Valuation Metrics Table (P/S, P/E, etc.)This table gives the user a very easy way of seeing many valuation metrics. I also included the 5 year median of the price to sales and price to earnings ratios. Then I calculated the percent difference between the median and the current ratio. This gives a sense of whether or not a stock is over valued or under valued based on historical data. The other ratios are well known and don't require any explanation. You can turn off the ones you don't want in the settings of the indicator. Another thing to mention is that diluted EPS is used in calculations
Fundamental-analysis
Rainbow IndicatorName of the indicator: Rainbow indicator
A brief description of the indicator:
Using this indicator, you can see the "margin of safety" for opening a position in shares of fundamentally strong companies with an acceptable P/E level, as well as the price range for closing a position.
The background to the creation of the indicator:
I got the idea to create this indicator thanks to the concept of the "margin of safety", which was invented by the father of value investing - Benjamin Graham. According to his idea, it is reasonable to buy shares of a company only when the price offered by the market is lower than the "intrinsic value" calculated on the basis of financial statements. The value of this difference is the "margin of safety”. At the same time, the indicator does not copy Graham's idea but develops it relying on my own methodology.
So, according to Graham, the "margin of safety" is a good discount to the intrinsic value of the company. That is, if a company's stock is trading at prices that are well below the company's intrinsic value (on a per-share basis), it's a good opportunity to consider buying it. In this case, you will have a certain margin of safety in case the company is in financial distress and its stock price goes down. Accordingly, the greater the discount, the better.
When it comes to the intrinsic value of a company, there are many approaches to determining it - from calculating the Price-to-book value financial ratio to the discounted cash flow method. As for my approach, I am not trying to find the cherished intrinsic value, but I am trying to understand how fundamentally strong the company is in front of me, and in how many years the investment in it will pay off. To determine fundamental strength, I use the appropriate Fundamental Strength Indicator . To estimate the payback period, I use the P/E ratio (*). If I am satisfied with both of these indicators, I move on to the Rainbow Indicator.
(*) If you want to learn more about the P/E ratio, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2
Indicator calculation methodology:
The Rainbow indicator starts with a simple moving average of one year (this is the thick red line in the center). Hereinafter a year will mean the last 252 trading days.
Applying a moving average of this length - is a good way to smooth out sharp price fluctuations which can happen during a year as much as possible, keeping the trend direction as much as possible. Thus, the moving average becomes for me the center of fluctuations of the imaginary pendulum of the market price.
Then the deviations are calculated from the center of fluctuations. To do this, a certain amount of earnings per share is subtracted from and added to the moving average. This is the diluted EPS of the last year.
Deviations with a "-" sign form the Lower Rainbow of four colors:
- The blue spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -4 EPS and ends with a deflection of -8 EPS.
- Green spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -8 EPS and ends with a deflection of -16 EPS.
- The orange spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -16 EPS and ends with a deflection of -32 EPS.
- Red spectrum of the lower rainbow begins with a deflection of -32 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Lower Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for buying stocks. It is in the spectra of the Lower Rainbow that the very "margin of safety" according to my methodology is located. The Lower Rainbow has the boundaries between the spectra as a solid line . And only the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow has only one boundary.
Deviations with a "+" sign form the Upper Rainbow of four similar colors:
- The red spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of 0 EPS and ends with a deflection of +4 EPS.
- The orange spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of +4 EPS and ends with a deflection of +8 EPS.
- Green spectrum top rainbow begins with a deflection of +8 EPS and ends with a deflection of +16 EPS.
- The blue spectrum of the upper rainbow begins with a deflection of +16 EPS and goes to infinity.
The Upper Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for selling stocks already purchased. The top rainbow has boundaries between the spectra in the form of crosses . And only the blue spectrum of the upper rainbow has only one boundary.
The presence of the Empty Area (the size of 4 EPS) above the Lower Rainbow creates some asymmetry between the two rainbows - the Lower Rainbow looks wider than the Upper Rainbow. This asymmetry is deliberate because the market tends to fall much faster and deeper than it grows . Therefore, a wider Lower Rainbow is conducive to buying stocks at a good discount during a period of massive "sell-offs.
The situation, when the Lower Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations (the thick red line) and the Upper Rainbow, is above the center of fluctuations is called an Obverse . It is only possible to buy a stock in an Obverse situation .
The situation when the Lower Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations and the Upper Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations is called Reverse . In this situation, the stock cannot be considered for purchase , according to my approach.
Selling a previously purchased stock is possible in both situations: Reverse and Obverse. After loading the indicator, you can see a hint next to the closing price - Reverse or Obverse now.
Due to the fact that the size of the deviation from the center of fluctuation depends on the size of the diluted EPS, several important conclusions can be made:
- The Obverse situation is characteristic of companies that show a profit over the last year.
- The Reverse situation is typical for companies that show a loss over the last year.
- An increase in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells us about an increase in profits for the company.
- A decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells us about a decrease in the company's profits.
- An increase in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells us about an increase in the company's losses.
- A decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells us about a decrease in the company's losses.
- The higher the profit level of the company, the greater your "margin of safety" should be. This will provide the necessary margin of safety in case you go into a cycle of declining financial results. The appropriate width of the Lower Rainbow will just create this "margin".
- Increased profits in the company (after buying its stock) will allow you to stay in position longer by widening the Upper Rainbow.
- A decrease in profits in the company (after buying its stock) will allow you to close your position more quickly by narrowing the Upper Rainbow.
Conditions for opening and closing positions:
So, the Lower Rainbow has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each one highlights the desired range of prices acceptable for buying in an Obverse situation. The blue spectrum is upper with respect to the green spectrum, and the green spectrum is lower with respect to the blue spectrum, etc.
- If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, that is a reason to consider that company for buying the first portion (*) of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider this company to buy a second portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), it is a reason to consider this company to buy a third portion of the stock.
- If the current price has fallen below (into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider that company to buy a fourth portion of the stock.
(*) The logic of the Rainbow Indicator implies that no more than 4 portions of one company's stock can be purchased. One portion refers to the number of shares you can consider buying at the current price (depending on your account size and personal diversification ratio - see information below).
The Upper Rainbow also has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each of them highlights the appropriate range of prices acceptable for closing an open position.
- If the current price is in the red spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the orange spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the green spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
- If the current price is in the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the blue spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
This position-closing logic applies to both the Obverse and Reverse situations. In both cases, the position is closed in portions in four steps. However, there are 3 exceptions to this rule when it is possible to close an entire position in whole rather than in parts:
- If there is a Reverse situation and the current price is above the thick red line.
- If I decide to invest in another company and I do not have enough available cash to purchase the necessary number of portions.
- If I find out about events that pose a real threat to the further existence of the company (for example, a bankruptcy filing), I can close the position earlier, without waiting for the price to hit the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectrum.
So, the basic scenario of opening and closing a position assumes the gradual purchase of shares in 4 stages and their gradual sale in 4 stages. However, there is a situation where one of the stages is skipped in the case of buying shares and in the case of selling them. For example, because the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio became acceptable for me only at a certain stage (spectrum) or the moment was missed for a transaction due to technical reasons. In such cases, I buy or sell more than one portion of a stock in the spectrum I am in. The number of additional portions will depend on the number of missed spectra. For example, if I have no position in the stock of the company in question, all conditions for buying the stock have been met, and the current price is in the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, I can buy three portions of the stock at once (for the blue, green, and orange spectrum). I will sell these three portions in the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectra (orange, green, and blue). However, if for some reason the orange spectrum of the Upper Rainbow was missed, and the current price is in the green spectrum - I will sell two portions of the three (in the green spectrum). I will sell the last, third portion only when the price reaches the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow.
The Rainbow Indicator also helps calculate the number of shares that can be considered for purchase at the current price position in the Lower Rainbow spectra. To do this, you need to go to the indicator settings.
+ Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed profit/loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes
Here I indicate the amount of funds deposited to my account, withdrawn from it, profit/loss on closed positions, dividends credited to the account, and taxes deducted from the account.
Diversification coefficient
The diversification coefficient determines how diversified I want my portfolio to be. For example, a diversification coefficient of 20 means that I plan to buy 20 share portions of different companies, but no more than 4 portions per company (based on the number of Lower Rainbow spectra).
The cost of purchased shares of this company (fees excluded)
Here I specify the amount of already purchased shares of the company in question in the currency of my portfolio. For example, if at this point in time, I have purchased 1000 shares at $300 per share, and my portfolio is expressed in $, I enter - $300,000.
The cost of all purchased shares in the portfolio (fees excluded)
Here I enter the amount of all purchased shares for all companies in the currency of my portfolio (without commissions spent on the purchase). This is necessary to determine the amount of available funds available to purchase shares.
After entering all the necessary data, I go to the checkbox, by checking it I confirm that the company in question has been studied with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio, and their values are satisfactory to me. No calculation is performed without the checkbox checked. This is done intentionally because the application of the Rainbow Indicator for stock acquisition purposes is possible only after studying the Fundamental Strength of the company and an acceptable P/E value.
Next, I click "Ok" and get the calculation in the form of a table on the left.
Free cash in the portfolio
This is the amount of free cash available to purchase stocks. Please note that the price of the stock and the funds in your portfolio must be denominated in the same currency. On TradingView, you can choose which currency to display the stock price in.
Cash amount for one portion
The amount of cash needed to buy one portion of a stock. Depends on the diversification ratio entered.
Potential portions amount
Number of portions, available for purchase at the current price. Can be a fractional number.
Cash amount to buy
The amount of cash needed to buy portions available for purchase at the current price.
Shares amount to buy
Number of shares in portions available for purchase at the current price.
The table also contains additional information in the form of the current value of the company's market capitalization and P/E ratio.
Mandatory requirements for using the indicator:
- works only on a daily timeframe;
- the indicator is only applicable to shares of public companies;
- quarterly income statements for the last year are required;
- an acceptable for you P/E ratio is required to consider the company's stock for purchase;
- the Rainbow Indicator only applies in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator. To consider a company's stock for purchase, you need confirmation that the company is fundamentally strong.
What is the value of the Rainbow Indicator?
- clearly demonstrates a company's profit and loss dynamics;
- shows the price ranges that can be used to open and close a position;
- takes into account the principle of gradual increase and decrease of a position;
- allows calculating the number of shares to be purchased;
- shows the current value of the P/E ratio;
- shows the current capitalization of the company.
Example:
As an example, consider the situation with NVIDIA Corporation stock (ticker - NVDA).
September 02, 2022:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 11.46 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 39.58 (acceptable to me).
Current Price - $136.47 (is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are filled out as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Orange Spectrum of Lower Rainbow at the current price = 10 shares. This corresponds to 2.73 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 10 shares of NVDA at $136.47 per share.
October 14, 2022:
NVDA's stock price has moved into the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is 10.81 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 35.80 (an acceptable level for me).
Current Price - $112.27 (is in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum at the current price (5 shares). This corresponds to 1.12 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 5 shares of NVDA at $112.27 per share. A total of 3.85 portions were purchased, which is the maximum possible number of portions at the current price level. The remainder in the form of 0.15 portions can be purchased only at a price level below $75 per share.
January 23, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock passes through the red spectrum of the Upper Rainbow and stops in the orange spectrum. As an example, I sell 5 shares bought in the red spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, for example at $180 per share (+60%). And also a third of the shares bought in the orange spectrum, 3 shares out of 10, for example at $190 a share (+39%). That leaves me with 7 shares.
January 27, 2023:
NVDA's stock price has continued to rise and has moved into the green spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This is a reason to close some of the remaining 7 shares. I divide the 7 shares by 2 and round up to a whole number - that's 4 shares. For my example, I sell 4 shares at $199 a share (+46%). Now I am left with 3 shares of stock.
February 02, 2023:
The price of NVDA stock moves into the blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, and I close the remaining 3 shares, for example, at $216 per share (+58%). The entire position in NVDA stock is closed.
As you can see, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio were not used in the process of closing the position. Decisions were made only on the basis of the Rainbow Indicator.
As another example, let's look at the situation with the shares of Papa Johns International, Inc. (ticker PZZA).
November 01, 2017:
Fundamental Strength Indicator - 13.22 points (fundamentally strong company).
P/E - 21.64 (acceptable to me).
Current Price - $62.26 (is in the blue spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are met. The settings of the Rainbow Indicator are filled as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Blue Spectrum at the current price - 8 shares. This corresponds to 1 portion.
To give you an example, I buy 8 shares of PZZA at a price of $62.26.
August 8, 2018:
PZZA's share price has moved into the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow.
The Fundamental Strength Indicator is a 9.83 (fundamentally strong company).
P/E is 16.07 (an acceptable level for me).
Current Price - $38.94 (is in the green spectrum of the Lower Rainbow).
Situation - Obverse.
The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows:
The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Green Spectrum at the current price - 12 shares. This corresponds to 0.93 portions.
To give you an example, I buy 12 shares of PZZA at a price of $38.94. A total of 1.93 portions were purchased.
October 31, 2018:
PZZA's stock price moves into the Upper Rainbow red spectrum and is $54.54 per share. Since I did not have any portions purchased in the Lower Rainbow red spectrum, there is no closing part of the position.
February 01, 2019:
After a significant decline, PZZA's stock price moves into the orange spectrum of the Lower Rainbow at $38.51 per share. However, I am not taking any action because the company's Fundamental Strength on this day is 5.02 (a fundamentally mediocre company).
March 27, 2019:
PZZA's stock price passes the green and blue spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This allowed to close the previously purchased 12 shares, for example, at $50 a share (+28%) and 8 shares at $50.38 a share (-19%).
Closing the entire position at once was facilitated by a significant narrowing in both rainbows. As we now know, this indicates a decline in earnings at the company.
Risk disclaimer:
When working with the Rainbow Indicator, keep in mind that the release of the Income statement (from which diluted EPS is derived) occurs some time after the end of the fiscal quarter. This means that the new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statement. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the Rainbow Indicator after the publication of the new statement. The magnitude of this change will depend on both the content of the new statement and the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statement. Prior to the publication date of the new statement, the latest actual data will be used for the calculations. Also, once again, please note that the Rainbow Indicator can only be used in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio. Without these additional filters, the Rainbow Indicator loses its intended meaning.
The Rainbow Indicator allows you to determine the price ranges for opening and closing a position gradually, based on available data and the methodology I created. You can also use it to calculate the number of shares you can consider buying taking into account the position you already have. However, this Indicator and/or its description and examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
Fundamental Strength IndicatorName of the indicator: Fundamental Strength Indicator
A brief description of the indicator:
Using this indicator, you can evaluate a company in terms of the strength of its financial performance and see how that score has changed over time.
The background to the creation of the indicator:
The main idea that inspired me to create this indicator is: " Even if you buy just 1 share of a company, treat it like buying the whole business ". However, when I need to evaluate the business of thousands of public companies traded on exchanges, there is an objective difficulty: it is very time-consuming. To solve this problem, I had to create a scoring system of the fundamental analysis of the company, embodied in this indicator.
What the indicator looks like:
- First, it is a Histogram with bars of three colors: green, orange, and red. The width of the histogram depends on the depth of data from the company statements. The more historical data, the wider the histogram over time.
The green color of the bars means that the company has been showing excellent financial results by the sum of the factors in that time period. According to my terminology, the company has a " strong foundation " during this period. Green corresponds to values between 8 and 15 (where 15 is the maximum possible positive value on the sum of the factors).
The orange color of the bars means that according to the sum of factors during this period the company demonstrated mediocre financial results, i.e. it has a " mediocre foundation ". Orange color corresponds to values from 1 to 7.
The red color of the bars means that according to the sum of factors in this period of time, the company demonstrated weak financial results, i.e. it has a " weak foundation ". The red color corresponds to values from -15 to 0 (where -15 is the maximum possible negative value on the sum of factors).
- Second, this is the Blue Line , which is the moving average of the Histogram bars over the last year (*). Averaging over the year is necessary in order to obtain a weighted estimate that is not subject to medium-term fluctuations. It is by the last value of the blue line that the actual Fundamental Strength of the company is determined.
(*) The last year means the last 252 trading days, including the current trading day.
- Third, these are operating, investing, and financing Cash Flows expressed in Diluted net income. These flows look like thick green, orange, and red lines, respectively.
- Fourth, this is the Table on the left, which shows the latest actual value of the Fundamental Strength and Cash Flows.
Indicator settings:
In the indicator settings, I can disable the visibility of the Histogram, Blue Line, Cash Flows (each separately), and Table. It helps to study each of the parameters separately. It is also possible to change the color, transparency, and thickness of lines.
Mandatory requirements for using the indicator:
- works only on a daily timeframe;
- only applies to shares of public companies;
- company financial statements for the last 4 quarters and more are required;
- it is necessary to have the data from the Balance sheet, Income statement, and Cash flow statement, required for the calculation.
If at least one component required for calculating the Fundamental Strength is missing, the message " no data to calculate the Fundamental Strength correctly " is displayed. In the same case, but for the operating cash flow, the message " no data to calculate the Operating Cash Flow correctly " is shown, and similarly for other flows.
What is the value of the Fundamental Strength Indicator:
- allows for a quantitative assessment of a company's financial performance in points (from -15 to 15 points);
- allows you to visually track how the company's financial performance has changed (positively/negatively) over time;
- allows to visually trace the movement of main cash flows over time;
- speeds up the process of selecting companies for your shortlist (if you are focused on financial results when selecting companies);
- allows you to protect yourself from investing in companies with weak and mediocre fundamentals.
Indicator calculation methodology:
Guided by the "Treat stock investments as buying the whole business" approach, you can imagine what kind of business an investor is interested in owning and simultaneously determine the input parameters for calculating the indicator.
(!) Here it is important to emphasize that the idea of a benchmark business for investment is a subjective notion, so be sure to check whether it coincides with your own opinion.
For me, a benchmark business is:
- A business that operates efficiently without diminishing the return on shareholders' investment. To assess the efficiency and profitability of a business, I use the following financial ratios (*): Diluted EPS and Return on Equity (ROE). The first two parameters for calculating the indicator are there.
- A business that scales sales and optimizes its costs. From this point of view, the following financial ratios are suitable: Gross margin, Operating expense ratio, and Total revenue. Plus three other metrics.
- A business that turns goods/services into cash quickly and does not fall behind on payments to suppliers. The following financial ratios will fit here: Days payable, Days sales outstanding, and Inventory to revenue ratio. These are three more metrics.
- A business that does not resort to significant accounts payable and shows financial strength. Here I use the following financial ratios: Current ratio, Interest coverage, and Debt to revenue ratio. These are the last three parameters.
(*) If you want to learn more about these financial ratios, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Financial ratios: digesting them together
What can financial ratios tell us?
Next, each of the parameters is assigned a certain number of points based on its last value or the position of that value relative to the annual maximum and minimum.
For example, if the Current ratio:
- greater than or equal to 2 (+1 point);
- less than or equal to 1 (-1 point);
- more than 1 but less than 2 (0 points).
Or for example, if Diluted EPS:
- near or above the annual high (+2 points);
- near the annual minimum and below (-2 points);
- between the annual maximum and minimum (0 points).
And so on with each of the parameters.
As a result, the maximum number of points a company can score is 15 points. The minimum number of points a company can score is -15 points. These levels are marked with horizontal dotted lines: the green line is for the maximum value, and the red line is for the minimum.
I track the number of points for each day of a company's life on a three-color Histogram. The resulting average value for the last year is on the Blue Line. For me, it is the last value of the Blue Line that determines - this is the actual Fundamental Strength of the company.
The business valuation model I created is more suitable for companies that produce goods or services, and where tangible assets play a significant role in the business. For example, when analyzing companies in the financial sector, you may see the message "no data to calculate the Fundamental Strength correctly". Many of them may simply be missing data that is used as input for the calculation: Inventory to revenue ratio, Days sales outstanding, etc.
Examples:
Below I will evaluate various companies using the Fundamental Strength Indicator.
Tesla, Inc.
The indicator shows that since 2020, Tesla Inc. has been steadily increasing its Fundamental Strength (from 3.27 in Q1 2020 to 12.79 in Q1 2023). This is noticeable both by the color change of the Histogram from orange to green and by the rising Blue Line. If you look in detail at what has been happening with the financials during this time, it's clear what meaningful work the company has done. Revenues have almost quadrupled. Earnings per share have increased 134 times. At the same time, total debt to revenue fell almost 10 times.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
The company, formed in 2018 by the merger of Keurig Green Mountain and Dr Pepper Snapple Group, has failed to deliver outstanding financial results, causing its Fundamental Strength to fall from 4.63 in Q1 2018 to -0.53 in Q1 2023. During this period, the drop in diluted earnings per share was accompanied by higher debt and deteriorating liquidity.
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Wholesaler Costco has been surprisingly stable in its financial performance and with steady growth in both earnings and revenue. This is the reason why the Histogram bars are exceptionally green throughout the calculation of the indicator. The Fundamental Strength has not changed in three years and is high at 11 points.
As an additional filter, for example, when comparing two companies where all other conditions are equal - I use the dynamics of Cash Flows expressed in Diluted net income (*). These are the thick green, orange, and red lines over the Histogram.
Why do I use income as a unit of measure of Cash Flows? Because it is a good way to make the scale of indicator values the same for companies from different countries, with different currencies. It also allows you to use a single value scale for both Cash Flows and Fundamental Strength.
(*) If you want to learn more about Cash Flows, I suggest reading my two articles on TradingView:
Cash flow statement or Three great rivers
Cash flow vibrations
So, an additional filter shows the dynamics of Cash Flows over time.
To interpret the dynamics of Cash Flows, I pay attention to the following patterns:
- How the cash flows are positioned in relation to each other;
- In which zone each of the cash flows is located - in the positive or negative;
- What is the trend of each of the cash flows;
- How volatile each of the cash flows is.
As an example, let's look at several companies in order to interpret the dynamics of their Cash Flows.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
This is the most ideal situation for me: operating cash flow (green line) is above the other cash flows, investment cash flow (orange line) is near zero and practically unchanged, and financial cash flow (red line) is consistently below zero. This picture shows that the company lives off its operating cash flow, does not increase its debt, does not spend a substantial amount of money on expensive purchases, and retains (does not sell off) assets.
Parker Hannifin Corporation
With stable operating cash flow (green line), the company implements investment programs by raising additional funding. This is noticeable due to an increase in financial cash flow (red line) and a simultaneous decrease in investment cash flow (orange line) with a significant deepening into negative areas. Apparently, there is not enough operating cash flow to realize the planned investments. One has to wonder how sustainable a company can be if it invests in its development using borrowed funds without a subsequent increase in operating cash flow.
Schlumberger N. V.
The chaotic intertwining of cash flows outside of the Fundamental Strength range (-15 to 15) is indicative of the company's rich life, but to me, it is an indicator of high riskiness of its actions. And as we can see, Fundamental Strength has only begun to strengthen in the last year, when the external appearance of cash flow has normalized.
Risk disclaimer:
When working with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the additional filter in the form of Cash Flows, you should understand that the publication of the Balance sheet, Income statement, and Cash flow statement takes place sometime after the end of the financial quarter. This means that new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statements. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the values of the Indicator after the publication of new statements. The magnitude of this change will depend both on the content of the new statements and on the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statements. Until the date of publication of the new statements, the latest relevant data will be used for calculations.
I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the calculation of Fundamental Strength and Cash Flows requires the availability of data for all parameters of the valuation model . It uses data that is exclusively available on TradingView (there is no reconciliation with other sources). If at least one parameter is missing, I switch to another company's analysis to continue using the indicator.
Thus, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and an additional filter in the form of Cash Flows make it possible to evaluate the financial results of the company based on the available data and the methodology I created. A simple visualization in the form of a three-color Histogram, a Blue line, and three thick Cash Flow lines significantly reduces the time for selecting fundamentally strong companies that fit the criteria of the selected model. However, this Indicator and/or its description and/or examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
Financial Radar Chart by zdmreRadar chart is often used when you want to display data across several unique dimensions. Although there are exceptions, these dimensions are usually quantitative, and typically range from zero to a maximum value. Each dimension’s range is normalized to one another, so that when we draw our spider chart, the length of a line from zero to a dimension’s maximum value will be the similar for every dimension.
This Charts are useful for seeing which variables are scoring high or low within a dataset, making them ideal for displaying performance.
How is the score formed?
Debt Paying Ability
if Debt_to_Equity < %10 : 100
elif < 20% : 90
elif < 30% : 80
elif < 40% : 70
elif < 50% : 60
elif < 60% : 50
elif < 70% : 40
elif < 80% : 30
elif < 90% : 20
elif < 100% : 10
else: 0
ROIC
if Return_on_Invested_Capital > %50 : 100
elif > 40% : 90
elif > 30% : 80
elif > 20% : 70
elif > 10% : 50
elif > 5% : 20
else: 0
ROE
if Return_on_Equity > %50 : 100
elif > 40% : 90
elif > 30% : 80
elif > 20% : 70
elif > 10% : 50
elif > 5% : 20
else: 0
Operating Ability
if Operating_Margin > %50 : 100
elif > 30% : 90
elif > 20% : 80
elif > 15% : 60
elif > 10% : 40
elif > 0 : 20
else: 0
EV/EBITDA
if Enterprise_Value_to_EBITDA < 3 : 100
elif < 5 : 80
elif < 7 : 70
elif < 8 : 60
elif < 10 : 40
elif < 12 : 20
else: 0
FREE CASH Ability
if Price_to_Free_Cash_Flow < 5 : 100
elif < 7 : 90
elif < 10 : 80
elif < 16 : 60
elif < 18 : 50
elif < 20 : 40
elif < 22 : 30
elif < 30 : 20
elif < 40 : 15
elif < 50 : 10
elif < 60 : 5
else: 0
GROWTH Ability
if Revenue_One_Year_Growth > %20 : 100
elif > 16% : 90
elif > 14% : 80
elif > 12% : 70
elif > 10% : 50
elif > 7% : 40
elif > 4% : 30
elif > 2% : 20
elif > 0 : 10
else: 0
Joel Greenblatt Magic FormulaJoel Greenblatt Magic Formula. I always wanted to make this.
The Indicator shows 3 values.
ROC,EY,SUM.
ROC= Return On Capital.
EY=Earnings Yield
SUM= Addition of Two.
Formula:
ROC=EBIT / (Net Working Capital + Net Fixed Assets).
EY = EBIT / Enterprise value
Enterprise Value=(Market value of equity + Net Interest-bearing debt)
To implement the strategy, investors start by identifying a universe of stocks, typically large-cap or mid-cap companies that trade on a major stock exchange. Next, they rank the stocks based on their ROC and EY. The companies with the best combination of these two metrics are considered the best investments (based on this ranking).
For example, a stock that ranks 10th on EY and 99th on ROIC gets a value of 109. The two ranks are simply added together and all stocks are ranked on the sum of the two ranks. The stocks with the lowest values are best.
All credits to "The Little Book That Beats The Market" by Joel Greenblatt
The Magic Formula strategy is a stock selection method popularized by Joel Greenblatt’s book The Little Book That Beats the Market.
It involves ranking companies based on Two factors:
A high return on capital and A high Earnings Yield.
The companies with the best combination of these two metrics are considered the best investments. The strategy aims to find undervalued companies with strong financials that have the potential for high returns over the long term.
Fundamental ScreenerThis indicator is designed to compare the year-over-year earnings and sales growth, as well as the P/E ratio of up to 10 stocks simultaneously .
This provides valuable insights into the fundamental performance of multiple stocks at the same time, allowing traders to quickly identify which stocks are outperforming or underperforming their peers.
The earnings and sales growth figures are calculated on a year-over-year basis , comparing the most recent quarter to the same quarter 1 year ago.
The P/E ratio is a valuation metric that measures a company's stock price relative to its trailing twelve months earnings per share.
By comparing these three key metrics across multiple stocks, traders can quickly identify which stock in a group has superior fundamentals.
Customization
Chose to compare 5 or 10 symbols
Table position, color, and size
ValueViewTitle: ValueView
Description:
ValueView is a script designed to cater to the needs of value investors. Its primary purpose is to provide a comprehensive overview of the financial performance of a stock, making it easier for investors to assess the intrinsic value and potential investment opportunities.
The script displays a concise summary of essential fundamental values and metrics in the form of a customizable table, directly integrated into the chart. This allows investors to evaluate the stock's performance for a variable number of fiscal years, as defined by the user. The input flexibility enables users to focus on the timeframes that are most relevant to their analysis.
ValueView works on timeframes greater than or equal to "DAY", ensuring that the data presented is reliable and relevant for long-term value investing strategies. With this feature, investors can focus on the bigger picture and avoid getting distracted by short-term fluctuations.
With ValueView, investors can choose to select or deselect specific metrics according to their investment strategy and preferences. This feature ensures that users are presented with the information they find most valuable, allowing them to make more informed decisions based on their unique perspective.
Key Features:
Quick overview of the financial performance of a stock for value investors
Customizable table displaying essential fundamental values and metrics
User-defined number of fiscal years for analysis
Select and deselect metrics to tailor the output to individual preferences
ValueView offers a convenient, time-saving solution for value investors looking to gain a deep understanding of a stock's financial performance. With its customizable features and easy-to-use interface, this script simplifies the process of identifying promising investments and making informed decisions.
Stock Dissect DashboardI developed this script, to help me in my analysis process of Stocks.
In it I have combined several things that I look at when evaluating a company.
First, there is the Macro part, where I have added the most important (at least for me) macro indicators, such as inflation, interest rates, initial jobless claims etc.
Under the last is the latest reported value, next we have the previous, and next to them is the change.
Underneath it is the technical part.
I have added the 1-Week, 1-Month, 3-Month, and 1-Year returns. This way I can easily see the performance of the stock over time.
We have a market regime indicator, which tells us whether the stock is Trending, Mean-Reverting, or Neutral.
Also, I've added the RSI and 50 and 200 Day Moving Averages for additional analysis
At the bottom, I've included some of the fundamentals that I look at in my analysis process. We have the PE and PB ratio, as well as the debt-to-equity and profit margins.
I hope you guys like it and saves you as much time and energy as it did for me.
Happy trading!
Overvalued/Undervalued OverlayThis indicator will tell you whether the security you are looking at is overvalued or undervalued using a company's total assets and their market cap. In theory, a company's total assets is everything that they own, which then should technically be how much the company is worth. Therefore, if the company's market cap is higher than their total assets, the indicator will read "Overvalued by X%". However, if the company's market cap is lower than their total assets, the indicator will read "Undervalued by X%". If you have any questions, feel free to let me know. Keep in mind that this indicator should be only used for long-term investing.
Financial MetricsGives a sneak peak into some of the important financial ratios described below:
1. P/E : price to earnings ratio (Green when P/E<15)
2. PEG: Price to earnings growth ratio (Green when PEG<1)
3. P/S: Price to sales ratio (Green when P/S<2)
4. EV/FCF: Enterprise Value to Free Cashflow ratio
5. OPM: Operating Profit Margin % (Green when OPM>15%)
6. D/E: Debt to equity ratio (Green when D/E<1)
7. ROE: Return on equity % (Green when ROE>15%)
8. Div_Yield: Dividend yield
Disclaimer: All the limits defined are based on the widely accepted general values, but are subjective to particular sector or group of stocks. For example IT stocks command higher valuation than cyclical stocks like metal. So Compare with other stocks of the same sector to reach any conclusion.
Volume Price and FundamentalsVolume Price and Fundamentals indicators contains 4 exponential moving averages based upon Fibonnaci numbers as period (8, 21, 55 & 144) with crossovers and crossunders.
It also contain a table for volume and 50 Day Avg. Volume, Relative volume, Change in Volume, Volume Value, Up-Down Closing Basis days in last 50 days, Volume ratio (U/D Ratio) on last 50-day Up / Down days and along with fundamental analysis table with various Fundamental Analysis parameters and QoQ & YoY comparison basis for better investment decision making.
Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap
This is released as a thank you to all my followers who pushed me over the 600 follower mark on twitter. Thanks to all you Kingz and Queenz out there who made it happen. <3
Indicator Overview
In each of its major market cycles, Bitcoin's price historically bottoms out around the 200 week moving average.
This indicator uses a color heatmap based on the % increases of that 200 week moving average. Depending on the rolling cumulative 4 week percent delta of the 200 week moving average, a color is assigned to the price chart. This method clearly highlights the market cycles of bitcoin and can be extremely helpful to use in your forecasts.
How It Can Be Used
The long term Bitcoin investor can monitor the monthly color changes. Historically, when we see orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, this has been a good time to sell Bitcoin as the market overheats. Periods where the price dots are purple and close to the 200 week MA have historically been good times to buy.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool
If you are looking to predict the price of Bitcoin or forecast where it may go in the future, the 200WMA heatmap can be a useful tool as it shows on a historical basis whether the current price is overextending (red dots) and may need to cool down. It can also show when Bitcoin price may be good value on a historical basis. This can be when the dots on the chart are purple or blue.
Over more than ten years, $BTC has spent very little time below the 200 week moving average which is also worth noting when thinking about price predictions for Bitcoin or a Bitcoin price forecast.
Notes
1.) If you do not want to view the legend do the following: Indicator options > Style tab > Uncheck "Tables"
2.) I use my custom function to get around the limited historical data for bitcoin. You can check out the explanation of it here:
Inflation Adjusted Performance: Ticker/M2 money supplyPlots current ticker / M2 money supply, to give an idea of 'inflation adjusted performance'.
~In the above, see the last decade of bullish equities is not nearly as impressive as it seems when adjusted to account for the FED's money printing.
~Works on all timeframes/ assets; though M2 money supply is daily data release, so not meaningful to plot this on timeframe lower than daily.
~To display on same pane; comment-out line 6 and un-comment line 7; then save, remove and re-add indicator.
~Scale on the right is meaningless; this indicator is just to show/compare the shape of the charts.
Operating Cash Flow on Total Assets RatioThis indicator divides the company's Operating Cash Flow (TTM) by the company's Total Assets (FY). This ratio gives potential investors the amount of operating cash flow generated from every dollar of asset owned and is a measure of financial efficiency.
BTC Active Address Momentum (On-chain)This indicator shows the difference between the % change in BTC price and the % change in BTC’s active addresses (BTC’s utility value).
- Dark red: Extreme overbought conditions
BTC price is increasing too fast and outgrows the increase in its utility value
(RSI of % change difference > 70)
- Light red: Overbought conditions
BTC price is increasing too fast and outgrows the increase in its utility value
(RSI of % change difference > 60)
- Dark green: Extreme oversold conditions
BTC price is dropping too fast and outruns the decrease in its utility value
(RSI of % change difference < 30)
- Light green: Oversold conditions
BTC price is dropping too fast and outruns the decrease in its utility value
(RSI of % change difference < 40)
*Not financial advice.
BTC Active Address Trend (On-chain)This indicator compares the % change in BTC price and the % change in BTC’s active addresses (BTC’s utility value).
1. % changes in BTC price & active addresses
- Orange line: BTC’s price change (%)
- Gray line: BTC’s active address change (%)
- Red/Yellow/Green lines: Bollinger bands for change in active address
2. Trend:
- Green circles: Bullish Sentiment Trend
Market sentiment is bullish and BTC price outgrows the increase in its utility value (overpricing)
- Red circles: Bearish Sentiment Trend
Market sentiment is bearish and BTC price drops more than the decrease in its utility value (underpricing)
3. Potential Re-Entries:
- Green/Red triangles: potential bullish/bearish entries
When % change of BTC price gets similar to that of active addresses
*Not financial advice.
[blackcat] L3 Financial Minesweeper: Altman Z ScoreLevel: 3
Background
The Altman Z-score is the output of a credit-strength test that gauges a publicly traded manufacturing company's likelihood of bankruptcy. The Altman Z-score is a formula for determining whether a company, notably in the manufacturing space, is headed for bankruptcy.
Function
The possibility of financial failure or bankruptcy of the enterprise is analyzed and predicted through the comprehensive score. The lower the Z value, the more likely the enterprise will go bankrupt. By calculating the Z value of an enterprise for several consecutive years, we can find out whether the enterprise has signs of financial crisis. Generally speaking, when the Z value is greater than 2.675, it indicates that the financial situation of the enterprise is good, and the possibility of bankruptcy is small; When the value is less than 1.81, it indicates that the enterprise is in a potential bankruptcy crisis; when the Z value is between 1.81 and 2.675, it is called a "gray area, indicating that the financial situation of the enterprise is extremely unstable.
Remarks
STOCKs ONLY which require financial data.
X1~X5 coefficients can be customized for different stock markets.
Compared to TradingView official Altman Z-Score Indicator.
Feedbacks are appreciated.
Financial Fundamental Analysis (FFA)- Finansal Temel Analiz (TA)The main purpose of the Fundamental Analysis (TA) indicator; It is to determine whether the rising or falling movements in prices are supported by basic indicators. TA can be used in equity markets. With the financial data transferred to the platform by the companies, the development rates, intrinsic values, true values and expensiveness-cheapness situations of the stocks are estimated. In addition to technical data, it provides an impression of the long-term performance of the stock.
Growth Rate (Blue line): It is a percentage data calculated by focusing on companies' periodic net margin, operating margin and return on equity. It is expected to be higher than 0.2. It symbolizes the possibility of holding and returning cash. It is one of the indicators that the development of the company will be negative or positive in the following periods.
Earnings Per Share (Purple line): It is an important indicator of the sustainability of the company. The periodic increase is expected to be above the inflation figures.
Stock true price (Gray line): Data calculated based on the growth rate. Known book value is recalculated by reflecting the effect of growth rate on earnings per share. In a sense, revaluation is done.
Intrinsic value 1 (red line): It is determined by reevaluating the current price with the growth rate. Whether the value here is too high or too low than the stock price is related to the interest of the sector in which the stock is located.
Intrinsic value 2 (green line): The 50-day average price is determined by reassessing with the growth rate. Whether the value here is too high or too low than the stock price is related to the interest of the sector in which the stock is located.
The desired performance is to remain above 0.2, periodic earnings per share to increase above the inflation rate, and to have a regular increase graph without fluctuations in the stock true price. The fact that intrinsic value 1 crosses intrinsic value 2 is also an increase indicator and acts as an oscillator.
Sudden increases in the stock true price indicate that the stock price will increase in the coming periods. However, the current price of the stock should also be examined with technical indicators.
Temel Analiz (TA) indikatörünün temel amacı; fiyatlardaki yükseliş ya da düşüş hareketlerinin temel göstergelerle desteklenip desteklenmediğinin tespit edilmesidir. TA, hisse pay piyasalarında kullanılabilmektedir. Şirketler tarafından platforma aktarılan finansal veriler ile hisselerin gelişim oranları, içsel değerleri, gerçek ederi ve pahalılık-ucuzluk durumları tahmin edilmektedir. Teknik verilere ek olarak hissenin uzun vadede gösterdiği performansa ilişkin izlenim sunmaktadır.
Büyüme Oranı (Mavi çizgi): şirketlerin dönemsel net marjı, faaliyet marjı ve özkaynak karlılığı üzerine odaklanarak hesaplanmış yüzdesel bir veridir. 0.2’den yüksek olması beklenir. Nakit bulundurma ve döndürme imkânını simgelemektedir. Sonraki dönemlerde şirketin gelişiminin negatif ya da pozitif olacağının göstergelerinden biridir.
Hisse Başı Kazanç (Mor çizgi): Şirketin sürdürülebilirliği hakkında önemli bir göstergedir. Dönemsel artışın enflasyon rakamları üzerinde olması beklenir.
Hisse eder fiyatı (Gri çizgi): Gelişim oranına bağlı olarak hesaplanan veridir. Bilinen defter değeri, gelişim oranının hisse başı kazanç üzerine etkisi yansıtılarak tekrar hesaplanmaktadır. Bir anlamda yeniden değerleme işlemi yapılmaktadır.
İçsel değer 1 (kırmızı çizgi): Mevcut fiyatın gelişim oranı ile tekrar değerleme yöntemiyle belirlenmesidir. Buradaki değerin hisse eder fiyatından aşırı yüksek ya da aşırı düşük olması hissenin bulunduğu sektörün çektiği ilgi ile alakalıdır.
İçsel değer 2 (yeşil çizgi): 50 günlük ortalama fiyatın gelişim oranı ile tekrar değerleme yöntemiyle belirlenmesidir. Buradaki değerin hisse eder fiyatından aşırı yüksek ya da aşırı düşük olması hissenin bulunduğu sektörün çektiği ilgi ile alakalıdır.
Gelişim oranının 0.2 üzerinde kalması, dönemsel hisse başı kazancın enflasyon oranı üzerinde artış göstermesi, hisse eder fiyatın dalgalanmalar göstermeden düzenli bir artış grafiğine sahip olması istenen performanstır. İçsel değer 1‘in içsel değer 2’yi yukarı kesmesi aynı zamanda bir artış göstergesi olup osilatör görevi görmektedir.
Hisse eder fiyatındaki ani yükselişler gelecek dönemlerde hisse fiyatının da artacağını göstergesi olmaktadır. Ancak hissenin mevcut fiyatı aynı zamanda teknik göstergelerle de incelenmelidir.
S&P 500 Earnings Yield SpreadThis indicator compares the attractiveness of equities relative to the risk-free rate of return, by comparing the earnings yields of S&P 500 companies to the 10Y treasury yields. "Earnings yield" refers to the net income attributable to shareholders divided by the stock's price - effectively the inverse of the PE ratio. The tangible meaning of this metric is "the annual income received by (attributable to) shareholders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income." Therefore, earnings yield is comparable to bond yields, which are "the annual income received by bond holders as a percent of the price paid to receive said income."
This indicator subtracts the earnings yield of S&P 500 companies from the current 10-year treasury bond yield, creating a "spread" between the yields that determines whether equities are currently an attractive investment relative to bonds. That is, if the S&P 500 earnings yield exceeds the 10Y treasury yield, then equity investors are receiving more attributable income per dollar paid than bondholders, which could be an indication that equities are an attractive purchase relative to the risk-free rate. The same applies vice-versa; if the 10Y treasury yield exceeds that of the S&P 500 earnings yield, then equities may not be an attractive investment relative to the risk-free rate.
Since data on S&P 500 companies' earnings yields are pulled on a monthly basis, this indicator should be used on a monthly timeframe or longer. Historical data has shown that the critical zones for the indicator are at -4% and +3%, i.e. when equities are trading with a 4% greater yield than 10Y T-bonds and when equities are trading with a 3% lower yield than 10Y T-bonds, respectively. In the "Oversold" case (-4%), equities are trading at a steep discount to the risk-free rate and has often represented a strong buying opportunity. In the "Overbought" case (+3%), equities are trading at a premium to the risk-free rate, which may be an indication that caution should be exercised within the stock market. When the indicator first crosses into "Oversold" territory, this has historically been near a the bottom of a crash on the S&P 500. When the indicator first crosses into the "Overbought" territory, this has often precipitated a correction of 15% on the S&P 500.
Some notable "misses," crashes that this indicator missed, include the 1973 stock market crash and the 2008 global recession. However, both of these cases were largely precipitated by unprecedented economic events, as opposed to stocks simply being "Overbought" relative to treasury yields. Nonetheless, this indicator should form only a small portion of your fundamental analysis, as there are many macroeconomic factors that could lead to major corrections besides the impact of treasury yields. Furthermore, it should also be noted that since markets are "forward looking," future earnings growth or interest rate hikes may become "priced into" both the stock and bond markets, affecting the outputs of this indicator. However, since both the stock and bond markets should account for these factors simultaneously, the impact has historically been minimized.
I hope you find this indicator to be beneficial to your strategies. Stay safe, and happy trading.
Financials Index ComboFinancials Index Combo includes 2 languages Vietnamese and English:
Note the abbreviations:
Rev: Total revenue (Diluted EPS)
Gross: Gross profit
OI: Operating Income
C: Deferred Income, Current
N: Deferred Income, Non-Current
INV: Total inventories (Inventory turnover)
TAS: Total assets (Asset turnover)
Ev/Ed: Enterprise value to EBITDA ratio
ROIC: Return on invested capital
ROA: Return on assets
ROE: Return on equity
TA: Return on tangible assets
TE: Return on tangible equity
G: Sustainable growth rate
FCO: Cash From Operating Activities
FCF: Free Cash Flow
D: Debt to equity ratio
L: Long term debt to total assets ratio
E: Debt to EBITDA ratio
M: Current ratio
S: Sloan ratio -10 -> 10 --> safe zone
H: Fulmer H <0 --> struggling with its finances
>0 --> stable condition
F_score: Piotroski F-score 0 - 9
TCA: Total Current Assets
Rev/TCA: Total revenue to Total Current Assets ratio
Graham: Graham's number
NCAVPS: Net current asset value per share
Convert to billions:
Real Time Table:
Quarterly or annual financial statements
Financials Index For Bank:
Financial Intelligent Eval [Fundamental] (MYTRIC)█ OVERVIEW
Financial Algorithm is a system to quickly understanding company fundamental, and judge the company type based on their financial condition.
All evaluation from the system is the result of combination with Balancing Calculation and Company Historical Financial Data(Financial Report) by using over than 30 financial ratios.
This indicator are classified into 5 level (Very Weak, Weak, Moderate, Good, Excellent)
Advantages of Financial Algorithm
• By combining and calculating company's latest 4 quarterly report, provide rating to help investor quickly know about company's fundamentals and financial performance.
• Able to identify company have what kind of strength, weakness, chance and threat. For instance, according to current economic situation, is it an advantages or a threat for a company, investor can identify it via Financial Algorithm.
• Able to identify which company have better business management by keep following the company rating, observe the improvement level of company's.
Application
*When notice there are not improvement on a company's fundamentals or financial performance which is profitable without further developing, it usually reveals the lack of management capability to generate more value, company unable to fully utilise its profit, reinvest and expanding its business to become more competitive. Sometimes this kind of company may be suspected accounting fraud.
█ BENEFITS
• Avoid investing in companies suspected of financial fraud.
• To quickly understanding company's fundamental and financial structure.
• Able to analyze whether the company build profit after it is used to optimize the company's internal
█ FEATURES
You can configure the following attributes of the display:
• Table position on your chart.
• The size and colour of text.
• Language between English and Chinese.
• Rating bar chart colour.
• On / Off Statement Review Helper Function
• On / Off 3 Years Evaluation Function
• On / Off Basic Information
• Full descriptions of each evaluation and content are included in the settings
█ LIMITATIONS
• When changing the indicator's inputs, allow around 20 seconds calculation for the change to be reflected in the display.
• This system only able to evaluate non-financial industry.
• This system is based on company's historical financial report data to generate the results and rating, it does not includes prediction from any external factor.
(External Factor: Business Model, Business Distribution & Geography, Corporate Structure, Competitor and Peer company's, Prospect, Costing Breakdown, Disaster and etc)
• Any results calculated by this system all is based on data provided by Tradingview, Data may have some tolerance, we recommend that users pay attention to the official quarterly/annual report.
█ FINANCIALS INTELLIGENT ALGORITHM FUNCTION
This lists all combination calculate financials.
01. Total Revenue
02. Earnings before interest and tax
03. Net Income
04. Property, Plant, and Equipment
05. Total Receivables
06. Cash and short-term Investments
07. Cash & Cash equivalents
08. Total Liability
09. Working Capital
10. Total Debt
11. Total Equity
12. Retained Earnings
13. Total Asset
14. Cash From Operating Activities
15. Income before extraordinary items
16. Total depreciation and amortization
17. Free Cash Flow
18. Altman Z-score
19. Cash to Debt Ratio
20. Current Ratio
21. Debt to Assets Ratio
22. Debt to Equity ratio
23. EBITDA Margin
24. Free Cash Flow Margin
25. Grahams Number
26. Net Margin
27. Price Book Ratio
28. Piotroski-F Score
29. Quick Ratio
30. Return on Assets
31. Return on Equity
32. Return on Invested Capital
33. Float Shares Outstanding
34. Total Common Shares Outstanding
35. Cash to Revenue
36. Cash to Market Capital
37. Cash to Debt
38. Receivable Turnover
39. Quality of Earning
40. Market Capital
8 financial evaluation :
3 years financial evaluation tracking :
Statement Review Helper :
█ HOW TO MAKE THE RIGHT INVESMENT OR TREND TRADING DECISION BASED ON OUR EVALUATION
Avoid mid/long term invest in companies with poor financial evaluation, only suite for trend trading. The below following assessments need to be focused.
• Comprehensive rating is poor or below.
• Quality of Earning is very poor or below.
• Receivability is very poor or below (Total Receivable is too high)
• Before : Poor Financial Strength with revenue growth
• After : The price dropped by about -80% within 2 months
███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████
• Before : Poor Financial Strength with revenue growth
• After : The price dropped by about -90% within 1 year
███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████
• Before : Excellent Financial Strength
• After : Steady growth
Steady growth
• Conclusion :
Do not judge it as a good company just because it has continuous income.
When we analyze the company's financial report, we should not only look at the company's revenue,
we should pay more attention to the company's finances and weaknesses.
Only companies with strong financial strength that can expand their business in a stable manner.
Disclaimer :
*The following conclusion are purely based on my personal opinions and views, it’s only for study and research, without any trading and investment advice.
Key Financials on ChartA simple table with a couple of key financials
The metrics are (top to bottom and left to right):
- Market cap
- P/S-ratio and forward P/S-ratio
- P/E-ratio and P/FCF-ratio
- Debt/Equity and Assets/Equity ratios
- Price/Book-ratio and Operating Margin
- Pietrosky F-Score and current Dividend Yield
should be enough to get a first idea about fundamentals of growth or value-stocks...
