AwesomeAvani

SPY falls out of its channel on geopolitical risk SHORT

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AwesomeAvani Обновлено   
BATS:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
SPY on the 2H chart shows the past six months of trend. SPY has been in an ascending channel

but fall out of the channel. Iran's ambition to retliate against Israel and the movement of US

NAVY warships into the the Middle East raises concerrn as does "sticky inflation" and early

earnings reports from big banks. On the chart, trend angle analysis suggests the SPY may be

topping or correcting its ascend. The shorter VWAP line are more flat than the longest VWAP

line. I see this as impetus to further implement my hedging strategy with conviction and

discipline. I can easily appreciate that SPY could pullback to 490 ( the middle anchored VWAP

line) and easily could pullback into 465 as a standard Fibonacci retracement. Obviously

fundamentals can trump technicals. Geopolitical risk is significant can easily trump both of

them. I find good cause to hedge with inverses of ETFs of the indices and inverse ETFs for

technical stocks, and perhaps banks, financial stocks and bonds as a means to buffer any fall

my long positions moving forward.
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QQQ is following the same loss of overall trend- chiseled in technical stone not
tea leaves and crystal balls......

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QQQ is a 2 degree trend angle in the past month and actually a negative angle or
slope in the past two weeks.
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SPT 30 days negative 4 degree trend angle buyer beware

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Monday session long trade reverting to the mean- reversal as above detail below

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SPY moving up in premarket. Looking for a break trhough 414-415 then targeting 419
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Sideways today overall Intraday Put Option Scalp went 3X form the low pivot.
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The trend continues Shorting SPY and QQQ both.
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SPY is down 4% off the high pivot of April 1st a forecasting algo predicts another week of a trend down,

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Added to the position of shares. Intraday scalp of put options expiring tomorrow yielded 7X. Israel says it will retaliate without US is likely just tough talk in the argument. Oil prices on watch. Technically a reversal could occur with fundmentals
esp geopolitical and rate hike concerns would likely dominate.
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Continuing SPXS shares and SPY put options- the correction continues
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Bearish bias continues down 5% from 2024 ATH now with a bear flag
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