GBPUSD bulls need 1.2870 breakout and strong UK GDP

11 авг. 2023 г.

A bullish triangle joins Thursday’s rebound to lure GBPUSD buyers as markets await the first estimates of the UK Q2 GDP. However, fears of recession and the 1.2815-25 resistance confluence restrict Cable prices. That said, a convergence of the 100-SMA and top line of a six-week-old descending triangle together constitute the 1.2800-05 key hurdle for the buyers. Even if the Pound Sterling bulls manage to cross the 1.2805 resistance, the 200-SMA level of near 1.2825 and previous support line stretched from late May, close to 1.2870 will act as the final defenses of the sellers.

On the contrary, a softer UK GDP outcome could quickly fetch the GBPUSD price towards the one-week-old horizontal support of around 1.2680. Following that, a broad support zone comprising multiple levels marked since late June, around 1.2620-2590, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable bears. In a case where the Pound Sterling keeps the reins past 1.2590, the 1.2500 round figure and late May’s swing high near 1.2480 will be buffers during the south run towards May’s low of 1.2308.

Overall, GBPUSD teases buyers but they have a tough task on hand to retake control.