NIFTY in 3-3-5 Corrective Elliot Wave- Overall Bull Trend Intact
NIFTY 50 Analysis based on Elliot Wave Theory
1) 5-April-2022 to 17-June-2022: NIFTY 50 formed a 5-wave bearish impulse wave down from 18,100 to 15,175
2) 19-June-2022 to 13-Sept-2022: NIFTY 50 formed a 5-wave bullish impulse wave up from 15,175 to 18,075
3) 18-Aug-2022 to 13-Sept-2022: Waves (4) and (5) of the 5-wave bullish impulse wave were also the beginning of an A-B-C (3-3-5) corrective wave that often forms after a 5-wave impulse wave. On closer viewing, you will notice that Waves (A) and (B) of such A-B-C corrective wave also form 1-2-3 sub-waves wherein sub-waves 1 and 3 were bearish and wave 2 was bullish, thereby confirming the pattern.
4) 13-Sept-2022 to Present Day: Wave (C) of the A-B-C Corrective Wave has formed an Expanded Flat Pattern, i.e. Wave (C) has extended beyond Wave (A). As per Elliot Wave Theory, Wave (C) usually extends to between 100% to 162% of Wave (A), and most often to around 123%, marked by the 1 and 1.618 Fibonnaci Levels drawn.
5) Projection (29-Sept-2022 onwards, possibly 2-3 weeks): For this theory to be confirmed, it is likely that NIFTY 50 will bounce from the 200-EMA support level of around 16,850 towards the 55-EMA (17,100) or 89-EMA (17,200) forming sub-wave (D) of the (C) wave of the A-B-C Corrective Wave, and then re-test the 200-EMA support forming sub-wave (E) of the (C) wave of the A-B-C Corrective Wave.
6) Conclusion: In this manner, a double-bottom off the 200-EMA would also be formed, before NIFTY continues its overall bullish trend with a re-test (and possibly 6th time lucky) or break above 18,100 levels.
1) 5-April-2022 to 17-June-2022: NIFTY 50 formed a 5-wave bearish impulse wave down from 18,100 to 15,175
2) 19-June-2022 to 13-Sept-2022: NIFTY 50 formed a 5-wave bullish impulse wave up from 15,175 to 18,075
3) 18-Aug-2022 to 13-Sept-2022: Waves (4) and (5) of the 5-wave bullish impulse wave were also the beginning of an A-B-C (3-3-5) corrective wave that often forms after a 5-wave impulse wave. On closer viewing, you will notice that Waves (A) and (B) of such A-B-C corrective wave also form 1-2-3 sub-waves wherein sub-waves 1 and 3 were bearish and wave 2 was bullish, thereby confirming the pattern.
4) 13-Sept-2022 to Present Day: Wave (C) of the A-B-C Corrective Wave has formed an Expanded Flat Pattern, i.e. Wave (C) has extended beyond Wave (A). As per Elliot Wave Theory, Wave (C) usually extends to between 100% to 162% of Wave (A), and most often to around 123%, marked by the 1 and 1.618 Fibonnaci Levels drawn.
5) Projection (29-Sept-2022 onwards, possibly 2-3 weeks): For this theory to be confirmed, it is likely that NIFTY 50 will bounce from the 200-EMA support level of around 16,850 towards the 55-EMA (17,100) or 89-EMA (17,200) forming sub-wave (D) of the (C) wave of the A-B-C Corrective Wave, and then re-test the 200-EMA support forming sub-wave (E) of the (C) wave of the A-B-C Corrective Wave.
6) Conclusion: In this manner, a double-bottom off the 200-EMA would also be formed, before NIFTY continues its overall bullish trend with a re-test (and possibly 6th time lucky) or break above 18,100 levels.
Похожие публикации
Отказ от ответственности
Все виды контента, которые вы можете увидеть на TradingView, не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или любыми другими рекомендациями. Мы не предоставляем советы по покупке и продаже активов. Подробнее — в Условиях использования TradingView.