Sell below 113.95. Stop loss at 114.95. Take profit at 112.56.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our profit target perfectly. We now turn bearish below 113.95 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal resistance) for a drop down to 112.56 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below the 94% level.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving the USD today is the U. of Michigan Confidence. It assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. A low or falling University of Michigan Sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. We’re expecting a lower value and a weaker forecast which means a weaker USD, which goes in line with our bearish USDJPY trade.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our profit target perfectly. We now turn bearish below 113.95 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal resistance) for a drop down to 112.56 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below the 94% level.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving the USD today is the U. of Michigan Confidence. It assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. A low or falling University of Michigan Sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. We’re expecting a lower value and a weaker forecast which means a weaker USD, which goes in line with our bearish USDJPY trade.