Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
Stocksignals
Stock Strength Index by zdmreThe basic idea behind indicators is "to buy the strong one and to sell the weak one". This indicator yield entry and exit signals for stock trading.
You can view the STRENGTH INDEX for the symbol you want in this indicator.
Formula
(X - ((RMA(t-1) * (n-1)) + X(t)) / n) / X * 100
n = The length of the Moving Average (defval = 200)
X = Price
t = Timeframe
#DYOR
VIX Reversal Scalper by Trend Friend - Stocks OnlyVIX REVERSAL SCALPER BY TREND FRIEND - STOCKS ONLY
This indicator is built for scalping, but can be used for swing trades by adjusting the signal settings to a higher number.
This indicator is meant for stocks with a lot of price action and volatility, so for best results, use it on charts that move similar to the S&P 500 or other similar charts.
This indicator uses real time data from the stock market overall, so it should only be used on stocks and will only give a few signals during after hours. It does work ok for crypto, but will not give signals when the US stock market is closed.
**HOW TO USE**
When the VIX Volatility Index trend changes direction, it will give a bull or bear signal on the chart depending on which way the VIX is now trending. Follow these when price is near support/resistance or fibonacci levels.
For more signals with earlier entries, go into settings and reduce the number. 10-100 is best for scalping. For less signals with later entries, change the number to a higher value. Use 100-500 for swing trades. Can go higher for long swing trades.
***MARKETS***
This indicator should only be used on the US stock markets as signals are given based on the VIX volatility index which measures volatility of the US Stock Markets.
***TIMEFRAMES***
This indicator works on all time frames.
**NOTE**
Repainting does happen but it is seldom. If I get enough requests to remove repainting I will, but since it is built for early entries, preventing it from repainting will make the signals show up later than normal.
Due to various factors, this indicator might not give exit signals every time it should, so be sure to watch the price action for entries/exits and don't rely solely on this indicator.
**INVERSE CHARTS**
If you are using this on an inverse ETF and the signals are showing backwards, please comment with what chart it is and I will configure the indicator to give the correct signals. I have included over 50 inverse ETFs into the code to show the correct signals on inverse charts, but I'm sure there are some that I have missed so feel free to let me know and I will update the script with the requested tickers.
***TIPS***
Try using numerous indicators of ours on your chart so you can instantly see the bullish or bearish trend of multiple indicators in real time without having to analyze the data. Some of our favorites are our Auto Fibonacci, Directional Movement Index, Volume Profile, Auto Support And Resistance and Money Flow Index in combination with this Vix Reversal Scalper. They all have real time Bullish and Bearish labels as well so you can immediately understand each indicator's trend.
Dump AlertsNYSE:BRK.B
By popular demand: An inverted version of my first indicator Pump Alerts in Pine Script with two alert conditions for trading bots and automated stock trading setups.
It's originally based on "Pump Catcher" by @joepegler
I modified some parts, hopefully improved the usability and enabled alerts, so you can use it to trigger bots like 3commas via webhooks or stock brokers partnering with TradingView.
Dump Alerts 📉 attempts to detect moments of abnormal and accelerating increase in volume concurrent with falling prices AKA "dumps". Small and big dumps.
I recommend trying different timeframes and tinkering with the lookback period as well as both threshold values.
Other than that it's pretty self-explanatory and beginner-friendly.
Free and Open Source. Let me know how you use it!
Basic SMA 200 StrategyThe SMA 200 basic strategy will be more than familiar to most traders.
This strategy is to stay with the programming language so to say the "Hello World" of trading.
The SMA 200 basic strategy is also one of the simplest strategies in trading. All that is required is the price and a 200 period moving average. Usually the strategy is used in the daily chart.
The rules are as follows:
Entry: A position is opened when the price crosses the moving average 200 from the bottom to the top.
Exit: The position is closed when the price crosses the moving average from top to bottom.
This is a trend following system and was originally used for trading stocks.
In my opinion, trading with the strategy is recommended to every beginner. There are strategies with better performance, but they are much more complicated to implement. And that's where the big advantage of the strategy can be seen.
Beginners are more than overwhelmed at the beginning of their trading career. Often beginners trade in the 5 min chart with 6 different indicators some signals that they have seen in a Youtube video.
Comparable to a beginner driver who immediately gets into a Porsche as his first car.
Beginners should follow simple rules and avoid intraday charts. Above all, you should do the actual work of a trader.A trader does not just press the mouse twenty times a day and then has easily earned 2000 $. A trader tests systems down to the smallest detail, optimizes and tests again, until he has found an almost " waterproof " trading system. The 200 SMA basic strategy is excellent for gaining experience, learning to follow the rules of a system and not to burn your money right away.
With this script you can test how successful the "simplest strategy in the world" would have been in the past.
Small tip: Do not trade Forex with it it will never work. The strategy is made for long trends and you can find them for example in the stock market.
Have fun with it! About a positive feedback I would be very happy of course.
Buffett Indicator [Bitcoin Machine]This is the Warren Buffett Indicator, the total market cap relative to the US gross domestic product (GDP). It is also called "Market Cap to GDP Indicator". For the market cap typically the Wilshire 5000 total market cap is used, which is representing the value of all stocks traded in the United States. Tradingview just provides the Wilshire W4500. We can calculate the W5000 by adding the S&P500 to the W4500.
Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator and as pointed by Warren Buffett, the indicator is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment.” It used as a broad way of assessing whether the country’s stock market is overvalued or undervalued, compared to a historical average.
Remark: The Wilshire W4500 and the S&P500 are indices and denoted in "index points" (not USD). The Original Buffett Indicator is using market cap in US-Dollar. So the right scale of the indicator is different to the original one.
Candlesticks ANN for Stock Markets TF : 1WHello, this script consists of training candlesticks with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN).
In addition to the first series, candlesticks' bodies and wicks were also introduced as training inputs.
The inputs are individually trained to find the relationship between the subsequent historical value of all candlestick values 1.(High,Low,Close,Open)
The outputs are adapted to the current values with a simple forecast code.
Once the OHLC value is found, the exponential moving averages of 5 and 20 periods are used.
Reminder : OHLC = (Open + High + Close + Low ) / 4
First version :
Script is designed for S&P 500 Indices,Funds,ETFs, especially S&P 500 Stocks,and for all liquid Stocks all around the World.
NOTE: This script is only suitable for 1W time-frame for Stocks.
The average training error rates are less than 5 per thousand for each candlestick variable. (Average Error < 0.005 )
I've just finished it and haven't tested it in detail.
So let's use it carefully as a supporter.
Best regards !
UVTrader StratejiIf you see "AL", you can buy.
If you see "SAT", you can sell.
You can use all charts, but 4H and 1D charts are very well.
