6 confirmations) have the highest win rate
• Pay special attention to reversals at premarket high/low - these levels frequently hold
• Previous day high/low often acts as major support/resistance
• Always use proper risk management and stop losses
• Works best in moderately trending markets
Alert Capabilities
Set custom alerts for:
• Strong long/short signals
• All entry signals (medium + strong)
• Exit warnings for open positions
Ideal For
• Daytraders and scalpers (especially SPY, QQQ, and liquid equities)
• Swing traders seeking precise entries
• Traders who prefer confirmation-based systems
• Anyone looking to reduce false signals with multi-factor validation
• Traders who utilize premarket levels in their strategy
Technical Notes
• Uses Pine Script v6
• Premarket hours: 4:00 AM - 9:30 AM EST
• Previous day levels pulled from daily timeframe for accuracy
• Maximum 500 labels to maintain chart performance
• All key levels update dynamically in real-time
________________________________________
Note: This indicator provides signal analysis only and should be used as part of a complete trading strategy. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always practice proper risk management.
Vital Wave 20-50Simplicity is almost always the most effective approach, and here I’m giving you a trend-following system that exploits the bullish bias of traditional markets and their trending nature, with very basic rules.
Rules (long entries only)
• Market entry: When the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 (from below)
• Main market exit: When the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50 (from above)
• Fixed Stop Loss: Placed at the price level of the Lower Bollinger Band at the moment the trade is entered.
In my strategy, the primary exit is when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50. However, this crossover can sometimes take a while to occur, and in the meantime the price may have already dropped significantly. The Stop Loss based on the Lower Bollinger Band is designed to limit losses in case the market moves sharply against the position without giving the bearish crossover signal in time. Having two exit conditions makes the strategy much more robust in terms of risk management.
Risk Management:
• Initial capital: $10,000
• Position size: 10% of available capital per trade
• Commissions: 0.1% on traded volume
• Stop Loss: Based on the Lower Bollinger Band
• Take Profit / Exit: When EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50
Recommended Markets:
XAUUSD (OANDA) (Daily)
Period: January 3, 1833 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$6,030.62 USD (+57.57%)
Maximum Drawdown: $541.53 USD (3.83%)
Total Trades: 136
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 36.03% (49/136)
Profit Factor: 2.483
XAUUSD (OANDA) (12-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,209.56 USD (+11.89%)
Maximum Drawdown: $384.58 USD (3.61%)
Total Trades: 97
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 35.05% (34/97)
Profit Factor: 1.676
XAUUSD (OANDA) (8-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,179.36 USD (+11.81%)
Maximum Drawdown: $246.88 USD (2.32%)
Total Trades: 147
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 31.97% (47/147)
Profit Factor: 1.626
Tesla (NASDAQ) (4-hour)
Period: June 29, 2010 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss (Absolute): +$11,687.90 USD (+116.88%)
Maximum Drawdown: $922.05 USD (6.50%)
Total Trades: 68
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 39.71% (27/68)
Profit Factor: 4.156
Tesla (NASDAQ) (3-hour)
Total Profit & Loss: +$11,522.33 USD (+115.22%)
Maximum Drawdown: $1,247.60 USD (8.80%)
Total Trades: 114
Winning Trades: 33.33% (38/114)
Profit Factor: 2.811
Additional Recommendations
(These assets have shown good trending behavior with the same strategy across multiple timeframes):
• NVDA (15 min, 30 min, 1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• NFLX (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• MA (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• META (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• AAPL (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• SPY (12h, Daily)
About the Code
The user can modify:
• EMA periods (20 and 50 by default)
• Bollinger Bands length (20 periods)
• Standard deviation (2.0)
Visualization
• EMA 20: Blue line
• EMA 50: Red line
• Green background when EMA20 > EMA50 (bullish trend)
• Red background when EMA20 < EMA50 (bearish trend)
Important Note:
We can significantly increase the profit factor and overall profitability by risking a fixed percentage per trade instead of a fixed amount. This would prevent losses from fluctuating with changes in volatility.
This could be implemented by reducing position size or adjusting leverage based on the volatility percentage required for each trade, but I’m not sure if this is fully possible in Pine Script. In my other script, “ Golden Cross 50/200 EMA ,” I go deeper into this topic and provide examples.
I hope you enjoy this contribution. Best regards!
Flux-Tensor Singularity [FTS]Flux-Tensor Singularity - Multi-Factor Market Pressure Indicator
The Flux-Tensor Singularity (FTS) is an advanced multi-factor oscillator that combines volume analysis, momentum tracking, and volatility-weighted normalization to identify critical market inflection points. Unlike traditional single-factor indicators, FTS synthesizes price velocity, volume mass, and volatility context into a unified framework that adapts to changing market regimes.
This indicator identifies extreme market conditions (termed "singularities") where multiple confirming factors converge, then uses a sophisticated scoring system to determine directional bias. It is designed for traders seeking high-probability setups with built-in confluence requirements.
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The indicator is built on the premise that market time is not constant - different market conditions contain varying levels of information density. A 1-minute bar during a major news event contains far more actionable information than a 1-minute bar during overnight low-volume trading. Traditional indicators treat all bars equally; FTS does not.
The theoretical framework draws conceptual parallels to physics (purely as a mental model, not literal physics):
Volume as Mass: Large volume represents significant market participation and "weight" behind price moves. Just as massive objects have stronger gravitational effects, high-volume moves carry more significance.
Price Change as Velocity: The rate of price movement through price space represents momentum and directional force.
Volatility as Time Dilation: When volatility is high relative to its historical norm, the "information density" of each bar increases. The indicator weights these periods more heavily, similar to how time dilates near massive objects in physics.
This is a pedagogical metaphor to create a coherent mental model - the underlying mathematics are standard financial calculations combined in a novel way.
MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK
The indicator calculates a composite singularity value through four distinct steps:
Step 1: Raw Singularity Calculation
S_raw = (ΔP × V) × γ²
Where:
ΔP = Price Velocity = close - close
V = Volume Mass = log(volume + 1)
γ² = Time Dilation Factor = (ATR_local / ATR_global)²
Volume Transformation: Volume is log-transformed because raw volume can have extreme outliers (10x-100x normal). The logarithm compresses these spikes while preserving their significance. This is standard practice in volume analysis.
Volatility Weighting: The ratio of short-term ATR (5 periods) to long-term ATR (user-defined lookback) is squared to create a volatility amplification factor. When local volatility exceeds global volatility, this ratio increases, amplifying the raw singularity value. This makes the indicator regime-aware.
Step 2: Normalization
The raw singularity values are normalized to a 0-100 scale using a stochastic-style calculation:
S_normalized = ((S_raw - S_min) / (S_max - S_min)) × 100
Where S_min and S_max are the lowest and highest raw singularity values over the lookback period.
Step 3: Epsilon Compression
S_compressed = 50 + ((S_normalized - 50) / ε)
This is the critical innovation that makes the sensitivity control functional. By applying compression AFTER normalization, the epsilon parameter actually affects the final output:
ε < 1.0: Expands range (more signals)
ε = 1.0: No change (default)
ε > 1.0: Compresses toward 50 (fewer, higher-quality signals)
For example, with ε = 2.0, a normalized value of 90 becomes 70, making threshold breaches rarer and more significant.
Step 4: Smoothing
S_final = EMA(S_compressed, smoothing_period)
An exponential moving average removes high-frequency noise while preserving trend.
SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
When the tensor crosses above the upper threshold (default 90) or below the lower threshold (default 10), an extreme event is detected. However, the indicator does NOT immediately generate a buy or sell signal. Instead, it analyzes market context through a multi-factor scoring system:
Scoring Components:
Price Structure (+1 point): Current bar bullish/bearish
Momentum (+1 point): Price higher/lower than N bars ago
Trend Context (+2 points): Fast EMA above/below slow EMA (weighted heavier)
Acceleration (+1 point): Rate of change increasing/decreasing
Volume Multiplier (×1.5): If volume > average, multiply score
The highest score (bullish vs bearish) determines signal direction. This prevents the common indicator failure mode of "overbought can stay overbought" by requiring directional confirmation.
Signal Conditions:
A BUY signal requires:
Extreme event detection (tensor crosses threshold)
Bullish score > Bearish score
Price confirmation: Bullish candle (optional, user-controlled)
Volume confirmation: Volume > average (optional, user-controlled)
Momentum confirmation: Positive momentum (optional, user-controlled)
A SELL signal requires the inverse conditions.
INPUTS EXPLAINED - Core Parameters:
Global Horizon (Context): Default 20. Lookback period for normalization and volatility comparison. Higher values = smoother but less responsive. Lower values = more signals but potentially more noise.
Tensor Smoothing: Default 3. EMA period applied to final output. Removes "quantum foam" (high-frequency noise). Range 1-20.
Singularity Threshold: Default 90. Values above this (or below 100-threshold) trigger extreme event detection. Higher = rarer, stronger signals.
Signal Sensitivity (Epsilon): Default 1.0. Post-normalization compression factor. This is the key innovation - it actually works because it's applied AFTER normalization. Range 0.1-5.0.
Signal Interpreter Toggles:
Require Price Confirmation: Default ON. Only generates buy signals on bullish candles, sell signals on bearish candles. Reduces false signals but may delay entry.
Require Volume Confirmation: Default ON. Only signals when volume > average. Critical for stocks/crypto, less important for forex (unreliable volume data).
Use Momentum Filter: Default ON. Requires momentum agreement with signal direction. Prevents counter-trend signals.
Momentum Lookback: Default 5. Number of bars for momentum calculation. Shorter = more responsive, longer = trend-following bias.
Visual Controls:
Colors: Customizable colors for bullish flux, bearish flux, background, and event horizon.
Visual Transparency: Default 85. Master control for all visual elements (accretion disk, field lines, particles, etc.). Range 50-99. Signals and dashboard have separate controls.
Visibility Toggles: Individual on/off switches for:
Gravitational field lines (trend EMAs)
Field reversals (trend crossovers)
Accretion disk (background gradient)
Singularity diamonds (neutral extreme events)
Energy particles (volume bursts)
Event horizon flash (extreme event background)
Signal background flash
Signal Size: Tiny/Small/Normal triangle size
Signal Offsets: Separate controls for buy and sell signal vertical positioning (percentage of price)
Dashboard Settings:
Show Dashboard: Toggle on/off
Position: 9 placement options (all corners, centers, middles)
Text Size: Tiny/Small/Normal/Large
Background Transparency: 0-50, separate from visual transparency
VISUAL ELEMENTS EXPLAINED
1. Accretion Disk (Background Gradient):
A three-layer gradient background that intensifies as the tensor approaches extremes. The outer disk appears at any non-neutral reading, the inner disk activates above 70 or below 30, and the core layer appears above 85 or below 15. Color indicates direction (cyan = bullish, red = bearish). This provides instant visual feedback on market pressure intensity.
2. Gravitational Field Lines (EMAs):
Two trend-following EMAs (10 and 30 period) visualized as colored lines. These represent the "curvature" of market trend - when they diverge, trend is strong; when they converge, trend is weakening. Crossovers mark potential trend reversals.
3. Field Reversals (Circles):
Small circles appear when the fast EMA crosses the slow EMA, indicating a potential trend change. These are distinct from extreme events and appear at normal market structure shifts.
4. Singularity Diamonds:
Small diamond shapes appear when the tensor reaches extreme levels (>90 or <10) but doesn't meet the full signal criteria. These are "watch" events - extreme pressure exists but directional confirmation is lacking.
5. Energy Particles (Dots):
Tiny dots appear when volume exceeds 2× average, indicating significant participation. Color matches bar direction. These highlight genuine high-conviction moves versus low-volume drifts.
6. Event Horizon Flash:
A golden background flash appears the instant any extreme threshold is breached, before directional analysis. This alerts you to pay attention.
7. Signal Background Flash:
When a full buy/sell signal is confirmed, the background flashes cyan (buy) or red (sell). This is your primary alert that all conditions are met.
8. Signal Triangles:
The actual buy (▲) and sell (▼) markers. These only appear when ALL selected confirmation criteria are satisfied. Position is offset from bars to avoid overlap with other indicators.
DASHBOARD METRICS EXPLAINED
The dashboard displays real-time calculated values:
Event Density: Current tensor value (0-100). Above 90 or below 10 = critical. Icon changes: 🔥 (extreme high), ❄️ (extreme low), ○ (neutral).
Time Dilation (γ): Current volatility ratio squared. Values >2.0 indicate extreme volatility environments. >1.5 = elevated, >1.0 = above average. Icon: ⚡ (extreme), ⚠ (elevated), ○ (normal).
Mass (Vol): Log-transformed volume value. Compared to volume ratio (current/average). Icon: ● (>2× avg), ◐ (>1× avg), ○ (below avg).
Velocity (ΔP): Raw price change. Direction arrow indicates momentum direction. Shows the actual price delta value.
Bullish Flux: Current bullish context score. Displayed as both a bar chart (visual) and numeric value. Brighter when bullish score dominates.
Bearish Flux: Current bearish context score. Same visualization as bullish flux. These scores compete - the winner determines signal direction.
Field: Trend direction based on EMA relationship. "Repulsive" (uptrend), "Attractive" (downtrend), "Neutral" (ranging). Icon: ⬆⬇↔
State: Current market condition:
🚀 EJECTION: Buy signal active
💥 COLLAPSE: Sell signal active
⚠ CRITICAL: Extreme event, no directional confirmation
● STABLE: Normal market conditions
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
1. Wait for Extreme Events:
The indicator is designed to be selective. Don't trade every fluctuation - wait for tensor to reach >90 or <10. This alone is not a signal.
2. Check Context Scores:
Look at the Bullish Flux vs Bearish Flux in the dashboard. If scores are close (within 1-2 points), the market is indecisive - skip the trade.
3. Confirm with Signals:
Only act when a full triangle signal appears (▲ or ▼). This means ALL your selected confirmation criteria have been met.
4. Use with Price Structure:
Combine with support/resistance levels. A buy signal AT support is higher probability than a buy signal in the middle of nowhere.
5. Respect the Dashboard State:
When State shows "CRITICAL" (⚠), it means extreme pressure exists but direction is unclear. These are the most dangerous moments - wait for resolution.
6. Volume Matters:
Energy particles (dots) and the Mass metric tell you if institutions are participating. Signals without volume confirmation are lower probability.
MARKET AND TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
Scalping (1m-5m):
Lookback: 10-14
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 85
Epsilon: 0.5-0.7
Note: Expect more noise. Confirm with Level 2 data. Best on highly liquid instruments.
Intraday (15m-1h):
Lookback: 20-30 (default settings work well)
Smoothing: 3-5
Threshold: 90
Epsilon: 1.0
Note: Sweet spot for the indicator. High win rate on liquid stocks, forex majors, and crypto.
Swing Trading (4h-1D):
Lookback: 30-50
Smoothing: 3
Threshold: 90-95
Epsilon: 1.5-2.0
Note: Signals are rare but high conviction. Combine with higher timeframe trend analysis.
Position Trading (1D-1W):
Lookback: 50-100
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 95
Epsilon: 2.0-3.0
Note: Extremely rare signals. Only trade the most extreme events. Expect massive moves.
Market-Specific Settings:
Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.):
Volume data is unreliable (spot forex has no centralized volume)
Disable "Require Volume Confirmation"
Focus on momentum and trend filters
News events create extreme singularities
Best on 15m-1h timeframes
Stocks (High-Volume Equities):
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL - keep it ON
Works excellently on AAPL, TSLA, SPY, etc.
Morning session (9:30-11:00 ET) shows highest event density
Earnings announcements create guaranteed extreme events
Best on 5m-1h for day trading, 1D for swing trading
Crypto (BTC, ETH, major alts):
Reduce threshold to 85 (crypto has constant high volatility)
Volume spikes are THE primary signal - keep volume confirmation ON
Works exceptionally well due to 24/7 trading and high volatility
Epsilon can be reduced to 0.7-0.8 for more signals
Best on 15m-4h timeframes
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.):
Gold responds to macro events (Fed announcements, geopolitical events)
Oil responds to supply shocks
Use daily timeframe minimum
Increase lookback to 50+
These are slow-moving markets - be patient
Indices (SPX, NDX, etc.):
Institutional volume matters - keep volume confirmation ON
Opening hour (9:30-10:30 ET) = highest singularity probability
Strong correlation with VIX - high VIX = more extreme events
Best on 15m-1h for day trading
WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE
1. Post-Normalization Sensitivity Control:
Unlike most oscillators where sensitivity controls don't actually work (they're applied before normalization, which then rescales everything), FTS applies epsilon compression AFTER normalization. This means the sensitivity parameter genuinely affects signal frequency. This is a novel implementation not found in standard oscillators.
2. Multi-Factor Confluence Requirement:
The indicator doesn't just detect "overbought" or "oversold" - it detects extreme conditions AND THEN analyzes context through five separate factors (price structure, momentum, trend, acceleration, volume). Most indicators are single-factor; FTS requires confluence.
3. Volatility-Weighted Normalization:
By squaring the ATR ratio (local/global), the indicator adapts to changing market regimes. A 1% move in a low-volatility environment is treated differently than a 1% move in a high-volatility environment. Traditional indicators treat all moves equally regardless of context.
4. Volume Integration at the Core:
Volume isn't an afterthought or optional filter - it's baked into the fundamental equation as "mass." The log transformation handles outliers elegantly while preserving significance. Most price-based indicators completely ignore volume.
5. Adaptive Scoring System:
Rather than fixed buy/sell rules ("RSI >70 = sell"), FTS uses competitive scoring where bullish and bearish evidence compete. The winner determines direction. This solves the classic problem of "overbought markets can stay overbought during strong uptrends."
6. Comprehensive Visual Feedback:
The multi-layer visualization system (accretion disk, field lines, particles, flashes) provides instant intuitive feedback on market state without requiring dashboard reading. You can see pressure building before extreme thresholds are hit.
7. Separate Extreme Detection and Signal Generation:
"Singularity diamonds" show extreme events that don't meet full criteria, while "signal triangles" only appear when ALL conditions are met. This distinction helps traders understand when pressure exists versus when it's actionable.
COMPARISON TO EXISTING INDICATORS
vs. RSI/Stochastic:
These normalize price relative to recent range. FTS normalizes (price change × log volume × volatility ratio) - a composite metric, not just price position.
vs. Chaikin Money Flow:
CMF combines price and volume but lacks volatility context and doesn't use adaptive normalization or post-normalization compression.
vs. Bollinger Bands + Volume:
Bollinger Bands show volatility but don't integrate volume or create a unified oscillator. They're separate components, not synthesized.
vs. MACD:
MACD is pure momentum. FTS combines momentum with volume weighting and volatility context, plus provides a normalized 0-100 scale.
The specific combination of log-volume weighting, squared volatility amplification, post-normalization epsilon compression, and multi-factor directional scoring is unique to this indicator.
LIMITATIONS AND PROPER DISCLOSURE
Not a Holy Grail:
No indicator is perfect. This tool identifies high-probability setups but cannot predict the future. Losses will occur. Use proper risk management.
Requires Confirmation:
Best used in conjunction with price action analysis, support/resistance levels, and higher timeframe trend. Don't trade signals blindly.
Volume Data Dependency:
On forex (spot) and some low-volume instruments, volume data is unreliable or tick-volume only. Disable volume confirmation in these cases.
Lagging Components:
The EMA smoothing and trend filters are inherently lagging. In extremely fast moves, signals may appear after the initial thrust.
Extreme Event Rarity:
With conservative settings (high threshold, high epsilon), signals can be rare. This is by design - quality over quantity. If you need more frequent signals, reduce threshold to 85 and epsilon to 0.7.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator is an analytical tool. All trading decisions and their consequences are solely your responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
BEST PRACTICES
Don't trade every singularity - wait for context confirmation
Higher timeframes = higher reliability
Combine with support/resistance for entry refinement
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL for stocks/crypto (toggle off only for forex)
During major news events, singularities are inevitable but direction may be uncertain - use wider stops
When bullish and bearish flux scores are close, skip the trade
Test settings on your specific instrument/timeframe before live trading
Use the dashboard actively - it contains critical diagnostic information
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Match Finder [theUltimator5]Match Finder is the dating app of indicators. It takes your current ticker and finds the most compatible match over a recent time period. The match may not be Mr. right, but it is Mr. right now. It doesn't forecast future connection, but it tells you current compatibility for today.
Jokes aside, it is a pattern–comparison tool that was designed to find the ticker that tracks most closely to the one you are currently looking at. It scans a user-defined list of 40 tickers (pre-set to a bunch of liquid ETFs) and finds which one most closely matches the recent price action of the current chart over a fixed lookback window.
LOGIC BEHIND THE SCENES
For each bar, the script:
Takes the last N bars (Correlation Window Length) of the current symbol.
Takes the last N bars of each selected comparison ticker.
Calculates the Pearson correlation between the current symbol and each comparison ticker.
Identifies the single best-matching ticker (highest positive correlation, excluding the current symbol itself).
Rescales and overlays that matched segment on the chart so you can visually compare shapes.
Optionally shows a correlation table with all tickers and their correlation values.
The use case of this indicator is to help you see which symbol has recently moved most similarly to your current chart, and how that shape looks when overlaid in the same panel. It helps you see which sectors it may be following most closely to.
Here is an image with arrows showing the elements of this indicator that will be mostly explained later.
USER INPUTS
1. Correlation Window Length
Default: 30
Range: 10–500
This is the number of bars used to compare the current symbol against each ticker.
Important - Larger values produce more “global” shape comparison but increase computational load and may cause the indicator to timeout if the length is too long
2. Drawing Mode
Options:
Scale Only - Adjusts min and max of the plotted line segment to match the chart over the range
Scale & Rotate - Scales as above, but matches the first and last point to the close of the chart over the range. This effectively rotates the pattern to force it to track the chart to an extent.
3. Show Correlation Table
When enabled (disabled by default), shows a table in the bottom-right of the chart that displays the correlation values over the lookback range for all 40 tickers. The best fit ticker is highlighted.
4. Best Fit Line Color
Color used to draw the overlaid best-match segment (yellow by default).
5. Ticker inputs (1–40)
Default set to a broad universe of major ETFs (e.g., SPY, QQQ, IWM, sector and bond ETFs, commodities, etc.).
You can replace these with any symbols supported by your data feed (stocks, ETFs, indexes, etc.).
The script always excludes the current chart’s symbol from being considered as its own best match.
NOTE: THIS INDICATOR IS EXTREMELY MEMORY INTENSIVE AND MAY TAKE SEVERAL SECONDS TO LOAD. PLEASE BE PATIENT AND GIVE THE INDICATOR UP TO 20 SECONDS FOR THE DATA TO DISPLAY
Sector Performance (2x12 Grid, labeled)Sector Performance Dashboard that tracks short-term and multi-interval returns for 24 major U.S. market ETFs. It renders a clean, color-coded performance grid directly on the chart, making sector rotation and broad-market strength/weakness easy to read at a glance.
The dashboard covers t wo full rows of liquid U.S. sector and thematic ETFs, including:
Row 1 (Core Market + GICS sectors)
SPY, QQQ, IWM, XLF, XLE, XLRE, XLY, XLU, XLP, XLI, XLV, XLB
Row 2 (Extended industries / themes)
XLF, XBI, XHB, CLOU, XOP, IGV, XME, SOXX, DIA, KRE, XLK, VIX (VX1!)
Key features include:
Time-interval selector (1–60 min, 1D, 1W, 1M, 3M, 12M)
Automatic rate-of-return calculation with inside/outside-bar detection
Two-row, twelve-column grid with dynamic layout anchoring (top/middle/bottom + left/center/right)
Uniform white text for clarity, while inside/outside candles retain custom colors
Adaptive transparency rules (heavy/avg/light) based on magnitude of % change
Ticker label normalization (cleans up prefixes like “CBOE_DLY:”)
