BTCUSD: A repeat of 2014? Worst Case Scenario A $2,500 Low

Part 3 of If Bitcoin Repeats History?. This worst case scenario extrapolates the second half of the 2014 bear market going into 2020 with ATL at $2,500 and new ATH in November 2021, as well as reaching $30,000 within the same year. This assumes a double bottom will form in April 2020 prior to the halving, followed by 1.5 years of accumulation/consolidation, with a new ATH being made 4 years after the 2017 ATH.

Комментарий:

If Bitcoin Repeats History?

Part 1: Descending Triangle Looking Similar To 2018

Part 2: Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle Breakdown

Комментарий:

Part 4: If Bitcoin Repeats History? Extrapolating 2012 Breakdown

Комментарий:

Forgot to point out and compare, but the extrapolated 2014 breakdown was based on a descending triangle too :/ Here's what it would look like in more detail...

Комментарий:

Part 5: If 2017 Descending Triangle Repeats? Best Case Scenario

Комментарий:

Part 6: If Bitcoin Repeats History? Monthly TD Sequential Red 1

Комментарий:

Part 7: Another Bearish Indicator: 200 EMA & MA Bearcross

Комментарий:

Part 8: Bitcoin's Full Moon Reversal 6 Month Pattern

Комментарий:

Part 9: TD Sequential 9 Next Week To Decide Direction?

Комментарий:

Part 10: Extrapolating the 50 & 200 Day MA bear crosses

Комментарий:

I now guesstimate the $2,500 worst case scenario as having a 2% probability.
Reference: twitter.com/DragonOn.../1206893152336011265