Relief Rally about to begin
This is an update on the indicators and concepts I have been watching for a couple of months now. I was hoping for the signal on the NVT to be apparent on the 1 day chart for an even better entry but so far that signal isn't as clear as the 2 day chart. In short, the NVT went into the green which is a position that for the last couple of years loathes to be in. As such it seems very clear that we will have a bounce from here. If yo are an accumulator you would be looking to accumulate here for the long run Perhaps not as much as you would if you see the NVT flash its buy signal on the weekly.
Key Concept
Major moves happen when key levels or trendlines are tested and retested. They flip from support to resisntance and back. Trendlines come back to life after months or even years after we thought they were not needed any more. The key thing I will be evaluating is how the price action will act at the purple trendline. Due to my current bearish bias It hink that it will act bearishly as resistance. This price action is a lot flatter than the top 3 and more resembles top 2. Either way the plays would be the same. Once of the levels I want to see flip from resistance to support are the fib log growth curves. I have left in just the levels aroung 50% to show how important the levels are. I expect the light blue level to act as resistance here shortly.
The plays
If you don't like the risk at shorting you are going to be watching the trendlines for that sign of rejection before you dump your bags. Bull traps are the last chance for bag holders who missed the first dump to exit their positions. A pateint trader or investor will be evaluationg to see if the trendline can be beaten as resistance and if the price action actually hops on top of the purple trendline then the crisis is averted. But if both the purple and orange trendlines act as resistance then it is very bad news bears.
If you are a trader and have the risk and stress apetite you will be looking to long the move into the bulltrap and then short the next dump. This requires some effort and ability and isn't recommended for the general trading population.
Coming up shortly will be the sister post for the day looking at volume and ichi-moku clouds. This post is tagged neutral because you could use it to go long and short depending on your preference
Key Concept
Major moves happen when key levels or trendlines are tested and retested. They flip from support to resisntance and back. Trendlines come back to life after months or even years after we thought they were not needed any more. The key thing I will be evaluating is how the price action will act at the purple trendline. Due to my current bearish bias It hink that it will act bearishly as resistance. This price action is a lot flatter than the top 3 and more resembles top 2. Either way the plays would be the same. Once of the levels I want to see flip from resistance to support are the fib log growth curves. I have left in just the levels aroung 50% to show how important the levels are. I expect the light blue level to act as resistance here shortly.
The plays
If you don't like the risk at shorting you are going to be watching the trendlines for that sign of rejection before you dump your bags. Bull traps are the last chance for bag holders who missed the first dump to exit their positions. A pateint trader or investor will be evaluationg to see if the trendline can be beaten as resistance and if the price action actually hops on top of the purple trendline then the crisis is averted. But if both the purple and orange trendlines act as resistance then it is very bad news bears.
If you are a trader and have the risk and stress apetite you will be looking to long the move into the bulltrap and then short the next dump. This requires some effort and ability and isn't recommended for the general trading population.
Coming up shortly will be the sister post for the day looking at volume and ichi-moku clouds. This post is tagged neutral because you could use it to go long and short depending on your preference
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