Indicator: Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)Another new indicator for TV community :)
STC detects up and down trends long before the MACD. It does this by using the same exponential moving averages (EMAs), but adds a cycle component to factor instrument cycle trends. STC gives more accuracy and reliability than the MACD.
More info: www.investopedia.com
Feel free to "Make mine" this chart and use the indicator in your charts. Appreciate any feedback on how effective this is for your instrument (I have tested this only with BTC).
For people trading BTC:
-------------------------------
Try 3/10 or 9/30 for MACD (fastLength/slowLength). They seem to catch the cycles better than the defaults. :)
Поиск скриптов по запросу "btc期权交割时间"
Debt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-CycleDebt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-Cycle Indicator
The Debt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-Cycle indicator is a macro-economic analysis tool that compares traditional financial market cycles (debt/credit cycles) against Bitcoin market cycles. It uses Z-score normalization to track the relative positioning of global financial conditions versus cryptocurrency market sentiment, helping identify potential turning points and divergences between traditional finance and digital assets.
Key Features
Dual-Cycle Analysis: Simultaneously tracks traditional financial cycles and Bitcoin-specific cycles
Z-Score Normalization: Standardizes diverse data sources for meaningful comparison
Multi-Asset Coverage: Analyzes currencies, commodities, bonds, monetary aggregates, and on-chain metrics
Divergence Detection: Identifies when Bitcoin cycles move independently from traditional finance
21-Day Timeframe: Optimized for Long-term cycle analysis
What It Measures
Finance-Cycle (White Line)
Tracks traditional financial market health through:
Currencies: USD strength (DXY), global currency weights (USDWCU, EURWCU)
Commodities: Oil, gold, natural gas, agricultural products, and Bitcoin price
Corporate Bonds: Investment-grade spreads, high-yield spreads, credit conditions
Monetary Aggregates: M2 money supply, foreign exchange reserves (weighted by currency)
Treasury Bonds: Yield curve (2Y/10Y, 3M/10Y), term premiums, long-term rates
Bitcoin-Cycle (Orange Line)
Tracks Bitcoin market positioning through:
On-Chain Metrics:
MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value)
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
Profit/Loss Address Distribution
Technical Indicators:
Bitcoin price Z-score
Moving average deviation
Relative Strength:
ETH/BTC ratio (altcoin strength indicator)
Visual Elements
White Line: Finance-Cycle indicator (positive = expansionary conditions, negative = contractionary)
Orange Line: Bitcoin-Cycle indicator (positive = bullish positioning, negative = bearish)
Zero Line: Neutral reference point
Interpretation
Cycle Alignment
Both positive: Risk-on environment, favorable for crypto
Both negative: Risk-off environment, caution warranted
Divergence: Potential opportunities or warning signals
Divergence Signals
Finance positive, Bitcoin negative: Bitcoin may be undervalued relative to macro conditions
Finance negative, Bitcoin positive: Bitcoin may be overextended or decoupling from traditional finance
Important Limitations
This indicator uses some technical and macro data but still has significant gaps:
⚠️ Limited monetary data - missing:
Funding rates (repo, overnight markets)
Comprehensive bond spread analysis
Collateral velocity and quality metrics
Central bank balance sheet details
⚠️ Basic economic coverage - missing:
GDP growth rates
Inflation expectations
Employment data
Manufacturing indices
Consumer confidence
⚠️ Simplified on-chain analysis - missing:
Exchange flow data
Whale wallet movements
Mining difficulty adjustments
Hash rate trends
Network fee dynamics
⚠️ No sentiment data - missing:
Fear & Greed Index
Options positioning
Futures open interest
Social media sentiment
The indicator provides a high-level cycle comparison but should be combined with comprehensive fundamental analysis, detailed on-chain research, and proper risk management.
Settings
Offset: Adjust the horizontal positioning of the indicators (default: 0)
Timeframe: Fixed at 21 days for optimal cycle detection
Use Cases
Macro-crypto correlation analysis: Understand when Bitcoin moves with or against traditional markets
Cycle timing: Identify potential tops and bottoms in both cycles
Risk assessment: Gauge overall market conditions across asset classes
Divergence trading: Spot opportunities when cycles diverge significantly
Portfolio allocation: Balance traditional and crypto assets based on cycle positioning
Technical Notes
Uses Z-score normalization with varying lookback periods (40-60 bars)
Applies HMA (Hull Moving Average) smoothing to reduce noise
Asymmetric multipliers for upside/downside movements in certain metrics
Requires access to FRED economic data, Glassnode, CoinMetrics, and IntoTheBlock feeds
21-day timeframe optimized for cycle analysis
Strategy Applications
This indicator is particularly useful for:
Cross-asset allocation - Decide between traditional finance and crypto exposure
Cycle positioning - Identify where we are in credit/debt cycles vs. Bitcoin cycles
Regime changes - Detect shifts in market leadership and correlation patterns
Risk management - Reduce exposure when both cycles turn negative
Disclaimer: This indicator is a cycle analysis tool and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. It has limited coverage of monetary conditions, economic fundamentals, and on-chain metrics. The indicator provides directional insight but cannot predict exact timing or magnitude of market moves. Always conduct thorough research, consider multiple data sources, and maintain proper risk management in all investment decisions.
deKoder | Ultra High Timeframe Moving Average & Log StDev BandsdeKoder | Ultra High Timeframe Moving Average & Log StDev Bands
Identify long-term statistical extremes and map the core trend with the deKoder | uHTF MA indicator. Designed for macro analysis, this tool uses ultra high timeframe moving averages and logarithmic standard deviation bands to frame price action, providing clear signals for when an asset is statistically cheap, fairly priced, or expensive.
KEY FEATURES
• Ultra High Timeframe (uHTF) Moving Average:
• Acts as a dynamic long term fair value equilibrium line. Choose from periods like 1-Year, 2-Year, or 'Long Time'.
• Select your MA type: SMA, EMA, Hull MA, or a Rolling VWAP .
• Automatically fetches optimal data (4H/D) for smoother plotting on lower timeframes.
• Probabilistic Logarithmic Bands:
• The bands are calculated using log-standard deviation , creating a framework that adapts to exponential growth. As such, your chart price scale should be set to log.
• ~68% of price action typically occurs between the ±1σ bands (fair value zone).
• Trading in the ±1σ to ±2σ channel is typical in a strongly trending market. Moves towards the ±3σ bands can indicate that the market is becoming overextended. Expect strong price moves here and pay attention for signs of reversal.
• Bitcoin Halving Timeline:
• Integrated vertical lines and labels for all Bitcoin halvings.
• Correlates technical extremes with fundamental scarcity events.
• 4-Year Cycle Visual Aid:
• The background color cycle highlights yearly changes.
• Red years have historically aligned with bear markets, while the subsequent green zone has marked accumulation phases.
• Note: The bands provide the primary information - the background color is a contextual guide based on historical patterns around the BTC 4 year halving cycle that may not persist in future. It's quite possible that the market will act differently going forward considering the new types participants such as ETFs and government reserve funds.
HOW TO USE & INTERPRET
• Fair Value & Extremes:
• Price between ±1σ Bands: The asset is trading within a statistically fair value range.
• Price at +2σ / +3σ Bands: The asset is statistically expensive. Statistically, the price is overextended in this region, although you do NOT want to fade it based only upon this information.
• Price at -2σ / -3σ Bands: The asset is statistically cheap. These zones have frequently coincided with the end of bear markets and profound long-term buying opportunities.
• Dynamic Support & Resistance:
• The uHTF MA and its bands tend to act as support and resistance areas of interest on daily, weekly and monthly charts.
INPUTS & CUSTOMIZATION
• Toggles : Master switch for the MA, Bands, and Halving markers.
• uHTF Moving Average Filter : Select instrument (default: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD), price source, MA length, and type.
• Colours : Fine-tune the appearance of all elements.
PRO TIPS
• While created for Bitcoin, this principle will work well on other high-growth assets and major indices.
• The most reliable signals occur on the Daily, Weekly and Monthly timeframes.
• This is a lagging, macro-filter indicator. It is not for timing short-term entries but for confirming the long-term trend and cycle phase.
"Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful." - The deKoder | uHTF MA is here to help you quantify that greed and fear on a macro scale.
Stochastic Hash Strat [Hash Capital Research]# Stochastic Hash Strategy by Hash Capital Research
## 🎯 What Is This Strategy?
The **Stochastic Slow Strategy** is a momentum-based trading system that identifies oversold and overbought market conditions to capture mean-reversion opportunities. Think of it as a "buy low, sell high" approach with smart mathematical filters that remove emotion from your trading decisions.
Unlike fast-moving indicators that generate excessive noise, this strategy uses **smoothed stochastic oscillators** to identify only the highest-probability setups when momentum truly shifts.
---
## 💡 Why This Strategy Works
Most traders fail because they:
- **Chase prices** after big moves (buying high, selling low)
- **Overtrade** in choppy, directionless markets
- **Exit too early** or hold losses too long
This strategy solves all three problems:
1. **Entry Discipline**: Only trades when the stochastic oscillator crosses in extreme zones (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
2. **Cooldown Filter**: Prevents revenge trading by forcing a waiting period after each trade
3. **Fixed Risk/Reward**: Pre-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure consistent risk management
**The Math Behind It**: The stochastic oscillator measures where the current price sits relative to its recent high-low range. When it's below 25, the market is oversold (time to buy). When above 70, it's overbought (time to sell). The crossover with its moving average confirms momentum is shifting.
---
## 📊 Best Markets & Timeframes
### ⭐ OPTIMAL PERFORMANCE:
**Crude Oil (WTI) - 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: Oil markets have predictable volatility patterns and respect technical levels
**AAVE/USD - 4H to 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: DeFi tokens exhibit strong momentum cycles with clear extremes
### ✅ Also Works Well On:
- **BTC/USD** (12H, Daily) - Lower frequency but high win rate
- **ETH/USD** (8H, 12H) - Balanced volatility and liquidity
- **Gold (XAU/USD)** (Daily) - Classic mean-reversion asset
- **EUR/USD** (4H, 8H) - Lower volatility, requires patience
### ❌ Avoid Using On:
- Timeframes below 4H (too much noise)
- Low-liquidity altcoins (wide spreads kill performance)
- Strongly trending markets without pullbacks (Bitcoin in 2021)
- News-driven instruments during major events
---
## 🎛️ Understanding The Settings
### Core Stochastic Parameters
**Stochastic Length (Default: 16)**
- Controls the lookback period for price comparison
- Lower = faster reactions, more signals (10-14 for volatile markets)
- Higher = smoother signals, fewer trades (16-21 for stable markets)
- **Pro tip**: Use 10 for crypto 4H, 16 for commodities 12H
**Overbought Level (Default: 70)**
- Threshold for short entries
- Lower values (65-70) = more trades, earlier entries
- Higher values (75-80) = fewer but higher-conviction trades
- **Sweet spot**: 70 works for most assets
**Oversold Level (Default: 25)**
- Threshold for long entries
- Higher values (25-30) = more trades, earlier entries
- Lower values (15-20) = fewer but stronger bounce setups
- **Sweet spot**: 20-25 depending on market conditions
**Smooth K & Smooth D (Default: 7 & 3)**
- Additional smoothing to filter out whipsaws
- K=7 makes the indicator slower and more reliable
- D=3 is the signal line that confirms the trend
- **Don't change these unless you know what you're doing**
---
### Risk Management
**Stop Loss % (Default: 2.2%)**
- Automatically exits losing trades
- Should be 1.5x to 2x your average market volatility
- Too tight = death by a thousand cuts
- Too wide = uncontrolled losses
- **Calibration**: Check ATR indicator and set SL slightly above it
**Take Profit % (Default: 7%)**
- Automatically exits winning trades
- Should be 2.5x to 3x your stop loss (reward-to-risk ratio)
- This default gives 7% / 2.2% = 3.18:1 R:R
- **The golden rule**: Never have R:R below 2:1
---
### Trade Filters
**Bar Cooldown Filter (Default: ON, 3 bars)**
- **What it does**: Forces you to wait X bars after closing a trade before entering a new one
- **Why it matters**: Prevents emotional revenge trading and overtrading in choppy markets
- **Settings guide**:
- 3 bars = Standard (good for most cases)
- 5-7 bars = Conservative (oil, slow-moving assets)
- 1-2 bars = Aggressive (only for experienced traders)
**Exit on Opposite Extreme (Default: ON)**
- Closes your long when stochastic hits overbought (and vice versa)
- Acts as an early profit-taking mechanism
- **Leave this ON** unless you're testing other exit strategies
**Divergence Filter (Default: OFF)**
- Looks for price/momentum divergences for additional confirmation
- **When to enable**: Trending markets where you want fewer but higher-quality trades
- **Keep OFF for**: Mean-reverting markets (oil, forex, most of the time)
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
### Step 1: Set Up in TradingView
1. Open TradingView and navigate to your chart
2. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom
3. Copy and paste the strategy code
4. Click "Add to Chart"
5. The strategy will appear in a separate pane below your price chart
### Step 2: Choose Your Market
**If you're trading Crude Oil:**
- Timeframe: 12H
- Keep all default settings
- Watch for signals during London/NY overlap (8am-11am EST)
**If you're trading AAVE or crypto:**
- Timeframe: 4H or 12H
- Consider these adjustments:
- Stochastic Length: 10-14 (faster)
- Oversold: 20 (more aggressive)
- Take Profit: 8-10% (higher targets)
### Step 3: Wait for Your First Signal
**LONG Entry** (Green circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses up below oversold level (25)
- Price likely near recent lows
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**SHORT Entry** (Red circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses down above overbought level (70)
- Price likely near recent highs
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**EXIT** (Orange circle):
- Position closes either at stop, target, or opposite extreme
- Cooldown period begins
### Step 4: Let It Run
The biggest mistake? **Interfering with the system.**
- Don't close trades early because you're scared
- Don't skip signals because you "have a feeling"
- Don't increase position size after a big win
- Don't revenge trade after a loss
**Follow the system or don't use it at all.**
---
### Important Risks:
1. **Drawdown Pain**: You WILL experience losing streaks of 5-7 trades. This is mathematically normal.
2. **Whipsaw Markets**: Choppy, range-bound conditions can trigger multiple small losses.
3. **Gap Risk**: Overnight gaps can cause your actual fill to be worse than the stop loss.
4. **Slippage**: Real execution prices differ from backtested prices (factor in 0.1-0.2% slippage).
---
## 🔧 Optimization Guide
### When to Adjust Settings:
**Market Volatility Increased?**
- Widen stop loss by 0.5-1%
- Increase take profit proportionally
- Consider increasing cooldown to 5-7 bars
**Getting Too Few Signals?**
- Decrease stochastic length to 10-12
- Increase oversold to 30, decrease overbought to 65
- Reduce cooldown to 2 bars
**Getting Too Many Losses?**
- Increase stochastic length to 18-21 (slower, smoother)
- Enable divergence filter
- Increase cooldown to 5+ bars
- Verify you're on the right timeframe
### A/B Testing Method:
1. **Run default settings for 50 trades** on your chosen market
2. Document: Win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, emotional tolerance
3. **Change ONE variable** (e.g., oversold from 25 to 20)
4. Run another 50 trades
5. Compare results
6. Keep the better version
**Never change multiple settings at once** or you won't know what worked.
---
## 📚 Educational Resources
### Key Concepts to Learn:
**Stochastic Oscillator**
- Developed by George Lane in the 1950s
- Measures momentum by comparing closing price to price range
- Formula: %K = (Close - Low) / (High - Low) × 100
- Similar to RSI but more sensitive to price movements
**Mean Reversion vs. Trend Following**
- This is a **mean reversion** strategy (price returns to average)
- Works best in ranging markets with defined support/resistance
- Fails in strong trending markets (2017 Bitcoin, 2020 Tech stocks)
- Complement with trend filters for better results
**Risk:Reward Ratio**
- The cornerstone of profitable trading
- Winning 40% of trades with 3:1 R:R = profitable
- Winning 60% of trades with 1:1 R:R = breakeven (after fees)
- **This strategy aims for 45% win rate with 2.5-3:1 R:R**
### Recommended Reading:
- *"Trading Systems and Methods"* by Perry Kaufman (Chapter on Oscillators)
- *"Mean Reversion Trading Systems"* by Howard Bandy
- *"The New Trading for a Living"* by Dr. Alexander Elder
---
## 🛠️ Troubleshooting
### "I'm not seeing any signals!"
**Check:**
- Is your timeframe 4H or higher?
- Is the stochastic actually reaching extreme levels (check if your asset is stuck in middle range)?
- Is cooldown still active from a previous trade?
- Are you on a low-liquidity pair?
**Solution**: Switch to a more volatile asset or lower the overbought/oversold thresholds.
---
### "The strategy keeps losing money!"
**Check:**
- What's your win rate? (Below 35% is concerning)
- What's your profit factor? (Below 0.8 means serious issues)
- Are you trading during major news events?
- Is the market in a strong trend?
**Solution**:
1. Verify you're using recommended markets/timeframes
2. Increase cooldown period to avoid choppy markets
3. Reduce position size to 5% while you diagnose
4. Consider switching to daily timeframe for less noise
---
### "My stop losses keep getting hit!"
**Check:**
- Is your stop loss tighter than the average ATR?
- Are you trading during high-volatility sessions?
- Is slippage eating into your buffer?
**Solution**:
1. Calculate the 14-period ATR
2. Set stop loss to 1.5x the ATR value
3. Avoid trading right after market open or major news
4. Factor in 0.2% slippage for crypto, 0.1% for oil
---
## 💪 Pro Tips from the Trenches
### Psychological Discipline
**The Three Deadly Sins:**
1. **Skipping signals** - "This one doesn't feel right"
2. **Early exits** - "I'll just take profit here to be safe"
3. **Revenge trading** - "I need to make back that loss NOW"
**The Solution:** Treat your strategy like a business system. Would McDonald's skip making fries because the cashier "doesn't feel like it today"? No. Systems work because of consistency.
---
### Position Management
**Scaling In/Out** (Advanced)
- Enter 50% position at signal
- Add 50% if stochastic reaches 10 (oversold) or 90 (overbought)
- Exit 50% at 1.5x take profit, let the rest run
**This is NOT for beginners.** Master the basic system first.
---
### Market Awareness
**Oil Traders:**
- OPEC meetings = volatility spikes (avoid or widen stops)
- US inventory reports (Wed 10:30am EST) = avoid trading 2 hours before/after
- Summer driving season = different patterns than winter
**Crypto Traders:**
- Monday-Tuesday = typically lower volatility (fewer signals)
- Thursday-Sunday = higher volatility (more signals)
- Avoid trading during exchange maintenance windows
---
## ⚖️ Legal Disclaimer
This trading strategy is provided for **educational purposes only**.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Trading involves substantial risk of loss
- Only trade with capital you can afford to lose
- No one associated with this strategy is a licensed financial advisor
- You are solely responsible for your trading decisions
**By using this strategy, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these risks.**
---
## 🙏 Acknowledgments
Strategy development inspired by:
- George Lane's original Stochastic Oscillator work
- Modern quantitative trading research
- Community feedback from hundreds of backtests
Built with ❤️ for retail traders who want systematic, disciplined approaches to the markets.
---
**Good luck, stay disciplined, and trade the system, not your emotions.**
Luxy Super-Duper SuperTrend Predictor Engine and Buy/Sell signalA professional trend-following grading system that analyzes historical trend
patterns to provide statistical duration estimates using advanced similarity
matching and k-nearest neighbors analysis. Combines adaptive Supertrend with
intelligent duration statistics, multi-timeframe confluence, volume confirmation,
and quality scoring to identify high-probability setups with data-driven
target ranges across all timeframes.
Note: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical data, not guarantees of future performance.
WHAT MAKES THIS DIFFERENT
Unlike traditional SuperTrend indicators that only tell you trend direction, this system answers the critical question: "What is the typical duration for trends like this?"
The Statistical Analysis Engine:
• Analyzes your chart's last 15+ completed SuperTrend trends (bullish and bearish separately)
• Uses k-nearest neighbors similarity matching to find historically similar setups
• Calculates statistical duration estimates based on current market conditions
• Learns from estimation errors and adapts over time (Advanced mode)
• Displays visual duration analysis box showing median, average, and range estimates
• Tracks Statistical accuracy with backtest statistics
Complete Trading System:
• Statistical trend duration analysis with three intelligence levels
• Adaptive Supertrend with dynamic ATR-based bands
• Multi-timeframe confluence analysis (6 timeframes: 5M to 1W)
• Volume confirmation with spike detection and momentum tracking
• Quality scoring system (0-70 points) rating each setup
• One-click preset optimization for all trading styles
• Anti-repaint guarantee on all signals and duration estimates
METHODOLOGY CREDITS
This indicator's approach is inspired by proven trading methodologies from respected market educators:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume confirmation principles and institutional buying patterns (CANSLIM methodology)
• Dan Zanger - Volatility expansion entries and momentum breakout strategies
Important: These are educational references only. This indicator does not guarantee any specific trading results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management.
KEY FEATURES
1. TREND DURATION ANALYSIS SYSTEM - The Core Innovation
The statistical analysis engine is what sets this indicator apart from standard SuperTrend systems. It doesn't just identify trend changes - it provides statistical analysis of potential duration.
How It Works:
Step 1: Historical Tracking
• Automatically records every completed SuperTrend trend (duration in bars)
• Maintains separate databases for bullish trends and bearish trends
• Stores up to 15 most recent trends of each type
• Captures market conditions at each trend flip: volume ratio, ATR ratio, quality score, price distance from SuperTrend, proximity to support/resistance
Step 2: Similarity Matching (k-Nearest Neighbors)
• When new trend begins, system compares current conditions to ALL historical flips
• Calculates similarity score based on:
- Volume similarity (30% weight) - Is volume behaving similarly?
- Volatility similarity (30% weight) - Is ATR/volatility similar?
- Quality similarity (20% weight) - Is setup strength comparable?
- Distance similarity (10% weight) - Is price distance from ST similar?
- Support/Resistance proximity (10% weight) - Similar structural context?
• Selects the 15 MOST SIMILAR historical trends (not just all trends)
• This is like asking: "When conditions looked like this before, how long did trends last?"
Step 3: Statistical Analysis
• Calculates median duration (most common outcome)
• Calculates average duration (mean of similar trends)
• Determines realistic range (min to max of similar trends)
• Applies exponential weighting (recent trends weighted more heavily)
• Outputs confidence-weighted statistical estimate
Step 4: Advanced Intelligence (Advanced Mode Only)
The Advanced mode applies five sophisticated multipliers to refine estimates:
A) Market Structure Multiplier (±30%):
• Detects nearby support/resistance levels using pivot detection
• If flip occurs NEAR a key level: Estimate adjusted -30% (expect bounce/rejection)
• If flip occurs in open space: Estimate adjusted +30% (clear path for continuation)
• Uses configurable lookback period and ATR-based proximity threshold
B) Asset Type Multiplier (±40%):
• Adjusts duration estimates based on asset volatility characteristics
• Small Cap / Biotech: +40% (explosive, extended moves)
• Tech Growth: +20% (momentum-driven, longer trends)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: 0% (baseline, steady trends)
• Dividend / Value: -20% (slower, grinding trends)
• Cyclical: Variable based on macro regime
• Crypto / High Volatility: +30% (parabolic potential)
C) Flip Strength Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes the QUALITY of the trend flip itself
• Strong flip (high volume + expanding ATR + quality score 60+): +20%
• Weak flip (low volume + contracting ATR + quality score under 40): -20%
• Logic: Historical data shows that powerful flips tend to be followed by longer trends
D) Error Learning Multiplier (±15%):
• Tracks Statistical accuracy over last 10 completed trends
• Calculates error ratio: (estimated duration / Actual Duration)
• If system consistently over-estimates: Apply -15% correction
• If system consistently under-estimates: Apply +15% correction
• Learns and adapts to current market regime
E) Regime Detection Multiplier (±20%):
• Analyzes last 3 trends of SAME TYPE (bull-to-bull or bear-to-bear)
• Compares recent trend durations to historical average
• If recent trends 20%+ longer than average: +20% adjustment (trending regime detected)
• If recent trends 20%+ shorter than average: -20% adjustment (choppy regime detected)
• Detects whether market is in trending or mean-reversion mode
Three analysis modes:
SIMPLE MODE - Basic Statistics
• Uses raw median of similar trends only
• No multipliers, no adjustments
• Best for: Beginners, clean trending markets
• Fastest calculations, minimal complexity
STANDARD MODE - Full Statistical Analysis
• Similarity matching with k-nearest neighbors
• Exponential weighting of recent trends
• Median, average, and range calculations
• Best for: Most traders, general market conditions
• Balance of accuracy and simplicity
ADVANCED MODE - Statistics + Intelligence
• Everything in Standard mode PLUS
• All 5 advanced multipliers (structure, asset type, flip strength, learning, regime)
• Highest Statistical accuracy in testing
• Best for: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets
• Maximum intelligence, most adaptive
Visual Duration Analysis Box:
When a new trend begins (SuperTrend flip), a box appears on your chart showing:
• Analysis Mode (Simple / Standard / Advanced)
• Number of historical trends analyzed
• Median expected duration (most likely outcome)
• Average expected duration (mean of similar trends)
• Range (minimum to maximum from similar trends)
• Advanced multipliers breakdown (Advanced mode only)
• Backtest accuracy statistics (if available)
The box extends from the flip bar to the estimated endpoint based on historical data, giving you a visual target for trend duration. Box updates in real-time as trend progresses.
Backtest & Accuracy Tracking:
• System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data
• Shows accuracy metrics: how well duration estimates matched actual durations
• Tracks last 10 completed duration estimates separately
• Displays statistics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps you understand statistical reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Anti-Repaint Guarantee:
• duration analysis boxes only appear AFTER bar close (barstate.isconfirmed)
• Historical duration estimates never disappear or change
• What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen real-time
• No future data leakage, no lookahead bias
2. INTELLIGENT PRESET CONFIGURATIONS - One-Click Optimization
Unlike indicators that require tedious parameter tweaking, this system includes professionally optimized presets for every trading style. Select your approach from the dropdown and ALL parameters auto-configure.
"AUTO (DETECT FROM TF)" - RECOMMENDED
The smartest option: automatically selects optimal settings based on your chart timeframe.
• 1m-5m charts → Scalping preset (ATR: 7, Mult: 2.0)
• 15m-1h charts → Day Trading preset (ATR: 10, Mult: 2.5)
• 2h-4h-D charts → Swing Trading preset (ATR: 14, Mult: 3.0)
• W-M charts → Position Trading preset (ATR: 21, Mult: 4.0)
Benefits:
• Zero configuration - works immediately
• Always matched to your timeframe
• Switch timeframe = automatic adjustment
• Perfect for traders who use multiple timeframes
"SCALPING (1-5M)" - Ultra-Fast Signals
Optimized for: 1-5 minute charts, high-frequency trading, quick profits
Target holding period: Minutes to 1-2 hours maximum
Best markets: High-volume stocks, major crypto pairs, active futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 7, Multiplier 2.0 (very sensitive)
• Volume: MA 10, High 1.8x, Spike 3.0x (catches quick surges)
• Volume Momentum: AUTO-DISABLED (too restrictive for fast scalping)
• Quality minimum: 40 points (accepts more setups)
• Duration Analysis: Uses last 15 trends with heavy recent weighting
Trading Logic:
Speed over precision. Short ATR period and low multiplier create highly responsive SuperTrend. Volume momentum filter disabled to avoid missing fast moves. Quality threshold relaxed to catch more opportunities in rapid market conditions.
Signals per session: 5-15 typically
Hold time: Minutes to couple hours
Best for: Active traders with fast execution
"DAY TRADING (15M-1H)" - Balanced Approach
Optimized for: 15-minute to 1-hour charts, intraday moves, session-based trading
Target holding period: 30 minutes to 8 hours (within trading day)
Best markets: Large-cap stocks, major indices, established crypto
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 10, Multiplier 2.5 (balanced)
• Volume: MA 20, High 1.5x, Spike 2.5x (standard detection)
• Volume Momentum: 5/20 periods (confirms intraday strength)
• Quality minimum: 50 points (good setups preferred)
• Duration Analysis: Balanced weighting of recent vs historical
Trading Logic:
The most balanced configuration. ATR 10 with multiplier 2.5 provides steady trend following that avoids noise while catching meaningful moves. Volume momentum confirms institutional participation without being overly restrictive.
Signals per session: 2-5 typically
Hold time: 30 minutes to full day
Best for: Part-time and full-time active traders
"SWING TRADING (4H-D)" - Trend Stability
Optimized for: 4-hour to Daily charts, multi-day holds, trend continuation
Target holding period: 2-15 days typically
Best markets: Growth stocks, sector ETFs, trending crypto, commodity futures
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 14, Multiplier 3.0 (stable)
• Volume: MA 30, High 1.3x, Spike 2.2x (accumulation focus)
• Volume Momentum: 10/30 periods (trend stability)
• Quality minimum: 60 points (high-quality setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Favors consistent historical patterns
Trading Logic:
Designed for substantial trend moves while filtering short-term noise. Higher ATR period and multiplier create stable SuperTrend that won't flip on minor corrections. Stricter quality requirements ensure only strongest setups generate signals.
Signals per week: 2-5 typically
Hold time: Days to couple weeks
Best for: Part-time traders, swing style
"POSITION TRADING (D-W)" - Long-Term Trends
Optimized for: Daily to Weekly charts, major trend changes, portfolio allocation
Target holding period: Weeks to months
Best markets: Blue-chip stocks, major indices, established cryptocurrencies
Parameter Configuration:
• Supertrend: ATR 21, Multiplier 4.0 (very stable)
• Volume: MA 50, High 1.2x, Spike 2.0x (long-term accumulation)
• Volume Momentum: 20/50 periods (major trend confirmation)
• Quality minimum: 70 points (excellent setups only)
• Duration Analysis: Heavy emphasis on multi-year historical data
Trading Logic:
Conservative approach focusing on major trend changes. Extended ATR period and high multiplier create SuperTrend that only flips on significant reversals. Very strict quality filters ensure signals represent genuine long-term opportunities.
Signals per month: 1-2 typically
Hold time: Weeks to months
Best for: Long-term investors, set-and-forget approach
"CUSTOM" - Advanced Configuration
Purpose: Complete manual control for experienced traders
Use when: You understand the parameters and want specific optimization
Best for: Testing new approaches, unusual market conditions, specific instruments
Full control over:
• All SuperTrend parameters
• Volume thresholds and momentum periods
• Quality scoring weights
• analysis mode and multipliers
• Advanced features tuning
Preset Comparison Quick Reference:
Chart Timeframe: Scalping (1M-5M) | Day Trading (15M-1H) | Swing (4H-D) | Position (D-W)
Signals Frequency: Very High | High | Medium | Low
Hold Duration: Minutes | Hours | Days | Weeks-Months
Quality Threshold: 40 pts | 50 pts | 60 pts | 70 pts
ATR Sensitivity: Highest | Medium | Lower | Lowest
Time Investment: Highest | High | Medium | Lowest
Experience Level: Expert | Advanced | Intermediate | Beginner+
3. QUALITY SCORING SYSTEM (0-70 Points)
Every signal is rated in real-time across three dimensions:
Volume Confirmation (0-30 points):
• Volume Spike (2.5x+ average): 30 points
• High Volume (1.5x+ average): 20 points
• Above Average (1.0x+ average): 10 points
• Below Average: 0 points
Volatility Assessment (0-30 points):
• Expanding ATR (1.2x+ average): 30 points
• Rising ATR (1.0-1.2x average): 15 points
• Contracting/Stable ATR: 0 points
Volume Momentum (0-10 points):
• Strong Momentum (1.2x+ ratio): 10 points
• Rising Momentum (1.0-1.2x ratio): 5 points
• Weak/Neutral Momentum: 0 points
Score Interpretation:
60-70 points - EXCELLENT:
• All factors aligned
• High conviction setup
• Maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Primary trading opportunities
45-59 points - STRONG:
• Multiple confirmations present
• Above-average setup quality
• Standard position size
• Good trading opportunities
30-44 points - GOOD:
• Basic confirmations met
• Acceptable setup quality
• Reduced position size
• Wait for additional confirmation or trade smaller
Below 30 points - WEAK:
• Minimal confirmations
• Low probability setup
• Consider passing
• Only for aggressive traders in strong trends
Only signals meeting your minimum quality threshold (configurable per preset) generate alerts and labels.
4. MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS
The system can simultaneously analyze trend alignment across 6 timeframes (optional feature):
Timeframes analyzed:
• 5-minute (scalping context)
• 15-minute (intraday momentum)
• 1-hour (day trading bias)
• 4-hour (swing context)
• Daily (primary trend)
• Weekly (macro trend)
Confluence Interpretation:
• 5-6/6 aligned - Very strong multi-timeframe agreement (highest confidence)
• 3-4/6 aligned - Moderate agreement (standard setup)
• 1-2/6 aligned - Weak agreement (caution advised)
Dashboard shows real-time alignment count with color-coding. Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends.
5. VOLUME MOMENTUM FILTER - Institutional Money Flow
Unlike traditional volume indicators that just measure size, Volume Momentum tracks the RATE OF CHANGE in volume:
How it works:
• Compares short-term volume average (fast period) to long-term average (slow period)
• Ratio above 1.0 = Volume accelerating (money flowing IN)
• Ratio above 1.2 = Strong acceleration (institutional participation likely)
• Ratio below 0.8 = Volume decelerating (money flowing OUT)
Why it matters:
• Confirms trend with actual money flow, not just price
• Leading indicator (volume often leads price)
• Catches accumulation/distribution before breakouts
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
Integration with signals:
• Optional filter - can be enabled/disabled per preset
• When enabled: Only signals with rising volume momentum fire
• AUTO-DISABLED in Scalping mode (too restrictive for fast trading)
• Configurable fast/slow periods per trading style
6. ADAPTIVE SUPERTREND MULTIPLIER
Traditional SuperTrend uses fixed ATR multiplier. This system dynamically adjusts the multiplier (0.8x to 1.2x base) based on:
• Trend Strength: Price correlation over lookback period
• Volume Weight: Current volume relative to average
Benefits:
• Tighter bands in calm markets (less premature exits)
• Wider bands in volatile conditions (avoids whipsaws)
• Better adaptation to biotech, small-cap, and crypto volatility
• Optional - can be disabled for classic constant multiplier
7. VISUAL GRADIENT RIBBON
26-layer exponential gradient fill between price and SuperTrend line provides instant visual trend strength assessment:
Color System:
• Green shades - Bullish trend + volume confirmation (strongest)
• Blue shades - Bullish trend, normal volume
• Orange shades - Bearish trend + volume confirmation
• Red shades - Bearish trend (weakest)
Opacity varies based on:
• Distance from SuperTrend (farther = more opaque)
• Volume intensity (higher volume = stronger color)
The ribbon provides at-a-glance trend strength without cluttering your chart. Can be toggled on/off.
8. INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
Two-tier alert architecture for flexibility:
Automatic Alerts:
• Fire automatically on BUY and SELL signals
• Include full context: quality score, volume state, volume momentum
• One alert per bar close (alert.freq_once_per_bar_close)
• Message format: "BUY: Supertrend bullish + Quality: 65/70 | Volume: HIGH | Vol Momentum: STRONG (1.35x)"
Customizable Alert Conditions:
• Appear in TradingView's "Create Alert" dialog
• Three options: BUY Signal Only, SELL Signal Only, ANY Signal (BUY or SELL)
• Use TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{interval}}, {{close}}, {{time}}
• Fully customizable message templates
All alerts use barstate.isconfirmed - Zero repaint guarantee.
9. ANTI-REPAINT ARCHITECTURE
Every component guaranteed non-repainting:
• Entry signals: Only appear after bar close
• duration analysis boxes: Created only on confirmed SuperTrend flips
• Informative labels: Wait for bar confirmation
• Alerts: Fire once per closed bar
• Multi-timeframe data: Uses lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off
What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. No disappearing signals, no changed duration estimates.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
QUICK START - 3 Steps to Trading:
Step 1: Select Your Trading Style
Open indicator settings → "Quick Setup" section → Trading Style Preset dropdown
Options:
• Auto (Detect from TF) - RECOMMENDED: Automatically configures based on your chart timeframe
• Scalping (1-5m) - For 1-5 minute charts, ultra-fast signals
• Day Trading (15m-1h) - For 15m-1h charts, balanced approach
• Swing Trading (4h-D) - For 4h-Daily charts, trend stability
• Position Trading (D-W) - For Daily-Weekly charts, long-term trends
• Custom - Manual configuration (advanced users only)
Choose "Auto" and you're done - all parameters optimize automatically.
Step 2: Understand the Signals
BUY Signal (Green Triangle Below Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bullish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold (varies by preset)
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
SELL Signal (Red Triangle Above Price):
• SuperTrend flipped bearish
• Quality score meets minimum threshold
• Volume confirmation present (if filter enabled)
• Volume momentum rising (if filter enabled)
• duration analysis box shows expected trend duration
Duration Analysis Box:
• Appears at SuperTrend flip (start of new trend)
• Shows median, average, and range duration estimates
• Extends to estimated endpoint based on historical data visually
• Updates mode-specific intelligence (Simple/Standard/Advanced)
Step 3: Use the Dashboard for Context
Dashboard (top-right corner) shows real-time metrics:
• Row 1 - Quality Score: Current setup rating (0-70)
• Row 2 - SuperTrend: Direction and current level
• Row 3 - Volume: Status (Spike/High/Normal/Low) with color
• Row 4 - Volatility: State (Expanding/Rising/Stable/Contracting)
• Row 5 - Volume Momentum: Ratio and trend
• Row 6 - Duration Statistics: Accuracy metrics and track record
Every cell has detailed tooltip - hover for full explanations.
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION BY QUALITY SCORE:
Excellent Setup (60-70 points):
• Quality Score: 60-70
• Volume: Spike or High
• Volatility: Expanding
• Volume Momentum: Strong (1.2x+)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 5-6/6
• Action: Primary trade - maximum position size (within risk limits)
• Statistical reliability: Highest - duration estimates most accurate
Strong Setup (45-59 points):
• Quality Score: 45-59
• Volume: High or Above Average
• Volatility: Rising
• Volume Momentum: Rising (1.0-1.2x)
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Standard trade - normal position size
• Statistical reliability: Good - duration estimates reliable
Good Setup (30-44 points):
• Quality Score: 30-44
• Volume: Above Average
• Volatility: Stable or Rising
• Volume Momentum: Neutral to Rising
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 3-4/6
• Action: Cautious trade - reduced position size, wait for additional confirmation
• Statistical reliability: Moderate - duration estimates less certain
Weak Setup (Below 30 points):
• Quality Score: Below 30
• Volume: Low or Normal
• Volatility: Contracting or Stable
• Volume Momentum: Weak
• MTF Confluence (if enabled): 1-2/6
• Action: Pass or wait for improvement
• Statistical reliability: Low - duration estimates unreliable
USING duration analysis boxES FOR TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Entry Timing:
• Enter on SuperTrend flip (signal bar close)
• duration analysis box appears simultaneously
• Note the median duration - this is your expected hold time
Profit Targets:
• Conservative: Use MEDIAN duration as profit target (50% probability)
• Moderate: Use AVERAGE duration (mean of similar trends)
• Aggressive: Aim for MAX duration from range (best historical outcome)
Position Management:
• Scale out at median duration (take partial profits)
• Trail stop as trend extends beyond median
• Full exit at average duration or SuperTrend flip (whichever comes first)
• Re-evaluate if trend exceeds estimated range
analysis mode Selection:
• Simple: Clean trending markets, beginners, minimal complexity
• Standard: Most markets, most traders (recommended default)
• Advanced: Volatile markets, complex instruments, experienced traders seeking highest accuracy
Asset Type Configuration (Advanced Mode):
If using Advanced analysis mode, configure Asset Type for optimal accuracy:
• Small Cap: Stocks under $2B market cap, low liquidity
• Biotech / Speculative: Clinical-stage pharma, penny stocks, high-risk
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: S&P 500, mega-cap tech, stable large companies
• Tech Growth: High-growth tech (TSLA, NVDA, growth SaaS)
• Dividend / Value: Dividend aristocrats, value stocks, utilities
• Cyclical: Energy, materials, industrials (macro-driven)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Bitcoin, altcoins, highly volatile assets
Correct asset type selection improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%.
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES:
1. Stop Loss Placement:
Long positions:
• Place stop below recent swing low OR
• Place stop below SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level (built-in volatility adjustment)
Short positions:
• Place stop above recent swing high OR
• Place stop above SuperTrend level (whichever is tighter)
• Use 1-2 ATR distance as guideline
• Recommended: SuperTrend level
2. Position Sizing by Quality Score:
• Excellent (60-70): Maximum position size (2% risk per trade)
• Strong (45-59): Standard position size (1.5% risk per trade)
• Good (30-44): Reduced position size (1% risk per trade)
• Weak (Below 30): Pass or micro position (0.5% risk - learning trades only)
3. Exit Strategy Options:
Option A - Statistical Duration-Based Exit:
• Exit at median estimated duration (conservative)
• Exit at average estimated duration (moderate)
• Trail stop beyond average duration (aggressive)
Option B - Signal-Based Exit:
• Exit on opposite signal (SELL after BUY, or vice versa)
• Exit on SuperTrend flip (trend reversal)
• Exit if quality score drops below 30 mid-trend
Option C - Hybrid (Recommended):
• Take 50% profit at median estimated duration
• Trail stop on remaining 50% using SuperTrend as trailing level
• Full exit on SuperTrend flip or quality collapse
4. Trade Filtering:
For higher win-rate (fewer trades, better quality):
• Increase minimum quality score (try 60 for swing, 50 for day trading)
• Enable volume momentum filter (ensure institutional participation)
• Require higher MTF confluence (5-6/6 alignment)
• Use Advanced analysis mode with appropriate asset type
For more opportunities (more trades, lower quality threshold):
• Decrease minimum quality score (40 for day trading, 35 for scalping)
• Disable volume momentum filter
• Lower MTF confluence requirement
• Use Simple or Standard analysis mode
SETTINGS OVERVIEW
Quick Setup Section:
• Trading Style Preset: Auto / Scalping / Day Trading / Swing / Position / Custom
Dashboard & Display:
• Show Dashboard (ON/OFF)
• Dashboard Position (9 options: Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
• Show Ribbon Fill (ON/OFF)
• Show SuperTrend Line (ON/OFF)
• Bullish Color (default: Green)
• Bearish Color (default: Red)
• Show Entry Labels - BUY/SELL signals (ON/OFF)
• Show Info Labels - Volume events (ON/OFF)
• Label Size (Auto/Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
Supertrend Configuration:
• ATR Length (default varies by preset: 7-21)
• ATR Multiplier Base (default varies by preset: 2.0-4.0)
• Use Adaptive Multiplier (ON/OFF) - Dynamic 0.8x-1.2x adjustment
• Smoothing Factor (0.0-0.5) - EMA smoothing applied to bands
• Neutral Bars After Flip (0-10) - Hide ST immediately after flip
Volume Momentum:
• Enable Volume Momentum Filter (ON/OFF)
• Fast Period (default varies by preset: 3-20)
• Slow Period (default varies by preset: 10-50)
Volume Analysis:
• Volume MA Length (default varies by preset: 10-50)
• High Volume Threshold (default: 1.5x)
• Spike Threshold (default: 2.5x)
• Low Volume Threshold (default: 0.7x)
Quality Filters:
• Minimum Quality Score (0-70, varies by preset)
• Require Volume Confirmation (ON/OFF)
Trend Duration Analysis:
• Show Duration Analysis (ON/OFF) - Display duration analysis boxes
• analysis mode - Simple / Standard / Advanced
• Asset Type - 7 options (Small Cap, Biotech, Blue Chip, Tech Growth, Dividend, Cyclical, Crypto)
• Use Exponential Weighting (ON/OFF) - Recent trends weighted more
• Decay Factor (0.5-0.99) - How much more recent trends matter
• Structure Lookback (3-30) - Pivot detection period for support/resistance
• Proximity Threshold (xATR) - How close to level qualifies as "near"
• Enable Error Learning (ON/OFF) - System learns from estimation errors
• Memory Depth (3-20) - How many past errors to remember
Box Visual Settings:
• duration analysis box Border Color
• duration analysis box Background Color
• duration analysis box Text Color
• duration analysis box Border Width
• duration analysis box Transparency
Multi-Timeframe (Optional Feature):
• Enable MTF Confluence (ON/OFF)
• Minimum Alignment Required (0-6)
• Individual timeframe enable/disable toggles
• Custom timeframe selection options
All preset configurations override manual inputs except when "Custom" is selected.
ADVANCED FEATURES
1. Scalpel Mode (Optional)
Advanced pullback entry system that waits for healthy retracements within established trends before signaling entry:
• Monitors price distance from SuperTrend levels
• Requires pullback to configurable range (default: 30-50%)
• Ensures trend remains intact before entry signal
• Reduces whipsaw and false breakouts
• Inspired by Mark Minervini's VCP pullback entries
Best for: Swing traders and day traders seeking precision entries
Scalpers: Consider disabling for faster entries
2. Error Learning System (Advanced analysis mode Only)
The system learns from its own estimation errors:
• Tracks last 10-20 completed duration estimates (configurable memory depth)
• Calculates error ratio for each: estimated duration / Actual Duration
• If system consistently over-estimates: Applies negative correction (-15%)
• If system consistently under-estimates: Applies positive correction (+15%)
• Adapts to current market regime automatically
This self-correction mechanism improves accuracy over time as the system gathers more data on your specific symbol and timeframe.
3. Regime Detection (Advanced analysis mode Only)
Automatically detects whether market is in trending or choppy regime:
• Compares last 3 trends to historical average
• Recent trends 20%+ longer → Trending regime (+20% to estimates)
• Recent trends 20%+ shorter → Choppy regime (-20% to estimates)
• Applied separately to bullish and bearish trends
Helps duration estimates adapt to changing market conditions without manual intervention.
4. Exponential Weighting
Option to weight recent trends more heavily than distant history:
• Default decay factor: 0.9
• Recent trends get higher weight in statistical calculations
• Older trends gradually decay in importance
• Rationale: Recent market behavior more relevant than old data
• Can be disabled for equal weighting
5. Backtest Statistics
System backtests its own duration estimates using historical data:
• Walks through past trends chronologically
• Calculates what duration estimate WOULD have been at each flip
• Compares to actual duration that occurred
• Displays accuracy metrics in duration analysis boxes and dashboard
• Helps assess statistical reliability on your specific chart
Note: Backtest uses only data available AT THE TIME of each historical flip (no lookahead bias).
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
• Pine Script Version: v6
• Indicator Type: Overlay (draws on price chart)
• Max Boxes: 500 (for duration analysis box storage)
• Max Bars Back: 5000 (for comprehensive historical analysis)
• Security Calls: 1 (for MTF if enabled - optimized)
• Repainting: NO - All signals and duration estimates confirmed on bar close
• Lookahead Bias: NO - All HTF data properly offset, all duration estimates use only historical data
• Real-time Updates: YES - Dashboard and quality scores update live
• Alert Capable: YES - Both automatic alerts and customizable alert conditions
• Multi-Symbol: Works on stocks, crypto, forex, futures, indices
Performance Optimization:
• Conditional calculations (duration analysis can be disabled to reduce load)
• Efficient array management (circular buffers for trend storage)
• Streamlined gradient rendering (26 layers, can be toggled off)
• Smart label cooldown system (prevents label spam)
• Optimized similarity matching (analyzes only relevant trends)
Data Requirements:
• Minimum 50-100 bars for initial duration analysis (builds historical database)
• Optimal: 500+ bars for robust statistical analysis
• Longer history = more accurate duration estimates
• Works on any timeframe from 1 minute to monthly
KNOWN LIMITATIONS
• Trending Markets Only: Performs best in clear trends. May generate false signals in choppy/sideways markets (use quality score filtering and regime detection to mitigate)
• Lagging Nature: Like all trend-following systems, signals occur AFTER trend establishment, not at exact tops/bottoms. Use duration analysis boxes to set realistic profit targets.
• Initial Learning Period: Duration analysis system requires 10-15 completed trends to build reliable historical database. Early duration estimates less accurate (first few weeks on new symbol/timeframe).
• Visual Load: 26-layer gradient ribbon may slow performance on older devices. Disable ribbon if experiencing lag.
• Statistical accuracy Variables: Duration estimates are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Accuracy varies by:
- Market regime (trending vs choppy)
- Asset volatility characteristics
- Quality of historical pattern matches
- Timeframe traded (higher TF = more reliable)
• Not Best Suitable For:
- Ultra-short-term scalping (sub-1-minute charts)
- Mean-reversion strategies (designed for trend-following)
- Range-bound trading (requires trending conditions)
- News-driven spikes (estimates based on technical patterns, not fundamentals)
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: Absolutely not. All signals, duration analysis boxes, labels, and alerts use barstate.isconfirmed checks. They only appear after the bar closes. What you see in history is exactly what you would have seen in real-time. Zero repaint guarantee.
Q: How accurate are the trend duration estimates?
A: Accuracy varies by mode, market conditions, and historical data quality:
• Simple mode: 60-70% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Standard mode: 70-80% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
• Advanced mode: 75-85% accuracy (within ±20% of actual duration)
Best accuracy achieved on:
• Higher timeframes (4H, Daily, Weekly)
• Trending markets (not choppy/sideways)
• Assets with consistent behavior (Blue Chip, Large Cap)
• After 20+ historical trends analyzed (builds robust database)
Remember: All duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns, not guarantees.
Q: Which analysis mode should I use?
A:
• Simple: Beginners, clean trending markets, want minimal complexity
• Standard: Most traders, general market conditions (RECOMMENDED DEFAULT)
• Advanced: Experienced traders, volatile/complex markets (biotech, small-cap, crypto), seeking maximum accuracy
Advanced mode requires correct Asset Type configuration for optimal results.
Q: What's the difference between the trading style presets?
A: Each preset optimizes ALL parameters for a specific trading approach:
• Scalping: Ultra-sensitive (ATR 7, Mult 2.0), more signals, shorter holds
• Day Trading: Balanced (ATR 10, Mult 2.5), moderate signals, intraday holds
• Swing Trading: Stable (ATR 14, Mult 3.0), fewer signals, multi-day holds
• Position Trading: Very stable (ATR 21, Mult 4.0), rare signals, week/month holds
Auto mode automatically selects based on your chart timeframe.
Q: Should I use Auto mode or manually select a preset?
A: Auto mode is recommended for most traders. It automatically matches settings to your timeframe and re-optimizes if you switch charts. Only use manual preset selection if:
• You want scalping settings on a 15m chart (overriding auto-detection)
• You want swing settings on a 1h chart (more conservative than auto would give)
• You're testing different approaches on same timeframe
Q: Can I use this for scalping and day trading?
A: Absolutely! The preset system is specifically designed for all trading styles:
• Select "Scalping (1-5m)" for 1-5 minute charts
• Select "Day Trading (15m-1h)" for 15m-1h charts
• Or use "Auto" mode and it configures automatically
Volume momentum filter is auto-disabled in Scalping mode for faster signals.
Q: What is Volume Momentum and why does it matter?
A: Volume Momentum compares short-term volume (fast MA) to long-term volume (slow MA). It answers: "Is money flowing into this asset faster now than historically?"
Why it matters:
• Volume often leads price (early warning system)
• Confirms institutional participation (smart money)
• No lag like price-based indicators
• More intuitive than complex mathematical filters
When the ratio is above 1.2, you have strong evidence that institutions are accumulating (bullish) or distributing (bearish).
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Two options:
Option 1 - Automatic Alerts:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. Choose "Any alert() function call"
4. Configure notification method (app, email, webhook)
5. You'll receive detailed alerts on every BUY and SELL signal
Option 2 - Customizable Alert Conditions:
1. Right-click on chart → Add Alert
2. Condition: Select this indicator
3. You'll see three options in dropdown:
- "BUY Signal" (long signals only)
- "SELL Signal" (short signals only)
- "ANY Signal" (both BUY and SELL)
4. Choose desired option and customize message template
5. Uses TradingView placeholders: {{ticker}}, {{close}}, {{time}}, etc.
All alerts fire only on confirmed bar close (no repaint).
Q: What is Scalpel Mode and should I use it?
A: Scalpel Mode waits for healthy pullbacks within established trends before signaling entry. It reduces whipsaws and improves entry timing.
Recommended ON for:
• Swing traders (want precision entries on pullbacks)
• Day traders (willing to wait for better prices)
• Risk-averse traders (prefer fewer but higher-quality entries)
Recommended OFF for:
• Scalpers (need immediate entries, can't wait for pullbacks)
• Momentum traders (want to enter on breakout, not pullback)
• Aggressive traders (prefer more opportunities over precision)
Q: Why do some duration estimates show wider ranges than others?
A: Range width reflects historical trend variability:
• Narrow range: Similar historical trends had consistent durations (high confidence)
• Wide range: Similar historical trends had varying durations (lower confidence)
Wide ranges often occur:
• Early in analysis (fewer historical trends to learn from)
• In volatile/choppy markets (inconsistent trend behavior)
• On lower timeframes (more noise, less consistency)
The median and average still provide useful targets even when range is wide.
Q: Can I customize the dashboard position and appearance?
A: Yes! Dashboard settings include:
• Position: 9 options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
• Text Size: Auto, Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge
• Show/Hide: Toggle entire dashboard on/off
Choose position that doesn't overlap important price action on your specific chart.
Q: Which timeframe should I trade on?
A: Depends on your trading style and time availability:
• 1-5 minute: Active scalping, requires constant monitoring
• 15m-1h: Day trading, check few times per session
• 4h-Daily: Swing trading, check once or twice daily
• Daily-Weekly: Position trading, check weekly
General principle: Higher timeframes produce:
• Fewer signals (less frequent)
• Higher quality setups (stronger confirmations)
• More reliable duration estimates (better statistical data)
• Less noise (clearer trends)
Start with Daily chart if new to trading. Move to lower timeframes as you gain experience.
Q: Does this work on all markets (stocks, crypto, forex)?
A: Yes, it works on all markets with trending characteristics:
Excellent for:
• Stocks (especially growth and momentum names)
• Crypto (BTC, ETH, major altcoins)
• Futures (indices, commodities)
• Forex majors (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
Best results on:
• Trending markets (not range-bound)
• Liquid instruments (tight spreads, good fills)
• Volatile assets (clear trend development)
Less effective on:
• Range-bound/sideways markets
• Ultra-low volatility instruments
• Illiquid small-caps (use caution)
Configure Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) to match your instrument for best accuracy.
Q: How many signals should I expect per day/week?
A: Highly variable based on:
By Timeframe:
• 1-5 minute: 5-15 signals per session
• 15m-1h: 2-5 signals per day
• 4h-Daily: 2-5 signals per week
• Daily-Weekly: 1-2 signals per month
By Market Volatility:
• High volatility = more SuperTrend flips = more signals
• Low volatility = fewer flips = fewer signals
By Quality Filter:
• Higher threshold (60-70) = fewer but better signals
• Lower threshold (30-40) = more signals, lower quality
By Volume Momentum Filter:
• Enabled = Fewer signals (only volume-confirmed)
• Disabled = More signals (all SuperTrend flips)
Adjust quality threshold and filters to match your desired signal frequency.
Q: What's the difference between entry labels and info labels?
A:
Entry Labels (BUY/SELL):
• Your primary trading signals
• Based on SuperTrend flip + all confirmations (quality, volume, momentum)
• Include quality score and confirmation icons
• These are actionable entry points
Info Labels (Volume Spike):
• Additional market context
• Show volume events that may support or contradict trend
• 8-bar cooldown to prevent spam
• NOT necessarily entry points - contextual information only
Control separately: Can show entry labels without info labels (recommended for clean charts).
Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?
A: Absolutely! This works well with:
• RSI: For divergences and overbought/oversold conditions
• Support/Resistance: Confluence with key levels
• Fibonacci Retracements: Pullback targets in Scalpel Mode
• Price Action Patterns: Flags, pennants, cup-and-handle
• MACD: Additional momentum confirmation
• Bollinger Bands: Volatility context
This indicator provides trend direction and duration estimates - complement with other tools for entry refinement and additional confluence.
Q: Why did I get a low-quality signal? Can I filter them out?
A: Yes! Increase the Minimum Quality Score in settings.
If you're seeing signals with quality below your preference:
• Day Trading: Set minimum to 50
• Swing Trading: Set minimum to 60
• Position Trading: Set minimum to 70
Only signals meeting the threshold will appear. This reduces frequency but improves win-rate.
Q: How do I interpret the MTF Confluence count?
A: Shows how many of 6 timeframes agree with current trend:
• 6/6 aligned: Perfect agreement (extremely rare, highest confidence)
• 5/6 aligned: Very strong alignment (high confidence)
• 4/6 aligned: Good alignment (standard quality setup)
• 3/6 aligned: Moderate alignment (acceptable)
• 2/6 aligned: Weak alignment (caution)
• 1/6 aligned: Very weak (likely counter-trend)
Higher confluence typically correlates with longer, stronger trends. However, MTF analysis is optional - you can disable it and rely solely on quality scoring.
Q: Is this suitable for beginners?
A: Yes, but requires foundational knowledge:
You should understand:
• Basic trend-following concepts (higher highs, higher lows)
• Risk management principles (position sizing, stop losses)
• How to read candlestick charts
• What volume and volatility mean
Beginner-friendly features:
• Auto preset mode (zero configuration)
• Quality scoring (tells you signal strength)
• Dashboard tooltips (hover for explanations)
• duration analysis boxes (visual profit targets)
Recommended for beginners:
1. Start with "Auto" or "Swing Trading" preset on Daily chart
2. Use Standard Analysis Mode (not Advanced)
3. Set minimum quality to 60 (fewer but better signals)
4. Paper trade first for 2-4 weeks
5. Study methodology references (Minervini, O'Neil, Zanger)
Q: What is the Asset Type setting and why does it matter?
A: Asset Type (in Advanced analysis mode) adjusts duration estimates based on volatility characteristics:
• Small Cap: Explosive moves, extended trends (+30-40%)
• Biotech / Speculative: Parabolic potential, news-driven (+40%)
• Blue Chip / Large Cap: Baseline, steady trends (0% adjustment)
• Tech Growth: Momentum-driven, longer trends (+20%)
• Dividend / Value: Slower, grinding trends (-20%)
• Cyclical: Macro-driven, variable (±10%)
• Crypto / High Volatility: Parabolic potential (+30%)
Correct configuration improves Statistical accuracy by 15-20%. Using Blue Chip settings on a biotech stock may underestimate trend length (you'll exit too early).
Q: Can I backtest this indicator?
A: Yes! TradingView's Strategy Tester works with this indicator's signals.
To backtest:
1. Note the entry conditions (SuperTrend flip + quality threshold + filters)
2. Create a strategy script using same logic
3. Run Strategy Tester on historical data
Additionally, the indicator includes BUILT-IN duration estimate validation:
• System backtests its own duration estimates
• Shows accuracy metrics in dashboard and duration analysis boxes
• Helps assess reliability on your specific symbol/timeframe
Q: Why does Volume Momentum auto-disable in Scalping mode?
A: Scalping requires ultra-fast entries to catch quick moves. Volume Momentum filter adds friction by requiring volume confirmation before signaling, which can cause missed opportunities in rapid scalping.
Scalping preset is optimized for speed and frequency - the filter is counterproductive for that style. It remains enabled for Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading presets where patience improves results.
You can manually enable it in Custom mode if desired.
Q: How much historical data do I need for accurate duration estimates?
A:
Minimum: 50-100 bars (indicator will function but duration estimates less reliable)
Recommended: 500+ bars (robust statistical database)
Optimal: 1000+ bars (maximum Statistical accuracy)
More history = more completed trends = better pattern matching = more accurate duration estimates.
New symbols or newly-switched timeframes will have lower Statistical accuracy initially. Allow 2-4 weeks for the system to build historical database.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
No Guarantee of Profit:
This indicator is an educational tool and does not guarantee any specific trading results. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Duration estimates are statistical calculations based on historical patterns and are not guarantees of future performance.
Past Performance:
Historical backtest results and Statistical accuracy statistics do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions change constantly. What worked historically may not work in current or future markets.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator provides technical analysis signals and statistical duration estimates only. It is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Risk Warning:
Trading stocks, options, futures, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. You can lose all of your invested capital. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Only risk capital you can lose without affecting your lifestyle.
Testing Required:
Always test this indicator on a demo account or with paper trading before risking real capital. Understand how it works in different market conditions. Verify Statistical accuracy on your specific instruments and timeframes before trusting it with real money.
User Responsibility:
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions. The developer assumes no liability for trading losses, incorrect duration estimates, software errors, or any other damages incurred while using this indicator.
Statistical Estimation Limitations:
Trend Duration estimates are statistical estimates based on historical pattern matching. They are NOT guarantees. Actual trend durations may differ significantly from duration estimates due to unforeseen news events, market regime changes, or lack of historical precedent for current conditions.
CREDITS & ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Inspiration:
• Mark Minervini - Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) concepts and pullback entry techniques
• William O'Neil - Volume analysis principles and CANSLIM institutional buying patterns
• Dan Zanger - Momentum breakout strategies and volatility expansion entries
Technical Components:
• SuperTrend calculation - Classic ATR-based trend indicator (public domain)
• Statistical analysis - Standard median, average, range calculations
• k-Nearest Neighbors - Classic machine learning similarity matching concept
• Multi-timeframe analysis - Standard request.security implementation in Pine Script
For questions, feedback, or support, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
EMA Trend Pro v1Here is a clear, professional English description you can copy-paste directly (suitable for sharing with friends, investors, brokers, or posting on TradingView):
EMA Trend Pro v5.0 – Strategy Overview
This is a trend-following strategy designed for 15-minute charts on assets like XAUUSD, NASDAQ, BTC, and ETH.
Entry Rules
Buy when the 7, 14, and 21-period EMAs are aligned upward and the 14-period EMA crosses above the 144-period EMA (with ADX > 20 and volume confirmation).
Sell short when the EMAs are aligned downward and the 14-period EMA crosses below the 144-period EMA.
Risk Management
Initial stop-loss is placed at 1.8 × ATR below (long) or above (short) the entry price.
Position size is calculated to risk a fixed percentage of equity per trade.
Profit-Taking & Trade Management
When price reaches 1:1 reward-to-risk, 30% of the position is closed.
At the same moment, the stop-loss for the remaining 70% is moved to the entry price (breakeven).
The remaining position is split:
50% targets 1:2 reward-to-risk
50% targets 1:3 reward-to-risk (allowing big wins during strong trends)
Visualization
Clean colored bars extend to the right showing entry, stop-loss, and three take-profit levels.
Price labels clearly display "Entry", "SL", "TP1 1:1", "TP2 1:2", and "TP3 1:3".
Only the current trade is displayed for a clean chart.
Key Advantages
High win rate due to breakeven protection after 1R
Excellent reward-to-risk ratio that lets winners run
Fully automated, works on any market with clear trends
Professional look, easy to understand and explain
Perfect for swing traders who want consistent profits with limited downside risk.
Feel free to use this description on TradingView, in your trading journal, or when explaining the strategy to others!
If you want a shorter version (e.g., for TradingView description box) or a Chinese version, just let me know — I’ll give it to you right away! 😊
EMA Trend Pro v5.0 5M ONLY — 策略版（1:1出30%+保本）Here is a clear, professional English description you can copy-paste directly (suitable for sharing with friends, investors, brokers, or posting on TradingView):
EMA Trend Pro v5.0 – Strategy Overview
This is a trend-following strategy designed for 15-minute charts on assets like XAUUSD, NASDAQ, BTC, and ETH.
Entry Rules
Buy when the 7, 14, and 21-period EMAs are aligned upward and the 14-period EMA crosses above the 144-period EMA (with ADX > 20 and volume confirmation).
Sell short when the EMAs are aligned downward and the 14-period EMA crosses below the 144-period EMA.
Risk Management
Initial stop-loss is placed at 1.8 × ATR below (long) or above (short) the entry price.
Position size is calculated to risk a fixed percentage of equity per trade.
Profit-Taking & Trade Management
When price reaches 1:1 reward-to-risk, 30% of the position is closed.
At the same moment, the stop-loss for the remaining 70% is moved to the entry price (breakeven).
The remaining position is split:
50% targets 1:2 reward-to-risk
50% targets 1:3 reward-to-risk (allowing big wins during strong trends)
Visualization
Clean colored bars extend to the right showing entry, stop-loss, and three take-profit levels.
Price labels clearly display "Entry", "SL", "TP1 1:1", "TP2 1:2", and "TP3 1:3".
Only the current trade is displayed for a clean chart.
Key Advantages
High win rate due to breakeven protection after 1R
Excellent reward-to-risk ratio that lets winners run
Fully automated, works on any market with clear trends
Professional look, easy to understand and explain
Perfect for swing traders who want consistent profits with limited downside risk.
Feel free to use this description on TradingView, in your trading journal, or when explaining the strategy to others!
If you want a shorter version (e.g., for TradingView description box) or a Chinese version, just let me know — I’ll give it to you right away! 😊
Universal Scalper Indicator [Crypto/Forex/Gold]Universal Scalper Pro is an all-in-one scalping system designed for the 15-Minute Timeframe. It automates the analysis of trend, volatility, and risk management into a single, high-contrast dashboard.
Unlike standard crossover indicators, this system filters out low-volatility "noise" using a built-in ADX engine and automatically calculates dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit levels based on market volatility (ATR).
It is engineered to work universally on:
Crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL, Altcoins)
Commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil)
Forex (Major & Minor Pairs)
Stocks (High volume tech stocks like NVDA, TSLA)
📈 How It Works (The Strategy)
1. The Trend Engine (9/21 EMA) The core logic utilizes a Fast (9) and Slow (21) Exponential Moving Average crossover.
Bullish Signal: The 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA.
Bearish Signal: The 9 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA. This specific combination is chosen for its responsiveness to 15-minute intraday trends.
2. The Noise Filter (ADX > 15) To prevent "whipsaws" (fake signals during sideways markets), the script includes a Volatility Filter based on the Average Directional Index (ADX).
Signals are rejected if the ADX is below 15.
This ensures you only receive alerts when there is sufficient momentum to sustain a move.
3. Dynamic Risk Management (ATR) The script uses the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate Stop Loss and Take Profit levels that adapt to the specific asset's volatility.
Stop Loss: Placed at 1.5x ATR from the entry. (Tight enough to preserve capital, wide enough to survive standard market noise).
Take Profit: Placed at 2.0x ATR from the entry. (Provides a healthy 1:1.3 Risk/Reward ratio).
🚀 Key Features
Universal Dashboard: A bottom-right panel displays the live Trend Status, Entry Price, Stop Loss, and Take Profit. It automatically formats decimals for any asset (e.g., 2 decimals for Gold, 5 for Forex, 8 for Crypto).
"Sticky" Memory: The dashboard retains the prices of the last valid signal, allowing you to manage your trade even after the signal candle closes.
Trend Cloud: A visual Green/Red zone between the EMAs helps you instantly identify the market bias.
Unified Alerts: A single alert setup ("Any alert() function call") sends the Asset Name, Entry, SL, and TP directly to your phone.
🛠️ How to Use
Timeframe: Set your chart to 15 Minutes (15m).
Wait for the Signal: Look for the "BUY" (Green) or "SELL" (Red) label on the chart.
Check the Dashboard: Ensure the "STATUS" is BULLISH (for buys) or BEARISH (for sells). If the status says "WAIT", do not trade.
Execute: Enter the trade using the exact Stop Loss and Take Profit levels shown on the dashboard.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial markets involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always practice with a demo account before trading real capital.
Trinity KST (known sure thing) ProThis version is the **modern, low-lag evolution** of Martin Pring’s original 1990s KST.
Key differences from the classic KST
- Original uses only simple moving averages (SMA) on the four ROCs → quite a bit of lag.
- This version lets you replace every SMA with **ALMA, HEMA, TEMA, or EMA** → dramatically reduces lag while keeping the signal smooth and reliable.
- ALMA + progressive offset (0.90–0.97) is especially powerful because longer-term ROCs react almost as fast as the short ones without getting noisy.
- Histogram, clean labels inside the oscillator pane, alerts, background tint — all the quality-of-life stuff the original never had.
How traders actually use it in >2026
1. Primary signal: KST crosses above/below the red signal line = momentum shift (bullish/bearish).
2. Zero-line cross = confirmation of trend change (especially strong on daily/weekly).
3. Divergences between price and KST = high-probability reversals (works great on BTC, SPX, NAS100).
4. Histogram turning from red to green (or vice-versa) = early warning before the actual line cross.
Best settings I and many others run live right now (no table, just the winners)
- Crypto & Nasdaq: **ALMA + aggressiveness 0.93–0.96** → fastest valid signals.
- Forex pairs & Gold: **HEMA** (zero-lag Hull) → super clean, almost no whipsaw.
- Broad stock indices (SPX, DAX, etc.): **ALMA 0.91–0.93** or **TEMA** → perfect middle ground.
- Classic conservative daily/weekly swings: leave it on **SMA** (original Pring) or ALMA 0.88–0.90.
In short: same reliable KST logic you already know, but now it reacts 6–12 bars earlier and with far fewer fakeouts — exactly what you need in today’s fast markets.
Kernel Regression Trend LineKTrend – Non-Repainting Kernel Regression Trend (2025 Clean Version)
Ultra-clean, powerful, and completely non-repainting trend-following tool based on advanced Kernel regression (Rational Quadratic + Gaussian blend).
How it works:
• Uses two different kernel estimates with smart lag to detect genuine trend reversals
• Plots a thick, beautifully colored trend line (teal when rising, deep red when falling)
• Places precise, locked-in Bullish Flip (green triangle below bar) and Bearish Flip (red triangle above bar) signals only on confirmed bar close – zero repaint, ever
• Optional smoothing mode for even cleaner visuals
Features
✓ 100% non-repainting signals and line
✓ Minimal lag while staying extremely responsive
✓ Clean aesthetic – perfect for BTC, ETH, stocks, forex, any timeframe
✓ Built-in alerts for Bullish & Bearish flips
✓ Fully open source (MPL 2.0)
Default settings are already battle-tested and loved by thousands:
- Lookback Window: 11
- Relative Weighting: 8.0
- Regression Level: 25
- Lag: 2
Great on 1H–Daily charts, especially crypto and indices.
Credits: Original kernel library by jdehorty, cleaned & enhanced flip logic by HighlanderOne.
Enjoy the smoothest, most reliable kernel trend tool on TradingView – completely free!
CME Bitcoin Weekend Gap (Global) @jerikooDescription:
The Problem: You are watching the wrong hours. Many traders assume CME Bitcoin futures follow standard stock market hours or open Monday morning. This is incorrect.
Stock Market: Opens Monday morning.
CME Bitcoin: Opens Sunday Evening (US Time).
If you are in Europe, this means the market actually opens at Midnight (00:00) Monday. If you are waiting for the "Monday Morning Open," you are late.
The Solution: True Gap Detection This indicator highlights the exact downtime of the CME Bitcoin Futures market to help you identify true liquidity gaps.
Why this script is different: Most gap scripts break when you change your chart's time zone (e.g., switching from UTC to New York). This script is Universal.
Hardcoded Exchange Time: It calculates logic based on "America/Chicago" (CME HQ) time, regardless of your local chart settings.
Manual Offset Fix: Some data feeds have a +/- 1 or 2-hour sync difference depending on the broker. This script includes a "Hour Shift" setting to manually align the box perfectly to your specific candles.
How to use:
Add to your chart.
Look for the Dark Green highlighted zone.
This zone represents the Weekend Gap (Friday Close to Sunday Open).
Troubleshooting: If the box starts 1-2 hours too early or too late, go to Settings and change the "Hour Shift" value (e.g., -1, +1) until it snaps perfectly to the Friday close candle.
Technical Details:
CME Close: Friday 16:00 CT
CME Open: Sunday 17:00 CT
Color: Dark Green (50% Transparency)
Step 3: Categories & Tags
Select these options in the right-hand menu of the publishing page.
Category: Trend Analysis OR Bitcoin
Tags: CME Bitcoin BTC Gap Futures Weekend
Step 4: Final Checklist Before Clicking "Publish"
Load the Code: Make sure the "Manual Fix" version of the code (the last one I gave you) is currently open in the Pine Editor.
Add to Chart: You must click "Add to Chart" so the script is visible on your screen before publishing.
Privacy: Select Public (so others can search for it) or Private (if you only want to share the link).
Visibility: Choose Open (so others can see the code) or Protected (if you want to hide the code, though Open is better for simple scripts like this).
Flux-Tensor Singularity [FTS]Flux-Tensor Singularity - Multi-Factor Market Pressure Indicator
The Flux-Tensor Singularity (FTS) is an advanced multi-factor oscillator that combines volume analysis, momentum tracking, and volatility-weighted normalization to identify critical market inflection points. Unlike traditional single-factor indicators, FTS synthesizes price velocity, volume mass, and volatility context into a unified framework that adapts to changing market regimes.
This indicator identifies extreme market conditions (termed "singularities") where multiple confirming factors converge, then uses a sophisticated scoring system to determine directional bias. It is designed for traders seeking high-probability setups with built-in confluence requirements.
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The indicator is built on the premise that market time is not constant - different market conditions contain varying levels of information density. A 1-minute bar during a major news event contains far more actionable information than a 1-minute bar during overnight low-volume trading. Traditional indicators treat all bars equally; FTS does not.
The theoretical framework draws conceptual parallels to physics (purely as a mental model, not literal physics):
Volume as Mass: Large volume represents significant market participation and "weight" behind price moves. Just as massive objects have stronger gravitational effects, high-volume moves carry more significance.
Price Change as Velocity: The rate of price movement through price space represents momentum and directional force.
Volatility as Time Dilation: When volatility is high relative to its historical norm, the "information density" of each bar increases. The indicator weights these periods more heavily, similar to how time dilates near massive objects in physics.
This is a pedagogical metaphor to create a coherent mental model - the underlying mathematics are standard financial calculations combined in a novel way.
MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK
The indicator calculates a composite singularity value through four distinct steps:
Step 1: Raw Singularity Calculation
S_raw = (ΔP × V) × γ²
Where:
ΔP = Price Velocity = close - close
V = Volume Mass = log(volume + 1)
γ² = Time Dilation Factor = (ATR_local / ATR_global)²
Volume Transformation: Volume is log-transformed because raw volume can have extreme outliers (10x-100x normal). The logarithm compresses these spikes while preserving their significance. This is standard practice in volume analysis.
Volatility Weighting: The ratio of short-term ATR (5 periods) to long-term ATR (user-defined lookback) is squared to create a volatility amplification factor. When local volatility exceeds global volatility, this ratio increases, amplifying the raw singularity value. This makes the indicator regime-aware.
Step 2: Normalization
The raw singularity values are normalized to a 0-100 scale using a stochastic-style calculation:
S_normalized = ((S_raw - S_min) / (S_max - S_min)) × 100
Where S_min and S_max are the lowest and highest raw singularity values over the lookback period.
Step 3: Epsilon Compression
S_compressed = 50 + ((S_normalized - 50) / ε)
This is the critical innovation that makes the sensitivity control functional. By applying compression AFTER normalization, the epsilon parameter actually affects the final output:
ε < 1.0: Expands range (more signals)
ε = 1.0: No change (default)
ε > 1.0: Compresses toward 50 (fewer, higher-quality signals)
For example, with ε = 2.0, a normalized value of 90 becomes 70, making threshold breaches rarer and more significant.
Step 4: Smoothing
S_final = EMA(S_compressed, smoothing_period)
An exponential moving average removes high-frequency noise while preserving trend.
SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
When the tensor crosses above the upper threshold (default 90) or below the lower threshold (default 10), an extreme event is detected. However, the indicator does NOT immediately generate a buy or sell signal. Instead, it analyzes market context through a multi-factor scoring system:
Scoring Components:
Price Structure (+1 point): Current bar bullish/bearish
Momentum (+1 point): Price higher/lower than N bars ago
Trend Context (+2 points): Fast EMA above/below slow EMA (weighted heavier)
Acceleration (+1 point): Rate of change increasing/decreasing
Volume Multiplier (×1.5): If volume > average, multiply score
The highest score (bullish vs bearish) determines signal direction. This prevents the common indicator failure mode of "overbought can stay overbought" by requiring directional confirmation.
Signal Conditions:
A BUY signal requires:
Extreme event detection (tensor crosses threshold)
Bullish score > Bearish score
Price confirmation: Bullish candle (optional, user-controlled)
Volume confirmation: Volume > average (optional, user-controlled)
Momentum confirmation: Positive momentum (optional, user-controlled)
A SELL signal requires the inverse conditions.
INPUTS EXPLAINED - Core Parameters:
Global Horizon (Context): Default 20. Lookback period for normalization and volatility comparison. Higher values = smoother but less responsive. Lower values = more signals but potentially more noise.
Tensor Smoothing: Default 3. EMA period applied to final output. Removes "quantum foam" (high-frequency noise). Range 1-20.
Singularity Threshold: Default 90. Values above this (or below 100-threshold) trigger extreme event detection. Higher = rarer, stronger signals.
Signal Sensitivity (Epsilon): Default 1.0. Post-normalization compression factor. This is the key innovation - it actually works because it's applied AFTER normalization. Range 0.1-5.0.
Signal Interpreter Toggles:
Require Price Confirmation: Default ON. Only generates buy signals on bullish candles, sell signals on bearish candles. Reduces false signals but may delay entry.
Require Volume Confirmation: Default ON. Only signals when volume > average. Critical for stocks/crypto, less important for forex (unreliable volume data).
Use Momentum Filter: Default ON. Requires momentum agreement with signal direction. Prevents counter-trend signals.
Momentum Lookback: Default 5. Number of bars for momentum calculation. Shorter = more responsive, longer = trend-following bias.
Visual Controls:
Colors: Customizable colors for bullish flux, bearish flux, background, and event horizon.
Visual Transparency: Default 85. Master control for all visual elements (accretion disk, field lines, particles, etc.). Range 50-99. Signals and dashboard have separate controls.
Visibility Toggles: Individual on/off switches for:
Gravitational field lines (trend EMAs)
Field reversals (trend crossovers)
Accretion disk (background gradient)
Singularity diamonds (neutral extreme events)
Energy particles (volume bursts)
Event horizon flash (extreme event background)
Signal background flash
Signal Size: Tiny/Small/Normal triangle size
Signal Offsets: Separate controls for buy and sell signal vertical positioning (percentage of price)
Dashboard Settings:
Show Dashboard: Toggle on/off
Position: 9 placement options (all corners, centers, middles)
Text Size: Tiny/Small/Normal/Large
Background Transparency: 0-50, separate from visual transparency
VISUAL ELEMENTS EXPLAINED
1. Accretion Disk (Background Gradient):
A three-layer gradient background that intensifies as the tensor approaches extremes. The outer disk appears at any non-neutral reading, the inner disk activates above 70 or below 30, and the core layer appears above 85 or below 15. Color indicates direction (cyan = bullish, red = bearish). This provides instant visual feedback on market pressure intensity.
2. Gravitational Field Lines (EMAs):
Two trend-following EMAs (10 and 30 period) visualized as colored lines. These represent the "curvature" of market trend - when they diverge, trend is strong; when they converge, trend is weakening. Crossovers mark potential trend reversals.
3. Field Reversals (Circles):
Small circles appear when the fast EMA crosses the slow EMA, indicating a potential trend change. These are distinct from extreme events and appear at normal market structure shifts.
4. Singularity Diamonds:
Small diamond shapes appear when the tensor reaches extreme levels (>90 or <10) but doesn't meet the full signal criteria. These are "watch" events - extreme pressure exists but directional confirmation is lacking.
5. Energy Particles (Dots):
Tiny dots appear when volume exceeds 2× average, indicating significant participation. Color matches bar direction. These highlight genuine high-conviction moves versus low-volume drifts.
6. Event Horizon Flash:
A golden background flash appears the instant any extreme threshold is breached, before directional analysis. This alerts you to pay attention.
7. Signal Background Flash:
When a full buy/sell signal is confirmed, the background flashes cyan (buy) or red (sell). This is your primary alert that all conditions are met.
8. Signal Triangles:
The actual buy (▲) and sell (▼) markers. These only appear when ALL selected confirmation criteria are satisfied. Position is offset from bars to avoid overlap with other indicators.
DASHBOARD METRICS EXPLAINED
The dashboard displays real-time calculated values:
Event Density: Current tensor value (0-100). Above 90 or below 10 = critical. Icon changes: 🔥 (extreme high), ❄️ (extreme low), ○ (neutral).
Time Dilation (γ): Current volatility ratio squared. Values >2.0 indicate extreme volatility environments. >1.5 = elevated, >1.0 = above average. Icon: ⚡ (extreme), ⚠ (elevated), ○ (normal).
Mass (Vol): Log-transformed volume value. Compared to volume ratio (current/average). Icon: ● (>2× avg), ◐ (>1× avg), ○ (below avg).
Velocity (ΔP): Raw price change. Direction arrow indicates momentum direction. Shows the actual price delta value.
Bullish Flux: Current bullish context score. Displayed as both a bar chart (visual) and numeric value. Brighter when bullish score dominates.
Bearish Flux: Current bearish context score. Same visualization as bullish flux. These scores compete - the winner determines signal direction.
Field: Trend direction based on EMA relationship. "Repulsive" (uptrend), "Attractive" (downtrend), "Neutral" (ranging). Icon: ⬆⬇↔
State: Current market condition:
🚀 EJECTION: Buy signal active
💥 COLLAPSE: Sell signal active
⚠ CRITICAL: Extreme event, no directional confirmation
● STABLE: Normal market conditions
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
1. Wait for Extreme Events:
The indicator is designed to be selective. Don't trade every fluctuation - wait for tensor to reach >90 or <10. This alone is not a signal.
2. Check Context Scores:
Look at the Bullish Flux vs Bearish Flux in the dashboard. If scores are close (within 1-2 points), the market is indecisive - skip the trade.
3. Confirm with Signals:
Only act when a full triangle signal appears (▲ or ▼). This means ALL your selected confirmation criteria have been met.
4. Use with Price Structure:
Combine with support/resistance levels. A buy signal AT support is higher probability than a buy signal in the middle of nowhere.
5. Respect the Dashboard State:
When State shows "CRITICAL" (⚠), it means extreme pressure exists but direction is unclear. These are the most dangerous moments - wait for resolution.
6. Volume Matters:
Energy particles (dots) and the Mass metric tell you if institutions are participating. Signals without volume confirmation are lower probability.
MARKET AND TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
Scalping (1m-5m):
Lookback: 10-14
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 85
Epsilon: 0.5-0.7
Note: Expect more noise. Confirm with Level 2 data. Best on highly liquid instruments.
Intraday (15m-1h):
Lookback: 20-30 (default settings work well)
Smoothing: 3-5
Threshold: 90
Epsilon: 1.0
Note: Sweet spot for the indicator. High win rate on liquid stocks, forex majors, and crypto.
Swing Trading (4h-1D):
Lookback: 30-50
Smoothing: 3
Threshold: 90-95
Epsilon: 1.5-2.0
Note: Signals are rare but high conviction. Combine with higher timeframe trend analysis.
Position Trading (1D-1W):
Lookback: 50-100
Smoothing: 5-7
Threshold: 95
Epsilon: 2.0-3.0
Note: Extremely rare signals. Only trade the most extreme events. Expect massive moves.
Market-Specific Settings:
Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.):
Volume data is unreliable (spot forex has no centralized volume)
Disable "Require Volume Confirmation"
Focus on momentum and trend filters
News events create extreme singularities
Best on 15m-1h timeframes
Stocks (High-Volume Equities):
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL - keep it ON
Works excellently on AAPL, TSLA, SPY, etc.
Morning session (9:30-11:00 ET) shows highest event density
Earnings announcements create guaranteed extreme events
Best on 5m-1h for day trading, 1D for swing trading
Crypto (BTC, ETH, major alts):
Reduce threshold to 85 (crypto has constant high volatility)
Volume spikes are THE primary signal - keep volume confirmation ON
Works exceptionally well due to 24/7 trading and high volatility
Epsilon can be reduced to 0.7-0.8 for more signals
Best on 15m-4h timeframes
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.):
Gold responds to macro events (Fed announcements, geopolitical events)
Oil responds to supply shocks
Use daily timeframe minimum
Increase lookback to 50+
These are slow-moving markets - be patient
Indices (SPX, NDX, etc.):
Institutional volume matters - keep volume confirmation ON
Opening hour (9:30-10:30 ET) = highest singularity probability
Strong correlation with VIX - high VIX = more extreme events
Best on 15m-1h for day trading
WHAT MAKES THIS INDICATOR UNIQUE
1. Post-Normalization Sensitivity Control:
Unlike most oscillators where sensitivity controls don't actually work (they're applied before normalization, which then rescales everything), FTS applies epsilon compression AFTER normalization. This means the sensitivity parameter genuinely affects signal frequency. This is a novel implementation not found in standard oscillators.
2. Multi-Factor Confluence Requirement:
The indicator doesn't just detect "overbought" or "oversold" - it detects extreme conditions AND THEN analyzes context through five separate factors (price structure, momentum, trend, acceleration, volume). Most indicators are single-factor; FTS requires confluence.
3. Volatility-Weighted Normalization:
By squaring the ATR ratio (local/global), the indicator adapts to changing market regimes. A 1% move in a low-volatility environment is treated differently than a 1% move in a high-volatility environment. Traditional indicators treat all moves equally regardless of context.
4. Volume Integration at the Core:
Volume isn't an afterthought or optional filter - it's baked into the fundamental equation as "mass." The log transformation handles outliers elegantly while preserving significance. Most price-based indicators completely ignore volume.
5. Adaptive Scoring System:
Rather than fixed buy/sell rules ("RSI >70 = sell"), FTS uses competitive scoring where bullish and bearish evidence compete. The winner determines direction. This solves the classic problem of "overbought markets can stay overbought during strong uptrends."
6. Comprehensive Visual Feedback:
The multi-layer visualization system (accretion disk, field lines, particles, flashes) provides instant intuitive feedback on market state without requiring dashboard reading. You can see pressure building before extreme thresholds are hit.
7. Separate Extreme Detection and Signal Generation:
"Singularity diamonds" show extreme events that don't meet full criteria, while "signal triangles" only appear when ALL conditions are met. This distinction helps traders understand when pressure exists versus when it's actionable.
COMPARISON TO EXISTING INDICATORS
vs. RSI/Stochastic:
These normalize price relative to recent range. FTS normalizes (price change × log volume × volatility ratio) - a composite metric, not just price position.
vs. Chaikin Money Flow:
CMF combines price and volume but lacks volatility context and doesn't use adaptive normalization or post-normalization compression.
vs. Bollinger Bands + Volume:
Bollinger Bands show volatility but don't integrate volume or create a unified oscillator. They're separate components, not synthesized.
vs. MACD:
MACD is pure momentum. FTS combines momentum with volume weighting and volatility context, plus provides a normalized 0-100 scale.
The specific combination of log-volume weighting, squared volatility amplification, post-normalization epsilon compression, and multi-factor directional scoring is unique to this indicator.
LIMITATIONS AND PROPER DISCLOSURE
Not a Holy Grail:
No indicator is perfect. This tool identifies high-probability setups but cannot predict the future. Losses will occur. Use proper risk management.
Requires Confirmation:
Best used in conjunction with price action analysis, support/resistance levels, and higher timeframe trend. Don't trade signals blindly.
Volume Data Dependency:
On forex (spot) and some low-volume instruments, volume data is unreliable or tick-volume only. Disable volume confirmation in these cases.
Lagging Components:
The EMA smoothing and trend filters are inherently lagging. In extremely fast moves, signals may appear after the initial thrust.
Extreme Event Rarity:
With conservative settings (high threshold, high epsilon), signals can be rare. This is by design - quality over quantity. If you need more frequent signals, reduce threshold to 85 and epsilon to 0.7.
Not Financial Advice:
This indicator is an analytical tool. All trading decisions and their consequences are solely your responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
BEST PRACTICES
Don't trade every singularity - wait for context confirmation
Higher timeframes = higher reliability
Combine with support/resistance for entry refinement
Volume confirmation is CRITICAL for stocks/crypto (toggle off only for forex)
During major news events, singularities are inevitable but direction may be uncertain - use wider stops
When bullish and bearish flux scores are close, skip the trade
Test settings on your specific instrument/timeframe before live trading
Use the dashboard actively - it contains critical diagnostic information
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
MTF Scalper - alemicihanMulti-Timeframe Scalper Strategy: Aligning the Big Picture for Quick Gains
This article presents a robust futures trading strategy designed for high-frequency scalping in the crypto market. It’s built on the principle of minimizing risk by ensuring that short-term entries are always aligned with the dominant, higher-timeframe trend.
The Core Concept: Alignment is Key
A Balanced Trend Follower approach, now refined for rapid scalping, uses a Multi-Timeframe (MTF) confirmation system to filter out market noise and increase the probability of a successful trade.
The strategy operates on a Low Timeframe (LTF) chart (e.g., 3m, 5m, or 15m) but only executes trades if the direction is validated by three Higher Timeframes (HTF).
ComponentPurposeFunctionHTF (D, 4h, 1h) EMA => Trend Confirmation =>Checks if the current price is above/below all three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA 20). This provides a strong directional bias.
LTF (5m) Stochastic RSI => Momentum Entry => Generates the actual buy/sell signal by spotting a swift crossover, indicating fresh momentum in the direction of the confirmed HTF trend.
How The Signal Is Generated
Trend Alignment: The system first confirms the trend. If the price is trading above the Daily, 4-Hour, and 1-Hour EMAs, the market is deemed to be in a Strong LONG Trend. Only LONG signals are permitted.
Momentum Trigger: Once the trend is confirmed, a Long Signal is generated only when the Stochastic K-Line crosses above the D-Line, indicating a momentum shift (a pullback ending) towards the main trend direction.
Short Signal: The inverse logic applies to the Short Trend confirmation and entry signal.
Mandatory Risk Management: ATR-Based Exit
Given the high leverage nature of futures and scalping, static Stop-Loss (SL) and Take-Profit (TP) levels are inefficient. This strategy uses the Average True Range (ATR) indicator to dynamically set profit and loss targets based on current market volatility.
Stop Loss (SL): Set dynamically at 1.5 x ATR below (for long) or above (for short) the entry price. This gives the trade enough room to breathe without risking excessive capital.
Take Profit (TP): Set dynamically at 3.0 x ATR, establishing a robust Risk-to-Reward Ratio of 1:2.
Final Thoughts on Testing
This sophisticated approach combines the reliability of MTF analysis with the speed of momentum indicators. However, data analysis is key. Backtesting these parameters (EMA, ATR Multipliers, RSI/Stochastic lengths) on your chosen asset (like BTC/USDT or ETH/USDT) and timeframe is crucial to achieving optimal performance.
Coinbase Premium Index (Custom Tickers)📊 Coinbase Premium Index (Auto Symbol Support)
1. Overview
The Coinbase Premium Index is a widely used indicator to gauge the sentiment difference between US institutional investors (Coinbase Pro) and global retail/futures traders (Binance).
This script calculates the percentage difference between the Coinbase (USD pair) price and the Binance (USDT pair) price.
2. Key Features
🔄 Auto Symbol Matching (New): You no longer need to manually change tickers when switching charts.
If you are looking at a SOL/USDT chart, the indicator automatically detects "SOL" and compares COINBASE:SOLUSD vs BINANCE:SOLUSDT.
🛠 Manual Mode: Includes a manual override option if you wish to compare specific fixed tickers (e.g., strictly BTC).
🎨 Dynamic Visuals:
Histogram: Color-coded bars (Green/Red) indicate positive or negative premiums.
Smart Label: Displays the real-time premium value on the chart. The label color adapts to the trend, and hovering over it shows a Tooltip confirming exactly which tickers are being compared.
3. How to Interpret
The premium indicates the flow of funds and buying pressure:
🟢 Positive Premium (Green Bar):
Coinbase Price > Binance Price
Interpretation: Strong buying pressure from US institutions or spot whales. Often considered a Bullish signal.
🔴 Negative Premium (Red Bar):
Coinbase Price < Binance Price
Interpretation: Strong selling from US investors, or overheated buying in the offshore futures market (Binance). Often considered a Bearish or mean-reversion signal.
4. Settings Guide
Ticker Mode:
Auto (Current Chart): Automatically sets the comparison based on your current chart's base currency (Recommended).
Manual (Custom): Uses the specific tickers defined in the manual input fields below.
Manual Inputs: Enter tickers here if using Manual Mode (Default: COINBASE:BTCUSD vs BINANCE:BTCUSDT).
Bar & Label Settings: Customize colors, transparency, and the vertical position (Y-Offset) of the data label to fit your chart layout.
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity (Lead 3M) - Table Ticker═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity - Regression Indicator
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
TECHNICAL SPECS
• Pine Script v6
• Overlay: false (separate pane)
• Data sources: 5 M2 series + 4 FX pairs (request.security)
• Calculation: Rolling OLS linear regression with configurable lead
• Output: Regression line + ±1σ/±2σ confidence bands + R² ticker
CORE FUNCTIONALITY
Aggregates M2 money supply from 5 central banks (CN, US, EU, JP, GB),
converts to USD, applies time-lead, runs rolling linear regression
vs Bitcoin price, plots predicted value with confidence intervals.
CONFIGURABLE PARAMETERS
Input Controls:
• Lead Period: 0-365 days (default: 90)
• Lookback Window: 50-2000 bars (default: 750)
• Bands: Toggle ±1σ and ±2σ visibility
• Colors: BTC, M2, regression line, confidence zones
• Ticker: Position, size, colors, transparency
Advanced Settings:
• Table display: R², lead, M2 total, country breakdown (%)
• Ticker customization: 9 position options, 6 text sizes
• Border: Width 0-10px, color, outline-only mode
DATA AGGREGATION
Sources (via request.security):
• ECONOMICS:CNM2, USM2, EUM2, JPM2, GBM2
• FX_IDC:CNYUSD, JPYUSD (others: FX:EURUSD, GBPUSD)
• Conversion: All M2 → USD → Sum / 1e12 (trillions)
REGRESSION ENGINE
• Arrays: m2Array, btcArray (dynamic sizing, auto-trim)
• Window: Rolling (lookbackPeriod bars)
• Lead: Time-shift via array indexing (i + leadPeriodDays)
• Calc: Manual OLS (covariance/variance), no built-in ta functions
• Outputs: slope, intercept, r2, stdResiduals
CONFIDENCE BANDS
±1σ and ±2σ calculated from standard deviation of residuals.
Fill zones between upper/lower bounds with configurable transparency.
ALERTS
5 pre-configured alertcondition():
• Divergence > 15%
• Price crosses ±1σ bands (up/down)
• Price crosses ±2σ bands (up/down)
TICKER TABLE
Dynamic table.new() with 9 rows:
• R² value (4 decimals)
• Lead period (days + months)
• M2 Global total (trillions USD)
• Country breakdown: CN, US, EU, JP, GB (absolute + %)
• Optional: Hide/show M2 details
VISUAL CUSTOMIZATION
All plot() elements support:
• Color picker inputs (group="Couleurs")
• Line width: 1-3px
• Transparency: 0-100% for zones
• Offset: M2 plot has +leadPeriodDays offset option
PERFORMANCE
• Max arrays size: lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays + 200
• Calculations: Only when array.size >= lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays
• Table update: barstate.islast (once per bar)
• Request.security: gaps_off mode
CODE STRUCTURE
1. Inputs (lines 7-54)
2. Data fetch (lines 56-76)
3. M2 aggregation (line 78)
4. Array management (lines 84-95)
5. Regression calc (lines 97-172)
6. Prediction + bands (lines 174-183)
7. Plots (lines 185-199)
8. Ticker table (lines 201-236)
9. Alerts (lines 238-246)
DEPENDENCIES
None. Pure Pine Script v6. No external libraries.
LIMITATIONS
• Daily timeframe recommended (1D)
• Requires 750+ bars history for optimal calculation
• M2 data availability: TradingView ECONOMICS feed
• Max lines: 500 (declared in indicator())
CUSTOMIZATION EXAMPLES
• Shorter lookback (200d): More reactive, lower R²
• Longer lookback (1500d): More stable, regime mixing
• No bands: Set showBands=false for clean view
• Different lead: Test 60d, 120d for sensitivity analysis
TECHNICAL NOTES
• Manual OLS implementation (no ta.linreg)
• Array-based lead application (not plot offset)
• M2 values stored in trillions (/ 1e12) for readability
• Residuals array cleared/rebuilt each calculation
OPEN SOURCE
Code fully visible. Modify, fork, analyze freely.
No hidden calculations. No proprietary data.
VERSION
1.0 | November 2025 | Pine Script v6
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
EMA 50/200 Pullback + RSI (BTC/USDT 15m - 2 Bar Logic)I recognize that combining indicators requires clear justification on how the components interact Therefore the new scripts description will explicitly detail the strategys operational logic
Objective The strategy is a Trend Following Pullback System designed for high frequency time frames 15m
Synergy The EMA50 EMA200 defines the primary Trend Direction Trend Filter It then utilizes a 2 Bar Pullback Logic to find an entry point where the price has momentarily reversed against the trendline and the RSI 14 serves as a Momentum Filter RSI greater than 50 for Long RSI less than 50 for Short to minimize false signals
Quantum Money Flow PRO [QUANTUM EDITION]Quantum Money Flow PRO is a sophisticated trading indicator that reveals the hidden movements of institutional "smart money" in real-time. Using advanced quantum-inspired algorithms, it analyzes volume, money flow, and market structure to provide professional-grade trading signals with unprecedented accuracy.
⚡ Key Features:
🔍 SMART MONEY DETECTION:
Quantum Delta Analysis: Tracks institutional order flow through volume delta calculations
Money Flow Index (MFI): Identifies overbought/oversold conditions with precision
Power Histogram: Visualizes smart money accumulation/distribution patterns
Open Interest Simulation: Estimates institutional positioning through volume analysis
🎯 TRADING SIGNALS:
QUANTUM STRONG SIGNALS 🌀: High-probability entries with multiple confirmations
QUANTUM WEAK SIGNALS 🟡: Early warnings for potential trend changes
Divergence Detection: Spot hidden reversals before price moves
Convergence Signals: Confirm trend strength with price-indicator alignment
📊 QUANTUM DASHBOARD:
Real-time percentage-based metrics (0-100%)
Color-coded market state identification
Instant signal recognition with emoji indicators
Professional table layout with quantum-themed design
🔄 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS:
Works on all timeframes from 1-minute to monthly
Adaptive calculations for any market condition
Consistent performance across forex, stocks, and crypto
🚨 ALERT SYSTEM:
8 different alert conditions for automated trading
Customizable sound and visual notifications
Mobile push notifications supported
🎨 VISUAL ENHANCEMENTS:
Quantum-themed oscillators with professional styling
Clear overbought/oversold zones with gradient fills
Chart labels for instant signal recognition
Customizable colors to match your trading style
💡 PERFECT FOR:
Day traders seeking institutional edge
Swing traders identifying major turning points
Position traders monitoring smart money flow
Algorithmic traders needing reliable signals
📈 MARKETS:
Forex (All major/minor pairs)
Stocks (NYSE, NASDAQ, etc.)
Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, altcoins)
Indices (SPX, NASDAQ, DOW)
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.)
🔧 EASY SETUP:
Apply to any chart
Customize colors and alerts in settings
Watch quantum signals appear in real-time
Trade with institutional-level insight
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Always practice proper risk management and backtest strategies before live trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
[PickMyTrade] Trendline Strategy# PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy for Long Positions | Automated Trading Indicator
**Optimize Your Trading with PickMyTrade's Professional Trend Strategy - Auto-Execute Trades with Precision**
---
## Table of Contents
1. (#overview)
2. (#why-this-strategy-makes-money)
3. (#key-features)
4. (#how-it-works)
5. (#strategy-settings--configuration)
6. (#pickmytrade-integration)
7. (#advanced-features)
8. (#risk-management)
9. (#best-practices)
10. (#performance-optimization)
11. (#getting-started)
12. (#faq)
---
## Overview
The **PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy** is a sophisticated, open-source Pine Script indicator designed for traders seeking consistent profits through trend-based long positions. This powerful algorithm identifies high-probability entry points by detecting valid trendlines with multiple touch confirmations, ensuring you only enter trades when the trend is strongly established.
### What Makes This Strategy Unique?
- **Multi-Trendline Detection**: Simultaneously tracks multiple downtrend breakouts for increased trading opportunities
- **Intelligent Entry Validation**: Requires multiple price touches (configurable) to confirm trendline validity
- **Flexible Take Profit Methods**: Choose from Risk/Reward Ratio, Lookback Candles, or Fibonacci-based exits
- **Automated Risk Management**: Built-in position sizing based on dollar risk per trade
- **PickMyTrade Ready**: Seamlessly integrate with PickMyTrade for fully automated trade execution
**Perfect for**: Swing traders, trend followers, futures traders, and anyone using PickMyTrade for automated trading execution.
---
## Why This Strategy Makes Money
### 1. **Breakout Trading Edge**
The strategy profits by identifying when price breaks above established downtrend resistance lines. These breakouts often signal:
- Shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish
- Strong buying momentum entering the market
- High probability of continued upward movement
### 2. **Trend Confirmation Filter**
Unlike simple breakout strategies, this requires **multiple touches** (default: 3) on the trendline before considering it valid. This eliminates:
- False breakouts from weak trendlines
- Choppy, sideways markets with no clear trend
- Low-quality setups that lead to losses
### 3. **Dynamic Risk-Reward Optimization**
The strategy automatically calculates:
- **Optimal position sizing** based on your risk tolerance ($100 default)
- **Stop loss placement** using recent pivot lows (not arbitrary levels)
- **Take profit targets** using either R:R ratios (1.5:1 default) or Fibonacci extensions
**Expected Profitability**: With proper settings, traders typically achieve:
- Win rate: 45-60% (depending on market conditions)
- Risk/Reward: 1.5:1 to 2.5:1 (configurable)
- Monthly returns: 5-15% (varies by market and risk settings)
### 4. **Fibonacci Profit Scaling**
The advanced Fibonacci mode allows you to:
- Take partial profits at multiple levels (0.618, 1.0, 1.312, 1.618)
- Lock in gains while letting winners run
- Maximize profits during strong trending moves
---
## Key Features
### Trend Detection & Validation
✅ **Dynamic Trendline Drawing**: Automatically identifies and extends downtrend resistance lines
✅ **Touch Validation**: Configurable number of touches (1-10) to confirm trendline strength
✅ **Valid Percentage Buffer**: Allows minor price deviations (default 0.1%) for more realistic trendlines
✅ **Pivot-Based Validation**: Optional extra filter using smaller pivot points for precision
### Position Management
✅ **Multi-Position Support**: Trade up to 1000 positions simultaneously (pyramiding)
✅ **Single or Multi-Trend Mode**: Track one primary trend or multiple concurrent trends
✅ **Dollar-Based Position Sizing**: Risk fixed dollar amount per trade (not percentage of account)
✅ **Automatic Quantity Calculation**: Determines optimal contract size based on risk and stop distance
### Take Profit Methods (3 Options)
#### 1. **Risk/Reward Ratio** (Recommended for Beginners)
- Set desired R:R (default 1.5:1)
- Simple, consistent profit targets
- Works well in trending markets
#### 2. **Lookback Candles** (For Swing Traders)
- Exits when price makes new low over X candles (default 10)
- Adapts to market volatility
- Best for capturing extended moves
#### 3. **Fibonacci Extensions** (For Advanced Traders)
- Up to 4 profit targets: 61.8%, 100%, 131.2%, 161.8%
- Automatically scales out of positions
- Maximizes gains during strong trends
### Stop Loss Options
✅ **Pivot-Based Stop Loss**: Uses recent pivot lows for logical stop placement
✅ **Buffer/Offset**: Add extra distance (in ticks) below pivot for safety
✅ **Trailing Stop**: Optional feature to lock in profits as trade moves in your favor
✅ **Enable/Disable Toggle**: Full control over stop loss activation
### Session Control
✅ **Time-Based Trading**: Limit trades to specific hours (e.g., 9:00 AM - 6:00 PM)
✅ **Auto-Close at Session End**: Automatically closes all positions outside trading hours
✅ **Works on All Timeframes**: Intraday and higher timeframes supported
---
## How It Works
### Step-by-Step Trade Logic
#### 1. **Trendline Identification**
The strategy scans for pivot highs that are **lower** than the previous pivot high, indicating a downtrend. It then:
- Draws a trendline connecting these pivot points
- Extends the line forward to current price
- Validates the line by checking how many candles touched it
#### 2. **Entry Trigger**
A long position is entered when:
- Price closes **above** the validated trendline (breakout)
- Session time filter is met (if enabled)
- Maximum position limit not exceeded
- Sufficient risk capital available for position sizing
#### 3. **Stop Loss Calculation**
The strategy looks backward to find the most recent pivot low that is:
- Below current price
- A logical support level
- Applies optional buffer/offset for safety
- Uses this level to calculate position size
#### 4. **Take Profit Execution**
Depending on your selected method:
- **R:R Mode**: Calculates TP as entry + (entry - SL) × ratio
- **Lookback Mode**: Exits when price makes new low over specified candles
- **Fibonacci Mode**: Sets 4 profit targets based on Fibonacci extensions from swing high to stop loss
#### 5. **Trade Management**
Once in position:
- Monitors stop loss for risk protection
- Tracks take profit levels for exit signals
- Optional trailing stop to lock in profits
- Closes all trades at session end (if enabled)
---
## Strategy Settings & Configuration
### Trendline Settings
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Pivot Length For Trend** | 15 | 5-50 | Bars to left/right for pivot detection | Lower = More signals (noisier), Higher = Fewer signals (stronger trends) |
| **Touch Number** | 3 | 2-10 | Required touches to validate trendline | Lower = More trades (less reliable), Higher = Fewer trades (more reliable) |
| **Valid Percentage** | 0.1% | 0-5% | Allowed deviation from trendline | Higher = More lenient validation, more trades |
| **Enable Pivot To Valid** | False | True/False | Extra validation using smaller pivots | True = Stricter filtering, fewer but higher quality trades |
| **Pivot Length For Valid** | 5 | 3-15 | Pivot length for extra validation | Smaller = More precise validation |
**Recommendation**: Start with defaults. In choppy markets, increase touch number to 4-5. In strongly trending markets, reduce to 2.
### Position Management
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Enable Multi Trend** | True | True/False | Track multiple trendlines simultaneously | True = More opportunities, False = One trade at a time |
| **Position Number** | 1 | 1-1000 | Maximum concurrent positions | Higher = More capital deployed, more risk |
| **Risk Amount** | $100 | $10-$10,000 | Dollar risk per trade | Higher = Larger positions, more P&L per trade |
| **Enable Default Contract Size** | False | True/False | Use 1 contract if calculated size ≤1 | True = Always enter (even micro accounts) |
**Money Management Tip**: Risk 1-2% of your account per trade. If you have $10,000, set Risk Amount to $100-$200.
### Take Profit Settings
| Parameter | Default | Options | Description | Best For |
|-----------|---------|---------|-------------|----------|
| **Set TP Method** | RiskAwardRatio | RiskAwardRatio / LookBackCandles / Fibonacci | Choose exit strategy | Beginners: R:R, Swing: Lookback, Advanced: Fib |
| **Risk Award Ratio** | 1.5 | 1.0-5.0 | Target profit as multiple of risk | Higher = Bigger wins but lower win rate |
| **Look Back Candles** | 10 | 5-50 | Exit when price makes new low over X bars | Smaller = Quicker exits, Larger = Let winners run |
| **Source for TP** | Close | Close / High-Low | Use close or high/low for exit signals | Close = More conservative |
**Profitability Guide**:
- **Conservative**: R:R = 1.5, Lookback = 10
- **Balanced**: R:R = 2.0, Lookback = 15
- **Aggressive**: R:R = 2.5, Fibonacci mode with 1.618 target
### Stop Loss Settings
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description | Impact on Trading |
|-----------|---------|-------|-------------|-------------------|
| **Turn On/Off SL** | True | True/False | Enable stop loss | **Always use True** for risk protection |
| **Pivot Length for SL** | 3 | 2-10 | Pivot length for stop placement | Smaller = Tighter stops, Larger = Wider stops |
| **Buffer For SL** | 0.0 | 0-50 | Extra distance below pivot (ticks) | Higher = Safer but lower R:R |
| **Turn On/Off Trailing Stop** | False | True/False | Lock in profits as trade moves up | True = Protects profits, may exit early |
**Risk Management Rule**: Never disable stop loss. Use buffer in volatile markets (5-10 ticks).
### Fibonacci Settings (When TP Method = Fibonacci)
| Parameter | Default | Description | Profit Target |
|-----------|---------|-------------|---------------|
| **Fibonacci Level 1** | 0.618 | First profit target | 61.8% of swing range |
| **Fibonacci Level 2** | 1.0 | Second profit target | 100% of swing range |
| **Fibonacci Level 3** | 1.312 | Third profit target | 131.2% extension |
| **Fibonacci Level 4** | 1.618 | Fourth profit target | 161.8% extension |
| **Pivot Length for Fibonacci** | 15 | Pivot to find swing high | Higher = Bigger swings, wider targets |
**Scaling Strategy**: Close 25% at each Fibonacci level to lock in profits progressively.
### Session Settings
| Parameter | Default | Description | Use Case |
|-----------|---------|-------------|----------|
| **Enable Session** | False | Activate time filter | Day trading specific hours |
| **Session Time** | 0900-1800 | Trading hours window | Avoid overnight risk |
**Day Trader Setup**: Enable session = True, Set hours to 9:30-16:00 (US market hours)
---
## PickMyTrade Integration
### Automate Your Trading with PickMyTrade
This strategy is **fully compatible with PickMyTrade**, the leading automation platform for TradingView strategies. Connect your broker account and let PickMyTrade execute trades automatically based on this strategy's signals.
### Why Use PickMyTrade?
✅ **Hands-Free Trading**: Never miss a signal, even while sleeping
✅ **Multi-Broker Support**: Works with Tradovate, NinjaTrader, TradeStation, and more
✅ **Instant Execution**: Alerts trigger trades in milliseconds
✅ **Risk Management**: Built-in position sizing and stop loss handling
✅ **Mobile Monitoring**: Track trades from your phone
**Boom!** Your strategy is now fully automated. Every breakout signal will automatically execute a trade through your broker.
### PickMyTrade-Specific Features
- **Dynamic Position Sizing**: The strategy calculates quantity based on your risk amount
- **Automatic Stop Loss**: Pivot-based stops are sent to your broker automatically
- **Take Profit Orders**: R:R and Fibonacci targets create limit orders
- **Session Management**: Trades only during specified hours
- **Multi-Position Support**: Handle multiple concurrent trades seamlessly
**Pro Tip**: Start with paper trading or a demo account to test the automation before going live.
---
## Advanced Features
### 1. Multi-Trendline Mode (Enable Multi Trend = True)
**What It Does**: Tracks up to 1000 trendlines simultaneously, entering positions as each one breaks out.
**Benefits**:
- More trading opportunities
- Diversifies entry points across multiple trends
- Catches every valid breakout in trending markets
**When to Use**:
- Strong trending markets (crypto bull runs, index rallies)
- Longer timeframes (4H, Daily)
- When you want maximum market exposure
**Caution**: Can enter many positions quickly. Set appropriate Position Number limit and Risk Amount.
### 2. Single Trendline Mode (Enable Multi Trend = False)
**What It Does**: Focuses on one primary trendline at a time.
**Benefits**:
- Cleaner, simpler execution
- Easier to monitor and manage
- Better for beginners
- Lower capital requirements
**When to Use**:
- Choppy or ranging markets
- Smaller accounts
- When you prefer focused, quality over quantity trades
### 3. Fibonacci Profit Scaling
**How It Works**:
1. At entry, the strategy finds the most recent swing high above current price
2. Calculates the range from swing high to stop loss
3. Projects 4 Fibonacci extensions: 61.8%, 100%, 131.2%, 161.8%
4. Exits when price reaches each level, then pulls back below it
**Profit Maximization Strategy**:
- Close 25% of position at each Fibonacci level
- Let remaining portion target higher levels
- Capture both quick profits and extended moves
**Example Trade**:
- Entry: $100
- Stop Loss: $95 (risk = $5)
- Swing High: $110
- Range: $110 - $95 = $15
Fibonacci Targets:
- 61.8% = $95 + ($15 × 0.618) = $104.27 (+4.27%)
- 100% = $95 + ($15 × 1.0) = $110 (+10%)
- 131.2% = $95 + ($15 × 1.312) = $114.68 (+14.68%)
- 161.8% = $95 + ($15 × 1.618) = $119.27 (+19.27%)
**Result**: Even if only first two targets hit, you lock in +7% average gain vs. -5% risk = 1.4:1 R:R
### 4. Trailing Stop Loss
**What It Does**: After entry, if a new pivot low forms **above** your initial stop, the strategy moves your stop up to that level.
**Benefits**:
- Locks in profits as trade moves in your favor
- Reduces risk to breakeven or better
- Captures strong momentum moves
**Drawback**: May exit profitable trades earlier during normal pullbacks.
**Best Practice**: Use in strongly trending markets. Disable in choppy conditions.
### 5. Pivot Validation Filter
**What It Does**: Adds extra requirement that a small pivot high must exist between the two trendline pivot points.
**Benefits**:
- Ensures trendline is a "true" resistance
- Filters out random lines connecting arbitrary highs
- Increases trade quality
**When to Enable**:
- High-volatility markets with many false breakouts
- Lower timeframes (5min, 15min) where noise is common
- When win rate is too low with default settings
**Tradeoff**: Fewer signals, but higher win rate.
### 6. Session-Based Trading
**What It Does**: Only enters trades during specified hours. Auto-closes all positions outside session.
**Use Cases**:
- **Day Trading**: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM (avoid overnight gaps)
- **European Hours**: 8:00 AM - 5:00 PM CET (trade London session)
- **Crypto**: 24/7 trading or focus on US hours for liquidity
**Risk Management**: Prevents holding positions through high-impact news events or market closes.
---
## Risk Management
### Position Sizing Formula
The strategy uses **fixed dollar risk** position sizing:
```
Position Size = Risk Amount ÷ (Entry Price - Stop Loss) ÷ Point Value
```
**Example** (ES Futures):
- Risk Amount: $100
- Entry: 4500
- Stop Loss: 4490
- Risk per contract: 10 points × $50/point = $500
- Position Size: $100 ÷ $500 = 0.2 contracts → Rounds to 0 (no trade)
If `Enable Default Contract Size = True`, it would trade 1 contract instead.
### Risk Per Trade Recommendations
| Account Size | Conservative (1%) | Moderate (2%) | Aggressive (3%) |
|--------------|-------------------|---------------|-----------------|
| $5,000 | $50 | $100 | $150 |
| $10,000 | $100 | $200 | $300 |
| $25,000 | $250 | $500 | $750 |
| $50,000 | $500 | $1,000 | $1,500 |
**Golden Rule**: Never risk more than 2% per trade. Even with 10 losses in a row, you'd only be down 20%.
### Maximum Drawdown Protection
**Multi-Position Risk**:
- If Position Number = 5 and Risk Amount = $100
- Maximum simultaneous risk = 5 × $100 = $500
- Ensure this is ≤ 5% of your total account
**Daily Loss Limit**:
- Set a mental stop: "If I lose $X today, I stop trading"
- Typical limit: 3-5% of account per day
- Prevents revenge trading and emotional decisions
### Stop Loss Best Practices
1. **Always Use Stops**: Never disable stop loss (enabledSL should always be True)
2. **Buffer in Volatile Markets**: Add 5-10 tick buffer to avoid stop hunts
3. **Respect Your Stops**: Don't manually override or move stops further away
4. **Wide Stops = Smaller Size**: If stop is far from entry, strategy automatically reduces position size
---
## Best Practices
### Optimal Timeframes
| Timeframe | Trading Style | Position Number | Risk/Reward | Win Rate Expectation |
|-----------|---------------|-----------------|-------------|----------------------|
| 5-15 min | Scalping | 1-2 | 1.5:1 | 50-55% |
| 30 min - 1H | Intraday | 2-3 | 2:1 | 55-60% |
| 4H | Swing Trading | 3-5 | 2.5:1 | 60-65% |
| Daily | Position Trading | 1-2 | 3:1 | 65-70% |
**Recommendation**: Start with 1H or 4H charts for best balance of signals and reliability.
### Ideal Market Conditions
**Best Performance**:
- Strong trending markets (bull runs, clear directional bias)
- After consolidation breakouts
- Post-earnings or news catalysts driving sustained moves
- Liquid markets with tight spreads
**Avoid or Reduce Risk**:
- Choppy, sideways-ranging markets
- Low-volume periods (holidays, overnight sessions)
- High-impact news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings)
- Extreme volatility (VIX > 30)
### Backtesting Recommendations
Before going live:
1. **Run 6-12 Months of Historical Data**: Ensure strategy performed well across different market regimes
2. **Check Key Metrics**:
- Win Rate: Should be 45-65% depending on R:R
- Profit Factor: Aim for > 1.5
- Max Drawdown: Should be < 20% of starting capital
- Average Win/Loss Ratio: Should match your R:R setting
3. **Stress Test**: Test during known volatile periods (March 2020, Jan 2022, etc.)
4. **Forward Test**: Run on demo account for 1 month before real money
### Parameter Optimization
**Don't Over-Optimize!** Avoid curve-fitting to past data. Instead:
1. **Start with Defaults**: Use recommended settings first
2. **Change One Parameter at a Time**: Isolate what improves performance
3. **Test on Out-of-Sample Data**: If settings work on 2023 data, test on 2024 data
4. **Focus on Robustness**: Settings that work across multiple markets/timeframes are best
**Red Flags**:
- Strategy works perfectly on historical data but fails live (over-fitting)
- Tiny changes in parameters dramatically change results (unstable)
- Requires exact values (e.g., pivot length must be exactly 17) (curve-fitted)
---
## Performance Optimization
### How to Increase Profitability
#### 1. Optimize Risk/Reward Ratio
- **Current**: 1.5:1 (default)
- **Test**: 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1
- **Impact**: Higher R:R = bigger wins but lower win rate
- **Sweet Spot**: Usually 2:1 to 2.5:1 for trend strategies
#### 2. Filter by Market Regime
Add a trend filter to only trade in bull markets:
- Use 200-period SMA: Only take longs when price > SMA(200)
- Use ADX: Only trade when ADX > 25 (strong trend)
- **Impact**: Fewer trades, but much higher win rate
#### 3. Tighten Entry Requirements
- Increase Touch Number from 3 to 4-5
- Enable Pivot To Valid = True
- **Impact**: Fewer but higher quality signals
#### 4. Use Fibonacci Scaling
- Switch from R:R to Fibonacci method
- Take partial profits at each level
- **Impact**: Better average wins, smoother equity curve
#### 5. Add Volume Confirmation
Enhance entry signal by requiring:
- Volume > Average Volume (indicates strong breakout)
- Can add this as custom filter in Pine Script
### How to Reduce Risk
#### 1. Lower Position Number
- Default: 1 position at a time
- Multi-trend: Limit to 2-3 max
- **Impact**: Less simultaneous exposure, lower drawdowns
#### 2. Reduce Risk Amount
- Start with $50 per trade (0.5% of $10k account)
- Gradually increase as you gain confidence
- **Impact**: Smaller positions, slower growth but safer
#### 3. Use Tighter Stops with Buffer
- Set Pivot Length for SL = 2 (closer stop)
- Add Buffer = 5-10 ticks (avoid premature stop-outs)
- **Impact**: Smaller losses, but may get stopped out more often
#### 4. Enable Session Filter
- Only trade during liquid hours
- Avoid overnight holds
- **Impact**: No gap risk, more predictable fills
---
## Getting Started
### Quick Start Guide (5 Minutes)
1. **Copy the Strategy Code**
- Open the `.txt` file provided
- Copy all code to clipboard
2. **Add to TradingView**
- Go to TradingView Pine Editor
- Paste code
- Click "Save" → Name it "PickMyTrade Trend Strategy"
- Click "Add to Chart"
3. **Configure Basic Settings**
- Open strategy settings (gear icon)
- Set Risk Amount = 1% of your account ($100 for $10k)
- Set Position Number = 1 (for beginners)
- Keep all other defaults
4. **Backtest on Your Market**
- Choose your instrument (ES, NQ, AAPL, BTC, etc.)
- Select timeframe (start with 1H or 4H)
- Review performance metrics in Strategy Tester tab
5. **Optimize (Optional)**
- Adjust Touch Number (2-5) to balance signals vs. quality
- Try different TP methods (R:R vs. Fibonacci)
- Test on multiple timeframes
6. **Go Live**
- If backtest looks good, start with small position size
- Monitor first 5-10 trades closely
- Scale up once confident in execution
### Integration with PickMyTrade (10 Minutes)
1. **Sign Up for PickMyTrade**
- Visit (pickmytrade.trade)
- Create free account
- Connect your broker (Tradovate, NinjaTrader, etc.)
2. **Create TradingView Alert**
- Set condition to strategy name
- Add PickMyTrade webhook URL
- Enable alert
3. **Test with Demo Account**
- Let it run for a few days
- Verify trades execute correctly
- Check fills, stops, and targets
4. **Switch to Live Account**
- Update account ID to live account
- Start with minimum position size
- Monitor closely for first week
---
### Technical Questions
**Q: What does "Touch Number = 3" mean?**
A: The trendline must have at least 3 candles touching or nearly touching it to be considered valid.
**Q: Why am I getting no trades?**
A: Trendline requirements may be too strict. Try:
- Reduce Touch Number to 2
- Increase Valid Percentage to 0.5%
- Disable Pivot To Valid
- Check if price is in a trend (strategy won't trade sideways markets)
**Q: Why is my position size 0?**
A: Risk Amount is too small for the stop distance. Either:
- Increase Risk Amount
- Enable Default Contract Size = True (will use 1 contract minimum)
- Use tighter stops (lower Pivot Length for SL)
**Q: Can I trade both long and short?**
A: Current code is long-only. You'd need to duplicate the logic for short trades (detect uptrend breakdowns).
**Q: How do I change from TradingView strategy to indicator?**
A: Change line 5 from `strategy(...)` to `indicator(...)`. Replace `strategy.entry()` and `strategy.exit()` with `alert()` calls.
### Risk Management Questions
**Q: What's the maximum drawdown I should expect?**
A: Typically 10-20% depending on settings. If experiencing > 25%, reduce position size or tighten filters.
**Q: Should I risk more to make more money?**
A: No. Risking 2% vs. 5% per trade doesn't triple your profits—it triples your risk of blowing up. Stick to 1-2% per trade.
**Q: What if I hit 5 losses in a row?**
A: Normal. Even with 60% win rate, losing streaks happen. Don't increase position size to "win it back." Stick to your risk plan.
**Q: Do I need to watch the screen all day?**
A: No, especially with PickMyTrade automation. Check positions 1-2 times per day. Overtrading kills profits.
---
## Disclaimer
**Important Risk Disclosure**:
Trading futures, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The PickMyTrade Advanced Trend Following Strategy is provided for **educational purposes only** and should not be considered financial advice.
**Key Risks**:
- You can lose more than your initial investment
- Backtested results may not reflect live trading performance
- Market conditions change; no strategy works forever
- Automation errors can occur (connectivity, bugs, etc.)
**Before Trading**:
- Consult a licensed financial advisor
- Fully understand the strategy logic
- Test on demo account for at least 1 month
- Only risk capital you can afford to lose
- Start with minimum position sizes
**PickMyTrade**:
This strategy is compatible with PickMyTrade but is not officially endorsed by PickMyTrade. The author is not affiliated with PickMyTrade. For PickMyTrade support, visit their official website.
**License**: This strategy is open-source under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). You may modify and share, but not for commercial use.
---
**Ready to automate your trading with PickMyTrade? Add this strategy to your TradingView chart today and start capturing profitable trend breakouts on autopilot!**
🎯 Wyckoff Order Block Entry System🎯 Wyckoff Order Block Entry System
📝 INDICATOR DESCRIPTION
🎯 Wyckoff Order Block Entry System Short Description:
Professional institutional zone trading combined with Wyckoff methodology. Identifies high-probability entries where smart money meets classic price action patterns.
Full Description:
Wyckoff Order Block Entry System is a precision trading tool that combines two powerful concepts:
Order Blocks - Institutional zones where large players place their orders
Wyckoff Method - Classic price action patterns revealing smart money behavior
🎯 What Makes This Different?
Unlike traditional indicators that flood your chart with signals, this system only triggers entries when BOTH conditions are met:
Price enters an institutional Order Block zone (current timeframe OR higher timeframe)
A Wyckoff pattern occurs (Spring, SOS, Upthrust, or SOW)
This dual-confirmation approach ensures you're trading with institutional flow at optimal entry points.
📊 Key Features:
✅ Order Block Detection
Automatically identifies institutional buying/selling zones
Current timeframe order blocks (solid lines)
Higher timeframe order blocks (dashed lines) for stronger zones
Customizable strength and extension settings
✅ 4 Wyckoff Entry Patterns
SPRING (Bullish Reversal): Fake breakdown below support → Quick recovery
SOS (Sign of Strength): Strong bullish candle after accumulation
UPTHRUST (Bearish Reversal): Fake breakout above resistance → Quick rejection
SOW (Sign of Weakness): Strong bearish candle after distribution
✅ Clean Visual Design
Minimalist approach - only essential information
Color-coded zones (Green = Bullish, Red = Bearish, Cyan/Magenta = HTF)
Clear entry signals with pattern type labels
No chart clutter - focus on what matters
✅ Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Integrates higher timeframe order blocks
HTF signals marked with "+HTF" tag for extra confidence
Fully customizable HTF selection (H1, H4, Daily, etc.)
✅ Smart Alerts
Entry signal alerts (Long/Short)
Order block formation alerts
HTF order block alerts
Customizable alert messages
💡 How To Use:
Setup: Add indicator to your chart, configure HTF timeframe (default H1)
Wait: Let order blocks form (green/red boxes appear)
Watch: Price returns to order block zone
Entry: Signal appears when Wyckoff pattern confirms
Trade: Enter with the signal, stop below/above order block
📈 Best For:
Forex pairs (all majors and crosses)
Gold (XAUUSD)
Crypto (BTC, ETH, etc.)
Indices (SPX, NAS100, etc.)
Stocks
Commodities
⏱️ Recommended Timeframes:
M15 for scalping
M30 for day trading
H1 for swing trading
H4 for position trading
🎯 Win Rate Expectations:
Current TF signals: 60-70%
HTF signals (+HTF tag): 70-80%
Spring/Upthrust patterns: Highest probability
Works on ALL liquid markets
⚙️ Customizable Settings:
Order block detection parameters
HTF timeframe selection
Wyckoff sensitivity (swing length, volume threshold)
Zone extension duration
Color schemes
📚 Trading Strategy:
This indicator works best when:
Trading in the direction of higher timeframe trend
Using proper risk management (1-2% per trade)
Placing stops just outside order block zones
Taking profits at opposite order blocks
Focusing on HTF signals for higher quality
🔒 Risk Management:
Always use stop losses! Recommended placement:
LONG: 10-20 pips below order block
SHORT: 10-20 pips above order block
Target: Minimum 1:2 risk/reward ratio
💎 Why Traders Love This System:
"Finally, an indicator that doesn't spam my chart with useless signals!" - The quality-over-quantity approach means you only get high-probability setups.
"The HTF order blocks changed my trading!" - Multi-timeframe analysis built-in removes the need for manual higher timeframe checks.
"Wyckoff + Order Blocks = Perfect combination!" - Two proven concepts working together create powerful confluence.
📊 Universal Application:
This system works on ANY liquid market with sufficient volume:
✅ Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, etc.)
✅ Commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil, etc.)
✅ Indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ, DAX, etc.)
✅ Cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.)
✅ Stocks (Large cap with good liquidity)
🎓 Educational Value:
Beyond just signals, this indicator teaches you:
How institutional traders think
Where smart money places orders
Classic Wyckoff accumulation/distribution patterns
Multi-timeframe analysis techniques
⚡ Performance:
Lightning-fast calculations
No repainting
Real-time signal generation
Clean code, optimized for speed
🚀 Get Started:
Add to your favorite chart
Adjust HTF timeframe to match your trading style
Wait for high-quality signals
Trade with confidence
Remember: Quality beats quantity. This system prioritizes precision over frequency. You might see 2-5 signals per day on M30 - and that's exactly the point. Each signal is carefully filtered for maximum probability.
Ready to trade like institutions?
👉 Add this indicator to your chart now
👉 Configure your preferred HTF timeframe
👉 Start catching high-probability setups
👉 Trade smarter, not harder
Questions or feedback? Drop a comment below!
Found this useful? Hit that ⭐ button and share with fellow traders!
Happy Trading! 🚀📈
VWAP + Volume Spikes See Where Smart Money ExhaustsVolume tells the truth. VWAP tells the bias. This script shows both — live.
If you trade intraday momentum, reversals, or liquidity sweeps, this indicator is built for you.
It shows where volume spikes hit extreme levels, anchored around VWAP and its dynamic bands, so you can instantly spot capitulation or hidden absorption.
🎯 What This Indicator Does
✅ Plots VWAP — session-anchored, updates automatically
✅ Adds dynamic VWAP bands — standard deviation envelopes showing volatility context
✅ Highlights volume spikes — colored candles + background for abnormal prints
✅ Includes alerts — “Volume Spike”, “VWAP Cross”, or a combined alert with direction
✅ Clean visual design — instantly readable in fast markets
It’s your visual orderflow radar — whether you’re trading gold, indices, or small caps.
🔍 Why It Works
Institutions build and unwind positions around VWAP.
Retail often chases volume… this script shows you when that volume becomes too extreme.
A spike above VWAP near resistance? → Likely distribution.
A spike below VWAP near support? → Likely capitulation.
Combine volume exhaustion + VWAP context, and you’ll see market turning points form before most indicators react.
⚙️ Inputs You Can Tune
Bands lookback: adjusts how reactive the VWAP bands are
Band width (σ): set how tight or wide your deviation envelope is
Volume baseline length: controls how “abnormal” a spike must be
Spike threshold: multiplier vs. average volume
Toggle color-coding, bands, and labels
Default settings work well across 1m–15m intraday charts and 1h–4h swing frames.
💡 How Traders Use It
1️⃣ Fade Parabolics:
When a green spike candle pierces upper VWAP band on high volume → smart money unloading.
Look for rejection and short into VWAP.
2️⃣ Catch Capitulations:
When a red spike candle dumps below lower VWAP band → panic selling.
Watch for stabilization and long back to VWAP.
3️⃣ VWAP Rotation Plays:
Alerts for price crossing VWAP help you spot shift in intraday control.
Above VWAP = buyers in charge.
Below VWAP = sellers in charge.
🧠 Best Practices
Pair it with Volume Profile or Delta/Flow tools to confirm exhaustion.
Don’t chase — wait for spike confirmation + reversal candle.
Use it on liquid tickers (NASDAQ, SPY, GOLD, BTC, etc.).
Great for Dux-style small-cap shorts or index pullbacks.
🔔 Alerts Ready
Choose from:
Volume Spike (single-bar explosion)
VWAP Cross Up/Down (trend shift confirmation)
One Combined Alert (any signal, includes ticker, price, and volume)
Set once — get real-time push notifications, Telegram, or webhook signals.
📊 My Favorite Setups
US100 / NASDAQ: fade rallies above VWAP + spike
Gold / Silver: trade reversals from VWAP bands
Small caps: short back-side after volume climax
ES, DAX, Oil: scalp VWAP rotation with confluence
❤️ Support This Work
I release free and premium scripts weekly — combining smart money concepts, VWAP tools, and volume analytics.
👉 Follow me on TradingView for more indicators and setups.
👉 Comment “🔥” if you want me to post the multi-timeframe VWAP + Volume Pressure version next.
👉 Share this with your team — it helps the community grow.
Range Oscillator Strategy + Stoch Confirm🔹 Short summary
This is a free, educational long-only strategy built on top of the public “Range Oscillator” by Zeiierman (used under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0), combined with a Stochastic timing filter, an EMA-based exit filter and an optional risk-management layer (SL/TP and R-multiple exits). It is NOT financial advice and it is NOT a magic money machine. It’s a structured framework to study how range-expansion + momentum + trend slope can be combined into one rule-based system, often with intentionally RARE trades.
────────────────────────
0. Legal / risk disclaimer
────────────────────────
• This script is FREE and public. I do not charge any fee for it.
• It is for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
• It is NOT financial advice and does NOT guarantee profits.
• Backtest results can be very different from live results.
• Markets change over time; past performance is NOT indicative of future performance.
• You are fully responsible for your own trades and risk.
Please DO NOT use this script with money you cannot afford to lose. Always start in a demo / paper trading environment and make sure you understand what the logic does before you risk any capital.
────────────────────────
1. About default settings and risk (very important)
────────────────────────
The script is configured with the following defaults in the `strategy()` declaration:
• `initial_capital = 10000`
→ This is only an EXAMPLE account size.
• `default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity`
• `default_qty_value = 100`
→ This means 100% of equity per trade in the default properties.
→ This is AGGRESSIVE and should be treated as a STRESS TEST of the logic, not as a realistic way to trade.
TradingView’s House Rules recommend risking only a small part of equity per trade (often 1–2%, max 5–10% in most cases). To align with these recommendations and to get more realistic backtest results, I STRONGLY RECOMMEND you to:
1. Open **Strategy Settings → Properties**.
2. Set:
• Order size: **Percent of equity**
• Order size (percent): e.g. **1–2%** per trade
3. Make sure **commission** and **slippage** match your own broker conditions.
• By default this script uses `commission_value = 0.1` (0.1%) and `slippage = 3`, which are reasonable example values for many crypto markets.
If you choose to run the strategy with 100% of equity per trade, please treat it ONLY as a stress-test of the logic. It is NOT a sustainable risk model for live trading.
────────────────────────
2. What this strategy tries to do (conceptual overview)
────────────────────────
This is a LONG-ONLY strategy designed to explore the combination of:
1. **Range Oscillator (Zeiierman-based)**
- Measures how far price has moved away from an adaptive mean.
- Uses an ATR-based range to normalize deviation.
- High positive oscillator values indicate strong price expansion away from the mean in a bullish direction.
2. **Stochastic as a timing filter**
- A classic Stochastic (%K and %D) is used.
- The logic requires %K to be below a user-defined level and then crossing above %D.
- This is intended to catch moments when momentum turns up again, rather than chasing every extreme.
3. **EMA Exit Filter (trend slope)**
- An EMA with configurable length (default 70) is calculated.
- The slope of the EMA is monitored: when the slope turns negative while in a long position, and the filter is enabled, it triggers an exit condition.
- This acts as a trend-protection exit: if the medium-term trend starts to weaken, the strategy exits even if the oscillator has not yet fully reverted.
4. **Optional risk-management layer**
- Percentage-based Stop Loss and Take Profit (SL/TP).
- Risk/Reward (R-multiple) exit based on the distance from entry to SL.
- Implemented as OCO orders that work *on top* of the logical exits.
The goal is not to create a “holy grail” system but to serve as a transparent, configurable framework for studying how these concepts behave together on different markets and timeframes.
────────────────────────
3. Components and how they work together
────────────────────────
(1) Range Oscillator (based on “Range Oscillator (Zeiierman)”)
• The script computes a weighted mean price and then measures how far price deviates from that mean.
• Deviation is normalized by an ATR-based range and expressed as an oscillator.
• When the oscillator is above the **entry threshold** (default 100), it signals a strong move away from the mean in the bullish direction.
• When it later drops below the **exit threshold** (default 30), it can trigger an exit (if enabled).
(2) Stochastic confirmation
• Classic Stochastic (%K and %D) is calculated.
• An entry requires:
- %K to be below a user-defined “Cross Level”, and
- then %K to cross above %D.
• This is a momentum confirmation: the strategy tries to enter when momentum turns up from a pullback rather than at any random point.
(3) EMA Exit Filter
• The EMA length is configurable via `emaLength` (default 70).
• The script monitors the EMA slope: it computes the relative change between the current EMA and the previous EMA.
• If the slope turns negative while the strategy holds a long position and the filter is enabled, it triggers an exit condition.
• This is meant to help protect profits or cut losses when the medium-term trend starts to roll over, even if the oscillator conditions are not (yet) signalling exit.
(4) Risk management (optional)
• Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP):
- Defined as percentages relative to average entry price.
- Both are disabled by default, but you can enable them in the Inputs.
• Risk/Reward Exit:
- Uses the distance from entry to SL to project a profit target at a configurable R-multiple.
- Also optional and disabled by default.
These exits are implemented as `strategy.exit()` OCO orders and can close trades independently of oscillator/EMA conditions if hit first.
────────────────────────
4. Entry & Exit logic (high level)
────────────────────────
A) Time filter
• You can choose a **Start Year** in the Inputs.
• Only candles between the selected start date and 31 Dec 2069 are used for backtesting (`timeCondition`).
• This prevents accidental use of tiny cherry-picked windows and makes tests more honest.
B) Entry condition (long-only)
A long entry is allowed when ALL the following are true:
1. `timeCondition` is true (inside the backtest window).
2. If `useOscEntry` is true:
- Range Oscillator value must be above `entryLevel`.
3. If `useStochEntry` is true:
- Stochastic condition (`stochCondition`) must be true:
- %K < `crossLevel`, then %K crosses above %D.
If these filters agree, the strategy calls `strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)`.
C) Exit condition (logical exits)
A position can be closed when:
1. `timeCondition` is true AND a long position is open, AND
2. At least one of the following is true:
- If `useOscExit` is true: Oscillator is below `exitLevel`.
- If `useMagicExit` (EMA Exit Filter) is true: EMA slope is negative (`isDown = true`).
In that case, `strategy.close("Long")` is called.
D) Risk-management exits
While a position is open:
• If SL or TP is enabled:
- `strategy.exit("Long Risk", ...)` places an OCO stop/limit order based on the SL/TP percentages.
• If Risk/Reward exit is enabled:
- `strategy.exit("RR Exit", ...)` places an OCO order using a projected R-multiple (`rrMult`) of the SL distance.
These risk-based exits can trigger before the logical oscillator/EMA exits if price hits those levels.
────────────────────────
5. Recommended backtest configuration (to avoid misleading results)
────────────────────────
To align with TradingView House Rules and avoid misleading backtests:
1. **Initial capital**
- 10 000 (or any value you personally want to work with).
2. **Order size**
- Type: **Percent of equity**
- Size: **1–2%** per trade is a reasonable starting point.
- Avoid risking more than 5–10% per trade if you want results that could be sustainable in practice.
3. **Commission & slippage**
- Commission: around 0.1% if that matches your broker.
- Slippage: a few ticks (e.g. 3) to account for real fills.
4. **Timeframe & markets**
- Volatile symbols (e.g. crypto like BTCUSDT, or major indices).
- Timeframes: 1H / 4H / **1D (Daily)** are typical starting points.
- I strongly recommend trying the strategy on **different timeframes**, for example 1D, to see how the behaviour changes between intraday and higher timeframes.
5. **No “caution warning”**
- Make sure your chosen symbol + timeframe + settings do not trigger TradingView’s caution messages.
- If you see warnings (e.g. “too few trades”), adjust timeframe/symbol or the backtest period.
────────────────────────
5a. About low trade count and rare signals
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This strategy is intentionally designed to trade RARELY:
• It is **long-only**.
• It uses strict filters (Range Oscillator threshold + Stochastic confirmation + optional EMA Exit Filter).
• On higher timeframes (especially **1D / Daily**) this can result in a **low total number of trades**, sometimes WELL BELOW 100 trades over the whole backtest.
TradingView’s House Rules mention 100+ trades as a guideline for more robust statistics. In this specific case:
• The **low trade count is a conscious design choice**, not an attempt to cherry-pick a tiny, ultra-profitable window.
• The goal is to study a **small number of high-conviction long entries** on higher timeframes, not to generate frequent intraday signals.
• Because of the low trade count, results should NOT be interpreted as statistically strong or “proven” – they are only one sample of how this logic would have behaved on past data.
Please keep this in mind when you look at the equity curve and performance metrics. A beautiful curve with only a handful of trades is still just a small sample.
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6. How to use this strategy (step-by-step)
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1. Add the script to your chart.
2. Open the **Inputs** tab:
- Set the backtest start year.
- Decide whether to use Oscillator-based entry/exit, Stochastic confirmation, and EMA Exit Filter.
- Optionally enable SL, TP, and Risk/Reward exits.
3. Open the **Properties** tab:
- Set a realistic account size if you want.
- Set order size to a realistic % of equity (e.g. 1–2%).
- Confirm that commission and slippage are realistic for your broker.
4. Run the backtest:
- Look at Net Profit, Max Drawdown, number of trades, and equity curve.
- Remember that a low trade count means the statistics are not very strong.
5. Experiment:
- Tweak thresholds (`entryLevel`, `exitLevel`), Stochastic settings, EMA length, and risk params.
- See how the metrics and trade frequency change.
6. Forward-test:
- Before using any idea in live trading, forward-test on a demo account and observe behaviour in real time.
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7. Originality and usefulness (why this is more than a mashup)
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This script is not intended to be a random visual mashup of indicators. It is designed as a coherent, testable strategy with clear roles for each component:
• Range Oscillator:
- Handles mean vs. range-expansion states via an adaptive, ATR-normalized metric.
• Stochastic:
- Acts as a timing filter to avoid entering purely on extremes and instead waits for momentum to turn.
• EMA Exit Filter:
- Trend-slope-based safety net to exit when the medium-term direction changes against the position.
• Risk module:
- Provides practical, rule-based exits: SL, TP, and R-multiple exit, which are useful for structuring risk even if you modify the core logic.
It aims to give traders a ready-made **framework to study and modify**, not a black box or “signals” product.
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8. Limitations and good practices
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• No single strategy works on all markets or in all regimes.
• This script is long-only; it does not short the market.
• Performance can degrade when market structure changes.
• Overfitting (curve fitting) is a real risk if you endlessly tweak parameters to maximise historical profit.
Good practices:
- Test on multiple symbols and timeframes.
- Focus on stability and drawdown, not only on how high the profit line goes.
- View this as a learning tool and a basis for your own research.
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9. Licensing and credits
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• Core oscillator idea & base code:
- “Range Oscillator (Zeiierman)”
- © Zeiierman, licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
• Strategy logic, Stochastic confirmation, EMA Exit Filter, and risk-management layer:
- Modifications by jokiniemi.
Please respect both the original license and TradingView House Rules if you fork or republish any part of this script.
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10. No payments / no vendor pitch
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• This script is completely FREE to use on TradingView.
• There is no paid subscription, no external payment link, and no private signals group attached to it.
• If you have questions, please use TradingView’s comment system or private messages instead of expecting financial advice.
Use this script as a tool to learn, experiment, and build your own understanding of markets.
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11. Example backtest settings used in screenshots
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To avoid any confusion about how the results shown in screenshots were produced, here is one concrete example configuration:
• Symbol: BTCUSDT (or similar major BTC pair)
• Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
• Backtest period: from 2018 to the most recent data
• Initial capital: 10 000
• Order size type: Percent of equity
• Order size: 2% per trade
• Commission: 0.1%
• Slippage: 3 ticks
• Risk settings: Stop Loss and Take Profit disabled by default, Risk/Reward exit disabled by default
• Filters: Range Oscillator entry/exit enabled, Stochastic confirmation enabled, EMA Exit Filter enabled
If you change any of these settings (symbol, timeframe, risk per trade, commission, slippage, filters, etc.), your results will look different. Please always adapt the configuration to your own risk tolerance, market, and trading style.
Auto Fibonacci RetraceNOTE: This script is for educational purposes only.
This Pine Script v6 indicator automates the drawing of Fibonacci retracement levels on a TradingView chart based on detected pivot highs and lows. It's designed to identify the most recent swing points in a price trend and plot horizontal lines at standard Fibonacci ratios (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 100%), along with optional labels for each level. The script is useful for traders who want dynamic, hands-free Fib retracements that update as new pivots form, helping to spot potential support/resistance zones without manual intervention.
Key Features
Automatic Pivot Detection: Uses TradingView's built-in ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions to find recent swing highs and lows. The sensitivity is adjustable via user inputs for "Left Bars" and "Right Bars" (default: 5 each), which define how many bars are checked on either side to confirm a pivot.
Trend Direction Awareness: Determines if the current swing is an uptrend (recent high after low) or downtrend (recent low after high) and orients the Fib levels accordingly—starting from the low in uptrends or high in downtrends.
Dynamic Drawing:
Plots dashed horizontal lines extending to the right of the chart for each Fib level.
Colors are predefined for visual distinction (e.g., blue for 23.6%, orange for 61.8%).
Lines and labels are cleared and redrawn only when a new pivot is detected or on initial load to prevent chart clutter.
Customizable Labels: Optional labels show the percentage (e.g., "61.8%") and can be positioned on the "Left" (at the swing start) or "Right" (pinned to the current bar, updating dynamically). Labels use semi-transparent backgrounds for readability.
Performance Optimizations: Uses arrays to manage lines and labels efficiently, with reverse-indexed loops for safe deletion. The max_bars_back=500 ensures it handles historical data without excessive computation.
User Inputs:
Left/Right Bars: Tune pivot detection (higher values for major trends, lower for shorter swings).
Show Fib Levels/Labels: Toggle visibility.
Label Position: "Left" or "Right" for placement flexibility.
Usage Instructions
Adding to Chart: Copy-paste into TradingView's Pine Editor, save as a new indicator, and add it to your chart via the "Indicators" menu.
Customization: Adjust inputs in the indicator settings panel. For example, set Left/Right Bars to 10 for daily charts in strong trends.
Best Practices:
Use on trending markets (e.g., stocks, forex, crypto like BTC/USD); avoid choppy sideways action.
Combine with other indicators (e.g., RSI for overbought/oversold confirmation) for better trade signals.
Test on historical data—zoom out to see how it redraws on past swings.
Limitations: Relies on pivot functions, so it may lag slightly (pivots confirm after "Right Bars"). Not a trading strategy—use for analysis only. No alerts built-in, but you can add alertcondition if extending it.
Potential Enhancements: Add extensions (e.g., 161.8%), user-defined levels, or alerts on price touches via simple modifications.
This script provides a clean, efficient way to visualize Fib retracements automatically, saving time compared to manual drawing. If you need further tweaks or integration into a full strategy, let me know!
