Possible BTC scenarios of current market psychology

Current market psychology is developing around two scenarios.

First scenario.
* ETF Super bullish narrative since November 2023.
* Super Cycle that must hit ATH in this April (sell in May)

Second scenario is about based on speculations and history of price actions.
* ETF is a Sell the news action, no matter is Approved or Declined.
* Every crypto chart has significant dump before halving which is 100+ days left.

Ps. test chart.