GOLD: Road to $2300

Gold trading experienced a pronounced negative trend below the $2,170 level during Friday's session, primarily influenced by the persistent strength of the US dollar. Nevertheless, the pair appears poised to record modest weekly gains after pulling back from the record high above $2,220 touched on Wednesday. From a technical standpoint, there seems to be a continuation of selling pressure below the overnight swing low, situated around the $2,166 area, or the 100-hour moving average. This could expose support at $2,146 or the weekly low. On the flip side, the psychological level of $2,200 currently seems to act as an immediate hurdle. Above this level, there might be an opportunity for bulls to target the record high, around the $2,223 zone touched on Thursday. Additionally, a generally positive risk tone and hopes for a ceasefire in Gaza further contributed to the bearish pressure on gold, considered a safe haven. The Federal Reserve (Fed) projected a less restrictive policy and three interest rate cuts for 2024, increasing speculation for a potential move at the June meeting. This scenario is supported by further declines in US Treasury yields, which could temper bullish sentiment on the US dollar and provide some support to the gold price, despite its lack of yield.

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Gold is near to touch the upper side of the bearish channel. Waiting for a possible inversion...