BTC rallies - STRAT loses

Watching Strat closely..I figure if BTC continues to rally and we continue closer to full segwit activation money will flow out of some alts and into BTC . MACD might converge on the 4h, we were overbought and now starting to trend down. My signal here is the 4+8d moving average line crossing the 18d average to confirm a reversal. This might present a nice opportunity to short and/or buy low if we see the downtrend continue. Possible H&S forming too might turn a good opportunity later on as well.

Let me know your thoughts below!