AUDNZD, will the downtrend beat the historical support? #FOREX

This pair is running on a very interesting time; NZD is stronger than ever, and the AUD is struggling to keep it's value.
On Friday, the candle closed a little bit below the historical support at 1.028.

Reasons to long this pair:

• A historical support at 1.028 ( currently, the pair is running on it's lowest point ever!)
  
• RSI and Stochastics on 4h both give a strong buy signal.
  
• The down trendline drawn on the chart extends even further back to the 10th of July 2014, so it should be valid til now. (look at the daily chart for this pair below).
  
• The price also hit the lowest point on the hourly channel that is drawn above. (A closer image is attached below).
  

Take a look at the daily chart, which extends the drawn down trendlines:

The hourly channel:

Best of lucky everyone!