The bears are awake

24 апр. 2018 г.

Close below 1.21545 would at least eliminate the alternative triangle correction

24 апр. 2018 г.

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We may label the internal structure differently but it will not alter the overall structure

29 апр. 2018 г.

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Bearish count
We could expect a 5 waves sequence to complete larger degree wave 1 or A
Green wave (i) ended at 1.2216, close above this level would argue a different wave count

short-term target 1: 1.1992 if green wave (iii) equals to 1.618 times the length of wave (i)
short-term target 2: 1.1827 if blue wave {iii} equals to 1.618 times the length of wave {i}
short-term target 3: end of wave 4 at 1.1554

2 мая 2018 г.

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9 мая 2018 г.

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2.618 Fib extension at 1.17312

11 мая 2018 г.

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16 мая 2018 г.

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18 мая 2018 г.

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the dollar index says Euro may decline further

27 мая 2018 г.

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short-term bear still alive

28 мая 2018 г.

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alter count: ending diagonal to complete green wave (v)
red wave 1 circle = blue iii of green (v)
red wave 2 circle = blue iv of green (v)
but we need a swift rally breaking the end of red wave 2 circle first
there is no price evidence to confirm the above count so far

31 мая 2018 г.

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31 мая 2018 г.

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31 мая 2018 г.

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expecting blue wave iv circle correction will end within 38.2% - 50% retracement level

5 июн. 2018 г.

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blue wave iv circle is still under way

26 июн. 2018 г.

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grey triangle wave {iv} or blue wave (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) for {v}

18 июл. 2018 г.

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the triangle could be the best interpretation so far

25 июл. 2018 г.

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break above wave (c) high of 1.17908 would invalid the triangle count

25 июл. 2018 г.

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27 июл. 2018 г.

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short-term sell set up

30 июл. 2018 г.

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ready for sell again?

31 июл. 2018 г.

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it seems wave (e) of {iv} is still unfolding

31 июл. 2018 г.

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wave (e) could be a double zigzag w-x-y or a-b-c-d-e triangle

31 июл. 2018 г.

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10 авг. 2018 г.

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time to secure some profits

13 авг. 2018 г.

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possible count 1

13 авг. 2018 г.

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possible count 2

16 авг. 2018 г.

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another new low is still possible, no need to rush into catch the bottom

21 авг. 2018 г.

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EURO has broken the red wave (i) low today. it tells us this is not wave (iv) correction, which also suggests the above bullish case is under way.
We can still argue the red (i) to (v) could be only wave (i) of {v} of 1 or A, but i think it's less likely to happen.
A solid close above the end of wave {iv} at 1.1747 would confirm the 5-waves decline sequence since February has ended

5 сент. 2018 г.

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5 сент. 2018 г.

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27 сент. 2018 г.

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expanded flat ?

3 окт. 2018 г.

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almost there?

4 окт. 2018 г.

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4 окт. 2018 г.

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a lower degree bullish flag would signal a good buy opportunity

11 окт. 2018 г.

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It seems we can label the sub wave v of (c) as an ending diagonal

15 окт. 2018 г.

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15 окт. 2018 г.

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bullish target towards 1.18647 where wave {c} travels the same distance as wave {a}

17 окт. 2018 г.

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19 окт. 2018 г.

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19 окт. 2018 г.

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break below green wave {b} low at 1.14322 would activate alternative count in grey

27 окт. 2018 г.

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2 нояб. 2018 г.

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8 нояб. 2018 г.

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let's review the larger structure

8 нояб. 2018 г.

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any close below the blue wave {b} low would argue wave 2 or B finished at 1.18153 (Sept high)

8 нояб. 2018 г.

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8 нояб. 2018 г.

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the short-term key support level is the end of blue wave {b} at 1.13021, break below this would eliminate the wave and green count.

12 нояб. 2018 г.

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time to adopt more bearish count

12 нояб. 2018 г.

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22 дек. 2018 г.

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bearish count

28 дек. 2018 г.

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The short-term pattern does not look bearish, maybe a complex {ii} or even wave 2 (or B) is still unfolding

5 янв. 2019 г.

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5 янв. 2019 г.

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It is possible to count wave {ii} has finished at 1.14968 (2nd Jan), where sub wave (c) is an ending diagonal. But the correction could be more complex.

25 янв. 2019 г.

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25 янв. 2019 г.

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idealised selling opportunity

25 янв. 2019 г.

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bearish assumption

25 апр. 2019 г.

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25 апр. 2019 г.

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OR

30 апр. 2019 г.

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if wave B is a triangle, then wave C could be an ending diagonal

4 мая 2019 г.

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short-term count if an ending diagonal for wave C in the making

13 мая 2019 г.

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15 мая 2019 г.

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other possible structure

3 июн. 2019 г.

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possible short-term count

or

4 июн. 2019 г.

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4 июн. 2019 г.

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wave C done