Multi MA MTF SandBox StrategyA moving averages SandBox strategy where you can experiment using two different moving averages (like KAMA, ALMA, HMA, JMA, VAMA and more) on different time frames to generate BUY and SELL signals, when they cross.
Great sandbox for experimenting with different moving averages and different time frames.
== How to use ==
We select two types of moving averages on two different time frames (or the same time frame):
First is the FAST moving average that should be at the same time frame or higher.
Second is the SLOW moving average that should be on the same time frame or higher.
== Buy and Sell Signals ==
When FAST moving average cross over the SLOW moving average we have a BUY signal (for LONG)
When FAST moving average cross under the SLOW moving average we have a SELL signal (for SHORT)
WARNING: Using a lower time frame than your chart time frame will result in unrealistic results in your backtesting and bar replay.
== NOTES ==
You can select BOTH, LONG, SHORT or NONE in the strategy settings.
You can also enable Stop Loss and Take Profit.
More sandboxes to come, Follow to get notified.
Like if you like and Enjoy!
Can also act as indicator by setting 'What trades should be taken' to 'NONE':
Трендовый анализ
MartingaleBecause market has random wlak but also a martingale property: after a good day, there is a higher probability that another good day will follow than a bad one.
System goes long only: it does not operate when the variation close-to-close in percentage (%) in under a certain buffer (i.e. very little movements are not considered).
There are also rules of money management in fixed percentages
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Kase Dev Stops This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
Please, use it only for learning or paper trading. Do not for real trading.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
HTF High/Low Repaint StrategyHere is an another attempt to demonstrate repainting and how to avoid them. It happened few times to me that I develop a strategy which is giving immense returns - only to realize after few forward testing that it is repainting. Sometimes, it is well disguised even during forward testing.
In this simple strategy, conditions are as below:
Buy : When a 3M bar produces high and low higher than it's previous 3M bar high, low
Sell : When a 3M bar produces high and low lower than its previous 3M bar high, low.
Default setting is : lookahead = on and offset = 0
This means current 3M bar high low is plotted for all the daily bars within this month. Which means, strategy looks ahead of time to see this 3M bar high is higher than previous 3M bar high during the start of the first daily bar. Hence, this combination leads to massive repaint.
For example, trade made on October 2nd 2018 already knows well ahead of time that price is going to go down in next 3 months:
Similarly, after 2 years on October 2nd 2020 - the strategy already knows that last 3M high is going to be breached on 7th December 2020
Solution: If you are using security for higher timeframes, safer option is always to use offset 1. Further details in the trading view script:
BUT
It may still repaint if we are passing function to security.
For example:
f_secureSecurity(_symbol, _res, _src) => security(_symbol, _res, _src , lookahead = barmerge.lookahead
This function will likely avoid any repainting with Higher timeframe if we are passing in built variables such as high, low, close, open etc. But, if we try to pass supertrend, this will not produce right results. This is because supertrend calculation in turn uses high/low/close values which do not consider the offset while calculating. Hence, even with offset 1, this will still produce issues.
Hence, the call:
= f_secureSecurity(syminfo.tickerid, derivedResolution, supertrend(3,10), offset) will again lead to massive repainting. Solution to this is to implement supertrend function and use high, low, close values derived from secureSecurity.
Quick tips to identify or be suspicious about repainting
Unbelievable results on all timeframes and all instruments with both long and short trades
Lower timeframes giving significantly higher returns on backtest when compared to higher timeframe
If these things happen, be wary about repainting and do a through check of all security function usage in your strategy.
All the best :)
PS: Apply 3-5 days resolution and see the fun. Also, WHC is one hell of a Christmas tree. Could have made immense profit in the same strategy even without repainting.
Price action strategy FOREX with amazing results
Hello, today I bring another amazing strategy for forex .
Its made of T3 moving average , combined together with a pattern rule and a specific entry time.
We take all of that and we trade it in inverse.
So what normally for long would be : close higher than the previos high and close higher than the average, we use this as a short condition. We do the same stuff for long condition.
So in the end we end up with an amazing product.
It also has a risk management inside, with a TP/SL based on % move of the price .
Let me know how it goes .
Trend-following RSI Strategy According to classical technical analysis, an RSI above 70 should signal overbought conditions and, thus, a sell-signal. Cryptocurrencies represent a whole new asset class, and they reshape the classical concepts of technical analysis. FOMO-buying can be very powerful, and coins can remain in overbought conditions enough to provide excellent opportunities for scalping trades on the upside.
Building a trend-following trading strategy based on the RSI, which is generally considered a contrarian indicator, may sound counter-intuitive. Over 200 backtests prove that this is a very interesting long-term setup.
The setup is optimized on a 4-hours time frame and trading cryptocurrencies versus USD or stable coins.
The strategy tries to catch coins on sustained uptrends to take advantage of further upside.
The strategy's buy-signal triggers when a coin has an RSI above 70 on a 4-hours time frame.
The strategy sells the coin if a profit of 6% is achieved. Alternatively, it closes the position if the RSI drops below 55, indicating a possible weakening of the trend.
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
BTC 15 minThis strategy try to catch the uptrend mainly (seems to work on BTC 15 less on others)
the aim is to get 2% in uptrend which is more easy to do then to search only for lowest
since it buy in uptrend it can risky if market change direction
there are two take profit (1% and 2% ) , you take out 50% of equity after the first 1% gain
the stop loss and re buy set 5%
so you exit after 5 % loss and re buy it again at lower price
the aim here is to do leverage trades so you can calculate your risk or lot and the leverage power you want
now set on 100% lot leverage X1
you can try any combination you want but when you do leverage trading you need to do things that the back tester of TV cannot do so well
for example if you put 100X leverage you will be liquidated at 1%
50=2%
20=5%
10=10%
5=20%
you need that your stop loss will be above the liquidation level
stop loss are shit in margin trades as they can kick you out very fast and you will lose many good trades
so I prefer 5X max 10 X trade (this bot can work by himself but i prefer to do it manually for this kind of trades.
all u need to do is to choose what risk you want to have (3% of lot? 5%, 10% or higher )
so this tool try to give you upward buy strategy that aim to get longs at upward trends (short targets that are more easy to get )
and to use leverage as way to make more profit (now bot set to no leverage )
be wise with your money :)
the bot not suppose to repaint but if you find repaint issue then let me know
buy system is based on cross of linear over modified non repainted HMA that set to 1 min (so it buy the uptrend only+ filter based on ema that try not to start cycle of buy in down traade
sell is not so important is mainly cased on percentage channel seen
trend color on Chanel not related to the buy and sell system
BuyHighSellLow - Pivot pointsAnother version of buy-high sell-low strategy. This time using pivot points.
Strategy is simple:
Buy when price closes above R1 of pivot point level
Sell when price closes below S2 of pivot point level.
Use Resolution parameter to define pivot points. Higher the resolution, longer the trade time will be. If resolution is set to same as symbol, strategy will consider Higher Timeframe Multiplier to derive pivot point resolution.
Uncheck HideBands to see bands created from pivot points.
Another Buy-High Sell-Low strategy published is using donchian channel (Link below)
Forex SWING TraderThis strategy is mainly designed for swing trading applied to FOREX.
In this case we make use of 2 moving averages but with different time frame, lets say 1h and 1 day.
When they cross above we would initially have a long trade, but in this strategy we trade it in reverse, so we would actually enter a short position.
The same for short trade.
At the same time we make use of hours for entry, so we can filter even better between the trades, and select the best possible hours for entries.
For exit we have 2 conditions : one is when we receive an opposite signal ( by default ).
The other is when a certain movement between moving averages, like lets say 1% of price movement, we will exit. This can act both as TP and SL.
Higher TF - Repainting + Limiting backtest resultsThis strategy is for illustration purpose only. Do not use this as there is massive repainting.
As usual, I was experimenting with adding different entry/exit filters to my main strategy. Thought of adding higher frame filter, picked the code for getting higher time frame supertrend from someone else's script and copied it without thinking much about it.
security(syminfo.tickerid, f_multiple_resolution(HTFMultiplier), supertrend(SupertrendMult, SupertrendPd), lookahead = true, gaps=true)
Started getting better results with this result. I was very much impressed and while trying to enhance further, I started disabling my other entry and exit filters which I generally use.
That worked pretty well without any of my other filters. Hence, thought I will forward test this on a smaller timeframe.
To my surprise, even in forward testing, i was not able to notice repainting very much. It also appeared that smaller timeframes yielded better results. (This wasn't the case with any of my strategies)
Which then prompted me to study the security function and lookahead and gap parameters. Learned that lookahead and gap when set to true will lead to massive repainting - specially if you are using higher timeframes. Hence, these parameters are not advisable to use in strategies.
Further information here: www.tradingview.com
I added three repaint options to further illustrate how security function will work:
Yes : Use security with lookahead and merge set to true
No - set lookahead false : Use security with lookahead and merge set to false
No - do not use security : Falls back to original command on current timeframe. Switch timeframe to HTF resolution to compare the difference.
Conclusion : Always set lookahead and gaps to false when using security function in strategies.
PS: Script also contains code to limit backtesting to certain days/months/years. This can be used as is in other scripts.
BBofVWAP with entry at Pivot PointThis strategy uses BB of VWAP and Pivot point to enter and exit the Long position.
settings
BB length 50
BB Source VWAP
Entry
When VWAP crossing up BB midline and price/close is above weekly PivotPoint ( you can also use Daily pivot point )
Exit
When VWAP is crossing down BB lower band
Stop Loss
Stop loss defaulted to 5%
Note : Long will position will be exited on either VWAP crossing down BB lower band or stop loss is hit - whichever comes first . Being said that some time your stop loss exit is less than 5% which saves from more losses.
Entry is based on weekly Pivot point , so any time frame below weekly will work perfect. I have tested t on 30 min , 1 HR , 4 Hr , Daily charts. Even weekly setting shows good results , that will work for long term investing style.
if you change Pivot period to Daily , chose time frames below Daily.
I also noticed this strategy mostly do not enter Long position in a down trend. Even it finds one , it will be exited with minimal loss.
Warning
For the use of educational purposes only
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Ichimoku2c This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Ichimoku Strategy
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Joseph Nemeth Heiken Ashi Renko MTF StrategyFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed. This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets.
Nemeth is a forex trader that came up with a multi-time frame heiken ashi based strategy that he showed to an older audience crowd on a speaking event video. He seems to boast about his strategy having high success results and makes an astonishing claim that looking at heiken ashi bars instead of regular candlestick bar charts can show the direction of the trend better and simpler than many other slower non-price based indicators. He says pretty much every indicator is about the same and the most important indicator is price itself. He is pessimistic about the markets and seems to think it is rigged and there is a sort of cabal that created rules to favor themselves, such as the inability of traders to hedge in one broker account, and that to win you have to take advantage of the statistics involved in the game. He believes fundamentals, chart patterns such as cup and handle and head and shoulders, and fibonacci numbers don't matter, only price matters. The foundation of his trading strategy is based around heiken ashi bars because they show a statistical pattern that can supposedly be taken advantage of by them repeating around seventy or so percent of the time, and then combines this idea with others based on the lower time frames involved.
The first step he uses is to identify the trend direction in the higher time frame(daily or 4 hourly) using the color of the heiken ashi bar itself. If it is green then take only long position after the bar completes, if it is red then take only short position. Next, on a lower time frame(1 hour or 30 minutes) look for the slope of the 20 exponential moving average to be sloping upward if going long or the slope of the ema to be sloping downward if going short(the price being above the moving average can work too if it's too hard to visualize the slope). Then look for the last heiken ashi bar, similarly to the first step, if it is green take long position, if it is red take short position. Finally the entry indicator itself will decide the entry on the lowest time frame. Nemeth recommends using MACD or CCI or possibly combine the two indicators on a 5 min or 15 min or so time frame if one does not have access to renko or range bars. If renko bars are available, then he recommends a 5 or 10 tick bar for the size(although I'm not sure if it's really possible to remove the time frame from renko bars or if 5 or 10 ticks is universal enough for everything). The idea is that renko bars paint a bar when there is price movement and it's important to have movement in the market, plus it's a simple indicator to use visually. The exit strategy is when the renko or the lowest time frame indicator used gives off an exit signal or if the above conditions of the higher time frames are not being met(he was a bit vague on this). Enter trades with only one-fifth of your capital because the other fifths will be used in case the trades go against you by applying a hedging technique he calls "zero zone recovery". He is somewhat vague about the full workings(perhaps because he uses his own software to automate his strategy) but the idea is that the second fifth will be used to hedge a trade that isn't going well after following the above, and the other fifths will be used to enter on another entry condition or if the other hedges fail also. Supposedly this helps the trader always come out with a profit in a sort of bushido-like trading tactic of never accepting defeat. Some critics argue that this is simply a ploy by software automation to boost their trade wins or to sell their product. The other argument against this strategy is that trading while the heiken ashi bar has not completed yet can jack up the backtest results, but when it comes to trading in real time, the strategy can end up repainting, so who knows if Nemeth isn't involving repainting or not, however he does mention the trades are upon completion of the bar(it came from an audience member's question). Lastly, the 3 time frames in ascending or descending fashion seem to be spaced out by about factors of 4 if you want to trade other time frames other than 5/15min,30min/1hour, or 4hour/daily(he mentioned the higher time frame should be atleast a dozen times higher than the lower time frame).
Personally I have not had luck getting the seventy+ percent accuracy that he talks about, whether in forex or other things. I made the default on renko bars to an ATR size 1 setting because it looks like the most universal option if the traditional mode box size is too hard to guess, and I made it so that you can switch between ATR and Traditional mode just in case. I don't think the strategy repaints because I think TV set a default on the multi-time frame aspects of their code to not re-paint, but I could be wrong so you might want to watch out for that. The zero zone recovery technique is included in the code but I commented it out and/or remove it because TV does not let you apply hedging properly, as far as I know. If you do use a proper hedging strategy with this, you'll find a very interesting bushido type of trading style involved with the Japanese bars that can boost profits and win rates of around possibly atleast seventy percent on every trade but unfortunately I was not able to test this part out properly because of the limitation on hedging here, and who knows if the hedging part isn't just a plot to sell his product. If his strategy does involve the repainting feature of the heiken ashi bars then it's possible he might have been preaching fools-gold but it's hard to say because he did mention it is upon completion of the bars. If you find out if this strategy works or doesn't work or find out a good setting that I somehow didn't catch, please feel free to let me know, will gladly appreciate it. We are all here to make some money!
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & High and Low Levels This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
This script shows a high and low period value.
Width - width of lines
SelectPeriod - Day or Week or Month and etc.
LookBack - Shift levels 0 - current period, 1 - previous and etc.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Guerilla Fear/Greed Index StrategyThis strategy combines NAAIM Exposure Index and the Equity Put/Call Ratio into Fear/Greed Index that oscillates between 0 and 100.
It smooths all of these values and enters a trade when Fear reaches a certain threshold and exits when Greed reaches a certain threshold.
I don't really know if this is a great indicator or not, but the results on various indexes are pretty good, especially NASDAQ:TQQQ .
Was inspired by the knowledge gained following RolandoSantos .
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Crypto ZigZag RSI strategy 15minThis strategy is designed for crypto markets like ETHUSD/T, BTCUSD/T and so on.
It works amazingly with 15 min time frames.
Its idea consists in :
We have the RSI indicator, and with it we check for the crossover with overbought and oversold levels. At the same time we have the zigzag which is made from the higher highs and the lower lows between a specific price movement in %.
For entries, they are going to be based on the crossover of rsi with overbought or oversold levels , combined together with cross over 0 line from the the zigzag.
At the same time the strategy has the posibility to go only long, only short or both.
Let me know if you have any questions.
Swing/Daytrading strategy with reversal option
Hello, today I bring a swing reversal strategy that work on all financial markets.
It uses timeframes starting from 1h, the bigger the better.
Its very dangerous because it has no stop loss, neither a take profit. Our exit condition is based on the reversal on the entry .
For entry we have 2 types : normal and reversal
Lets say we want to go long , for that we check the last CLOSE of a candle with the previos HIGH. If its higher than that, and at the same time CLOSE is bigger than the moving average, we have a long entry.
For short we have CLOSE with the previous LOW. If its lower than that and at the same time is lower than moving average, we have a short entry.
For moving average we use T3 MA
For reversal what I do, is , I take the short condition and I apply it to long, and for long I apply the short condition.
On many cases I found out it work amazingly.
I forgot to add: it also has a time entry system, so we use the best hours/sessions for entries .
Exit a trade: lets say we enter short, when we find a long condition, we close short and enter into long. Viceversa for long.
If you have any questions, let me know.
Enjoy it :)
BuyHigh-SellLow StrategyYeah. You read it right. It's not a mistake. It is buy high and sell low strategy.
Main entry condition is to buy when price hits 40 day Donchian channel top. This is combined with my other regular filters which are aligned moving average and new high/low filter and yearly high/low filter.
Exit condition can be based on two things:
Donchian channel : Set appropriate DonchianExitLength. Lower line of donchian channel acts as trailing stop.
ATR Based trailing stop : Select appropriate ATR multiplier and length.
What a surprise!! You can buy high, sell low and still make money.
BTC botI made good money on this bot in last few month so i decided to donate it to community (its from my private bot collection) design for BTC mainly . it a great bot for longs , shity for shorts :)
no security in this bot so no repaint
the key issue in any bot design is to find good low , after you just exit by take profit
the exit strategy here is based on pivot system
entry is based on Low finder script (that i put as open script )
the Take profit system is based on Adolgov script
in reality main problem now is that bot cannot utilize signal from alerts .but we are working to fix this issue with a good that will come soon
this script is to show how to create a smart non repainting strategy using take profit and finding low as the key for it success
this strategy very good for bullish assets. may not work as well when we are on bearish trend so keep this in mind if you use it
Trend Finder V2A variation of a previous indicator i made using two stochastics and a volume weighted moving average to look for trend, 10% equity used per trade at 0.1% commission
The close can be used more of a stop loss if volatility is used to take profit
EMA_cumulativeVolume_crossover[Strategy]This strategy is back test for EMA_cumulativeVolume_crossover
BUY
When ema50 crossover cumulative volume of 100 period
Exit
When ema50 cross down cumulative volume of 100 period
Partial Exit
for the partial profit I have used stopLoss value , but up side. When price is above partial profit and crossing down EMA 50 , exit 1/3 position
Please note when you select this setting, you see spike number of trades, that is because you closing partial number of trades. which increases the winning rate but reduces the total net profit.
Stop Loss
Defaulted to 8%
Added parameter to take LONG or SHORT trades ... on SHORT side not very good results ... you can review it and provide feedback how to improve the performance.
Short Selling
Reverse above BUY conditions
I have tested LONG trades on SPY , QQQ and AAPL on 1 Hour and 30 mins timeframes. for AAPL on DAY timeframe it shows crazy results :-)
Note
For the use of educational purposes only.
Doji swing strategyThis is a simple strategy based on Doji star candlestick
This strategy is suited for big time frames, like 4h -1Day and so on.
It places two orders: long at doji star high or previous candle high and short at doji star low or previous candle low.
It can also be applied volume average, in order to filter between trades .
This strategy works very well with high time frames like Weekly TF because it eliminates the noise in doji formation.
It also has inside a risk management made of SL/TP , or if not prefered it can exit based on a exit condition.
If you have any questions, please let me know !
