Raul_Dominguez

Elliott Wave Count on Bitcoin

Длинная
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Биткоин
BTCUSD

On December of 2018, Bitcoin started a new Multi-Year Bull Market, that, after nearly a year of Bear Market throughout almost all 2018. It climbed form a minimum of about $3,100 USD to a maximum of about $13,900 USD, almost $10,800 USD. And it did so in a 5-wave impulse move as seen in the chart. A move which I would label Intermediate Wave 1 of this new Bull Market.

After that, in June 2019, it started a down move that lasted about 8 months and a halve, in which it decline about 93% of the entire previous up-move from $3,100 to about $13,900, a decline of about $10,100 USD, to a low of about $3,800 USD. It was a deep decline, but it did stay above the previous low of $3,100 USD, and it decline in a three-wave pattern, ABC, as seen in the chart. I would label this move Intermediate Wave 2.

And now it seems like Intermediate Wave 3 has started. A move that should take Bitcoin above the previous highs of $13,900 USD, and probably a lot higher than that.

Recently we broke above the previous Wave A low of about $6,400 USD, which, in a way, confirms that a new significant up-move is underway. That was critical support in the past, which after breaking it, it became critical resistance. Breaking above that level is the first significant sign that a mayor low is in. Also, the huge volume in which we decline and bounce back.

Previous trendlines are also acting as short-term support and resistance, the blue lines, as seen in the chart, as expected.

Bitcoin halving is about 53 days form today, which could be a significant catalyst for Bitcoin in the coming days and weeks. www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/

There is also a huge open GAP in the Bitcoin CME chart, from about $8,270 USD to about $9,200 USD, a GAP that should eventually get filled. With a move above $9,200 USD.


The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 9, Extreme Fear, which is a contrarian indicator, sing of a bottom. alternative.me/crypt...ear-and-greed-index/

I know there are a lot of people calling for Bitcoin to drop to $3,500 USD because of a micro GAP in the CME futures that you can hardly see. Or a drop to $2,000 USD or $1,000 USD, or for the end of Bitcoin overall. All signs of extreme fear.

I’m staying bullish in here. Not a recommendation.

I hope you find this interesting.

Good Luck in your decisions

Отказ от ответственности

Все виды контента, которые вы можете увидеть на TradingView, не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или любыми другими рекомендациями. Мы не предоставляем советы по покупке и продаже активов. Подробнее — в Условиях использования TradingView.