CityIndex

AUD/USD coils up ahead of the retail sales and RBA's MPS

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CITYINDEX:AUDUSD   Австралийский доллар / Доллар США
The Aussie fell to below the 0.6300 target zone yesterday (marked by last week's VPOC - or volume point of control)

With the RBA's quarterly MPS (monetary policy statement) and retail sales released at today at 11:30 AEDT, perhaps upgraded inflation forecasts can give the Aussie a bump higher. But whilst prices remain beneath the monthly pivot point, such bounces are likely to appeal to bears for swing trade shorts.

However, the US dollar remains a force to be reckoned with so the core view on AUD remains bearish given the RBA's lack of hawkish interest (on a relative basis). A break of yesterday's low assumes bearish continuation and brings the support zone around 0.6200 into focus for bears.
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Whilst prices initially rose towards (and paused beneath) the monthly pivot point, a swing high failed to materialise before momentum continued higher and invalidated the bearish bias.

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