Dukascopy

EUR/USD anchored by December downtrend

FX:EURUSD   Евро / Доллар США
120 0 0
"On the FX side, the dollar was better bid against commodity currencies . The euro             gained as well since it has been performing well lately in times of stress."
- Jefferies (based on Reuters)

Pair's Outlook
On Wednesday the most popular FX cross was testing the 1.08 area, which is reinforced by 55-day SMA at monthly pivot point . However, by the end of American trading the pair bounced off to close near 20-day SMA at 1.0880. The short-term action is still estimated to be bearish , given that EUR/USD             keeps hovering under the two-month trend-line. By violating that crucial 1.08 zone, the pair will be exposed to a selloff down to 1.0750 (lower Bollinger band ), followed by another downtrend at 1.0650. Such a case is presently expected by weekly/monthly technical indicators.

Traders' Sentiment
Yesterday the share of long traders went up from 45% to 46%, while commands to acquire the single European currency jumped above 50% in both narrow and wide ranges from the current market price.
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