Crypto MVRV ZScore - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Crypto Valuation Extremes: MVRV ZScore - Strategy " represents a cutting-edge approach to cryptocurrency trading, leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score. This metric is pivotal for identifying overvalued or undervalued conditions in the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. It assesses the current market valuation against the realized capitalization, providing insights that are not apparent through conventional analysis.
BTCUSD 6h Long/Short Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy leverages the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, specifically designed for cryptocurrencies, with a focus on Bitcoin. This metric is crucial for determining whether Bitcoin is currently undervalued or overvalued compared to its historical 'realized' price. Below is an in-depth explanation of the strategy's components and calculations.
🔶Conceptual Foundation
- Market Capitalization (MC): This represents the total dollar market value of Bitcoin's circulating supply. It is calculated as the current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation.
- Realized Capitalization (RC): Unlike MC, which values all coins at the current market price, RC is computed by valuing each coin at the price it was last moved or traded. Essentially, it is a summation of the value of all bitcoins, priced at the time they were last transacted.
- MVRV Ratio: This ratio is derived by dividing the Market Capitalization by the Realized Capitalization (The ratio of MC to RC (MVRV Ratio = MC / RC)). A ratio greater than 1 indicates that the current price is higher than the average price at which all bitcoins were purchased, suggesting potential overvaluation. Conversely, a ratio below 1 suggests undervaluation.
🔶 MVRV Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates the number of standard deviations an element is from the mean. For this strategy, the MVRV Z-Score is calculated as follows:
MVRV Z-Score = (MC - RC) / Standard Deviation of (MC - RC)
This formula quantifies Bitcoin's deviation from its 'normal' valuation range, offering insights into market sentiment and potential price reversals.
🔶 Spread Z-Score for Trading Signals
The strategy refines this approach by calculating a 'spread Z-Score', which adjusts the MVRV Z-Score over a specific period (default: 252 days). This is done to smooth out short-term market volatility and focus on longer-term valuation trends. The spread Z-Score is calculated as follows:
Spread Z-Score = (Market Z-Score - MVVR Ratio - SMA of Spread) / Standard Deviation of Spread
Where:
- SMA of Spread is the simple moving average of the spread over the specified period.
- Spread refers to the difference between the Market Z-Score and the MVRV Ratio.
🔶 Trading Signals
- Long Entry Condition: A long (buy) signal is generated when the spread Z-Score crosses above the long entry threshold, indicating that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued.
- Short Entry Condition: A short (sell) signal is triggered when the spread Z-Score falls below the short entry threshold, suggesting overvaluation.
These conditions are based on the premise that extreme deviations from the mean (as indicated by the Z-Score) are likely to revert to the mean over time, presenting opportunities for strategic entry and exit points.
█ Practical Application
Traders use these signals to make informed decisions about opening or closing positions in the Bitcoin market. By quantifying market valuation extremes, the strategy aims to capitalize on the cyclical nature of price movements, identifying high-probability entry and exit points based on historical valuation norms.
█ Trade Direction
A unique feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction. Users can specify their preference for engaging in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, market outlook, or trading style, making it adaptable to various market conditions and trader objectives.
█ Usage
To implement this strategy, traders should first adjust the input parameters to align with their trading preferences and risk management practices. These parameters include the trade direction, Z-Score calculation period, and the thresholds for long and short entries. Once configured, the strategy automatically generates trading signals based on the calculated spread Z-Score, providing clear indications for potential entry and exit points.
It is advisable for traders to backtest the strategy under different market conditions to validate its effectiveness and adjust the settings as necessary. Continuous monitoring and adjustment are crucial, as market dynamics evolve over time.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (Allows for both long and short positions)
- Z-Score Calculation Period: 252 days (Approximately one trading year, capturing a comprehensive market cycle)
- Long Entry Threshold: 0.382 (Indicative of moderate undervaluation)
- Short Entry Threshold: -0.382 (Signifies moderate overvaluation)
These default settings are designed to balance sensitivity to market valuation extremes with a pragmatic approach to trade execution. They aim to filter out noise and focus on significant market movements, providing a solid foundation for both new and experienced traders looking to exploit the unique insights offered by the MVRV Z-Score in the cryptocurrency market.
Индикаторы и стратегии
Bollinger and Stochastic with Trailing Stop - D.M.P.This trading strategy combines Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic indicator to identify entry opportunities in oversold and overbought conditions in the market. The aim is to capitalize on price rebounds from the extremes defined by the Bollinger Bands, with the confirmation of the Stochastic to maximize the probability of success of the operations.
Indicators Used
- Bollinger Bands Used to measure volatility and define oversold and overbought levels. When the price touches or breaks through the lower band, it indicates a possible oversold condition. Similarly, when it touches or breaks through the upper band, it indicates a possible overbought condition.
- Stochastic: A momentum oscillator that compares the closing price of an asset with its price range over a certain period. Values below 20 indicate oversold, while values above 80 indicate overbought.
Strategy Logic
- Long Entry (Buy): A purchase operation is executed when the price closes below the lower Bollinger band (indicating oversold) and the Stochastic is also in the oversold zone.
- Short Entry (Sell): A sell operation is executed when the price closes above the upper Bollinger band (indicating overbought) and the Stochastic is in the overbought zone.
Supertrend & CCI Strategy ScalpThis strategy is based on 2 Super Trend Indicators along with CCI .
The longer factor length gives you the current trend and the deviation in the short factor length gives us the opportunity to enter in the trade .
CCI indicator is used to determine the overbought and oversold levels.
Setup :
Long : When atrLength1 > close and atrLength2 < close and CCI < -100 we look for long trades as the longer factor length will be bullish .
Short : When atrLength1 < close and atrLength2 > close and CCI > 100 we look for short trades as the longer factor length will be bearish .
Please tune the settings according to your use .
Trade what you see not what you feel .
Please consult with your financial advisor before you deploy any real money for trading .
PresentTrend RMI Synergy - Strategy [presentTrading] █ Introduction and How it is Different
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" is the combined power of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom presentTrend indicator. This strategy introduces a multifaceted approach, integrating momentum analysis with trend direction to offer traders a more nuanced and responsive trading mechanism.
BTCUSD 6h L/S Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" intricately combines the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) and a custom SuperTrend indicator to create a powerful tool for traders.
🔶 Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The RMI is a variation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), but instead of using price closes against itself, it measures the momentum of up and down movements in price relative to previous prices over a given period. The RMI for a period length `N` is calculated as follows:
RMI = 100 - 100/ (1 + U/D)
where:
- `U` is the average upward price change over `N` periods,
- `D` is the average downward price change over `N` periods.
The RMI oscillates between 0 and 100, with higher values indicating stronger upward momentum and lower values suggesting stronger downward momentum.
RMI = 21
RMI = 42
For more information - RMI Trend Sync - Strategy :
🔶 presentTrend Indicator
The presentTrend indicator combines the Average True Range (ATR) with a moving average to determine trend direction and dynamic support or resistance levels. The presentTrend for a period length `M` and a multiplier `F` is defined as:
- Upper Band: MA + (ATR x F)
- Lower Band: MA - (ATR x F)
where:
- `MA` is the moving average of the close price over `M` periods,
- `ATR` is the Average True Range over the same period,
- `F` is the multiplier to adjust the sensitivity.
The trend direction switches when the price crosses the presentTrend bands, signaling potential entry or exit points.
presentTrend length = 3
presentTrend length = 10
For more information - PresentTrend - Strategy :
🔶 Strategy Logic
Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: Triggered when the RMI exceeds a threshold, say 60, indicating a strong bullish momentum, and when the price is above the presentTrend, confirming an uptrend.
- Short Entry: Occurs when the RMI drops below a threshold, say 40, showing strong bearish momentum, and the price is below the present trend, indicating a downtrend.
Exit Conditions with Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- Long Exit: Initiated when the price crosses below the lower presentTrend band or when the RMI falls back towards a neutral level, suggesting a weakening of the bullish momentum.
- Short Exit: Executed when the price crosses above the upper presentTrend band or when the RMI rises towards a neutral level, indicating a reduction in bearish momentum.
Equations for Dynamic Trailing Stop:
- For Long Positions: The exit price is set at the lower SuperTrend band once the entry condition is met.
- For Short Positions: The exit price is determined by the upper SuperTrend band post-entry.
These dynamic trailing stops adjust as the market moves, providing a method to lock in profits while allowing room for the position to grow.
This strategy's strength lies in its dual analysis approach, leveraging RMI for momentum insights and presentTrend for trend direction and dynamic stops. This combination offers traders a robust framework to navigate various market conditions, aiming to capture trends early and exit positions strategically to maximize gains and minimize losses.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy provides flexibility in trade direction selection, offering "Long," "Short," or "Both" options to cater to different market conditions and trader preferences. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their market outlook, risk tolerance, and trading goals.
█ Usage
To utilize the "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy," traders should input their preferred settings in the Pine Script™ and apply the strategy to their charts. Monitoring RMI for momentum shifts and adjusting positions based on SuperTrend signals can optimize entry and exit points, enhancing potential returns while managing risk.
█ Default Settings
1. RMI Length: 21
The 21-period RMI length strikes a balance between capturing momentum and filtering out market noise, offering a medium-term outlook on market trends.
2. Super Trend Length: 7
A SuperTrend length of 7 periods is chosen for its responsiveness to price movements, providing a dynamic framework for trend identification without excessive sensitivity.
3. Super Trend Multiplier: 4.0
The multiplier of 4.0 for the SuperTrend indicator widens the trend bands, focusing on significant market moves and reducing the impact of minor fluctuations.
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The "PresentTrend RMI Synergy Strategy" represents a significant step forward in trading strategy development, blending momentum and trend analysis in a unique way. By providing a detailed framework for understanding market dynamics, this strategy empowers traders to make more informed decisions.
PS January Barometer BacktesterPS January Barometer Backtester (PS JBB)
The PS January Barometer Backtester (PS JBB) is a simple strategy designed to test the "January Effect" hypothesis in financial markets. This effect theorizes that stock market performance in January can predict the trend for the rest of the year. The script operates on a monthly timeframe, focusing on capturing and analyzing the price movements in January and their subsequent influence on the market until the end of each year.
User Input:
January Trifecta Selectors
These are user-selectable options allowing traders to incorporate additional criteria into their market analysis.
The Santa Claus Rally refers to a stock market increase typically seen in the last week of December through the first two trading days in January.
The First Five Days Indicator assesses market performance during the initial five days of the year.
Script Operation:
The script automatically detects the start of each year, tracks January's high, and signals entry and exit points for trades based on the strategy's logic. It's an excellent tool for traders and investors looking to explore the January Effect's validity and its potential impact on their trading decisions.
In essence, the "PS January Barometer Backtester" is designed to exploit specific seasonal market trends, particularly focusing on the early part of the year, by analyzing and acting upon defined market movements. This strategy is ideal for traders who focus on yearly cyclical patterns and seek to incorporate historical trends into their trading decisions.
Note: This script is intended for educational and research purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading/investment decisions.
Candle StrategyThis strategy is based candle count number also strategy analysis -
Rules for buy-
1) choose Candle Number(Ex.-47) For Trade
2) Trade Sell if price is above high of day 1st candle that mean direction is upside
3) We are taking stop loss on lowest low of candle since day first candle to trade no.
4) close Trade at last bar of the day
5) Trader Can Choose Trade Direction From input
Rules for Sell-
1) Choose Candle Number(Ex.-47) For Trade
2) Trade Sell if price is below low of day 1st candle that mean direction is downside
3) We are taking stop loss on highest of candle since day first candle to trade no.
4) close Trade at last bar of the day
5) Trader Can Choose Trade Direction From input
Note - this strategy can be also use for static to understand which candle will make low/high of the day high chance Example in bank nifty 5 minutes chart candle no 47 have highest trade
opportunity appear on long side ...this data is small based on 5000 previous bar ...
Disclaimer: market involves significant risks, including complete possible loss of funds. Consequently trading is not suitable for all investors and traders. By increasing leverage risk increases as well.With the demo account you can test any trading strategies you wish in a risk-free environment. Please bear in mind that the results of the transactions of the practice account are virtual, and do not reflect any real profit or loss or a real trading environment, whereas market conditions may affect both the quotation and execution
AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile strategy is a sophisticated trading approach that integrates AI-driven analysis with traditional technical indicators. Combining the AI SuperTrend with the Pivot Percentile strategy highlights several key advantages:
1. Enhanced Accuracy in Trend Prediction: The AI SuperTrend utilizes K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm for trend prediction, improving accuracy by considering historical data patterns. This is complemented by the Pivot Percentile analysis which provides additional context on trend strength.
2. Comprehensive Market Analysis: The integration offers a multi-faceted approach to market analysis, combining AI insights with traditional technical indicators. This dual approach captures a broader range of market dynamics.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
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█ Strategy: How it Works - Detailed Explanation
🔶 AI-Enhanced SuperTrend Indicators
1. SuperTrend Calculation:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using a moving average and the Average True Range (ATR). The basic formula is:
- Upper Band = Moving Average + (Multiplier × ATR)
- Lower Band = Moving Average - (Multiplier × ATR)
- The moving average type (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA) and the length of the moving average and ATR are adjustable parameters.
- The direction of the trend is determined based on the position of the closing price in relation to these bands.
2. AI Integration with K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN):
- The KNN algorithm is applied to predict trend direction. It uses historical price data and SuperTrend values to classify the current trend as bullish or bearish.
- The algorithm calculates the 'distance' between the current data point and historical points. The 'k' nearest data points (neighbors) are identified based on this distance.
- A weighted average of these neighbors' trends (bullish or bearish) is calculated to predict the current trend.
For more please check: Multi-TF AI SuperTrend with ADX - Strategy
🔶 Pivot Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation:
- This involves calculating the percentile ranks for high and low prices over a set of predefined lengths.
- The percentile function is typically defined as:
- Percentile = Value at (P/100) × (N + 1)th position
- Where P is the desired percentile, and N is the number of data points.
2. Trend Strength Evaluation:
- The calculated percentiles for highs and lows are used to determine the strength of bullish and bearish trends.
- For instance, a high percentile rank in the high prices may indicate a strong bullish trend, and vice versa for bearish trends.
For more please check: Pivot Percentile Trend - Strategy
🔶 Strategy Integration
1. Combining SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile:
- The strategy synthesizes the insights from both AI-enhanced SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile analysis.
- It compares the trend direction indicated by the SuperTrend with the strength of the trend as suggested by the Pivot Percentile analysis.
2. Signal Generation:
- A trading signal is generated when both the AI-enhanced SuperTrend and the Pivot Percentile analysis agree on the trend direction.
- For instance, a bullish signal is generated when both the SuperTrend is bullish, and the Pivot Percentile analysis shows strength in bullish trends.
🔶 Risk Management and Filters
- ADX and DMI Filter: The strategy uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) as filters to assess the trend's strength and direction.
- Dynamic Trailing Stop Loss: Based on the SuperTrend indicator, the strategy dynamically adjusts stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
This strategy stands out for its ability to combine real-time AI analysis with established technical indicators, offering traders a nuanced and responsive tool for navigating complex market conditions. The equations and algorithms involved are pivotal in accurately identifying market trends and potential trade opportunities.
█ Usage
To effectively use this strategy, traders should:
1. Understand the AI and Pivot Percentile Indicators: A clear grasp of how these indicators work will enable traders to make informed decisions.
2. Interpret the Signals Accurately: The strategy provides bullish, bearish, and neutral signals. Traders should align these signals with their market analysis and trading goals.
3. Monitor Market Conditions: Given that this strategy is sensitive to market dynamics, continuous monitoring is crucial for timely decision-making.
4. Adjust Settings as Needed: Traders should feel free to tweak the input parameters to suit their trading preferences and to respond to changing market conditions.
█Default Settings and Their Impact on Performance
1. Trading Direction (Default: "Both")
Effect: Determines whether the strategy will take long positions, short positions, or both. Adjusting this setting can align the strategy with the trader's market outlook or risk preference.
2. AI Settings (Neighbors: 3, Data Points: 24)
Neighbors: The number of nearest neighbors in the KNN algorithm. A higher number might smooth out noise but could miss subtle, recent changes. A lower number makes the model more sensitive to recent data but may increase noise.
Data Points: Defines the amount of historical data considered. More data points provide a broader context but may dilute recent trends' impact.
3. SuperTrend Settings (Length: 10, Factor: 3.0, MA Source: "WMA")
Length: Affects the sensitivity of the SuperTrend indicator. A longer length results in a smoother, less sensitive indicator, ideal for long-term trends.
Factor: Determines the bandwidth of the SuperTrend. A higher factor creates wider bands, capturing larger price movements but potentially missing short-term signals.
MA Source: The type of moving average used (e.g., WMA - Weighted Moving Average). Different MA types can affect the trend indicator's responsiveness and smoothness.
4. AI Trend Prediction Settings (Price Trend: 10, Prediction Trend: 80)
Price Trend and Prediction Trend Lengths: These settings define the lengths of weighted moving averages for price and SuperTrend, impacting the responsiveness and smoothness of the AI's trend predictions.
5. Pivot Percentile Settings (Length: 10)
Length: Influences the calculation of pivot percentiles. A shorter length makes the percentile more responsive to recent price changes, while a longer length offers a broader view of price trends.
6. ADX and DMI Settings (ADX Length: 14, Time Frame: 'D')
ADX Length: Defines the period for the Average Directional Index calculation. A longer period results in a smoother ADX line.
Time Frame: Sets the time frame for the ADX and DMI calculations, affecting the sensitivity to market changes.
7. Commission, Slippage, and Initial Capital
These settings relate to transaction costs and initial investment, directly impacting net profitability and strategy feasibility.
Four WMA Strategy with TP and SLBasically I read a research paper on how they used different moving averages for long entries and short entries, and it kind of dawned on me that I always used the same one for long entry or exit, or even swing trading. So I smashed this together to see what would happen.
The strategy combines the use of four different WMAs for identifying trade entry points, along with a predefined take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) for risk management. Here's a detailed description of its features and how it operates:
Main Features
1. **WMAs as the Core Indicator**:
- The strategy uses four WMAs with different lengths. Two WMAs (`longM1` and `longM2`) are used for long entry signals, and the other two (`shortM1` and `shortM2`) for short entry signals.
- The lengths of these WMAs are adjustable through input parameters.
2. **Trade Entry Conditions**:
- A long entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA .
- Conversely, a short entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA.
3. **Take Profit and Stop Loss**:
- The strategy includes a take profit and stop loss mechanism.
- The TP and SL levels are set as a percentage of the entry price, with the percentage values being adjustable through input parameters.
4. **Visual Representation**:
- The WMAs are plotted on the chart for visual aid, each with a distinct color for easy identification.
How It Works
- The strategy continuously monitors the crossing of WMAs to detect potential entry points for long and short positions.
- Upon detecting a long or short condition, it automatically enters a trade and sets the corresponding TP and SL levels based on the current price and the specified percentages.
- The strategy then actively manages the trade, exiting the position when either the TP or SL level is reached.
Drawbacks
- **Overreliance on WMAs**: The strategy heavily relies on WMAs for trade signals. While WMAs are useful for identifying trends, they might not always provide timely entry and exit signals.
- **Market Conditions**: It may not perform well in highly volatile or sideways markets where WMA crossovers could lead to false signals.
- **Risk Management**: The fixed percentage for TP and SL might not be suitable for all market conditions. Traders might need to adjust these values frequently based on market volatility and their risk tolerance.
Apparently I need to emphasize to use brains when using indicators and setting them up to achieve the results you can or want. Also risk of 12% is considered very high so I lowered the numbers to 5%, which tanked the profits, try adjusting them on your own. Check the properties settings for more info on comission and slippage.
Conclusion
The "Four WMA Strategy with TP and SL" is suitable for traders who prefer a moving average-based approach to trading, combined with a straightforward mechanism for risk management through take profit and stop loss. However, like all strategies, it should be used with an understanding of its limitations and ideally tested thoroughly in various market conditions before applying it to live trading.
Grid Bot BacktestingBinance, Bybit, Bitget, and other cross-exchange (grid) trading bot backtesting.
Auto bound: Automatically setting upper and lower price bounds.
Manual: Setting upper and lower price bounds manually.
The graph below represents the overall asset changes (initial investment amount + current position profit + grid profit).
Try using backtesting when setting up a grid bot on the exchange!
바이낸스, 바이비트, 비트겟 등 교차거래(그리드) 봇 백테스팅
Auto bound : 자동으로 상,하단 가격 설정
Manual : 직접 상,하단 가격 설정
아래 그래프는 총 자산 변화입니다.(초기투자금액 + 현재 포지션 수익 + 그리드 수익)
거래소에서 그리드 봇 설정할 때 백테스팅 유용하게 써보세요!
Ichimoku Clouds Strategy Long and ShortOverview:
The Ichimoku Clouds Strategy leverages the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technique to offer traders a range of innovative features, enhancing market analysis and trading efficiency. This strategy is distinct in its combination of standard methodology and advanced customization, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Unique Features:
Enhanced Interpretation: The strategy introduces weak, neutral, and strong bullish/bearish signals, enabling detailed interpretation of the Ichimoku cloud and direct chart plotting.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Dual Trading Modes: Long and Short modes are available, allowing alignment with market trends.
Flexible Risk Management: Offers three styles in each mode, combining fixed risk management with dynamic indicator states for versatile trade management.
Indicator Line Plotting: Enables plotting of Ichimoku indicator lines on the chart for visual decision-making support.
Methodology:
The strategy utilizes the standard Ichimoku Kinko Hyo model, interpreting indicator values with settings adjustable through a user-friendly menu. This approach is enhanced by TradingView's built-in strategy tester for customization and market selection.
Risk Management:
Our approach to risk management is dynamic and indicator-centric. With data from the last year, we focus on dynamic indicator states interpretations to mitigate manual setting causing human factor biases. Users still have the option to set a fixed stop loss and/or take profit per position using the corresponding parameters in settings, aligning with their risk tolerance.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.01.04. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Maximum Single Position Loss: -6.29%
Maximum Single Profit: 22.32%
Net Profit: +10 901.95 USDT (+109.02%)
Total Trades: 119 (51.26% profitability)
Profit Factor: 1.775
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 4 185.37 USDT (-22.87%)
Average Profit per Trade: 91.67 USDT (+0.7%)
Average Trade Duration: 56 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters. Backtest is calculated using deep backtest option in TradingView built-in strategy tester
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired chart and timeframe (optimal performance observed on the 1H chart, ForEx or cryptocurrency top-10 coins with quote asset USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Table to filter trades per dayThis script contains a block of code that allows users to filter the total number of trades, loss trades, win trades and win rate per day in a table. This makes it easier to compare which days were profitable and which were not.
Be aware that this script can only be used in strategy scripts. To use the script, open it and copy every line from "START" to "STOP". Then, paste these lines at the very bottom of the strategy script that you want to attach it to.
The user has the ability to adjust the position of the table and customize the size of the text displayed.
If the user sets "Check when the trade:" to "Opened", the script will monitor when the trade opens and add it to the table once it has been closed. If "Check when the trade:" is set to "Closed", the script will track when the trade is closed and add it to the table once it has been closed.
It is recommended to run the script on the "Exchange" setting for more accurate results, even though a "Set the timezone" option is available. This will prevent discrepancies caused by daylight saving time changes.
Please note that the code will only work properly if you choose a daily timeframe or lower.
Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
mikul's Ichimoku Cloud Strategy v 2.0This is an Ichimoku cloud (long) strategy with both pump signals and trend signals.
It has both ATR stop loss, trailing percentage stop loss and also ichomoku cloud exit signal.
You can also combine the ATR stop loss and the trailing percentage stop loss with the Ichimoku cloud exit signal and a the take profit percentage.
In this example I use the default ATR stop loss method for taking profit.
10000$ is my initial capital and I risking 10% every trade. Commission is set to 0.075%.
Everything is set to default in this example.
There is also a moving average filter that is available, set to 200 EMA and turned off by default.
Conditions for taking a long position:
Trend Signal:
• Positive cross above the cloud
• Chikou span(lagging span) above price action
• Price above the Cloud
Pump Signal:
• Cloud ahead of you is green
• Price above the cloud
• Positive cross (Doesn’t Matter Where)
• Chikou span(lagging span) above the cloud
Ichimoku cloud exit signals:
• Negative cross
• Chikou span(lagging span) touches the price action
This strategy is totally free as freedom and as in free beer!
I do this for myself, but I like sharing and I want everyone to have the ability to use what I make no matter your economic situation.
If you have any suggestions for this strategy or perhaps any filtering options that could be fun to experiment with, then please leave a comment with your suggestion and maybe I can add it to the next version.
FlexiMA x FlexiST - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy blends two analytical methods - FlexiMA and FlexiST, which are opened in my early post.
- FlexiMA calculates deviations between an indicator source and a dynamic moving average, controlled by a starting factor and increment factor.
- FlexiST, on the other hand, leverages the SuperTrend model, adjusting the Average True Range (ATR) length for a comprehensive trend-following oscillator.
This synergy offers traders a more nuanced and multifaceted tool for market analysis.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy combines two components: FlexiMA and FlexiST, each utilizing unique methodologies to analyze market trends.
🔶FlexiMA Component:
- Calculates deviations between an indicator source and moving averages of variable lengths.
- Moving average lengths are dynamically adjusted using a starting factor and increment factor.
- Deviations are normalized and analyzed to produce median and standard deviation values, forming the FlexiMA oscillator.
Length indicator (50)
🔶FlexiST Component:
- Uses SuperTrend indicators with varying ATR (Average True Range) lengths.
- Trends are identified based on the position of the indicator source relative to the SuperTrend bands.
- Deviations between the indicator source and SuperTrend values are calculated and normalized.
Starting Factor (5)
🔶Combined Strategy Logic:
- Entry Signals:
- Long Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are positive.
- Short Entry: Triggered when median values of both FlexiMA and FlexiST are negative.
- Exit Signals:
- Long Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn negative.
- Short Exit: Triggered when median values of FlexiMA or FlexiST turn positive.
This strategic blend of FlexiMA and FlexiST allows for a nuanced analysis of market trends, providing traders with signals based on a comprehensive view of market momentum and trend strength.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy is designed to cater to various trading preferences, offering "Long", "Short", and "Both" options. This flexibility allows traders to align the strategy with their specific market outlook, be it bullish, bearish, or a combination of both.
█ Usage
Traders can effectively utilize the FlexiMA x FlexiST Strategy by first selecting their desired trade direction. The strategy then generates entry signals when the conditions for either the FlexiMA or FlexiST are met, indicating potential entry points in the market. Conversely, exit signals are generated when the conditions for these indicators diverge, thus signaling a potential shift in market trends and suggesting a strategic exit point.
█ Default Settings
1. Indicator Source (HLC3): Provides a balanced and stable price source, reducing the impact of extreme market fluctuations.
2. Indicator Lengths (20 for FlexiMA, 10 for FlexiST): Longer FlexiMA length smooths out short-term fluctuations, while shorter FlexiST length allows for quicker response to market changes.
3. Starting Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.618 for FlexiST): Balanced start for FlexiMA and a harmonized approach for FlexiST, resonating with natural market cycles.
4. Increment Factors (1.0 for FlexiMA, 0.382 for FlexiST): FlexiMA captures a wide range of market behaviors, while FlexiST provides a gradual transition to capture finer trend shifts.
5. Normalization Methods ('None'): Uses raw deviations, suitable for markets where absolute price movements are more significant.
6. Trade Direction ('Both'): Allows strategy to consider both long and short opportunities, ideal for versatile market engagement.
*More details:
1. FlexiMA
2. FlexiST
5 ema strategyThis Strategy is based of Subhashish Pani's (power of stocks) 5 EMA Strategy.strategy used for sell in 5 minutes and for buy in 15 minutes ..
Rules for this strategy ..
Sell signal -
1) if price is above 5 Ema and not touching Ema use as alert candle..
2) if price break low of alert candle strategy open trade ..
3) if price move more upside low of alert candle keep change into next candle ..
4) input we can select number of trade per day .as rule should take only 4 signal should execute
5) stop loss is fixed highest high of last 2 candle and take profit is input multiply of stop loss
buy signal-
1) if price is below 5 Ema and not touching Ema use as alert candle..
2) if price break high of alert candle strategy open trade ..
3) if price move more downside high of alert candle keep change into next candle ..
4) input we can select number of trade per day .as rule should take only 4 signal should execute
5) stop loss is fixed lowest low of last 2 candle and take profit is input multiply of stop loss
notes -input can be selected which side should take signal either buy or sell side ...number of trade can be adjusted ..
Disclaimer -Traders can use this script as a starting point for further customization or as a reference for developing their own trading strategies. It's important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and thorough testing and validation are recommended before deploying any trading strategy.
CCI based support and resistance strategy
WARNING:
Commissions and slippage has not been considered! Don’t take it easy adding commissions and slippage could turns a fake-profitable strategy to a real disaster.
We consider account size as 10k and we enter 1000 for each trade.
Less than 100 trades is too small sample community and it’s not reliable, Also the performance of the past do not guarantee future performance. This result was handpicked by author and will differ by other timeframes, instruments and settings.
*PLEASE SHARE YOUR SETTINGS THAT WORK WITH THE COMMUNITY.
Introduction:
The CCI-based dynamic support and resistance is a "Bands and Channels" kind of indicator consisting an upper and lower band. This is a strategy which uses CCI-based (Made by me) indicator to execute trades.
SL and TP are calculated based on max ATR during last selected time period. You can edit strategy settings using "Ksl", "Ktp" and the other button for time period. “KSL” and “KTP” are 2.5 and 5 by default.
Bands are calculated regarding CCI previous high and low pivot. CCI length, right pivot length and left pivot length are 50.
A dynamic support and resistance has been calculated using last upper-cci minus a buffer and last lower-cci plus the buffer. The buffer is 10.
If "Trend matter?" button is on you can detect trend by color of the upper and lower line. Green is bullish and red is bearish! "Trend matter?" is on.
The "show mid?" button makes mid line visible, which is average of upper and lower lines, visible. The button is not active by default.
Reaction to the support could be a buy signal while a reaction to the resistance could interpreted as a sell signal.
How this strategy work?
Donald Lambert, a technical analyst, created the CCI, or Commodity Channel Index, which he first published in 1980. CCI is calculated regarding CCI can be used both as trend-detector or an oscillator. As an oscillator most traders believe in static predefined levels. Overbought and oversold candles which are clear in the chart could be used as sell and buy signals.
During my trading career I’ve noticed that there might be some reversal points for the CCI. I believe CCI could have to potential to reverse more from lately reversal point. Of course, just like other trading strategies we are talking about probabilities. We do not expect a win trade each time.
On price chart
Now this the question! What price should the instrument reach that CCI turns to be equal to our reversing aim for CCI? Imagine we have found last important bearish reversal of CCI in 200. Now, if we need the CCI to be 200 what price should we wait for?
How to calculate?
This is the CCI formula:
CCI = (Typical Price - SMA of TP) / (0.015 x Mean Deviation)
Where, Typical Price (TP) = (High + Low + Close)/3
For probable reversing points, high and low pivots of 50 bars have been used.
So we do have an Upper CCI and a Lower CCI. They are valid until the next pivot is available.
By relocating factors in CCI formula you can reach the “Typical Price”.
“
Typical Price = CCI (0.015 * Mean Deviation) + SMA of TP
So we could have a Support or Resistance by replacing CCI with Upper and Lower CCI.
A buy signal is valid if the trend is bullish (or “trend matter” is off) and lowest low of last 2 candles is lower than support and close is greater than both support and open.
A Sell signal is produced in opposite situation.
There are 2+1 options for trend!
Trend matter box is on by default, which means we’ll just open trades in direction of the trend. It’s available to turn it off.
Other 2 options are cross and slope. Cross calculated by comparing fast SMA and slow SMA. The slope one differentiate slow SMA to last “n” one.
Considering last day and today highest ATR as the ATR to calculating SL and TP is our unique technique.
Hulk Grid Algorithm V2 - The Quant ScienceIt's the latest proprietary grid algorithm developed by our team. This software represents a clearer and more comprehensive modernization of the deprecated Hulk Grid Algorithm. In this new release, we have optimized the source code architecture and investment logic, which we will describe in detail below.
Overview
Hulk Grid Algorithm V2 is designed to optimize returns in sideways market conditions. In this scenario, the algorithm divides purchases with long orders at each level of the grid. Unlike a typical grid algorithm, this version applies an anti-martingale model to mitigate volatility and optimize the average entry price. Starting from the lower level, the purchase quantity is increased at each new subsequent level until reaching the upper level. The initial quantity of the first order is fixed at 0.50% of the initial capital. With each new order, the initial quantity is multiplied by a value equal to the current grid level (where 1 is the lower level and 10 is the upper level).
Example: Let's say we have an initial capital of $10,000. The initial capital for the first order would be $50 * 1 = $50, for the second order $50 * 2 = $100, for the third order $50 * 3 = $150, and so on until reaching the upper level.
All previously opened orders are closed using a percentage-based stop-loss and take-profit, calculated based on the extremes of the grid.
Set Up
As mentioned earlier, the user's goal is to analyze this strategy in markets with a lack of trend, also known as sideways markets. After identifying a price range within which the asset tends to move, the user can choose to create the grid by placing the starting price at the center of the range. This way, they can consider trading the asset, if the backtesting generates a return greater than the Buy & Hold return.
Grid Configuration
To create the grid, it's sufficient to choose the starting price during the launch phase. This level will be the center of the grid from which the upper and lower levels will be calculated. The grid levels are computed using an arithmetic method, adding and subtracting a configurable fixed amount from the user interface (Grid Step $).
Example: Let's imagine choosing 1000 as the starting price and 50 as the Grid Step ($). The upper levels will be 1000, 1050, 1100, 1150, 1200. The lower levels will be 950, 900, 850, 800, and 750.
Markets
This software can be used in all markets: stocks, indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies, ETFs, Forex, etc.
Application
With this backtesting software, is possible to analyze the strategy and search for markets where it can generate better performance than Buy & Hold returns. There are no alerts or automatic investment mechanisms, and currently, the strategy can only be executed manually.
Design
Is possible to modify the grid style and customize colors by accessing the Properties section of the user interface.
Pivot Percentile Trend - Strategy [presentTrading]
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Pivot Percentile Trend - Strategy" from PresentTrading represents a paradigm shift in technical trading strategies. What sets this strategy apart is its innovative use of pivot percentiles, a method that goes beyond traditional indicator-based analyses. Unlike standard strategies that might depend on single-dimensional signals, this approach takes a multi-layered view of market movements, blending percentile calculations with SuperTrend indicators for a more nuanced and dynamic market analysis.
This strategy stands out for its ability to process multiple data points across various timeframes and pivot lengths, thereby capturing a broader and more detailed picture of market trends. It's not just about following the price; it's about understanding its position in the context of recent historical highs and lows, offering a more profound insight into potential market movements.
BTC 6h L/S
Where traditional methods might react to market changes, the Pivot Percentile Trend strategy anticipates them, using a calculated approach to identify trend strengths and weaknesses. This foresight gives traders a significant advantage, allowing for more strategic decision-making and potentially increasing the chances of successful trades.
In essence, this strategy introduces a more comprehensive and proactive approach to trading, harnessing the power of advanced percentile calculations combined with the robustness of SuperTrend indicators. It's a strategy designed for traders who seek a deeper understanding of market dynamics and a more calculated approach to their trading decisions.
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Percentile Calculations
- The strategy employs percentile calculations to assess the relative position of current market prices against historical data.
- For a set of lengths (e.g., `length * 1`, `length * 2`, up to `length * 7`), it calculates the 75th percentile for high values (`percentilesHigh`) and the 25th percentile for low values (`percentilesLow`).
- These percentiles provide a sense of where the current price stands compared to recent price ranges.
Length - 10
Length - 15
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator
- The SuperTrend indicator is a key component, providing trend direction signals.
- It uses the `currentTrendValue`, derived from the difference between bull and bear strengths calculated from the percentile data.
* used the Supertrend toolkit by @EliCobra
🔶 Trend Strength Counts
- The strategy calculates counts of bullish and bearish indicators based on comparisons between the current high and low against high and low percentiles.
- `countBull` and `countBear` track the number of times the current high is above the high percentiles and the current low is below the low percentiles, respectively.
- Weak bullish (`weakBullCount`) and bearish (`weakBearCount`) counts are also determined by how often the current lows and highs fall within the percentile range.
*The idea of this strength counts mainly comes from 'Trend Strength Over Time' @federalTacos5392b
🔶 Trend Value Calculation
- The `currentTrendValue` is a crucial metric, computed as `bullStrength - bearStrength`.
- It indicates the market's trend direction, where a positive value suggests a bullish trend and a negative value indicates a bearish trend.
🔶 Trade Entry and Exit Logic
- The entry points for trades are determined by the combination of the trend value and the direction indicated by the SuperTrend indicator.
- For a long entry (`shouldEnterLong`), the `currentTrendValue` must be positive and the SuperTrend indicator should show a downtrend.
- Conversely, for a short entry (`shouldEnterShort`), the `currentTrendValue` should be negative with the SuperTrend indicating an uptrend.
- The strategy closes positions when these conditions reverse.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy is versatile, allowing traders to choose their preferred trading direction: long, short, or both. This flexibility enables traders to tailor their strategies to their market outlook and risk appetite.
█ Default Settings and Customization
1. Trade Direction: Selectable as Long, Short, or Both, affecting the type of trades executed.
2. Indicator Source: Pivot Percentile Calculations, key for identifying market trends and reversals.
3. Lengths for Percentile Calculation: Various configurable lengths, influencing the scope of trend analysis.
4. SuperTrend Settings: ATR Length 20, Multiplier 18, affecting indicator sensitivity and trend detection.
5. Style Options: Custom colors for bullish (green) and bearish (red) trends, aiding visual interpretation.
6. Additional Settings: Includes contrarian signals and UI enhancements, offering strategic and visual flexibility.
Zero-lag Volatility-Breakout EMA Trend StrategyThis is a simple volatility-breakout strategy which uses the difference in two different zero-lag* EMAs (explained below on what exactly I mean by this) to track the upwards or downwards strength of an instrument. When the difference breaks above a Bollinger Band of a configurable standard deviation multiple, the strategy enters based off the direction of the base EMA used (i.e. if the difference breaks above and the current EMA is rising, a long entry is produced. If the difference breaks above and the current EMA is falling, a short entry is produced).
The two EMA-type metrics used to calculate the volatility difference are calculated by the following formula:
top_ema = math.max(src, ta.ema(src, length))
bottom_ema = math.min(src, ta.ema(src, length))
ema_difference = (top_ema - bottom_ema) - 1
This produces a difference which responds immediately to large price movements, instead of lagging if it used strictly the EMA itself.
SETTINGS
Source : The source of the strategy - close, hlc3, another indicator plot, etc.
EMA Difference Length : The length of both the EMA difference statistics and the base EMA used to calculate the entry side.
Standard Deviation Multiple : The Bollinger Bands multiple used when the difference is breaking out.
Use Binary Strategy : The strategy has two configurations: Binary and Rapid-Exit. 'Binary' means that it will not close a long position until a short position is generated, and vice-versa. 'Rapid-Exit' will close a long or short position once the difference reaches the middle Bollinger Band MA. This means that turning on 'Binary' will expose you to more market risk, but potentially greater market return. Turning off 'Binary' will exit quickly and reduce drawdown.
The strategy results below use 10% equity and 0.1% fees per trade.
Megabar Breakout (Range & Volume & RSI)Hey there,
This strategy is based on the idea that certain events lead to what are called Megabars. Megabars are bars that have a very large range and volume. I wanted to verify whether these bars indicate the start of a trend and whether one should follow the trend.
Summary of the Code:
The code is based on three indicators: the range of the bar, the volume of the bar, and the RSI. When certain values of these indicators are met, a Megabar is identified. The direction of the Megabar indicates the direction in which we should trade.
Why do I combine these indicators?
I want to identify special bars that have the potential to mark the beginning of a breakout. Therefore, a bar needs to exhibit high volume, have a large range (huge price movement), and we also use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess potential momentum. Only if all three criteria are met within one candle, do we use this as an identifier for a megabar.
Explanation of Drawings on the Chart:
As you can see, there is a green background on my chart. The green background symbolizes the time when I'm entering a trade. Only if a Megabar happens during that time, I'm ready to enter a trade. The time is between 6 AM and 4 PM CET. It's just because I prefer that time. Also, the strategy draws an error every time a Megabar happens based on VOL and Range only (not on the RSI). That makes it pretty easy to go through your chart and check the biggest bars manually. You can activate or deactivate these settings via the input data of the strategy.
When Do We Enter a Trade?
We wait for a Megabar to happen during our trading session. If the Megabar is bullish, we open a LONG trade at the opening price of the next candle. If the Megabar is bearish, we open a SHORT trade at the opening price of the next candle.
Where Do We Put Our Take Profit & Stop Loss?
The default setting is TP = 40 Pips and SL = 30 Pips. In that case, we are always trading with a risk-reward ratio of 1.33 by default. You can easily change these settings via the input data of the strategy.
Strategy Results
The criteria for Megabars were chosen by me in a way that makes Megabars something special. They are not intended to occur too frequently, as the fundamental idea of this strategy would otherwise not hold. This results in only 37 closed trades within the last 12 months. If you change the criterias for a megabar to a milder one, you will create more Megabars and therefore more trades. It's up to you. I have adapted this strategy to the 30-minute chart of the EURUSD. In the evaluation, we consider a period of 12 months, which I believe is sufficient.
My default settings for the indicators look like this:
Avg Length Vol 20
Avg Multiplier Vol 3
Avg Length Range 20
Avg Multiplier Range 4
Value SMA RSI for Long Trades 50
Value SMA RSI for Short Trades 70
IMPORTANT: The current performance overview does not display the results of these settings. Please change the settings to my default ones so that you can see how I use this strategy.
I do not recommend trading this strategy without further testing. The script is meant to reflect a basic idea and be used as a tool to identify Megabars. I have made this strategy completely public so that it can be further developed. One can take this framework and test it on different timeframes and different markets.
FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy" by PresentTrading is a cutting-edge trading strategy that redefines market analysis through the integration of the SuperTrend indicator and advanced variance tracking.
BTC 6H L/S
This strategy stands apart from conventional methods by its dynamic adaptability, capturing market trends and momentum shifts with increased sensitivity. It's designed for traders seeking a more responsive tool to navigate complex market movements.
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The "FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy" employs a multifaceted approach, combining the adaptability of the SuperTrend indicator with variance tracking. The strategy's core lies in its unique formulation and application of these components:
🔶 SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator:
- Basic Concept: The oscillator is a series of SuperTrend calculations with varying ATR lengths and multipliers. This approach provides a broader and more nuanced perspective of market trends.
- Calculation:
- For each iteration, `i`, the SuperTrend is calculated using:
- `ATR Length = indicatorLength * (startingFactor + i * incrementFactor)`.
- `Multiplier = dynamically adjusted based on market conditions`.
- The SuperTrend output for each iteration is compared with the indicator source (like hlc3), and the deviation is recorded.
SuperTrend Calculation:
- `Upper Band (UB) = hl2 + (ATR Length * Multiplier)`
- `Lower Band (LB) = hl2 - (ATR Length * Multiplier)`
- Where `hl2` is the average of high and low prices.
Deviation Calculation:
- `Deviation = indicatorSource - SuperTrend Value`
- This value is calculated for each SuperTrend setting in the oscillator series.
🔶 Indicator Source (`hlc3`):
- **Usage:** The strategy uses the average of high, low, and close prices, providing a balanced representation of market activity.
🔶 Adaptive ATR Lengths and Factors:
- Dynamic Adjustment: The strategy adjusts the ATR length and multiplier based on the `startingFactor` and `incrementFactor`. This adaptability is key in responding to changing market volatilities.
- Equation: ATR Length at each iteration `i` is given by `len = indicatorLength * (startingFactor + i * incrementFactor)`.
incrementFactor - 1
incrementFactor - 2
🔶 Normalization Methods:
Purpose: To standardize the deviations for comparability.
- Methods:
- 'Max-Min': Scales the deviation based on the range of values.
- 'Absolute Sum': Uses the sum of absolute deviations for normalization.
Normalization 'Absolute Sum'
- For 'Max-Min': `Normalized Deviation = (Deviation - Min(Deviations)) / (Max(Deviations) - Min(Deviations))`
- For 'Absolute Sum': `Normalized Deviation = Deviation / Sum(Absolute(Deviations))`
🔶 Trading Logic:
The strategy integrates the SuperTrend indicator, renowned for its effectiveness in identifying trend direction and reversals. The SuperTrend's incorporation enhances the strategy's ability to filter out false signals and confirm genuine market trends. * The SuperTrend Toolkit is made by @QuantiLuxe
- Long Entry Conditions: A buy signal is generated when the current trend, as indicated by the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, turns positive.
- Short Entry Conditions: A sell signal is triggered when the current trend turns negative.
- Entry and Exit Strategy: The strategy opens or closes positions based on these signals, aligning with the selected trade direction (long, short, or both).
█ Trade Direction
The strategy is versatile, allowing traders to choose their preferred trading direction: long, short, or both. This flexibility enables traders to tailor their strategies to their market outlook and risk appetite.
█ Usage
The FlexiSuperTrend strategy is suitable for various market conditions and can be adapted to different asset classes and time frames. Traders should set the strategy parameters according to their risk tolerance and trading goals. It's particularly useful for capturing long-term movements, ideal for swing traders, yet adaptable for short-term trading strategies.
█ Default Settings
1. Trading Direction: Choose from "Long", "Short", or "Both" to define the trade type.
2. Indicator Source (HLC3): Utilizes the HLC3 as the primary price reference.
3. Indicator Length (Default: 10): Influences the moving average calculation and trend sensitivity.
4. Starting Factor (0.618): Initiates the ATR length, influenced by Fibonacci ratios.
5. Increment Factor (0.382): Adjusts the ATR length incrementally for dynamic trend tracking.
6. Normalization Method: Options include "None", "Max-Min", and "Absolute Sum" for scaling deviations.
7. SuperTrend Settings: Varied ATR lengths and multipliers tailor the indicator's responsiveness.
8. Additional Settings: Features mesh style plotting and customizable colors for visual distinction.
The default settings provide a balanced approach, but users are encouraged to adjust them based on their individual trading style and market analysis.
The Flash-Strategy with Minervini Stage Analysis QualifierThe Flash-Strategy (Momentum-RSI, EMA-crossover, ATR) with Minervini Stage Analysis Qualifier
Introduction
Welcome to a comprehensive guide on a cutting-edge trading strategy I've developed, designed for the modern trader seeking an edge in today's dynamic markets. This strategy, which I've honed through my years of experience in the trading arena, stands out for its unique blend of technical analysis and market intuition, tailored specifically for use on the TradingView platform.
As a trader with a deep passion for the financial markets, my journey began several years ago, driven by a relentless pursuit of a trading methodology that is both effective and adaptable. My background in trading spans various market conditions and asset classes, providing me with a rich tapestry of experiences from which to draw. This strategy is the culmination of that journey, embodying the lessons learned and insights gained along the way.
The cornerstone of this strategy lies in its ability to generate precise long signals in a Stage 2 uptrend and equally accurate short signals in a Stage 4 downtrend. This approach is rooted in the principles of trend following and momentum trading, harnessing the power of key indicators such as the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). What sets this strategy apart is its meticulous design, which allows it to adapt to the ever-changing market conditions, providing traders with a robust tool for navigating both bullish and bearish scenarios.
This strategy was born out of a desire to create a trading system that is not only highly effective in identifying potential trade setups but also straightforward enough to be implemented by traders of varying skill levels. It's a reflection of my belief that successful trading hinges on clarity, precision, and disciplined execution. Whether you are a seasoned trader or just beginning your journey, this guide aims to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of how to harness the full potential of this strategy in your trading endeavors.
In the following sections, we will delve deeper into the mechanics of the strategy, its implementation, and how to make the most out of its features. Join me as we explore the nuances of a strategy that is designed to elevate your trading to the next level.
Stage-Specific Signal Generation
A distinctive feature of this trading strategy is its focus on generating long signals exclusively during Stage 2 uptrends and short signals during Stage 4 downtrends. This approach is based on the widely recognized market cycle theory, which divides the market into four stages: Stage 1 (accumulation), Stage 2 (uptrend), Stage 3 (distribution), and Stage 4 (downtrend). By aligning the signal generation with these specific stages, the strategy aims to capitalize on the most dynamic and clear-cut market movements, thereby enhancing the potential for profitable trades.
1. Long Signals in Stage 2 Uptrends
• Characteristics of Stage 2: Stage 2 is characterized by a strong uptrend, where prices are consistently rising. This stage typically follows a period of accumulation (Stage 1) and is marked by increased investor interest and bullish sentiment in the market.
• Criteria for Long Signal Generation: Long signals are generated during this stage when the technical indicators align with the characteristics of a Stage 2 uptrend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: By focusing on Stage 2 for long trades, the strategy seeks to enter positions during the phase of strong upward momentum, thus riding the wave of rising prices and investor optimism. This stage-specific approach minimizes exposure to less predictable market phases, like the consolidation in Stage 1 or the indecision in Stage 3.
2. Short Signals in Stage 4 Downtrends
• Characteristics of Stage 4: Stage 4 is identified by a pronounced downtrend, with declining prices indicating prevailing bearish sentiment. This stage typically follows the distribution phase (Stage 3) and is characterized by increasing selling pressure.
• Criteria for Short Signal Generation: Short signals are generated in this stage when the indicators reflect a strong bearish trend.
• Rationale for Stage-Specific Signals: Targeting Stage 4 for shorting capitalizes on the market's downward momentum. This tactic aligns with the natural market cycle, allowing traders to exploit the downward price movements effectively. By doing so, the strategy avoids the potential pitfalls of shorting during the early or late stages of the market cycle, where trends are less defined and more susceptible to reversals.
In conclusion, the strategy’s emphasis on stage-specific signal generation is a testament to its sophisticated understanding of market dynamics. By tailoring the long and short signals to Stages 2 and 4, respectively, it leverages the most compelling phases of the market cycle, offering traders a clear and structured approach to aligning their trades with dominant market trends.
Strategy Overview
At the heart of this trading strategy is a philosophy centered around capturing market momentum and trend efficiency. The core objective is to identify and capitalize on clear uptrends and downtrends, thereby allowing traders to position themselves in sync with the market's prevailing direction. This approach is grounded in the belief that aligning trades with these dominant market forces can lead to more consistent and profitable outcomes.
The strategy is built on three foundational components, each playing a critical role in the decision-making process:
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index): The Momentum-RSI is a pivotal element of this strategy. It's an enhanced version of the traditional RSI, fine-tuned to better capture the strength and velocity of market trends. By measuring the speed and change of price movements, the Momentum-RSI provides invaluable insights into whether a market is potentially overbought or oversold, suggesting possible entry and exit points. This indicator is especially effective in filtering out noise and focusing on substantial market moves.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover: The EMA Crossover is a crucial component for trend identification. This strategy employs two EMAs with different timeframes to determine the market trend. When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, it signals an emerging uptrend, suggesting a potential long entry. Conversely, a crossover below indicates a possible downtrend, hinting at a short entry opportunity. This simple yet powerful tool is key in confirming trend directions and timing market entries.
3. ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is instrumental in assessing market volatility. This indicator helps in understanding the average range of price movements over a given period, thus providing a sense of how much a market might move on a typical day. In this strategy, the ATR is used to adjust stop-loss levels and to gauge the potential risk and reward of trades. It allows for more informed decisions by aligning trade management techniques with the current volatility conditions.
The synergy of these three components – the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR – creates a robust framework for this trading strategy. By combining momentum analysis, trend identification, and volatility assessment, the strategy offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the markets. Whether it's capturing a strong trend in its early stages or identifying a potential reversal, this strategy aims to provide traders with the tools and insights needed to make well-informed, strategically sound trading decisions.
Detailed Component Analysis
The efficacy of this trading strategy hinges on the synergistic functioning of its three key components: the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and Average True Range (ATR). Each component brings a unique perspective to the strategy, contributing to a well-rounded approach to market analysis.
1. Momentum-RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Definition and Function: The Momentum-RSI is a modified version of the classic Relative Strength Index. While the traditional RSI measures the velocity and magnitude of directional price movements, the Momentum-RSI amplifies aspects that reflect trend strength and momentum.
• Significance in Identifying Trend Strength: This indicator excels in identifying the strength behind a market's move. A high Momentum-RSI value typically indicates strong bullish momentum, suggesting the potential continuation of an uptrend. Conversely, a low Momentum-RSI value signals strong bearish momentum, possibly indicative of an ongoing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: In this strategy, the Momentum-RSI is used to gauge the underlying strength of market trends. It helps in filtering out minor fluctuations and focusing on significant movements, providing a clearer picture of the market's true momentum.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Crossover
• Definition and Function: The EMA Crossover component utilizes two exponential moving averages of different timeframes. Unlike simple moving averages, EMAs give more weight to recent prices, making them more responsive to new information.
• Contribution to Market Direction: The interaction between the short-term and long-term EMAs is key to determining market direction. A crossover of the shorter EMA above the longer EMA is an indicator of an emerging uptrend, while a crossover below signals a developing downtrend.
• Application in Strategy: The EMA Crossover serves as a trend confirmation tool. It provides a clear, visual representation of the market's direction, aiding in the decision-making process for entering long or short positions. This component ensures that trades are aligned with the prevailing market trend, a crucial factor for the success of the strategy.
3. ATR (Average True Range)
• Definition and Function: The ATR is an indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified period.
• Role in Assessing Market Volatility: The ATR provides insights into the typical market movement within a given timeframe, offering a measure of the market's volatility. Higher ATR values indicate increased volatility, while lower values suggest a calmer market environment.
• Application in Strategy: Within this strategy, the ATR is instrumental in tailoring risk management techniques, particularly in setting stop-loss levels. By accounting for the market's volatility, the ATR ensures that stop-loss orders are placed at levels that are neither too tight (risking premature exits) nor too loose (exposing to excessive risk).
In summary, the combination of Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR in this trading strategy provides a comprehensive toolkit for market analysis. The Momentum-RSI identifies the strength of market trends, the EMA Crossover confirms the market direction, and the ATR guides in risk management by assessing volatility. Together, these components form the backbone of a strategy designed to navigate the complexities of the financial markets effectively.
1. Signal Generation Process
• Combining Indicators: The strategy operates by synthesizing signals from the Momentum-RSI, EMA Crossover, and ATR indicators. Each indicator serves a specific purpose: the Momentum-RSI gauges trend momentum, the EMA Crossover identifies the trend direction, and the ATR assesses the market’s volatility.
• Criteria for Signal Validation: For a signal to be considered valid, it must meet specific criteria set by each of the three indicators. This multi-layered approach ensures that signals are not only based on one aspect of market behavior but are a result of a comprehensive analysis.
2. Conditions for Long Positions
• Uptrend Confirmation: A long position signal is generated when the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, indicating an uptrend.
• Momentum-RSI Alignment: Alongside the EMA crossover, the Momentum-RSI should indicate strong bullish momentum. This is typically represented by the Momentum-RSI being at a high level, confirming the strength of the uptrend.
• ATR Consideration: The ATR is used to fine-tune the entry point and set an appropriate stop-loss level. In a low volatility scenario, as indicated by the ATR, the stop-loss can be set tighter, closer to the entry point.
3. Conditions for Short Positions
• Downtrend Confirmation: Conversely, a short position signal is indicated when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, signaling a downtrend.
• Momentum-RSI Confirmation: The Momentum-RSI should reflect strong bearish momentum, usually seen when the Momentum-RSI is at a low level. This confirms the bearish strength of the market.
• ATR Application: The ATR again plays a role in determining the stop-loss level for the short position. Higher volatility, as indicated by a higher ATR, would warrant a wider stop-loss to accommodate larger market swings.
By adhering to these mechanics, the strategy aims to ensure that each trade is entered with a high probability of success, aligning with the market’s current momentum and trend. The integration of these indicators allows for a holistic market analysis, providing traders with clear and actionable signals for both entering and exiting trades.
Customizable Parameters in the Strategy
Flexibility and adaptability are key features of this trading strategy, achieved through a range of customizable parameters. These parameters allow traders to tailor the strategy to their individual trading style, risk tolerance, and specific market conditions. By adjusting these parameters, users can fine-tune the strategy to optimize its performance and align it with their unique trading objectives. Below are the primary parameters that can be customized within the strategy:
1. Momentum-RSI Settings
• Period: The lookback period for the Momentum-RSI can be adjusted. A shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer period smoothens the RSI line, offering a broader view of the momentum.
• Overbought/Oversold Thresholds: Users can set their own overbought and oversold levels, which can help in identifying extreme market conditions more precisely according to their trading approach.
2. EMA Crossover Settings
• Timeframes for EMAs: The strategy uses two EMAs with different timeframes. Traders can modify these timeframes, choosing shorter periods for a more responsive approach or longer periods for a more conservative one.
• Source Data: The choice of price data (close, open, high, low) used in calculating the EMAs can be varied depending on the trader’s preference.
3. ATR Settings
• Lookback Period: Adjusting the lookback period for the ATR impacts how the indicator measures volatility. A longer period may provide a more stable but less responsive measure, while a shorter period offers quicker but potentially more erratic readings.
• Multiplier for Stop-Loss Calculation: This parameter allows traders to set how aggressively or conservatively they want their stop-loss to be in relation to the ATR value.
Here are the standard settings:
Pairs strategyHello, Tradingview community,
I am been playing with this idea that nowadays trading instruments are interconnected and when one goes too far "out of order" it should return to the mean.
So, here's a relatively simple idea.
This is a LONG-ONLY strategy.
Buy when your traded instrument's last bar closes down, and the comparing instrument closes up.
Sell when close is higher than the previous bar's high.
Best results I found with medium timeframes: 45min, 120min, 180min.
Also, feel free to test non-typical timeframes such as 59min, 119min, 179min, etc.
My reasoning for medium timeframes would be, that they are big enough to avoid "market noise"
of smaller timeframes + commissions & slippage is less negligible, and small enough to avoid exposure of higher timeframes, although, I haven't tested D timeframe and above.
The best results, I found were with instruments that aren't directly correlated. I mostly tested equities and equity futures, so for equity indexes, equity index futures, or large-cap stocks, NASDAQ:SMH , NASDAQ:NVDA , EURUSD, and Crude Oil would be a good candidate for comparing symbols.
When testing either futures or stocks, please adjust the commission for each asset, for stocks I use % equity, so it compounds over time, whereas, for futures, I use 1 contract all the time.
Here's NASDAQ:MSFT on 119min chart
Here's AMEX:SPY on 59min chart using NASDAQ:NVDA as comparison
Here's CME_MINI:ES1! on 179min chart using NYMEX:CL1! as comparison
To change comparison symbol just insert your symbol between the brackets on both fields down here.
SymbolClose = request.security("YOUR SYMBOL HERE", timeframe.period, close)
SymbolOpen = request.security("YOUR SYMBOL HERE", timeframe.period, open)
Since I am still relatively new to testing, hence, I am publishing this idea, so you can point out some crucial things I may have missed.
Thanks,
Enjoy the strategy!
