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Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said on Tuesday that his new “bear case” for the shares, down from a previous estimate of $97, could materialise if Tesla were to miss by about half his forecast for sales in China. Mr Jonas also raised concerns about a “highly volatile trade situation in the region” and Tesla’s mounting debt load.
“This year’s sharp deceleration in demand has led to a substantial curtailment of the company’s ability to self-fund through free cash flow generation, at the margin potentially impacting the firm’s access to capital,” Mr Jonas wrote in a note to clients.