VIX vs VIX3M crossingDetects crossings between VIX and VIX3M.
VIX3M crossing below the VIX-line could be an indicator of rising panic in the market.
VIX CBOE Volatility Index
VIX vs VIX3M - TradingHoursAlertsDetects VIX vs VIX3M crossovers.
Crossovers that might happen outside rth will only be flagged if they persist into the next trading session.
DAILY ATR LEVELS AND EXPECTED MOVE LEVELSThis Pine Script code is designed to visualize ATR (Average True Range) levels and expected move levels on a chart. It provides useful inputs for customizing how these levels are displayed, such as line width, style, and color. The script is divided into several sections, each focused on a different feature:
1. User Inputs for Customization:
- Line Width and Style: Users can customize the line width, style (solid, dotted, or dashed), and color for various levels.
- Offset for Line Placement: The rightOffset input controls how far in the future the lines extend (measured in minutes).
- Show Labels: Labels can be toggled on/off for ATR levels and expected move lines, with customizable text colors.
2. ATR Levels and ATR Settings:
- The ATR length (atrLength) and the multiplier (atrMultiplier) control the calculation of ATR levels.
- The script plots ATR levels based on the daily open price, including key levels like ATR +25%, ATR +50%, etc., for both positive and negative movements.
- Line Drawing: The script dynamically creates lines for each ATR level, and the lines are customized according to the user's inputs. For each level, the line.new function is used to plot a line from the start of the day (daily open) to a point offset in the future.
- Labels: Labels are added near each ATR level to make them more identifiable, such as "ATR +25%" or "Daily Open."
3. Expected Move Calculation and Logic:
- The script calculates the expected move for the next trading session based on the previous close price and the volatility derived from the VIX (Volatility Index).
- The expected move is calculated as a percentage of the previous close and is added and subtracted from the previous close price to generate upper and lower levels.
- Volatility Adjustment: The VIX value is adjusted by the square root of 252 (the number of average trading days in a year) to calculate the daily volatility.
- Upper and Lower Lines: Lines are drawn for the expected move's upper and lower bounds, showing the potential price movement based on volatility.
4. Customizable Expected Move Lines:
- Line Style and Color: The upper and lower expected move lines can be customized in terms of width, style, and color, as specified by the user.
- Labels for Expected Move Levels: Labels are added for the upper and lower expected move lines, such as "Expected Move Upper" and "Expected Move Lower."
5. Logic for Drawing Lines:
- The script continuously evaluates whether the levels should be displayed based on the user's preferences.
- If showATRLevels or showLineEM is enabled, the script will draw the respective lines and labels on the chart.
- It uses line.new to draw the lines and label.new to position the labels at the correct levels on the chart.
6. Handling Time and Line Deletion:
- The script handles the dynamic nature of the chart by deleting previous lines (using line.delete) to avoid cluttering the chart with outdated lines.
- The time for the lines is set dynamically using the startTime and endTime variables, ensuring that lines are drawn within the correct timeframe.
Summary of Key Features:
- ATR Levels: Plots key levels of ATR, such as daily open, ATR +25%, ATR -25%, etc., with customizable colors and line styles.
- Expected Move Levels: Calculates and plots the upper and lower bounds of the expected move based on the VIX and previous close price.
- Customization Options: Users can control the appearance (line width, style, color) and whether to show labels for the ATR and expected move levels.
- Dynamic Updates: The lines and labels update dynamically throughout the trading day, adjusting based on market conditions.
Overall, this script is designed to help traders visualize volatility and potential price movement on a daily chart by providing ATR-based levels and expected move projections. It offers a high degree of customization to suit different charting preferences.
VIX CANDLESThe VIX CANDLES indicator is designed to visualize the Williams VIX Fix, a volatility measure that mimics the VIX index but applies to different financial instruments.
This indicator calculates a custom "VIX-like" value based on the highest close over a specified look-back period and plots the result as candlesticks. It also includes an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to help identify trends and potential buy/sell signals.
Williams VIX Fix Calculation: Measures volatility by comparing the current low to the highest close over the given period, then expressing the result as a percentage.
Custom Candles: The VIX Fix is displayed as a set of candlesticks where the body is colored based on whether the close is higher (green) or lower (red) than the open.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): An EMA is applied to the VIX Fix value to smooth the data and identify trend changes. The EMA's length is customizable.
Trade Direction Labels: Labels are plotted when the VIX Fix crosses above or below the EMA, signaling potential buy (▽) or sell (△) opportunities.
Customization: Colors for the candlesticks and EMA, as well as the look-back period and EMA length, can be adjusted to suit your preferences.
This indicator is useful for traders looking to track volatility and identify potential trend shifts in the market. By combining the Williams VIX Fix with an EMA, it provides a more dynamic view of market conditions, helping traders spot extreme volatility and adjust their strategies accordingly.
VIX Bars [CrossTrade]In simple terms, this indicator colors your chart bars based on the VIX levels. We know that high volatility is unstainable and will naturally regress to a calmer market, therefore highlighting the bars where VIX is at extreme highs can sometimes indicate a market turning point. Consider pairing this indicator with my VIX Heatmap indicator for a complete picture of volatility.
Customizable VIX Levels: You can set your own thresholds for when the bars turn green or red. Green bars pop up when the VIX is above your set upper level (default is 30) - kind of like a heads-up that things might get bumpy. Red bars show up when the VIX dips below your lower threshold (default is 15), signaling calmer waters.
Optional Donchian Channel Filter: The Donchian Channel filter looks at the highest highs and lowest lows over your chosen period (default's 52 days) and only colors the bars if they match the filter's criteria. This adds an extra layer of confirmation that the colored bars at at a major high or low.
Visual Simplicity: The indicator keeps things visually straightforward. No cluttered screen, just colored bars telling you a story about market vibes. Alert come standard to signal those potential bottom or top bars based on the VIX being at your preferred extreme levels.
In essence, "VIX Bars" is like having a volatility radar on your chart. It doesn't make predictions, but it sure gives you a neat, color-coded heads-up on market sentiment. Great for adding an extra dimension to your analysis without getting all tangled up in complex indicators!
VIX-Heatmap [CrossTrade]The "VIX-Heatmap" is a sophisticated and informative indicator designed for traders who want to integrate volatility analysis into their trading strategy, especially focusing on the market's fear gauge, the VIX (Volatility Index). This tool is not just about plotting numbers; it's about visualizing market sentiment in a more intuitive and impactful way.
Key Features and Customization Options:
1. Primary Functionality:
At its core, the VIX-Heatmap tracks the daily closing price of the VIX. It provides a clear, line-based visualization, with the line color set to black for stark contrast and easy visibility.
2. Segmented Volatility Levels:
The indicator allows users to set multiple VIX levels: Danger Zone (super low VIX level), and Levels 1 through 5. These levels are represented as horizontal lines on the chart, offering a structured view of different volatility thresholds.
3. Customizable Thresholds:
Traders can input their preferred values for each level, tailoring the indicator to fit their perception of market risk and volatility. This customization makes the tool versatile for different trading styles and market conditions.
4. Heatmap Visualization:
The chart's background color changes based on the VIX level, creating a "heatmap" effect. This visual representation allows traders to quickly gauge the current market sentiment. The color intensity varies from white (for extremely low VIX values) through various shades of red, increasing in intensity with higher VIX levels. This gradient provides an immediate visual cue of rising or falling market anxiety.
5. Interactive Display:
The indicator includes an interactive table display at the bottom center of the chart that shows the current VIX level in large, bold text, ensuring that it catches the trader's eye.
6. Optional Background Coloring:
Users have the option to enable or disable the heatmap feature. When enabled, the chart's background reflects the VIX level with the corresponding color, enhancing the visual impact of the data.
Applications and Benefits:
The VIX-Heatmap is ideal for traders who base their decisions not only on price movements but also on market sentiment and volatility. Its color-coded heatmap approach simplifies the interpretation of the VIX data, making it accessible even to those who may not be deeply familiar with volatility indices. By offering a quick visual summary of current market fear levels, it aids in making informed decisions, especially in times of market uncertainty.
In summary, the VIX-Heatmap transforms the traditional VIX data into an interactive, visually engaging, and easy-to-interpret format.
MTF Williams Vix Market Bottoms [CryptoSea]MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator is a dynamic tool tailored for traders looking to capture market extremes with high precision. This multi-timeframe indicator leverages the concept of the Williams Vix Fix to spot potential reversals before they occur.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Provides simultaneous visibility across multiple timeframes, enabling traders to assess market conditions comprehensively from a single chart.
Advanced Volatility Detection: Utilizes a modified Vix Fix formula to highlight extreme price deviations, which often precede significant market reversals.
Customizable Settings: Offers extensive input options to tweak the lookback periods, percentile thresholds, and visibility settings, aligning with various trading strategies.
Visual Band Indicators: Features upper bands and range highs that signal potential overbought and oversold conditions, enhancing trading decision-making.
Below, you can see how the indicator performs across different timeframes, providing valuable insights into market behavior.
How it Works
Vix Fix Calculation: Determines the worst-case 'panic' sell-offs in price as a percentage of the high, capturing the emotional extremes of the market.
Statistical Bands: Employs Bollinger bands over the Vix Fix values to define normal and extreme volatility conditions.
Color-Coded Indicators: Uses color differentiation to instantly highlight when readings surpass critical upper band or range high thresholds, signaling key trading opportunities.
For instance, in the analysis provided below, notice how the indicator flags significant market moves, allowing traders to anticipate potential entry or exit points.
Application
Risk Management: Aids in identifying extreme market conditions where prices may revert, helping in effective position sizing and risk management.
Strategic Planning: Enhances strategic trading plans by identifying not only when but also where market extremes may occur, considering multiple timeframes.
Customization: Adapts seamlessly to different market environments with adjustable settings for volatility thresholds and visual display preferences.
The MTF Williams Vix Fix Indicator by is an essential tool for traders aiming to leverage market volatility for optimal entry and exit, ensuring they are well-equipped to handle market extremes with confidence.
SVMKR_VIX_Based_LevelsThe "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" script is a Pine Script indicator designed to assist intraday traders in identifying dynamic support and resistance levels based on the Volatility Index (VIX). Here's a breakdown of the script and its uses for intraday traders:
### Script Description:
1. **Data Retrieval**:
- The script fetches daily closing prices of the India VIX (volatility index) and a specified security using `request.security()`.
2. **Input Parameters**:
- Intraday traders can customize the indicator using input parameters such as the number of levels above and below the Pivot Day Close (PDC), line offset lengths, line extension options, and color and width settings for plotted lines.
3. **Plotting**:
- The script plots the PDC and VIX as hidden lines (`display=display.none`).
- Support and resistance levels are calculated based on the VIX and PDC, and plotted above and below the PDC with customizable colors and widths.
- Each level can be labeled with its corresponding price.
4. **Customization**:
- Intraday traders can choose to display or hide prices on the plotted lines.
- Colors and widths of plotted lines are customizable.
- Options to show minor and mild support levels provide additional flexibility.
5. **Labels**:
- Labels are added to indicate the PDC and the plotted levels, displaying corresponding prices if enabled.
### Uses for Intraday Traders:
1. **Dynamic Support and Resistance**: Intraday traders can benefit from dynamically adjusted support and resistance levels that respond to changes in market volatility, providing more accurate levels for trade planning.
2. **Market Sentiment Analysis**: By incorporating the VIX, a measure of market volatility and sentiment, the indicator provides insights into market sentiment, helping intraday traders gauge market mood and potential direction.
3. **Confirmation of Price Action**: The plotted support and resistance levels can serve as confirmation signals for intraday traders, helping validate trading decisions and enhance trading confidence.
4. **Adaptability to Changing Market Conditions**: Intraday traders often face rapidly changing market conditions. The indicator's ability to adapt to changes in volatility ensures that plotted levels remain relevant and responsive, aiding traders in adjusting their strategies accordingly.
5. **Trade Planning and Execution**: Intraday traders can use the plotted support and resistance levels to identify potential entry and exit points, set profit targets and stop-loss levels, and plan their trades more effectively.
Overall, the "SVMKR_VIX_Based_Levels" indicator provides intraday traders with a valuable tool for dynamic support and resistance identification, market sentiment analysis, confirmation of price action, and trade planning and execution, ultimately assisting them in making more informed and profitable trading decisions in the intraday timeframe.
VIX Statistical Sentiment Index [Nasan]** THIS IS ONLY FOR US STOCK MARKET**
The indicator analyzes market sentiment by computing the Rate of Change (ROC) for the VIX and S&P 500, visualizing the data as histograms with conditional coloring. It measures the correlation between the VIX, the specific stock, and the S&P 500, displaying the results on the chart. The reliability measure combines these correlations, offering an overall assessment of data robustness. One can use this information to gauge the inverse relationship between VIX and S&P 500, the alignment of the specific stock with the market, and the overall reliability of the correlations for informed decision-making based on the inverse relationship of VIX and price movement.
**WHEN THE VIX ROC IS ABOVE ZERO (RED COLOR) AND RASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE DOWNWARDS, WHEN THE VIX ROC IS BELOW ZERO (GREEN)AND DECREASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE UPWARDS"
Understanding the VIX Concept:
The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a widely used indicator in finance that measures the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Here are key points about the VIX:
Fear Gauge:
Often referred to as the "fear gauge," the VIX tends to rise during periods of market uncertainty or fear and fall during calmer market conditions.
Inverse Relationship with Market:
The VIX typically has an inverse relationship with the stock market. When the stock market experiences a sell-off, the VIX tends to rise, indicating increased expected volatility.
Implied Volatility:
The VIX is derived from the prices of options on the S&P 500. It represents the market's expectations for future volatility and is often referred to as "implied volatility."
Contrarian Indicator:
Extremely high VIX levels may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential market rebound. Conversely, very low VIX levels may signal complacency and a potential reversal.
VIX vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the VIX (Volatility Index) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
A negative correlation indicates an inverse relationship. When the VIX goes up, the SPX tends to go down, and vice versa.
The correlation value closer to -1 suggests a stronger inverse relationship between VIX and SPX.
Stock vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the closing price of the stock (retrieved using src1) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
This correlation helps assess how closely the stock's price movements align with the broader market represented by the S&P 500.
A positive correlation suggests that the stock tends to move in the same direction as the S&P 500, while a negative correlation indicates an opposite movement.
Reliability Measure:
Combines the squared values of the VIX vs. SPX and Stock vs. SPX correlations and takes the square root to create a reliability measure.
This measure provides an overall assessment of how reliable the correlation information is in guiding decision-making.
Interpretation:
A higher reliability measure implies that the correlations between VIX and SPX, as well as between the stock and SPX, are more robust and consistent.
One can use this reliability measure to gauge the confidence they can place in the correlations when making decisions about the specific stock based on VIX data and its correlation with the broader market.
Williams Vix Fix [CC]The Vix Fix indicator was created by Larry Williams and is one of my giant backlog of unpublished scripts which I'm going to start publishing more of. This indicator is a great synthetic version of the classic Volatility Index and can be useful in combination with other indicators to determine when to enter or exit a trade due to the current volatility. The indicator creates this synthetic version of the Volatility Index by a fairly simple formula that subtracts the current low from the highest close over the last 22 days and then divides that result by the same highest close and multiplies by 100 to turn it into a percentage. The 22-day length is used by default since there is a max of 22 trading days in a month but this formula works well for any other timeframe. By itself, this indicator doesn't generate buy or sell signals but generally speaking, you will want to enter or exit a trade when the Vix fix indicator amount spikes and you get an entry or exit signal from another indicator of your choice. Keep in mind that the colors I'm using for this indicator are only a general idea of when volatility is high enough to enter or exit a trade so green colors mean higher volatility and red colors mean low volatility. This is one of the few indicators I have written that don't recommend to buy or sell when the colors change.
This was a custom request from one of my followers so please let me know if you guys have any other script requests you want to see!
VIX Monitor [Zero54]NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
This is a simple but invaluable tool for both day traders and positional traders. VIX is about market expectations of volatility
The VIX is a very good and sound measure of risk in the markets. It gives these stock traders who are in intraday trading and short term traders an idea of whether the volatility is going up or going down in the market. They can calibrate their strategy accordingly. When the volatility is likely to shoot up sharply, the intraday traders run the risk of stop losses getting triggered quickly. Hence they can either reduce their leverage or they can widen their stop losses accordingly.
Also if you notice VIX is a very good and reliable gauge of index movement. If you plot the VIX and the Nifty movement you will see a clear negative correlation in the charts itself. Markets typically tend to peak out when the VIX is bottoming out and the markets tend to bottom out when the VIX is peaking out. This is a useful input for index trades.
You can use this simple indicator to monitor VIX real time. You can use it for short time frame intraday and also multi-hour, multi-day charts. You can also plot a moving average to gauge the VIX trend.
Also is the ability to monitor, Nifty and BankNifty the same way you are able to monitor the VIX (as explained above). The overall market moves in correlation with these main Indexes. So if you are trading a specific counter, you can also keep an eye on the index to get an idea where the counter may be going next.
The source code is open, please feel to modify or re-use as you feel it’s necessary. Any changes, improvements, bugs, please let me know.
Please like/boost this indicator and also add your comments, if you find it useful.
VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicatorhere what the indictor do !
The "VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicator" combines the Volatility Index (VIX), Average True Range (ATR), and moving averages to provide insights into market volatility.
VIX (Volatility Index):
The VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, while a lower value suggests lower volatility.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is a technical indicator that measures the average range between high and low prices over a specified period. It provides a sense of the market's volatility by considering price movements. Higher ATR values indicate greater volatility, while lower values indicate lower volatility.
Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates both an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a specific period (e.g., 50).
Moving averages smooth out price data to identify trends and potential areas of support or resistance.
Volatility Detection:
By comparing the current closing price to the EMA and SMA, the indicator determines if there is high volatility.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, it indicates potential high volatility.
Visualization:
The VIX and ATR are typically plotted on the chart, providing a visual representation of market volatility and price range.
Additionally, markers or labels may be used to highlight periods of high volatility when the current price exceeds the moving averages.
what are the VIX and ATR
Volatility Index (VIX):
Monitor the VIX value from financial platforms or market data providers. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, suggesting potential trading opportunities. Conversely, a lower VIX value indicates lower volatility, which may influence your trading strategy.
Average True Range (ATR):
Calculate the ATR manually or use charting platforms that provide ATR as an indicator.
Plot the ATR on your trading chart to visualize the range of price movements.
Determine suitable entry and exit points based on ATR values. For example, higher ATR values may indicate larger potential price swings, while lower ATR values may suggest a more stable market.
how it work
Fetching VIX Data:
The request.security function is used to fetch the daily VIX data from the "CBOE:VIX" symbol. It retrieves the closing price of the VIX for each day.
Calculating ATR:
The ta.atr function calculates the Average True Range (ATR) with a period of 14. ATR measures the average range between the high and low prices over the specified period, providing an indication of market volatility.
Calculating Moving Averages:
Two types of moving averages are calculated: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA). Both moving averages are calculated using a period of 50, but you can adjust the period as needed.
The ta.ema function calculates the Exponential Moving Average, which places greater weight on recent prices.
The ta.sma function calculates the Simple Moving Average, which gives equal weight to all prices in the period.
Identifying High Volatility:
The indicator determines if there is high volatility by comparing the current closing price to both the EMA and SMA.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, the isHighVolatility variable is set to true, indicating potential high volatility.
Plotting the Indicators:
The VIX and ATR are plotted using the plot function, assigning colors and line widths for visual differentiation.
The plotshape function is used to plot markers below the bars to indicate highly volatile periods. The isHighVolatility variable determines when the markers appear.
TTP VIX SpyTTP VIX Spy is an indicator that uses data from TVC:VIX to better time entries in the market.
The assumption used is that when the VIX is coming down from the top of its range then the risk on assets can move to the upside and when the VIX is is pushing higher there's a high likelihood or risk on assets going down.
This indicator observes the momentum of VIX using MACD. It offers two different signals both for longs and shorts: signal 1 and 2.
Signal 1 is activate when the begging of a new trend for the VIX is confirmed.
Signal 2 is activated when the VIX pulls back from an extreme value.
You can configure the parameters of the internal super trend and the look back for the slope applied to price and RSIs.
The indicator offers the following filter parameters:
- Price RSI slope: it filters signals that have RSI slope pointing in the opposite direction of the signal.
- Counter trend: it filters signals that are not counter trending super trend.
- Wide BBW: it filters signals that happen when there hasn't been high price volatility
- Price slope: it filters signals when the price is not pointing in the direction of the signal (buy: up, sell: down)
- VIX RSI filter: it filters VIX RSI values overextended. MACD can be in the right range, but sometimes RSI contradicts it. By default is OFF since it can cause false negatives.
- Working days only: it filters signals that occur in the weekend.
The colours below the price action show how the VIX momentum is changing. Transitions from red into pink and then green show how the fear is fading which tends to lead to lead to bullish moves, and the opposite when the transitions are from green to red.
Performance and initial thoughts.
I have tried VIX Spy on both BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P and it seems to offer a decent win ratio. As you can see I had to add many filter to remove bad entries and left toggles available to decide which ones you want to use.
I tried the signal in the 4H, 1H and 15min with mixed results. I tend to incline for the results in the 1H.
VIX signal offers a backtestable stream and alerts both for signals 1 and 2.
VIX HeatmapVIX HeatMap
Instructions:
- To be used with the S&P500 index (ES, SPX, SPY, any S&P ETF) as that's the input from where the CBOE calculates and measures the VIX. Can also be used with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, & Nasdaq100.
Description:
- Expected Implied Volatility regime simplified & visualized. Know if we are in a high, medium, or low volatility regime, instantly.
- Ranges from Hot to Cold: The hotter the heat-map, the higher the implied volatility and fear & vice versa.
- The VIX HeatMap, color-maps important VIX levels (7 in this case) in measuring volatility for day trading & swing trading.
Using the VIX HeatMap:
- A LOW level volatility environment: Represented by "cooler" colors (Blue & White) depicts that the level of volatility and fear is low. Percentage moves on the index level are going to be tame and less volatile more often than not. Low fear = low perceived risk.
- A MEDIUM level volatility environment: Represented by "warmer" colors (Green & Yellow) depicts that the markets are transitioning from a calmer period or from a more fearful period. Market volatility here will be higher and provide more volatile swings in price.
- A HIGH level volatility environment: Represented by "hotter" colors (Orange, Red, & Purple) depicts that the markets are very fearful at the moment and will have big swings in both directions. Historically, extreme VIX levels tend to coincide with bottoms but are in no way predictive of the exact timing as the volatile moves can continue for an extended period of time.
- Transitioning between the 7 VIX Zones: Each and every one of these specific VIX zone levels is important.
1. Extreme low: <16
2. Low: 16 to 20
3. Normal: 20 to 24
4. Medium: 24 to 28
5. Med-High: 28 to 32
6. High: 32 to 36
7. Extreme high: >36
- These VIX levels in particular measure volatility changes that have a major impact on switching between smaller time frames and measuring depths of a sell move and vice versa. Each level also behaves as its own support & resistance level in terms of taking a bit of effort to switch regimes, and aids in identifying and measuring the potential depth of pullbacks in bull markets and bounces in bear markets to reveal reversal points.
- Examples of VIX level supports depicted on the chart marked with arrows. From left to right:
1. March 10th: Markets jumped 2 volatility levels in 2 days. The fluctuations from blue to yellow to green where a sign that price action would reverse from the selloff.
2. March 28th: As soon as we move from green to the blue VIX level (<20), markets began to rally and only ended when the volatility level moved sub VIX 16 (white).
3. May 4th & 24th: Next we see the 2 dips where volatility levels went from blue to green (VIX > 20), marked bottoms and reversed higher.
4. June 1st: We see a change in VIX regime yet again into lower VIX level and markets rocket higher.
Knowing the current VIX regime is a very important tool and aid in trading, now easily visualized.
BankNifty targets using VIX Version 2Original Idea Credit: Verified Market Waves
Hi,
After watching different videos online on how to get targets of BankNifty & Nifty decided to write this small script using VIX.
Nothing great but I really like the concept of getting high and low targets for the day or weekly or monthly or yearly.
What does the script do
1. We get closing of India Vix & BankNifty and Nifty
2. We get square root of Daily (365 days) | Weekly (52) | Monthly (12) & Yearly (1)
3. We divide India Vix closing with different square root to get a decimal value.
4. We use the derived value from step 3 which is used as % to calculate high and low values on BankNifty close price.
Small explanation via below screen shot to understand how to use it.
As always it comes with source code so you can modify as per your requirement.
Hope it helps 👍
Historical VolatilityThis script calculates the historical volatility of a given market using the standard deviation of its returns over a specified lookback period.
The indicator also includes a volatility Simple Moving Average (SMA), a VIX SMA, and the VIX index as reference market.
The script uses the inputs from the user to adjust the calculation, such as lookback period, volatility SMA period, and reference market.
The Historical Volatility indicator can be a useful tool for traders and investors who want to measure the degree of variation of a market's price over time, which can help them to better understand market trends and potential risks. This script is licensed under the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which means that it can be used, modified, and distributed under the terms of this license.
LNL Simple Hedging ToolLNL Simple Hedging Tool
Simple Hedging Tool was created specifically for swing traders who struggle with hedging. This tool helps to spot the ideal moments to put the hedges on (protection of the portfolio during "high risk" times). Simple Hedging Tool will not help you when day trading. It was designed for the daily charts. It is called simple because it is pretty much self-explanatory indicator. The candles are either blue or yellow. Meaning of the colors depend on the version you are using. This tool consist of two versions:
SPX Version:
This version was designed for indexes & overall market benchmarks. In contrast with the VIX version, the SPX version is little more sophisticated since it is based on key market internals. Blue arrows above the candles? More often than not this is signalizing that the key market internals are now approaching bearish signals which means it is the best time to hedge any bullish positions. On the contrary, the yellow arrows are the good reason to lighten up of the shorts & ease off the gas pedal on any bearish outlooks.
VIX Version:
Apart from the black swan events (big market crashes) Vix usually oscillates between the daily extremes. The VIX version is based on a simple bollinger band technique which is visualized with blue & yellow arrows. Whenever the yellow arrows & candles appear, it is good time to put the hedges on & perhaps lighten up on longs.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The signals from this tool WILL NOT TELL YOU where to buy or sell! But rather when is a good time TO NOT buy or TO NOT sell. Once the signals appear it does not necessarily mean that the move is over & reversion willl happen immidiately. These signals can be flashing for days even weeks. They are not flashing for you to change the bias but rather tighten up your exposure in case your portfolio is mostly one sided.
Hope it helps.
Volatility Spike EstimatorPlots the Average True Range (ATR), its historical mean, the upper threshold for a volatility spike, and uses background color to show the likelihood of a volatility spike based on the current ATR value.
Green background indicates an increased likelihood of a volatility spike, while red background means a spike might have already occurred or be in progress.
Update: In this version, we added a short-term ATR calculation with an adjustable input parameter, shortTermATRLength. The likelihood of a volatility spike is now estimated based on the short-term ATR instead of the original ATR. This change makes the indicator more sensitive to recent market conditions and can help detect potential volatility spikes more quickly.
Cash VIX Term StructureLet’s first start with some definitions:
VIX9D: The CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index estimates the expected 9-day volatility of S&P 500® stock returns.
www.cboe.com
VIX: The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX® ) is considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of equity market volatility. The VIX Index is based on real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index (SPX) and is designed to reflect investors' consensus view of future (30-day) expected stock market volatility. The VIX Index is often referred to as the market's "fear gauge".
www.cboe.com
VIX3M: The CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index is designed to be a constant measure of 3-month implied volatility of the S&P 500® (SPX) Index options.
www.cboe.com
VIX6M: The CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 6-month volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
VIX1Y: The CBOE S&P 500 1-Year Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 1-Yeaer volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
This indicator visually displays the relationship between all the above products (short term vol vs long term vol). It also displays the current value and daily percentage change.
The shape of the term structure can tell us a lot about the market:
When the slope of the term structure is upward sloping (longer term VIX are higher than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in contango. This usually means that market is stable.
When the slope of the term structure is downward sloping (longer term VIX are lower than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in backwardation. This usually happens in periods of extreme market volatility.
Sometimes VIX9D will be higher than VIX but the rest of the curve is in contango. This means that there might be some event in the next 9 days that we need to pay attention to.
I also added a few ratios that I personally track like VIX9D/VIX, VIX/VIX3M and VIX/VIX6M.
When trading short term, I tend to focus on the front end of the curve. When trading long term, I tend to look at VIX/VIX6M.
In addition to the ratios, I added some historical parameters (lookback date can be set from the indicator’s settings) like Highest Value, Lowest Value, Percentile Rank, Average, Median and Mode.
Percentile ranks are displayed for both individual products and their ratios (that’s how I like to see them).
I hope you guys like this indicator.
Happy trading!
VIX Rule of 16There’s an interesting aspect of VIX that has to do with the number 16. (approximately the square root of the number of trading days in a year).
In any statistical model, 68.2% of price movement falls within one standard deviation (1 SD ). The rest falls into the “tails” outside of 1 SD .
When you divide any implied volatility (IV) reading (such as VIX ) by 16, the annualized number becomes a daily number
The essence of the “rule of 16.” Once you get it, you can do all sorts of tricks with it.
If the VIX is trading at 16, then one-third of the time, the market expects the S&P 500 Index (SPX) to trade up or down by more than 1% (because 16/16=1). A VIX at 32 suggests a move up or down of more than 2% a third of the time, and so on.
• VIX of 16 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 1%
• VIX of 32 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 2%
• VIX of 48 – 1/3 of the time the SPX will have a daily change of at least 3%
Market Breadth - Secondary IndicatorMarket Breath is the equilibrium between number of stocks in advance to those in a decline, in other words a method to determine the current market environment. In a positive phase bullish setups will have improved probabilities and presence, whereas in a bearish phase the opposite would be true.
The primary indicator is the main tool used to identify whether the market is favorable for bullish- or bearish setups. The secondary indicator is complementary, with the purpose to calculate the intensity of each phase. In other words, overbought or oversold conditons.
The calculations are made based on the MMFI (% of stocks above 50 DMA).
- Red Column: Value below 21 would be considered oversold, where 10 < would be extreme / capitulation.
- Green Column: Value above 72 would be considered overbought, however in a stable bullish phase would on the contrary indicate positive acceleration.
There are also prints of dots that are created around / end of these extremes, which can indicate a reversal attempt. This will be printed when there is a countertrend move in the MMFI, VIX and SPY from an extreme value.
- Red Dots: Countertrend (down expansion) from a bullish phase.
- Green Dots: Countertrend (up expansion) from a bearish phase.
- Black Dots: Countertrend (up expansion) from an extreme / deep bearish phase.
How To Use
Use the primary indicator to note whether the market is more favorable for bullish- or bearish setups. Then look at the secondary breadth indicator and note whether there are extreme numbers and take that into account with a discretionary perspective. Example In case the market is in a bearish phase, have extended to the downside for several weeks and the primary breadth indicator is bearish. But he secondary show oversold levels with reversal prints, one should consider to be more careful on short side to risk of mean reversion. In simple terms these can be used to determine whether the current market is appropriate for selected setups.
SPX Implied Probability of closing above/belowThis is a recreation of the work done by Michael Rechenthin aka "Dr.Data" from Tastytrade back in 2016 (this indicator is for SP:SPX only)
You can watch the episode where "Dr.Data", Tom and Tony go over this concept on the following link:
www.tastytrade.com
The following are my personal additions:
- ability to choose between TVC:VIX and NASDAQ:VOLI as the IV input
- ability to choose between 252 and 365 for the number of days
Note that I’m displaying 4 decimal places (#.####) to be as accurate as possible but sometimes you will see 0% or 100% displayed which means that more decimal places are needed (0% could be 0.00005% or 100% could be 99.99995%).
VIX/VOLI RatioWe all know TVC:VIX . But what is NASDAQ:VOLI ?
VOLI is basically a measure of expectations for market volatility over the next 30 calendar days as expressed by ATM options on AMEX:SPY
nations.com
So why is this VIX /VOLI ratio important? It's because it can give an important measure of options skew.
It can show the premium of OTM options (particularly puts) over ATM.
It can show if traders are interested in owning wings in AMEX:SPY
Not a lot of info can be taken by just looking at the ratio as a standalone nominal value. Plus, the ratio is noisy and spotting a clear trend can be hard.
For these reasons, I decided to code this indicator (which is best used on the Daily chart).
I added two EMA clouds, 7 and 12 and color code them with respect to their positions. If 7 > 12, cloud will be green. If 7 < 12, cloud will be red. This will give a better view of how the ratio is trending.
I then added a lookback period that can be changed from the indicator's setting (along with the fast and slow EMAs).
The lookback period will be used to get the following parameters:
- highest value
- lowest value
- 10th, 30th, 50th, 70th and 90th percentiles
- Percentile Rank
- Average, Median and Mode
Having all these values in a table will give a better idea of where the current ratio sits.
